Bitcoin Breakout: Hourly Surge Signals Scalable SetupBTC Breakout Setup – Hourly Base Within a Base
Bitcoin is breaking out of a short-term consolidation pattern—a base within a base—with strong volume confirming the move on the hourly chart.
Trade Setup
📈 Entry: 105,016.94–105,547.31
🛑 Stop: 101,400
🎯 Target: 109,358
Strategy Insight:
If BTC breaks through the first target, it will trigger a new entry. At that point, I’ll move the stop from the initial position to match the stop on the new trade. This tactic helps finance the new entry using the gains from the original trade, effectively minimizing risk while scaling into a larger position.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This is a technical analysis chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, published on May 27, 2025. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
Current Price: BTC is trading at 109,566.
Resistance Zone: Around 110,211, marked by a horizontal line.
Support Zone: Highlighted in the beige rectangle, with a target at approximately 107,488.
Trade Setup:
Short Bias: The chart suggests a potential short position if price rejects the resistance zone.
Target: 107,488 (within the support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 111,419, above the resistance zone.
Two Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Primary Idea): Price gets rejected at resistance and falls to the support zone (green arrow).
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation): Price breaks above the resistance and moves higher (red arrow).
This setup shows a risk-reward ratio favorable for shorting near resistance with a stop above it, targeting the prior demand zone. Let me know if you want help applying this analysis to a live trade.
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public.
(Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.)
I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd.
The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments.
One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down.
Bad Signs
- Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8%
- PMI below 50
- Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs
-> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022
- FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation
Are we heading towards a recession?
People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system.
This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much.
Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets.
In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index.
A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs.
But this is where it gets interesting:
According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst.
Where is BTC headed?
Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k.
To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets.
Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise.
However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
Bitcoin Daily Outlook – May 28, 2025 Bullish Bias, Eyes on $105K Breakout
🔍 Technical Snapshot:
• Price: ~$103,000
• RSI (14): ~69 – Nearing overbought
• MACD: Bullish crossover
• EMA20 > EMA50 – Uptrend structure intact
🔐 Key Levels:
• Support: $100,000 / $98,500
• Resistance: $105,000 / $108,000
• Breakout Trigger: Daily close above $105K with volume
🧭 Forecast (Next 2–3 Days):
• 🔼 60% chance of breakout to $105K–$108K
• 🔁 25% chance of consolidation
• 🔽 15% chance of pullback to $98K
🌐 Macro Context:
• VIX: ~12.8 (low) – Risk-on environment
• Nasdaq & S&P500: Bullish – Correlated upside pressure
• DXY: Stable – Neutral effect
💡 Strategy Notes:
• Swing Traders: Long bias but RSI near limit
• Breakout Traders: Watch $105K for volume confirmation
• Bulls: Buy-the-dip near $100K or EMA50
📌 Chart shows BTC with EMA 20/50 crossover.
👍 Like & Follow for daily BTC outlooks!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #BTC #TradingView #RSI #MACD #EMA #VIX #NASDAQ #SwingTrading
What we thing, what’s gonna happen. (120,000)This monthly BTC chart shows a bullish trend aiming for $116,000–$120,000.
• A three-candle bullish pattern is forming, suggesting continued upside.
• The label “SELL HERE, SELL the NEWS” near $120,615 signals a possible profit-taking zone.
• The lower area around $78,000 is marked as a buy-the-dip zone (“Buy the scare again”).
• BTC is currently seeking liquidity to continue its move up, possibly reaching the target by mid next month.
• A major resistance trendline is near, so price reaction there will be key.
BTC (Y25.P2.E5).My levels of interest to LongHi Traders,
Much confluence to long in the 105k range.
The chart is self explanatory.
This is not stating to SHORT. Its stating that if price meets our conditions, then this is an ideal level to long.
FYI. We have much bearish divergence as the longs entered and it gave the whales reason to push it down.
Question is how low is enough. Hence why I have some levels and it could be the case the whales could front run 105k
All the best,
S.SAri
recap - " Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! "BITCOIN reversal confirmed?! 👀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
How did this idea develop? 🤔
🥇Recap of the idea(s) from March 14, 2025 (see right 👀 under “Related Publications”)🎯
Hello ❤TradingView Community 👋
After the sell-off/correction ended on April 7, 2025' - Bitcoin reached an absolute low of $74434. This was followed by a nice rally and the complete fulfillment of the price targets from the idea of March 14, 2025 (push the play-button 😍).
Everything important is in the chart!
💡 This idea is closed at this point ✔
👉 All targets have been achieved 🎯💪
💥Follow me to stay up to date and be the first to receive these important updates/news & not miss anything! ⏰🔔
Furthermore, any criticism and suggestions etc. are welcome. - Feel free to share this idea.
Have a nice day & happy trading folks 🔥💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! No guarantee & exclusion of liability!
👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡
Bitcoin MMC Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts in Action + Target📌 Overview:
In this idea, I’m using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to break down Bitcoin’s current price behavior. MMC is a powerful way to spot repetitive price patterns, psychological zones, and mirrored moves that help us predict where the market might go next.
Let’s break down what this chart is really telling us. 👇
🔁 1. Mirror Market Concept in Play
MMC is all about symmetry. Think of it like looking into a mirror—what price did on the left side, it might repeat (or mirror) on the right side.
Look at the two rounded zones (highlighted in light blue ellipses). Price dipped into the support zone, formed a rounded bottom, and then shot up. A similar pattern is forming again on the right-hand side. This mirroring behavior gives us a clue that price could follow the same path upward again.
📉 2. Trendline Resistance – A Key Level
The chart shows a clear descending trendline that has been respected multiple times. Every time price tries to break above this line, it gets rejected. This tells us that sellers are still in control at that level.
Until this trendline is broken cleanly, bullish momentum remains capped. However, multiple tests of the trendline also indicate it's getting weaker, so a breakout might be coming.
🟪 3. Support Zone – Buyer’s Stronghold
See the purple shaded area near $108,400? That’s the support zone. Price bounced off this area several times, showing that buyers are defending this level.
This zone is important because:
If it holds, we can expect another upward push.
If it breaks, price could drop to the next support level (not shown here, but could be around $107,000–$107,500 based on structure).
🎯 4. Previous Target Hit – New Target Identified
Using MMC, we previously predicted a move up to around $110,800, and that target has been successfully hit (labeled as "Previous Target" in the chart).
Now, a new target zone is forming around $109,600–$109,800, marked on the right side of the chart. If price breaks above the trendline and central zone, this is the next likely destination.
🔵 5. Central Ellipse Zone – Compression Area
The blue ellipse on the right side represents a central zone—an area of price compression and indecision. In MMC, this is where price builds up energy before a move. It acts like a spring: the longer price consolidates here, the bigger the breakout move will be.
Right now, BTC is compressing in this central zone. This is a critical moment. The breakout direction from here could decide the short-term trend.
📊 Trade Plan Ideas:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Wait for a clean breakout above the trendline and central zone.
Look for a retest of the breakout area (confirmation).
Target the $109,600–$109,800 zone.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break the trendline and drops below the support zone at $108,400…
We could expect a deeper pullback toward $107,000–$107,500.
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: $109,200 (trendline area), $109,800 (target zone)
Support: $108,400 (zone), $107,500 (next major support if broken)
📘 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a perfect example of how MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) can give us a visual roadmap of what price might do next. It’s not about guessing—it’s about recognizing the psychological patterns that repeat over and over in the markets.
Right now, Bitcoin is sitting at a decision point:
Break above the trendline = possible bullish continuation
Break below support = likely bearish shift
Watch the central zone closely—because the next big move could start from right there. 🔍
BITCOIN 2025 MAYPrice is consolidating above the 105K level, confirming it as a key support zone. Next target: 125K.
Technical support levels: 95K, 88K, 75K.
#Bitcoin #crypto #trading #price #blockchain #cryptocurrency #btc #markets #investment #finance #money #economy #cryptoanalysis #altcoin #technicalanalysis
BTC/USD Major Rejection at Key Supply Zone – Is a Correction ? Bitcoin is currently trading inside a strong supply zone (highlighted in blue), where we’ve already seen multiple rejections. This area aligns with visible volume resistance and historical distribution, suggesting sellers are stepping in aggressively.
📊 Key Observations:
Bearish Divergence forming across lower timeframes.
Loss of bullish momentum just below the $110,000 mark.
Volume profile shows strong distribution in the current zone.
---
🔻 Bearish Targets to Watch:
1. $94,324 – First major support (previous resistance turned support).
2. $76,412 – Strong demand zone; historically a bullish reversal point.
3. Volume Gap between $90K and $80K could accelerate drop if $94K breaks.
🟥 Red arrows indicate high-probability zones where price may react or bounce.
---
📅 Key Events Ahead:
🗓️ Upcoming U.S. economic news (highlighted below the chart) may trigger volatility.
👉 Keep an eye on FOMC and Jobs data – they’ve historically impacted BTC's direction.
---
🧠 Strategy Outlook:
✅ Short Bias: If price fails to reclaim $110K convincingly, expect a correction.
🛑 Invalidation: Bullish continuation above $110,500 with volume.
---
🗣️ What’s Your Bias?
Do you think Bitcoin will hold above $100K or are we due for a healthy retracement?
👇 Comment below your outlook and trading plan. Let’s trade smart, not emotional!
📌 Follow me for more accurate setups and educational content!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUpdate #CryptoNews #FOMC #SwingTrade
Golden cross for btcAgain the golden cross predicts an explosive rise for btc. If we look at the past the price of btc exploded after a golden cross, but whether we will get such an explosion again this time I am not convinced at the moment, because in the short term we are running into an old resistance line of 7 years and the older the resistance line the stronger it is. But on the other hand we also have an old pattern that is very strong, namely the cup & handle. Even if I put my fibonacci over it, the 1.618 level nicely matches the target of the cup & handle And that would mean that from the current point we will rise another 22% with btc this bull run. www.tradingview.com
BTC 4H – Final Shakeout Before Markup?Bitcoin continues to coil below ATH resistance, now forming a second symmetrical pennant after the first flagpole breakout. Price is wedged between the ascending trendline support and persistent ATH rejection (~109.8K) — and the next move could define the entire Phase D → Phase E transition.
🧠 Wyckoff Reaccumulation Context:
✅ Spring + Test confirmed ~May 19
✅ Multiple LPS retests held around 107–108K
✅ Two clear SOS rallies tested above the creek
📌 Currently in late Phase D, facing third rejection from ATH
⚠️ Compression Observations:
RSI (14): 49.88 → neutral to bearish momentum
Volume: No conviction from either side
Lower BB + BU lows (~107K): A logical Spring zone for a potential wick-down fakeout
Price remains within channel and trendline support
🔄 Key Scenarios:
🟡 Bullish (Spring + Markup)
Wick below trendline to 107K zone
RSI bounce + green volume spike
Break + close above 110K → Confirms Phase E Markup
🎯 Targets:
Measured Move 1: 116,199
Measured Move 2 (Pennant): 119,958
Fib Cluster: 117,444 – 118,234
🔴 Bearish Breakdown
Close below 107K LPS with volume
RSI drops < 45
Structural failure → risks reversion to AR (~100.6K) and possibly BC
🧭 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in the decision apex of a second pennant. If we see a wick-down + bounce (Spring-like behavior), it could be the last reload before a markup wave.
But without volume and momentum, this remains a fragile structure — stay patient, let the chart confirm.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Pennant #CryptoTA #BTC4H #VolumeAnalysis #RSI
BTC Dropping for a couple Days (Quick Sells)China session will lock in a Hi then either London or NY session will take it or work its way back into price to stop out/shake out winning traders. Wait for your breaks as the sessions set up for your timeframe. My purple trendline you see is based off my 4hr chart, but you can always move in closer. Price will be pushing towards my -27, -61.8 . Enjoy the easy sells traders.
BTC?
Hi
I am still bullish.
Arrows = touch points
in this next touch point
will focus on buys.
It may not be accurate. but it does give some idea where i should buy my ticket.
There.. find best setup for yourself.
if 1 setup doesn't work
GOTO 2nd setup (if any came up)
Use any setup up that is inline with your biases.
All the best
NOt a guru
Bitcoin (BTC) As of May 27, 2025As of May 27, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $110,353, reflecting a 1.08% increase over the past 24 hours.
Weekly Outlook:
Bitcoin has recently reached a new all-time high of $111,970, driven by significant institutional investments and favorable regulatory developments. Notably, Michael Saylor's company, Strategy, has acquired over 4,000 additional bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to 580,250 BTC, approximately 2.7% of the total supply. Investor's Business DailyFinancial News London+1Investor's Business Daily+1
Technical Analysis:
Support Levels: Immediate support is observed around $107,000, with stronger support near $103,400.
Resistance Levels: Key resistance is identified at $110,000, with further resistance at $112,000.
Indicators: Technical indicators suggest a neutral to bullish outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching overbought territory, indicating potential for continued upward movement but also cautioning against possible pullbacks.
Short-Term Predictions:
Binance forecasts a potential increase to $110,449.67 by the end of this week. Binance
Changelly predicts a rise to $120,379.09 by May 28, 2025. changelly.com
Conclusion:
Bitcoin's current momentum is supported by institutional adoption and favorable regulatory developments. While short-term volatility is expected, the overall trend remains bullish. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels and stay informed about macroeconomic factors that could influence market sentiment.
BTC/USD 4h Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the upward trend channel, in which several upward waves can be marked, which may indicate the beginning of another wave of growth.
Here you can see how the current rebound has brought the movement closer to a strong resistance zone from $ 110,400 to $ 113,200, only breaking out of this zone on top can give the price an increase in the area of strong resistance at $ 121,000.
Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a support zone from $ 106,600 to $ 105,400, however, if this zone is broken, we can see a quick return of the price to the area of strong support at $ 102,000.
The RSI indicator shows how a support line was formed from which the indicator bounced many times, giving the price an increase, while the MACD indicator maintained the upward trend and created room for another upward movement when the price recovered.
BTCUSD Trade Setup – May 27, 2025 Currently watching BTC/USD as it approaches a key resistance liquidity zone near 111,200–111,376. Price has been consolidating below this level, showing signs of accumulation but no breakout yet.
📍 My Plan:
Sell Setup: I’m waiting for price to tap into the red zone and show signs of exhaustion.
Confirmation: I’ll look for:
Volume fading near the top.
Order flow shift (aggressive buyers trapped, sellers stepping in).
Divergence if available.
If confirmed, I’ll enter a short position aligned with intraday order flow.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 108,360 (mid-range support + previous VWAP level)
TP2: 106,000 (major demand zone / full take-profit)
❌ Invalidation:
If price breaks and holds above 111,376 with strong volume and bullish momentum, I will stay out and reassess.
🔁 This is a reaction-based setup, not a blind sell. I’m waiting for the sweep and real confirmation before executing.
📉 Let’s see how BTC reacts at the top.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #PriceAction #OrderFlow