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BTCUSD trade ideas

#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Yeah I won’t make stuff up this week either. Range is the same and we saw some expansion last week but barely. Targets for both sides remain the same and if you don’t like trading ranges, stop reading here. I have no idea where the next breakout will happen but a slightly bearish bias due to this market going sideways 12k points below ath while nasdaq is pumping. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90k - 110k bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again. Same stuff as last week. Invalidation is below 88k. bear case: Market is totally neutral. If bears start closing bars below 90k we can talk bear targets again. For now it’s nested triangles. Invalidation is above 110k. short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k. current swing trade: Nope chart update: Added the smaller triangle as well.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Bitcoin Price Prediction & Key Levels to Watch🚀 **Bitcoin Price Prediction & Key Levels to Watch** 🚀 **Current Support Zone**: - Critical: FWB:73K – $76K [weak support at GETTEX:89K – $94K] ⚠️ *Price consolidation here could fuel the next leg up!* **Current Cycle Target**: - **$112K – $125.5K** 🎯 *Aligns with cluster projections from historical swing extensions* . **Next Cycle Buy Zones**: 1️⃣ **$43K – GETTEX:59K ** (Near **200-Week MA**) 📉 *Historically, the 200WMA acts as a magnet during corrections* . 2️⃣ ** GETTEX:25K – $32K** (10%–30% below 200WMA) 🔥 *Aggressive accumulation zone if macro conditions shift* . **Why This Matters**: - Weak support at GETTEX:89K –$94K leaves room for volatility, but a clean break above $100K could ignite FOMO . - Long-term bullish targets (e.g., $122K+) align with Fibonacci extensions and cycle speed-up patterns . - Whale activity and on-chain metrics hint at resilience, but prepare for cooling phases en route to six figures . ⚡️ **Strategy**: Scale into weakness, watch the 200WMA, and capitalize on parabolic moves!** 🤝🏻 #Bitcoin #TradingView #Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis *(Ideas based on technical indicators & historical patterns. Always DYOR!)* 🔍
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by djobs
BTCUSD : Do not be a FOOLIt has been some time since I talk about BTC. Just now, I saw an expert talk about how it is rising further. It is said it is now in consolidation + shakeout before being predicted to go to 110k. My humble OPINION is that it will NOT move up much more. Previously, when I anticipated it to go to $108k, which it did, that is the LONG TERM 'D'. Long term meaning it takes a long time for consolidation before price can move up. We are talking about months, not days or weeks. What these 'expert' is trying to get you to do is to be greedy + FOMO and do the stupidest thing which is to BUY when price is HIGH!!! To BUY now when price is high is nothing short of STUPIDITY. To BUY when price is at the long term 'D' is also nothing short of STUPIDITY. Know that the opposite of CONSOLIDATION is known as DISTRIBUTION, hints of which is already appearing - if you know where to look. If we look at the chart, price is now hovering at the 'C' - NOT a good sign for the BULL. If we look at the chart, recent price STRUCTURE is NOT looking good for a price to move UP. However you look at it, do you see an A-B-C-D structure pointing UPWARDS? Know that based on the structure, SELL now with SL just above 'B'. Good luck.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by i_am_siew
Is It Possible to Predict Market Direction with Certainty?Someone asked me about predicting market movements with certainty. In response to a question about detecting large orders and forecasting market direction, let’s explore how markets truly operate and how to grow as a trader. The Nature of Market Movement Markets move through collective behavior, not individual orders. Even when sentiment indicators show a near 50:50 split between short/long positions, markets can still trend strongly in one direction. Why? Because market movement depends on: The aggressiveness of orders (market orders vs. limit orders) Timing of trade execution Position sizes and their distribution Psychological factors affecting mass behavior Example: Imagine BITSTAMP:BTCUSD with apparently balanced sentiment. Yet, if long positions are primarily passive limit orders while shorts are aggressive market orders with tight stops, the price could trend down sharply despite the "balanced" ratio. The Illusion of Certainty There is no way to predict market direction with certainty. The market comprises millions of participants with: Different analysis methods Various timeframes (scalpers to long-term investors) Diverse motivations (hedging, speculation, investment) Unique reactions to the same news Real-world Example: During major news events like FOMC meetings, you'll often see prices swing violently in both directions. Why? Because even with the same information, traders interpret and react differently based on their: Portfolio needs Risk tolerance Trading timeframe Overall market view Building Better Trading Habits Instead of seeking certainty, focus on developing good trading habits: 1. Risk Management First Use proper position sizing (never risk more than 1-2% per trade) Set stops based on technical levels, not arbitrary numbers Example: If trading support/resistance, place stops beyond the next significant level, not just at round numbers 2. Asymmetric Returns Aim for trades where potential profit exceeds potential loss Target 1:2 risk-reward at minimum Example: If risking $100, your minimum target should be $200 profit 3. Consistency in Strategy - Stick to your trading plan even when other strategies look attractive - Document all trades and review regularly - Example: Keep a trading journal with setup, entry, exit, and lessons learned 4. Building Good Habits Start each day with market analysis Review major news and potential impact Set clear entry/exit rules before trading Regular review of trading performance Example Schedule: - 8:00 AM: Market overview - 8:30 AM: Review potential setups - 9:00 AM: Check for news events - 4:00 PM: End-of-day review Common Pitfalls to Avoid 1. Strategy Hopping Switching strategies frequently based on recent performance Following multiple traders with different approaches Solution: Commit to one approach for at least 3 months 2. Overtrading Taking trades out of boredom or FOMO Solution: Set daily/weekly trade limits 3. Revenge Trading Trying to recover losses quickly Solution: Take a break after losses, review what went wrong Remember: The market doesn't care about what you want. It moves based on collective action, not individual desires. Focus on adapting to market conditions rather than trying to predict them. Your success in trading isn't determined by how much you know, but by how well you apply what you know through consistent, disciplined habits.
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by agatarigan
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for Bitcoin Market Overview: Trend: Bitcoin remains in a strong uptrend, but consolidation near local highs signals indecision. Key Levels: Resistance: ~$100,000 (psychological level) Support: ~$97,000 (weak), ~$92,500 (stronger) Indicators: MACD: Weak momentum, suggesting cooling off before the next move. RSI: At 47.4, neutral, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume: Declining, indicating uncertainty among buyers and sellers. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play) Why? BTC is trading inside a tight range, meaning opportunities for quick scalps. How? Buy near $97,000, targeting $99,000 - $100,000. Sell near $100,000, as strong resistance is expected. Stop-loss below $96,500, as a breakdown could push BTC lower. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Trend Resumes) Trigger: A breakout above $100,000 or breakdown below $97,000. Execution: If BTC breaks $100,000, scalp long targeting $103,000 - $105,000. If BTC drops below $97,000, scalp short targeting $94,500 - $92,500. 🩸 3. EMA Scalping Why? BTC is holding the 50 EMA, but if lost, it may accelerate a correction. Execution: Short near EMA 9 (~$99,000 - $100,000) if price fails to reclaim it. Go long only if BTC holds above $100,000 with strong volume. 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bias: Bullish → Neutral unless $97,000 breaks Why? BTC is consolidating near key highs, a typical sign of indecision. If $97,000 holds, expect a push toward $103,000+. Breaking below $97,000 could trigger a correction to $92,500. Low volume means a move could come suddenly—watch for breakout confirmation. 🔥 News & Market Context: ETF inflows remain strong, keeping bullish sentiment alive. Halving anticipation fuels long-term demand, but near-term profit-taking possible. Watch for macroeconomic news—high volatility expected. 🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out? 🩸 Short-term: Scalping within the range is viable but requires tight risk management. 🩸 Mid-term: Bullish as long as BTC holds $97,000+, bearish if it breaks lower. 🩸 Ideal Play: Long near $97,000, scalp shorts near $100,000. 👑 Final Verdict: BTC needs volume to break higher! Above $100K → new highs. Below GETTEX:97K → deeper pullback. Stay sharp! 🔥
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FinCaesar
BTC/USD Futures: High-Probability Setup with 2.8R PotentialBitcoin is presenting a compelling trading opportunity with a clearly defined risk-reward setup. The current market structure, supported by volume profile analysis and EMA alignments, suggests a high-probability long entry. Entry Strategy: Entry Price: $97,727.6 Take Profit: $98,838.1 Stop Loss: $97,300.3 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (favorable for position sizing) Technical Confluence: The entry point at $97,727.6 aligns with: Rising EMA support cluster Previous resistance turned support Positive MACD momentum crossover Strong volume node support zone Target Analysis: The $98,838.1 target is justified by: Clear price inefficiency above $98,400 POC Historical reaction zone Minimal volume resistance until this level 1.13% potential upside from entry Risk Management: Stop placement at $97,300.3 provides protection while: Sitting below key structural support Allowing sufficient room for normal market volatility Representing contained risk of 0.44% Volume Profile Context: Two major POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) act as stepping stones toward our target, potentially providing intraday support during the move up. #Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis Trade Management: Consider partial profit-taking at POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) while moving stop to breakeven after first target is reached. Note: This analysis represents a snapshot in time. Always conduct your own due diligence and adjust position sizing according to your risk management rules.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by FXCapitalClub