BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN Breakout From Ascending Channel bullish from demand ZoneBTCUSD Breakout Alert
Bitcoin has officially broken out of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal from the key demand zone at 106,100.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 110,000 – Major supply zone
2nd Target: 112,000 – Strong resistance level
🔒 Stop Loss: 103,000 – Below bullish order block for risk protection
This setup offers a clean R:R with strong confluence. Watch for continuation above 108K for confirmation.
📊 TA only – always manage your risk!
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#BTC #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #BitcoinAnalysis #LiviaTrades 😜
BTCUSD📉 The Setup: Bearish Divergence on BTCUSD (1H/15m/30m)
🔍 Observation:
On the 1 Hour chart, Bitcoin
🧠 Meaning: The Buying pressure is weakening, and a breakdown might be near!
Entry SL TP shared in chart
Traders Gurus always wrong at the crucial pointWhy are trading gurus often wrong at market tops or bottoms?
I recently received an email from the B*itcoin L… channel (where people like P.L. Brandt, Loukas, etc. are members), and it said the following:
The next installment of the 4-Year Cycle.
Exploring the powerful bullish case for Bitcoin, driven by a perfect storm of narratives: institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and cycle timing. From ETF inflows and corporate treasuries to a pro-crypto U.S. administration, potential interest rate cuts, and surging legitimacy post-halving — signs point to a possible super cycle unfolding.
But honestly, if you know how to read a BTC chart, where exactly do you see a “powerful bullish case for Bitcoin”? Tons of indicators suggest the opposite — even BTC Dominance (BTC.D) doesn’t confirm it.
Wasn’t the move from $16K to $110K already the bullish case?
Based on what I’m seeing in the charts, BTC is likely to cool off for a year, maybe even two. I expect it to come down to at least $50K–$65K before making any significant move upward again. We haven’t even had a proper flash crash yet, which is surprising given everything that’s been going on in the world over the past few months. Something fishy is going on.
BITCOIN NEXTKind of a Messy coorective Structure, this is What I can see right now with the movemments it has done
YIf you lower the time frame you should see the complete map also levels are Highlighted
It should go as follows
Buy from now @ 107.600 to 108.500
Sell from @ 108.500 to 105.000
buy from @ 105.000 to 111.000
Sell from @ 111.000 to 96.000
Buy from @ 96.000/ 94.000 to 120.000 and 130.000
GG
here is the #chart #btc $bitcoin
Cautiously bullish. Bitcoin is trading at $107,983.70, up 6% from last week but 3% below its all-time high of $111,891.30 (May 22, 2025). Technicals show a strong buy signal with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages supporting an upward trend. Posts on X suggest a weekly close above resistance ($108k) could push BTC to new highs ($112k-$120k). However, bearish divergence on weekly charts and tariff-related volatility introduce risks. Pro-crypto policies and Fed rate cut expectations bolster optimism, but a potential pullback to $100,400 support looms if momentum fades.
My Fav BTC Scenario Deep CrabThis is my favorite BTC htf scenario. Deep crab to 120kish with likely deviation above, potentially cycle ending.
If BTC rejects at that .786 then we have a butterfly to 115k
Bitcoin Setup for 109K and New Highs Could Be NextTrade Idea:
Direction: long
Entry: Now 107,350 - 106,800
Stop Loss: 102,000
Target 1: 109,000
Golden Zone: 112,000 - 113,000
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the last four days with no real price increase, but we’ve still managed to break above the short-term descending trend line. This could signal a continuation of the current swing up to the next resistance around 109K, which lines up with the daily trend line.
My bias here is that once we hit that 109K area, we could either see a pullback to around 104 to 106K before pushing higher, or we might break straight through, retest the trendline, and continue quickly to new highs above 112K.
I’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts around 109K, whether it rejects or breaks through. Either way the structure remains bullish, and if we get a rejection I'll be looking to re-enter.
Let's see how this plays out ✌️
BTCUSD Trade Setup - 28/Jun/2025Hi Traders,
I expect this pair to go Down after finishing the correction.
1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction.
2) The first reaction zone foe me will be at 95000 level followed by 89000 level.
3) Need to observe the characteristic of the move coming down in order to understand if market is planning to go up without coming to those levels.
Current expectation for investing is to see market dropping to 89000 level and then start to look for entry.
I only invest in BTC so no shorts for me but market shows potential to give a reversal soon and give a decent down move.
BTC Dominance and the “Double Top” Pattern🧠 BTC Dominance and the “Double Top” Pattern
1. What is a “Double Top” in BTC Dominance?
A Double Top is a bearish chart pattern formed by two peaks near the same resistance level. If the price (or dominance in this case) breaks below the neckline (middle support), it signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
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2. Is BTC Dominance forming a Double Top?
• Analysts suggest BTC dominance may be forming a double top, with two highs near the same level.
• However, it hasn’t confirmed yet. A breakdown below the neckline would confirm the reversal.
• If confirmed, this suggests that capital may start flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
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3. What Does It Mean?
• If the Double Top is confirmed (dominance drops) → Bitcoin loses market share → capital flows to altcoins → possible start of a new Altseason.
• If dominance holds or increases → Bitcoin remains the market’s safe haven → altcoins may remain weak.
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4. Current Context & Outlook
• BTC Dominance is now near 64%, a multi-year high, largely driven by institutional interest and Bitcoin ETFs.
• Historically, such highs are followed by rotations into altcoins, especially when traders seek higher returns.
• A confirmed drop in dominance might trigger runs in altcoins like ETH, SOL, or meme coins.
Playoff between down trend channel and up trend support in BTCThis is the situation Bitcoin finds itself in. On the one hand there is a strong downtrend channel which we keep getting thrown into, but on the other hand there is uptrend support that we also keep being bounced back into. We're currently in the confluence of both of these features, so shits about to get real.
Prediction for BitcoinThis is how I envision bitcoin moving based on current market events and the geopolitical situation.
BTC 120k is on about to come.- BTC retest 0.3 fib and 13 ema W with perfection.
- Stoch W is about to cross.
- MACD W is about to push upward.
- No war fud.
- Big players keep buying BTC.
- Rate cut still on the table, just a matter of time.
- Tariff soon will be settled.
Possible august 120k ?
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week’s trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated an upward trajectory and is positioned to achieve the specified targets of Mean Resistance 110300 and Key Resistance 111700. This progression may ultimately culminate in the realization of the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and beyond. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline from the current price to the Mean Support level of 104900 before a definitive upward rebound.
BTCUSD Set up Ready for LongBTCUSD is consolidating around 107,372 after a breakout. Two bullish scenarios are shown: a bounce from 106,408 or a deeper pullback to 104,766 before rallying. Key resistances lie at 110,342 and 111,830. Bullish bias holds as long as price stays above 104,059.
BTC Bento Box Analysis 6.28.25So far so good, I am back after 2 years of hibernation (been studying forex charts.) My analysis remains true to what BTC has done for the past 2 years. So much to learn in analyzing charts from crypto to forex to blue chips.
Again, we follow the tops and bottoms of the boxes. Minor and major boxes will suggest major and minor high and low reversals.
In a couple of weeks, i will study the charts and draw new Bento boxes for a year or two predictions as to where the most probable BTC ATH and ATL will take us to a new level.
Get ready to open buy/sell positions in the months to come.
Bitcoin uptrend breakBitcoin uptrend break probably monday since nasdaq etc is at ath bitcoin follows and tops out in september
BTC/USD: Breakout Watch - short setup BTC/USD 15-min: Watching for a potential long opportunity. Price is pressing against a key descending trendline, with recent internal 'bos' and 'ChoCh' indicating a shift in momentum.
Plan:
* Entry: Targeting a retest around 107,509 after a confirmed trendline breakout.
* Target: 108,971
* Stop Loss: 106,885
Risk management is key! What are your thoughts?
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 106,865.57.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 112,099.80 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSD Buy Market Entry 107450-350 SL:106400BTCUSD
BUY By Market
Entry: 107500-107350
Sl: 106400
Tp1: 110000
Tp2: 116000
1% risk
BTCUSD is ranging in narrow zone alighning broad equiti marketBTCUSD is ranging in narrow zone alighning broad equiti market
Bitcoin Structurally Momentum Bullish – On-Chain Confirmed.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 4H) – (June 27, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,840.15.
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⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (4H):
▦ EMA(9) – ($107,126.95):
∴ Current price is slightly below the EMA(9), indicating the beginning of intraday buyer fatigue;
∴ EMA(9) still curves upward, sustaining the recent bullish momentum, but showing signs of deceleration.
✴️ Conclusion: Short-term strength is weakening; potential micro-shift in sentiment underway.
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▦ EMA(21) – ($106,574.03):
∴ EMA(21) acts as immediate dynamic support, now closely tested;
∴ Still sloping upward, suggesting buyers are attempting to defend the structure.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical support remains intact - this is the battlefield line.
⊢
▦ EMA(50) – ($105,651.25):
∴ Mid-range structure confirms trend stability as price remains well above the EMA(50);
∴ EMA(50) direction remains mildly bullish, reinforcing medium-term control by buyers.
✴️ Conclusion: Medium trend unshaken; pullbacks remain controlled within bullish context.
⊢
▦ EMA(200) – ($104,890.51):
∴ Long-term baseline remains untouched, with price notably above;
∴ The slope of EMA(200) is stable and slightly positive.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural bullish foundation remains intact. No long-term threat detected.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud (9/26/52/26):
∴ Price remains above the Kumo cloud; Tenkan and Kijun are aligned in bullish formation, though beginning to flatten;
∴ Chikou Span remains free and clear above historical price — no conflict.
✴️ Conclusion: Structure is still bullish, but compression in the cloud signals potential pause in directional conviction.
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▦ Volume (BTC) + MA(21):
∴ Volume sits below its 21-period moving average, indicating waning buyer participation;
∴ No breakout or capitulation candle - sentiment is reserved.
✴️ Conclusion: Lack of conviction - volume confirms indecision and pause in impulse.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA9 – (RSI: 54.78 / EMA9: 59.70):
∴ RSI curves downward from the upper-neutral zone - momentum is retreating;
∴ RSI has crossed below its EMA(9), which typically signals fading bullish strength.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum has weakened - buyers are hesitating.
⊢
▦ Stoch RSI – (K: 9.72 / D: 10.22):
∴ Oscillator is deep in the oversold region, preparing a bullish cross;
∴ No confirmation of reversal yet - early signal.
✴️ Conclusion: Setup for potential rebound exists, but signal remains unconfirmed.
⊢
▦ MACD – (MACD: 725.17 / Signal: 883.72 / Histogram: –158.55):
∴ MACD histogram turns increasingly negative, suggesting decay in momentum;
∴ Though MACD line remains above signal, curvature favors a bearish crossover soon.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum fading; risk of technical crossover if weakness persists.
⊢
▦ OBV – (71.13M):
∴ OBV is flat and shows no divergence, suggesting balanced pressure;
∴ Movement remains parallel to EMA21, confirming neutrality.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume flow is not supporting a continuation; neutral.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴The structure remains bullish at the macro and medium levels;
∴ As evidenced by EMA alignment and Ichimoku posture. However, momentum signals are fading, and the current 4H candle lacks conviction;
∴ A breakout requires stronger volume and RSI reacceleration - until then, the tactical stance is suspended.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (CryptoQuant):
▦ 1. Exchange Netflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ Current readings show net outflows dominating, indicating coins moving out of exchanges - typically interpreted as holding behavior and bullish bias;
∴ No recent spike in inflows that would suggest imminent selling pressure or dump risk.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange behavior is structurally bullish - environment favors accumulation.
⊢
▦ 2. Exchange Stablecoins Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ The ratio remains low and stable, meaning high stablecoin reserves vs. Bitcoin on exchanges - suggesting potential buying power in standby;
∴ No spike in the ratio - no immediate conversion from stablecoins into Bitcoin.
✴️ Conclusion: Stablecoins on standby confirm latent demand - supportive for bullish continuity if triggered.
⊢
▦ 3. Funding Rates – (All Exchanges):
∴ Funding is positive but mild, indicating long interest, yet not overheated;
∴ No excessive leverage detected - absence of speculative imbalance.
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives market supports a healthy uptrend with no signs of crowd euphoria.
⊢
▦ 4. Estimated Leverage Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ Leverage ratio remains within neutral bounds, not expanding aggressively;
∴ Suggests market is currently not dominated by overleveraged positions.
✴️ Conclusion: The structure is stable - no systemic risk from forced liquidations.
⊢
▦ 5. Taker Buy/Sell Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ The ratio is slightly above 1.0 - meaning more aggressive buying than selling, but without dominance;
∴ Reinforces sentiment of cautious buying, not yet euphoric.
✴️ Conclusion: Taker flow confirms moderate bullish sentiment, no reversal pressure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain metrics align with structural bullishness;
∴ Netflows, leverage, and taker activity all support continuation;
∴ Importantly, stablecoin ratios signal dry powder remains available, meaning the market holds the potential energy for further upside - if volume and technical confirmation align.
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⧈ Codicillus Silentii Strategic Note:
∴ In the discipline of silence, one waits as price tests its dynamic zone. The wise act after structure, not inside uncertainty;
∴ The chain speaks in whispers. Smart liquidity waits. The structure is armed - but momentum requires ignition. Not fear, not hope - signal.
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𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish - (Tactically Suspended);
∴ The core architecture remains intact, but the absence of volume and declining oscillators justify a suspended stance for entry;
∴ On-chain and chart-based structures are aligned in bullish posture, but technical indicators remain in a suspended tactical phase. Awaiting breakout or deeper pullback for positioning.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Watch $106,574 (EMA21) and $105,651 (EMA50) for reactive buying;
∴ Below $104,890 (EMA200) - structure weakens;
∴ Upside breakout requires volume reclaim above $107,330;
∴ Resistance: $107,330 / $108,200.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
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