BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC Rebounds from Support, Eyes Resistance ZoneBitcoin Price Analysis – Potential Upside from Support Zone
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading in a range between strong support ($98,500–$99,000). After bouncing from support, price is currently testing the 50 EMA (~$94,821). A bullish scenario is expected with a possible move toward the resistance zone if price holds above support.
BTCUSD Weekly Update | Mongoose Capital✅ Price: $95,067
✅ Position Entry: $75,083 → +26.6% unrealized P&L
✅ Delta Volume: +13.98% → buy flow leading sell flow
✅ Indicators: RSI mid-50s, volume strong, oscillators neutral-to-bullish
Key Levels:
🔑 Support: $91,500 (prior breakout zone)
🔑 Resistance: $100,000 (psychological milestone)
⚠️ Liquidity void below: $77,000 → downside gap risk if failed
Institutional View:
“BTC continues to hold above structural resistance with steady buy flow. Momentum is constructive, not euphoric. Pullbacks into $91K likely attract demand. Trend intact while above prior range.”
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BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
BTC is following a Rising Channle BTC is following a rising channel in the Daily timeframe, as shown in this chart.
BTC is also following a Cup n Handle Pattern in the Weekly timeframe.
I believe that before taking a bullish rally, it will take a small pullback up to 82K or 75 K.
At this stage, we will have to keep a keen eye on BTC movement to find a better bottom to enjoy this rally.
Please comment if you have a different idea or agree with me.
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential bullish reversal pattern in Bitcoin's price (BTC/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. The pattern resembles an inverse head and shoulders, marked by the orange circles and the green horizontal support line.
Key elements:
Entry Point: Near the green arrow at support (around $93,677).
Stop Loss: Just below the support zone (red area).
Take Profit: Near the previous resistance (top green zone, around $95,644).
Risk/Reward: Favorable, as the potential reward is significantly higher than the risk.
The chart suggests a buy trade setup assuming the support holds and price follows the projected blue path upward.
Would you like help analyzing whether this pattern is reliable based on current market data?
btc . may . w1 . waiting for lower pricesThe squeeze of shorts saw MayOpen pump through the resistance zones finally.
Friday 2pm, gave us the ladder entry to SHORT an SFP just before the weekend.
short . entry . 97368 . tp1 taken . ride the trend
Monday showed no volatility, no trades taken.
Too low to SHORT, too soon to LONG. I'd rather:
SHORT higher - add to position size.
cmVAL . pw0.5 . pwVwap
entry . 95347
tp1 . 90216 . +5.3%
tp2 . 88600 ish . +7%
LONG intraday
cwLow around 2pm and ride this for an intraday LONG into entry SHORT
entry . 93454
tp1 . 95347 . +2%
BTC bullmarket is over. Friday was the last high for a while.In my previous idea I was talking about the end of the bull market, that BTC won´t go for new ATHs. I am still sharing this opinion as long as BTC won´t claim the pmPOC above, as long as it doesn´t build value above.
All we have seen was a "look above and fail" which indicates weakness. This could result in a huge FTR (failure to rotate), bring the price back down to the origin of the move, 74k ish and potentially lower.
I was describing how such a short could get confirmed for example with:
".. if the pmPOC (previous month point of control) will be approached on high volume but claimed on lower volume, we will likely see a FTR.
I have marked the approach of the pmPOC with the yellow arow in the volume delta chart at the bottom. We had damn high volume and started closing above on lower volume (likely no acceptance). So I already started taking shorts at 96800 ish.
Bulls need to do something and claim the pmPOC asap + build value above.
If not, then my bearish targets will be in focus.
For now, I am convinced that it is setting up for a huge dip to 72k.
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE BUYYYDisrupted (Bearish) Analysis:
Current Setup:
The chart shows Bitcoin ( AMEX:BTC ) bouncing from a support zone around $94,000.
The analysis suggests a bullish reversal toward the resistance around $97,500.
Bearish Counterpoints:
Lower High Structure: Recent price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting continued downtrend pressure.
Volume Weakness: The volume during the bounce from support is declining, indicating weak buying interest and potential for a fakeout.
Rejection Risk at Mid-Level Supply: The price is near a local supply zone (~$94,800–$95,000) that could act as resistance again.
Macro Context: If macroeconomic data or Fed policy is hawkish this week, it could lead to risk-off sentiment, affecting BTC negatively.
Bearish Scenario:
BTC fails to hold the $94,000 support zone.
Breakdown leads to a retest of $93,000–$92,500, the next significant demand zone.
If panic sets in or liquidity is swept under $94K, we could see a move toward $90,000.
Visual Disruption Suggestion:
Replace the upward blue arrow with a downward red arrow.
Mark a new support target near $92,500.
Indicate a potential fakeout just above the current resistance zone
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal
Entry BTCUSD (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025
⏰ Time: 12:00 PM
📍 Session: London to New York Overlap (AM)
Pair: BTC/USD
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 93,883.46
Take Profit: 94,533.51 (+0.69%)
Stop Loss: 93,858.02 (−0.03%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 25.55
🔹 Trade Context:
Entered during the London–New York overlap, a peak liquidity window where breakout and continuation setups often occur.
BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis from May 05, 2025Based on my analysis, BTCUSD is likely to experience a bearish trend over the next four trading days. A sell signal has been confirmed, with a stop-loss set at 97,939. Key support levels to watch are 83,974 and 80,491 — the latter becoming relevant only if the price breaks and closes below 83,974.
Please note: this is a personal market outlook and not a trading recommendation. Traders should rely on real-time technical analysis and implement appropriate risk management practices before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD – Discount Zone Play | Long Setup Loading📉 BTCUSD – 15-Minute SMC Breakdown | May 3, 2025
Bitcoin is cooking up something spicy inside this discount zone. All the ingredients are there for a bullish reversal — we just need the final confirmation to execute the long.
🧠 SMC Breakdown:
POI Identified: Price has broken into a key OB discount zone (61.8%–79%), tapping 70.5% and chilling near the 79% fib retracement.
Weak High: Noted above at ~96,950 – a liquidity target ready to get swept.
Price Structure: Series of lower highs and lows forming bearish structure, but no momentum break yet. We're in accumulation range.
🎯 Entry Criteria (Potential):
Wait for CHoCH (Change of Character) on lower timeframes (e.g., 1min or 5min) to confirm reversal intent.
Ideal entry = bullish engulfing or BOS from within the 70–79% zone
SL = below 95,900 (clear invalidation level)
TP = Weak High → 96,950+
RR Potential = ~1:5+
📌 Why This Matters:
Price is deep in premium vs. discount logic.
Smart Money loves entries in the 70–79% retracement zones — it’s the sniper's nest.
That Weak High = unfinished business. Expecting bullish expansion if this zone holds.
📊 Pro Tips:
Wait for confirmation, don’t blindly buy in the zone.
Look for signs of absorption or bullish reaction candles.
Always map invalidation level BEFORE entering.
🔥 Final Note:
This is the “load-the-clip” zone for Smart Money. No hype, just structure. If BTC reacts here, we could see a clean 1:5 RR into that Weak High.
💬 What do YOU think happens next?
💾 Save this setup – it’s textbook.
🔁 Share this with your trading squad & don’t miss the next wave.
BTCUSD BUY SETUP The $94,340 BTCUSD buy zone is likely due to several factors influencing market sentiment and trading decisions. Here are some possible reasons:
- *Support Level*: $94,340 might be acting as a support level, where Bitcoin's price finds buying interest or bounces back. This level is close to the current price, and traders might be looking to buy the dip.