BTC target months ago has been on point, "NEW" TargetsSo far our CRYPTOCAP:BTC 109 - 111k target has been MONEY!
Bitcoin hasn't been able to close above it all!!!
Showing Negative divergence on RSI & $ Flow on WEEKLY charts.
"New" CRYPTOCAP:BTC prediction?
Will stand by what we said previously. IMO there's good possibility we could see BTC going to the 170k area, extreme = 226K.
Monthly RSI doesn't peak until it hits 90's BUT there's Negative Divergence forming.
$ FLOW slowly diverging as well.
VOLUME DYING on SPOT. Not so bad on Futures.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD: weekly overview for trading!Hello Traders, I'm mostly an investor for this instrument.
for this week we are struggling hard in middle of a long-term channel and also the effect of halving cycles could move the instrument more and more down.
But I'm waiting for good news form USD weakness. I'm still more bullish for Bitcoin.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Full Cycle BTC Trendline Mid-2023 to Bull 2025Trendline stretching from mid-2023 lows through the entire bull structure into 2025.
Unbroken since inception
Touched 3+ times
Currently being retested from above
BTC is retesting the primary uptrend
Price dipped below it in April → false breakdown
May-June recovery has reclaimed it
Now sitting right at the trendline, testing it as resistance-turned-support
This is the ultimate decision zone
A daily or weekly close above $110K confirms the trend resumed
Rejection here → opens the door for retrace to $98K–$100K
BTC INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 103850Trend Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 103,330 (primary pivot), followed by 100,680 and 97,700
Resistance: 113,040 (initial), then 115,510 and 117,510
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 103,850 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 112,360, 113,740, and ultimately 116,400.
Conversely, a daily close below 103,850 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 102,340 and 100,890 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
BTC/USD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 103,850 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 112,360 area. A breakdown below 103,850, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC'S ALL TIME HIGH IS CLOSENice move. Yesterday had a massive daily candle, moving from ~105K to ~110K. The volume was less than impressive, which should always give us a bit of pause, but still a nice upside pop through a key level of resistance.
The all time high is in site - we need to see it break on volume convincingly.
**Beginning of the Bear!**Fool me once... Fool me twice, shame on me. This looks like a good point of entry, but with the head and shoulders pattern completed as predicted, along with the following correction also anticipated, it is very likely that we are at the start of a bear market.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) is clearly evident in the market as leveraged traders predict high numbers, and key Bitcoin institutions are purchasing more. These companies have low average buy prices and can access additional liquidity. Retail buyers, on the other hand, find themselves trapped at high price points where they either have to sell at a loss or hold on (HODL).
It's essential to keep your liquidity safe, as Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to correct. With the average production cost of a BTC around $30,000, miner pressure and profit-taking in preparation for the next halving will come into play. Remember, miners need to sell to buy new rigs, and they create downward pressure on the market, especially when demand is low. Institutions will likely not continue buying in a bear market; instead, they may short BTC and related stocks.
Support is currently strong at $103,000, with the next levels at $101,000 and $97,000. If these support levels break, we could fall below the 200 MA (Moving Average) and enter a bear market, which would create additional selling pressure and could push the price down to approximately $40,000.
BTC Rejected Hard from Supply Zone – Major Downside Levels AheadBitcoin has just shown a clear rejection from the high-volume supply zone at ~$109,200, marked by strong sell pressure and a visible drop in momentum. 📊
💡 Key Observations:
Supply Zone: $108,900–$109,400 (Price stalled and reversed from this area)
Support Levels to Watch:
🔵 $105,416 – Mid-range level, possible short-term support
🔵 $101,481 – Major demand zone from previous consolidation
Demand Zone Highlight: Around $101,000–$100,000 – high probability bounce area with historical buying interest
📉 Bias: Bearish short-term unless price reclaims $109,500 with volume.
🚨 Trade Idea (Not financial advice):
Sell below $108,800
TP1: $105,400
TP2: $101,500
SL: Above $109,500
🔄 Volume dropping, sellers in control, and a clean range is forming. Watch for a break below $105k for confirmation of the downside move.
⚡️Note the lightning icon at the bottom – this could signal a potential high-impact move or liquidity sweep coming soon.
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📍 Chart: BTC/USD 15M | Supply & Demand Zones 🔧 Tools: LuxAlgo S&D, Volume Profile
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #BTCAnalysis #BTCUSD #DayTrading #CryptoTA #TechnicalAnalysis #Scalping #Bearish #ShortBTC
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (MMC) – Resistance or Target Zone🔍 Overview
Bitcoin has executed a strong bullish recovery over the past few sessions, breaking out of a well-structured bullish channel and testing a significant resistance zone. The move exhibits traits often identified in MMC strategies, including liquidity grabs, engineered price action, and trap-based breakouts.
This chart analysis combines curve support structures, channel dynamics, and resistance reactions—all crucial components of technical strategy layered with smart money behavioral cues from MMC.
🔹 Price Action Breakdown
📈 1. Blue Ray – Liquidity Shift Signal
The bullish impulse was initiated from what is labeled the "Blue Ray" zone—a deep liquidity pocket often used by smart money to trap sellers.
This area marks a liquidity sweep after a steep selloff, creating the perfect environment for institutional buy orders to fill before driving price upward.
📉 2. Channel Formation & Breakout
A clean ascending bullish channel formed during the rally, showing a methodical stair-step price climb.
This consolidation phase provided multiple reentry opportunities before a sharp breakout, which signals a transition from accumulation to expansion, often seen in MMC mapping.
🧭 3. Curve Support – Parabolic Price Action
Price hugged a curve support line, often interpreted as a parabolic base.
This curve reflects increasing momentum—buyers are stepping in earlier at each dip, creating higher lows in a tightening arc.
This structure is also commonly seen in smart money accumulation zones as price is pushed upward while retail sentiment lags.
🚧 4. Resistance Zone – High Interest Reversal Region
BTCUSD is now inside a key resistance zone (~$109,800–$111,500), which has acted as both supply and previous swing highs.
MMC traders often identify these zones as trap areas, where price gets aggressively pushed up to fill institutional short orders.
This zone contains high sell-side liquidity, meaning there's a strong chance for a reversal or false breakout.
🔄 5. Projected Reversal Zone
A potential correction could bring price down to the next reversal zone (around $106,500–$107,500).
This zone is supported by:
The curve structure, which is still active.
Previous minor resistance turned support.
Institutional demand likely waiting to reload long positions.
📉 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation
If BTC can break and sustain above $111,500, especially with strong volume, it will likely push into new local highs.
In this case, curve support may be used for re-entry on pullbacks.
❌ Bearish Reversal Setup
A rejection from this resistance zone—especially with a long-wick candle, engulfing pattern, or divergence—could confirm a short-term top.
MMC-style reversals often occur quickly and aggressively, trapping late buyers.
⚙️ Trade Management Insights
Trade Setup Entry Area Target Stop-Loss Notes
Aggressive Short ~$110,800 ~$107,500 ~$111,800 Only on strong rejection pattern
Conservative Long ~$107,000 Retest $110,000+ Below $105,500 Only if curve support holds clean
Breakout Buy Above $111,800 Open upside Below $110,000 Wait for breakout + retest
🧠 MMC Observations
Price Engineering: The market moved through clean zones quickly—classic MMC manipulation to clear liquidity.
Trap Zones: The resistance zone may act as a bull trap where late retail buyers are absorbed.
Smart Money Flow: Institutional traders may now shift to distribution mode unless curve support holds firmly.
💬 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is at a key decision point. Traders should remain flexible but vigilant. The presence of curve support combined with aggressive upward momentum suggests bullish strength, but the resistance zone and prior liquidity behavior warn of potential trap activity.
Monitor the reaction closely in the next 1–2 candles. A failed breakout could trigger a swift 2–3K retracement.
📌 Tip: Combine this analysis with on-chain volume or open interest data for better conviction.
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 9 June 2025
- Bitcoin broke daily down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance level 110,000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from May (which encloses the previous ABC correction 2 from the end of May).
The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 110000.00 (which reversed the price in January and May) – the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 115000.00.
BTC Macro Neckline Retest and Wyckoff Re-Accumulation "Spring"Bitcoin has been consolidating above the break-out of a massive reverse head and shoulder pattern for numerous weeks as seen on the weekly chart, it is a healthy and normal move for the price to retrace and retest the neckline and find support, coupled with the fair value gaps, Stochastic RSI reset in oversold and a Wyckoff re-accumulation Pattern playing out very nicely on the daily suggests from a technical perspective that BTC is likely to bounce and continue to rally from here - aka the "Spring", this is also an opportunity created by the market makers to shakeout loose hands and for SmartMoney and whales to buy in at heavily marked down prices before the market starts to rally. Of course, there is always a risk to the downside in the short term so manage it wisely, I'm personally a macro trader so longterm bets are bullish, a retracement such as this could be a wonderful opportunity to get some heavily discounted BTC as well as some blue chips! Happy Trading!
BTC (Y25.P2.E7). Bullish or Bearish setupHi traders,
Since we broke above the macro VAH, which could act like support, I'm expecting new highs, However If the 4 hour candle closes below the Anchored vWAP, then we look for Wave B in this recent move.
Difficult to call.
ABC to the upside and then a deeper correction like other ATH, with 12 to 14%.
I'm leaning to bullish and price to range sideways before making another bullish move to the upside.
We have 2 scenarios for sideways, mild or deep and broad.
Examples given below with the fractal of previous ATHs
Please give me a like and share,
Regards, S.SAri
BTC (Y25.P2.E4). Potential bullish fractal to take placeHi traders,
Price is bullish and its likely we will see more ATH to come.
Here, with a peak, followed by a troph, we found support like the macro Y21 BTC price action. Hence finding that support level makes sense to long.. To early to find a long but it could come soon.
Alternatively, we see a AB=CD move to 105k level, but this is looking less likely
The ABC target, is 1 to 1, which aligns to take the liquidity above this ATH level.
Or Its a wave 2 level and hence a bigger move of wave 3.
All the best,
S.SAri
BTCUSDHello trader, this week the bitcoin possible price action.. the price is currently filled the 1hr fvg and it could go bullish but still have high risk since day candle is bearish... the next price it can reverse from is around 88k after filling daily fvg... and if dollar get stronger then price can continue to 74k... weekly candle is still bullish though however anything can happen if bullish liquidity drops.. chart is just based on Fvg and the MACD
good luck