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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin downside all but confirmed, sub 100k next- follow up analysis on this one: - with the original analysis posted in late May, more than a month later and Bitcoin is still struggling near ATH levels - with weekly bearish divergence now confirmed, odds of a downside move are very high - Iran v Israel conflict acting as a strong headwind for all markets, should the USA get involved I expect that effect to increase tenfold Needs to be said that a pullback to 90 or even the mid 80k region would still constitute a higher low on the very large time-frames. Structurally wise, as long as BTC is above 75k, the macro trend is still one of a bull nature.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Mansasuma
Short-Term BTC Short Setup Bitcoin is currently showing signs of completing a corrective wave (4) in a potential Elliott Wave structure. The current rising wedge (ABCDE) pattern suggests a likely short-term breakdown toward the $101,000–$100,000 support zone. This short position aligns with the ongoing short-term bearish momentum (wave 5 expected), but within a broader bullish trend. Long-term outlook remains positive, with the potential for a strong continuation upward once the correction is complete. ;D
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by tomivaci
BTC Consolidates 104000-105000: Bearish Breakdown Looming?BTC Technical Update: Bitcoin has been consolidating within the 104000-105000 range for an extended period, with the overall trend showing a downward bias. With the overall trend tilting bearish, traders should watch for a break below 103500 to confirm the next leg down. 📉 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@ 105000 - 104500 🚀 TP 102500 - 101500 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sovereign_1
BTC MAY SELL TO $95K ZONE In my last BTC idea, I simply mentioned that I would remain bearish on BTC until I see a closure above the most recent high of $112,000. Right now after BTC failed to close above the previous high, we have been seeing some bearish movement and now the king of crypto is trading the uptrend line. We also saw a pullback toward the trendline but the price of the asset could still not break and close above the trendline thereby giving some warning to BTC Bulls and retail traders trading with emotions rather than paying attention to price action. For me, I believe that for as long as price continues to trade below the trendline, we are more likely to see some attempts for price to violate already mitigated FVG and see price at the $98,000 to $101,000 zone in the first instance and if we see a close below the FVG, then we might see $95,000 sitting in the daily Order Flow zone. Pay attention to price action and trade with less emotions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Olajireolapoju
1
BTC short " @Maverick Notify For short I will start entering at 106280 with 35-50% of size and keep adding until 107200 with stops above 107700, Sl: 108050....weekly liq map has hot spot just at all higher lows around 50EMA 1d, keep in mind // 2 week map still most of liq to the downside but I would also take note we have a big cluster just above 112k // 1 month liq map is showing that a lot of liq is above so keep in mind we could run the highs and stop any shorts we take. "
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by trading_mav3rick
Trade Signal | Bitcoin (BTC) completed a setup for the next pumpHi dear members , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Bitcoin (BTC) Recently we caught a nice trade of Bitcoin as below: Now on a daily time frame, BTC has almost completed a bullish Butterfly move for the next pump. Buy between: $102600 to $100426 Sell between: $105651 to $108877 Stop loss: Below $100426 Possible profit ratio: As per above targets there is a profit possibility of upt 8% and a loss possibility is upto 2.50%. Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moon333
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday, U.S. markets are closed, leading to light trading activity and relatively limited overall market volatility. From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour K-line chart currently shows prices trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting a classic range-bound consolidation pattern. Bulls and bears are locked in a tug-of-war between key support and resistance levels, with K-line formations alternating between bullish and bearish patterns. In terms of chart structure, the lower support zone has demonstrated strong buying conviction, while the upper resistance level has exerted clear restrictive force. Multiple failed upward breakouts have formed a short-term top. This box consolidation—characterized by resistance above and support below—is expected to sustain sideways trading through Friday. Against the backdrop of no major positive catalysts, bearish momentum may gradually dominate if no substantial bullish triggers emerge. Maintain a trading strategy of selling into strength. BTCUSD 105000-105500 tp:104000-103000 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EvanField
BTC 1-hour .. Short Trade ActiveThought I'd post something. I have been doing a lot close door trading. Here's an inside peek. Maybe the trade works? Confidence shorting #1 .. In a downtrend #2 .. Momentum is still bearish #3 .. Following Elliot Wave Leg #5 #4 .. Clear goals that are possible Concerns #1 .. Must Drop past recent LL #2 .. Has all the right and power to Reverse #3 .. Powell is speaking soon (this is nervousness) I also wanted to see if "the feature of the Order" will show up in the Published Chart. What I mean is My Chart is showing the Trade.. and if I publish it.. will it show also?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Quartz-
Timing the Shift; BTC Daily High in?Based on timing statistics and current price action, I’m anticipating a potential daily high forming here. I’m watching for a wick to develop on the 4H chart while maintaining a close within the imbalance. This setup would allow time for short positions to build, setting the stage for a market shift and potential move down into the liquidity resting below. Execution will depend on how price behaves around this timing window. I would like to see intent on the lower timeframe when creating the shift in structure upon which well enter.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by tristanmartinusdijkmanderojas1
1
Bitcoin Strategic Interval – Latency & Asymmetric Bias.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1D) – (June 20, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $106,025.88. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D): ▦ EMA21 – ($105,772.44): ∴ The price remains fractionally above EMA21, retaking the short-term reactive axis; ∴ Despite prior rejection, current candle shows renewed traction with a solid close above; ∴ The slope is flat–rising, signaling the potential reactivation of local trend continuation. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 is tentatively reclaimed – a short-term bullish signal under close scrutiny. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($95,921.92): ∴ Long-term structure preserved: price maintains a wide buffer over SMA200; ∴ The moving average exhibits a healthy upward slope, uninterrupted since Q4 2023; ∴ No technical threat detected to the macro-trend structure. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 acts as the primary institutional defense line. No stress present. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (105,899 | 105,738 | 102,433 | 105,576 | 106,025): ∴ Price is nestled precisely within the flat upper cloud band – a known zone of consolidation; ∴ Span A and B are beginning to flatten, suggesting temporary exhaustion of momentum; ∴ Chikou remains above price – confirming trend integrity. ✴️ Conclusion: Ichimoku signals a pause, not a break – directional clarity pending. ⊢ ▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (Histogram: -364.87 | MACD: 257.20 | Signal: 622.06): ∴ Bearish histogram remains negative, but shrinking for three sessions; ∴ MACD line curling upward with initial convergence to Signal line; ∴ Reversal signal forming but not yet triggered. ✴️ Conclusion: Early signs of MACD cross; confirmation requires follow-through. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (53.17 | Avg: 51.74): ∴ RSI reclaims neutral-positive zone, stabilizing above 50; ∴ Structure shows divergence fading, with momentum recovering slowly; ∴ Still far from exhaustion thresholds. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI favors the bulls with cautious optimism. ⊢ ▦ Volume (Last 5 Days): ∴ Volume remains muted, averaging 110–120k Bitcoin/day; ∴ No aggressive buy or sell pressure confirmed; ∴ Current move lacks conviction – suggests passive spot activity. ✴️ Conclusion: Price is advancing without volume confirmation – fragility persists. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Structural trend remains intact and undisturbed on the macro scale; ∴ Short-term bullish reclaim of EMA21 within the cloud, but momentum and volume still lag; ∴ Absence of conviction demands validation from price action or macro catalyst. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ 🝰 Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7): ∴ Metric sits near historic lows (≈0.4 BTC), denoting multi-week suppression of inflows; ∴ Correlates directly with reduced sell-side pressure from whales and institutions; ∴ Price structure remains unchallenged by inflow spikes – consistent with strategic holding. ✴️ Conclusion: Absence of fear or distribution among large holders – bullish backdrop intact. ⊢ ▦ 🜍 Estimated Leverage Ratio – (Current: 0.259): ∴ Leverage steadily increasing, now entering historical danger zone; ∴ Elevated risk of cascade liquidations on any sharp downside move; ∴ Suggests the current rally is not organically fueled by spot demand. ✴️ Conclusion: Price structure is leveraged, not grounded – risk of synthetic instability. ⊢ ▦ 🝗 Exchange Reserves - (Binance) – (≈544.5K BTC): ∴ Continuous net outflows – multi-month drain confirmed; ∴ Reflects silent accumulation or self-custody migration; ∴ No exchange-driven supply pressure visible. ✴️ Conclusion: Structural supply depleting – passive bullish signal. ⊢ ▦ ⚒ Miners’ Position Index - (MPI) – (-1.1): ∴ Readings below 0 indicate minimal miner distribution; ∴ Suggests miners are confident, or at least not forced to sell at current levels; ∴ Historically coincides with market support zones. ✴️ Conclusion: Miner behavior aligned with trend preservation – not resistance. ⊢ ▦ 🜚 Funding Rate - (All Exchanges) – (+0.003): ∴ Rates mildly positive, indicating slight dominance of long positioning; ∴ No excessive funding imbalance – healthy sentiment baseline; ∴ Reflects controlled bullish bias with no speculative overheating. ✴️ Conclusion: Longs exist, but not in a way that endangers trend integrity. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ On-chain metrics echo the technical chart: structurally sound, short-term vulnerable; ∴ Long-term holders remain disengaged from distribution behavior; ∴ The system is healthy, but carries hidden leverage that may trigger volatility. ⊢ ⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus: ▦ 🇺🇸 United States – Federal Axis & Risk Channels: ∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal; ∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand; ∴ Fed has signaled no rate cuts before September – QT policy remains; ∴ Speculative expectations for only 1–2 cuts in 2025; ∴ Trump administration signals potential military action in Iran, igniting geopolitical risk premium. ✴️ Conclusion: U.S. monetary regime is steady–tight; geopolitical volatility injects asymmetric risk into crypto valuations. ⊢ ▦ 🇨🇳 China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation: ∴ Industrial Production slows to +5.8% YoY – weakest in 6 months; ∴ Retail sales climb to +6.4% YoY due to stimulus programs ("618 event", consumption vouchers); ∴ PPI remains deflationary (-3.3% YoY), compressing industrial margins; ∴ Fiscal revenue down -0.3% YTD – signals internal fragility despite easing efforts. ✴️ Conclusion: China is applying targeted stimulus, but lacks decisive global impact – neutral crypto flow effect. ⊢ ▦ 🇪🇺 European Union – Disinflation & Rate Reversal: ∴ HICP inflation falls to 1.9% – below ECB’s 2.0% target; ∴ ECB cuts deposit rate by 25bps – now 2.00%; ∴ PMI Composite remains below 50 – economic contraction underway; ∴ ECB forward guidance signals data-dependence and hesitation for further cuts. ✴️ Conclusion: Europe is easing rates amidst stagnation – weak driver for global risk flows. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle: ∴ U.S. tight policy + Iran tension = dual pressure point on risk assets; ∴ China’s mild stimulus is not yet globally inflationary – no volatility trigger; ∴ EU drifts silently – supportive, but irrelevant to Bitcoin in current configuration; ∴ Global system is stable in appearance, but tactically charged beneath – setup aligns with Bitcoin volatility potential. ⊢ IV. ♝ Market Sentiment - Media & Institutional Lens: ▦ The Block – Corporate Stockpiling Thesis: ∴ Ongoing accumulation of Bitcoin by public and private entities continues across Q2; ∴ Institutional wallets showing strategic DCA behavior – interpreted as positioning for either macro easing or geopolitical hedge; ∴ Unlike past cycles, no major corporate selloffs have been detected. ✴️ Conclusion: Institutional base remains in passive accumulation – potential catalyst insulation. ⊢ ▦ CoinDesk – Sentiment Report – BTC at $92K Risk Threshold: ∴ Despite price climbing above $106K, analysts caution of technical rejection scenarios; ∴ Zones near $92K identified as high-liquidity, high-reaction clusters; ∴ Chart analysis frames current movement as vulnerable if macro catalysts turn hawkish. ✴️ Conclusion: Sentiment remains cautiously bullish but alert to correction windows. ⊢ ▦ InfoMoney – U.S. Military Risk – Iran Strike Potential: ∴ Reported internal briefing of U.S. military planning toward Iranian targets; ∴ Trump’s media team leveraging geopolitical strength posture to influence sentiment; ∴ Markets (Dow Futures) showing pre-market decline on the headline. ✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin holds narrative premium under geopolitical fear – but risk surge remains volatile. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Media Oracle: ∴ The crypto narrative is suspended between structural trust (institutional accumulation) and external fear (macro-political instability); ∴ Bitcoin presently benefits from asymmetric narrative positioning — but lacks transactional confirmation; ∴ Media flows suggest that sentiment will pivot swiftly if Powell’s tone confirms further hawkish stance or if Iran tension escalates. ⊢ ⊢ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! ⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The 1D reclaim of EMA21 inside the Ichimoku flat cloud reflects a market in suspended potential, where trend continuation and failure share equal weight; ∴ On-chain dynamics remain structurally undisturbed, yet veiled in a fragile layer of leveraged positioning; ∴ Exchange reserves continue their descent, detaching the market from traditional sell-side threat, but increasing reliance on thin liquidity zones; ∴ Macro vectors (Fed policy + Middle East tension) hover as dual shadows, capable of igniting volatility without prelude; ∴ Institutional accumulation remains active, but no longer decisive - the market awaits external ignition, not internal strength; ∴ Sentiment is asymmetrically bullish, yet explicitly unconfirmed in transactional volume and price aggression; ∴ The system is quiet - not because it is resolved, but because it is observing itself. This is a moment of ritual latency. ⊢ ⌘ Market Status – Tactical Mode: ✴️ Strategic Position: “Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended”; ✴️ Primary Mode: “Observation Priority”; ✴️ Tactical Stance:  ∴ No active positioning expansion without confirmation beyond Ichimoku flat zone;  ∴ Watch for MACD confirmation and volume acceleration;  ∴ Monitor geopolitical escalation and Powell’s tone – both capable of shifting structural balance. ✴️ Directional Bias: Neutral–Bullish, contingent upon validation; ✴️ Key Zone of Collapse Risk: $92,000; ✴️ Ascent Gate: $110,800 + (confirmation threshold). ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTC SHORT TP:102,200 18-06-2025Let’s keep it simple: this pump looks fake. I’m entering SHORT between 104,550 and 105,500, aiming for a target between 101,300 and 102,300. Average RR: 3.4 — solid and clean. ⏱️ Timeframe: 2H ⏳ Estimated duration: 12 to 24 hours ⚠️ Context: Bearish continuation — let’s ride the wave, not the noise. Use your stop-loss based on your risk strategy. If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the setup is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
Market Shockwaves: DXY Surges, Gold Slips & Bitcoin Tests $100K This week delivered powerful market moves as the U.S. Dollar roared higher, gold struggled under macro pressure, and Bitcoin teetered on the $100K edge. In this must-watch market recap, we break down the key economic events, geopolitical tensions, and technical signals that drove DXY, XAUUSD, and BTCUSD — and more importantly, what it all means for the week ahead. 🔍 In this video, we cover: ✅ Why the dollar is rebounding and what’s fueling its strength ✅ The real reason gold is under pressure despite global risk ✅ Bitcoin’s next move: breakdown or bounce? ✅ Key levels and events to watch as we close out this week ✅ What traders and investors should prepare for next week Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or just watching the macro landscape — this recap gives you the edge. 👉 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for weekly insights! #DXY #Gold #Bitcoin #MarketRecap #TradingInsights #MacroTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DeanMuller