BTCUSD Analysis | Bearish Setup Unfolding?Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce from the $98,600 support zone, but the bigger picture still hints at potential downside.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Descending Channel remains intact – structure suggests bearish continuation.
Price bounced from $98,626 support, but is struggling below key resistance at $108,622.
A possible lower high formation near $106K–$107K could trigger the next drop.
Bearish projection remains valid if price fails to break above the descending trendline.
🟢 Upside Scenario: If bulls manage to break above $109K resistance, we could see a bullish reversal.
🔴 Downside Target: If the bearish setup confirms, we may revisit the $98,000–$99,000 support area once again.
📌 Plan Accordingly:
Wait for price action confirmation near resistance. Patience pays in volatile zones like this!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUpdate #CryptoTrader #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD – Critical Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,500, pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge on the 1H and 4H charts. The structure remains fragile, with weakening momentum and conflicting signals between short and mid-term indicators.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
The current move likely completes wave (b) of an ABC correction.
Price has reached ~0.735 retracement at $108,358.
Breakdown of wedge support (~$104,600) could activate wave (c) toward $101K–$98K, or even the 1.618 extension to $86,000 (seen on daily).
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Alternate:
If BTC breaks and closes above $108,500, with volume, we may have invalidation of wave (b).
This opens the door for a wave (5) extension toward $113,000.
🔍 Key Indicators:
RSI on 1H is weakening, under 50.
OBV is flat – no accumulation spike.
QQE shows Buy signals but lacks follow-through.
Volume remains unconvincing for continuation.
🎯 Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. A clean breakout and retest above $108.5K flips the structure bullish. Until then, wedge breakdown is the higher-probability play. Watch the $104.6K zone closely for direction confirmation.
Btc top is near. The chart you don't want to see. Based on all the available data and previous pattern, I can conclude that another bullflag is forming. Top in 2-3 weeks. Wick towards 112-115k is the top.
I also believe we ll form another bull flag in few months.
Cycle cannot be over with btc dominance sky high.
Market makers are extracting maximum liquidity and btc from retails.
They scream cycle over at the end of bull flag to make retail sell everything. Then pump it again.
Just my opinion.
NFA#
BTC is sliding to around 73k as a minimum target to 43kIt's just starting a downtrend inside a big Correction
Major Res. @ 114,000
Major Support @ 43,000
My decision is to go short @ spot price / Take profits @ 73,000 - 43,000 / Stoploss @ 114,000 - 116,000
This recommendation is to 3 - 6 months investors.
Bitcoin Top is In! Bear considerationsPrice has been carving out an unclear correction off the high. The recent structure has many squinting. Is it done or the calm before another wave of selling?
I am weighing two bearish scenarios here. One is more aggressive than the other. But both start with the same idea. No new high before another low.
Let’s start at the top.
The initial move down off the recent high could count as an impulse. Whether that is a wave 1 or a wave A is still up for judgment. Either way, that first leg sets a bearish tone at the larger degree.
Here’s where it gets interesting. The correction since then shows traits of a flat. A running one at the moment.
This opens the door to two active bearish projections:
A wave C collapse, implying a completed A B C correction and a downside resolution.
A wave 3 drop, for a possible top if this is an impulsive sequence.
That is the fork in the road. And it all hinges on the next move.
Right now, the smallest degree impulse off the low is doing some heavy lifting.
If that pivot holds and we only get an internal retracement like a micro wave 2, the door is still open for upside continuation.
But if that impulse gets invalidated, I would expect bears to press. First for a break below 100k, then toward the 95k area.
Here is how to think about it:
Hold the small impulse → Potential upside
Break the impulse base → Wave C or 3 likely underway
Context still leans bearish. Lower highs are still in play. But we are hunting a specific structure to confirm it.
A very high quality potential of double top pattern A very high quality potential of double top pattern
Neck line already broken , now retest is happened and rejection confirmed by wicks rejecting and the daily candle gonna close bearish for extra confirmation
Entry plan
Entry : 107,100 , up to 107550
Tp 1 102600
Tp 2 : 101, 250
Tp 3 : 99,666
Runners : from 98,500 to 94,000 maximum
SL 108,800
Wish the best for all traders
MG Trader ✅
BTCUSD short tradeAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
BTCUSD - Liquidity Zone in Focus Ahead of Options ExpiryAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
Bitcoin's Bullish DriversThe four bullish drivers behind Bitcoin's rally:
1.Institutional involvement: BlackRock and other institutions have accumulated large positions through ETFs, with OTC inventory declining, creating a scarcity effect in the market.
2.Policy tailwinds: Escalating expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have enhanced Bitcoin's attractiveness under low-interest-rate environments.
3.Regulatory breakthrough: China's Guotai Junan International has obtained regulatory approval, opening a compliant channel for Chinese capital.
4.Technical support: The 50-day moving average has broken above the 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross" that confirms the long-term upward trend.
BTCUSD
buy@106000~107000
SL:105000
TP:108000~109000
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BTC Rebounds After 100000 Drop, Eyeing Short at 109500 Resistanc📈 BTC Rebounds After 100000 Drop, Eyeing Short at 109500 Resistance
BTC dropped below the 100000 threshold 🔻 and then rebounded near 98000 🔺. This movement is related to the decline of DXY and the reduction of geopolitical risks. Now, BTC is challenging the 110000 level 🔼. The overhead resistance is around 109500. First - time tests of the 110000 level typically trigger pullbacks, so we favor short positions here 📉
🚀 Sell@109500 - 108500
🚀 TP 107500 - 106500 - 105500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 108,836.36
1st Support: 103,622.00
1st Resistance: 112,088.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market next target 📉 Disruption: Bearish Outlook Contradiction
1. Resistance Zone Rejection:
The price action is repeatedly failing near the 107,800–108,000 resistance zone.
The chart shows several long upper wicks, indicating strong selling pressure when BTC tries to move higher.
2. False Breakout Risk:
The recent bullish candle with a long lower wick could be a bull trap—designed to lure buyers before a reversal.
Price may retest the red box (support turned resistance) and fail to hold above it.
3. Volume Analysis:
Despite a small recovery, volume is not increasing significantly, which is not typical of a strong bullish move.
A lack of strong buyer volume could indicate exhaustion.
4. Lower High Structure:
The chart is still forming lower highs, a sign of a downtrend continuation unless it breaks above 108,000 convincingly.
Bitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120KBitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120K
Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency that has redefined the financial landscape, continues to spark intense debate and fervent speculation about its future price trajectory. Amidst the sea of technical analyses and market predictions, a compelling pattern has emerged on Bitcoin's price chart: the 'bull flag.' This bullish continuation pattern, often seen as a precursor to significant upward price movements, has ignited excitement among Bitcoin proponents, fueling predictions of a potential surge to $120,000.
This article delves into the intricacies of the bull flag pattern, exploring its formation, characteristics, and implications for Bitcoin's price. We will analyze the current market conditions, considering the recent retreat from $108,000 and the overall sentiment of Bitcoin bulls. Furthermore, we will examine the factors that could either validate or invalidate the bull flag pattern, providing a nuanced perspective on the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000. By synthesizing these insights, we aim to offer a comprehensive overview of the technical and fundamental factors that could shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
Understanding the Bull Flag Pattern
The bull flag is a technical analysis pattern that signals a continuation of an existing uptrend. It is characterized by two distinct phases:
1. The Flagpole: This represents the initial strong upward movement in price. It is a sharp, almost vertical rally that establishes the overall bullish trend.
2. The Flag: This is a period of consolidation that follows the flagpole. The price moves sideways or slightly downwards, forming a rectangular or parallelogram-shaped pattern that resembles a flag. This consolidation phase allows the market to digest the initial rally and prepare for the next leg up.
The bull flag pattern is considered a bullish signal because it suggests that the initial uptrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. Traders often look for a breakout above the upper trendline of the flag as a confirmation signal to enter a long position.
Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation
Bitcoin's price chart has exhibited a pattern that closely resembles a bull flag. The flagpole can be identified by the significant upward movement that occurred in the months leading up to June 2025. This rally propelled Bitcoin to a high of $108,000, establishing a strong bullish trend.
Following this rally, Bitcoin entered a period of consolidation, with the price moving sideways and slightly downwards. This consolidation phase has formed a flag-like pattern on the chart, characterized by two parallel trendlines that slope gently downwards.
The formation of this bull flag pattern has led many analysts to believe that Bitcoin is poised for another significant upward movement. The target price for this potential breakout is often calculated by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. In Bitcoin's case, this calculation suggests a potential target price of around $120,000.
Factors Supporting the Bull Flag Pattern
Several factors support the validity of the bull flag pattern and the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000:
• Strong Underlying Bullish Trend: The bull flag is a continuation pattern, meaning that it relies on an existing uptrend to be valid. Bitcoin's price has been in a strong uptrend for several years, driven by increasing institutional adoption, growing mainstream adoption, and limited supply.
• Positive Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among Bitcoin investors remains positive, despite the recent retreat from $108,000. Many analysts believe that Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its adoption curve and that its long-term potential remains significant.
• Increasing Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are increasingly allocating capital to Bitcoin. This increased institutional adoption can drive up the price of Bitcoin and provide a more stable foundation for its long-term growth.
• Growing Mainstream Adoption: Bitcoin is becoming increasingly accepted as a form of payment and a store of value by mainstream consumers and businesses. This growing mainstream adoption can increase demand for Bitcoin and drive up its price.
• Limited Supply: Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. This limited supply makes Bitcoin a scarce asset, which can increase its value over time as demand grows.
• Halving Events: Bitcoin's halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. These halving events can reduce the supply of Bitcoin and drive up its price. The next halving event is expected to occur in 2028.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, can increase demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven asset.
Factors Invalidating the Bull Flag Pattern
While the bull flag pattern is a bullish signal, it is not foolproof. Several factors could invalidate the pattern and prevent Bitcoin from reaching $120,000:
• Breakdown Below the Flag: If the price breaks down below the lower trendline of the flag, the bull flag pattern is invalidated. This would suggest that the consolidation phase is not a temporary pause before another rally, but rather a sign of weakening momentum.
• Negative News and Events: Negative news and events, such as regulatory crackdowns, security breaches, or macroeconomic shocks, could dampen investor sentiment and trigger a sell-off in Bitcoin.
• Weakening Market Fundamentals: If Bitcoin's adoption rate slows down, network activity declines, or transaction volume decreases, it could indicate that the underlying fundamentals are weakening, which could invalidate the bull flag pattern.
• Profit-Taking: After a significant rally, some investors may choose to take profits, which could put downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin and prevent it from breaking out of the flag.
• Alternative Investments: The emergence of compelling alternative investments could divert capital away from Bitcoin, reducing demand and potentially invalidating the bull flag.
Bitcoin Retreats From $108K: A Temporary Setback?
As of June 26, 2025, Bitcoin has retreated from its recent high of $108,000. This pullback has sparked concerns among some investors, but Bitcoin bulls remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the cryptocurrency.
The recent retreat could be attributed to a number of factors, including profit-taking after a significant rally, regulatory concerns, or macroeconomic headwinds. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin has experienced numerous pullbacks throughout its history, and these pullbacks have often been followed by even stronger rallies.
The key question is whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated. If the price can hold above the lower trendline of the flag and eventually break out above the upper trendline, it would confirm the validity of the pattern and increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000.
Trading the Bull Flag Pattern
Traders who are looking to capitalize on the bull flag pattern can consider the following strategies:
• Entry Point: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the flag before entering a long position. This helps to avoid false breakouts and increases the probability of a successful trade.
• Stop-Loss Order: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the flag to limit potential losses if the pattern is invalidated.
• Target Price: Calculate the target price by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag.
• Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as limiting the amount of capital you risk on any single trade.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price chart is currently exhibiting a bull flag pattern, which suggests that the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward movement. The potential target price for this breakout is around $120,000.
However, it is important to note that the bull flag pattern is not foolproof, and several factors could invalidate it. Investors should carefully monitor the price action, market sentiment, and underlying fundamentals to assess the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000.
The recent retreat from $108,000 is a reminder that Bitcoin is a volatile asset and that pullbacks are a normal part of the market cycle. Whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated remains to be seen.
Ultimately, the future of Bitcoin's price will depend on a complex interplay of technical factors, market sentiment, and fundamental developments. By staying informed and using proper risk management techniques, investors can position themselves to potentially profit from Bitcoin's continued growth and success. As always, remember to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The bull flag offers a tantalizing glimpse of potential gains, but prudent analysis and risk mitigation are essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Ready to Drop?Alright ladies and gentlemen after this nice Bitcoin run up is TIME to book profits if you still in the long trade cause this baby is about to drop.
Bulls don't stretch your luck too much, book your profits while you still have them.
What Bitcoin did was just extending its 1hr Bullish TIME Cycle that's all and it has an end so Bulls don't be greedy cause you're gonna be trapped.
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen and brace yourself for a wild ride down to $101000 once it gets there and most important HOW it gets there will tell us when and what the next move will be.
Take care everyone and enjoy the ride.
BTCUSD bull flag?Hi traders what is your opinion,are still bullish or pump n dump scares you?well amstil bullish wait for breakout n retest for safety entry if you are scared, I've been buying dips my first target is 120k,take Calculated risk n hold your trades,money management is your friend,I wish you all the best I don't have much to say but what I study is what is happening in the market.
BTC SHORT TP: 106,300 25-06-2025Let’s be real — what’s coming looks like pure manipulation 😮💨
Setting a SHORT between 108,550 – 109,250, aiming for 106,200 – 106,550, with an average 3.3 RR.
🕑 Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Duration: 20–30 hours
Context: If you see a massive green candle… that’s not strength — that’s the short signal. Stops are pretty obvious in this kind of setup. Classic trap vibes loading.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
BTC daily bull flag formationBTC is looking bullish on the daily chart in my opinion. One more pullback might be in order before we test new highs on the daily chart. The 100 sma has crossed over the 200 sma and the 50 sma is crossing the 21 sma. The rsi is neutral at time of publication. This bullish breakout could occur in late july after a pullback in the near term.
I think bitcoin is setting up to make another all time high push as summer draws on.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Comment what you think is going to happen over the course of this summer.
Consolidation Above Key SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading at $107,125 and showing a strong technical setup on the daily timeframe. After the dramatic recovery from March lows around $77,000, BTC has established a solid foundation above the $100,000 psychological level and is now consolidating in a critical resistance zone.
Current Technical Picture:
The price action shows Bitcoin trading above the Ichimoku cloud, which provides strong bullish confirmation. The ascending blue trendline from the March lows remains intact and continues to act as dynamic support around $82,000-85,000. This trendline has been crucial in maintaining the overall upward trajectory.
Key Resistance Levels:
Primary Resistance: $110,000-$112,000 (previous highs)
Secondary Resistance: $115,000 (extension target)
Critical Support Zones:
Immediate Support: $104,000-$105,000 (recent consolidation lows)
Major Support: $100,000 (psychological level + cloud support)
Trendline Support: $82,000-85,000 (ascending blue line)
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is currently hovering around 55-60, indicating neutral to slightly bullish momentum. This suggests there's room for further upside movement without entering overbought conditions.
Trading Outlook:
Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a potential breakout above the $110,000 resistance zone. A sustained break above this level could target $115,000-$118,000. However, failure to break higher and a move below $104,000 could signal a deeper correction toward the $100,000 support zone.
Risk Considerations:
Watch for any breakdown below the ascending trendline or the $100,000 support, as this could invalidate the bullish structure and lead to a retest of lower levels.