Is Bitcoin Ready to Explode? This setup with 10 R:RIs BTC Ready for the Next Uptrend After a Small Pullback to the 0.236 Fib Level (~103K)?
A potential 10:1 risk-to-reward setup is forming. BTC has already printed a higher low (HL) on the weekly chart and is currently trading above both the weekly and monthly opens — a strong sign of bullish momentum.
Setup Details:
Entry: 106670
Stop Loss: 103000
Target: 144000
Risk-to-Reward: 10:1
This setup is shared for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD SELLSBTCUSD – Clean Sell Setup (AUTH Liquidity-Based)
BTCUSD is approaching a high-probability short zone after a strong retracement into overhead liquidity. Based on AUTH (Areas of Liquidity Trading), this setup identifies key zones where liquidity is likely to be collected before a potential drop.
Setup Breakdown:
FTA – First Trouble Area:
A nearby reaction zone just below current price. This may cause a temporary bounce or slowdown in the bearish move but is not the main target.
Inversion Point:
A previously significant support level that has been broken and now acts as resistance. This level may trap late buyers and provide fuel for continuation lower.
VAL – Value Area Low:
The lower edge of a past consolidation range. Price often gravitates here during rebalancing moves and it acts as a realistic profit target.
AUTH Liquidity Zones:
• Above price: Resting buy stops above recent highs and engineered wicks — a common area for stop-hunt reversals.
• Below price: Clean equal lows, unfilled imbalances, and trendline supports — ideal targets for institutional-level downside expansion.
Trade Plan:
Wait for upper liquidity to be swept and monitor for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, break of structure) before entering. Focus is on entering after liquidity is triggered — not before.
🔔 Follow me for a free intro class to my AUTH Masterpiece Liquidity System — designed to help traders read market intention through liquidity flow, not indicators.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk carefully.
BTC (D1) : Sell Now📉Technical Analysis :
- After BTC has got a strong uptrend on D1 timeframe, price was broken trend. W1 confirm by a reversal candlestick.
- Now, price is re-testing breakout zone. So I recommend that you can sell at 106k-107k
🔑 Remember : Key to success is Capital Management.
🔰 Follow Me To Learn Trading, Please !
$BTC Failed to Reclaim EMA9 - 200DMA in SightSo close, but so far away.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC held the 50DMA as support today but failed to break above the EMA9.
I suspect ₿itcoin now makes it way back down for the long awaited retest of the 200DMA ~$95k as I’ve been stating since the death cross.
If BTC can reclaim the EMA9 to close the week there may be a shot to continue the bullish uptrend, otherwise this correction will take a few weeks to play out.
The Unraveling of an Empire: How Bitcoin Could Break the DollarFor decades, the U.S. dollar has reigned supreme, an undisputed king in the global financial arena. It is the world's primary reserve currency, the bedrock of international trade, and the safe-haven asset investors flock to in times of turmoil. This dominance has afforded the United States what has been called an "exorbitant privilege," allowing it to borrow cheaply and exert significant influence over the world economy. But the ground beneath this financial empire is beginning to shift. A confluence of mounting debt, shifting geopolitical sands, and the rise of a revolutionary technology is creating the conditions for a challenger to emerge. That challenger is Bitcoin.
Born from the ashes of the 2008 financial crisis, Bitcoin represents a radical departure from the centrally controlled monetary systems that have governed economies for centuries. It is a decentralized, digital currency, free from the whims of governments and central banks. While initially dismissed as a niche interest for tech enthusiasts and a tool for illicit activities, Bitcoin has steadily gained traction, evolving into a trillion-dollar asset class that is now capturing the attention of institutional investors, corporations, and even nation-states. The question is no longer whether Bitcoin is a fleeting fad, but whether it possesses the power to fundamentally disrupt, and perhaps even break, the long-standing hegemony of the U.S. dollar.
A Hedge Against a Failing System
One of the most compelling arguments for Bitcoin's ascendancy lies in its inherent properties as a store of value, particularly in an era of unprecedented monetary expansion and soaring national debt. Unlike the U.S. dollar, which can be printed at will by the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin has a finite supply capped at 21 million coins. This predictable scarcity is a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures that erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies. As governments around the world, and particularly the United States, continue to accumulate staggering levels of debt, the temptation to devalue their currencies through inflation grows. The U.S. national debt, now standing at tens of trillions of dollars, raises serious questions about the long-term sustainability of the dollar's value. In this environment, Bitcoin's unalterable monetary policy makes it an increasingly attractive safe haven for those seeking to preserve their wealth.
The trend of "de-dollarization" is already underway, with several countries actively seeking to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade and reserves. Geopolitical rivals like China and Russia have been at the forefront of this movement, but even traditional allies are beginning to explore alternatives. The weaponization of the dollar through sanctions has further accelerated this trend, prompting nations to seek financial systems that are not subject to the political whims of a single country. Bitcoin, being a politically neutral and borderless currency, offers a compelling solution. It allows for direct, peer-to-peer transactions across the globe without the need for intermediaries, thereby circumventing the traditional, dollar-dominated financial system.
The Rise of a New Reserve Asset
The ultimate test of a global currency is its acceptance as a reserve asset by central banks. While this may have seemed like a far-fetched idea just a few years ago, it is now a topic of serious discussion in financial circles. A handful of nations have already taken the pioneering step of adding Bitcoin to their reserves, signaling a potential paradigm shift in how countries manage their sovereign wealth. For central banks, the appeal of Bitcoin lies in its potential for diversification. By holding an asset that is not correlated with traditional stocks and bonds, they can better hedge against various economic and geopolitical risks. As more central banks begin to explore this option, even a small allocation to Bitcoin could have a significant impact on its price and legitimacy.
The development of a robust financial ecosystem around Bitcoin is also paving the way for its broader adoption. The emergence of regulated exchanges, custody solutions, and investment products has made it easier for institutions to gain exposure to the asset class. This growing infrastructure is crucial for building the trust and liquidity necessary for Bitcoin to function on a global scale.
The Hurdles on the Path to Dominance
Despite its disruptive potential, Bitcoin faces a number of significant challenges that could hinder its ability to supplant the dollar. The most frequently cited concern is its price volatility. Wild swings in value make it a difficult medium of exchange for everyday transactions and a risky asset for conservative central banks to hold in large quantities. While volatility may decrease as the market matures, it remains a major obstacle to widespread adoption.
Scalability is another critical issue. The Bitcoin network can currently only process a limited number of transactions per second, making it unsuitable for the high volume of payments required of a global currency. While second-layer solutions are being developed to address this, they have yet to be proven at a massive scale.
Furthermore, the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is still in its infancy. Governments around the world are grappling with how to approach this new technology, and the lack of clear and consistent regulations creates uncertainty for investors and businesses. The U.S. government, in particular, is unlikely to cede its monetary authority without a fight, and could impose stringent regulations that stifle Bitcoin's growth.
Finally, no currency in history has achieved global dominance without the backing of a major economic and military power. The U.S. dollar's reign is underpinned by the strength of the American economy and its military might. Bitcoin, by its very nature, is decentralized and lacks the support of any single nation-state. This could be both a strength and a weakness. While it provides neutrality, it also means that there is no central authority to backstop the currency in times of crisis.
A New Financial Order
The notion that Bitcoin could completely break the U.S. dollar and become the sole global reserve currency in the near future remains a speculative one. The dollar's incumbency advantages are formidable, and the challenges facing Bitcoin are substantial. However, to dismiss the potential for a seismic shift in the global financial order would be to ignore the powerful forces at play.
What is more likely than a complete replacement is a gradual transition to a more multipolar currency world, where Bitcoin coexists alongside the dollar, the euro, and other major currencies. In this scenario, Bitcoin could serve as a neutral reserve asset, a check on the inflationary tendencies of fiat currencies, and a parallel financial system for those who are excluded from or wish to opt out of the traditional one.
The rise of Bitcoin is a clear signal that the world is yearning for a more resilient, equitable, and decentralized financial system. Whether it ultimately breaks the dollar or simply forces it to become more disciplined, one thing is certain: the future of money will look very different from its past. The quiet revolution that began with a single whitepaper is now a global movement, and the foundations of the old financial empire are beginning to tremble.
Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns, Brutal Liquidations, and Fundamental Strength
The cryptocurrency market is a theater of perpetual drama, a relentless cycle of fear and greed, innovation and volatility. In this unforgiving arena, Ethereum, the world’s second-largest digital asset, has once again captured the spotlight. After a period of underperformance that left investors questioning its momentum, a confluence of technical signals, market-shaking liquidations, and strengthening fundamentals has ignited a fierce debate: Is Ethereum truly back in business? The answer is not a simple yes or no but a complex narrative woven from bullish chart patterns, the chaotic fallout of political spats, and the quiet, inexorable growth of its underlying network.
At the heart of the bullish thesis lies a classic technical analysis signal: the Morningstar candlestick pattern. For traders and analysts who scour charts for clues about future price movements, the appearance of a Morningstar on Ethereum's monthly chart is a development of profound significance. Simultaneously, the market has been violently shaken by an $800 million liquidation event, a brutal culling of leveraged positions in both Bitcoin and Ether, reportedly triggered by a public feud between political and tech titans Donald Trump and Elon Musk. This event serves as a stark reminder of the market's fragility and its susceptibility to external shocks.
Yet, beneath this surface-level chaos, a different story is unfolding. On-chain metrics point to a network that is not just surviving but thriving. Institutional interest is surging, evidenced by substantial inflows into newly approved spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Whales, the market's largest players, are sending mixed but largely accumulative signals. And technological upgrades continue to enhance the network's scalability and utility. This article will delve into these competing narratives—the hopeful story told by the Morningstar pattern, the cautionary tale of massive liquidations, and the quietly confident hum of Ethereum's fundamental growth—to paint a comprehensive picture of where the pioneering smart contract platform stands today.
The Morningstar's Dawn: A Technical Harbinger of a Bullish Reversal
In the lexicon of technical analysis, candlestick patterns provide a visual language for market sentiment. The Morningstar is one of the most revered bullish reversal patterns, a three-candle formation that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new upward climb. Its appearance on a high-timeframe chart, such as the monthly chart for Ethereum, carries significant weight, suggesting a major shift in market psychology from bearish despair to bullish optimism.
To understand its power, one must first understand its structure. The pattern consists of three distinct candles appearing after a prolonged price decline. The first is a long bearish candle (typically colored red or black), which confirms the continuation of the downtrend and reflects the sellers' firm control. The second candle is the "star" of the pattern—a small-bodied candle that can be either bullish or bearish. This candle often gaps down from the previous one, indicating a moment of acute indecision in the market. The selling pressure that characterized the first candle has waned, but buyers have not yet seized full control. It represents a point of equilibrium, a pause where the prevailing trend loses its momentum. The third and final candle is a long bullish candle (typically green or white) that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle. This final candle is the confirmation; it signifies that buyers have decisively taken over, overwhelming the sellers and initiating a reversal.
The psychology behind the Morningstar pattern is a story of a power shift. The long bearish candle shows sellers are confident. The small middle candle reveals that confidence is cracking; a battle for control is underway. The final strong bullish candle declares the buyers as the victors, signaling that the path of least resistance is now upwards.
Recently, several crypto analysts have highlighted the formation of this very pattern on Ethereum’s monthly chart. After a period of consolidation and price decline, the emergence of a Morningstar suggests that the bottom of the recent downtrend may be in. Analysts see this as a macro reversal signal, a technical foundation for a potential rally. Some have set initial price targets around $3,300, viewing the current resistance levels as temporary hurdles that will likely be broken in the face of this powerful bullish formation. When combined with other indicators, such as trading volume, which ideally should increase during the formation of the third candle, the Morningstar provides a compelling technical argument that Ethereum is gearing up for a significant move higher. While no technical pattern is infallible, its appearance on a macro scale has undeniably injected a strong dose of optimism into the market, suggesting that Ethereum’s period of slumber may be coming to an end.
The $800 Million Purge: A Tale of Liquidations and Political Tremors
Just as technical analysts were celebrating the bullish omens on the charts, the market delivered a brutal reminder of its inherent volatility. A massive liquidation event, totaling over $800 million and by some estimates approaching $1 billion, swept through the cryptocurrency markets, disproportionately affecting leveraged traders in Bitcoin and Ethereum. In a span of just 24 hours, hundreds of thousands of traders saw their positions forcibly closed, a cascade of selling that sent prices tumbling.
Liquidations are the boogeyman of leveraged trading. When a trader uses borrowed funds (leverage) to amplify their position, they must maintain a certain amount of collateral. If the market moves against their position and their collateral falls below a required threshold, the exchange automatically closes the position to prevent further losses. This forced selling creates a domino effect. As prices fall, more long positions hit their liquidation points, triggering more selling, which in turn drives prices down further, liquidating even more positions. This is a liquidation cascade, and it can lead to rapid and violent price drops.
Recent data showed that long positions accounted for the overwhelming majority of these liquidations, indicating that the market was caught off guard by the sudden downturn. Exchanges like Bybit and Binance were at the epicenter of this financial storm, with Bybit alone reportedly accounting for nearly $354 million in liquidations. The largest single liquidation order was a multi-million dollar position, underscoring the high stakes involved.
What triggered this sudden market panic? Many analysts pointed to an unlikely source: a public and increasingly acrimonious feud between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. The dispute, reportedly stemming from disagreements over a major tax and spending bill, spilled out onto social media, creating a storm of uncertainty that rattled investors. In today's interconnected world, high-profile clashes between powerful figures can have an immediate and tangible impact on financial markets, particularly on assets perceived as "risk-on," such as cryptocurrencies.
The public fallout was seen as a destabilizing event, injecting political uncertainty into an already fragile market. The fear was that the conflict could have broader economic implications or affect the regulatory landscape for technology and digital assets. This sentiment sparked a broad-based sell-off, not just in crypto but across traditional equities as well. For a market driven heavily by narrative and sentiment, the Trump-Musk tussle provided a powerful bearish catalyst, spooking investors and triggering the cascade of liquidations that sent Bitcoin and Ethereum prices sharply lower. The event serves as a crucial counterpoint to the bullish technical picture, highlighting how susceptible the crypto market remains to macroeconomic and political shocks, regardless of its own internal fundamentals.
The Bullish Undercurrent: On-Chain Metrics and Institutional Adoption
While the liquidation event painted a picture of chaos and fear, a deeper dive into Ethereum's on-chain data and ecosystem developments reveals a much more optimistic and resilient narrative. These fundamental metrics, which track the health and growth of the network itself, often provide a clearer long-term signal than the noise of short-term price fluctuations.
A Thriving and Growing Network
One of the most reliable indicators of a blockchain's long-term value is its network activity. On this front, Ethereum is showing undeniable strength. The number of unique active addresses interacting with the blockchain has been on a steady rise. Recent data shows a significant surge, with weekly active addresses surpassing 17 million, a testament to growing engagement and adoption. This isn't just speculative trading; it reflects genuine usage across Ethereum's vast ecosystem, including decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Layer 2 scaling solutions.
Furthermore, the growth in new users joining the network is a powerful leading indicator of future demand. The rate of new address creation has been on an upward trajectory, signaling that Ethereum's value proposition continues to attract a broader audience. This organic growth is the lifeblood of any network, creating a flywheel effect: more users attract more developers, who build more valuable applications, which in turn attract even more users.
The Rise of Layer 2 and Technological Upgrades
A key driver of this network growth has been the maturation of Layer 2 scaling solutions like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. These networks handle transactions off the main Ethereum chain, allowing for faster speeds and dramatically lower fees while still inheriting Ethereum's security. The explosion of activity on these Layer 2s has been a game-changer, alleviating congestion on the main network and making Ethereum accessible to a wider range of users and applications.
Simultaneously, core protocol upgrades continue to enhance Ethereum's capabilities. The recent Pectra upgrade, for example, has improved scalability and further refined the network's deflationary mechanics. Since the implementation of EIP-1559, a portion of every transaction fee is "burned," or permanently removed from circulation. This, combined with the vast amount of ETH locked in staking contracts, creates a dynamic where the supply of available ETH is constantly shrinking. This principle of decreasing supply coupled with increasing demand is a fundamental recipe for long-term price appreciation.
The Arrival of Institutional Capital
Perhaps the most significant bullish development for Ethereum in recent times has been the approval and successful launch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States. This provides a regulated and accessible on-ramp for institutional investors to gain exposure to ETH, unlocking a potential wave of new capital. The early data is promising. In May 2025 alone, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of over half a billion dollars, a sharp increase from the previous month.
This institutional validation is a powerful signal. It signifies that some of the world's largest financial players view Ethereum not just as a speculative asset, but as a foundational technology with long-term strategic value. This flow of "sticky" institutional money is expected to provide a strong support floor for the price and reduce volatility over the long run.
The Whale Watch: Accumulation and Confidence
The behavior of "whales"—large holders of Ethereum—provides another crucial, albeit sometimes conflicting, layer of insight. On one hand, there have been reports of significant accumulation by these large players. Data shows massive transfers of ETH from exchanges to private wallets, a classic sign of long-term holding, as it reduces the immediately available supply for selling. One notable transaction involved Galaxy Digital moving hundreds of millions of dollars worth of ETH into a private wallet, suggesting strong institutional confidence. Over the past month, data from on-chain analytics firms has shown that whale wallets have increased their holdings, while retail holdings have slightly decreased, a pattern often seen before a bullish market run.
However, the picture is not entirely one-sided. There have also been instances of long-term whales selling off portions of their holdings, contributing to short-term price drops. This reflects the diverse strategies among large holders. Some may be taking profits, while others are positioning for a long-term hold. Despite the mixed short-term signals, the broader trend appears to be one of accumulation and a net outflow of ETH from exchanges, which is a fundamentally bullish indicator. With exchange balances hitting seven-year lows, the potential for a supply squeeze is becoming increasingly real.
Conclusion: Navigating the Storm Towards a Bullish Horizon
So, is Ethereum back in business? The evidence suggests a resounding, if complex, "yes." The current market environment is a fascinating juxtaposition of short-term turmoil and long-term strength. The public spat between Trump and Musk, and the subsequent $800 million liquidation event, underscore the market's vulnerability to sudden shocks and the perils of leveraged trading. These events serve as a healthy dose of caution, reminding investors that the path forward will undoubtedly be volatile.
However, when we look past the immediate noise, the underlying picture is one of robust and accelerating health. The Morningstar pattern on the monthly chart provides a powerful technical signal that a macro trend reversal is underway, suggesting that the recent period of bearish sentiment has exhausted itself. This technical optimism is strongly supported by fundamentals. Ethereum's network is growing at a remarkable pace, fueled by the success of Layer 2 solutions and continuous protocol improvements that enhance its scalability and economic model.
The most compelling evidence, however, comes from the demand side. The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs has opened the floodgates for institutional capital, a structural shift that will likely define Ethereum's market for years to come. This, combined with the steady accumulation by whales and a shrinking available supply due to burning and staking, creates a powerful bullish cocktail.
Ethereum is navigating a perfect storm of conflicting signals. The violent waves of short-term liquidations and political drama can be disorienting. But beneath the surface, the deep currents of network growth, technological innovation, and institutional adoption are flowing strongly in one direction. For investors who can look beyond the immediate horizon, the story told by Ethereum's fundamentals, supported by classic bullish chart patterns, is not just one of being "back in business"—it's a story of a platform solidifying its position as a cornerstone of the decentralized future.
Buy Zones for Bearish ScenarioWeekly Chart is showing clear bearish divergence.
Knowing BTC, it might not mean anything, but I wanted to be ready for bear scenario.
1st buy zone: 61.8 from recent hike.
2nd buy zone: This area has strong support, also we had major bounce here at 74k area.
3rd buy zone (Aggressive Buy): I don't think we will see this area in the future, but it it does I will go very aggressive.
By having these areas, I know I will be ok when shit hits the fan.
Enjoy.
BTC/USDSure, here's a technical analysis of the Head and Shoulders pattern observed on the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, suitable for TradingView:
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - 4-Hour Chart
Head and Shoulders Pattern Identified
On the 4-hour timeframe for BTC/USD, a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) topping pattern appears to be forming, indicating a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Left Shoulder: Formed around early to mid-May, reaching a peak near $104,000, followed by a minor retracement.
Head: The most prominent peak, occurring in late May/early June, reaching approximately $112,000, demonstrating the highest point of the previous uptrend.
Right Shoulder: Currently forming, peaking around $107,000, and is now declining towards the neckline.
Neckline:
A crucial element of this pattern is the neckline, which has been identified by connecting the lows after the left shoulder and the head. This neckline appears to be a critical support level around $102,000 - $103,000.
Outlook and Potential Price Targets:
Confirmation of Bearish Reversal: A confirmed breakdown below the neckline (a sustained close below the $102,000 - $103,000 region on the 4-hour chart) would validate the Head and Shoulders pattern and signal a strong bearish reversal.
Initial Target: The initial measured move target for a Head and Shoulders breakdown is typically calculated by taking the vertical distance from the top of the head to the neckline and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. In this case, this could potentially target levels around $96,000 - $97,000.
Key Resistance: If the price attempts to recover, the neckline (around $102,000 - $103,000) would likely act as significant resistance.
Important Considerations:
Volume: Traders should monitor volume closely. A significant increase in selling volume on a breakout below the neckline would add further conviction to the bearish outlook.
Invalidation: This pattern would be invalidated if Bitcoin manages to break significantly above the peak of the right shoulder (around $107,000) or if it fails to break the neckline and resumes an upward trajectory.
Risk Management: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Traders should consider stop-loss orders above the neckline or the right shoulder to mitigate potential losses if the pattern fails to play out as expected.
In summary, the formation of this Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour BTC/USD chart suggests a high probability of a bearish reversal. A decisive break below the neckline will be the key confirmation of this bearish sentiment, with potential targets around the $96,000 - $97,000 area.
BTCUSD Price ActionHello Traders,
The market is closing soon, but for those following BTC — here's a setup I’ve spotted. Our previous setup successfully hit the take-profit target.
Now, we can clearly see that price initially respected the trendline, followed by a breakout. It has now returned for a retest, again respecting the trendline. This presents a valid short opportunity, provided you apply proper risk management.
Also, take a moment to reflect on any trading mistakes you made this week — not with regret, but as a learning experience. That’s how progress happens.
Wishing you all the best — happy weekend and good trades ahead!
BTCUSD: Just hit the 1D MA50 and is rebounding.Bitcoin turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.000, MACD = 923.400, ADX = 25.014) as it hit its 1D MA50 for the first time since April 19th. That is a straight up buy signal, especially since the the current Channel Up with its 1D RSI HL structure, resembles September - December 2024. TP = 165,000.
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#Bitcoin: Local Relief But Lower High Expected Price bounced ba#Bitcoin: Local Relief But Lower High Expected
Price bounced back above 105K, but structure still suggests a lower high formation. A revisit to the 100K zone remains likely before CPI data. Clean re-entry opportunities may emerge if the zone is tested again. Patience key.
BTC to retest 100kBTC will retest support at $100k IMO, then 5 wave up to $120 top. We will see a decline after that, possibly a bear market start.
My price action prediction is :
2026 is a bear market, target $60k -$50K,
2027 is a consolidated slight move up $70k-$90k.
end of 2027, spring of 28, we see a massive run up to $500k to $750k
₿ BTC: Delay Tactics in Wave B Bitcoin dropped hard yesterday, throwing a wrench into the expected climb toward the top of green wave B. This bounce was supposed to stretch into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, which we flagged as a smart area to take partial profits or layer in short hedges. That zone still stands—BTC just isn’t ready to hit it yet. The current pullback suggests we’ll see more sideways-to-lower price action before green wave B wraps up. Once it does, green wave C should drag Bitcoin into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That’s where we’re looking for orange wave a to complete. After that, a countertrend rally in wave b could pop up—before wave c wraps the entire corrective cycle and finishes blue wave (ii). We’re also watching an alt.(i) breakout scenario (30% probability). In that case, BTC would blow through the $130,891 level early, bypassing the expected dip and reaching new highs faster than projected.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Did you know current line of rejection was 1st used in Feb 2017
The chart says it all
This is a chart I have used here iften but never zoomed out.
That line has rejected us 3 times now this cycle.
It was just once in 2017 but once Crossed, tested and held, it is a mighty line of support.
This maybe why the Bears do not want us to cross it......
But I have little doubt that Bitcoin has the ability to cross it....
There aew many reasons why we have not done so, Technical and Macro and I really am beginning to think that we will have a lazy Summer, ranging across, maybe reaching another small ATH before we really go for it in late Q3 / Q4
BUT, I could be wrong.
Just my opibion
BTCUSD Technical Outlook – Supply Zone Reaction Likely?Price has aggressively recovered from the demand zone around $101,000–$101,500, initiating a sharp bullish leg into a previously defined supply zone between $104,260–$104,787. This region also overlaps with a prior inefficiency and strong sell-off area.
📌 Key Highlights:
PDH (Previous Day High) has been swept.
Price is now entering a confluence of resistance:
🔹 Bearish order block
🔹 Supply zone
🔹 Volume imbalance filled
Clear reaction anticipated as buyers begin to slow down near $104,260–$104,787.
Lower timeframe structure suggests bullish exhaustion as we tap into this zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Scenario: Looking for potential rejection from current levels for a move back into $103,116, with deeper downside targets near $102,600 and possibly back into the demand zone below $101,500.
Trade Setup Idea:
Entry: ~$104,260–$104,787
TP1: $103,100
TP2: $102,600
SL: Above $104,800
Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 on higher timeframes.
🧠 Watch price action closely within this zone before entering. Patience will be key for precision.
Bitcoin Analysis UpdateThe price growth is currently in the form of a symmetric pattern, but without the expected and necessary volumes to continue the trend. Therefore, I must say that I am waiting for a proper correction, which will create a very good buying opportunity. Be very cautious in your trades.
BTC BREAKS DOWN... AND BOUNCESThe Bitcoin daily chart is presenting a technically rich picture, with clear structure and key moving average interactions. Most notably, we’ve seen a breakdown from a classic head and shoulders pattern. The neckline has been broken decisively and is now being retested from below – a common behavior when former support becomes resistance. Traders often watch this level closely for rejection or reclamation.
Despite the breakdown, price is currently finding support at the 50-day moving average, which is rising and suggests underlying trend strength. This bounce has brought Bitcoin back to retest the neckline zone, offering a potential inflection point. A reclaim above the neckline could invalidate the bearish pattern and reignite momentum. Conversely, if price is rejected here, the head and shoulders may play out further, with targets aligning near the $92K level.
Momentum is still neutral to slightly bullish, and volume has picked up on the bounce – which is a positive sign. All in all, this is a key moment for Bitcoin. Holding above the 50 MA and reclaiming the neckline would shift the bias back toward the bulls.
Losing the 50 MA could invite further downside.