BTCUSD trade ideas
The next #BTC move we will be buying Bitcoin in the fortiesBitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a potential long-term decline, with resistance around $113,000 and a key support level at $74,393. If the bearish trend continues, we could see BTC heading towards the $43,500 zone in the coming years. Traders should watch for market shifts and key levels to gauge future movements. 🚀📉
Sooner or later, we will be buying Bitcoin in the forties! #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis
Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Bitcoin About to Repeat 2021 ? Major Crash Incoming?🚨 Bitcoin About to Repeat 2021? Final Pump Before Major Crash Incoming! 🚨
Bitcoin’s current price action is reflecting classic Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies — and the structure is almost identical to what we saw at the 2021 bull market top.
✅ Here's what I'm expecting based on SMC/ICT principles:
Final liquidity sweep above relative equal highs (targeting $110K–$130K 🚀), just like the final pump in 2021
Displacement and Market Structure Shift (MSS) to signal a confirmed reversal 📉
Distribution phase where smart money offloads their positions onto trapped retail buyers
This fractal behavior and liquidity engineering mirrors how the market topped in 2021 before the brutal bear market began.
🔮 Key Smart Money Signs to Watch:
Liquidity grabs above highs (inducement traps) 🔥
Premium array setups at major order blocks 🏦
Bearish BOS and MSS confirmation 🛑
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as magnets after the reversal ⚡
🧠 Reminder:
"If you understand where the liquidity is, you understand where the market is going." — ICT
History doesn't repeat, but smart money strategies often do.
💬 What do you think? Will Bitcoin repeat the 2021 trap and collapse after new highs? Let’s discuss below! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BTCUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #Liquidity #MarketStructure #TradingView #OrderFlow #BearMarket #CryptoTrading
BTCUSD time?I use to draw weirdo graphs n overthinking until I realized that this things is simple and I don't have to goo against the market without any proper informations,if market is trending up what you can expect that can just change the market is geopolitical meaning something can just came up n affect the market depending were it happens n the power of those people's in the market like if trump decide to resume tarrif global you can just see market dramatically dropping n breaks all your analysis that's when fundamentals occurs unexpected,this doesn't mean your analysis wrong it only means some shit occurs n affect the market I will normalize to teach more about what drives the market n why,soo that you won't guess but knowing what you are following enjoy the rest of your day 110 coming soon📈
Market next move 1. Overconfidence in Breakout:
The chart predicts a clean breakout, but the resistance zone has already been tested multiple times, indicating seller strength.
Disruption: Price might fake out above resistance and sharply reverse (bull trap).
2. Volume Confirmation Missing:
The breakout prediction lacks strong volume spike confirmation.
Disruption: Without increasing volume, any breakout attempt might fail and lead to a false breakout.
3. Short-Term RSI/Overbought Conditions (Not visible here):
If RSI or similar indicators are approaching overbought, it increases the chances of a pullback rather than immediate continuation.
4. Liquidity Sweep Risk:
Price may intentionally break the resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing sharply (common in crypto markets).
Disruption: A stop-hunt move followed by a retrace to $105,000 or lower.
5. Macroeconomic or External Event Sensitivity:
If an external catalyst (e.g., Fed speech, ETF news, regulatory action) emerges, it can easily invalidate the bullish scenario.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart is a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Current Price: BTC/USD is trading at 105,555.
2. Chart Structure:
A bullish structure is shown with a potential continuation pattern.
There are clear support and resistance levels marked.
3. Target Area: The green path projects a bullish move toward the 107,000 level.
4. Stop Loss (SL): Indicated at 104,506, below a support zone—this is the level to cut losses if the price drops.
5. Two Scenarios:
Bullish (green path): If the price holds support, it could move up toward the target.
Bearish (red path): If the price breaks below support and SL, a further drop is likely.
This is a common risk/reward setup where traders look for a favorable entry near support with a target above and a clearly defined stop loss. Let me know if you want help interpreting the trade or backtesting it.
BTC/USD Eyes Breakout Analysis On Weekly Time Frame.Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Chart Analysis
After facing a long term resistance at 70,000$ which was significant barrier for Bitcoin in the past, breakout occurred recently, indicating a strong bullish signal and a shift in market structure.
BTC is currently trading around $103,025, facing a new resistance zone.
as the fundamental shows that it may break the resistance again after scalping and we may see the bitcoin at the 120,000$.
But the technical analysis indicates that we may see a retest her to validating the zone now as support.
After the breakout, BTC faced selling pressure around the $105,000–$110,000 range, creating a new resistance zone.
If the resistance is not breached, there is the possibility of a rejection occurring which may result in a retracement down to $79,902, which would be a 28.72% drop.
And i think From there if the resistance isn’t broken out of, then it’s most likely a rejection comes and we can expect a fall back to $79,902 which is a 28.72% retracement.
A breakout above the current resistance could trigger a 46% rally towards the $120,409 target.
This would continue the bullish trend post-breakout, supported by momentum and volume.
we will stay focused here and wait for the breakout of the resistance.
Trade Setup – BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar)!📈
Current Price: $104,755
🔺 Pattern:
Descending Triangle Breakout + Retest Entry
Breakout from downtrend line followed by bullish retest at trendline confluence.
🛠️ Trade Levels:
Entry: ~$104,257 (marked by bullish candle & confluence zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): $103,706 (below structure & retest zone)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $105,860 (resistance zone – green line)
TP2: $106,870 (major horizontal resistance)
🧠 Technical Highlights:
Clear descending trendline broken with retest at confluence of support.
Multiple breakout retest confirmations (yellow circles).
Risk/Reward is favorable (~1:2.5).
Strong previous bullish momentum and clean support zones.
📊 Bias:
Bullish above $104,200
Neutral/Bearish if price loses $103,700