BTC on the Edge of Capitulation.Bitcoin trades on a critical make or break level of a big bullish butterfly from the topping arch.
This tends to be an imperatively important pivot point in a trend. In the strong trend the butterfly is an ABC correction and then we're into a new 5 wave climb. In the failure of the butterfly, this is the failure of the uptrend and we switch from a steady consistent downtrending action with pullbacks and new lows to out and out puking.
We are right on the verge of puking.
BTC is now trading at this level for the third time. Realistically, the best odds were off the first one. Being here a third time is quite sketchy.
Coupled with the fact indices are looking ultra rough and most of the alts are showing massively obvious big break signals (like huge head and shoulders etc) - this looks bad.
If this breaks there are no major supports before 55K. The next supports would be minor shallow bounce supports. We could downtrend to the 4.23 fib which is around 20K and if we get there a spike out of it would even make 10K viable.
BTC can drop over 70% from the price is trades today in a butterfly break.
We sit specifically on the decision level now.
If it breaks- it can be a very serious thing.
MUCH WORSE THAN THE LAST BREAKS.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC): Back at 100&200 EMA Zone | Important AreaBitcoin is back at a branch of EMAs where we are now looking for the price action and how the market price will reach this zone.
Now, in previous times, we have seen a good rejection that has sent prices back to lower zones so that's what we are expecting to see once again.
Once we see a weakness near the EMAs, we are going to aim for a major support zone on bigger timeframes.
Swallow Academy
BTC Bullish Signals: MACD Golden Cross & Rising ChannelOn the daily K - line chart, the highest price of BTC reached 85,400 and the lowest was 82,750. The K - line has broken through the EMA30 trend line at 83,650 and is continuing to rise, challenging the EMA60 trend resistance level at 86,400. Additionally, as the main players significantly increase their BTC holdings, the bullish trend persists.
The MACD has continuously expanded its volume with increased holdings, and the DIF and DEA show a clear golden cross bullish trend. The K - line has even broken through the middle Bollinger Band at 83,100 and is surging upwards. Pay attention to the long - term Bollinger Band resistance level at 89,200. If there is a rapid upward movement, it is advisable to consider placing a short - selling order above 89,000 in advance with a stop - loss to prevent missing the entry point due to the main players driving up the price for selling.
On the four - hour K - line chart, an upward channel has taken shape, and a short - term bullish trend has started. Although bullish on BTC, we should not chase the price. Wait for a pullback to the support level before entering.
The EMA mid - term trend indicator is showing an upward alternating diffusion trend. The MACD has a significant increase in volume and holdings. The DIF and DEA have broken through the 0 - axis and entered the high - level zone. The Bollinger Band is opening upwards to form an upward channel. Pay attention to the upper - rail resistance at 85,900 and the middle - rail support at 82,000. The short - term BTC market has entered a slow - uptrend phase.
BTCUSD
buy@83000-83500
tp:85000-86000
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
BTC Last growth before a serious plunge! We're approaching the final leg up in this bull cycle. My projection puts the ultimate ATH around $120K, likely reached in the coming months. But don't get too comfortable—what follows could shake the market.
I'm expecting a 5-wave ABCDE correction that could bring BTC back down to the $58–60K zone, with the correction likely concluding around March 2026.
This could be the last major pump before a multi-year reset. Buckle up and plan your exits wisely. 📉📈
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #Altcoins #CycleTop #BearMarketPrep
$BTC Rebounds to $84K Amid Downtrend—Eyes on $88.8K Resistance Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $84,273.58, recovering slightly from recent lows. The price has increased 5.97% over the past 7 days, though it slipped 1.04% in the last 24 hours. The asset maintains a dominant position with a market cap of $1.67 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $28.46 billion, marking a 16.32% surge in activity.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains in a corrective bearish structure. After hitting its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19, the price entered a steady decline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. This internal structure signals a bearish break of structure (BOS), reinforced by macroeconomic pressures, including a market-wide dip triggered by Trump-era tariffs.
Technical analysis
Following a recent low near $74,000, Bitcoin has rebounded but has yet to invalidate the prevailing bearish trend. The key resistance level now lies at $88,800, which represents the most recent lower high. If Bitcoin closes above this level with strong bullish momentum, the trend could shift, potentially paving the way for a new leg up toward previous highs.
Until that breakout occurs, however, the trend remains technically bearish. A failure to overcome the $88,800 resistance could lead to renewed selling pressure. In that case, Bitcoin may retrace to support zones between $72,000 and $74,000. These levels are critical for bulls to defend in order to avoid a deeper correction.
As the market continues to digest both macroeconomic news and technical signals, all eyes remain on whether Bitcoin can flip its structure and reclaim bullish territory.
ANOTHER BULL RUN FOR BITCOINAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,892, reflecting a 1.5% increase as it attempts to break a three-month downtrend.
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge:
1. U.S. Tariff Exemptions: The Trump administration's decision to exempt key tech products from reciprocal tariffs has alleviated trade tensions, boosting investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin.
2. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The U.S. government's establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve signals institutional support for digital assets, enhancing market sentiment.
3. Market Dynamics: A significant amount of Bitcoin has been withdrawn from exchanges, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors. Additionally, a short squeeze has contributed to upward price momentum.
Finance Magnates
4. Global Adoption: Institutions like Lomond School in Scotland accepting Bitcoin for tuition fees reflect growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency.
Latest news & breaking headlines
This could be the bull run we've all been waiting for.
Analysis of the BTC Market Situation and Trading RecommendationsIn terms of the daily K-line of BTC at present, the highest price has reached 85,800, and the lowest price is 83,600. The price is still suppressed by the strong EMA60 trend line, with the resistance level at 86,300. The support provided by the EMA30 below is also very strong, and the support level is at 83,700. The overall trend shows a contracting trend. Given that the price has remained at a similar position on the trend line for several consecutive days, this situation is not common in the market. Therefore, there is a possibility that the main funds will take this opportunity to launch an upward impact. If the price fails to successfully break through the resistance level of 86,300, there is a high probability of a reverse plunge in the market. From the perspective of technical indicators, the MACD indicator has continuously increased in volume, indicating signs of capital inflow. However, the K-line shows a divergent state due to facing strong pressure. The Bollinger Bands are in a sideways state. Currently, the K-line is at the middle band at 82,850 but has been unable to make an upward impact on the upper band's resistance level of 88,200. In this situation, whether it can effectively break through the box resistance level of 86,250 has become the key to the market trend.
On the four-hour K-line chart, the characteristics of the top structure are remarkable. The K-line continues to move sideways above the trend line. At the same time, the trend indicators show an upward alternating diffusion trend. This kind of top divergence structure has frequently appeared in past market conditions. At this time, the MACD indicator has decreased in volume and is moving downward. The DIF and DEA indicators are also diffusing downward at a high level. However, the K-line is moving upward in divergence from them. The Bollinger Bands are in a contracting state. Pay attention to the upper band's resistance level at 85,700, and the lower band's support level is at 82,700. The current contracting market is still continuing, and the top divergence situation is becoming more and more serious. Based on this market situation, before the box is broken, investors can consider conducting swing trading. Once the box is broken, determine the subsequent investment direction according to the new market pattern.
BTC Trading Suggestion:
buy@83000-83500 tp:84500-85500
sell@86500-87000 tp:85500-84500
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
This looks probable for a low being in now. During the run up and repeatedly around 100K I spoke of the different risk setups in the bear move.
I think there's a good chance these are passed for now. Contingent on sensible stops under the low, I think this is probably a good spot to get back in for a passive trade.
Targeting retest of highs.
Will update if plans change, otherwise- simple stuff from here.
BTCUSD is Going to Fall ? 79K Again...BTCUSD | Liquidity Grab Before Major Drop? (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea :
Timeframe: 1H
Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential liquidity grab around the major resistance zone near 85.5k–86k. The price tapped into the imbalance zone, likely triggering buy stops and drawing in late longs.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Liquidity sweep just above recent highs
Multiple internal liquidity zones below acting as potential magnet
Potential fake breakout, followed by sharp rejection
Final target could be the external liquidity around 74k–76k
Trade Setup:
Short entry after liquidity is swept above 85.5k with confirmation
Stop-loss: above 86.5k
Targets: 82k, 80k, and 74k (external liquidity)
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term Play)
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and risk management before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #MarketStructure#ShortSetup #BearishBias #LiquiditySweep #TraderMindset #TradingViewIdeas #DYOR
Bitcoin - 2025After a long consolidation around $100,000, and a correction of ~32% from the top, it seems we are preparing for a new move.
In the previous idea, I mentioned that there could be either consolidation or a healthy correction, but both happened.
I will describe several scenarios that I see.
I will describe only positive, super-positive and ultra-positive ones.
Since the negative sounds like this - we have already reached the peak, there will be a small over-high, and we will go bearish.
Positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $150,000-$200,000
Super-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $200,000-$300,000
Ultra-positive scenario - parabolic growth, with a new peak in the region of $300,000-$400,000
Now you must ask - can we really reach $400,000, how is this possible, with the current price of $84,000, and April outside the window?
I will tell you that there is nothing complicated or incredible here, that is why it is ultra-positive.
But you should focus only on positive and negative scenarios, and not float in the clouds hoping for a miracle.
As for altcoins, in this scenario, I don't think Bitcoin dominance will last long, so high, in any case, soon there will either be an overflow and altcoins will start shooting, or we will all die from the paws of bears
HOLD YOUR BEARS, IT'S NOT OVER
Bitcoin Market: Precarious Balance & Trading TacticsCurrently, in the daily candlestick chart of Bitcoin, the highest price of the candlestick is 85,500, and the lowest is 83,000. It has been fluctuating sideways at a high level for five consecutive days. There are trading opportunities in this box - shaped market condition, but frequent trading is not advisable.
On a larger scale, an ascending flag - shaped wedge pattern has been formed. This pattern is prone to false breakouts of support or resistance levels, which may lead to the loss of profits, so it is necessary to focus on avoiding such situations.
In terms of technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been continuously increasing in volume and moving upward. The Difference (DIF) and the Exponential Moving Average (DEA) are diverging upward from a low position. After the Bollinger Bands moved sideways, the candlestick stands above the middle band. The resistance level of the upper band is at 87,000. There is a profit - making space for short - term long positions, and short selling should be carried out with caution at the current market situation.
In the four - hour candlestick chart, the flag pattern is quite obvious. The fast line has formed support points at 83,000 three times. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) trend indicator is contracting, and the market shows a top divergence trend, which poses a great risk. The MACD is continuously decreasing in volume, and DIF and DEA are contracting above the zero axis. Within the Bollinger Bands, the candlestick has probed the upper band at 85,700 and touched the lower band at 83,000. This kind of whipsaw market is likely to mislead people.
Investors should follow their trading plans, buy at the support level of 83,000, set stop - loss orders properly, and wait for the market to verify the returns.
BTCUSD
buy@83000-83500
tp:84500-86000
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
At present, a selling phenomenon has emergedAt present, a selling phenomenon has emerged😰, and a large number of traders are waiting for the market to open⏰.
When other markets open on Monday, the situation of a large amount of capital flowing out to other trading fields also deserves attention. 😟
Especially the flows to the XAU/USD and USOIL markets, or other foreign exchange markets. 💱 The movement of funds to these areas might be influenced by economic news, geopolitical events, or simply portfolio re - balancing by investors. 📰
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@84000 - 84500
🎯 TP 82500 - 81500
Recently, the market has been extremely volatile 😱, which has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟💪.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
BTC has broken bearish channel resistance on daily chart BTC has broken bearish channel resistance on daily chart.
Generally in those situations the most common outcome is that the price action returns back to the channel first and forms new low, and after that it can flip and change the trend or it can resume the bearish move.
Anther possibility here is that we are entering range in are between 75k and 87k.
In, short I do not recommend buying at the moment. I would like the price at lower levels before I make new long entry.