BTC LONG SWING ENTRY OFF PREVIOUS LOW AREASWe are looking to make a BTC long entry on previously supported levels using just chart analysis. Looking at a rebound on a daily actual range trade where add on possible reversal and scale out into the a new local high.
In short, buying the gold, adding in the blue, scaling out into the green.
As you can see been a while so playing this small, getting back into the action
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSDWeekly Bullish Retracement is upon us! $102,500 is where Price will encounter its massive Bearish Continuation.
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Short position openedI invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding.
Trade set up:
Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H)
Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high)
Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart)
Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart .
Reasons:
Weekly:
MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside.
The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside.
Daily:
RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish.
The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line.
4H:
The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line.
Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bullish Reversal PlayAfter a sharp drop, BTC is testing a key liquidity zone around 78.2k. The market structure suggests a potential bullish reversal, with a fakeout and recovery in sight.
📌 Trade Idea:
Entry: After confirmation of a reclaim and bullish structure break (above ~79.3k)
SL: Below recent low ~77.6k
TP: 82.8k zone
RRR: ~3.2
📅 Timeframe: 30min
📈 Bias: Counter-trend long
🔁 Watch for: Price reaction at current support and market structure shift
🚨 Wait for confirmation – patience is key in volatile conditions!
#202514 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: The move I was writing and have been expecting for multiple weeks started today and 75k is the target. I won’t repeat all of it. Chart is clear and now it’s on bears to make meaningful lower lows. Below 70k you will likely see some panic.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 90k
bull case: Bulls tried and failed under 90000. Now their last hope is to keep it above 75000 or risk going down to 70000 or below. I absolutely have nothing for them besides praying that 75000 holds.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears have all the arguments now and the chart is clear as day. Would not be the first time a market would do the opposite of what’s expected but you will not make money in the long run if you only bet on the low probability things happen. Maybe you can but you have to be S-Tier trader amongst traders. Much easier to follow the trend here. 75000 was my big target and I hope we crash to 69000.
Invalidation is above 90k.
short term: Full bear for 75000 or lower.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: Short since 85000. Stop is 89000 no matter where you go short.
chart update: Removed one minor broken bear trend line.
Bitcoin's Fork in the Road: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin is currently in a short-term downtrend, showing some weakness. Last week, the price traded within a tight range, sparking hope for an upward shift. However, Bitcoin remains below the 200-day moving average (200MA), which is still a significant hurdle for any bullish momentum to gain strength.
Key support levels to watch are at $77K and $74K. If Bitcoin drops below $77K and breaks through the $74K level, it could signal a deeper decline, possibly testing the 46K mark. Until Bitcoin can reclaim the 200MA and hold above key support levels, the market sentiment will likely stay cautious.
BTC looking for liquidity in 69,000Here’s the translation to English:
Next week, a sell-off is expected if we follow our continuous pattern analysis and candlestick reading.
From what we can see, the next candle that will form next week is likely to be bearish, and it will help us identify our entry point for a buy position.
The fourth candle will give us more confirmation and confidence to take the trade, as it is expected that this fourth candle may close with indecision (Doji Candle).
BTC Range PredictionBTC Scenario #1- If don’t hold the 7 and 9 EMA and push up then I expect a flip to bullish and retest a Low volume node indicated as a blue trendline which indicates a resistance and Supply Zone. Either we push through this resistance / Supply Zone and test blue dotted line which is POC (Point of Control) or we push past POC and retest the VAH (Volume Area High).
BTC Scenario #2- If continue dropping from the 7 and 9 EMA. I expect a drop to VAL (Volume Area Low) then retest the Low Volume node / Resistance Level ( blue trendline) then possibly drop below the High Volume Node also know as the Ledge. Seeing that price reversed and began pushing up when we swept the High Volume Node. If do reverse at this same area after retesting the Low Volume Node then I can assume we will test the POC (blue dotted line) or past through the POC to test VAH
Bitcoin: luckily, left behindThis was one of extremely rare weeks when traders could say that the move of BTC toward the downside was not at all bad. They just need to see developments on other financial markets as of the end of the previous week. Despite the general sale off, it could be noted that BTC strongly holded its grounds, and most importantly, was not affected too much with news regarding the trade war. The price of BTC was relatively calm, compared with other financial assets, which was relatively good news. The price was moving within a relatively short range, between $85K and $82K. There was a short move toward the $88,1K, but it was just one short occasion.
The RSI continues to be in a silent mood, moving around the level of 45, for the last two weeks, implying that BTC currently has no trade direction. Very important development is occurring with MA lines. Namely, for the second week in a row they are highly converging toward each other, implying that the potential cross is just right around the corner. This is going to be a so-called dead-cross, implying on potential trend change.
Evidently, at this moment markets are not at all concerned about the crypto currencies, as they have some significant developments on the other side. The volatility would certainly continue in the coming period, but to what extent BTC will be affected, is hard to estimate. Is BTC going to be an asset to be sold by some investors in order to cover margin calls from other markets? Is there a leg in the reflection of major developments from traditional markets on the crypto market? Those are questions which will seek the answer in the week to come. Based on charts, there are equal opportunities for BTC to shortly reach the $85K, but the charts are also pointing toward the $78K in the coming period. The fundamentals from other markets will decide the course of BTC in the week ahead. Trading precaution is highly advisable.
ideaThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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Buy Bitcoin📈 BTC/USD – Liquidity Recovered, Price Reacting
This chart shows BTC (candles) vs. M2 Global Liquidity (yellow, 77-day delay).
M2 dropped ~4% in late 2024, then fully recovered that drop in early 2025.
BTC is now reacting to that move with a delay of ~77 days, showing strength off ~$80K support.
If M2 breaks out from here, BTC could trend toward $90K–100K, possibly ATH by mid-June.
To hold above $80K, M2 likely needs ~4–6% YoY growth or clear upward momentum.
If M2 double-tops, BTC may peak within 60–77 days.
Liquidity leads, Bitcoin follows — and M2 just reclaimed 4%.