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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin About To Dump?Yesterday’s daily and weekly candle closes were the highest in Bitcoin’s history – a strong bullish technical signal in theory. But almost immediately after the close, price reversed sharply, casting doubt on the breakout above $106,000. More importantly, we’re seeing a potential bearish divergence developing. Price made a higher high, while RSI printed a lower high and is now dropping out of overbought territory. This divergence is confirmed across all lower time frames and is even forming on the weekly, though that still needs confirmation. Adding to the concern – the move up occurred on low Sunday volume, which always raises an eyebrow. The broader market also feels euphoric, but this is happening in an environment where macro uncertainty still looms large. This could be a fakeout above resistance, and caution is warranted here. A confirmed breakdown back into the prior range would shift the short-term bias to bearish. Stay sharp – signals are starting to flash yellow.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
Coiled to Explode? BTC Printing Higher Lows into ResistanceContext – Structural Overview BTC has returned to its all-time high resistance zone ($103K–$106K). The yellow zone marks a multi-month consolidation range — we’ve now re-entered the top of that range, testing for breakout. This is the fifth test of supply, with bulls showing growing aggression, but now showing early signs of exhaustion. Technical Breakdown 1. Price Action – Multi-Touch Resistance BTC is pressing up against the same resistance zone that capped price for months. Each pullback has created a higher low (marked with circles) — a sign of accumulation and pressure build-up. But Friday’s candle shows rejection from the upper range, forming a possible short-term shooting star. Key takeaway: Market is either coiling for a breakout… or setting a bull trap at major resistance. 2. Volume – Weak Breakout Follow-Through Volume has not increased significantly on this recent breakout attempt — a red flag. The previous breakout attempt also failed on low volume. For a true breakout above $106K, we need to see a volume spike + strong candle body. 3. MACD – Bullish Momentum Slowing MACD is still bullish, but the histogram is fading, suggesting momentum is weakening. No bearish crossover yet, but it’s flattening, indicating stall risk. If histogram turns red, expect consolidation or a potential pullback. 4. RSI – Rejected at Overbought Line RSI tagged 70 and immediately reversed, failing to push into extreme bullish territory. Classic RSI rejection behavior at overbought levels — especially at key resistance. This adds weight to the idea of a short-term top or cool-off phase. Fibonacci & Structural Context This zone overlaps with previous all-time highs and top-side of consolidation. Technically, this is a Golden Pocket Zone for a bull breakout or failure. Macro crypto sentiment is bullish, ETF flows are strong, and institutional adoption is ongoing. However, BTC has rallied ~40%+ off March lows, and the market may need to shake out weak longs before pushing to new highs. Conclusion – High-Stakes Zone, Leaning Short-Term Toppy Bearish Case (most likely short-term scenario) Failed breakout above $106K; RSI rejection + MACD slowing; No volume confirmation. Could trigger a pullback toward $96K– GETTEX:92K support Bearish Setup: • Entry: below $102.5K • Target: $96K, then GETTEX:92K • Stop: above $106.5K • Risk:Reward ~ 1:3 🚀 Bullish Case Structure shows higher lows = ascending pressure If BTC closes strong above $106K on high volume, the range is broken. Next target = $114K–$120K Bullish Setup: • Entry: confirmed close > $106.5K • Stop: under $102K • Targets: $114K, then $120K+ Final Thought: BTC is testing a multi-month ceiling with weak momentum, which often results in a short-term reversal or false breakout trap. But don’t fade it blindly — volume will confirm which way this breaks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BenRoses
BTC still consolidates within a rangeIf you were like me, you got a little dose of hopium after BTC closed above last week's resistance around $105k. Nonetheless, resistance was expected from $105k - $108k with price starting the week with a bearish engulfing candle, currently trading around $103.1k. We will have to see if last week's support around $101.5k holds. If the price continues with bullish momentum and does something like the period from 22 Apr - 6 May, a successful bull flag breakout could take BTC to $115k. If support is lost, we could see retests of previous levels as low as $94.5k. However, my guess would be a test of $97.5k before going higher, creating a HHHL market structure.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RayneOnChain
May 16 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There is no separate indicator announcement. We proceeded with trend following. After entering the 1st long position at the top, If it does not break away from the purple support line, it goes up vertically. *We proceeded along the red finger movement path in the next wave. We expected the movement to be a strong rise. From the bottom breakaway, it is open up to the 2nd section, and we will omit the detailed explanation. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. At the bottom left, with a purple finger, I connected the long position entry section of 101,785.1 dollars that I had on the 15th. The current position is the 30 + 1 section, but since the 4 and 6-hour central lines were also touched at the same time, the mid-term pattern is broken, and the daily chart MACD dead cross is in progress. The strategy is one-way, one-way, I am explaining it only on one page of the 30-minute chart, so it is limited, but I organized it as simply as possible. *When the blue finger moves Two-way neutral Short->Long or long waiting strategy 1. 104,791.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken 2. 103,241.8 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken After that, long position target price in the order of Good -> Great -> Refer to pink finger simulation. If it touches the top once or comes down right away from the current position, it is the final long waiting strategy at the bottom section 2. From the bottom section breakout, it is open from 3 -> 99345.9 dollars. Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin H4 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 99,502.40 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 92,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 106,765.40 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
The Calm Before the Dump🧠 What we’re watching: Trendline break from late March → backtest complete → potential rollover Price is starting to form a lower high – classic reversal structure forming MACRO support eyed at $91,429 (red zone) and then psychological $80K Volume divergence + lower RSI highs pointing to exhaustion 🧯 🪓 The “90K zones again” annotation may become reality faster than bulls expect. 🎯 Bearish Targets: $95,429 – liquidity sweep zone $89,005 – strong structural support Max fear level: $69,711 (previous macro floor) ❗ Caution: If BTC can’t reclaim and hold above $105K quickly, momentum could accelerate to the downside. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #BearishScenario #TA #BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by oTokyou
Bitcoin Retests Ascending Trendline After BreakoutBTCUSD daily chart shows price action respecting a rising trendline, following a successful breakout from previous pattern. This ascending trendline now acts as a key dynamic support and serves as a central guide for the medium-term bullish structure. Currently, price is consolidating just below the $107,000 resistance area. There are two primary scenarios to consider: Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above the $107,000 resistance could trigger another bullish leg, targeting the next level near $120,000. Mild Bearish / Pullback Scenario: If the price gets rejected again, it may retrace towards the ascending trendline around $95,000, which aligns with previous horizontal support and could serve as a solid buy-the-dip zone. Trade Plan: Buy Entry Option 1: On a breakout above $107,000 → Target: $120,000 Buy Entry Option 2: On a bounce from the trendline near $95,000
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DNP-FX
$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher. Key levels to watch: First support: $96,000 If broken, further downside to $80,000 Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility. This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (May 9th 2025) 📊 BTCUSD Market Analysis & Trade Outlook (Post $103,500 Target) Instrument: BTCUSD Strategy Type: Probabilistic Breakout with Elliott & Gann Confluence Current Price: $102,600 Trade Horizon: 2–5 Days Timeframes Observed: 4H / Daily 🔍 Market Overview BTCUSD has successfully completed the prior trend continuation target of $103,500, respecting the bullish structure on 4H and Daily timeframes. As of now, price is consolidating just below key resistance, printing a high of $103,800 and retracing slightly to $102,600. This signals a potential decision zone where BTC may either continue its advance or initiate a deeper pullback. I define short-term key boundaries between: Upside: $106,200 – $108,400 Downside: $96,850 – $95,700 📐 Technical Structure & Key Zones Support Zone: $ 97870 , $96,850–$95,700 (Previous consolidation + high volume node) Resistance Zone: $106,200–$108,400 (Measured move & fib cluster area) Structure Bias: Bullish above $99,000; bearish pressure increases below $96,850 🔄 Elliott Wave Count (Short-Term, 4H) BTC appears to be in a Wave (3) of a higher-degree Wave 3, following a Wave (2) retracement toward $94,500. Current price movement is within a sub-wave 3 of (3), with the recent high at $103,800 potentially marking a sub-wave 3 top. A brief corrective Wave 4 could develop toward $100,500–$99,000, before a final Wave 5 drives price into the $106,200–$108,400 zone. If price fails to hold above $96,850, the structure may morph into a larger corrective Wave (4), targeting the lower boundary. 📊 Gann Analysis The Gann 1/1 angle from the March swing low is currently intersecting near $102,500–$103,000, offering resistance. Next key Gann levels: Above: $106,200 (120°) and $108,400 (135°) resistance arcs Below: $96,850 and $95,700 align with 45° and 60° support angles Timewise, entering a minor Gann cycle window on May 10–11, often associated with inflection points. Watch for breakout or reversal signals near this period. 🎯 Trade Scenario Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) Trigger: 4H close above $104,000 Target Zones: TP1: $106,200 TP2: $108,400 Invalidation: 4H close below $99,000 (consider tightening SL) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Pullback) Trigger: Break below $99,000, especially on strong volume Target Zones: TP1: $97870 or $96,850 TP2: $95,700 Invalidation: Close above $104,000 invalidates pullback thesis ⚙️ Strategic Trade Notes Scalping & Swinging Options: Consider range scalps within $102,000–$99,000, but prepare for trend breakout. Swing traders may build positions on retracement (Wave 4) with invalidation below $97870, $96,850. Risk Management: Use volatility-adjusted stop losses under key Gann levels or 50EMA on 4H. Consider tightening stops or taking partials near $106,200 to protect gains if price extends. 📌 Conclusion BTCUSD remains in a bullish macro structure but approaches a key inflection zone. A break and hold above $104,000 could launch the next impulsive leg toward $108,400. Conversely, failure to hold above $99,000 opens the door for a deeper retracement to $ 97870, $96,850–$95,700. Traders should remain flexible, aligning with the prevailing momentum while respecting structural boundaries.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by NextElliott