BTCUSD is about to sellFrom the chart, you will see that usdjpy is about sell after a small bull run.
Reasons;
1] Trendline touch strategy
2] Double top pattern
BTCUSD trade ideas
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
BTC LONG TP:108,000 24-06-2025Big green candle loading… 🚀
I’m looking to long between 105,300 and 105,800, targeting 107,800 – 108,300.
Clean setup with a 3.5 RR average, running on the 1-hour timeframe, expected to play out within 6 to 12 hours.
Technical context: The structure is primed — everything points to a big green candle coming. The setup is locked and ready.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the trade becomes invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
btc still on trackwe are close to my wave 3 target what i posted a year ago. we need 1 push higher for te minimum target wave 3. ofcourse we can extend higher butt than we need to see a good 1.2 forms on the chart.
Bitcoin Strategic Risk Framework & Market Structure Assessment.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1D) – (Jun 25, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $107,191.94.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D):
▦ EMA21 – ($105,207.93):
∴ Price has reclaimed EMA21 decisively after testing below;
∴ EMA21 maintains upward slope, indicating reactivation of short-term bullish sentiment;
∴ Dynamic support now resides at ~$105.2K.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA structure favors bullish continuation while price holds above.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($96,064.16):
∴ SMA200 remains strongly upward sloped, untouched since March 2024;
∴ Long-term momentum remains firmly bullish;
∴ No contact with SMA200 confirms macro support far below.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural support intact; macro uptrend fully confirmed.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud – ($103,065.53 / $104,456.43):
∴ Price positioned above Kumo; bullish structure remains intact;
∴ Kijun-sen ($104,456.43) and Tenkan-sen ($103,065.53) both flat, signaling short-term consolidation;
∴ Chikou Span approaches historical resistance zone; Span A and B flattening.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish trend preserved, but lacking forward thrust; potential stagnation if breakout fails.
⊢
▦ Volume (MA21) – (~129 BTC):
∴ Current volume ~128.73 BTC, slightly under the moving average;
∴ No breakout volume confirmation despite recent price thrust;
∴ Weak volume expansion reduces reliability of short-term breakout.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum requires validation through volume escalation.
⊢
▦ MACD – (-4.44 / 36.48 / -40.92):
∴ Histogram contracting upward, bearish momentum fading;
∴ MACD Line (-4.44) still below Signal Line (36.48);
∴ No confirmed bullish crossover, but compression phase active.
✴️ Conclusion: Latent bullish reversal potential; not yet validated.
⊢
▦ RSI – (55.95):
∴ RSI reclaimed level above 50, positioning in neutral-bullish zone;
∴ RSI MA at 48.78 confirms momentum shift;
∴ Positive slope suggests rising momentum, but lacks steepness.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum entering constructive zone, still not impulsive.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Structure remains technically bullish with constrained momentum;
∴ Indicators are aligned toward continuation, yet breakout conviction is hindered by insufficient volume and pending oscillator confirmation;
∴ Short-term path is upward-biased, conditional on validation.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow – (All Exchanges):
∴ Netflow remains negative on 7-day average;
∴ Sustained outflows indicate strategic accumulation or self-custody preference;
∴ No evidence of large-scale exchange inflows that signal distribution.
✴️ Conclusion: Net capital migration continues favoring off-exchange security; bullish underlying tone.
⊢
▦ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR):
∴ SSR near 17.5 indicates relatively low stablecoin dominance;
∴ Reduced buying power vs Bitcoin implies cooling short-term demand;
∴ Historically elevated SSR levels precede price consolidations or local tops.
✴️ Conclusion: Stablecoin reserves insufficient for sustained upward pressure; caution warranted.
⊢
▦ Exchange Whale Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ Whale Ratio near 0.59 denotes moderate large-holder activity;
∴ Ratio not in critical zone (>0.7), yet above accumulation range (<0.4);
∴ Potential soft distribution behavior if ratio trends upward.
✴️ Conclusion: Mixed signal - no panic, but latent whale presence requires monitoring.
⊢
▦ Miner Reserve:
∴ Miner balances steadily declining over past 30 days;
∴ Consistent outflows suggest controlled selling behavior;
∴ No aggressive miner dumping detected.
✴️ Conclusion: Miner pressure exists but remains tactical and non-destructive.
⊢
▦ Long-Term Holder SOPR (LTH-SOPR):
∴ Metric above 1.0 indicates long-term holders are in profit and realizing gains;
∴ No sharp spike detected, suggesting rational distribution;
∴ Structure consistent with healthy bull cycle mechanics.
✴️ Conclusion: Profit-taking underway in equilibrium; not a signal of panic.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Futures):
∴ Funding mildly positive (~0.002–0.004%), reflecting long positioning bias;
∴ Rates remain low, indicating lack of overcrowded trades;
∴ No sign of speculative overheating in derivatives.
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives sentiment is constructive, not euphoric; room for further upside exists.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain metrics reflect a stable yet cautious accumulation phase;
∴ Absence of sell pressure, tempered long-term holder realization, and moderate derivative sentiment suggest foundation for continuation, albeit with reduced immediate force;
∴ Confirmation must align with price and volume.
⊢
⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicvs:
▦ Geopolitical Axis – Middle East Ceasefire:
∴ Ceasefire between Israel and Iran eased global tension, triggering flight from commodities into risk assets;
∴ Brent crude declined over -2.5% following truce reports, reducing inflationary pressure;
∴ However, geopolitical fragility remains - peace is provisional, not structural;
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical relief observed; no systemic safety guaranteed.
⊢
▦ Monetary Policy – US Federal Reserve Outlook:
∴ Jerome Powell signals continued rate hold, citing sticky inflation and fragile global equilibrium;
∴ Futures markets price ~20% chance of July cut, ~60% for September;
∴ Bond yields retreating (2Y at ~3.78%), suggesting easing expectations embedded;
✴️ Conclusion: Macro liquidity conditions marginally favorable to crypto; policy risk remains asymmetric.
⊢
▦ Equities & Global Sentiment – Dow Jones / Nasdaq Futures:
∴ Dow Futures flat (~+0.02%), Nasdaq Futures rise on tech optimism;
∴ Equity markets supported by decline in oil, stabilization in rates, and AI-sector inflows;
∴ No VIX spike – volatility subdued;
✴️ Conclusion: Macro-risk appetite firming up, enhancing crypto’s speculative appeal.
⊢
▦ Derivatives Behavior & Institutional Flow:
∴ Option markets show accumulation of BTC calls at 108K–112K strike zones;
∴ Futures funding positive but low, consistent with healthy long-side conviction;
∴ No structural imbalance detected;
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives support scenario of moderate bullishness without speculative overreach.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal architecture remains bullishly aligned, but lacks velocity – movement is present without ignition;
∴ On-chain metrics reveal quiet distribution among long-term holders, yet without aggressive miner displacement or exchange flooding;
∴ Market tension is suspended in a state of equilibrium – neither contraction nor breakout assert dominion;
∴ The asymmetry of opportunity lies dormant, awaiting conviction in participation and volume.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended:
∴ Price structure above EMA21 and SMA200 confirms preservation of macro uptrend – foundation remains unbroken;
∴ Miner reserve reduction and stable LTH-SOPR suggest controlled realization, not structural weakness;
∴ However, Ichimoku flattening and low volume expansion indicate stalling momentum, lacking breakout substance.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Whale Ratio mid-levels and SSR elevation highlight proximity to potential resistance exhaustion;
∴ MACD crossover remains unconfirmed; RSI enters constructive zone without strength – reactionary rather than initiative-based;
∴ Until volume and oscillator confirmation emerge above $108.2K, posture remains protective and selective.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
BTC/USDT – 4-Hour Chart AnalysisPattern: Bullish Harmonic Reversal – BAT Pattern
Bitcoin has completed a harmonic Bullish Bat Pattern, suggesting a potential upside reversal from the D point.
Current price: $107,186
The harmonic structure follows ideal ratios:
AB retraces 30.2% of XA
BC extends 118.1% of AB
CD completes near 88.6% of XA – confirming the Bat pattern
Trade Plan:
Many traders have already entered positions.
However, if price retraces to the $104k level, a re-entry opportunity exists with a stop loss around $100k—just below the D-point and strong support zone.
Targeting the yellow upward path, the structure supports a continuation toward new highs, possibly surpassing $115k–$120k, depending on momentum.
RSI (14):
RSI is currently 67.99, approaching overbought but still supportive of bullish continuation.
A recent bullish RSI divergence strengthens the reversal scenario.
Conclusion:
This harmonic Bat pattern suggests a strong bullish structure is forming. As long as price holds above the $100k zone, buyers may continue to dominate, with high probability setups forming for trend continuation.
BULISH ON BTChi .
this in my humble forcast for the BTC ATM
juste wait for confirmation in the zones i put and you can long
BTCUSDEntry Zone: 107,116
This is your entry point, where you're looking to short BTC. Ideally, you want to ensure the price is in a bearish trend leading into this level.
Stop Loss: 3,336
The stop loss seems to be set far above the entry point, which may imply you're giving the trade some room to breathe in case there's a retest of resistance. You might want to confirm whether this is a typo or if it's a strategic choice based on volatility or broader market conditions.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 106,900
Just below your entry zone, which would yield a quick, modest profit if reached.
TP2: 106,500
A deeper target. If BTCUSD hits this level, it's confirming the bearish momentum.
TP3: 106,000
The final target. This would be a substantial move if it gets hit.
BTC BuyWe see price breaking lower highs & continuing to uptrend which is incredible. We tested a resistance & now forming multiple bullish candles indicating we are extremely bullish right now! Counter trend was broken we could see a push back up to 110k. Monitoring this one closely!
BTCUSD This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) analysis on the 4-hour timeframe, and it reflects a bullish breakout scenario. Let’s break down the structure:
---
Current Status:
Price: $107,201
Change: +1,070 (+1.01%)
---
Chart Structure & Key Zones:
Descending Wedge Formation:
Price has been trading within a falling wedge (a bullish reversal pattern), and has now broken out to the upside.
Key Resistance Zone (Light Blue Box):
Target area lies between $110,500 – $112,000, marked as the potential take-profit/supply zone.
Dotted Path Projection:
Implies a short-term bullish move continuing upward post-breakout, toward the blue resistance zone.
---
Analysis & Interpretation:
Bullish Bias Confirmed:
The breakout from the wedge pattern adds strength to the bullish outlook.
Next Steps:
A retest of the breakout level (around $105,000–$106,000) may occur before continuation.
Upon successful retest or sustained momentum, the price could surge toward $112,000.
Resistance Reaction Expected:
Watch for selling pressure or reversal patterns near the blue zone.
---
Summary:
Pattern: Falling Wedge (bullish breakout)
Immediate Support: ~$105,000
Immediate Resistance Target: $110,500–$112,000
Bias: Bullish continuation, with potential for mid-term profit-taking near the resistance zone.
---
Would you like exact entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels based on this breakout?
BTC PRICE TARGET BULLISH FLAG + GLOBAL M2BTC PRICE TARGET BULLISH FLAG + GLOBAL M2
Bitcoin Price Target According to Bullish Flag: 147K
Bitcoin Price Target According to Global M2: 140-150K
BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel📍 BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel
Bitcoin has surged sharply from the lower boundary of its descending channel and is now reaching another “Edge” — the upper resistance line.
🎯 Two Key Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Breakout: A clear breakout above ~$108,000 with strong volume could initiate a new leg toward $111K and beyond
🟨 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the channel may lead to a corrective wave back toward $103K or lower
This is a classic "decision point" — where market structure and momentum meet supply and resistance.
—
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TheEdge #ChannelTrading #EMA #BitcoinResistance #MJTrading #CryptoSetup #SwingTrade #MarketStructure #BreakoutOrRejection #KeyLevel #TrendWatch
Updated Chart and Levels. Peace firstVideo:
🕊️💛 Bitcoin Love and Peace! Let's go 🚀🧘♂️
Hello Traders,
The world may be tense, but Bitcoin is offering a beacon of calm and opportunity. 🌍💡 We've established strong support at 106,153 and 105,962, and with peace settling in geopolitically and a softer tone from the Fed, the market is primed for movement.
📊 What I see:
Support is holding beautifully
Short-term breakout structure building up
Immediate resistance at 109,801
Bigger test zones at 113,800 and 114,598
Altcoins? They're sitting in the backseat. BTC dominance is around 65%, confirming that Bitcoin is the leader right now. If you're hunting momentum, this is where your focus should be.
As I always say—never long disaster, never short peace. And right now, with the War of 12 Days behind us, Bitcoin reflects hope and progress.
So let’s trade smart, stay grounded, and always remember—hate makes you part of the problem, love makes you part of the solution. Let’s build a world where even enemies become friends. 💞
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin Love and Peace! Let's go🚀📈 Bitcoin Rally Gains Steam with Strong Support in Place 💪🧠
Hello Traders,
After a period of geopolitical tension and heavy volatility, the charts are finally giving us a breath of calm. 🕊️ BTC/USD on the 15-minute chart has formed a solid base of support between 106,153 and 105,962. This area has now held up well and is acting as a launchpad for potential upside continuation.
🔍 Technically speaking, we’re observing:
Price holding above the 0.5 Fib retracement
A short-term breakout structure forming higher highs
Key interim resistance at 109,801
Long-term resistance to watch at 113,800 and the crucial macro test at 114,598
With Bitcoin dominance sitting at 65%, it's clear: this is Bitcoin’s moment. Altcoins are lagging, and BTC is leading the charge.
⚖️ The broader narrative is also shifting. The Fed's dovish tone adds to market stability, and in times of peace, Bitcoin thrives. But the key level to monitor remains 109K. A breakout above that sets us up for a major move.
Let's keep an eye on this structure. A failure to hold the 105K zone would shift the outlook, but for now, all systems are GO 🚦.
🕊️ Remember, in both trading and life—hate divides, love unites. Choose to be part of the solution.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC?USD - Bullish Channel Holding StrongBitcoin is currently respecting a well-formed ascending channel on the 5-minute chart. After multiple tests of both the upper and lower boundaries, the price continues to trade within this bullish structure. This consistent higher-high, higher-low formation indicates that short-term momentum remains with the bulls.
📌 Key Observations:
Price is bouncing off the lower boundary of the channel – strong short-term support.
Midline (dashed) is acting as a dynamic reaction zone for intraday movement.
The red horizontal line at 106,135 marks a key support level from a prior breakout zone.
A potential re-test of the upper boundary near 107,200 could be on the cards if this structure holds.
💡 Trade Idea:
Long bias remains valid as long as price stays inside the channel.
Watch for a breakout above the channel for potential continuation.
A breakdown below the channel and 106,135 could invalidate the bullish setup.
BTC RAGINGBitcoin continues its rally, now pushing toward $107K after a sharp three-day surge. The key development here was a sweep of the range lows just below $100,000, where price wicked down, flushed weak hands, and immediately reversed with authority. That fakeout move set the stage for a strong bounce, triggering what now looks like a classic deviation below support.
From there, Bitcoin ripped higher, reclaiming the critical $105,787 horizontal level and flipping it into support. That level had acted as resistance for much of June, capping upside progress — but now that price is holding above it, the breakout has legs. Importantly, the move also reclaimed the 50-day moving average, further solidifying the bullish case.
Volume is ticking higher as well, adding confirmation to the price action. As long as Bitcoin holds above $105,787, the next upside target sits clearly at $112,000 — the swing high from earlier this month. A breakout above that level could open the door to fresh highs and renewed momentum.
If, however, price falls back below $105K, this rally risks turning into a failed breakout — with a potential revisit to the $100K area. But for now, structure has shifted back in favor of the bulls, and the sweep of sub-$100K lows looks like it successfully reset the market.
BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSDbuy btc
sl 103113
tp 106511
1% risk on this trade
like an follow
looking for new traders to be friends with
if you new to trading in 2025 lets be friends
dont be shy
BTCUSDbuying btc
sl 103,166
tp 110,578
1% risk on this trade
like an follow
note: if you like btc trading like me lets be friends, if your a new trader also
i will be down to be friends dont be shy
Clear View zooming out This Pattern may be playing out and retesting but its not confirmed until we have an RSI break out -
For clarification, i dont believe we would hit the upside target given the timing but it is very possible this may be a longer term play-
Pull backs are normal but the trend way upwards would be clear.
Bitcoin Long: Going for Final Wave 5 of 5Bitcoin has hit the previous target and even breached lower. Now I believe the time has come to go long again with the stop just below recent low of around $98,500 and the take profit target as the old high of $112,000.
Good luck!
