Clear View zooming out This Pattern may be playing out and retesting but its not confirmed until we have an RSI break out -
For clarification, i dont believe we would hit the upside target given the timing but it is very possible this may be a longer term play-
Pull backs are normal but the trend way upwards would be clear.
BTCUSD trade ideas
#Btc Faces Crucial Decision Near Resistance — Bearish DivergeBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance.
This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move.
However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow.
103 to 101K trade and reverse H&S patternMorning folks,
So, our Thu setup is done perfect, both targets are met and even more. Now we consider two different fast trades on BTC.
Now context remains bearish and 103K is rather strong 4H resistance area. So, first trade is scalp "Sell" from ~ 103K with "at least" target of 101K. In fact, choosing of 101K as a minimal target is based on the 2nd trade.
2nd trade is potential reverse H&S is sentiment on the market will start changing. But this is not the fact yet. That's why I place downside arrow here as well, if H&S will not be formed or start failing, BTC could drop lower so, downside trade might be even better.
$BTC Update CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $106,586 resistance in effect and testing as of now, $104,987 current support. $103,093 key support from here, $107,461 support required to reattempt taking $110,423. Dropping volume on 1D, Previous daily closed trying to follow thru on a bullish engulfing from Monday's close, current 1W looking massive good but it's just the beginning of the week - Watch given S/R.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,943.66
1st Support: 101.141.44
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
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Bearish Money Flow looking for 101kPer 2hr chart I can see a bearish divergence as smart money is unloading. This is is a liquidity grab by the whales. I eventually see Bitcoin retracing back to 98k. I will layered my charts gradually for you to review... disclosure I do have a short position active.
Bitcoin Price Chart Analysis (30-Min, BITSTAMP🔍 Key Observations:
1. Resistance Zone (106,500–107,000):
Price is testing a strong horizontal resistance area, marked by the green rectangle.
This zone has acted as resistance multiple times (highlighted with orange circles), suggesting supply pressure.
2. Triple Top Formation:
The three orange circles mark failed breakout attempts at the resistance level, forming a triple top pattern, a bearish reversal signal.
Each top is followed by a price drop, showing seller dominance near this zone.
3. Current Price Action:
Price is currently at 106,777, near the resistance peak again.
A downward arrow points to a projected target of 104,399, implying a potential short-term bearish move if rejection happens again.
4. Support Zones:
104,399 is marked as a short-term target and potential support level.
A major support zone also exists around the 100,000 level, indicated by the green horizontal box and upcoming economic events (red/blue news icons).
5. Trendlines & Patterns:
Earlier trendline breakouts (rising wedge and falling wedge) led to short rallies and corrections.
The most recent bullish move seems to be losing momentum at this resistance.
---
📉 Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bearish bias in the short term unless Bitcoin breaks and holds above the 107,000 resistance level.
If rejected again, the price may fall toward the 104,399 target, and possibly lower if bearish momentum strengthens.
Traders may look for confirmation (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, volume drop) before entering short positions.
BTC LONG TP:106,600 24-06-2025We’re looking for a quick long from 104,500 to 105,100, aiming for targets between 106,400 and 107,100.
This move offers an average 4 RR on the 1-hour timeframe, and we expect it to play out within 12 to 16 hours.
Technical context: BTC still needs to reach the 107k area before showing signs of a reversal. This is a potential pre-drop pump setup.
Manage your stop-loss according to your strategy and stay updated for the next move.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the trade becomes invalid.
symmetrical triangle in progressBitcoin has been consolidating at this level for several weeks, easing some of the pressure in order to push above 120K. As of today, we have a clear formation—a large symmetrical triangle—which confirms the continuation of the upward trend and rules out any possibility of returning to lower levels.
Chart Pattern Analysis of Bitcoin.
K4 close at high price area, but still failed to close upon the downtrend line,
If K5 close upon the line,
The strong bullish momentum will be verified here,
And the market will accelerate to test or break up 112K area.
It is also possible that the market consolidate around the downtrend line,
And days later, it chose to break up or fall down.
If I didn’t bought it earlier,
I will not buy it here.
It is still possible that the following candles fall to test 101K or 103K area.
I will try to buy it there.
Another crash?Crypto Market Crash: U.S.-Iran War Triggers Bitcoin Drop Below $101K and Sparks Panic selling, experts warn that this may just be the beginning.
While BTC’s price dropped to almost $98K, there was enough market response to support going back above that psychological six-figure mark by the day’s close.
However, the crypto market is extremely vulnerable to global flashpoints, especially when there’s potential for escalation,” said a senior analyst from CoinGape. “We’re now in a wait-and-watch phase, but if Iran retaliates or tensions spread, crypto markets could face another brutal leg down.
In the short term, the US involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict will result in a massive crypto market crash, as short sells would form. The Bitcoin price could drop nearly 10-20%, crashing altcoins and the rest of the market amid panic and risk-off sentiments.
Similar to recent reactions, the investors may shift to USD, gold, and safe-haven assets, worsening the crypto’s performance. While it’s a crash, the oil price would rise, and the Fed would delay the rate cuts, further impacting crypto valuations.
BTC: neutral case analysisBITFINEX:BTCUSD
Hello
Based on last 3 bull cycles and bear cycles, I did some calculations and this pattern is the result of it.
Take it with a pinch of salt, this might not even be close, but just past data gives me this fractal.
Here are the peak Bitcoin (BTC) prices for the years you mentioned:
2013: $1,156
2017: $19,497
2021: $67,566
We can now treat these as the values of the quadratic function:
a=1156 (for year 2013)
b=19497 (for year 2017)
c=67566 (for year 2021)
However, to apply the formula:
Price(x) = a⋅x2 + b⋅x + c
Using a quadratic fit to the BTC peak prices in 2013, 2017, and 2021, we get the following estimated prices:
2017: $19,497 (matches actual)
2021: $67,566 (matches actual)
2025: $145,363
Above is the AI calculation, I think it is about right.
Happy trading
Cheers
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-24 : Post Market UpdateThis post-market update highlights the weakening volume while my primary proprietary modeling system continues to stay BULLISH.
The markets are really quite interesting right now. Weakening volume in this Gapping uptrend, today, suggests traders are not buying into the ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Additionally, the move in metals suggests a PANIC phase has setup in the US markets.
This type of panic phase typically leads to selling of assets and moving capital into CASH.
I suggest traders continue to prepare for a moderate melt upward trend over the next few days - but be prepared for any potential breakdown (possibly trying to FILL THE GAP).
This market appears to be running on fumes.
While I believe Trump's policies will lead to a stronger bullish price trend over the next few years, these disruptions and the potential for consumers to pull away from spending/economic activity over the second half of 2025 is still very real.
Buckle up.
At this point, hedge your trades, move some capital into CASH and prepare for bigger price volatility as we move into July 2025.
Get some.
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BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 106000-105500
TP 105000-104500
BUY 140500-103500
TP 105000-106000
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USD
1. Questionable Bullish Bias
The chart labels the structure as "Bullish," but the current setup looks more like a potential distribution phase than a healthy continuation pattern.
The price is moving sideways with declining volume, suggesting buyers are losing strength.
2. Volume Discrepancy
Notice the spike in volume during the sharp move up, followed by flat candles and lower volume.
This is typical of a "pump and fade" structure, where large players exit after a rapid price move, leaving retail traders with poor entries.
3. Resistance Not Clearly Broken
Price failed to sustain above 105,800–106,000, indicating that the resistance zone remains valid.
The recent rejection candles near this level suggest sellers are active and overhead pressure is strong.
4. Descending Into Compression
The blue "descending" structure before the sideways move may signal a bearish flag or a pause before further downside—not necessarily a bullish sign.
5. False Reversal Warning
The bullish pattern drawn with zig-zags (implying consolidation before continuation) could actually be setting up a bull trap.
If price fakes a bounce and then breaks below 104,800, a sharper decline toward the 103,000 target could accelerate quickly.
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)