BTCUSD shortAfer breaking the corrective ABC structure, we will at least move bearish forward the previous low. We could see a bigger corrective structure
BTCUSD trade ideas
Last chance to make profit from BTC with buying positionBullish flag
Strong resistance breakout
2 bull points
Position trade spot buying
Bitcoin completing timecycle on oct 2025 after that it would be 4th time if market again crash for around 70%
Manage your risk in both future and spot trading
Note: NO analysis would 100% profitable trading is the game of probability and risk management so follow your trading plan with proper risk reward and win rate.
Bitcoin Correction Unfolding — First Wave in MotionAfter successfully hitting the BITCOIN target and anticipating a major correction in my previous ideas, here’s how the first wave of that correction is shaping up on the daily chart:
1- At the recent high, a Shooting Star candle formed — a classic reversal signal.
2- Using Volunacci analysis, the price retraced exactly to the Golden Zone, validating the first leg of the pullback.
3- The next step? A breakdown of the blue trendline would likely send us toward the Volunacci target at $108,600.
4- For confirmation, we're watching the RSI trendline — if it breaks down as well, it would strongly support the bearish continuation.
The setup is clean and developing as expected — it's all about following price and letting the chart guide the story.
BTC #15-minute BTC/USD chart This 15-minute BTC/USD chart shows price action within an ascending channel. Recently, Bitcoin broke below the channel's midline and dipped to a key demand zone (highlighted in grey), triggering a liquidity grab (marked as "GFL"). Price has since retraced to the 50% level of the drop, which may act as resistance. A failure to reclaim the channel could indicate further downside.
BitcoinBullish momentum short term based as the initial direction is bearish movement. With cot report indicationg long term bearish momentum.
Is Genius act , really genius ?!In my view GENIUS act is really harmful for crypto. It will force stablecoin issuers to buy a huge amount of U.S. treasuries/debt to stay in the U.S.
For the largest stable coin tether, we have two scenarios here:
1. Tether complies:
If the largest stablecoin, Tether, complies, the entire crypto market will become tightly bound to the U.S. economy. So, if the U.S. economy takes a dive, crypto will follow—hard. We already see correlation, but this will supercharge it.
On top of that, a crypto selloff could trigger one of these stablecoins to go bankrupt, forcing them to dump their U.S. treasuries, which would send shockwaves through the U.S. economy itself.
2. Tether refuses:
If Tether rejects this requirement, the U.S. might ban it. That could trigger a massive market crash. Worse, Tether might start to depeg from the dollar, like Luna did — and we all remember how that ended: absolute bloodbath.
Also it's fun to know how Chatgpt as an unbiased viewer thinks about genius act and it's relation with alt coins pump :
1. “Regulation = legitimacy” hopium
People see the GENIUS Act and think:
"OMG crypto is finally legal in the U.S. Let’s YOLO into everything that’s not a stablecoin!"
So even though the law targets stablecoins, it gives the illusion that altcoins are now “safe” to buy. Spoiler: they’re not.
2. USDC & Tether under pressure → people rotate into altcoins
Smart money’s thinking:
"If stablecoins get frozen or boring, let's ride the volatility wave elsewhere."
➡️ So they ditch stablecoins or high-cap BTC/ETH and ape into altcoins for bigger upside (or gambling addiction, whichever).
3. Low-cap alts pump on hype & narrative
Always happens. Whenever a big regulatory event hits:
ETH L2s pump (Polygon, Arbitrum)
Privacy coins get spicy (Monero, Zcash)
Meme coins go nuts (because why not)
Layer-1s and DEX tokens get love (Solana, Avalanche, Uniswap)
Everyone's front-running some imaginary future utility.
4. Retail sees green candles and FOMOs in
You know how it goes:
Twitter says “GENIUS Act = bullish for crypto”
TikTokers scream “ALT SEASON BABY 🚀”
People ape into garbage with 12 commas in the name
So prices go up. Until they don’t.
⚠️ WARNING: This pump is not based on fundamentals
It’s pure:
Misinterpretation
Speculation
Short-term rotation
a sprinkle of dumbass energy
It can reverse fast if market digests the actual legal implications.
Altcoins are pumping because people mistakenly think regulation = approval = pump season. Also because crypto traders have the attention span of a goldfish on Adderall.
BTC #15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart This 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart shows price action within an ascending channel. Recently, the price broke below the midline and touched the lower channel boundary, bouncing back slightly afterward. A marked "QFL" (Quick Flip Level) zone with a 50% retracement is highlighted, suggesting a potential area of interest for buyers or a price reaction point. The shaded region indicates strong demand/support around the $117,200–$118,000 range. A breakdown below this support could signal further bearish momentum.
thanking you
Will this be the first proper alt szn since 2020?Altcoins are waking up. While Bitcoin has surged over 600% since 2022, Ethereum and smaller coins have lagged behind. But that might be changing. With ETHBTC breaking its downtrend, BTC dominance dropping, and political momentum building around crypto regulation, the stage could be set for a true altcoin season. In this video, we break down the charts, the trends, and what could come next. Is this the real deal or just another fakeout? Let me know what you think.
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
Remmember
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this.
In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle.
This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k.
Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin at the Edge of the Fibonacci Gate - Silent Strain.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 18, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $118,866.60.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - (Exponential Moving Average - 9 Close):
∴ EMA9 is currently positioned at $119,077.81, closely tracking the current price, acting as dynamic micro-support;
∴ The slope of EMA9 remains upward, with price consistently closing above it in the past sessions;
∴ Compression candles are forming above this line, suggesting it is being defended as a tactical floor.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA9 is structurally supportive, signaling short-term bullish control beneath compression.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - (Exponential Moving Average - 21 Close):
∴ EMA21 is placed at $118,537.29 and holds a clear upward slope;
∴ Recent pullbacks have tested the region near EMA21 but failed to close beneath it;
∴ EMA21 is establishing itself as the primary mid-range buffer zone within this bullish phase.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 confirms intermediate momentum preservation and mid-term trend integrity.
⊢
▦ EMA50 - (Exponential Moving Average - 50 Close):
∴ EMA50 is located at $116,804.80 and remains untouched during the current rally phase;
∴ The distance between EMA21 and EMA50 is widening, confirming structural momentum;
∴ This line now functions as the lower tier of the bullish envelope - a defensive anchor.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA50 reflects resilient bullish understructure and rising support basin.
▦ Fibonacci Retracement - (ATH = $122,056.95 / Low = $74,623.79):
∴ Price is currently positioned just under the 0.786 level, a classic tension zone before ATH retests;
∴ The 0.618 level has already been claimed and held as support, showing strength through key retracements;
∴ The market is coiling between 0.786 and 1.000 in preparation for decisive expansion or rejection.
✴️ Conclusion: BTC sits within the golden gate - structurally pressurized near final resistance thresholds.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands:
∴ Bands are visibly contracting, forming a volatility funnel around the current price zone;
∴ The price is maintaining proximity to the upper band without closing beyond it;
∴ The base band remains far beneath ($116k zone), indicating untriggered potential.
✴️ Conclusion: Volatility is compressing structurally; directional resolution is imminent.
⊢
▦ Volume + EMA21:
∴ Volume bars have declined steadily during this upper-range consolidation;
∴ EMA21 on volume confirms weakening participation relative to early July moves;
∴ Absence of breakout-volume suggests either stealth accumulation or passive stalling.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume behavior is non-confirmatory - the structure floats without conviction.
⊢
▦ RSI - (21) + EMA9:
∴ RSI(21) currently prints 60.45, above its own EMA9 at 59.41, suggesting net upward pressure;
∴ The RSI slope remains neutral-to-positive without entering overbought;
∴ The absence of bearish divergence confirms internal momentum coherence.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI structure is clean, moderate, and aligned with sustainable trend energy.
⊢
▦ Stochastic RSI - (3,3,21,9):
∴ K = 78.78 | D = 71.55 - both above 70, nearing the overbought ceiling;
∴ The fast line (K) shows minor inflection but no confirmed cross;
∴ Momentum is elevated, but historical context shows price can remain extended.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum is entering saturation zone - caution on short-term exhaustion.
⊢
▦ MACD - (9,21):
∴ MACD line (540.52) remains above the signal line (414.93) in sustained bullish crossover;
∴ The histogram has begun flattening, indicating reduced acceleration;
∴ There is no bearish cross yet, but momentum build is slowing.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD supports bullish continuation, but thrust intensity is decaying.
⊢
▦ OBV + EMA9:
∴ OBV reads 71.13M and is currently flat, with no new highs in accumulation;
∴ EMA9 on OBV closely hugs the raw OBV line, confirming stagnation;
∴ Prior upward surges in OBV are not being extended, showing tactical pause in conviction.
✴️ Conclusion: Liquidity expansion has halted; OBV structure is tactically neutral.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ The BTC/USD structure is entering a compressed apex between structural momentum (EMA stack, RSI, MACD) and tactical exhaustion signals (Stochastic RSI, Bollinger Band constriction, flattening OBV);
∴ Price is stabilizing just beneath the ATH gate ($122,056), indicating a threshold scenario - where breakout and rejection probabilities are approaching parity;
∴ Volume decline reflects the absence of forced participation, and suggests that the next move will be event-triggered or liquidity-engineered. The current environment favors volatility re-expansion, not trend reversal;
✴️ This is a threshold phase: structurally bullish, tactically suspended, awaiting ignition.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total + EMA9:
∴ Current Netflow: -938 Bitcoins - sustained negative flow over time indicates coins leaving exchanges;
∴ Persistent outflows reflect holding sentiment and reduced immediate sell pressure;
∴ Price action shows historical upside alignment when netflows remain negative across clusters.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange behavior signals macro holding bias, not liquidation cycles.
⊢
▦ Binary CDD + EMA9:
∴ Binary CDD has spiked into high activity zones in the past week, showing awakened dormant coins;
∴ This metric historically precedes localized tops when synchronized with weak flows;
∴ However, no consistent clusters are forming - signals remain scattered.
✴️ Conclusion: Binary CDD reflects isolated movements, not systemic awakening or distribution.
⊢
▦ Exchange Whale Ratio + EMA9:
∴ Current ratio hovers at ~0.62 - elevated but not extreme;
∴ Sustained whale activity near 0.60+ can precede volatility events;
∴ Trendline is rising since May, showing gradual uptick in dominance from top senders.
✴️ Conclusion: Whale activity is tactically elevated, implying latent strategic intent.
⊢
▦ Supply-Adjusted Dormancy + EMA9:
∴ Dormancy values are near historical lows, indicating old coins are staying inactive;
∴ EMA9 confirms a downward trend in dormant supply movement;
∴ Long-term holders are not distributing at this level.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural dormancy supports holder conviction - no exit signals from old supply.
⊢
▦ Realized Cap + EMA9:
∴ Realized Cap is now exceeding $1T, rising consistently without parabolic spikes;
∴ EMA(9) and line are in lockstep - a healthy ascent;
∴ No acceleration = no blow-off = sustainable revaluation.
✴️ Conclusion: Value accumulation remains organic, not euphoric.
⊢
▦ MVRV Ratio + EMA9:
∴ MVRV sits at 2.36 - below historical overvaluation levels (>3.0);
∴ EMA(9) confirms gradual slope upward, consistent with price;
∴ Ratio is not overheated - risk/reward remains structurally favorable.
✴️ Conclusion: MVRV indicates non-euphoric regime - mid-phase of value appreciation.
⊢
▦ BTC vs GOLD vs S&P500 - (BGemetrix Comparative Graph):
∴ BTC continues to outperform both GOLD and SPX in long-term slope, even after corrections;
∴ Current phase shows GOLD flattening and SPX slightly lagging BTC in verticality;
∴ This divergence hints at BTC leading in speculative rotation while traditional assets stabilize.
✴️ Conclusion: BTC holds macro-dominance position, operating as the apex volatility proxy in current intermarket structure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Despite short-term compression, the on-chain structure reveals no distribution threats;
∴ Holder conviction, realized valuation, and MVRV slope all suggest controlled structural appreciation, not mania;
∴ Whales are tactically present, but dormancy and exchange flows confirm no mass exit;
∴ This is an internally coherent, tactically patient regime.
✴️ Bitcoin is preparing, not peaking.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish - Tactically Suspended:
∴ All key EMA's (9/21/50) are stacked and rising; price remains elevated yet non-parabolic;
∴ Fibonacci apex is active, with price compressing beneath the ATH zone ($122,056), not retreating;
∴ On-chain intelligence confirms long-term conviction, with no distribution from whales or dormants.
✴️ Conclusion: The system retains structural strength; pressure is latent, not expired. The architecture is bullish, not euphoric.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Stochastic RSI and MACD show early-stage exhaustion;
∴ Volume has declined into apex, favoring liquidity traps or volatility bursts;
∴ Whale Ratio elevation implies pre-positioning behavior, not public confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical maneuvering is dominant. Breakout potential exists but is not trustable until confirmed by volume and displacement.
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
BTCUSD 7/18/202590min BOS to the downside has just occurred on the 3rd day of Price trading inside of the 7/14 Bearish Engulfing. Now we may encounter another Bearish leg which in fact is just still the Daily Bearish Retracement.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTCUSDA Mini buy for btcusd targeting a R:R OF 1:2, although the overall trend is a sideways market favoring the downside over the upside. this buy opportunity is worth taking based on shift in market structure and we have a double bottom and order block retest. we will need a major retracement before we have our continuation sell.
BTC wave structure analysis on 4 hour and daily timeframe- Daily time frame, after price gave stop hunting signal, price increased again.
- On the 4-hour time frame, the price broke through the strong peak and gave a bullish reversal signal.
- So there is a high possibility that BTC will continue to rise and break the previous top.
BTC #1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) with a clear bearish outlook indicated by the analysis:
Key Observations:
Rising Channel:
Price has been moving inside an ascending channel.
Currently testing the lower boundary, suggesting potential for a breakdown.
Price Projection:
A sharp drop is anticipated after breaking the channel, supported by the downward black arrows.
The analyst anticipates a retest of the lower boundary followed by a rejection and continuation downward.
QFL Strategy Reference:
"QFL" (Quick Fingers Luc strategy) is marked with a red line, identifying a key support zone that price may break below.
50% level (retracement or zone midpoint) is noted for confluence.
Target Zone:
Final target appears to be in the $112,500 – $113,000 range.
Summary:
The chart presents a bearish thesis expecting BTC to break the ascending channel and fall toward a previous demand zone marked by the QFL level. The structure supports a short setup if the lower trendline fails to hold.
Risk Note: This is a speculative forecast; always confirm with volume, broader market context, or confirmation patterns.
thank u
BTCUSD | 1W Time Frame | BITSTAMP ExchangeI have been using curve analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame for a long time, employing two indicators: My BTC Log Curve and Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves, of course, with my own custom settings to achieve maximum harmony with price movements. I recommend that to gain a precise understanding of Bitcoin curve analysis, you search for and study it, and make use of the two free indicators mentioned above.
Bitcoin finally managed to break free from the curve floor in the second week of September 2023, initiating a logical and gradual upward trend. Currently, it is supported by a significant level around $84,000 (keeping in mind that this rate will gradually increase due to the market's floating nature). However, the most critical price ceiling for Bitcoin in the current bullish market trend is approximately $154,000. Given the acceptable momentum of the current upward trend, reaching this price target seems reasonable. Nevertheless, we should anticipate a corrective reaction from the market, considering the historical behavior in this price range.
In summary, it can be stated that for mid-term holders, the price target of $154,000 appears to be a realistic and attainable goal, while the price floor of $84,000 serves as a very suitable level for buying and re-accumulating.
BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?📈
Yesterday, after a record-breaking nine-hour House session, U.S. lawmakers passed three major crypto bills: CLARITY Act (294-134), which establishes a market structure for cryptocurrencies, GENIUS Act (308-122) that supports U.S. stablecoin innovation and an Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (219-210) that opposes central bank digital currencies. All of this supports crypto and especially Bitcoin.
Technically, BTCUSD looks bullish also, establishing a new bullish trend. I expect the ATH at 123,190.30 will be rewritten soon. Where will be the next stop, I've got no idea. To my mind, the best strategy here will be to buy on trend support, then transfer the stop loss at your entry point and sell o local hikes.
Stay tuned for the next report! 🔔
Bitcoin sell now for 4h time frame trend reversal Bitcoin sell now for 4h time frame trend reversal From here
"Bitcoin Bearish Setup: Breakdown Targeting 117,509"This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 45-minute chart shows a bearish setup with key levels marked. After a breakdown from the support area, price is expected to drop. The suggested short entry is just below 119,639, with a stop loss at 120,984 and a target at 117,509. The chart highlights an order block, support area, and projected downward move.
Btcusd techinical analysis.Btcuad techinical analysis next move posibale at h1 time frame.not finchinical advice.
