BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD WEEKLY OUTLOOK🔍 Key Observations
1. Recent Strong Buying Activity (May candles)
The last few candles show a surge in positive delta, particularly:
Delta: 2.11K, Total: 46.83K
Strong green imbalance, showing aggressive buyers stepping in.
The volume is increasing, with aggressive lifting of the offer—buyers are willing to pay higher prices.
2. Breaking Above Resistance
Price broke above $100,000, a key psychological level.
Holding above this level, with sustained buyer interest, suggests strength.
The high volume nodes have shifted upward, showing acceptance at higher prices.
3. Volume Clusters & Imbalance
Bullish footprint imbalance (more green than red in key areas), especially toward recent bars.
You can see stacked green imbalances, indicating initiative buying.
4. Low Selling Pressure
Despite some red prints, there is no significant downward delta or high-volume selling.
No large absorption zones that indicate sellers are absorbing buys aggressively.
5. Previous Consolidation as Support
April–early May candles show accumulation (sideways movement) before this breakout.
Consolidation zones between $85,000–$95,000 now act as a strong support floor.
✅ Entry Consideration: BUY BIAS
Conclusion:
The footprint chart suggests a BUY opportunity, especially if price continues to hold above the $100,000 level.
A pullback to $100,000–$101,000 with sustained buyer interest (seen via delta and imbalance) would be an ideal entry.
Watch for continued positive delta, low absorption, and price acceptance above $100K.
🚩 What to Watch For (Bearish Risk)
Large negative delta spikes or aggressive selling imbalances near resistance (~$109,000) would change the bias.
Failure to hold above $100K with heavy sell imbalances may signal a fakeout.
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
BTC/USD 4H Chart targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price has come out of the downtrend channel on top, and the upward movement after leaving the channel is close to the height of the downtrend channel.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
However, at the beginning we can see how the price is struggling with a strong resistance zone from $103882 to $108349. Next, we have potential targets:
T1 = 112,740 USD
T2 = 116,525 USD
Т3 = 120,000 USD
Now let's move on to stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 100,551 USD
SL2 = 97,446 USD
SL3 = 92,525 USD
SL4 = 88,286 USD
The RSI indicator shows that in the 4H interval, the movement is at the upper limit of the range, which clearly affects the sideways movement on the chart.
Bitcoin: currently side tradedAs BTC reached its new, highest levels, after the first round of the US-China trade tariffs negotiations were settled, it has been side traded. There have been both attempts for a move toward the higher grounds, and an equal attempt for a move toward the lower grounds, however, neither side prevailed. The weekend news regarding the US sovereign downgrade by Moody's rating agency also did not manage to make any significant impact on the price of BTC. In a sense of a technical analysis, the BTC is currently collecting the energy for the final move toward the one side in the coming period.
The RSI continues to move in the overbought territory for the second week in a row. This is an indication that the reversal might be expected in the coming period. On the opposite side, MA50 is modestly converging toward the MA200, indicating that the cross might come in the next few weeks, as an indication of the potential trend change.
The charts are currently showing the potential for the price break in the coming period, possible also during the week ahead. As BTC was side traded for the last two weeks, there is a formation on charts called triangle, marking highs from 12th May and lows also from this date. The triangle came to an end, which is an indication that the potential break is to be expected. In case that the final break occurs to the upside, the BTC will test again the $105K level reached on 12th May, and a potential for higher grounds. However, if the triangle is broken toward the downside, the first stop will be the level of $102K on a road toward the $100K level.
BTCUSD 1H TIMEFRAME BULISH ZONEThe chart you've shared for BTC/USD (1H timeframe) indicates a bullish outlook based on the following elements:
Ascending Channels: Price moved within two rising channels, suggesting a bullish momentum.
Support Zone: Marked by arrows, previous bounces suggest strong support near 102,200–102,300.
Breakout and Pullback: Price appears to be forming a higher low, potentially preparing for the next upward leg.
Target Area: Marked around 105,630 (TP target).
Summary:
Entry (Buy Zone): Around 103,200–103,300.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 102,200 (conservative stop).
Take Profit (TP): 105,630 (as marked on chart).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2 or better.
$BTC Double Top Pattern Forming – Is a Major Correction Bitcoin Double Top Formation Alert!
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to be forming a Double Top pattern on the 4H chart. If this candle closes as an Inverted Hammer, it may confirm a bearish reversal from the overbought zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: $96,500 – $95,000
Critical Support: $94,000
Major Breakdown Levels:
If $94K breaks, next support is at $91,000
A deeper breakdown could target $80,000 or even $60,000
This correction could present a golden long opportunity for the next bullish leg. Stay patient, observe confirmations, and plan your entries wisely.
BTC repeating of patternsI see repeating of patterns and it was and will help BTC to continue the up trend.
BTCUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 105,444.37 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 104,692.82 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD - Bearish Rejection Below Resistance | Targeting 95KBitcoin is currently facing strong resistance at $104,833, just below the invalidation level at $106,486. Price action suggests a potential rejection or distribution pattern forming near this resistance zone.
A break below recent local support could trigger a move toward the next key support level at $95,371, representing a significant retracement area from the recent uptrend.
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Trade Idea:
Entry: After confirmation of rejection below $104,800
Target: $95,371
Invalidation: Sustained breakout above $106,486
This setup favors bears in the short term, as long as price remains below the invalidation zone.
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> Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.
BTCUSD Weekend Update 5/18/25 - Don't get too excited...!Here is a weekend update on BTCUSD via analyzing Cumulative Delta Volume (CDV), divergence between price and the Money Flow Index (MFI), and the 4h and D McGinley Moving Averages!
Happy trading, and I hope the video was helpful!
BTCUSD Consolidates Beneath Sell-Side Liquidity WallMarket Context:
Bitcoin continues its high-conviction move off the March breakout, with price maintaining position above all major moving averages. Current price action is stalling beneath a concentrated area of offer-side liquidity between 105,400 and 105,500 as revealed by DOM data.
This level represents the next test for continuation and offers short-term resistance until absorbed.
Technical Breakdown:
Current Price: 105,385
Primary Trend: Bullish (Price above 50 EMA and 200 SMA)
Key Support Zones:
101,500 (prior range top)
97,500 (value node support)
88,000 (200 SMA proximity)
Key Resistance Zones:
105,500 (DOM-stacked sell wall)
109,500 (next major target above breakout)
Market Structure Insight:
After a clean break from the $97.5K–$101.5K consolidation zone, BTCUSD is now forming a tight range near local highs. The presence of passive sell orders on the DOM suggests that participants are absorbing into strength.
A confirmed break above 105,500 opens the door for range extension toward 109,500. Conversely, a close back inside the prior range below 101,500 would indicate a failed breakout and shift our near-term bias to neutral.
Trade Context – Mongoose Capital Positioning:
A long position remains open from the $75K region. No structural change to invalidate the broader trend thesis. DOM and TPO data continue to support the scenario for a secondary leg higher.
Next Target - $$$After a strong consolidation phase between ~$101,446 and ~$104,982, Bitcoin has broken out of a key horizontal range on the 4H chart. This breakout signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend with a measured move target around $1*****, representing a 9.94% gain from the breakout zone.
🔹 Chart Pattern: Horizontal range breakout
🔹 Target: ~$$$
🔹 Momentum: Still strong with bulls in control
This setup aligns with the ongoing bullish momentum and could be a key level to watch for both swing and short-term traders. Keep an eye on volume confirmation and possible retest of the breakout level.
BTCUSD - Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge Pattern | Target Bitcoin has broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a bullish reversal that aligns with the broader market sentiment. Let’s examine this setup in detail, from pattern recognition to key support/resistance levels and trade planning.
🧠 Pattern Analysis – Falling Wedge Formation
The chart displays a textbook Falling Wedge, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It’s characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, showing a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal point.
Formation Period: This wedge developed over a multi-week period (Feb–April 2025).
Structure: Each swing high and swing low forms lower highs and lower lows inside the wedge.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has decisively broken above the upper trendline of the wedge, validating a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Falling Wedge patterns are often seen near the end of a corrective move and suggest accumulation before a rally.
🔎 Key Technical Zones
🔸 Resistance Zone (~$103K–$105K)
This area has historically acted as a strong resistance zone.
Price is currently consolidating just below this region, indicating a possible breakout retest or a temporary pause before the next leg up.
🔸 Trendline Support
A new rising trendline has emerged post-breakout, acting as dynamic support.
Price has respected this trendline multiple times, forming higher highs and higher lows — a strong bullish signal.
🔸 SR Interchange Zone (~ GETTEX:92K –$94K)
Previously acted as resistance; now flipped to support.
This makes it a critical level where bulls may defend positions, and a good place for a stop-loss.
🔸 Support Zone (~$75K–$78K)
Major historical support area where the wedge bottom formed.
Buyers stepped in aggressively in this zone during the final leg of the wedge.
🎯 Trade Plan
This setup offers a clearly defined risk-reward profile based on breakout trading principles.
📌 Entry Idea:
Current consolidation near resistance offers two entry strategies:
Aggressive Entry: Near current price, anticipating breakout continuation.
Conservative Entry: On a confirmed breakout above $105K or a pullback to trendline support around GETTEX:98K –$100K.
✅ Target: $112,116
Measured by projecting the height of the wedge from the breakout point.
Also aligns with a previous key structural high, adding confluence to the target.
⛔ Stop Loss: $93,294
Strategically placed just below the SR interchange zone and rising trendline.
Protects against potential fakeouts or trendline breaks.
📉 Risk Management
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1 or higher depending on entry point.
Always use proper position sizing.
Be prepared to cut the trade if price closes below trendline and SR zone on high volume.
🔮 Outlook and Strategy
This breakout suggests Bitcoin may be entering a renewed bullish phase. If macro conditions remain favorable and price sustains above key support zones, we could see continuation toward the $112K region.
However, it’s important to monitor:
Volume: Watch for rising volume on any breakout above the resistance zone.
Market Sentiment: External factors (e.g., news, ETF flows, regulatory updates) may influence the move.
Trendline behavior: A break and close below the rising support line may invalidate the setup.
💬 Final Thoughts
This is a technically clean setup combining a bullish pattern breakout, supportive structure (trendline & SR zones), and a logical target based on classical charting. If Bitcoin maintains current momentum, traders may see significant upside in the coming weeks.
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Can’t be anything but bullish. Nothing changed so this bias did not change either. Bulls were so strong that we have corrected sideways in a tight range for 9 days now and if bears can’t even print one decent bear bar after such a rally, bears are doing absolutely nothing and the correction is mostly from bulls taking profits. We can only expect higher prices until bears come around with much bigger selling pressure. Targets above are obvious, new ath above 109396 and then the big bull trend line around 113000.
current market cycle: weekly time frame is in a bull trend inside a big bull wedge - daily time frame is in a tight bull channel
key levels: 95k - 115k
bull case: Upside will likely be limited to something below 120000 but bulls are in full control until we print below a higher low again. Bulls want 110000 and then some. It’s a clear bull wedge and longs above 100000 are tough because stop has to be at least 97000. Market has moved sideways enough to expect another leg up any day now.
Invalidation is below 97000.
bear case: Bears can only have hope that we will still find no acceptance above 100000 on the weekly & monthly time frames and once we get the spike to 110000 we will turn again. I printed the monthly chart because it shows the tails above 100000 and that we are in the retest of the previous ath, which is the same structure as we did in 2021. As of now, bears have nothing going for them until we actually turn again. I still heavily favor the bears to print below 80000 this year but right now you should not look for shorts.
Invalidation is above 112000.
short term: Bullish but buying at the very top is tough. Any long 100000 or 98000 is likely good, if it’s not during a crazy strong bear spike. New ath or something close is expected.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: I expect a trading range 700000 - 100000 for longer. The current move above 100000 I see as a retest of the ath and it could overshoot but I doubt market can find acceptance there for longer. Only interested in shorts on anything above the 1h time frame.
BTCUSD Footprint + Structure Breakdown | May 18, 2025Bitcoin has entered a high-value compression zone after a strong impulsive breakout from the $90K region. With volume tapering and delta flattening, we’re seeing a textbook case of accumulation before expansion.
🔎 Chart Analysis:
Strong Demand Imprint on May 8: Massive delta spike (≈ +2.06K) with total volume >15K led to a clean impulsive breakout, confirming aggressive buyers in control.
Volume Absorption Phase: Since the breakout, BTC has been ranging between ~$101K to $104K, building up value in a high-volume node.
Delta Neutral Compression: Daily deltas are getting tighter; buyers and sellers are evenly matched, forming a potential springboard setup.
Liquidity Pools Above: Resting liquidity likely above $105K. A sweep of this range could trigger the next expansion to $110K+.
📌 Key Zones:
Support (Demand):
$100K - GETTEX:98K → First response zone with decent volume and reaction.
FWB:88K - $86K → Origin of move, untested demand zone (see blue box).
Resistance (Liquidity Target):
$105K → Key level to clear for upside continuation.
$108K - $110K → Next target zone if expansion resumes.
🧠 Sentiment & Strategy:
This is not distribution—yet. There’s no significant selling delta, and price remains buoyant near the top of the range. As long as the demand zones hold and the structure doesn’t break down, the bias remains bullish.
📈 Watch for a breakout above $105K with volume and delta confirmation. If it comes, we ride. If not, look for a deep pullback toward the GETTEX:98K or $90K zones for re-entry.
TOP 1% Trading = Patience + Precision
✅ Clean setups
✅ Volume confirmation
✅ Structure-based entries
BTCUSD Analysis – May 18, 2025 | Major Breakout Confirmed Bitcoin has officially broken through the $100,000 psychological barrier and is holding steady around $103,897. The price action shows strong bullish momentum, backed by clean technical structure and solid fundamentals.
🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout Zone: Price exploded out of the high-volume accumulation zone between $85,000–$90,000, flipping it into a clear demand zone (highlighted in blue).
Bullish Structure: After breaking the range, BTC formed a higher low and continued with a steep impulsive leg up, as illustrated by the ascending arrow.
Current Price Action: BTC is consolidating just below $105,000, showing signs of absorption before a potential next leg up.
🔍 Market Context:
📈 April saw a strong +14% move, pushing BTC into new yearly highs.
🧭 Both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are trending upward.
💡 RSI remains neutral — indicating there’s still room for upside without being overbought.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $99,000 - $95,000 → Previous resistance, now a key demand zone.
Resistance: $105,000 - $108,000 → Clean breakout above this could open the path toward $110,000+.
🏁 Outlook:
With global sentiment warming and technicals supporting continuation, BTC is poised for further upside — as long as it holds above the $95K area. A break above $108K could quickly accelerate the rally toward $115K and beyond.
Consistency | Discipline | Perseverance
📊 Follow for more institutional-level insights and clean technical breakdowns.
BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025
This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation.
🔍 Key Breakdown:
Entry Confluence:
Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick
Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone)
Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure
Target Mapping:
Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59
Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone
Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity)
RR Setup:
Entry: 103,570 zone
SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811
TP1: SSL pool
TP2: FVG
TP3: Weak Low
Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰
🧠 Institutional Logic:
The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low.
🎯 Bonus Watch:
If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
Bitcoins: Strong Trend, Weak VolumesBitcoin is in a solid uptrend across all major timeframes — hourly, daily, weekly, and monthly.
There have already been two clear consolidation phases followed by strong upward moves.
Currently, the price is consolidating again.
There’s a high probability that it will retest the previous highs.
But will there be enough momentum to break through them?
What concerns me for now is the declining volume as the price continues to rise.
This could turn out to be one final push upward before a deep correction.
We'll see.
BUY BTCUSD BTC/USD - Eyeing a potential long from the demand zone. Strong low in place, weak high likely to be targeted. Price reacting off the bullish OB – eyes on 104.2k
BTC Diamond PatternBTC is creating a Diamond Pattern and could create a measured move up to $108k-110k.
Cheers, and happy trading :)
