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BTCUSD trade ideas

#BTC TO CONTINUE LOWER FOR NOWThe recent 'pump' due to Trump's announcement disappointingly only created a pullback to the previous area where a downtrend had already been triggered. Looks like BTC will continue with the correction down to our next support level which sits at $67,792. Once BTC gets to this level, we will either see a nice bounce off this support and we can continue higher or it's a possibility that we may continue even lower but will provide an update once we touch the next target. We've currently down 23% from the top, let's be reminded that we've seen corrections as deep as -51% last cycle which are a healthy for the market!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoHyve_
Every cloud has a silver lining—crypto is no exceptionHello everyone! What a week it has been, right? Haha! For those feeling frustrated by the market, remember this: you're paying for a lesson. The market—especially the crypto market—doesn’t care about individual retail traders. It’s not actively trying to make you lose, but it does present opportunities. As a trader, you can either navigate these trends with a thoughtful approach—calculating your risk, setting stop-losses, and defining your targets—or you can gamble and hope for the best, like most retail traders do. If you choose the latter, the big players will outmaneuver you, making you sell at the bottom and buy at the peaks. Rough picture Regarding my analysis, this isn't my usual deep dive across all timeframes. I’ll be honest—I haven’t thoroughly analyzed everything. However, given the current market conditions and the high fear and greed index, I decided to share my rough thoughts. Even in their raw form, they still represent my current bias. Monthly Timeframe (6M-3M-1M) The larger timeframes dictate the overall market picture. We’ve clearly taken out the previous monthly candle and a key yellow zone below us, signaling that liquidity is still up for grabs. Combined with the fear and greed index, this suggests there’s still room for downside movement. Additionally, the price hitting the 0.61 extension indicated potential for a reversal (which has already occurred), giving us an opportunity to look lower. Weekly & Daily Timeframes The weekly chart gives more clarity on how far this move might extend. I typically mark previous closed candles with two yellow dotted lines, indicating liquidity is still available above or below those levels. Since we are currently in a daily downtrend and have just hit the 0.786 retracement (from 78K to 95K), it’s likely that we’ll complete this waveform towards the 0.21 - 0.61 region. This aligns with our "X marks the spot" zone on the weekly timeframe, somewhere between 0.618 - 0.786. Many traders bought near the top and now hesitate to buy at the lows while sitting on red numbers. The truth is, if you enter the market without a plan, the market will make one for you—and most of the time, you won’t like it. You’re not just playing against yourself; you’re competing against major players who are obsessed with making money in this game, while you are simply the bait. My Game Plan I’ll risk around 3-5% on this trade to the upside, with a mandatory stop-loss to limit any major losses. I’ll take partial profits along the way up. I’m primarily scaling into altcoins this round, as I believe the percentage gains there are more attractive compared to BTC at the moment. Have a safe flight in crypto! 🚀
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Ylo
BTC support level - break or bounce?BTCUSD on the 1D chart is sitting at 200DMA line. It first broke through on Feb 28, 2025 and closed above. Weekend news on crypto reserve from President Trump generated a quick pump and dump. As of late day March 3, it touched the 200DMA again and has held above. Next move: On a break, next major support is around 72870. On a bounce, target at congestion zone between 96000 to 100000, with significant ceiling from the 50 and 100DMA at 97000 and declining. Market-moving fundamental news can be expected around the U.S.crypto summit on March 7th. BTC may be (relatively) range-bound until then.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by StrobeT
BTCUSD-NEUTRAL LARGE RANGE 6 Hourly chartYesterday, technically it felt we may see little higher, but overall down. Surprise, surprise large down move again and it means the over all pattern seems to be a S/H/S top and this could bring us much lower than current levels even. Somewhere $ 60k overall.. anyway, I remain the viewpoint, that crypto is a manipulative asset class. Strategy trade range, but SELL $ 88-95k range but get out above $ 109 k somewhere. I think profit somewhere $ 65k for now.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by peterbokma
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin K1 is a fake down, And then, K3 is a fake up. It is very difficult to take profit at this case. If the following candles break up the downtrend channel or stand upon the neck line, Another bull run may start here and test 108K area. If the following candles test the neck line to verify the bear trend or even close below the downtrend channel, The following candles may fall to test 80K-76K area for a second time. It will be valuable to buy then.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by nothingchangehere
Bitcoin Bearish Outlook: Confirmed BreakdownBitcoin Bearish Outlook: Confirmed Breakdown Signals Extended Correction Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has shifted into a full on bearish outlook following the February monthly close below $84,400. A large-scale bear cycle is now unfolding, with the next key support at $73,781, marking a significant Fibonacci correction. Read on for key insights and updated targets. Bitcoin (BTC) has officially entered a bearish phase after its February monthly close dropped below the crucial $84,400 key support level. This breakdown serves as a major technical confirmation that the bullish structure has failed, paving the way for a broader downside correction. With selling pressure intensifying, Bitcoin now faces the risk of a deeper pullback toward the next key support zone. As of today , Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading at $86,250, remaining under sustained bearish control. The next critical downside target is $73,781, a level derived from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, marking a significant profit target for this updated bearish forecast. A stop-loss level is suggested around $95,937, which aligns with a key resistance level from the latest price action. Bitcoin Technology, Vision, and Mission Despite its current market downturn, Bitcoin remains the dominant force in the cryptocurrency space. As the first decentralized digital asset, its mission is to redefine global finance by offering an alternative, trustless monetary system. While its price is experiencing a correction, Bitcoin’s adoption among institutions, payment networks, and sovereign nations continues to grow, reinforcing its long-term value proposition. Bitcoin’s vision remains intact—to become the ultimate decentralized store of value and medium of exchange. Layer 2 solutions, such as the Lightning Network, continue to enhance Bitcoin’s scalability, ensuring its role in the evolving financial landscape. Fundamental Catalysts Major Support Breakdown: The monthly close below $84,400 is a key bearish signal, triggering further downside risk. Extended Bear Cycle Confirmation: Bitcoin is now experiencing a large-scale technical correction, targeting $73,781 as the next major support level. Market Sentiment Shifts Bearish: With increased selling pressure, traders and institutions are adjusting their positioning to reflect the new market reality. Key Price Levels Previous Support (Broken): $84,400 Next Major Support: $73,781 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) Stop-Loss Level: $95,937 Bearish Profit Target: $73,781 Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s inability to reclaim key resistance levels suggests that selling momentum will likely persist. As long as $84,400 remains unchallenged, the bearish outlook remains dominant. The next test at $73,781 will determine whether a larger-scale correction is in play. Traders should closely monitor price action for confirmation of further downside or signs of stabilization at this critical level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BulletproofTraders
Can Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Drop to $80,000?Based on the technical analysis of both the daily (1D) and 4-hour (4H) charts, Bitcoin is currently at a critical decision point around the $91,000-$98,000 resistance zone. While there is short-term bullish momentum, the risk of a retracement remains. Bearish Case for $80,000 1. Key Bearish Factors * Rejection at $98,000 Resistance: BTC is struggling to reclaim this key level. If rejection occurs, it could trigger a sell-off. * Lower High Structure on 4H Chart: The 4H timeframe still shows lower highs (LH), indicating sellers remain in control. * Overbought Stochastic RSI on 4H: This suggests that short-term momentum is cooling off, increasing the risk of a pullback. * Major Support Below: The strongest support is between $78,000 - $80,000, where high buying demand is expected. 2. Bearish Price Path If BTC fails to break above $98,000, it could follow this path: * Break below $91,000 → Drop to $86,000-$88,000 (Key liquidity zone) * Break below $86,000 → Sharp decline toward $80,000 * Ultimate support at $78,000 (Historical demand zone) Bullish Defense: Can $80K Be Avoided? * If BTC holds above $91,000 and reclaims $98,000, the bearish scenario becomes invalid. * A daily close above $99,500 would confirm strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC moving towards $103K+ instead of retesting $80K. Final Verdict * If BTC loses $91,000 and volume increases on sell-offs, then $80K is a real possibility. * However, if bulls hold $91K and reclaim GETTEX:98K , Bitcoin is more likely to push toward $103K+ instead of dropping to $80K. Keep an eye on $91,000 as the key level—if BTC closes below it, then the drop to $80K becomes highly likely. 🚨
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by BullBearInsights
$BTC/USDT Market Update📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update Welcome to today's analysis! Let's take a look at Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and its key resistance level. 🌐 Overview: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Testing Key Resistance 📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is approaching the red resistance zone around $88,500, a critical level that needs to be broken for further upside. 🔄 Current Scenario: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is facing strong resistance at $88,500, where sellers have previously stepped in. A breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔴 Resistance Zone: $88,500 (Needs breakout for continuation) 🛠️ Trade Scenarios 📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above $88,500) If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks and holds above $88,500, it could confirm bullish momentum and lead to higher targets. A breakout with strong volume would signal further upside potential. 📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance) If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to break above $88,500, we might see a pullback or consolidation before another attempt. A rejection could indicate that sellers are still in control at this level. 📌 Conclusion CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at a crucial resistance zone—a breakout above $88,500 could lead to a strong rally, while failure to break may result in another pullback.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by WaveRiders2
WhewwwwwThis is why I swing trade crypto on the 1 hour or 4 hour time frame, sooooooo juicy. Stay close to the exit, if you have to refresh not a big deal. Holding this stuff is such garbage since there really is no underlying physical value or physical price discovery. Now I get it, there is Tesla fanboys as well. Doesn't make it smart money. Being a trader is farrrrr more profitable than an investor. People fall in love too fast and too quick. Learn to separate yourself from the rest of the flock. Don't be greedy and you will be well on your way to being an excellent and profitable trader. Have a great night everyone! Happy trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JennyMurphy
BTCUSD Trading Breakdown: Turning Analysis into ActionHello, crypto enthusiasts! Let's jump into a vibrant exploration of the BTCUSD market using our trusty 2-hour Heikin Ashi charts. Ready to decode Bitcoin’s twists and turns for our trading edge? Let’s go! 📉📈 Strategic Mapping 🗺️ Our chart is a treasure map, showing us key battlegrounds where significant trading has taken place. The volume profile acts as our X marks the spot, with the Point of Control (POC) highlighting the busiest trading zone. This is where the action happens, and it’s central to our trading decisions. Navigating with Market Cipher B 🔮 Market Cipher B is our crystal ball. This indicator doesn’t just show us where the market’s been; it predicts where it's going. It highlights buy and sell opportunities with an array of peaks, valleys, and vibrant waves of momentum. It’s our secret weapon for staying one step ahead in the market. Executing Our Strategy ⚔️ Keep an eye on the 0.786 Fibonacci level; it’s more than just a line on a chart. It’s given us a solid short opportunity already, and if prices head back that way, we’re ready to strike again. This is where theory meets practice, and we’re here to make it profitable. Caution Ahead! ⚠️ Venturing back into trades at mid-range is like walking into a minefield. It’s risky, unpredictable, and not for the faint of heart. Precision is key. It’s not just about trading; it’s about trading smart. Looking Forward 🔍 Should our upward trek revisit the upper zone, we’ll be hunting for signs of bearish divergence and cooling money flows. These clues could signal another prime shorting shot. We’re not just reacting; we’re anticipating, ready to capitalize on what comes next. This isn’t just chart analysis; it’s a strategic playbook. With our charts, our indicators, and our savvy, we’re not just trading; we’re aiming to conquer. Let’s stay sharp, make informed moves, and ride the crypto wave to success. Here’s to trading smarter, not harder! 💪📊
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by blockchaindomain719
BTCUSD down to 65k!!So in daily BTCUSD we have completed Elliott's wave 5. Considering the doji as wave A 100% fibo, there's a 141,4% projection down to 65k near the Phicube's MME610. There are lower lows and lower highs being made. There's another reading that the low around 78k was Elliott's C wave and we are starting a new cycle. However, the white LTB must be transpassed to confirm this possibility. Regarding this expressive green candle it was held back by LTB mentioned before.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by makototiago