BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 103,219.31
Target Level: 92,838.77
Stop Loss: 110,139.67
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTCUSD trade ideas
btc . may . w3 . friyesterdays LONG was beautiful. ny ran aLow, and never looked back pushing higher.
. new aver entry . 102353
i'm right now scalling into new limit LONGs
. aLow . wVWAP . cw0.5 . liquidity grad - in this BULLISH environment
a last limit order is placed at pdTPO
. 102862.5
SL has been lifted to give new trade breathing room
i see us go to cwHigh . 105871, to which tp1 has been changed.
cheers
Is Bitcoin ready for another parabolic movement?Hello Traders, in the chart, I've highlighted the points where Bitcoin has surpassed its total production cost (using the "Bitcoin Production Cost" indicator) from 2019 to today. Every time BTC has exceeded this level, we've seen significant parabolic movements, suggesting a potential upcoming bull run.
Currently, Bitcoin is once again surpassing this critical level, which could indicate a strong upward push. If the trend continues, a parabolic move towards new highs could be underway. 🚀
If BTC holds above the production cost level, long positions could be considered with short-term price targets around $120,000 and beyond.
💡Key levels to watch:
Consolidation above the production cost level could strengthen our long position.
Watch for any corrections that might signal an accumulation phase before the next big rally.
What’s your take on this setup? Let me know in the comments!
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. Crypto markets are highly volatile — manage your risk accordingly
BITCOIN Stairway to 134k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is unfolding a very interesting pattern since its April 07 bottom. That was at $74500 and since that level, it has been consistently targeting all 10k intervals above it: From 74k to 84k, 94k and is now on 104k.
Once it hit all those levels, the price consolidated, forming a very structured Channel Up. Now, the Channel Up may not hold forever but this consistency gives us the idea that it can continue targeting all those levels above it: 114k, 124k, 134k. If this pattern continues to hold for as much time as it has since the bottom, then we may see $134k by late June/ early July.
Do you think it is possible to stay this consistent for that long? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025📊 BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025
🔹Current Price: 104,109.06
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 103,471–103,676 – Intraday bullish OB (Order Block); price respected this zone and showed strong bounce reaction.
🎯 Target Levels:
TP 1: 104,233 – Short-term resistance; possible profit-taking area
TP 2: 104,829 – Clean upside imbalance; next liquidity grab zone
⚡️Bullish Bias:
Price bouncing off demand zone with momentum
Holding above 103,850 structure shows buyer strength
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Look for candle closure above 104,200 for TP1
✅ Monitor lower timeframe CHoCH or BOS for re-entries
✅ Stop-loss should stay protected below 103,470 zone
#BTCUSD #BitcoinSignals #IntradayTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #TPStrategy #FXFOREVER #CryptoPriceAction
BTC/USD:Continue to adopt range trading.Based on the current market trend, today's strategy remains unchanged. Adopt the strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $102,000 to $105,000, and seize the opportunities of swing trading.
BTC/USD
buy@101500-102500
tp:105000-106000
sell@104500-105500
tp:103000-102000
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BTC Rocket Fuel Loading.... Get ReadyBTC looking like it's about to lift off from that internal order flow zone.
I keep it clean, pretty, and systematic - and that's exactly how I plan to buy up this next key area.
Scalpers, you already know - LTF confirmations are whispering bullish.
Day traders, this might be the last good push before we either reverse or break the whole zone down.
Me? I'm watching for that 5M CHoCH to give me the green light.
When it flips - I flip. Until then, patience.
Trade with precision. Keep it SMC.
#BTC #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderFlow
#InducementsHunter #5MCHoCH #RocketReady
Bless Trading!
btcusd 15minuteThis chart shows a short-term technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it suggests:
Key Elements:
Current Price: Around 103,993 USD.
Sell Zone: Around 104,359 USD.
Support Lines:
103,325 USD
102,964 USD
102,613 USD
Register Level: ~101,600 USD (a major potential target for bearish movement).
Interpretation:
The solid blue line outlines a potential bearish scenario, suggesting that after testing the sell zone, price may decline, breaking through the support levels down to the register level.
The dashed lines propose alternative scenarios — possibly a double top or a failed break above the sell zone — before moving down.
Price is currently testing the upper resistance near the sell zone, which c…
The CBBI, identify the timing the end of the Bull Run cryptosIntroduction: The bitcoin price is a highly cyclical market structured around the halving event that takes place every 4 years. BTC's last halving took place in April 2024, and it is around this event that our current cycle is structured, which should end at the end of 2025 if and only if the cycle repetition still applies (Bitcoin's famous 4-year cycle).
To find a more precise time frame for the end of the current crypto bull run, there are a number of indicators, some of which are based on Bitcoin blockchain data. This is particularly true of the CBBI Index, which we'll be presenting in this new TradingView analysis.
Don't hesitate to subscribe to our TradingView account to follow all our daily analyses on cryptos and financial markets in general.
1) Definition of the CBBI Index (Colin Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index)
The CBBI Index, an acronym for Colin Talks Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index, is an indicator developed by Colin Talks Crypto, a well-known analyst and popularizer in the crypto-currency community, notably on YouTube. Its aim is to give a global reading of the Bitcoin market's position in its cycle, by combining several technical and on-chain indicators.
The CBBI synthesizes all these indicators and calculates a final score. It is the value of this score that tells us whether the Bitcoin price is close to the beginning of its bullish cycle or close to the end of its bullish cycle.
Rather than relying on a single volatile indicator, CBBI compiles nine major metrics such as MVRV Ratio, RHODL Ratio, NUPL and Reserve Risk.
The result is expressed in the form of a score from 0 to 100:
A score close to 100 suggests that the market is overheating, that the final peak of the cycle is in sight, and that there is therefore a risk of a downward reversal.
Conversely, a low score (close to 0) indicates a probable end to the bear market, and an increased likelihood of the cycle reversing upwards.
Looking at the chart of the CBBI Index (the green curve on the graph below) overlaid with the bitcoin price, we can see that the CBBI Index has been highly relevant in identifying the beginnings and ends of bullish cycles for BTC.
2) The current CBBI Index score suggests that the crypto bull run is not yet over
The current CBBI Index score is below 80 and is still a long way from the bull run end identification zone. Naturally, no single indicator is relevant on its own, so we'll need to combine the CBBI Index with other indicators influencing the crypto market, in particular the underlying trend in global liquidity and the theoretical price targets from the graphical analysis of bitcoin's long-term price charts.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
BTCUSD Next MoveNote: This chart presents a short-biased plan for BTC/USD based on key technical levels and price action signals.
🔍 Key Levels
: Resistance / All-Time High Area: $105,000
: Support Zone: Around $101,000
: Sell Trade TP1: $99,000
: Sell Trade TP2: $96,000
: Final Target: $93,500
: Critical Breakdown Level: $101,000 (Support)
📌 Plan Breakdown
🟦 Bearish Bias Setup:
> The market is consolidating between $101,000 support and $105,000 resistance, forming a range-bound structure near all-time highs.
> A breakdown below $101,000 support with a confirmed candle close below that level would trigger a sell signal.
> Rewritten chart note:
If the price breaks below the $101,000 support area and a candle closes beneath it, we can consider initiating a sell trade.
🔽 Downside Path:
: If the price breaks the support:
: First target: $99,000 — minor support.
: Second target: $96,000 — highlighted range zone.
: If the price breaks below $96,000, expect further downside toward $93,500 (final target).
🔄 Sideways Possibility:
: If the price breaks below $101,000 but fails to push through $96,000, the market may range between $96K–$99K before choosing a direction.
: The purple box (around $96K) is expected to be choppy — a break below confirms strong bearish continuation.
UPDATE: Be Patient. Beras NOT Done Yet.Bitcoin still holding very well in that range (green shaded area) but NOT out of the woods yet.
As long as price holds in that range (the upper range the better) for rest of week and part of next one Bitcoin is in NO danger so nothing to worry about. . Be patient I'm sure that by 1st week of next month (if not sooner) we will be heading to break the ATH. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen, its gonna be fun.
BTCUSD 5/16/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a quick analysis of Bitcoins Price Action & gives you a clear-cut callout for Price's next move.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITCOIN BTC Is Entering Into The Correction Read Caption Bitcoin Chart Analysis: Potential Correction Incoming
In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of entering a correction phase. The price is approaching its previous all-time high (ATH), and historically, such levels often act as strong resistance. With the market exhibiting signs of exhaustion and profit-taking behavior, a short-term pullback or consolidation could be expected before any further bullish continuation.
---
Would you like a more technical version with indicators (like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci levels), or a visual chart to accompany
BTC Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & VolatilityBitcoin (BTCUSD) Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & Volatility Point to Entry Opportunities
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis: Navigating Strength and Volatility
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to capture the attention of the global financial markets, demonstrating notable resilience and underlying strength. The current market structure suggests a period where bulls are actively defending key price thresholds, creating a fascinating technical landscape. This analysis will provide an in-depth examination of BTCUSD, focusing on its price action relative to significant psychological levels, the supportive role of Fibonacci retracements, characteristic volatility patterns, and strategic entry considerations based on bullish candlestick formations.
1. Introduction to Bitcoin and the BTCUSD Pair
Bitcoin, introduced in 2009, stands as the progenitor of cryptocurrencies, operating on a decentralized peer-to-peer network secured by cryptographic principles and recorded on a public distributed ledger known as the blockchain. It was designed as a digital alternative to traditional fiat currencies, free from central bank control. The BTCUSD pair represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin and the United States Dollar, making it one of the most liquid and heavily traded instruments in the digital asset space. Its price movements are a barometer for the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and are influenced by a myriad of factors including adoption trends, regulatory news, macroeconomic developments, and technological advancements within the Bitcoin network itself. Understanding the technical dynamics of BTCUSD is crucial for traders, investors, and market analysts seeking to navigate its often-turbulent price swings.
2. Current Market Sentiment and Price Action: Holding Above Key Psychological Levels
A significant observation in the current BTCUSD market is its ability to maintain its footing above a key psychological price level. Such levels, often round numbers (e.g., $50,000, $60,000, or in this context, a hypothetical significant level like $100,000 if we assume a major bull run has occurred), act as important mental benchmarks for market participants. When price successfully breaks above such a level and subsequently holds it as support, it can signal a powerful shift in market sentiment. This behavior suggests that buyers are willing to step in and defend this new valuation, absorbing selling pressure and preventing a swift retracement.
The act of holding above a major psychological level often has a self-fulfilling prophecy component. As traders and algorithms identify this level as critical, buy orders tend to cluster around it, reinforcing its strength as a support zone. Conversely, if the price were to decisively break below such a level after holding above it, it could trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and a rapid decline, indicating that the previous bullish conviction has waned. The current strength shown by Bitcoin in maintaining its position above such a noted psychological threshold is therefore a bullish indicator, suggesting underlying demand and a positive short-to-medium-term outlook, provided this support continues to hold. This resilience can build confidence among market participants, potentially attracting further capital inflow.
3. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: Identifying Strong Support
Fibonacci retracement levels are a cornerstone of technical analysis, employed to identify potential areas of support and resistance. Derived from the Fibonacci sequence – a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.) – the key retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages are applied to a prior price swing (from a significant low to a significant high in an uptrend, or vice-versa in a downtrend) to project areas where the price might pull back before resuming the primary trend.
The observation that Fibonacci retracement levels suggest strong support at current BTCUSD levels is particularly pertinent. When the market is in an uptrend and experiences a corrective pullback, traders watch these Fibonacci levels closely. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are often considered the most significant. A retracement to, and subsequent bounce from, one of these levels indicates that the correction is likely a healthy pause within a larger bullish trend, rather than a reversal.
If BTCUSD is currently finding support near a critical Fibonacci level, it implies that the preceding upward momentum was strong, and the current consolidation or minor pullback is being met with buying interest at a mathematically significant point. For example, if Bitcoin recently rallied from point A (low) to point B (high), and has now retraced to the 61.8% level of that rally and is holding, it's a classic sign that bulls are re-entering the market, viewing the pullback as a discounted buying opportunity. The confluence of a psychological level with a Fibonacci support level would create an even more potent support zone, significantly increasing the probability of a price bounce. Traders often look for candlestick confirmation at these Fibonacci levels before committing to a position.
4. Volatility Analysis: US Evening and Asian Morning Hours
Volatility is an inherent characteristic of Bitcoin, representing the degree of variation of its trading price series over time. The observation that BTCUSD volatility tends to increase during US evening and Asian morning hours is a valuable insight for strategic trade timing. This period typically corresponds to the overlap between the closing of the New York trading session and the opening of major Asian financial centers like Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Singapore.
Several factors contribute to this heightened volatility:
Market Overlap and Liquidity Shifts: As one major market winds down and another ramps up, there can be shifts in liquidity. The initial hours of the Asian session often bring fresh news, order flows, and participants, leading to price discovery and increased trading activity.
News Dissemination: Significant economic data releases, corporate earnings (for Bitcoin-related companies), or crypto-specific news from either the US (late announcements) or Asia can occur during these hours, directly impacting BTCUSD prices.
Algorithmic Trading: Many trading algorithms are programmed to react to specific inter-market conditions or news events, and their activity can amplify price movements during these transitional periods.
Derivatives Market Activity: The global nature of Bitcoin derivatives markets (futures, options) means that activity in these markets can influence spot prices around the clock. The US evening/Asian morning window sees active participation from traders in these regions.
For traders, this period of increased volatility presents both opportunities and risks. Opportunities arise from potentially larger price swings that can be capitalized upon with well-timed entries. Risks are elevated due to the potential for rapid price changes, which can trigger stop-losses or lead to slippage. Therefore, while these hours can be opportune for entry, they also demand heightened vigilance and robust risk management.
5. Entry Strategies: Volatility, Candlestick Patterns, and Timing
Leveraging the increased volatility during US evening and Asian morning hours for entry timing requires a methodical approach, primarily focusing on the confirmation provided by bullish candlestick patterns. Candlestick charts offer a visual representation of price movements and can signal shifts in market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations.
Key Bullish Candlestick Patterns for Entry Confirmation:
Hammer: Appearing after a downtrend, a Hammer is characterized by a small real body at the upper end of the trading range, with a long lower shadow (at least twice the size of the body) and little to no upper shadow. It indicates that sellers initially pushed prices down, but buyers stepped in strongly to drive prices back up near the open, suggesting a potential bottom and bullish reversal.
Inverted Hammer: Also a bottom reversal pattern, the Inverted Hammer has a small real body at the lower end of the trading range, a long upper shadow, and a short (or absent) lower shadow. It suggests that buyers attempted to push the price up, but sellers resisted. However, the fact that buyers showed strength is a tentative bullish sign, requiring further confirmation.
Bullish Engulfing: This is a powerful two-candle reversal pattern. The first candle is bearish (red/black), and the second candle is bullish (green/white) with a real body that completely "engulfs" the real body of the preceding bearish candle. It signifies that buying pressure has overwhelmed selling pressure.
Piercing Line: Another two-candle bullish reversal pattern seen after a downtrend. The first candle is a strong bearish candle. The second candle opens below the low of the first candle but then closes more than halfway up the real body of the first bearish candle. This indicates a significant shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish during the second candle's session.
Morning Star: A three-candle bullish reversal pattern. It begins with a long bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish or bearish and ideally gaps down from the first candle), and then a long bullish candle that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle (ideally gapping up from the second candle). The small middle candle (the "star") represents indecision, and the strong bullish third candle confirms the reversal.
Three White Soldiers: This is a strong bullish continuation or reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles. Each candle should open within the body of the previous candle and close at or near its high, making progressively higher highs. It signals sustained buying pressure.
Strategic Entry Timing:
Monitor Volatile Periods: Be particularly attentive to price action during the US evening and Asian morning hours.
Identify Key Support: Note the psychological levels and Fibonacci retracement zones where BTCUSD is expected to find support.
Scan for Bullish Candlesticks: Look for the formation of one of the aforementioned bullish candlestick patterns (or others like Dojis at support, Bullish Harami) at or near these support levels during the identified volatile periods.
Seek Confirmation: Wait for the candlestick pattern to fully complete at the close of its period (e.g., end of the hour for an hourly chart). Some traders wait for the next candle to trade above the high of the bullish pattern for further confirmation.
Volume Analysis: Higher trading volume accompanying the formation of a bullish candlestick pattern adds to its reliability, indicating stronger conviction behind the buying pressure.
Context is Key: Bullish reversal patterns are most potent when they appear after a discernible pullback within a larger uptrend, or at the end of a consolidation phase near strong support.
By combining the timing advantage of predictable volatility spikes with the confirmation signals from bullish candlestick patterns at technically significant support levels, traders can refine their entry strategies for BTCUSD.
6. Other Key Technical Indicators for Comprehensive Analysis
While the core observations provide a strong foundation, incorporating other technical indicators can offer a more holistic view of BTCUSD's market dynamics:
Moving Averages (MAs): MAs smooth out price data to identify trend direction and potential support/resistance. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs (Simple Moving Averages) or EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are widely watched. Price trading above these MAs is generally bullish. Crossovers, like a "golden cross" (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA), are considered strong long-term bullish signals. Conversely, a "death cross" (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA) is bearish.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100. An RSI above 70 is often considered overbought (suggesting a potential pullback), while below 30 is oversold (suggesting a potential bounce). However, in strong trends, BTCUSD can remain in overbought or oversold territory for extended periods. Bullish or bearish divergences between price and RSI (e.g., price making a new high while RSI makes a lower high) can signal weakening momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This trend-following momentum indicator consists of the MACD line and a signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, suggesting increasing upward momentum. A bearish crossover is the opposite. The MACD histogram visualizes the distance between the MACD and signal lines; a growing positive histogram is bullish.
Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels: Beyond Fibonacci, historical price action creates distinct support (price floor) and resistance (price ceiling) levels. These are areas where the price has previously reversed or consolidated. Identifying these levels on daily and weekly charts provides a broader map of potential turning points.
Trendlines and Channels: Drawing trendlines connecting successive lows (uptrend line) or highs (downtrend line) helps visualize the dominant trend. Price often respects these lines. Parallel trendlines can form channels, providing dynamic support and resistance boundaries. A break out of a well-established trendline or channel can signal a significant change in trend.
Volume Analysis: Trading volume is a critical confirming indicator. A price rally accompanied by increasing volume is generally seen as healthy and sustainable. Conversely, a rally on declining volume may indicate weakening conviction. Spikes in volume during breakouts above resistance or bounces from support add validity to the price move.
Integrating these indicators with the primary observations about psychological levels, Fibonacci support, and candlestick patterns during volatile periods can provide a more robust and nuanced trading framework.
7. Risk Management in Bitcoin Trading
The high volatility inherent in BTCUSD, while offering profit potential, also necessitates stringent risk management. Without it, traders expose themselves to significant losses. Key risk management practices include:
Stop-Loss Orders: Always define an exit point for a trade if it moves against you. A stop-loss order automatically closes a position when the price reaches a predetermined level, limiting potential losses.
Position Sizing: Determine the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to a single trade based on your overall portfolio size and risk tolerance. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of trading capital on any individual trade.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Before entering a trade, assess the potential profit (reward) versus the potential loss (risk). Aim for trades where the potential reward is significantly greater than the risk (e.g., 2:1 or 3:1).
Diversification: While this analysis focuses on BTCUSD, traders should consider diversifying their overall crypto portfolio if they are investors, rather than concentrating all funds in one asset.
Emotional Discipline: Avoid making trading decisions based on fear (FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) or greed (FOMO - Fear Of Missing Out). Stick to a well-defined trading plan.
8. Potential Future Outlook (Based on Technicals)
Based on the current technical posture where Bitcoin shows strength above a key psychological level and finds support at Fibonacci retracement zones, the outlook leans cautiously optimistic, contingent on these supports holding.
Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD continues to respect these support levels, particularly during periods of consolidation, and bullish candlestick patterns during volatile US evening/Asian morning hours lead to upward impulses, further upside is likely. A sustained break above immediate overhead resistance, confirmed by volume, could see BTCUSD challenge its next major resistance zones and potentially trend towards new highs. The ongoing defense of psychological levels is paramount for this scenario.
Bearish Scenario: Should the identified support levels (psychological and Fibonacci) fail to hold, the outlook could shift. A decisive break below these supports, especially on increased selling volume, would indicate that sellers have gained control. This could lead to a deeper correction, targeting lower support structures and potentially invalidating the current bullish sentiment. Increased volatility during the US evening/Asian morning hours could, in this case, exacerbate downward moves if bearish patterns emerge.
9. Conclusion
The technical analysis of BTCUSD reveals a market displaying notable strength, characterized by its ability to hold above a significant psychological price point and find robust support at Fibonacci retracement levels. This underlying resilience is a positive sign for bulls. The tendency for volatility to surge during the US evening and Asian morning trading sessions presents strategic windows for traders, particularly when seeking entries confirmed by validated bullish candlestick patterns at these critical support junctures.
A comprehensive trading approach should also integrate other indicators like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume analysis to confirm signals and understand the broader market context. While the current technical setup suggests a favorable environment for bulls, the inherent volatility of Bitcoin demands disciplined risk management practices. Traders must remain vigilant, adapting their strategies to the evolving price action and ensuring that any bullish conviction is continuously validated by the market's behavior at these key technical inflection points. The interplay between these technical elements will be crucial in determining BTCUSD's trajectory in the near to medium term.
BTC should test all time highs soon, if not set some new highs. I am not sure we will hit my $120-130k target from previous charts but we a have a nice bull flag here on lower time frames. The 4 hour seems to have momentum moving to the up side after seeing oversold conditions. It appears that we are moving off the orange up sloping support and breaking out of the green channel. Perhaps we will drop back into the channel and then run but only time will tell. Not financial advice, do your own research.
BTC LONG TP:105,500 14-05-2025🚀 LONG setup active
Entry between 102,000 and 102,500, targeting 105,500–106,000 on the 4H chart.
Estimated duration: 1 to 2 days ⏳
Price needs to rest and accumulate before pushing higher — but the upside potential is still intact.
Volatility and manipulations may hit hard, so trade cautiously.
We’re aiming for a 4RR here.
If the move doesn’t happen within that window, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
BTC Long Bias – Here’s the BreakdownEveryone’s screaming “99K dump” — I’m not buying it.
Price swept BSL at the highs without touching the 30M OB that caused the move down. But instead of breaking down, it formed bullish structure and held. That tells me smart money isn’t done buying yet.
🎯 Entry Zone: 101K–102K (where price showed strength)
🎯 Target: 104,979.32 (previous 30M high + liquidity resting there)
Price respected the bullish structure and gave the reaction I called off the demand zone. Now just waiting for a clean 5M entry with inducement + OB.
Let the rest wait on 99K. I’ll follow what the market actually tells me.
#BTC #SmartMoney #SMC #Inducement #OrderBlocks #TradeWhatYouSee
Bless Trading!
Bitcoin: $150,000, $180,000, $200,000 Or $220,000This is a question that nobody has been able to answer in the past 6 months: Will Bitcoin peak at $220,000 or $150,000?
Will the next All-Time High happen at $150-$160,000 or $180,000?
It is hard to say right now isn't it? But, consider this, if a new All-Time High will be hit within a few short weeks, or days, then there is plenty of room for Bitcoin to reach levels toward 200K. So maybe 150-160,000 is an easy target, it can go higher...
Now, it is true that we can guess and speculate about $250,000 or $220,000 or more, but there is no doubt that the next move is a rise, a strong rise, a continuation of the bullish move that started just a month ago. Five consecutive weeks closing green. As bullish as it gets.
Are you a SHORT trader?
You are about to be liquidated. There is till time, close your position now because Bitcoin is going up!
This is a friendly reminder.
Load up on the Altcoins.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.