BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Daily ChartBitcoin Sits below 0.618 on the fib chart there is a good chance that it will break this level then retest again before moving towards 86k then 90k.
Observation : this could be over the next few weeks due to the Tariffs/Inflation coming out of the USA with a combination of unrest around the world. Meaning that investors are seeking safe haven until there is confidence to reinvest in the Bitcoin.
Conclusion: its better to take long shorts /also short shorts were available towards support and Resistance Levels as it appears Bitcoin is ranging between Levels until the Markets settles from all the Volatility .
Disclaimer: In no way is this Financial advice for trading. trading is a RISK individuals and are at all times responsible any and all trades they engage in.
BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 84,393.94.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 81,267.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownBitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart – Detailed Professional Analysis
This chart presents a Rectangle Pattern, a common consolidation structure in technical analysis. The price has been oscillating between a well-defined resistance level near $88,000 - $89,000 and a support level around $80,000 - $81,000. This pattern suggests an upcoming breakout, with bearish continuation being the most probable scenario.
Understanding the Rectangle Pattern
A rectangle pattern forms when price moves sideways, trapped between two horizontal levels. Traders watch for a breakout in either direction to determine the next trend. In this case, Bitcoin has tested the resistance multiple times but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, support has been retested several times, which weakens its strength over time.
A bearish breakdown is likely because:
Buyers appear unable to push past resistance, showing exhaustion.
Support has been tested multiple times, which increases the chance of a breakdown.
The dotted black trendline is now being tested, and a break below it would further confirm bearish momentum.
Trade Setup for a Breakdown
A short trade becomes valid only if Bitcoin breaks below the $81,000 - $82,000 support zone with strong momentum. The price must close below this level to confirm the move.
How to Enter the Trade?
Look for a strong bearish candle close below the $81,000 - $82,000 range.
If Bitcoin retests this broken support (now acting as resistance), this can be a secondary short entry point.
Once confirmation is seen, open a short position.
Stop Loss Placement
To protect against false breakouts, a stop loss should be set above the $88,457 resistance zone. If the price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses this level, it means the bearish setup is no longer valid.
Profit Target and Trade Expectation
The expected take profit target is $73,541. This is calculated using the measured move projection, meaning the height of the rectangle is subtracted from the breakdown point. If Bitcoin reaches this level, the trade will have successfully captured the bearish momentum.
Market Psychology Behind This Move
The repeated failure to break above resistance ($88,000 - $89,000) signals weak buying interest. Buyers have been stepping in at support, but each retest of the $80,000 - $81,000 zone makes it more vulnerable.
Once support finally breaks, several factors will accelerate the move:
Long positions will be forced to sell, increasing selling pressure.
Breakout traders will enter new short positions, pushing price further down.
Liquidity below support will be triggered, causing Bitcoin to fall sharply toward the $73,541 target.
Invalidation Scenario (Bullish Case)
If Bitcoin breaks above $88,000 - $89,000 and holds, the bearish setup becomes invalid. In that case:
The price would shift into a bullish continuation pattern.
Traders should avoid shorting and instead look for buying opportunities above resistance.
Final Thoughts
This is a high-probability bearish setup, but patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering.
Risk management is crucial : The stop loss at $88,457 ensures that losses are minimized if the market moves against the trade.
If Bitcoin remains inside the rectangle, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance until a breakout occurs.
$BTC bullish / bearish uptrend trajectory The BTC is completing its 4th #ElliottWave on the weekly timeframe.
The 1W #MA50 still serves as historical #support, with Trump's #tariffs as a drag.
The optimistic scenario extends the 5th point to ~120K, while a pessimistic scenario expects a #retest of the ~55K support zone of the 200 Moving Average.
Bitcoin Setting Up For Another TryWithin the next 24 to 28 1hr candles (if not sooner) Bitcoin will be ready for another try to bounce and try to print that higher high. Have your bets placed ladies and gentlemen cause volatility is coming back again.
Note: If the low is broken and price doesn't climb back above it then all Long bets will be off.
BTC/Gold: A Clean Retest Confirmation. Reversal point the BTC/Gold chart reveals a cleaner and more structured representation compared to the BTC/USD chart. The BTC/Gold ratio highlights a key retest of a significant support/resistance zone, which aligns with historical trends in this pairing.
This retest solidifies the validity of the level, providing a clearer technical setup for traders. The BTC/Gold chart eliminates much of the noise found in USD-denominated charts, offering a more precise outlook for potential bullish continuation or breakdown.
Profit targets and stop-loss placements should consider key Fibonacci levels and prior swing lows for strategic risk management.
Bitcoin (BTC): Another Buying Push Been Suppressed By Sellers!Weekends were pretty bloody and so is Monday. We are seeing a strong dominance of sellers where one last push of the month has been suppressed by sellers with strong dominance.
Price is again below both EMAs and we think this might be the start of the movement toward our major target zone!
Swallow Team
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 4, 2025 📉
🔹 Current Price: $83,131.28
🔹 Timeframe: 15M
📌 Key Supply Zones (Resistance Levels):
🔴 $83,688.08 – Immediate resistance
🔴 $85,287.31 – Major supply zone
📌 Key Demand Zone (Support Level):
⚫ $81,523.24 – Potential downside target
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC faces rejection at $83,688.08, it could trigger a sell-off towards $81,523.24, making it a crucial level for further movement.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $85,287.31 could lead to further bullish momentum and new highs.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for confirmation at $83,688.08 before entering short positions.
✅ Use proper risk management strategies.
✅ Keep an eye on $81,523.24 as a potential reversal zone.
#FXFOREVER #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC BUY**📈 BTC: Bullish Breakout Confirmed Despite Volatility 🚀**
We can see that **BTC has successfully broken a bearish trendline to the upside**, with a **converging retest** at both the trendline and the **previous support around 84,000**.
🔹 **Following Trump's speech, the market experienced high volatility**, but for now, **my setup remains intact**, especially since I'm in a **buy position**.
👀 **Keeping a close watch on further developments!** 💪🔥
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bearish or Neutral Trend Amid Key Resist
1. 200-Day Moving Average (Yellow Line):
The current Bitcoin price is below this moving average, indicating a bearish trend or weakness in upward momentum.
Typically, when the price is below the MA200, it acts as resistance, increasing the likelihood of further declines.
2. Ichimoku Indicator:
The red cloud in the future suggests a bearish outlook and may act as strong resistance.
The price is currently near the Ichimoku cloud, which indicates market indecision.
3. Price Candles:
The candles have not been able to establish a clear position above the MA200.
If the price fails to stabilize above $84,000, a drop to the $80,000–$78,000 range is likely.
If the MA200 resistance is broken, the price could rise toward $88,000.
Conclusion:
Based on the current data, the overall trend remains bearish or neutral unless the price successfully stabilizes above the MA200. Otherwise, a decline toward the $80,000 level is probable.
Best Regards
Is this the perfect time to buy Bitcoin? Hello,
While the significant market correction since January 2025 has left many feeling fearful, we believe this presents a perfect opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon. The recent pullback in asset prices, particularly in the cryptocurrency space and equities, has created an attractive entry point for seasoned investors.
President Trump's ongoing commitment to positioning the United States as the global capital for cryptocurrency, with Bitcoin as a key component of the nation's reserves, reinforces the enduring fundamental strength of this digital asset. Despite the short-term volatility, Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain robust, supported by this high-level governmental endorsement .
Since its peak in January, Bitcoin has experienced a correction exceeding 25%, bringing it to levels that we view as an ideal accumulation zone. Our technical analysis further confirms this perspective, as the cryptocurrency approaches a critical upward trendline, suggesting that buyers may soon step in to drive a resurgence. Additionally, the MACD indicator is on the cusp of a bullish zero crossover, providing additional confirmation of an impending rebound.
For patient, forward-thinking investors, we strongly recommend initiating or increasing Bitcoin positions at these current prices. By adopting a disciplined, long-term approach and weathering the near-term fluctuations, you can position yourself to capitalize on the substantial upside potential as Bitcoin's trajectory aligns with the supportive stance of the U.S. government.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Power Law, M2 and Converging WedgeIf we look at the Power Law chart we will see that BTC is sitting at the wave low within a converging wedge that started 20 JAN 2025. M2 global liquidity chart is showing that there is ample liquidity for BTC to track much higher. Based on previous cycle leg up volumes, it is within the realm of possibility to see BTC achieve 220k by the middle of SEP 2025.
BTC/USD ...4h pair ...Based on my technical analysis provided, here's a structured breakdown of the BTCUSD scenario and potential trading strategy:
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### *Key Observations*
1. *Support Level*:
- Price is holding *82,000*, a critical support zone. A break below this could invalidate the bullish outlook.
2. *Bullish Divergence*:
- *RSI divergence* on H4 and H1 timeframes signals weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal.
3. *Resistance Level*:
- Immediate resistance at *82,550*. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum.
---
### *Scenario Analysis*
- *Bullish Case*:
- *Entry: Break and close above **82,550* (preferably with rising volume for confirmation).
- *Targets*:
- *TP1: 85,260* (3.3% gain from breakout).
- *TP2: 88,005* (6.6% gain from breakout).
- *Stop-Loss: Below **82,000* (e.g., *81,500* to account for volatility).
- *Bearish Risk*:
- Failure to hold *82,000* could lead to further downside. Monitor price action for breakdown signals.
---
### *Strategy Execution*
1. *Confirmation: Wait for a **strong close above 82,550* (H4 candle) to avoid false breakouts.
2. *Risk Management*:
- Position size adjusted to risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of capital).
- Stop-loss placed below support.
3. *Profit-Taking*:
- Partial profits at *TP1, trail stop for remaining position toward **TP2*.
---
### *Additional Considerations*
- *Volume*: High volume on breakout strengthens validity.
- *Market Context*: Monitor broader market trends (e.g., ETF flows, macro news) that may impact Bitcoin.
- *Technical Levels*: Watch for intermediate resistances between 82,550 and 85,260 (e.g., 84,000 psychological level).
---
*Conclusion*: The setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio if the resistance breaks. Always validate with price action and adjust stops as the trade progresses.
BTC Weekly Chart Update📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Update
It looks like a double top pattern is clearly forming on the BTC weekly chart — and honestly, doesn't it remind you of a similar structure we’ve seen before? 👀
Patterns like these often signal potential trend reversals, so this is definitely a chart to watch closely.
Do you see the similarity with the previous one? Let me know your thoughts in the comments 👇
🔴 Bearish scenario could continue unless we break above key resistance.