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BTCUSD trade ideas

Equal Weight Crypto Precariously PositionedWhenever I want a decent understanding of what crypto is doing on aggregate, I consult an equal weight portfolio of 10 of the top cryptos by market cap. The sector has been building another pennant, trying for a push to fresh highs, but momentum is flagging. The last time this happened, not too long back, there was a solid drawdown before the pump. By the look of it, there's room for a 30% drop. Given that so many cryptos have doubled, tripled, 5x, 25x, etc don't be surprised if there's a crash soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by quickshiftinn
2
NEW UPDATE OF BTCUSD 4H In-Depth Analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Chart This 4-hour Bitcoin chart from TradingView includes various technical indicators, patterns, and potential price movements. Let’s analyze it in detail: --- 1. Chart Overview & Indicators Trading Pair: Bitcoin (BTC) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Exchange Data Source: OANDA Price at the Time of Chart: $98,274.2 Price Change: +1,279.8 (+1.32%) Technical Indicator Used: Supertrend (10,3) Red Supertrend (Above Price) → Bearish Signal (Down Trend at ~$98,274.2) Green Supertrend (Below Price) → Bullish Signal (~$95,000 as potential support) --- 2. Key Price Levels Support Area: $90,000 - $95,000 This is highlighted as a blue zone. BTC has bounced from this area previously, making it a strong demand zone. Resistance Area: $105,000 - $110,000 Marked with a yellow box. BTC faced multiple rejections in this area before dropping. --- 3. Technical Patterns Observed A. Descending Triangle Formation (Red Trendline) The price is forming a descending triangle, characterized by lower highs and a flat support level. This is often a bearish pattern, but a breakout can occur in either direction. Breakout Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks the upper trendline resistance, it may surge toward $105,000 or higher. Bearish Breakout: If BTC falls below the triangle, it could drop toward the support zone (~$90,000 - $95,000). --- 4. Breakout Projection & Trading Strategy A. Breakout Arrows (Black, Blue, Green) Blue Arrow: Indicates a possible breakout above the descending trendline. Black Arrow: Suggests a move toward $105,000 resistance if the breakout is confirmed. Green Arrow: If BTC surpasses $105,000, it may continue rallying higher, possibly toward $110,000+. B. Bullish Trading Strategy Entry: Buy when BTC breaks above the descending triangle (~$99,000 - $100,000). Target: $105,000 - $110,000 (resistance zone). Stop Loss: Below $95,000 (support zone). C. Bearish Trading Strategy Entry: Sell if BTC fails to break out and falls below $95,000. Target: $90,000 or lower. Stop Loss: Above $98,000 (previous resistance). --- 5. Supertrend Indicator Analysis Currently Bearish: The Supertrend indicator is red, meaning BTC is in a downtrend. Bullish Reversal Possible: If BTC moves above $100,000, the Supertrend might turn green, signaling an uptrend. --- 6. Summary & Market Sentiment BTC is currently in a short-term downtrend but approaching key support. A breakout above $100,000 could trigger a strong bullish rally toward $105,000 - $110,000. Failure to hold above $95,000 may lead to further downside toward $90,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout before entering positions.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by mrsagarfx
2
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point. RSI also looks weak. Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels. Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels. Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis. * What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset. * Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by traderisso
BITCOIN is 'Back on Track'?🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Bitcoin Q1 2025 - Delayed Cycle (Part 2)🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
Golden Cross up ....The 200-day moving average resides at 7786874, which is below the current market offering underlying technical support on a psychological basis. This market is moving into what is called the Golden Cross, when the 50 unit moving average crosses above the 200, warning that the market may technically turn sharply to the upside. which is below the market at 7786874 given the last Daily closing of 9781900 while the 50 Daily moving average resides at 9923052.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dpopovici
Are You a Technical or Fundamental Trader? (And Why It Matters)Financial markets are a battleground of opposing forces: buyers vs. sellers, bulls vs. bears, diamond hands vs. paper hands. But one of the oldest rivalries in trading doesn’t involve price movements at all — it’s the ongoing feud between technical and fundamental traders. One side believes the charts hold all the secrets (you, maybe?), while the other insists that cold, hard data dictates market direction (you, maybe?). In this Idea, we break down the two and ask: which side are you on? 📈 The Chartists: The Lost Art of Tape Reading Technical traders are the wizards of the candlestick, seeing patterns where others see chaos. To them, a moving average isn’t just a squiggly line — it’s guidance. Fibonacci levels ? More sacred than grandma’s secret pie recipe. They don’t care if a company just launched the greatest product of the century — if the RSI says it’s overbought, they’re out. Technical analysis thrives on one simple principle: price action reflects all available information and hints at the next possible move. Instead of diving into earnings reports or economic data — the fundamental traders’ bread and butter — technical traders study past price movements, volume, and momentum indicators to predict the next leg up or down. They’re the ones glued to their TradingView charts, eyes darting between support and resistance levels, waiting for the perfect breakout. 💸 The Fundamentalists: Betting on Real-World Events Fundamental traders scoff at the idea that lines on a chart can predict the future. Instead, they dig into earnings reports , economic calendars , and all sorts of reports and data. They believe markets, like everything else in life, move based on value, supply and demand, and macroeconomic forces—not just on price action. To them, a stock isn’t just a ticker symbol; it’s a business with revenues, expenses, and growth prospects. If they’re trading forex , they’re looking at interest rates USINTR and inflation reports USCPI , not head-and-shoulders patterns. The goal? To determine an asset’s intrinsic value and bet on it going up or down, ideally running ahead of the pack. If a company’s earnings are strong, like Spotify’s SPOT latest earnings figures , they buy—regardless of what a stochastic oscillator says. And vice versa, if a company’s earnings are weak, like Google parent Alphabet’s GOOGL latest showing , they sell. 👉👈 Who’s Right? Both, depending on who you ask. Technical traders argue that prices move in patterns, and those patterns repeat. Fundamental traders counter that real-world events drive prices, and charts are just a delayed reflection of reality. The truth may actually be somewhere in the middle — markets are a mix of both. Even the most die-hard fundamentalist will glance at a chart before making a trade, and many technical traders keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid being blindsided by major news. 💡 Why It Matters Your trading style affects everything: the markets you trade, the tools you use, and even your level of stress. If you’re a fundamentals-first trader trying to scalp five-minute charts, you’re in a world of pain. Conversely, if you’re a technical trader attempting to hold trades for years without considering financial data, you might miss obvious warning signs. Understanding your own tendencies can help refine your strategy and improve your results. Are you more comfortable crunching numbers and reading financial statements? You might be in the same boat with other cash-flow guys like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio. Do you prefer spotting patterns and reacting to price action? Say hello to your billionaire buddies Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller. 💚 Final Thoughts Bottom line, trading isn’t about proving one method superior — it’s about making the right decisions, and, let’s be frank, turning a profit. Whether you’re a chart junkie or an earnings aficionado, what matters most is having a strategy that works for you. So now the big question… which side are you on? Fundamental analysis or technical analysis? Comment below and let’s see who’s who!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
33
Bitcoin Cycle Evolution: Angular Analysis of Peak FormationsAs the cryptocurrency market matures, we observe a fascinating phenomenon in Bitcoin's price dynamics: the gradual reduction in cycle volatility. This analysis presents a geometric approach to understanding and potentially forecasting this pattern through the lens of angular momentum in logarithmic price movements. P.S. TradingView has broken the candlestick ratio, you can still adjust the angle lines correctly using the chart scaling change. Methodology By examining the angular coefficients of price trajectories during Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycles, we can identify a distinct pattern of decreasing slope intensity. These angles, measured from cycle lows to peaks, demonstrate a logarithmic decay pattern that aligns with market maturation theory. Our analysis focuses on end-of-year movements, particularly November-December periods, which have historically served as critical pivot points in Bitcoin's price action. Current Findings The angular progression suggests two key trajectory angles for upcoming cycles: Current cycle (2021-2025): ~34° upward momentum Next cycle (2026-2029): ~29° upward momentum This decreasing angular pattern reflects growing market efficiency and institutional participation, leading to more moderate price appreciations in subsequent cycles. Price Projections Based on this geometric framework, we anticipate three key price levels: 2024 Cycle Peak: $150,000-200,000 Primary resistance: $150,000 Maximum extension potential: $170,000 (scam-wick) Characterized by reduced volatility compared to previous cycles 2024 Cycle Bottom: $44,000-50,000 Represents a higher structural low Optimal accumulation zone for long-term positions Enhanced market stability at support levels 2028 Cycle Peak: ~$300,000 Terminal point: November 2029 Reflects continued market maturation Demonstrates significantly dampened volatility Market Implications This geometric approach aligns with efficient market hypothesis principles, suggesting that as Bitcoin's market structure becomes more sophisticated, price movements naturally become more measured. The decreasing angular coefficients quantify this maturation process, providing a mathematical framework for what many market participants intuitively understand. Risk Assessment While this analysis provides a structured approach to understanding Bitcoin's cycle evolution, it should not be considered financial advice. The model is based on geometric patterns and historical behavior, which may not fully capture future market dynamics. Like the work? Hit the like button to support more analytical content. Note: This analysis employs logarithmic scaling to better visualize percentage-based price movements and cyclical patterns.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Paramonov95
Bitcoin’s next move!🚀 Hey friends! Let’s talk about Bitcoin’s next move! 🔥 Hi everyone! Hope you're all doing great. 🌟 Today, I’m sharing an updated Elliott Wave analysis on BTC/USD, and let me tell you—it’s getting exciting! We’re at a key point in the market where Bitcoin could be setting up for an explosive Wave 5 rally, or… it might need a deeper correction first. 🤔 Let’s dive in! 📊 BTC/USD - Elliott Wave Analysis (Simple Count & Current Data) This analysis follows the simplest wave count based on current price action, plotted on an arithmetic chart. However, if we switch to a logarithmic scale, a different structure becomes possible—something we’ll discuss later! Right now, BTC is moving within a classic five-wave Elliott structure, and we’re in the middle of a critical Wave 4 retracement before what could be the final push to new highs. 💡 Elliott Wave Breakdown 📌 Wave 1: Strong impulsive breakout 🚀 📌 Wave 2: Healthy retracement (38%-50% Fibonacci correction) 📌 Wave 3: The most extended bullish move, breaking major resistance zones 📌 Wave 4 (Current): Correcting between 23.6%-38.2% Fibonacci retracement 📌 Wave 5 (Upcoming?): Potential push to $125K-$150K if BTC holds key levels! 🎯 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Strong Support (Wave 4 Zone): $91,349 - $98,719 🔹 First Bullish Confirmation: Break above $109K 🔹 Breakout Target Range: $125K - $135K 🔹 Ultimate Target: $147K+ 🚀 🔹 Invalidation Level: If BTC drops below $73,954, this wave count becomes invalid. 🛠 Trading Strategies & Two Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Idea (Simple & Aggressive Count) If BTC holds the $91K- GETTEX:98K range, it’s likely forming a Wave 4 correction before a massive push higher. Break above $109K confirms the bull run, and we can look at $125K+ as the next big move. ❌ Bearish Risk (Alternative Logarithmic View) On a logarithmic chart, another possibility exists. If BTC breaks below $91K, we might see a deeper retracement toward $74K. A drop below $74K completely invalidates this Elliott Wave count and suggests a larger correction is in play. 🌎 A Quick Note for You All Friends, I know these markets can be unpredictable, but the beauty of Elliott Wave Theory is that it gives us a roadmap—helping us plan ahead! 🚀 Remember, this is not financial advice—just an honest breakdown of what the charts are telling us. I’d love to hear your thoughts! What’s your prediction for BTC? Will we see $150K, or are we heading for a bigger correction? Let’s discuss it below! 👇🔥 💙 Thanks for being here, and don’t forget to like & share if you found this helpful! See you in the next update! 🚀📊
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Feb 2024 set up repeating? Bitcoin has been moving in the range bound for a few months now.  The market is very volatile and many inexperienced traders are liquidated. Some are starting to talk about the end of the bull market, but I can see a very bullish price set up in the weekly chart. The current set up in the weekly chart is very similar to that in Jan/Feb 2024 (see the blue boxes and vertical lines in the chart). 1) The price is still closing above EMA 21.   2)MACD momentum is weakening and MACD lines about touching but haven't crossed to the downside.   Also MACD is clearly in the bull zone. 3) RSI has reached the overbought territory and the purple line (signal line?) has come down, but the slope of the orange line (signal line or slow MACD line?  sorry I forgot what it is called!) is still up.   As I said in the previous analysis, RSI orange line tends to remove the market noises and shows the general direction of the price. 4)Stochastic is moving to the downside, however, they are still in the bull zone and it is the fastest reacting momentum indicator, so the direction can shift quite quickly.   If the price action of the Feb 2024 repeats, a parabolic leg up is coming soon.    It is not a guaranteed move, so you need to respond accordingly to the price action of today, not that of Feb 2024! If a daily candle decisively moves and closes above $98,000 area and 4H MACD crosses to the upside and enters the bull zone, it might be a good opportunity to buy spot or open a long position for swing trade (with low leverage!)  
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
BTCUSD Market Outlook📊 BTCUSD Market Outlook 📊 🔹 Bullish Momentum: Bitcoin appears strong today, with potential highs around $99,441 – $100,860. 🔹 Possible Reversal: After reaching these levels, BTC may shift to a bearish trend. 📌 Trading Strategy: ✅ Wait for Confirmation: Look for clear reversal signals before initiating short positions. ✅ Risk Management: Maintain strict stop-loss levels to safeguard capital. ✅ Stay Informed: Monitor price action and key fundamentals for timely adjustments. 📉 Trade Smart, Stay Disciplined! 📈 🚀
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_with_Ray
BTC AT RESISTANCEThe Bitcoin daily chart reveals an ongoing struggle at critical levels. The price is trading just below the 50-day moving average, which is acting as dynamic resistance around the $99,860 region. Yesterday's candle shows a strong rebound from the lows, indicating buyer interest near the support zone, but the price has yet to reclaim the key levels of $99,860 or the 50-day moving average for a more bullish outlook. Volume on the bounce was slightly above average, which is encouraging, but follow-through will be key in determining whether this rebound has enough momentum to break above resistance. For a bullish scenario, Bitcoin needs to establish a daily close above $99,860 and the 50-day moving average. A continuation above $106,099 would provide a more convincing signal of strength. On the other hand, a break below the recent lows could open the door to a retest of the demand zone in the $89,000–$90,000 range. Monitoring volume and price action near these key levels will be essential for confirming the next directional move.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
107.60KMorning folks, So, BTC has shown the pullback that we've discussed, but it was even stronger. Thus, we had have to postpone our plans for short entry. Besides, now situation stands so that our weekly pattern (DRPO "Sell") might not be confirmed this week. To keep it simple - no new shorts by far. For now we focus only on intraday setups. For example, on 4H chart. If we could to use 8H or 10H chart instead, then we could see nice big bullish engulfing pattern. As usual it has AB=CD upside target, which is around 107.5K for now. "C" point lows seems to be a vital area for this setup, just because this is 5/8 support and breakout of 95K level will change everything here. So, decision on entry has to be made fast, while price is not too far from vital area.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BITCOIN Pure 2-month symmetry targets $102.5k and $108k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically consolidating for more than 2 months (since November 22 2024) within a Rectangle pattern and what's more striking is the amazing symmetry it has been displaying. Right now the price has broken above a Lower Highs trend-line following the February 03 2025 Low near the Rectangle's Bottom and every time it has done so within this pattern, a rally towards the Higher Highs trend-line started. It is interesting to mention that so far the range from the first High to the last High of this trend-line has been 101 4H candles (roughly 25 days). Since on the new (blue) phase that started on the February 03 High, we had our first, we can expect it to conclude near the top of the Rectangle by February 26. This technical symmetry can help us set our next short-term Targets. Target 1 is at $102500, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 1 and Target 2 is at $108000, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 2 (top of the Rectangle as mentioned). Needless to say, the current 4H RSI pattern resembles the bullish break-outs above both of the previous first Lower Highs fractals. Do you think this symmetry will play out in the same way once again? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot