Bitcoin Dips On High VolumeThe Bitcoin daily chart paints a nuanced picture following Tuesday’s pullback – which came on the highest volume day since the $74K bottom in mid‑April, specifically on Coinbase. But notably, that surge in volume was primarily driven by selling, not buying – a key detail that shifts the tone of the candle.
Despite the aggressive downward move, price found support around $116,000 and recovered into the close, finishing the day above $117,000. However, the heavy sell volume behind that move suggests it wasn’t just a casual dip – it was real distribution.
That said, bulls showed resilience on Wednesday, pushing price back toward $119,000 and defending the key $116,000–$118,000 zone. If Bitcoin can maintain this level and digest the selloff without rolling over, it may absorb the supply and build a base for continuation.
But traders should stay cautious – high‑volume sell days near local highs can sometimes mark short‑term tops or signal a shift in momentum. The $112,000 breakout zone remains the critical downside level to watch if the current range fails.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024.
Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap.
It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model.
So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BITCOIN Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 119,063.08.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 126,088.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC Bottom & New ATH..... when ?!!! Hello Guys
There are some notes of BTC weekly Chart:
1. We have a new ATH every 4 years ( 1428-1477 ) days..
2. After the ATH we take about ( 52-59 ) weeks to make a new bottom then we go up a little ...
3. Every time we reach a new ATH we drop down in a same angle (-55) before the new bull run starting .... look at my chart ( Red angles and curves ):
****** We dropped from ATH 2013 to Bottom 2015 by an angle ( -55 ) .
****** We dropped from ATH 2017 to Bottom 2018 by an angle ( -55 ) .
****** Same (24 July 2019) we dropped from local top to the local bottom by Angle ( -56 ) .
****** Will we drop from ATH 2021 to Bottom (2022 - 2023) by the same angle ( -55 or -56 )??
4. In my opinion , I expect we will reach the final bottom between ( 26 December 2022 : 6 march 2023 ).
5. I don't care what will be the price of BTC then , but I care only for when will be the possible bottom !!.
But if we can try to expect the price it will be in a range of ( 11900 : 9000$) ...
Note:( 10K - 10500$) is very very strong demand area for BTC .
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Finally , I think the new ATH will not be before Nov 2025 ( 150k $ ).
It is not a financial advice , I am only share my thoughts with u :)
Thank u and good luck.
BTC/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin remains fundamentally bullish as institutional adoption continues to rise through Spot ETF inflows, while post-halving supply pressure tightens the available BTC in circulation. Additionally, the upcoming regulatory clarity such as the GENIUS Act could pave the way for major institutions like JPMorgan to issue their own stablecoins, further bridging the gap between crypto and traditional finance. On the technical side, BTC is currently consolidating around the 116,200 level, potentially forming a bull flag pattern on the 4H timeframe. This zone has acted as a major support level due to multiple historical touches.
Previously, price reached an all-time high around 122,000 before forming an Evening Star reversal pattern, leading to a pullback back to the 116,200 zone. A Morning Star reversal then formed on this key support, suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
Our current objective is to wait for price to climb toward the 120,000 level, where we anticipate a potential liquidity grab within the highlighted liquidity zone.
📍Buy Stop Setup:
Buy Stop Entry (AOI): Around 118,050
Stop Loss: 116,100 (below liquidity zone)
Take Profit: 122,080
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
$300k+: LVDT estimated BTC ATH target this cycle.According to my old LVDT indicator, BTC should reach $300k or even higher at ATH this cycle.
The real parabolic (banana zone) run will only start when BTC touches the thick red line again.
Time to gradually DCA sell every time BTC pierces significantly above the thick red line (signaling a potential point of Blow-off-Top).
I plan to be updating this tread from time to time as the chart progresses until the absolute "Sell" signal is triggered.
BTC #ARC Structure has breakout its levelThe chart shows a 15-minute BTC/USD timeframe forming a cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Price has broken above the handle resistance zone (~$118,400), suggesting a potential breakout. The red vertical line marks the expected target, projecting a move toward the $119,600 level based on the pattern height.
BTC Nearing Completion of Wave 3 – Correction Ahead?Bitcoin is approaching the end of its Wave 3 movement, which suggests a possible correction phase in the near future.
However, this is likely just a temporary pause before the next bullish wave continues the uptrend.
Stay patient and watch for key support levels to prepare for the next buying opportunity.
BTC #ARC FormationThe chart **15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** candlestick pattern with a clearly drawn **cup and handle** or **rounded bottom** formation. Let's identify key levels:
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🔍 **Key Levels Identified:**
1. **Resistance Zone (Neckline of Cup)**
Level:** \~**118,400 USD**
Significance:** This is the upper gray zone where price has repeatedly been rejected. It's acting as a **resistance** and also forms the **neckline of the cup pattern**. A breakout above this level may indicate bullish continuation.
2. **Support Zone (Bottom of Cup)**
Level:** \~**115,800 – 116,000 USD**
Significance:** This is the **lowest point** in the recent pullback and serves as strong support**. The price rebounded from here to form the cup.
3. **Mid-Level / Breakout Point**
Current Price:** \~**118,067 USD**
Significance:** Price is testing the **resistance**. A candle close and confirmation above 118,400 could trigger a bullish move, possibly targeting previous highs near **121,600 USD** or more.
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⚠️ Watch For:
Breakout confirmation above 118,400 USD** with volume for bullish continuation.
Rejection at 118,400 USD** could lead to a pullback or handle formation.
Support holding above 116,000 USD** is key to maintain bullish structure.
Let me know if you want price targets or entry/exit suggestions based on this setup.
thank u
Bitcoin Buy Bias – On-Chain Confidence Still Has Room to RunThe On-chain Confidence indicator is showing signs of increasing sell pressure and profit-taking, but it still remains well below the historical peaks seen in previous bull market tops (2017 & 2021).
👉 This is a composite indicator combining several key on-chain metrics like RHODL Ratio, Puell Multiple, and MVRV, among others.
📊 The current level resembles early 2024 and early 2025, suggesting we are not yet at extreme sentiment levels.
If this indicator continues to climb toward its previous cycle highs, it may signal that we’re entering the final leg of this bull run. For now, there’s still room for upside momentum.
Bitcoin - V-shape recovery down towards the 4h FVG at $111.000?The move began with a strong rally that peaked near the $123,000 level. After hitting that high, Bitcoin quickly reversed and sold off aggressively, forming a classic V-shaped pattern. This type of formation typically indicates a strong shift in momentum, where bullish control is quickly overtaken by sellers, leading to swift downward movement.
4H bearish FVG
Shortly after the initial drop, Bitcoin made a retest of the bearish 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $119,000 to $120,500 zone. This fair value gap was created during the sharp move down and represented an area of inefficiency in price. The chart shows that price moved back into this zone and was “perfectly retested,” getting rejected almost immediately. This rejection confirmed that sellers are respecting this imbalance, turning it into a short-term resistance level.
Market structure
As the price failed to reclaim the fair value gap and continued lower, it broke the market structure at around $117,000. This break suggests that the previous higher low was taken out, signaling a bearish shift in the intermediate trend. The market structure break often acts as confirmation that buyers are losing control and lower prices are likely.
CME gap
Adding to the downside pressure is the CME gap, labeled as the "BTC CME GAP" on the chart. This gap spans from roughly $114,000 to $116,300 and was formed over the weekend when the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) was closed. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to "fill" these gaps by revisiting the price levels within them. The current price action has already started to dip into this region, which could suggest further downside to complete the gap fill.
Bullish 4H FVG with support
Finally, the chart hints at the potential drop to the lowest 4H FVG and previous resistance, located just above $111,000. This fair value gap aligns closely with a prior resistance level from earlier in the month, making it a logical magnet for price if selling pressure persists. It represents a confluence zone where buyers may look to step in again, especially if the CME gap is filled and the market is searching for support.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin is showing bearish technical signs following a V-shape top and a strong rejection from the 4H FVG at $120,000. The break of market structure and ongoing fill of the CME gap suggest that further downside toward the $111,000 level is a strong possibility. Traders should watch closely for price reaction in that lower fair value gap zone, as it could serve as a critical area for a potential bounce.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BITCOIN NEXT TARGET 1205001. Professional & Direct:
BTC Long in Play – Eyes on 120,500 🔥
Momentum building strong. Stay in the trend — next target: 120.5K.
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2. TradingView Style (Engaging):
Bitcoin Bulls Gaining Strength 🚀
Long position active. Targeting next major level at $120,500 — hold tight!
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3. VIP Signal Tone:
BTC BUY Signal Active ✅
We’re riding the wave to $120,500. Strong confirmation on higher timeframes.
BTC! BREAK OUT.Initially i was hesitant to call thiss bottom and I will risk my non exsistant repution. That if we break through this resistance and pump a 1-2% break through 4 hour FVG we going ballistic I dont belive in 150k this month I believe in 127-130 k and a trtacement to 113k to fill CME gap. W tradez.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of July 11, 2025. The current price is $117,979.53, reflecting a 4-hour increase of $1,938.91 (+1.67%). The chart highlights a significant upward trend, with a notable breakout above the $114,719.92 resistance level, reaching up to $121,362.93. Key price levels include support at $116,625.93 and resistance at $121,362.93, with buy and sell options marked at the current price.
Btcusd techinical analysis.This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart from TradingView illustrates a technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and possible implications:
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🔍 Chart Overview:
Current Price: $117,997.8
Timeframe: 1-hour candles
Exchange: OKX
Date/Time: July 16, 2025, 05:16 UTC
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🧠 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators:
1. Descending Triangle Breakout Setup:
A descending resistance line (in pink) is converging with a horizontal support level (around $116,000–$117,000).
The price appears to be testing the upper boundary, indicating a potential breakout.
2. Target Measurement:
The blue arrow pointing upward suggests a measured move after a breakout.
Target Price: ~ $120,957.8 (approx. 2.53% move or +2,959.8 points from breakout level)
3. Support Zone:
Strong horizontal support zone marked in purple near $116,000.
This zone has held despite a sharp dip, indicating buyer interest.
4. Previous Trend Channels:
Blue and red channels represent bullish and bearish trends.
Recent bearish
Breaking below the psychological 115,000 level could trigger furMomentum indicators such as RSI and MACD likely show bearish divergence or downward momentum, supporting the short thesis.
The recommended stop-loss for this setup is at 119,000, which is just above recent resistance and protects against false breakouts.
This SL level offers a good risk-reward ratio, with approximately 2:1 or better depending on entry precision.
If price fails to reclaim 119,000 or form higher highs, the bearish momentum is expected to persist.
Price rejection candles or bearish engulfing patterns near 117,500 further validate short entries.
Breaking below the psychological 115,000 level could trigger further downside acceleration.
This setup is ideal for short-term swing traders or day traders looking to capitalize on intraday volatility.
Overall, the structure favors sellers as long as BTCUSD remains below the 119,000 resistance.