Bitcoin Falling WedgeBitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – April 2, 2025
Market Structure & Pattern:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $84,346, experiencing a slight decline of -0.97% for the day.
The chart shows a falling wedge pattern, a potential bullish reversal structure. A breakout above the upper trendline could signal upward momentum.
Key support at $74,400, marked by a strong horizontal level.
Major resistance near $100,000 - $105,000, where sellers may become aggressive.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks above the falling wedge resistance, the next target would be $100,000 - $105,000.
Confirmation would come with increased volume and a break above $90,000.
Bearish Breakdown:
Failure to hold the $74,400 support could result in a decline towards $55,000 - $50,000, a historical demand zone.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 47, near the neutral zone, meaning BTC is not yet in oversold territory.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $90,000 → $100,000 - $105,000
Support: $74,400 → $55,000 - $50,000
Breakout confirmation: Above $90,000
Breakdown confirmation: Below $74,000
Trading Strategy:
Long entry: If BTC breaks and closes above $90,000, targeting $100,000+.
Short entry: If BTC loses $74,400 support, targeting $55,000.
Conclusion:
The falling wedge suggests a potential breakout, but BTC needs to clear $90,000 for bullish confirmation.
The RSI is neutral, indicating BTC is neither overbought nor oversold.
Monitor volume for breakout confirmation.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 84,174.20
Target Level: 80,643.17
Stop Loss: 86,519.44
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Ahead?🔥 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis 🔥
🔹 Trend Analysis:
🟡 Price was moving in an ascending channel 📈 but has broken below the trendline.
🟠 A retest of the broken trendline is happening, suggesting a potential drop 📉.
🔹 Trade Setup:
🔽 Short Entry: Expected rejection from the trendline.
❌ Stop Loss: $85,671 - $85,710 (Above resistance).
✅ Take Profit Target: $81,386 - $81,347 (Bearish target 🎯).
🔹 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 EMA (9) at $84,254 → Acting as resistance 🚧.
🔄 Break & Retest Pattern → Typical for a bearish continuation 🛑📉.
🔹 Conclusion:
⚠️ Bearish Bias: If the price rejects the trendline, it could drop towards $81,386 🎯.
🚨 Invalidation: If the price breaks above $85,710, the short setup is canceled ❌.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis – Key Breakout Levels to WatchBitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🚀 Bitcoin is currently at a critical decision point, and here’s my analysis based on Elliott Wave Theory and trend structures.
🔹 Wave Structure Analysis
The price appears to be following a five-wave impulse structure.
Wave (3) has extended well beyond Wave (1), confirming the impulse pattern.
Wave (4) has respected key support levels and has not overlapped with Wave (1), maintaining a valid Elliott Wave structure.
🔹 Key Scenarios to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario (Wave 5 Expansion) 🟢
If Bitcoin breaks above the previous Wave (1) high, it could confirm Wave (5) continuation.
A breakout with strong volume could push BTC toward $109K - $130K levels.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Trend Break) 🔴
If the price fails to hold the trendline and breaks below $73,764, we could see a drop toward the $50K demand zone.
A confirmed trendline breakdown would indicate a deeper correction before any further bullish continuation.
🔹 What to Watch?
📌 Breakout confirmation above resistance
📌 Trendline support reaction
📌 Volume & momentum indicators (RSI, MACD)
💬 Let me know your thoughts! Do you think BTC will hit new highs or face a correction? 🚀🔥
This should be engaging and informative for the TradingView community! Let me know if you want any tweaks. 🚀📊
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 83,509.64
1st Support: 81,260.77
1st Resistance: 88,031.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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BTC/USD Expected to Rise: A Swing Trading Strategy AnalysisIntroduction
Swing trading is a popular trading approach that aims to capture short- to medium-term price movements in financial markets. For Bitcoin (BTC/USD), traders often rely on key technical indicators such as moving averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Fibonacci retracements, and candlestick patterns to predict price swings. Based on a combination of these indicators, BTC/USD is showing strong signs of an upward move, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders.
Technical Analysis Supporting BTC/USD’s Upward Move BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1. Moving Averages Crossovers
One of the fundamental indicators used in swing trading is the moving average crossover strategy. If the short-term moving average (e.g., the 20-day EMA) crosses above a long-term moving average (e.g., the 50-day EMA), it signals bullish momentum.
Recent BTC/USD charts indicate a bullish crossover, suggesting an uptrend is likely to continue.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Confirmation
The RSI measures momentum and identifies overbought or oversold conditions.
If RSI is above 50 and rising, it confirms strength in buying pressure.
If RSI was oversold (below 30) and starts moving upward, it signals a potential reversal.
BTC/USD recently bounced from an oversold region, indicating growing buying interest.
3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels Acting as Support
Swing traders use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential support and resistance zones.
BTC/USD recently retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which often acts as a strong support zone before an upward continuation.
4. Bullish Candlestick Formations
Candlestick patterns help traders predict price direction.
A bullish engulfing candle or hammer near key support levels reinforces an uptrend.
BTC/USD recently printed a bullish engulfing candle, a strong indication that buyers are in control.
5. Increasing Volume and Market Sentiment
Volume analysis is crucial in swing trading.
A rise in volume alongside bullish price action confirms genuine buying interest.
Current BTC/USD trading volume supports an upward movement, reinforcing positive market sentiment.
Fundamental Factors Supporting BTC/USD Upside
Beyond technical analysis, fundamental catalysts are contributing to Bitcoin’s expected rally:
Institutional Adoption: More firms are integrating Bitcoin into their portfolios.
Upcoming Halving Event: Historically, BTC rallies before and after halving cycles.
Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation and fiat currency devaluation increase demand for Bitcoin as a hedge.
Trading Plan for Swing Traders
For traders looking to capitalize on BTC/USD’s expected rise, here’s a suggested plan:
Entry Point: Around the 50-day EMA or Fibonacci support level.
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low to manage risk.
Target Price: Previous resistance levels or recent swing highs.
Trailing Stop: To lock in profits as the price moves upward.
Conclusion
Based on swing trading indicators, BTC/USD is showing strong bullish signals, making it an attractive trade opportunity. However, risk management remains crucial, and traders should continuously monitor market conditions. If BTC continues to hold key support levels while maintaining upward momentum, it could reach higher resistance zones in the near term.
Bitcoin Rejection from Resistance – Short Setup with Bullish PotBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone around $85,500, where previous price action showed strong selling pressure. A rejection from this level could lead to a short-term pullback towards $83,750 - $83,250 , aligning with a retest of the broken trendline before a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 Entry: $85,200 - $85,500
🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): $86,000
🔹 Take-Profit (TP): $83,750, with potential long re-entry from this zone targeting $86,000+
📊 Watch for price action confirmation within the resistance zone before entering. If BTC holds above $85,500, the bullish breakout could accelerate. 🚀
Bitcoin will have a breakthrough in the channel!Hello, traders
Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
Research: Interconnected Scalable ComplexitiesIntegrating another fibonacci channel into a formerly discovered interconnected structure:
Direction defined by HH's: Mar '24 & Dec '24; Mapping to LL Nov '22 Price breaking over this channel is a signal of continuation of bullrun in a bigger scale (like 2016 BR).
Interconnected Fractals in respect to Phi:
My work revolves around understanding and interconnecting scalable complexities, forming the foundation for a probabilistic framework that accurately models the underlying patterns and relationships driving price movements over time. Achieving this requires analyzing how price historically reacts to key levels and projecting this consistency for a future price coverage. This research will be used to build an indicator that automatically generates these levels in Pine Script.
Please, confirm in comment section if you would like me to do traditional subjective TA over objective Fractal Analysis. I highly appreciate your involvement!
BULLISH ON BTC This image illustrates the Bitcoin adoption curve, dividing the adoption process into four main phases:
1 . Early Adopters
2 . Early Majority
3 . Late Majority
4 . Laggards
The arrow in the image indicates that we are now at the beginning of the "Early Majority" phase. This means Bitcoin is no longer limited to a small group of enthusiasts and risk-takers but is starting to gain broader adoption among regular users and businesses.
The opportunity is still there, but we are gradually moving away from the early stages...
So, who will benefit from the next phase?
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup: Resistance Rejection & TargThis chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 15-minute price chart from TradingView, showing a potential short trade setup based on technical analysis. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Resistance Zone & Short Setup
The purple highlighted area represents a resistance level around $85,358.
Price is consolidating within this resistance zone, suggesting a potential reversal.
The expected scenario involves a price rejection from this resistance, leading to a downward move.
2. Moving Averages
EMA (200, blue line) at $83,433: A long-term trend indicator suggesting a strong support zone.
EMA (30, red line) at $84,657: A short-term trend indicator, currently above the price, indicating a potential bearish setup if the price moves below it.
3. Target & Stop-Loss Le
BITCOIN Will it finally break the 2 month Resistance?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having an impressive 1day candle,recovering the losses of the last 3 days and with the 1day RSI bouncing on its Rising Support.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of all, the Falling trend line that started on the January 20th ATH.
This is just under the 1day MA50 and this will be the 5th test.
If successful, it will be an early validation that the trend has finally shifted to long term bullish again.
The first technical target will be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Aim a little bit lower at the top of February's Resistance Zone at $100000.
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Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
BTCUSDT.. single supporting area , holds or not ??#BTCUSDT.. so market just reached at his most important area is around 81400 to 81600
And that is our in-between range area actually so keep close it and if market hold that area then again buying expected towards range upper line.
Note: below 81400 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTC/USD to 110K this quarter?In what scenario could BTC/USD reach 110,000 this quarter? To achieve this level, Bitcoin needs to stabilize within the 78,000 to 85,000 range while remaining above the crucial 75,000 to 76,000 support zone. A positive sign is that the recent downward movement from the peak of 109,000 has shown signs of exhaustion. Recent short-term price movements indicate that a bottoming process may be underway, suggesting that Bitcoin could start moving higher during the course of this quarter.