BTCUSD - POSSIBLE LONG SETUPBTC has created a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Neckline has been broken.
Now waiting for the retest, so we will have a break and retest + head and shoulders.
After that i'm going to wait for a bullish shift of structure on the 15/30min timeframe and look to enter the trade.
It also all depends on how this daily candle will close.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Weekly Analysis Targeting; 94k - 96k, Followed By 109k
BTCUSD Weekly Analysis
Bitcoin is currently trading around $88,638, showing strong recovery momentum after bouncing off the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $74,412, often referred to as the “golden pocket.” This bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at this support zone, which has historically acted as a major turning point in bullish market structures.
On the upside, BTC has now reclaimed the 38.2% retracement level at $87,375, turning it into a short-term support zone. Holding above this level gives Bitcoin a clear path toward the next key resistance at $94,430, followed by a stronger resistance cluster around $96,211, where both Fibonacci and historical horizontal resistance align.
Technically, the weekly chart also confirms a breakout above the descending trendline, adding confluence to the bullish reversal. This move aligns with the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern seen on the daily chart — a classic bullish formation that typically leads to strong upward continuation.
If BTC continues to hold above $87,000, the next short-term target would be $94,000–$96,000, and if that level breaks with volume, Bitcoin could be gearing up for a retest of its previous highs around $109,000. On the downside, $81,145 (50% retracement) and $74,412 (61.8%) remain critical support levels, with any break below $74K shifting the outlook back to bearish.
The chart structure, key Fibonacci zones, and bullish reversal pattern all point toward continued upside, with BTC needing to maintain above GETTEX:87K to sustain the bullish trend.
Bitcoin Tests Critical Resistance Level: What's Next?FenzoFx—Bitcoin is testing the $88,650 resistance, a level it has rejected more than three times. The Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators remain in overbought territory, indicating short-term overvaluation. Entering the market at this price is not recommended.
If BTC/USD stays below $88,650, a consolidation phase may follow, with potential dips to $88,140 and $82,810.
Bullish Scenario
The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC closes above $88,650, potentially resuming the uptrend toward $90,000.
BTC KNOCKING ON HEAVEN'S DOORBitcoin is really knocking on the door of major resistance here, testing the key level at $88,804 for the second day in a row. What makes this even more notable is the backdrop – equities have been under pressure, yet Bitcoin is showing strong divergence and relative strength.
We saw a breakout through descending resistance yesterday, backed by a meaningful increase in volume – a solid signal that buyers are stepping up. Price is comfortably holding above the 50-day moving average, and the 200-day MA is now flattening out just below resistance, giving bulls a potential momentum shift.
A daily close above $88,804 would break the bearish market structure with a higher high and open the door to a more extended move. For now, this is an encouraging chart.
Bitcoin Tests March HighsBTC tests March highs after 2 weeks of bullish price action and a double bottom / reversal pattern on Apr 9.
Currently testing significant price levels around FWB:88K and 1D 200MA, a decisive break above could signal a push towards $92k.
Failing to reclaim FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K could lead to a retest of $85k - $86k before attempting to reclaim previous R as S.
BTCUSD | 1H | IMPORTANT LEVELSHey There;
I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis just for you.📈
Key resistance levels for Bitcoin are 85,892.00 and 86,192.00, while the support level stands at 83,190.00.⚠️
If Bitcoin breaks above the 86,192.00 level, the next target could be around 88,860.00.📣
I truly care about you all, and keeping you informed is something I see as my responsibility.🥰
Wishing you an amazing day ahead!💙
BTC vs Nikkei 225 strong match for declineI've been using the Nikkei 225 for at least 2 years to make forecasts as the big players have been involved in the Japanese Carry Trade.
Gains in the Japanese Nikkei 225 equity market have carried onto Bitcoin BTC.
Now I am afraid BTC could collapse from 120k and above to well under 50k. Not just for a short duration but permanently. It will begin with a volatile ABC, but could commence into a deep wave 3 down, where waves before the ABC is wave 1.
You should be considering selling all your Bitcoin BTC and Crypto.
There will be no come back from this.
I'd advise followers to make use of the following SHORT methods.
1. Use Short ETF's were you cannot be scam wicked.
2. Only use European Style Put Options on short durations e.g Derebit.
3. MSTR Option Shorts and Short ETFs will be a good way to capitalize on this volatility.
Be aware that the majority of exchanges are going to go bust from this event.
It would be advisable to solely trade on a ON RAMP exchange or with a reputable Stock Broker that has insurance or Gov payback schemes on your fiat.
Bitcoin price increaseAfter the tensions between traders in the United States and the strong price fluctuations in the dollar and other stocks, and after the 3-month increase in gold, this time it will be the turn of digital currencies to increase again and there are signs of their increase in the market. For Bitcoin, two increase targets can be considered: $110,000 - $120,000.
Sasha Charkhchian
BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure
Price Action Deep Dive:
BTC/USD has formed a powerful SPAWN POINT breakout on the 4H timeframe, characterized by three consecutive blue candles with minimal wicks, indicating strong buyer control
Prior to the breakout, we observed a period of tight consolidation (level 15-20 grinding phase) where price was building energy for the current upward thrust
The breakout volume significantly exceeds previous candle volumes, confirming legitimate player interest in this upward move
Recent price structure shows higher lows and higher highs, establishing a clear uptrend path toward our target zones
Current candle formation suggests momentum continuation rather than exhaustion, with minimal upper wicks indicating buyers absorbing all selling pressure
Market Structure Context:
The breakout has successfully cleared the previous resistance zone (ELITE LvL 2 HP: 2), transforming it into support for future pullbacks
The Treasure Hunter color shift preceded this move, acting as an early warning signal for observant traders
Major support trendline from previous lows remains intact, providing a "regeneration shield" for any temporary retreats
Each pullback has been increasingly shallow, demonstrating growing reluctance from sellers to engage the hero's advance
The most recent consolidation formed a bull flag pattern before the continuation, classic "power-up charging" price action
With our Hero at Level 159 with full health and the Wizard's Journey already 53% complete, all technical indicators align for continued progress toward BOSS TREASURE around $94,000-$95,000, though we should remain vigilant for temporary pullbacks to the HEALTH POTION zone around $84,000.
Are You Backtesting or Backfilling Your Ego?You build the setup.
You run the test.
It’s not quite what you hoped for…
So you tweak it. Then tweak it again. Then again. And again.
Before you know it, you’re not testing a strategy anymore
you’re editing reality until it flatters you.
That’s not refinement.
That’s backfilling your ego.
The urge to make it look right
We’re human.
Nobody likes drawdowns.
Inconsistency feels uncomfortable.
And let’s be real.. win-rates under 50% just look bad.
We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data.
So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept.
We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data.
So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept.
Widen the stop just a little.
Tighten the take-profit, Perfect! Now my win-rate is 60%
Add a filter that “feels logical.”
Nudge the indicator setting.
Remove the choppy day, “that was news anyway.”
And just like that, the curve is smoother.
The stats are cleaner.
You feel better.
But here’s the problem:
You’re not building a strategy that works.
You’re building a strategy that looks like it works.
Optimization isn’t the enemy, but your intentions might be
Of course, tuning is part of the process.
You should test different inputs and variables.
But stop and ask yourself: why are you doing it?
If you're refining to understand the behavior of your system, that’s good.
If you're changing things to avoid discomfort? That’s not testing. That’s denial.
The market doesn’t care how hard you worked.
It doesn’t reward effort. It rewards resilience.
If your strategy only performs when everything’s perfectly aligned
when the moving average is exactly 13.53661,
and the RSI is 42.122 instead of 40,
and your entry is two bars after a wick touch…
Then you don’t have a strategy.
You have a sandcastle.
And when the tide shifts, it’s gone.
All because you wanted it to work so badly, you sculpted the data until it told you what you wanted to hear.
A strategy worth trading doesn’t just survive the good times
Anyone can build a system that performs in a trending market.
Or when volatility is ideal.
Or when the dataset ends right before the storm hits.
But markets don’t hand out clean conditions on demand.
So ask yourself:
Have you tested your strategy in stress conditions?
Have you run it through market noise, sideways action, volatility spikes, and traps?
Have you studied its worst stretch and still said, “Yes… I’d take these trades”?
Because if the answer is no, your system isn’t ready.
You’re not building a strategy to trade.
You’re building one to feel safe.. and that’s far more dangerous.
Break it before the market does
The best traders do the opposite of comfort:
They try to break their systems before live money does it for them.
Run a Monte Carlo simulation.
Shuffle the order of trades.
Randomize outcomes.
Apply slippage or missed entries.
If your equity curve collapses under that pressure, if your belief in the system evaporates when the trades aren’t perfectly sequenced, then you didn’t build robustness.
You built a lucky curve.
Loss streaks aren’t a bug, they’re the cost of playing
Too many traders design systems that avoid losing…
instead of building ones that know how to lose..
Every real edge has pain points.
Every equity curve has drawdowns.
Every stretch of performance has some ugly days.
If your backtest doesn’t show that? Be suspicious, because the market will definitely do.
So stop trying to eliminate every loss, and start asking better questions:
Where does this strategy actually break?
What’s the worst losing streak I can expect?
Can I survive that financially and emotionally?
bottom line:
It’s truth over comfort.
Clarity over illusion.
Edge over ego.
Test it honestly, or the market will ..
April 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 9:30 in a little while.
The purple finger section on the left
is connected to the short->long switching section that was performed on the 16th.
* When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->long switching strategy or long waiting if it goes down right away.
1. 85,728.6 dollars short position switching / cut-off price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 84,595.8 dollars long position switching / cut-off price when green support line is broken
3. 86,871.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Today's 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is an ignoring strategy. Check if the purple support line deviates from the current position,
and from the 1st section of the green support line deviates,
even those who have been holding long positions since yesterday can operate at the same stop loss price.
If the short position entry section at the top comes down without touching,
the 2nd section at the bottom is the final long waiting section (6+12 pattern),
and if the rebound is not good in this section and it is pushed,
it may continue to fall to the 3rd section at the bottom due to the pressure of the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross.
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use,
and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Bitcoin could surprise with new ATHs- one of the more tricky analysis since technically BTC could be in a HTF downtrend so looking for very high upside targets is not the best idea
- that said, there are some interesting developments here:
1. PA has broken the very clear downtrend line
2. S/R flip just recently confirmed on the 4H time-frame suggests the bull strength is real
3. perhaps most importantly, Bitcoin has traded differently to US equities for the last couple of days with SPX heading sharply lower but Bitcoin not really following and even rallying (something unheard of until this year!)
It is too early to tell whether this is a new dynamic between the two and certainly far too early to say that Bitcoin has become a risk-off/alternative asset but with Trump fundamentally changing the flow of goods, services and most importantly capital it may be time to discard all the old, known asset correlations aside.
High conviction that Bitcoin heads to at least the 92k - 94k region. Possibility of a surprise run towards previous and perhaps even new ATHs is present and would be confirmed if Bitcoin starts holding the 95 - 96k level.
Ultimately, it is rather likely that the upcoming move is fake/nothing but a bear rally and lower prices are expected or at the very least it is unlikely upside PA for Bitcoin gets sustained in the long term UNTIL
.. as long as Solana is not trading below 80$, chances are we are still in a bear(ish) market.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential pullback before bouncing higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 88,033.50 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 85,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 92,708.20 which is a swing-high resistance.
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BTCUSD 4/22/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an update of current Price Action based on his previous analysis & call outs. You've NEVER seen transparency like this. You've NEVER seen Precision like this.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025📊BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025
🔹Current Price: 88,162.24
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢88,157–88,460 – Clean Breaker Block (ideal for bullish re-entry on retest)
🟢85,500–86,500 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong base for major bullish leg)
📌Key Resistance Level:
🔴88,778 – Short-Term Structural High (key breakout point)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating below the 88,778 resistance. A clean candle break and close above this level can open the door to a bullish continuation, targeting the 89,500–90,000 range. Ideal entry on a pullback to 88,157–88,460 if demand holds.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price fails to break and hold above 88,778, watch for signs of rejection. A bearish break below 88,157 could lead to a deeper retracement into the 85,500–86,500 zone.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for a confirmed break and retest of 88,778
✅Watch price action at 88,157 for continuation or rejection
✅Use a tight SL and manage risk around news volatility
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #CryptoPriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakOfStructure #ForexAndCrypto #IntradayTrading #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #SupplyAndDemand #BitcoinUpdate
BTCUSD h1 timeframe bullishAnalysis of the BTCUSD pair for today, April 22, 2025, btcusd formed a double bottom in the previous day, which the market bounced off and went up, then bounced back up from the sideways chill, but I analyze it going to 94000 we consider buying
Entry 88.350
TP 94.000
SL 86.000
What is next move on bitcoin ?I’ve marked out how I’m currently viewing BTC price action. Are we about to see a breakout or a rejection at resistance + my TWT pattern (which I use for pullbacks)?
No position for now — waiting for confirmation. If we get a clean breakout, I’ll be watching for a long on a break & retest. But if we see a strong 4H rejection, I’ll be looking for a short-term trade on the lower timeframes. Let’s see what the market gives us. 👀
Risk-averse funds drive BTC higher.The sharp collapse of the DXY has triggered violent fluctuations in the global monetary system. As risk aversion heats up, investors are adjusting their asset allocations, with substantial capital flowing into "digital gold," which has enabled BTC to break last week's sideways consolidation and initiate an upward trend.
BTCUSD
buy@86500-87500
tp:88500-89500
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.