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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakdown: Bearish Trend Continues After UptreThis is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-hour chart Key Observations: 1. Uptrend Channel (Green Lines - Past Trend) Bitcoin was in an upward channel for several days, moving within parallel trendlines. The price was making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend. 2. Breakdown of the Uptrend The price broke below the lower boundary of the green channel, signaling a bearish reversal. This suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. 3. Downtrend Confirmation (Red Arrow & Trendline) A steep downward trendline (red) has been drawn, showing continuous lower highs and lower lows. The red arrow suggests further bearish movement, possibly targeting lower price levels. 4. Economic Events (U.S. Flag Icons) The U.S. flag icons indicate upcoming economic events that could impact Bitcoin’s price. These events might be related to economic data releases (such as interest rates, employment reports, or CPI data), influencing market sentiment. 5. Current Price Action Bitcoin is trading at $99,648, down 0.98% at the time of the chart. The price is struggling to hold above $98,000, with a possibility of further declines if selling pressure continues. Conclusion: The bearish trend is dominant after breaking the previous uptr
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
5
BTC 3-day .. Long Term Run Chart with GoalLong term BTC is still in a overall Bullish trend. PA gets to a point where absorption of higher prices becomes exhausted, and a waiting period then begins before the next upward pulses. Channel Lines, Wedge Lines, Graphics and anything else on any chart are just temporary Historic lines and will become broke at some point in time. We see the Goal of "143k - 175K". When this will happen....Nobody knows~~~however I guessed about May -Sept of this year 2024, when PA should start to make the long drawn out upwards ascend. Heck it could start to happen in March?? However today's World Politics could send PA down for a while, through the summer-fall 2024. I would rather see a long drawn-out trading range of "89K - 109K", while the current Politics settle down. Who knows what ""Trump (Dump or Pump)"" world event is going to happen in the future. We might see 70k prices again. Looking at PA bump it's head against the Top Channel line several times, I feel that to obtain those prices most everyone is expecting, PA "will need to" eventually break-out of the upper blue channeling line. I placed some Time Frame PA action bracketing graphics in order to somewhat "Guess When" this breakout and new higher high PA might happen. Use SL's and watch-out for the downside (Trump-Tariffs). Good Luck !!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Quartz-
Stay patient! US Job openings just came in 5% lower than expected! What does this mean? It will show the FED that high interest rates are detrimental to the US economy. On top of the pressure from China and Deepseek, the tariff news and the fear of a global trade war. This will push the FED to review policy, and if we see a continued trend of less-than-expected jobs, we could transition from Quantitative Tightening to Quantitative Easing, which will be extremely bullish on the market! You just need to be patient and focus on holding CRYPTOCAP:BTC and winning projects such as $SNAI! If you are reading this, you are still early in the 2025 bull run!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoJayTrades
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Analysis. Bull Market Top1️⃣ Key Market Structure - Elliott Wave Analysis 📉 Elliott Wave Progression: BTC is in Wave 5️⃣, which historically marks the last bullish impulse before a potential correction. Wave 3️⃣ was strong, confirming the trend continuation. Now BTC is approaching the potential Bull Market Top 🚀. 🟢 Current Market Position: BTC is forming Wave 5, targeting $117K - $139K as per Fibonacci extensions. The final Wave 5 completion zone is projected within this range. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels 📊 Fibonacci Levels to Watch: 📍 0.236 Retracement: $93,845.34 ✅ (Minor pullback support) 📍 0.382 Retracement: $85,842.61 ✅ (Stronger correction zone) 📍 0.5 Retracement: $79,876.11 ⚠️ (Critical mid-level support) 🎯 0.382 Extension: $117,331.51 (Potential first target resistance) 🎯 0.618 Extension: $139,205.03 (Bull Market Top Projection) 📌 BTC Weekly High: $109,358.01 📈 BTC Current Price: ~$99,449.97 3️⃣ Technical Indicators - Confirmation Signals 📊 MACD (Momentum Indicator) ✅ MACD Histogram is still positive ➝ Confirming bullish momentum. ⚠️ Flattening MACD lines ➝ Indicates momentum might be slowing. 📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index): 🔼 RSI is near overbought zone (~69-70) ⚠️ Possible local top - BTC might need a correction before further upside 4️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Zones 🛑 Major Support Levels: 🟢 $93,800 (0.236 Fib - Short-term pullback zone) 🟢 $85,800 (0.382 Fib - Stronger correction zone) 🟢 $79,800 (0.5 Fib - Must hold support for long-term bullish trend) 🎯 Resistance Levels - Price Targets: 🔴 $109,000 (Current High - Short-term resistance) 🔴 $117,000 (First Major Resistance - 0.382 Fib Extension) 🚀 $131,000 - $139,000 (Bull Market Top Zone - 0.618 Fib Extension) 5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Market Outlook 💹 Bullish Bias Until BTC Breaks Below $93,800 🎯 Target Areas for TP (Take Profit): ✅ Conservative Traders: Exit near $109,000 - $117,000 ✅ Higher Risk Targets: $131,000 - $139,000 ⚠️ Risk Management: 🛑 Stop-loss: Below $93,000 to protect against a deeper correction. 📈 Scaling In: Consider adding positions if BTC retraces to the 0.382 ($85,800) or 0.5 ($79,800) Fibonacci level. 💡 Summary & Final Thoughts: ✅ BTC is in the final Elliott Wave 5 move, targeting a potential Bull Market Top of $131K - $139K based on Fibonacci extensions. ⚠️ However, RSI is overbought, and MACD momentum is slowing, meaning a pullback to $93K or $85K is possible before the next move higher. 🚀 Bullish until BTC breaks below key supports. Watch $109K and $117K for short-term resistance. 📊 Strategy: Hold long positions with profit-taking targets at $117K, $131K, and $139K. Use $93K as a support level for risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by WaveFibs
1
BTC Going Down, soonWhy would you risk your $ at this level? If you enter btc, there's no logic behind it, just emotions. Don't forget to check SPX/Nasdaq : expecting soon a strong down-move on those aswell. - On the other hand, you might play the borders of the wedge on Alts for 20-30% bounces : Fast Entry - Fast Exit. - Once this breaks below the wedge, we'll see a retest of the border, then going to 74-75k. => I expect top of the cycle 111-112k if we see one more move upwards, but don't risk on it. This is a classic Wyckoff Distribution scheme where shrimps are sucked with chaotic candles to don't understand what's happening, while whales unload their bags. Plan : At 75-76k on btc, I'll enter some strong Alts for a good bounce of 30-50%, then exit and stay out of the market till next good dump.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by MrDorea
BTC LONGBitcoin has already broken out of either a Cup and Handle or an Upside Down Head and Shoulders pattern (howevery you want to view it. It is now pushing through the red trendline resistance. With strong bullish order flow, the next target for more conservative traders is around the $165K mark. Adding to this bullish outlook, President Trump's recent Executive Order (EO) on January 23, "Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial Technology," signals a major shift in U.S. policy. This, along with the SEC's rescinding of previous guidance and increasing support for digital assets legislation from Congress, further boosts confidence in the crypto space. The Trump Administration's pro-crypto stance is a sharp contrast to the Biden Administration’s more hostile approach, making it clear that digital assets are now seen as a vital part of America's economic growth and innovation. Keep an eye on the red trendline for confirmation of further upside potential, i want a want a daily close and break of structure to add IBIT calls at the money and ride the wave.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SPYDERMARKET
BTC/USD - 15M Chart Analysis So, here’s what I’m seeing on this setup. Price recently made a Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside after reacting off the 4-hour buy-side Point of Interest (POI) (the blue zone). That move gave a strong bullish push, showing that buyers are stepping in aggressively. Now, after the break of structure, price retraced into a discount zone, tapping into a smaller premium zone within the demand area. That’s the confirmation I needed for a potential long entry. The daily key level at 99,445 acted as a strong reaction zone, and we got another minor ChoCH, giving an extra confluence for bullish continuation. I placed my entry around the premium zone, with stops just below the swing low (safe area in case of a liquidity grab). The target is set at 101,632, just before the next significant resistance, ensuring we secure profits before heavy sellers step in. The overall idea is to ride the bullish momentum after the structure shift, aiming for the first Take Profit (TP1) before reevaluating. If momentum continues, we could look toward the daily resistance at 102,587 as the next major target. Let’s see how this plays out! 🚀🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by israelharrison010
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Continuation: Potential Drop AheadThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price chart on the 1-hour time Observations: 1. Downtrend Channel: The price has been moving downward within a descending channel (marked in blue). There is consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish structure. 2. Breakout & Retest: The price broke below the descending channel but attempted a small recovery. Currently, it is testing the previous support, which could act as resistance. 3. Bearish Projection: A red downward arrow suggests a possible rejection from this resistance level. The drawn path indicates a potential further decline, possibly targeting the $88,000–$90,000 range. 4. Market Sentiment: A 2.61% decline suggests strong bearish momentum. Economic or external events (represented by icons) may influence the next move. Conclusion: If price fails to break back into the channel and faces rejection, a further drop is expected. A confirmed breakdown could see BTC testing lower support levels around $92,000 or lower.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
Hold!Bulls! My fellow warriors of the market! I see fear in your eyes... I See hesitation... But I also see fire! The Bears think they own this battlefield! They think they can drive us back, force us to surrender, and take what is ours! But I ask you - will you run? Will you let them push us down, and break our support and trample our dreams?! HELL NO! Then stand up! Hold the damn line! Push through that resistance! The Bears are clawing, but they are weak! You are stronger! Your are relentless! You are BULLS! So I ask you one last time - WHAT ARE YOU DOING LYING THERE? GET UP! PUSH FORWARD BREAK THEIR SPIRIT! TAKE BACK THIS MARKET! DO YOU WANT TO LIVE FOREVER!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by inspectorcrusoe
1
BTC update1️⃣ Why is this level significant? - What makes this level stand out on the chart? - Is there evidence of liquidity resting here (e.g., wicks, consolidation, gaps)? - Has this level been tested multiple times, and if so, what does that tell you and why? 2️⃣ What has happened here in the past? - How has price reacted at levels historically? - Did it act as support, resistance? - What patterns or behaviours emerged? 3️⃣ What remains untraded? - Are there any significant inefficiencies? - Are there untested zones where price could gravitate toward? - What does this suggest about potential future movements? 4️⃣ Who is in control right now—buyers or sellers? - Are there signs of momentum slowing down? - Is price forming structures like higher highs/lower lows that reveal strength or weakness? - How does current price action compare to the broader trend? 5️⃣ What would invalidate your idea? - What specific signal would tell you your hypothesis is wrong? - Are you being too biased toward one outcome? 6️⃣ What is the larger narrative? - How does this level fit into the macro structure of the chart? - Are we in a larger phase? - What’s the relationship between the current level and key higher-timeframe zones? 7️⃣ Are you reacting or Responding? - Are you waiting for confirmation, or are you rushing to trade? - What additional information (e.g., volume spikes, liquidity sweeps) would make your decision clearer?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SERVER_SEVEN
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate. Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets. I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13. Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold. Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend. The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again. Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
3
Business CycleAll the credits to Ostium labs insights. Found here Intuition behind different indicators NFCI - NATIONAL FINANCIAL CONDITIONS INDEX Note y axis is inverted. Rising NFCI here suggests loosening of financial conditions. Btc outperform in loose conditions. DRTSCILM - NET % OF BANKS TIGHTENING LENDING STANDARDS Note y axis is inverted. This tracks changes in the willingness of banks to lend, where tightening lending standards is indicative of caution, whereas looser lending standards suggest economic confidence. Here the graph is inverted - a rise shows improving willingness to lend and a fall shows tighter lending standards. HYG Real time proxy for demand of junk bonds which is a good proxy for risk appetite in the market. Demand for junk bonds is correlated with the rest of the risk curve, with Bitcoin tending to outperform during periods of strength for HYG, and vice-versa. BAMLH0A0HYM2 - HY ICE CREDIT SPREADS Note y axis is inverted. This measures the premium demanded by investors over government bonds. As one would imagine, wider credit spreads mean that more yield is being demanded to invest in junk bonds vs safe bonds, which itself is suggestive of risk in the economy. Narrow spreads, meanwhile, are indicative of confidence. The graph is inverted such that the peaks are the tightest spread. If credit spreads are narrow, risk appetite is high, which means assets further out the risk curve benefit. This is also suggestive of expansion vs contraction in the business cycle, where widening spreads would be suggestive of downturn and narrowing spreads of continued growth. USMNO/USNMNO - US MANUFACTURING ORDERS / NON-MANUFACTURING ORDERS Manufacturing New Orders growing faster than Non-Manufacturing New Orders is generally indicative of early recovery in a business cycle, whereas late cycle dynamics are more heavily weighted towards services, largely driven by consumer spending and therefore this ratio would begin to contract, as Non-Manufacturing New Orders dominate. USBC0I - US PMI A composite of the Manufacturing and Services sectors in the US economy. Above 50 = expansion and below 50 = contraction. T10YIE - 10-YEAR INFLATION BREAKEVENS A market-based measure of average expected inflation over the next 10 years. Bitcoin likes it very much when the average expected inflation rate has bottomed and is trending higher and it generally underperforms when 10-year inflation breakevens are declining. Bitcoin also tends to front-run peaks in 10-year inflation breakevens by about 6-9 months, which in turn tend to peak after Global M2 YoY growth has peaked and is turning lower. This measure also is useful for understanding what is likely to happen to financial conditions - tighter after peaks and looser after bottoms. The clearest correlation here is not to the downside but the upside: when breakevens have bottomed out and cycle higher, Bitcoin tends to do very well indeed. DFII10 - 10-YEAR REAL YIELD Note y axis is inverted What is interesting here is that whilst there is not a strong correlation as real yields rise, there is a clearer correlation as real yields fall. Falling real yields tend to be supportive of Bitcoin, whilst rising real yields have occurred whilst BTC has outperformed and underperformed historically. This one is not as key for mapping out the market cycle, but still worth keeping an eye on.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Oxfirefist
BTC BOUNCEBitcoin's daily chart shows a significant recovery after yesterday’s steep drop. Price bounced strongly above the key support zone near 90,000, marking the bottom of the broader consolidation range. This rebound has allowed Bitcoin to regain the critical 99,860 level, which is now acting as a pivotal area to watch. The current candle is testing this level, and holding above it would be a bullish sign, while a failure could invite further downside. The 50-day moving average is still in play and has provided dynamic support during this volatile period, reinforcing its importance. If Bitcoin can establish itself above 99,860, the next resistance to overcome is 106,099. A close above that level would be a bullish signal and open the door for a retest of the recent highs near 109,358. On the downside, losing 99,860 again could trigger another test of the support zone near 90,000. Volume has been elevated during this corrective move, reflecting strong market activity, and further price action will likely be decisive in shaping Bitcoin’s next major direction. Traders should monitor today’s close carefully to assess whether the bounce off support has enough momentum to maintain bullish continuation.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
February 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 12 o'clock soon. The Nasdaq variable and the Bitcoin weekly chart MACD dead cross are in progress, so the analysis difficulty is high. I had a hard time finding the entry point and the stop loss price. It will be hard, but let's hold on this week. Also, if it falls from the current position, Nasdaq will have a vertical decline condition, so you have to be careful. In the case of Tether Dominance, there is no resistance line yet, so if it doesn't crash all at once, it can be shaken by a short-term wave. I created today's strategy focusing on this part. * When the blue finger moves, It is a two-way neutral Short->Long switching or long position waiting strategy. 1. 96,413 dollars short position entry section / when pink resistance line is broken or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price 2. 95,120 dollars long position switching / when purple support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 3. 99,612 dollars short position switching / when red resistance line is broken or when Good section is touched, stop loss price 96.4K short position at the top from the current position If the entry point is not touched Long waiting at section 2 below / stop loss price when green support line is broken. Section 1 at the top is a sideways market It is the second short position entry section of today. The final long position target and short position switching section that I expect is the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart. It is expected to be around the top section, and if it rebounds to this section, the weekly chart MACD dead cross will be released, so you can press it again. There are two conditions for the dead cross to be imprinted: it is pushed to 86.5K at the bottom (major support line) or it is imprinted naturally while moving sideways. It won't be easy to break through all the resistance lines at once with a vertical rise and touch the Bollinger band resistance line, right? Of course, it is possible if the Nasdaq goes crazy while soaring. This week, it can continue to shake while moving sideways, and it doesn't look easy to see an upward trend, so short-term trading seems advantageous. I marked 89,853.5 dollars below the bottom, and since it is a section where a newly created mid-term upward trend is maintained, it seems safe to just hold this spot this week. Above all, the Nasdaq movement is the most important, so check it in real time. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price. Thank you for reading.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide