BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Slammed Back Into Channel SupportBitcoin shed -2.46% today, reversing sharply lower from the top of its descending channel and the 50-day SMA, reaffirming resistance just below $88,700. The rejection puts focus back on the 200-day SMA and mid-channel support.
🔻 Price remains firmly inside the falling channel
📉 MACD is flattening below zero — no bullish crossover yet
⚖️ RSI sits at 44 — modest bearish momentum without being oversold
If price breaks below $79,000, eyes may turn to the lower channel boundary near $72,000, and eventually the long-term trendline closer to $68,000.
Momentum is weak and trend pressure remains tilted downward unless bulls can reclaim the 50-day SMA and break out of this channel decisively.
-MW
BTCUSD TARGET COMPLETE Market Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 10, 2025
Price Action Overview:
- Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating between 79,161 and 81,520, with price action forming within this range. A move to 79,161 has been achieved, completing the target and fulfilling the bearish target outlined earlier.
- BTC seems to be struggling around 81,500, and is showing potential signs of exhaustion at the upper end of the range near the resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
1. Resistance Zone (Red Box):
- The resistance level is clearly marked near 82,000 and 81,500, with price struggling to break above this level. If Bitcoin fails to break out of this resistance zone, the price could reverse towards support levels.
- The upper resistance zone remains a key level…
ChatGPT: - An FVG (Fair Value Gap) is evident in the 79,161 to 78,500 region. This could act as an area to fill, and could potentially see price retracement or sideways consolidation before a possible move up.
Market Structure Analysis:
- Bearish Trend: Bitcoin's price has been on a downward trend forming a descending triangle, indicating bearish sentiment.
- Breakout Potential: A breakout from the current consolidation zone will be important. Bitcoin will likely test 79,161 again. If it fails to hold support, further downside may be possible.
Volume & Momentum:
- Volume: The volume analysis shows increasing buying volume at lower levels, suggesting potential support around 79,161. However, the volume is diminishing at resistance levels, which indicates that bullish…
Bitcoin -Weekly, Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Trading IdeasMidterm forecast, Weekly Timeframe:
While the price is above the support 70550.04, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 70550.04 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
Daily Timeframe:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 74545.70 on 04/09/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 86499.57 and maximum to Major Resistance (91037.20) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98675.19
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
140000.00
H4 Timeframe:
H1 Timeframe:
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BTCUSD Daily View Based on your 15-minute BTC/USD chart, here’s a structured technical analysis for **April 10, 2025**:
---
### 🧠 **Chart Breakdown**
- **Break of Structure (BOS)**: Bullish BOS occurred earlier, indicating short-term upward momentum.
- **Strong High**: Marked at **$83,568** — this is a **liquidity point** that could act as a magnet if bullish momentum resumes.
- **Weak Low Zone**: Around **$81,451** — a key liquidity area that might be swept before any significant move up.
- **Current Price**: **$81,814**, sitting just above the weak low zone and in a minor consolidation phase.
---
### 🔍 **Market Context**
- After a strong impulsive move up, BTC started pulling back with lower highs and lower lows, indicating **retracement** or **distribution**.
- The price is holding slightly above the weak low, meaning:
- Smart money may be trying to **trap shorts or induce longs** before a deeper sweep or reversal.
- There's potential for **liquidity sweep below $81,451** before heading back up to test the strong high ($83,568).
---
### 🔮 **Today's Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (Scalp or Swing)**
#### 🎯 **Bullish Scenario (Preferred if $81,451 holds)**
- Price holds above or sweeps $81,451 and **reclaims the zone quickly**.
- Expect a bounce toward:
- **$82,500** (intermediate resistance)
- **$83,568** (strong high / liquidity target)
#### 🛑 **Bearish Scenario (Only if clean break below $81,451)**
- Price breaks and holds below **$81,451** → retest failure = bearish.
- Target downside levels:
- **$80,500**
- Potentially **$79,500** if momentum is strong.
---
### 🧭 **Action Plan for Today**
| Type | Strategy |
|-------------|----------------------------------------------------------|
| Intraday Long | Buy near $81,451 zone with tight SL below $81,200 |
| Confirmation Entry | Wait for 15m bullish engulfing / BOS above GETTEX:82K |
| Short Setup | Only valid on clear 15m breakdown + retest below $81,451 |
---
Market Cap Is Not Real Money InflowThe Market Cap Illusion — The Most Dangerous Misunderstanding in Finance Right Now
⚪ Let's talk about what nobody else wants to tell you.
Everywhere you look right now on social media, you're seeing the same recycled headline:
"$4 Trillion added to stocks in 10 minutes!" "$236 Billion added to crypto in 12 hours!"
Sounds exciting, right?
It’s also deeply misleading.
⚪ Here’s The Harsh Truth:
A rising market cap does NOT mean that billions or trillions of new money just magically flowed into the market.
It means prices went up. That’s it.
Market Cap = Last Traded Price x Total Supply/Shares
If Bitcoin moves up 8% → The entire Bitcoin market cap increases 8%. Even if only a small percentage of Bitcoin actually traded hands.
This is not "fresh capital inflow." It’s just higher prices multiplying across existing supply.
⚪ Let’s Be Super Clear:
WRONG:
"$236 Billion flowed into the crypto market." "$4 Trillion entered the stock market."
RIGHT:
"Market cap increased by $236 Billion because prices went up." "Stock market cap increased by $4 Trillion due to price movement — not because new money entered."
Big difference. Please stop confusing these.
⚪ So Why Does This Misunderstanding Exist?
Simple.
Most social media traders out there have consistently FAILED to educate their audience properly.
They focus on hype, engagement, and surface-level headlines because that’s what generates likes, not truth.
But here’s the problem:
This misinformation leads to false confidence. It leads to poor decision making. And worst of all — it misleads new traders into thinking markets work in ways they absolutely don’t.
⚪ It’s Time To Be Real.
Stop blindly trusting everything you see on social media. Stop believing every influencer who screams "money is flowing in!!"
Most of them don’t even understand what they’re talking about.
Real traders, real investors — they ask questions. They double check the facts. They understand the mechanics behind market moves.
And so should you.
⚪ The Real Difference:
Market Cap shows valuation based on price
Liquidity shows real money inflow based on actual capital entering
If you want to survive and thrive in these markets, start separating hype from reality.
Be smarter. Be curious. Be aware.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Is Not Out Of The WoodsBitcoin may not have fundamentally shifted its structure, but yesterday’s price action deserves a closer look.
First off, we now have what appears to be a tweezer bottom – two candles with nearly identical lows, signaling potential short-term exhaustion of selling pressure. These patterns can mark bottoms, especially when paired with a strong follow-up move… and that’s exactly what we got.
Yesterday's candle was a big green candle, bouncing from just above $73,800 support – a level we’ve been eyeing as the former May 2024 all-time high. That support continues to hold like a champ.
The bounce was strong, but it's important to zoom out. Price is still beneath both the 50 and 200 MA, which remain stacked bearishly following the recent death cross. So while bulls had a great showing, the structure hasn’t changed much yet. This could still be just a dead cat bounce unless we see a decisive break of the downtrend line or reclaim of key moving averages.
In short: promising bounce, strong support reaction, potential tweezer bottom… but no trend reversal confirmed – yet.
BTCUSDT SELLING SETUPBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing signs of a potential selling setup as price approaches a strong resistance zone. Bearish pressure is building, and a rejection from this area could lead to a downside move.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals like bearish candlestick patterns, lower highs, or a break of structure before entering. If sellers take control, we could see BTC move toward lower support levels.
Stay alert, wait for confirmation, and manage risk smartly! 📉🔥
Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
80K pullback is done, but it is not for selling anymoreMorning folks,
So, the upside bounce to 80K resistance that we were watching is done now. It has happened even twice. D. Trump so efficiently tarrifying markets, and them provides them the relief that BTC mostly is just a hostage of this so called "news stream". Actually as well as all other markets.
Once 90 day tariffs postpone has been provided, stocks jumped and liquidity returns, supporting all other things around. It might be temporal? Sure. But nobody knows what in the old Donny's head.
By looking at current action, it seems that 80K support is more reasonable to use for long entry with 85.5 target at least. Definitely it would be better to not sell by far...
BTC/USD) rejected point analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a bearish short-term technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Structure:
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
A clear downtrend is marked on the chart.
2. Rejection Zone:
The yellow highlighted area near $83,800–$84,000 is labeled as a “rejected point.”
Price touched this zone and got rejected again, confirming resistance.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
The 200 EMA is at $82,291, acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently below it, reinforcing bearish momentum.
4. Support Level / Target:
The yellow box at the bottom around $74,559 is marked as the support zone and target level.
This is the previous low and aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is showing a potential bearish divergence and is pointing downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and a likely move lower.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around $81,300–$82,000 (after rejection confirmation)
Target: $74,559 (support level)
Stop-loss: Could be placed just above the rejection zone, around $84,000
---
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITCOIN BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 81,548.46
Target Level: 78,143.52
Stop Loss: 83,839.84
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC/USDT Long term PatternHere we can see a clear pattern since the bulls and bears from 2014/2015 till present times.
Every bull and bear with the same amount of days. We are now in a zone of correction with a possible reverse to the upside at about 73K, although if it fails and does a correction like last bull we can see a move down to about 49K/50K.
Let's see what the future holds for us in the crypto market, but just wanted to let this pattern identification here that gives us some insight on what might happen.
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Double Bottom Pattern Came into PlayFenzoFx—Bitcoin jumped upward from $74,475 support as expected due to the formation of a double bottom pattern on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish signal.
As of this writing, the price is stabilizing and testing the $81,160 mark as support. However, the 50-SMA on the 1-hour chart serves as the pivot point between the bull and bear market.
The next bullish target could be $84,730, followed by $88,000 if BTC holds above the discussed moving average.
Trade BTC/USD Swap Free at FenzoFx Decentralized Broker
BTC BULLISH RUNBTC'S BULLISH RUN IS BACK ON. The price has been dumped down to trap traders, stop hunt, and liquidate long buyers. I created a three-stage process to analyse the markets. The Jan trading range trapped traders above and was dumped down for three months, FEB,MAR, and APR. This is causing FUGAZI in the market!
Bitcoin H4 | Approaching an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 80,285.10 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 74,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 88,532.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup🔵 Key Levels:
🎯 Target Point: 87,050.22 (🔼 Expected upward move)
🔵 Support Zone: 79,833.82 (🛡️ Strong demand area)
🔴 Current Price: 82,254.27
📊 Analysis:
🔵 RBS + RBR Zone (🔄 Role Reversal Support & Rally Base Rally) - Possible entry point for a long position.
🟠 Stop Loss: Below 79,833.82 (🚨 Risk Management)
🟣 Resistance Zone: Near 83,000 (🔄 Possible short-term pullback)
📈 Strategy:
1️⃣ Price might retrace to the blue zone (support) before continuing upward.
2️⃣ If it holds, 🚀 potential rally towards 87,050.22 🎯
3️⃣ If it breaks below support, ⚠️ possible downside risk.
✅ Conclusion:
A bullish setup with a 7.45% profit target 📊
Risk managed with a stop loss below support ⚠️
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening.
Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week.
This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level?
Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 80,393.27
1st Support: 77,842,40
1st Resistance: 84,559.23
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