BITCOIN SHORT-TERM 2025Trump’s tariff threats have sparked market volatility and liquidity concerns, and these effects could persist for some time. For the FED, no rate cuts in March and April (May) look solid; June’s cut depends on evolving conditions—tariff impacts, liquidity, and inflation trends will be key. A declining DXY and rising global M2 (BTC has 80%+ correlation) could also support a cut.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD – 1D Analysis
1️⃣ Market Structure
BTC remains ultra bullish. A new high was hit last week at 112K.
Since then, price is consolidating slightly around 110K with no major weakness showing.
2️⃣ Key Levels
📍 Main support: 108K (previous ATH)
🎯 Current resistance: 112K
🧭 Fibo extensions: targets projected at 130K–135K
3️⃣ Context & Momentum
🏦 Institutional interest remains strong
💵 Weakening USD = bullish for BTC
⚖️ Overall sentiment still favors upside despite market caution
4️⃣ Scenarios to watch
📈 Bullish: Break above 112K could trigger a run to 130K+
📉 Bearish: Break below 108K may open room for a retest of 103–100K
✅ Conclusion
BTC is gearing up for the next leg. As long as 108K holds, the bias stays bullish.
📆 This week could be the one that triggers the breakout.
Market next move
Bullish Disruption Scenario
1. False Resistance Breakdown:
The red zone marked as resistance may fail to hold. The recent strong bullish candle and volume spike hint at possible accumulation rather than rejection.
2. Breakout and Retest Play:
Price could break above the resistance zone, retest it as new support, and then continue higher—invalidating the expected red and blue downward paths.
3. Volume Behavior:
The most recent green volume spike could signal strong institutional buying, which often precedes a breakout.
4. Higher Lows Formation:
Price structure is creating higher lows, which is a bullish signal in consolidation before breakout.
5. Market Sentiment:
If upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data (see flag icons) is dovish or supportive of crypto risk-on assets, BTC could rally sharply.
Bitcoin Hammers Everywhere Uptrend Showing StrengthHey Traders so today want to take a quick look at Bitcoin. This is why I use the daily charts because you can truly see where the market closed after the trading day was over. I have highlighted some Hammer Candles on the chart. This means the market tries to go lower but then is rejected from the lows. This is normally a continuation signal in strong trends. So anotherwords if you see a Hammer Candle at the trend line the market is normally telling you to buy!
So you buy the day after the candle closes or if you want be more conservative look for a 50% retracement of the the hammer and then buy. Put a stop loss below the low of the Hammer or in a place to give the market breathing room just in case it reverses on you.
So if your bullish Bitcoin buy when you see hammers but if your bearish wait for a close underneath strong support like maybe 105,000 or even better wait for top formation!
Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Bitcoin Clears Key Resistance as Bulls Maintain Grip on UptrendBitcoin (BTC/USD) has officially broken above the psychologically and technically significant 108,500 zone, confirming bullish continuation:
Trendline Support Holds: The rising trendline from March remains intact and continues to guide the advance.
Breakout Confirmation: Price is now comfortably above previous resistance at 108,500, turning it into new support.
Momentum Strong: MACD remains firmly in bullish territory, while RSI is pushing into overbought levels—suggesting strong upside but warranting caution.
Next Resistance: Little stands in the way until 115,000 and potentially 120,000 if momentum persists.
Watch for Retest: Short-term consolidation or a retest of the 108,500 zone could provide a healthier base for further gains.
Bitcoin remains in bulls' control unless we see a decisive drop back below trendline support.
-MW
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time Highs — Rally Targets $130K+Bullish Momentum Accelerates:
Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs, confirming a strongly bullish technical outlook. Accelerating upside momentum and growing investor confidence are driving the current rally.
Breakout Confirmation:
A decisive breakout from a broadening wedge pattern has unlocked potential targets in the $130,000–$135,000 range, signaling a likely continuation of the uptrend.
Key Support Levels:
With Bitcoin now trading well above $106,000, the previous resistance at $108,000 is expected to act as strong support during any pullbacks — providing a clear risk threshold for traders.
Favorable Risk-Reward Setup:
This alignment of:
Strong momentum
Completed consolidation
Successful breakout
...creates a compelling risk-reward scenario and reinforces the case for continued upside in the current bull cycle.
Bitcoin may just be getting started on its next leg higher. 🚀🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #AllTimeHigh #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Breakout #MarketMomentum #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket
BTC Conference Rally – Caution Advised | Sell-the-News SetupBitcoin is currently trading near ~$110K as the Bitcoin 2025 Conference kicks off today in Las Vegas, featuring major political and institutional figures. Price has been grinding higher into the event — but historically, Bitcoin conferences have marked short-term tops.
🔍 Historical Context:
Bitcoin 2024 (Nashville): BTC dropped ~30% post-conference
Bitcoin 2022: Immediate 10% pullback after day 2
These events often show classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” patterns
📉 Current Risk Setup:
RSI (4H): ~56 – neutral momentum, no breakout confirmation
Volume: Fading on green candles – weak demand on markup attempt
Support Zones:
108K = 55 SMA (first dynamic support)
107K = Lower Bollinger Band
105.8K = Last structural support from reaccumulation
Any close below 108K with rising volume could be the first sign of a shift. Breakdown below 105.8K would confirm a deeper move toward 101K.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
With expectations peaking and historical patterns aligning, caution is warranted. Let the chart confirm — but be aware that emotional euphoria around conferences has often been a liquidity trap.
🎯 Stay patient. Let price and volume lead.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoWarning #SellTheNews #BTCConference #TechnicalAnalysis
BTCUSD INTRADAY Bullish energy buildup supported at 107,650Trend Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in a bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 107,650 (primary pivot), followed by 103,330 and 100,680
Resistance: 113,040 (initial), then 115,510 and 117,510
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 107,650 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 113,040, 115,510, and ultimately 117,510.
Conversely, a daily close below 107,650 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 103,330 and 100,680 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
BTC/USD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 107,650 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 117,500 area. A breakdown below 107,650, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin Breaking Out AgainBitcoin has cleanly broken above multiple resistance levels and is holding above $109,358, showing strong bullish momentum. The golden cross between the 50 MA and 200 MA (visible in earlier charts) continues to play out as a bullish confirmation. After retesting and bouncing from the $88,804 level in late April, Bitcoin has been in a strong uptrend.
Volume is slightly tapering off compared to the initial breakout, but the price action remains constructive. We’re now consolidating just above previous resistance at $109,358, which could act as support moving forward. As always, while the trend remains bullish, we’ll watch for any signs of bearish divergence or reversal patterns, though there are no immediate signs of weakness in the daily structure. The higher timeframes still suggest the trend is intact and healthy.
Let's break down your Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart analysisBitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart analysis:
Chart Summary:
1. Descending Channel Formation:
Price is moving within a downward sloping channel (lower highs and lower lows).
Currently, price is testing the upper boundary of this channel near $109,800.
2. Liquidity Zone (Downside):
Clearly marked liquidity zone between ~$100,000–$102,000.
This suggests potential interest from large players in this area — stop hunts or accumulation possible.
3. Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 56, which is neutral-bullish. Not overbought, so there's still room for upside, but no strong momentum.
MACD: Bullish crossover is forming; histogram showing momentum shift to the upside.
Key Insights:
Price Rejection or Breakout: Price is at a critical point at the upper trendline. If it breaks above with strong volume, it could indicate a bullish continuation.
Bearish Case (High Probability for Now):
The descending channel is intact.
Price may get rejected and revisit lower bounds near $104,000 or even the liquidity zone near $100,000.
Bullish Case (Breakout Setup):
Break above the channel with a strong bullish candle and retest confirmation may trigger longs.
Target could be previous highs around $112,000–$114,000.
current price: 109580
Suggested Trade Plan:
1. Conservative Short Entry:
If price rejects the upper trendline (around $109,800–$110,000)
Stop-loss above $110,500
Target near $104,000 or $100,000
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Buy the Dip Near EMA SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 108,050
Target: 111,850
Stop Loss: 106,750
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.9:1
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 28/05/2025 12:00
Technical Overview
Bitcoin continues to hover near all-time highs, maintaining a bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows.
Current price action suggests temporary pullbacks are healthy within this trend.
Yesterday's low and the 50-period 4H EMA (~107,956) should act as strong support.
The strategy is to buy dips into this zone, anticipating a bounce toward resistance at 111,850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD Curve Breakout & MMC Structure | Targeting $111KIn this idea, we apply Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method of analyzing symmetrical price behavior to forecast key market moves. This BTC/USD 15-minute chart showcases a beautiful execution of MMC principles, blending curved structure analysis, SR interchange, and trendline dynamics to capture a compelling bullish opportunity.
🧩 Chart Structure Analysis (Detailed Breakdown):
🔸 1. Curve Line Formation & Mirror Market Concepts (MMC):
The centerpiece of this analysis is the curved market structure, which resembles a cup-like formation. Using MMC, the market is seen as reacting in mirrored patterns — left side = right side. In this context, the curve mimics the balance of supply and demand over time, providing a visual roadmap of potential price behavior.
Curve Line Resistance: The upper black arc served as dynamic resistance.
Curve Line Support: The lower arc acted as dynamic support.
Once price broke above the curved resistance, it confirmed a bullish market structure shift, triggering a key breakout signal.
🔸 2. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
Following the curve line resistance breakout, price pulled back for a retest, validating the structure. This is a high-probability continuation setup where:
The breakout confirms bullish interest.
The retest confirms that former resistance is now support.
This retest occurred exactly near the intersection of:
Curve Line Support
SR Interchange Zone (gray shaded area)
Trendline Support
This confluence adds strength to the bullish outlook.
🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip):
The horizontal SR Interchange area is a key pivot zone, where price previously faced resistance. After the breakout, price came back to this level and found strong buying interest, flipping it into support.
This acts as a reaccumulation zone.
Price rejected from this zone with a clean bullish impulse.
🔸 4. Trendline Support Validation:
After the retest, price formed a new ascending trendline, respected multiple times by price. This ascending trendline acts as a guide for trailing stop placements or re-entry zones. Price remained above this trendline, reinforcing bullish structure integrity.
🔸 5. Central Zone & Liquidity Sweep:
The Central Zone marked a midpoint in the curve, which:
Acts as a balance point between the mirrored halves.
Is often used as a liquidity grab area before direction continuation.
Price dipped into this zone, likely collecting stop orders or liquidity before reversing higher — a classic MMC behavior.
🔸 6. 50% Retracement Level:
A horizontal marker near the 50% retracement level serves as a psychological and technical barrier. As of the last candle:
Price is hovering around this midpoint.
A breakout above this level would trigger further bullish movement toward the target zone.
Traders often look for volume expansion at this point to confirm conviction.
🔸 7. Target Zone (Projected via Curve Symmetry & Range Extension):
The target zone is marked near $111,600, based on:
Mirror projection of the curve's depth (height symmetry).
Range extension from the curve’s breakout.
Potential measured move based on pre- and post-breakout range.
This level represents a logical exit or partial TP zone for long positions.
📈 Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Zone: After breakout and retest around the SR Interchange/Curve Support/Trendline Confluence.
Support Confirmation: Trendline holding and bullish structure above central zone.
Mid-Target: 50% retracement breakout ($110,400).
Main Target: $111,600+ target zone based on curve projection.
Invalidation: Clear break below trendline and loss of SR flip zone.
🔍 Educational Takeaways:
Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are highly effective in anticipating symmetrical price behavior.
Confluence of curved breakout, SR flip, and trendline validation provides high confidence in trade setups.
Market symmetry helps define logical targets, entries, and risk zones.
Always look for a pullback to structure — the best trades often come after the breakout and confirmation.
🚨 Risk Management Reminder:
As always, proper risk management is crucial. Wait for confirmation before entering, and use stop-losses below structural levels (such as the trendline or SR Interchange zone) to limit downside risk.
BTCUSD Potential Reversal | Head and Shoulders Pattern FormedBitcoin (BTC/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, forming a clear Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart.
Key Technical Insights:
The structure is aligned with a classic head and shoulders setup.
Price action has respected the descending trendline resistance.
The right shoulder has formed under key supply pressure, increasing the probability of a drop.
A breakdown below the neckline could drive price toward the 107,400 zone.
Target zone aligns with previous consolidation and demand area.
This setup offers a well-defined risk-to-reward structure, based on pattern confirmation and market structure.
📉 Pattern-based idea with proper technical reasoning. Monitoring closely for breakdown and follow-through price action.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITCOIN repeating every Cycle's final rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong rally since the April 2025 bottom on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and that's perfectly aligned with the 1W MA50 rebound it had on the previous two Cycles in June 2021 and June 2017.
As you can see, those (blue circles) where the All Time High (ATH) Pivot trend-line test before the final (parabolic) rally of the Cycle started, which was its most aggressive part.
In 2017 it was much stronger and the price rallied much higher, which is natural as the market was much less mature (institutionally) than today, but it is not improbable to get a rally similar to July - November 2021.
Can that be enough to push BTC to $150k and beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD – Key Zones and Strategic Possibilities for Breakout On the current 1-hour chart, BTCUSD has established a significant resistance level near 111,923 after a strong upward move within a rising channel. The price is currently consolidating around 109,525, placing it at a critical decision point.
If the price retests the 111,923 level and faces rejection, it could signal the formation of a potential double top, indicating a bearish reversal. In this scenario, the key support levels to watch are 107,823 and 104,564. A breakdown below these zones could lead BTCUSD toward the next target at 102,136.
On the other hand, a solid breakout above 111,923 with strong volume confirmation could suggest a bullish continuation, potentially targeting the 113,000–115,000 range.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 111,923
Support: 107,823 / 104,564 / 102,136
Trading Strategy:
Look for bearish confirmation candles near 111,923 for a potential short setup, with a stop-loss slightly above that level.
If price breaks above 111,923 with momentum, consider long setups toward higher targets.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management and according to your trading plan.