BTC The chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframeThe chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with clear horizontal support and resistance levels. A potential bullish harmonic pattern (likely a Bullish ABCD or Bat pattern) has formed, completing near the 117,200 support zone. Price is consolidating within a descending wedge, indicating potential reversal or breakout. Watch for a bounce from support or breakout above the wedge for bullish confirmation.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC Hits Premium Zone – Bearish Reversal Loading? BTC Hits Premium Zone – Bearish Reversal Loading?
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Previous Market Structure & CHoCH
The chart shows a clear shift in structure (CHoCH) on the left, which marked the start of the bearish leg.
Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continuation of lower highs and lower lows until recent liquidity grab near the $112,551 zone.
Equal highs and liquidity above were taken out, making the move into the Premium Order Block zone highly significant.
🔹 2. Liquidity and Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zones
A major Liquidity + FVG zone was left unmitigated between $113,000–$112,000, and price is likely to revisit it.
This aligns with the target zone at $112,890, which is highlighted as a magnet for price to rebalance the inefficiency.
🔹 3. Order Block & Premium Supply Zone
A well-defined Order Block is marked just below the resistance zone near $115,166–$116,021.
Price is currently retracing into this zone, suggesting a potential reaction point for smart money to re-enter shorts.
Volume is expected to pick up here, and a reversal could initiate if price fails to break above this supply.
🔹 4. Volume Profile and Market Imbalance
Volume clusters are heaviest near the $114,000–$114,300 range, indicating high activity and previous accumulation/distribution.
Thin volume near the $112,551 zone further confirms price may drop quickly if rejection happens.
🔹 5. Support & Liquidity Sweep
Support zone around $112,551 is a previous liquidity pool and weak low that has not been fully cleared.
Price is likely to revisit this zone in the short term to clear liquidity and complete market rebalancing.
🔐 Institutional Narrative:
Smart money engineered a liquidity sweep to the downside, then caused a retracement into premium.
Now, BTC/USD is positioned in a high-risk zone where sell-side institutions may enter to push price lower.
If this order block holds, expect a rejection toward $112,890, followed by possible deeper continuation into the liquidity void below.
📌 Key Levels:
Level Price (USD)
Strong Resistance Zone 115,166 – 116,021
Order Block (Sell Area) 114,800 – 116,000 (approx.)
Immediate Support 113,000 – 112,551
Target (Liquidity Zone) 112,890
Weak Low (Final Sweep) 112,000
📉 Trade Outlook & Strategy:
🔺 If price reacts bearishly at Order Block:
Look for lower timeframe BOS/CHoCH confirmation.
Entry: Short on rejection at or near $115,000–$115,500
Target 1: $112,890
Target 2: $112,000 (extended liquidity sweep)
Stop-loss: Above $116,200 (invalidates bearish OB)
🔻 If price breaks and closes above $116,021 with momentum:
Structure flips bullish, and the OB is invalidated.
Look for long setups on retracement to $114,000 zone.
🧭 Conclusion:
BTC/USD is currently trading within a Premium Zone, testing a strong Order Block below key resistance. Price may face a bearish reaction, targeting the liquidity zone at $112,890. Smart money footprints suggest a potential trap for breakout buyers, and if momentum fades, we can expect a downside reversal to sweep remaining liquidity.
Altcoins and BTC: Macro Structures, Key Levels, and What’s NextIn this Sunday's market crypto-market analysis, I'm sharing trend structures and key support zones for the total altcoin market cap (excluding BTC and ETH), as well as for ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, HYPE, and BTC. I also outline my main scenarios for market movement through the end of August and the rest of the year.
Key takeaways:
- Impulsive structures are shifting to diagonal structures — less stable and growth cycle is likly approaching the final phase of this market cycle.
- As long as prices hold above key macro support zones, the uptrend structure remains intact.
- I don’t rule out another sell-off early this week, deeper into support zones, followed by a potential rebound through late August, then a phase of consolidation (ideally staying above the current correction lows from the July top), and one final rally to new highs starting mid-autumn and continuing toward year-end.
-I expect ETH, XRP, and BNB to be the primary beneficiaries of the next wave of growth.
Total Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH)
Support zone: 955-913B
Target resistance zone: 1.19-1.26T
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Support zone: 3400–3200 (possible extension to 3000)
Target resistance zone: 4300–5100+
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Support zone: 2.7–2.5
Target resistance zone: 5.2+
BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Support zone: 170–150
Target resistance zone: 250–300
CRYPTO:HYPEHUSD
Support zone: 33–30
Target resistance zone: 60–72
BINANCE:BNBUSD
Support zone: 510–530
Target resistance zone: 960–1000
BTC Dominance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Support zone: 111–109K
Target resistance zone: 125–130/135K
If you’d like me to cover a specific coin, leave a comment — I’ll include it in future updates or prepare a short video breakdown.
Thanks for your attention, and I wish everyone a strong start to the week and well-grounded investment decisions!
Bitcoin Bull Flag - will it collapse?Bitcoin is currently in a bull flag.
Will it hold — or collapse?
The weekly close will decide.
🔹 If BTC closes above the bull flag support: Possible continuation of the rally.
🔻 If BTC closes below the flag: Expect a deeper correction.
Stay sharp. The weekly close is key IMO.
No FA. DYOR! For educational purpose only.
Bitcoin Forming a New Range?After all of the ups and downs over the past few days, I zoom out to a higher time frame to get a grasp of what's really happening. With three hours or so left in the day it looks most likely that the formation of a new range is in the works. I'm looking for two options over the next few hours, one being that it gets right back into the previous range and is all just a wick on the weekly chart which caused three days of panic for absolutely no reason. This would probably be hilarious but also the less likely outcome!
Inflection Zone, Do or Die levelI've drawn up a couple of major pivot points that I expect BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to consolidate at before continuing either up or down.
The market is in my opinion currently feeling a little bit confused and not quite fearful yet but a little bit doubtful anyway. The melt up has been real, and for some painful, as directional movement is at most only half of what matters. So this injection of volatility is welcomed at least by me, and I've been fairly exposed to growth stocks in my port lately.
Based on fibonacci phi channels and other confluences of support locations, it looks like we've turned a corner and are on the way down, but I'd be surprised if we breached 107k and as shown, if that did happen, there is a LOT of underlying supply.
I don't know where we go from here but I wanted to point out this level highlighted in light blue, as its historically been a major line in the sand for BTC.
Bitcoin prediction (no fluff)I made this trend many months ago.
Thought I would share it with anyone considering BTC as a hedge against fiat inflation.
No candle sticks movement predictions.
No wedges.
No Fibonacci sequence.
The real mover of BTC is basically Stock-to-Flow corrected (downward) by BTC movement which doesn’t occur on exchanges (which is challenging to quantify).
But vague data suggests that OTC inventory is dwindling by the week.
Therefore, once OTC transactions go to zero, BTC will break upward through the top of this channel and approach the S2F.
Bitcoin: Interconnections Rewired🏛️ Research Notes
Keeping fib channel of the rising trend angles as they've number of times covered well that aspect of cycle texture.
The other frame of reference would be with fib channel that covers drop from 2021 ATH to late 2022 bottom.
Last bit would be integrating fib channel discovered while ago that connects covid & late 2022 bottoms
Together they create a framework that addresses the complexity and makes even the most chaotic price movements seem to be a part of structural narrative.
Gaussian and the LMACD deep dive!As you can see LMACD is showing signs of exhaustion. Histogram has been compressing or decreasing in momentum while the price has been climbing up. This divergence wont last for too long and a change in the trend seem very likely. BTC might be entering in the bear market pretty soon and you might start seeing the histogram turning red and increasing in bearish momentum before changing the trend once we approach to the core of the Gaussian or even bellow this time. Breaking bellow the core would mean range bellow 40k as bear market bottom.
BTC/USD – 4H Short Setup AnalysisBitcoin is currently trading within a defined range under macro resistance. The chart shows price stalling below a key supply zone, with rejection from the upper Keltner Channel and diagonal resistance (yellow trendline). A local bearish divergence appears to be playing out as momentum fades.
📉 Short Position Setup:
Entry: $119,275 (supply retest)
Stop Loss: Above local high / top channel boundary
Targets:
TP1: $117,163 (38.2% Fib)
TP2: $115,858 (61.8% Fib)
TP3: $113,746 (full measured move)
Confluence:
Bearish rejection near multi-touch trendline resistance
Lower high formation after extended consolidation
Heikin Ashi candles showing loss of bullish momentum
Watch for: Breakdown of the white trendline support to confirm momentum shift. Invalidation if BTC closes strongly above $120,000.
Timeframe: 4H | Strategy: Range Reversal + Fib Confluence
Bitcoin Passes Stress TestOn July 25, 2025, Galaxy Digital executed one of the largest Bitcoin sales ever recorded: 80,000 BTC, valued at approximately $9 billion , on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor.
Despite the size, the market absorbed the flow with minimal volatility—Bitcoin dipped from around $119,000 to $115,000, then rebounded above $119,000.
Liquidity Maturity in Motion
Analysts called the trade a significant demonstration of market maturity, noting that 80,000 BTC was absorbed in days with barely a market blip.
Crypto infrastructure has also evolved: algorithmic liquidity providers, institutional desks, and OTC channels handled the load without triggering cascading funding rate hikes or forced liquidations.
Ongoing Risks
Event-Driven Stress: During macro shocks or sharp sell-offs, liquidity may thin, and the same level of absorption might not persist.
OTC vs Exchange: This large sale was managed mostly off-exchange. A similar-sized on-exchange dump could still trigger stop-run cascades.
Retail Complacency Risk: The stability seen now can be deceptive, as retail may misinterpret low volatility as a safe leverage zone, only to be caught off-guard.
Projections:
Watching the 23.6% fib retracement level in line with the $116,600 price level. Anticipate the resistance level of $120,000 to be retested.
If price breaks above $120,000, we could see a significant move toward $130,000
The $9B BTC sale went through without materially impacting price is considered a milestone in crypto market evolution. It reflects institutional-grade liquidity and sentiment maturity.
▒₿▒ BITCOIN FORECAST | 6HR ▒₿▒Hello @everyone. Long time. . . I was on a 3 year spiritual journey. I am back now and have many good things in the works. Who took my (non-financial) advice 3 years ago when I called the low of $15K a year in advance? And who believed me that it would go to $150K once we hit that $15K low? Who believes me now? Are you still thinking we've topped? Or do you think we have our $150K target in sight?
Have a look at this 6 HR Forecast. We have a low coming around AUG 8TH at $108K. And the most notable ATH of $151K around SEPT 5TH.
This is it. The playbook years in advance. I have never asked for anything or tried to sell you anything. It's all been done from a position of "paying it forward". Please, if you've taken my advice do the same.
I first bought Bitcoin in 2011. Was part of the MT GOX hack. And have had many ups and downs since then. One thing has never changed. . . And that is that Bitcoin is King. It's an asset class and a hedge against inflation. We're seeing this happen more now than ever. It's only got inflation as the halvings continue. The inflation rate of Bitcoin since/after this last halving is 0.84%. Bitcoin is up over 120-Million percent since 2011. Look at the BTC 6 MONTH candle chart and you'll see what Crypto asset you want to be in. Bitcoin is the only crypto asset.
When I first bought BTC it wasn't possible to purchase on an exchange with a debit card. I had to buy Linden Dollars from "Second Life" (which didn't always work because I had to deal with International Payment Processors due to US restrictions), then convert them to BTC on Mt Gox. Hardware wallets were not a thing. Now you can setup your bank account to auto buy on Coinbase and others. It's easier than ever. Store your coins on a hardware wallet and stay protected from the next FTX or hack.
This is the asset of the future. The "Digital Gold". I've seen the future and it runs on Blockchain and digital/virtual currency. A Super Artificial Intelligence will run and optimize all of our systems. Voting, assets, deeds, ownership and more will all be on a public blockchain ledger.
DEMATERIALIZATION/VIRTUALIZATION
INFORMATION & MEDIA
Music
We had music being played using metal, tin and wax in the 1800's, then mid 1900's we went to Vinyl and later in the late 1900's we went to plastic cassettes. And in 1990 - 2000 we had the CD which used laser optics to play the music. Effectively digitizing it. Then of course the MP3 player which was the next evolution in digitization. But where are we now? We are still in a type of digitization however it's evolved also. We are in a virtualization, where the music is not stored on the device itself, it's stored on servers which host the data to be accessed in the cloud/virtually.
You see the progression?
Metal/Wood > Vinyl/Plastic > Plastic/Digital > Metal/Digital > Virtual
(Or even further simplified on a higher level it would be Thoughts > Things > Digital > Virtual >)
What else has taken this path?
Movies
Metal/Wood - Film Projectors & Metal Reels
Plastic - Video Cassettes
Plastic/Digital - Optical Discs
Metal/Digital - Personal Digital Devices
Virtual - Cloud-Based Streaming
Books & The Written Word
Metal/Wood - The Printing Press
Paper/Plastic - Paperback Books
Plastic/Digital - Digital Archives on Discs
Metal/Digital - Handheld E-readers
Virtual - Cloud Libraries & Audiobooks
Money & Finance
Metal/Wood - Gold & Silver Coins (and even wooden coins)
Plastic - Payment Cards
Plastic/Digital - Secure Chip Cards
Metal/Digital - Mobile & Digital Wallets
Virtual - Digital/Crypto Currencies
This is the natural progression path. Are you the one still listening to cassette tapes while the MP3 player exists? Are you still using a physical thing while the virtual exists? (Nostalgia aside.)
NOW IS THE TIME!
Gold has been virtualized and it's called Bitcoin. While trading at 1,200,000 times more than it was 14 years ago it still has not yet realized it maximum value. In the past Gold and Silver were taken and bank/promissory notes were given in exchange. In fact it became illegal to not exchange your Gold and Silver for Dollars in the US. (1933 with the issuance of Executive Order 6102 by President Franklin D. Roosevelt.) The Dollar has no cap and is no different than Doge in that sense. BTC has a cap and a proof of work concept just like Gold. If you need to pay for things convert your BTC when you need to but holding or planning on making money off any other crypto currency that does not provide a base layer for our new virtualized financial infostructure it will not happen.
BITCOIN IS FINANCIAL LIBERATION FOR YOU, YOUR FAMILY, FRIENDS AND LEGACY.
BTC is up 3,000% in the past five and half years alone.
That's a 5.45 X Multiple per year. 545% growth rate compared to the unlimited and inflationary Dollar. Why not setup a reoccurring dollar cost average automatic purchase? We live in a day of virtualized programable currency, why not convert vapor currency to digital gold with the few clicks?
I am not a financial advisor. I am a Bitcoin Maximalist. Trade at your own risk. Assume your own responsibilities.
I have a big project I'm working on right now but also working on some TV Indicators in the background. I will share them with you all once I'm done testing them.
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
BITCOIN Should we start thinking about the next Bear Cycle yet?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had extremely symmetric (time-wise) Cycles in the past +10 years and this is a subject we've analyzed extensively many times. We've spent the last months projecting potential Targets for each stage of the bull run and only the last few are left.
This is exactly why we thought today's chart would be very fitting. The current Bull Cycle isn't over yet but also, based on the 4-year Cycle Theory, isn't far of either. By October 2025, that model suggests that all profit should have been taken.
As you can see, we are in the green zone, the Bull Cycle's Final Phase and since this Cycle has been trading entirely within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, by October the price shouldn't be much higher than $160k.
In any event, this is a good guide, presented to you in a good time, to keep your mindset inside a long-term perspective and prepare you for not only the upcoming Top but also the next (1 year) Bear Cycle, which could again push the price below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which would be a solid level for long-term buy positions again.
So do you think the Top is closer than it looks? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Rectangle Consolidation + Bull Trend = BTC Setup for ATHYesterday, Bitcoin dipped and recovered again, following last week's sharp spike down, triggered by the $9B Galaxy Digital sale on behalf of a Satoshi-era investor.
________________________________________
🧠 Why is this important?
Despite being one of the largest BTC sales in history, the move only caused a temporary spike down.
That’s a clear sign of market strength and strong interest on dips.
________________________________________
📉📈 Current Technical Context:
• If we ignore the spike, price is consolidating in a tight rectangle
• That’s typically a continuation pattern
• The broader trend remains strongly bullish
📌 Put all of that together, and we have at least 3 reasons to expect upside continuation
________________________________________
🎯 Key Levels:
• Break + daily close above $120K → likely leads to a new ATH and a potential test of $130K
• Invalidation only comes with a break below $114K
________________________________________
Conclusion:
BTC just absorbed a massive $9B sell without blinking.
As long as $114K holds, I'm bullish and expecting continuation.
Next leg could (and I hope it will) be explosive. 🚀
Weekly setup for BTCLast week i was waiting for a short confirmation on Bitcoin, a confirmation that has never arrived. But setups are made for this: we wait the right moment to join the market, based on a cold analysis. Considering that the support area looks still strong, i will now wait for a retracement till the key level at $116.550. Around this level i will look for a rejection to enter long, targeting the resistance zone at $119.000
BITCOIN LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅BITCOIN has retested a key support level of 112k
And as the coin is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 115k is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC - 12H Break Likely TodayAs we continue to follow BTC's LTF pattern it is likely to either breakout or breakdown today. FOMC happens in about 4 hour from now which is likely to lead to volatility.
As you can see from the chart, BTC's price has been perfectly aligned within this 12H symmetrical triangle (white dotted lines). This is validated by the many touchpoints of support and resistance (green and red arrows).
Once we see a 12H candle close above or below this pattern it could lead us to our measured move price target (yellow ray).
BTCUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 118,973 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️