BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin short-term analysisIt seems a harmonic pattern has formed in the Bitcoin chart. The right leg, which is unfolding in an ascending channel, is about to finish. If Bitcoin breaks this channel downward, that means the 89K area is going to be the first target. Let's see what happens.
For long-term analysis of Bitcoin, see the related links.
BTCUSD FALLING WEDGE PATTERNHere I Created This BTCUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : BTCUSD (Bitcoin)
Timeframe: 15- Minutes
Pattern: Falling wedge
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 104000
Resistance zone : 104100
Target Will Be : 102800
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
BTC at Key Inflection Zone – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?Asset: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on visual pattern structure)
As of: May 6, 2025
Indicators:
50 EMA (Red): $91,615.79
200 EMA (Blue): $89,305.75
Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: ~$104,000 – $108,000
This area has historically acted as a major supply zone.
Price has been rejected from this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
🔁 Flip Zone (Resistance turned Support/Support turned Resistance): ~$95,500 – $100,000
The current price ($95,234.23) is testing this zone from below.
A confirmed break and hold above could signal continuation toward the higher resistance.
🟢 Strong Support Zone: ~$88,000 – $91,000
Confluence of 50 EMA and 200 EMA adds strength to this demand zone.
Previous breakout level and accumulation area.
EMA Outlook:
50 EMA > 200 EMA: Short-term bullish crossover is active, indicating bullish momentum.
Both EMAs are sloping upward slightly, suggesting trend strengthening.
Price is currently above both EMAs, which acts as dynamic support.
Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims the $95,500–$100,000 resistance-turned-support zone:
Expect upward momentum to continue.
Target: $104,000–$108,000 zone.
Break of $108K could lead to a macro bull continuation.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the current zone and fails to hold above the $91,000 support:
Look for retest of $88,000–$89,000 area (confluence with EMAs).
Breakdown below that zone would invalidate bullish structure and signal potential deeper correction.
Summary:
Bias: Bullish above $91K, Neutral between FWB:88K –$91K, Bearish below $88K.
Key Confirmation Needed: Daily close above $100,000 for strong bullish continuation.
Risk Management: Watch for fakeouts within the $95K–$100K range due to past volatility.
“From flag talk to flow walk—price always reveals the truth.”Cleared out the noise. That “flag” everyone was drawing? Just liquidity congestion in disguise. I refined the chart and locked in on what mattered: major structure broke from the top, and price cleanly took out that internal HL—confirming the shift.
Now we’re watching BTC reach above BSL, aiming to mitigate into a key 30M supply zone before continuing the drop.
The real target? That bullish OB sitting below, waiting to be respected for a clean higher timeframe continuation.
This is how we read the market with purpose—not patterns.
Flow, mitigation, and liquidity—pure precision.
Bless Trading!
Bitcoin blows up the market: $100,000 broken.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) surged past the key $100,000 mark again on Thursday, May 8, 2025 — for the first time since February this year. During the day, BTC traded between $101,500 and $102,700, posting a daily gain of around 5.3%. Its market capitalization exceeded $2 trillion.
Why Bitcoin is back at $100K — and what’s driving it higher:
Macro tailwinds:
Growing expectations of Fed rate cuts , reinforced by Donald Trump’s calls for lower interest rates, have fueled risk appetite across markets — Bitcoin included.
US – UK trade deal hype : Hints of a potential trade agreement between the US and the UK announced by President Trump added a major boost to market sentiment, sparking a rally.
Institutional demand : Massive inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs continue. Over $1.8 billion flowed in last week alone, with some sources reporting $2.68 billion by Thursday — the largest weekly inflow since mid-December 2024. Companies like MicroStrategy are leading the charge with more BTC purchases.
Weaker dollar & falling bond yields : These trends have enhanced Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge.
Market sentiment & BTC dominance : Breaking above $100K triggered optimism and possible FOMO (fear of missing out). Bitcoin’s market dominance now exceeds 60%, the highest since early 2021, reflecting investor preference for BTC over altcoins in the current phase.
The appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC Chair , along with a softer US regulatory stance and Arizona’s new pro-crypto law, are setting the stage for continued growth.
FreshForex analysts note that the current rally is mainly driven by institutional players, while retail investors have yet to fully engage.
Will we see BTC 107k and XRP 2.9 soon?BTCUSD, XRPUSD Posted this in minds May 9th . Now that we recently touched 105,787 which I think is close enough to 106k and XRP hitting 2.6542 thirty minutes ago, I thought I'd changed the title to reflect the higher targets.
See my other ideas on POPCAT & XRP:
POPCATUSDT will it break through .60 - .62 resistance this time?
XRPUSD Giant Falling Wedge breakout?
Bitcoin Breaks $102K: Bullish Trend or Reversal Incoming?BTCUSD Weekly Technical Review & Strategy Update - Mongoose Capital Trading Desk
Overview:
Bitcoin has continued its strong upward movement, now approaching key resistance zones. The next steps depend on how the asset reacts to these levels.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $105K–$110K zone remains critical, aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and recent highs. A breakout above this level would indicate further bullish momentum.
Support: $90,019 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) serves as an important support level. A pullback to this area could provide a solid buying opportunity.
Key Buy Zone: $82,728 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) has acted as a strong support in the past. A retest of this level could offer an optimal entry point for long positions.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Weekly): The RSI is below 70, indicating room for upside before reaching overbought conditions. The bullish momentum is intact.
MACD: The MACD histogram continues to show widening bullish momentum, supporting the ongoing uptrend.
Volume: Institutional buying pressure remains strong, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Strategic Considerations:
Buy Zone: The $90K– GETTEX:92K range (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) is a potential entry point if a pullback occurs. Watch for confirmation of support at this level.
Breakout Play: A breakout above $105K would likely lead to a move towards $110K–$115K. Position for continued upside.
Rejection at Resistance: If $105K acts as resistance, a pullback is likely. Monitor for signs of rejection at this level for possible short opportunities.
Long-Term Outlook: The trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting continued upside potential.
Quantitative Overview:
FlowWave Indicator supports the bullish momentum, showing increasing buy-side conviction.
Conviction Score remains strong, reflecting solid buying pressure and bullish sentiment.
Action Plan:
Primary Buy: Look for entries around $90K– GETTEX:92K with a stop below $85K.
Breakout Play: If Bitcoin breaks $105K, target $110K–$115K.
Short Consideration: If price fails to clear $105K, prepare for short opportunities in case of a pullback.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD remains bullish, but resistance at $105K will dictate the next phase. Focus on breakout plays above resistance or buying the dip at key support levels for optimal positioning.
BTCUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 10323
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 99977
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$BTC probability still favors new lowBTC has had a strong rally back into the prior resistance and unless we can break above the prior highs, I still think probability still favors more downside (and I think we see a new low).
I've marked off support levels and resistance levels as I think this will largely be the range over the next year.
My base case as of now, is that we see one more low down in the $69k-$62k region before we start a new run to the highs above ($122k+). Another possibility is that we sweep the lows and bounce at $72k, then move up towards the highs.
That said, the reason I think lower is due to the massive imbalance on the chart that needs to get resolved.
Overall I still think we're in a bullish trend, but that we continue to pullback before the final move higher.
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown Scenario:
• If the price fails to hold the highlighted support area (~$103,200), it could invalidate the bullish projection.
• A break below $103,000 would likely trigger stop-losses and accelerate downside momentum.
Bearish Target:
• Next strong support may lie near $101,200–$100,800 (psychological and historical levels).
Crypto Update - The Big 3 are respecting an interesting algoTraders! Apologies for my absence the past little while - I've been working on many projects outside of the trading world (and in the trading world - exciting news on the horizon!)
Just wanted to point out the very interesting "coincidence" here where we see the big 3 cryptos all respecting very tapered (bullish) selling channels - meaning, they are all building liquidity in very bullish algorithms and are poised for a longer term breakout once the demand proves itself over the supply.
Will continue to analyze and share as price develops but be careful with all the chaotic news coming in left and right.
Happy Trading :)
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )1. Trade Direction: Long
• Trend Alignment:
• Daily: Strong uptrend resumption with higher highs, higher lows, and price reclaiming above key moving average. RSI > 70 indicates strong momentum.
• 15-Min: Bullish breakout from consolidation, steep EMA slope, MACD rising, momentum increasing.
• 3-Min: Intraday momentum continuation pattern. Clean bullish price structure.
• MACD (All Timeframes): Strong bullish crossover, rising histogram — confirming trend strength.
• RSI (All Timeframes): RSI not yet overextended on lower timeframes, suggesting room for more upside.
• Price Action: Recent breakout with healthy retracement structure and no major bearish divergence.
• Fundamentals (Contextual):
• BTC crossing $100K is a psychological milestone likely to invite more inflows.
• Macro environment remains supportive for digital assets (inflation hedge, fiat debasement narrative).
• Strong market sentiment and volume suggest continuation potential.
⸻
2. Trade Setup
Entry:
• Entry Zone: $102,800
• Price is consolidating above previous resistance (~$102,000), now acting as support.
Stop Loss:
• SL: $101,200
• Below most recent intraday swing low and EMA on lower timeframes, giving it enough room.
Take Profit:
• TP: $106,800
• Near the next psychological level and extension target from recent measured moves.
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
Bitcoin: again above $100KThe FOMC meeting held during the previous week brought back at least some level of confidence on financial markets. This time, the increased positive sentiment was reflected also on the crypto market, and its major coin, BTC. Increased demand for riskier assets brought back BTC to levels above the $100K. This coin is ending the week at levels above the $103K.
As of the end of the week, the RSI reached the level of 76, which is treated as highly overbought market side in technical analysis. The moving average of 50 days continues to converge toward the MA200, indicating a potential for another cross in the coming period. Just as a reminder, at the beginning of April, the two lines made the so-called “dead cross”, swiftly after, the trend changed to the upside.
Investors' confidence is back on the market, however, it should be considered that US-China trade negotiations are expected to start soon, which would most certainly bring back some higher volatility and nervousness among market participants. On a longer scale of time, BTC will most certainly seek the way to test its current ATH and even to make the new ones. However, on a shorter time scale, this road will be marked with ups and downs. The current $103K level will be tested at the start of the week. Some short term reversal is quite possible, at least to the level of current support line at $100K. A move toward the higher grounds is also possible, to some extent, however, at this moment, it should not be expected to be a significant one.