BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis
Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
Trading Signals for BTC/USD Sell below106,036 or buy above 106,3Scenario #1: My plan to buy Bitcoin today at the entry point $105,370, aiming for a rise to $107,600. Around $107,600, my plan to exit the buys and immediately sell on a pullback. Before buying on a breakout, ENSURE THE 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the positive zone.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,300 if three is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $106,300.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: my to sell Bitcoin today at the entry point around $105.400, my plan to exit the sales and immediately buy on a pullback. Before selling on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the negative zone
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,300 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $105,400 and $104,400.
BTCUSD Key Demand Zone Reached – Will the Bulls Step In? Bitcoin is currently trading at $103,525, sitting firmly inside a high-volume demand zone (highlighted in brown), with visible support at $103,849.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Timeframe: 15-Minute (Scalpers & Intraday Traders, take note!)
Demand Zone: $103,500 – $103,850
Resistance Zones:
Minor resistance at $107,427
Major supply area at $110,420+ (high confluence zone)
Volume Node: Price is currently reacting to a high-volume node where strong accumulation previously occurred.
LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool shows a historical shift from sellers to buyers around this zone.
📊 What to Watch For:
A strong bullish reaction from this level could send BTC toward $107,427, then potentially challenge the $110,420 resistance.
A failure to hold above $103,500 could signal deeper downside—caution advised.
⚡️ My Plan:
Watching for a bullish engulfing candle or demand confirmation to go long.
Stop loss below the zone.
Targeting $107.4K and beyond if momentum holds.
📌 Possible Trade Idea:
> Long above $103,850
SL: Below $103,300
TP1: $107,400
TP2: $110,420
🚀 Is this the bounce we’ve been waiting for, or just another trap? Comment your outlook 👇
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #SupplyDemand #Scalping #Intraday #BTC #BullishSetup #PriceAction
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨
🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟢 Recent Price Action:
Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔.
A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️.
🟠 Supply Zone:
Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again.
🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line):
The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉.
🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE:
Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control.
🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move):
Price may retest the broken zone 🔁.
Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯.
Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊.
💥 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone).
Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺.
Target: $101,500 🎯.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers!
📛 Pattern Breakdown:
⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal.
🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure.
🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
BTCUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry Point - 10465
Stop Loss - 10321
Take Profit - 10794
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has undergone a significant decline during the current week's trading session and is presently situated at the Mean Support level of $103,000. This downward trajectory has the potential to establish a temporary pause, which may facilitate the emergence of upward momentum from this level, and it could pose a challenge to the Key Resistance level at 109500. A successful breach of this resistance may lead to the completion of the Inner Coin Rally target at $114500. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of renewed downward momentum from the current level, as this could result in a decline toward the Mean Support of 99000.
BTC Outlook📌 Current Bias:
Short-term: Bearish, as we are in a downtrend with recent BOS and CHoCH to the downside.
Potential Reversal Area: Around the 0.786 Fib retracement and lower demand zone, especially if price forms bullish structure (like an I-CHoCH or BoS to the upside).
✅ Trading Opportunities:
1. Conservative Long Setup:
-Wait for a bullish CHoCH or I-BoS within the demand zone.
-Target the 0.5 or 0.382 Fibonacci retracement or imbalance zones above.
2. Continuation Short Setup:
-Look for rejection from 0.5 or 0.618 levels with bearish CHoCH.
-Enter short targeting the previous low around 103,000.
Bitcoin Long: End of 3rd wave Over here, I broke down the waves for Bitcoin down to the minute level. Based on this, I think that Bitcoin has completed 3rd wave (or wave Y if you think this is just a correction). So now I think it is a good time to long with target at sub-wave 4 high of previous wave 3.
Good luck!
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,686.94
Target Level: 111,091.02
Stop Loss: 100,407.14
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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