BTCUSD trade ideas
$BTC regains momentum, RSI with a QUADRUPLE BOTTOMCRYPTOCAP:BTC positions off to a good start. Quick update of Bitcoin and DXY.
Both Daily candles look awesome for crypto, exactly what we need to see. But the daily close at midnight GMT is crucial.
Let's pray they stay as they are. $99k is key support/resistance level right now.
The world is still a mad house, don't forget that. One terrible breaking news and.. This reversal gets reversed. Nearest proper liquidity pool above $106k.
Stay on the ball 👽💙
BTC/USD : Bull or More Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 6-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that, as expected, the price successfully surged to $106,500, hitting the $104,200 and $105,300 targets.
Last night, Bitcoin experienced a decline, finally filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) we discussed in the previous two analyses, with a correction extending to $91,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $95,000, and as long as it holds above the $90,000 support, we can anticipate further upside.
The next potential targets are $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
MY BEST BET FOR BTC🚀 High-Probability Trading Setup: The Final Shakeout Before the Gigapump 🚀
📌 Scenario Breakdown:
We are approaching a critical inflection point in the market, where price action is setting up for a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. My best bet for the upcoming move follows this sequence:
1️⃣ Final Pump to the Fibonacci Extension Pocket
- The market is likely to push higher one last time, targeting the Fibonacci range extension zone where liquidity is stacked.
- This move serves to trap breakout buyers and trigger late FOMO entries before the reversal.
- Smart money will use this opportunity to distribute while retail piles in.
2️⃣ Slow Grind Down to Range Bottom
- After tapping the key extension level, momentum will fade, and a controlled slow dump will begin.
- Market makers will use this phase to offload longs and absorb early shorts.
- Traders expecting an immediate breakdown might get shaken out as price holds the range bottom.
3️⃣ Range Top Retest – The Bull Trap
- Before the real move down, expect a sharp retest of the range highs to trap more longs.
- This fakeout will fuel the liquidity needed for the next leg down as leveraged longs get wiped out.
4️⃣ Capitulation to ~$74 k
- Once liquidity is efficiently absorbed, we’ll see a swift capitulation towards $74ish as stops get triggered en masse.
- This move will create extreme fear, forcing weak hands out of the market.
5️⃣ Rebuilding Phase: Market Inefficiency Refill & Short Trap
- After the capitulation, the market will establish a new range, filling the imbalance left behind.
- The goal? Lure in aggressive shorts, making them believe the breakdown is real.
- Once enough liquidity is stacked, the market will flip, triggering the gigapump.
📊 How to Play It:
✅ Short the top fib extension area if price action shows exhaustion, reversal signs, or a fakeout wick.
✅ Watch for liquidity absorption at the range bottom. If it holds, expect a retest of the highs.
✅ Prepare for the capitulation wick. Look for divergences, liquidation flushes, and high volume around $74k for a potential long entry.
✅ Ride the gigapump once liquidity is fully absorbed. If shorts get trapped, reversal confirmation could lead to an explosive move up.
🔮 Big Picture:
This setup is a classic smart money play, designed to trap both bulls and bears before the real move. Stay patient, trade the levels, and don’t get baited by emotions.
What do you think? Would you tweak anything in this setup? 🔥
UP or Down?No Emotions
Play the ranges and psychological numbers.
Accumulate on the way down
Distribute on the way up
Liquidity CycleAll credits to Ostium insights which can be found here
Intuition behind different indicators.
DXY and USDCNH
NOTE: The DXY and USDCNH are on an inverted scale
They are a proxy for the US dollar strength.
BTC suffers as dollar strengthens and vice versa.
Global Liquidity Index
Rising global liquidity and strength in bitcoin are highly correlated.
If we expect global balance sheet expansion, we should anticipate outperformance in BTC.
GLOBAL M2 / GLOBAL GDP
It is the rate of growth of global money supply outpacing the rate of growth in goods and services produced globally, where periods of of growth in this ratio correlate highly with outperformance in Bitcoin and periods of decline in this ratio are generally unsupportive of Bitcoin.
M2SL/DXY
At its core, this is a measure of the growth rate of domestic Dollars vs. the strength of the Dollar internationally.
As M2SL/DXY rises (US M2 is growing faster than the Dollar is strengthening vs. other currencies), this is a proxy for growing liquidity in the financial system - in effect, a good barometer for the relative easiness or tightness of financial conditions. This is also indicative of weakening purchasing power of the Dollar itself via currency debasement. Lastly, a rising M2SL/DXY can indicate that international borrowers can access dollar liquidity more favourably. This all, in turn, leads to a growing risk appetite and capital flow into financial assets, as we can see from the ratio mapped vs BTC/USD.
As the ratio declines, the inverse is true - liquidity is tighter and financial conditions are less easy, often leading to a flight away from riskier assets.
BTC LONG TP:96,500 03-02-2025BTC experienced a flash crash, but we should see a slight rise in the next few hours. Our target is above 96,000 within a maximum of 6 hours; otherwise, the analysis will be discarded."
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
---
interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
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tp - 753k
BTCUSD $ BUY We may see the price not respecting the channel!!!In reference to the daily chart of Bitcoin,
Bitcoin is in a major upward trend, forming an upward channel, especially in the field of competition with other startups, there may be a reason for delaying the rise, from the side of Bitcoin withdrawals and their transformation into pieces with its derivatives,
—Bitcoin may visit other areas in its downward trend, or where we do not expect it to happen,
—For example; $81541 as a final stage, and $84951 at a record level, and we consider it within respect for the rise in the upward channel,
—This accumulation that is happening is nothing but a simple correction, before keeping pace with the development in the search for the new (resistance),
—Advice;
It is good for us to have deals, open in areas that are considered good, and have big surprises in making profits, and with that, the absence of that, and the stability in the future of the price, below the upward line, then that is a great possibility of rising after touching the line,
Last chance to buy btc before 130k? 🚀 BITCOIN HIT OUR $93K TARGET! LAST CHANCE TO BUY BEFORE $130K? 🚀
BTC just dropped into our key liquidity zone at $93K, exactly as expected! 📉 Now, the next leg up is on the horizon, and this might be the final opportunity to buy before we blast off to $130K+ ATH! 🚀
🔹 Smart money is accumulating
🔹 Bullish reversal setup in play
🔹 Next major resistance: $130K+
Don't miss this move—Bitcoin is gearing up for liftoff! 🚀📈
BTC breakout to continue up trendBTC dip flushed out trader + Trump inauguration appears to be a good set up for trend continuation. In line with strong Feb seasonality returns.
Small inside bar compressing on previous high.
What's going on Bitcoin?Bitcoin has not found any support since the end of last week and the start of the new week, and investors have been unable to maintain the previous ranges no matter what they do. If the trend continues like this, it will probably fall to the psychological bottom of $90 and maybe even $88,000, which will not happen to Trump, who has been talking about supporting these currencies. Of course, some of his team members may have seen their stocks grow, which may be the reason.But another scenario,maybe is’t this!
$BTC & CRYPTO: THIS IS THE MOST INTENSE DEEP RETRACEMENT🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC & CRYPTO: THIS IS THE MOST INTENSE DEEP RETRACEMENT WE'VE SEEN! 🚨
💥 Brace yourselves! The crypto market is experiencing one of its most severe deep retracements to date. XRP, Bitcoin, and other major coins have taken a massive hit, shaking the entire market! ⚠️📉
🔥 Major dips across the board have investors feeling the pressure. This could be the start of a deeper pullback OR a golden buying opportunity for those bold enough to weather the storm. ⏳💰
⚡ Stay calm! The market has faced deep retracements before and bounced back stronger. Keep your eyes on key support levels and remain patient. 🧐📊
🔑 Remember, long-term strategy wins! Buying the dip could reward those prepared for the next surge! 🚀📈
Aggressive scalp BTC Long After a big dump, noticed a ms change on the 15 min timeframe, would like to trade VAL to POC and possibly VAH, but TP will be avwap, found some support on vwap, middle of new local channel. Consider the low an SFP of the monthly level, the wick touched the middle of prev month eq wick and hit a dnpoc, that's proper support. But more downside is still possible, on the htf ms is still bearish, so consider this an aggressive entry, with a tight SL, just below the monthly level. Trail SL up, allow 1k drawback
BTC Liquidations During Market CrashesBTC Liquidations During Market Crashes. Covid, Luna, FTX and the Trade Wars this week
BITCOIN - Sell Idea (Medium-tarm)The consistent failure to breakout above the massive key-level resistance of $101,850 is a strong indication that the bitcoin is gearing up for a downside reversal. at least on the medium-term cycle. We're testing the waters with a small size short position. As the negative momentum keeps growing so will our confidence and our position size. Our secondary profit target is at $97,468 and our primary profit target is at $92,565
BTC CAPITULATION?Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop, breaking below the key support level of 99,860 and closing decisively beneath it. The daily chart shows a strong bearish candle, with price currently trading around 94,896. This move has brought Bitcoin into the lower range of its broader consolidation zone, with the next major support sitting near the shaded region between 90,000 and 92,000.
The 50-day moving average, which had previously been acting as dynamic support, has been lost, signaling increased bearish momentum. Volume has spiked, confirming the strength of the breakdown and indicating that sellers are in control for now.
If Bitcoin finds support near the 90,000–92,000 zone, a bounce could occur, but any recovery would face resistance at 99,860, which may now act as a ceiling. Bulls will need to reclaim this level to shift momentum back in their favor. Failure to hold the current support zone could lead to further downside, potentially testing levels closer to 85,000.
Traders should remain cautious, as the breakdown invalidates the previous bullish structure, and the market is showing increased volatility. Watching for a strong reaction at the current support zone will be critical to determine the next direction.
$BTC: Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions ...CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions and Strategy
1. Flash Crash Precision:
The drop nailed the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s main range to the T. I’m kicking myself for not having any orders at $91K– GETTEX:92K , but it is what it is.
Spot top-up at $99K → Triggered.
Low leverage from GETTEX:97K → Triggered.
Normal leverage from $95K → Triggered.
Tough call ahead—hold or cut amid ongoing chaos? With macro still in flux, politicians are holding the dice. But I’m keeping these positions—here’s why.
2. DXY Rejection at 109.9:
The Dollar Index (DXY) spiked to 109.9, got slapped down, and is now falling.
My key pivot 109.4 is the level to watch—it’s currently below at 109.11.
If it reclaims 109.4, I’ll reduce BTC leverage or take a defensive cut before losses snowball. Tight TA and instant reaction time are a must this week.
3. Liquidation Wipeout & Market Incentives:
Huge liquidations swept the board on the way down.
No major liquidity pools left until the mid-$80Ks.
But Mr. Market Maker has every reason to squeeze the shorts—the logical move would be a push above $106K to annihilate them.
4. A Headline-Driven Market:
Right now, breaking news dictates price action.
Imagine China retaliating with tariffs—instant bloodbath.
That liquidity sitting below $85K would become the market’s next chew toy.
All in all: how I see it, in a nutshell:
Mad times. Money can be made, but positioning and reaction speed are being tested like never before. 💙👽
BTCUSD Textbook but bad for LongsAccording to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect.
If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH.
Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again.
Turbulent times ahead...
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT crypto currency 💲 crypto Traders BTC
USD ready for. A New. ATH that month Technical patterns support and Resistance level 🎚️ Look good bullish trend 📈 114k don't dare qt Hit but soon 🔜😁
Key Resistance level 106k + 107k + 109k + 114k
Key Support level 97222 - 94219 - 92105 - 89219
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
