Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave โ4โ (104,000).
But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave โ5โ, after which we can expect a deeper correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD: 1M turned overbought and that's not alarming at all! Bitcoin has turned bullish even on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 70.030, MACD = 16,156.720, ADX = 38.100) but that's not a reason to expect any strong corrections as this is the part were it technically rises more during Bull Cycles. The basic structure of the Cycle is an Ascending Triangle which breaks when the parabolic rallies begin. Based on the ratio of the last two Cycles, the new rally should be around +130% from the top of the Ascending Triandle. That gives a $160,000 fair estimate as far as the Cycle top is concerned.
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Gold Surges, Euro Plunges, BTC at RiskOn May 23rd's U.S. session, Trump's EU/Apple tariff plans sparked market chaos:
Gold surged ๐ฅ as a safe haven.
The euro plunged on EU tariff fears.
If tariffs persist, capital may flood into gold/forex, likely triggering a BTC crash.
โกโกโก BTCUSD โกโกโก
๐ Sell@109500 - 108500
๐ T P 106500 - 104500
๐Accurate signals are updated every day ๐ If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide ๐งญ Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you ๐
Minor advantage on the bullish sideMorning folks,
So, downside AB-CD action is started as we suggested. But, it is very slow and going heavy. Appearing of triangle shape here and early signs of bullish dynamic pressure on daily chart turns the balance slightly on the bullish side.
Still, we do not have yet any clear patterns that makes us sure. So, if you're conservative - it would be better to wait a bit. If you still want to buy inside the triangle - it would be better to place initial stop below OP target, just not to be washed out occasionally, if AB=CD will be completed. Because it doesn't break the bullish context but could give us "222' Buy instead.
BTCUSD-Can Buyers Push Price to 130,000 USD?Currently, BTCUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries.
Price has broken through a key resistance area and may now return to retest this zone as support. This area also coincides with the coin cluster from the recent volatility, and therefore, it deserves particular attention. If this support zone holds, I believe it will reinforce the current bullish structure and open up the possibility of moving toward the 130,000 USD level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a reasonable target based on current price action and market structure.
As long as price holds above this support zone, I maintain a positive outlook. However, if price breaks below, the bullish scenario will no longer be valid, and the risk of a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel will increase.
BTC May 2025 Bullish macro view BTC has hit the recent target area and made a higher high confirming the bullish trend.
Price is currently retracing slightly.
RSI peaked at 77 so not as high as last years high in March. This could still mark a local high as we've seen such a heated pump from btc, so pattern wise wouldn't surprise if BTC does a bit of consolidation downwards gathering steam for the next leg up.
A few scenarios present themselves in my eyes here:
1. Green path has price retracing to test the POC at approx. 103k after which price continues on to the upside where we wait for RSI to reach a similar peak to March last year. Projection here is around 133k.
2. Yellow path which sees price do a 50% retrace quite quickly with the first target being liquidity around the 100k level and ultimately 93k. Projection after this retrace is around 133k.
3. Red path which has a protracted retrace lasting 2 months ending approx. end of July. Target here would be a 50% retrace level around 92-93k which also has confluence with the major ascending channel that btc has been following. Projection after this retrace would then be approx. 140k area.
#3 could see a possible "alt season" provided BTC price does not retrace too much in a single drop, but does so with decent recoveries allowing alts to climb... i.e. profit taking in btc is then transferred to buy into alts.
A drop below the 50% fib level at 93k would indicate weakness, and I would look to preserve capital is this plays out. Should this play out, I would plan for a revisit to the 73k area.
Bitcoin: Pizza Day ATHLast week was the celebration of the so-called Pizza Day, which represents an anniversary for the crypto community, as on this day the first bitcoin purchase transaction. This year, the anniversary was additionally celebrated as BTC managed to reach a fresh, new all time highest level at $111.636. Indeed, BTC holders had a day to celebrate.
Although the week started modestly above the $102K level, BTC swiftly turned to the upside, reaching its new ATH. The coin reverted a bit as of the weekend, but still manages to hold above the $108K during weekend trading. For the last two weeks RSI is moving in a highly overbought market side, indicating that the reversal might come soon. However, during periods of high market demand, the movement in the overbought period might be extended for a longer period of time. The MA50 crossed the MA200 from the downside, indicating a formation called โgolden crossโ in technical analysis, meaning higher potential for the trend change.
BTC reached a new milestone. Considering strong demand during the last two weeks, the price of BTC might hold at higher levels for some time. On the opposite side, the profit-taking might modestly impact the short term reversal. As per current charts, there is some probability for the levels around the $105K. However, if demand continues to hold, the BTC might also try to break the current ATH. Both scenarios currently have equal chances for occurrence.
BTC LONG TP:110,000 29-05-2025๐ TradingView Post:
๐ LONG Setup Activated
Entry between 105,400 and 106,000, targeting 109,500โ110,500 on the 2H timeframe.
Estimated duration: 30 hours โณ
Weโre looking at a fake Head and Shoulders โ a trap setup with bullish reversal potential.
This kind of move shakes weak hands before launching.
If the price doesnโt play out within the timeframe, the setup is invalid.
We donโt use indicators, weโre not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes โ I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
Intraday scenariosMorning folks,
Now we do not see yet any background for a "big game". Market needs time to manifest the next step. We said previously that it might be either direct upside action or big reverse H&S on weekly chart.
Now it is too few time passed to understand this. On a daily chart we have bearish context and engulfing pattern. So all that we have for Mon-Tue is an intraday downside AB=CD setup with ~104 and 101K targets.
Bearish divergence identified. ๐ Bearish Divergence Identified
๐ Element Observation
Price Action Price made higher highs (local swing tops increasing slightly).
RSI (bottom) RSI made lower highs (momentum decreasing).
Type Regular bearish divergence โ a classic early warning of weakening trend.
๐ง Interpretation
This type of divergence often signals that:
Bullish momentum is fading, even though price continues to rise.
A short-term correction or reversal is likely, especially when divergence occurs near resistance.
Your highlighted short zone (red box) near $109,078โ109,399 aligns with this perfectly.
๐ฃ Context Favoring Short Bias:
Factor Status
RSI Divergence โ
Bearish (momentum weakening)
Price Structure โ
Lower high forming
EMAs โ
Rolling over / flattening
Rejection Zone (Pink Box) โ
Price failing to hold above
Key Support Below โ
$108,061 โ 107,830 region
๐ Summary
Bias Short-term Bearish ๐
Reason Bearish divergence + lower high + resistance
Target $108,061 (minor support) โ $107,830 (key level)
Invalidation Break above $109,400 and hold
BTC in Bullish Channel โ Another HH Coming ?Bitcoin continues to respect this ascending channel with clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Every breakout has followed consolidation and pullback patterns. RSI is neutral a breakout above $110K+ could confirm the next HH.
Watching for a move toward the top of the channel... or a deeper HL retest?
What's your take?
BTC Breakdown: Weak Momentum Signals Potential ReversalBitcoin Market Breakdown ๐ง ๐
BTC formed a range/liquidity zone (Accumulation Area) before making a strong move to the upside. Now, it's showing signs of weakness:
๐ธ Distribution Range forming
๐ธ Failure to make a higher high
๐ธ Low volume on recent pushes
๐ธ Bearish RSI divergence
These are classic signs of a potential sell-off brewing.
๐Trade Setup:
โข Entry: 109,775
โข Take Profit: 106,729
โข Stop Loss: 110,331
โ ๏ธ Manage your risk. This setup aims to capitalize on a downside move following possible distribution
BTC Short Setup โ Liquidity Hunt Before the Meltdown?Price is climbing back into a key supply zone around $109.2Kโ$109.5K, lining up with the 61.8%โ78.6% Fib retracement from the last dump. This zone also holds unmitigated imbalance โ a prime spot for smart money to strike before the next leg down.
๐ Plan of Attack:
Expecting a liquidity sweep above recent highs
Watching for rejection or bearish confirmation in the zone (lower timeframe BOS, engulfing, etc.)
Targeting $102Kโ$103K range
SL just above the wick zone highs
๐ฏ This setup has clean structure, juicy RR, and clear invalidation. All we need now is for BTC to do its usual trick: fake the breakout, trap the buyers, and nuke.
Letโs see if we get the reaction โ no FOMO, no guesswork. Let price come to us.
BTC in Bearish Wedge _ Breakdown or Bonus at Demand Zone?๐ Technical Breakdown:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a *bearish wedge pattern* on the 1H timeframe. Price action is compressing, indicating a potential breakout soon.
โ *Bearish Bias:*
If the rising support breaks down, we expect a move toward the *103,000โ102,000 support zone*, which has previously acted as strong demand.
๐ *RSI* is trending lower, showing weakening momentum.
๐ *MACD* crossover favors sellers (if applicable).
๐ Watch for reaction in the *reversal zone* to assess bounce or continuation.
---
๐ *Key Levels:*
- Resistance: 108,800 โ 109,200
- Support Zone: 103,000 โ 102,000
- Reversal Area: 102,000 โ 101,800
---
๐ *Trade Plan:*
- Bearish bias below wedge
- Neutral bias inside wedge
- Bullish if price breaks and holds above wedge top
---
๐ฌ Let me know your thoughts below.
๐ Like, Comment & Follow for more clean setups!
---
๐This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin Eyes Recovery with $1010K Target Amid ConsolidationPhaseThis updated 45-minute BTC/USD chart by EleanorEmilyFx on TradingView (May 25, 2025) shows Bitcoin trading around $107,261 following a period of sideways movement. After a steady downtrend within a clearly defined range, a bullish breakout is anticipated with a projected target of $101,000. The red resistance cloud is being tested, and a successful breakout could trigger short-term upside momentum. Price remains bounded between key support near $104K and resistance around $112K, offering a favorable risk-reward setup for traders eyeing the $1010K level.
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: LEVELS LOOKOUT!If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
BTC on Watch: Short-Term Levels That May Show the Marketโs Hand
#Bitcoin is hovering around all-time highs, but traders should be on high alert. Thereโs a visible level just beneath price thatโs acting as the current line in the sand.
What to Look At
Rather than overanalyze, just focus on the chart. A clean level around $100k is marked โ if that gives way, it may not just be a smaller degree pullback on news. It could be the start of something more revealing and deeper.
What Comes Next?
If price breaks that 107k zone, watch what the market prints in response. Does it flush impulsively? Does it grind? Those reactions will show intent โ and possibly confirm or deny a larger corrective wave unfolding.
Outlook
Weโre not guessing the future โ weโre waiting to observe the marketโs decision point. Eyes on that level. If it breaks, the chart will speak louder than words.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
BTC eyes on 104/105k: Near term retrace target that MUST hold Follow up to my bigger picture idea below.
We are retracing from the Genesis fib at 111.7k
It looks like to retest support below at 104/105k
Bulls MUST hold support or "top" will be the word.
.
BTC Big Picture that said WATCH OUT at 111.7k:
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