Break-Out Bros vs. Range Followers – will BTC rip?Bitcoin just kissed the channel roof at 109–110 k. Same line has stuffed every rally since April, so 112 k on a daily close is the whole story: print it and we leave the dungeon.
Under the hood the bulls finally have ammo – price back above the 50-day, bands squeezed, volume upticking, RSI mid-50s. Enough spark to torch shorts if resistance snaps.
Range Followers aren’t sweating. Their cash machine is simple: dump 110 k, scoop 100 k. Holiday liquidity = fake-out heaven. Slip under 105 k and gravity drags us straight to that comfy demand couch.
So it’s binary: close over 112 k, momentum fires toward 118 k; fail, and we ping-pong in the box again. Pick a side, slap on a stop, and remember: Bitcoin’s favourite sport is humiliating whichever crowd screams loudest.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - What's Next for for BTC?🎯 KEY LEVELS DECODED
🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT: $102,800 - $103,200
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NEUTRAL STRATEGY:
Buy Zone: $102,800 - $102,600
Sell Zone: $110,000 - $112,000
Stop Loss: $100,500 (range breakdown)
Target: Opposite end of range
Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio
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🎢 SCENARIO : (Probability: 35%)
If BTC consolidates between $102K-$108K :
Range-bound trading for 2-3 weeks
Accumulation phase before next major move
Key levels: Buy $102K, Sell $110K
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🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER 🛡️ DYOR
BTCUSD – Long Setup (2H Chart)👆👆🚀🚀Boost it if you like it (Thanks)🚀🚀👆👆
Idea:
Bitcoin is breaking out above the descending Flag after testing the upper boundary multiple times, showing bullish momentum confirmed by price holding above the 15 EMA and 50 EMA. The breakout aligns with strong impulse candles and sustained buying pressure.
Entry:
✅ Buy near $110,000
Stop Loss:
🔴 Below $108,500, under the breakout structure to protect against a false breakout.
Take Profit:
🟢 Tp1 $111,245
🟢 Tp2 $112,600
Rationale:
Clear breakout of the channel top resistance.
Bullish EMAs crossover with sustained slope.
Strong impulse move suggesting continuation.
Risk Management:
Position size accordingly, max risk 1–2% capital per trade.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #Breakout #LongSignal #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Btc / UsdtBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1. **Current Price Zone (\~108,000):**
* Price is consolidating just under a supply zone (red rectangle), showing potential rejection from the upside.
* The price briefly pushed above the rising trendline but failed to hold it.
2. **Bearish Structure Forming:**
* Price action suggests a **lower high** and potential **head-and-shoulders** pattern.
* Red squiggle indicates a likely **short-term bearish movement** — a drop to the **demand zone** around **105,700–106,900**.
3. **Demand Zone/Order Block:**
* Marked below near **105,741** with label **"Order"**, showing where potential buy orders may sit.
* This is the first major area where price might find support.
4. **Downside Levels:**
* **106,933** and **105,741**: Potential short-term supports.
* **98,332 (Weekly level)**: If the structure breaks fully, price could revisit this major demand zone.
5. **Upside Resistance:**
* **Red supply zone above 109,000** acts as strong resistance — if BTC breaks that with volume, bullish bias resumes.
---
### 📉 **Short-Term Bias:**
* **Bearish** unless BTC breaks and holds above **109,000**.
* Expecting a pullback toward **106.9k** or **105.7k**, which may offer **buy-the-dip** opportunities.
Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice
Bitcoin Running Out Of TIME.Bulls are doing a nice job at holding price in a tight range but are running out of TIME from the 1hr and 4hrs TF's pov while the Daily still needs a few days more to complete its setup for its next burst.
As long as Bitcoin stays within that $106k - $110k range soon we will be testing the ATHs which it should it done by now but its playing a little bit lazy.
Bitcoin still has like 26 1hr bullish candles of TIME to go as high as it can before the next drop take place and that drop will be the one that can put and danger the uptrend direction again so the higher the drop starts the less damage to the trend bears will do.
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen cause Bitcoin will get wild again.
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next?
📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
🎯Entry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high
🎯 Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement)
🧠 Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
💡 Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Longer: Clear Blue Skies for Wave 3 of 5As I explained in this video, I believe that we are currently in a wave 3 of 5 for Bitcoin and we should be breaching new highs as we have an undergoing wave 3. However, take note that the risk-reward is not good to go long. So I would recommend holding if you already have a position but to be very cautious if you are thinking of initiating a new long position.
The stop loss is $109,700. The near-term take profit is $113,923 before a potential pull back and then up to $115,000.
Good luck!
BTCUSD Bullish resistance breakoutThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 104,890 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 104,890 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
110.780 – initial resistance
113.140 – psychological and structural level
115,760 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 104,890 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
103,500 – minor support
102,290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 104,890. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$BTC Elliot Wave Analysis - Weekend Update 7/9Hello fellow degenerates,
As we get ready for this new trading week, I am presenting to yall the 3 scenarios that I am looking for on Bitcoin.
- For scenario 1, we need a break above 110.4k to target the 126k-122k range.
- For scenario 2, we still need to complete our Wave 2, by retracing towards 103k. After that, we should see a reversal targeting 128k -123k
- The last scenario is based on the idea that we're failing to breakout from the parallel channel we currently have. We could see price traveling towards 98k - 90k range if we have a strong rejection of 110k and a break of our support levels.
- Levels to watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k
Bitcoin ConsolidatingBitcoin continues to hold strong just below resistance at $112K after a clean reclaim of the $105,787 support zone and the 50-day moving average. Price is consolidating in a tight range, printing higher lows and showing signs of strength as it flirts with a potential breakout.
Volume has tapered off slightly during this sideways action, which is typical in a coiling pattern before a move. If bulls can finally push through $112K with conviction, we’re likely headed for a fresh leg higher. On the flip side, a drop back below the 50 MA and $105K would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Until then, it’s just a waiting game inside this range – but the bias leans bullish.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Showing Pressure, Breakout Incoming?Bitcoin is hovering near the local ATH area for the third time already since the first touch, which happened in the middle of May.
As we are approaching this area again, we are looking for a potential breakout to happen from here, which would give us an opportunity for a long position until $120K, so what we are looking for is full dominance from buyers at the current region.
Buyers have to take control and secure that zone!
Swallow Academy
BTC moving higher, 140K not that crazyIf you're looking to short BTC around the 110K range thinking "oh yeah, this is the fourth or so time its been at 110, I'll make a quick buck".. don't. This is looking very different.
BTC has already broken out of its current resistance channel and its now acting as support. You can see its bounced off of support once and its hovering around there again.
All that BTC needs to do it do a small move up past its ATH and it's off to the races.
If the bull flag pattern holds true the move could go as high as $140k.
SYMMETRYHey traders, hope you’re crushing it this week! 🚀 Quick note on our BTC/USD 4-hour ABC setup: the symmetry I’m talking about is purely price-based—AB and BC move roughly the same number of ticks, not the same amount of time.
So when we say “symmetry,” we mean:
A→B drop: ~3,670 ticks
B→C rally: ~3,427 ticks
That close price match gives us confidence in our PCZ at 107,600–107,300 (78.6%–100% retrace of B→C).
⚔️ Trade Plan Recap
Entry: Long between 107,300–107,600
Stop: Below 107,000 (keeps risk tight)
Targets:
Zone 1: 61.8–78.6% of B→C → 110,657–111,569
Zone 2: 127.2–161.8% extension of A→B → 114,206–116,084
Remember: look for that bullish pin-bar or engulfing candle down in our PCZ before pulling the trigger, and bail if we lose 107,000. No time-based symmetry here—just clean price alignment. Trade with structure, not emotion, and keep an eye on any macro or on-chain news for extra context. ✌️
Bitcoin can turn around from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price previously broke above the support line and made a strong bullish move from the buyer zone (99300–100500 points). After the breakout, the price started rising steadily and is now approaching the Seller Zone (108500–109500), which also coincides with the resistance line of the downward channel. This area has shown strong bearish pressure in the past. Every time the price entered this zone, it quickly reversed. It’s a key area where many traders seek short-term opportunities. Currently, price is just entering this zone again and showing early signs of weakening momentum. Given the channel's structure, past price behavior near this resistance level, and the presence of the seller zone, I expect BTCUSD to turn around soon. Once the price rejects this level, I anticipate a reversal and a move back into the channel, continuing the downward trajectory. My first target is set at 103000 points, near the center of the range and above the support level (100500). This area has been tested multiple times before and may act as a strong buffer again. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
btcusd🚀 What's Next for #Bitcoin? Time’s Ticking...
Frankly, time is running out for Bitcoin to give us that final explosive leg we’ve been waiting for—the one that could take us to $145K before a correction in September, and ultimately reach $165K in early November, driven by pure FOMO.
But right now, what truly matters is the chart, and the chart is speaking loud and clear:
👉 If today's daily close holds above $107,500, and we see a dip to the $105,600 zone tomorrow or Wednesday, that could be the perfect setup to fuel the fire for an epic rally. We're talking about a run toward $112,000 and a breakout to new ATHs.
📈 Let’s be clear: If Bitcoin doesn’t close below $107,500 today, we could skip the dip entirely and go straight up. The bullish trend would remain fully intact, and I’ll be there—waiting for daddy Bitcoin to make its move.
Stay ready. This could get wild. 🧨
$BTCUSD Trade Setup – Rejection at Channel Highs or BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a key decision point at the top of its descending channel. After bouncing off $100K support and reclaiming the midline, price is now pressing against the upper trendline near $112K. The MACD has just flipped bullish, and momentum is turning upward. However, BTC has repeatedly failed at this level over the last two months, forming a clear resistance zone.
This trade is structured as a short from resistance with tight invalidation above $112K. The setup offers a favorable risk/reward if this rejection holds and BTC pulls back to the $97K–$98K zone.
Entry: ~$108K
Stop: ~$112K (channel breakout)
Target: ~$97.5K (lower channel support)
If BTC breaks and holds above $112K, that would invalidate the short thesis and likely flip the structure toward a full breakout scenario.
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it.
Support zone in the consolidation
A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000.
4H FVG
There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it.
Upside potential
On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond.
Downside risk
The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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