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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin May 13, 20251. Trend Overview (Short- to Mid-Term) • Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend, supported by the steep rise from ~84,000 to over 104,000. • The price is currently in a consolidation zone near recent highs, indicating indecision but not yet weakness. • The price is above all major moving averages (9 EMA, 20 SMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA) — a classic bullish structure. • However, the sharp angle of the short-term trendline shows the rally may be overextended and vulnerable to a pullback. ⸻ 2. Price Action & Candle Pattern • The recent small-bodied candles with long upper wicks show buying pressure weakening near 104,000 — a common sign of exhaustion or distribution. • No strong bullish engulfing or reversal candles yet — currently a neutral-to-cautious stance. ⸻ 3. Volume Analysis • Volume has decreased during this sideways movement. • This hints at buyer fatigue or waiting for a catalyst. • Volume spikes were mostly seen on bullish candles earlier, showing strong buying interest earlier in the rally, but less so now. 4. Key Technical Levels Resistance 104,000 Multiple rejections here; breakout level for bullish continuation Support 102,100–102,800 Confluence of 9 EMA and rising trendline — make-or-break zone Support 100,000 Psychological round number + recent base Support 98,600 20 SMA support — deeper correction zone if trend breaks ⸻ 5. Pattern and Risk Assessment • A rising wedge pattern appears to be forming — typically bearish if confirmed. • The uptrend is intact, but: • A close below 102,100 on higher volume could trigger a short-term pullback toward 100,000 or 98,600. • A close above 104,000 with volume would confirm bullish continuation. ⸻ Overall Conclusion Bitcoin remains technically bullish, but it’s now at a critical decision point: • As long as price stays above the 102,100–102,800 zone, bulls are in control. • Watch volume closely — low volume favors pullback; high-volume breakout above 104,000 favors another leg higher. • A rising wedge + weakening volume implies caution — partial profit-taking or tight stop-losses would be prudent for short-term traders.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by sbs
Dogecoin is ready to blast off!A lot of people have no idea just how big the Dogecoin pump could be. We’ve seen a massive, multi-year accumulation pattern—very similar to what happened before explosive moves in assets like Tesla and Bitcoin. I believe this quiet phase is about to end, and Dogecoin could soon break out in a huge way. This could send DOGE soaring to a new all-time high and ignite a powerful bull market. As always, stay profitable. – Dalin Anderson
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by High_Altitude_Investing
Bitcoin: again above $100KThe FOMC meeting held during the previous week brought back at least some level of confidence on financial markets. This time, the increased positive sentiment was reflected also on the crypto market, and its major coin, BTC. Increased demand for riskier assets brought back BTC to levels above the $100K. This coin is ending the week at levels above the $103K. As of the end of the week, the RSI reached the level of 76, which is treated as highly overbought market side in technical analysis. The moving average of 50 days continues to converge toward the MA200, indicating a potential for another cross in the coming period. Just as a reminder, at the beginning of April, the two lines made the so-called “dead cross”, swiftly after, the trend changed to the upside. Investors' confidence is back on the market, however, it should be considered that US-China trade negotiations are expected to start soon, which would most certainly bring back some higher volatility and nervousness among market participants. On a longer scale of time, BTC will most certainly seek the way to test its current ATH and even to make the new ones. However, on a shorter time scale, this road will be marked with ups and downs. The current $103K level will be tested at the start of the week. Some short term reversal is quite possible, at least to the level of current support line at $100K. A move toward the higher grounds is also possible, to some extent, however, at this moment, it should not be expected to be a significant one.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
1
BTCUSD 15M | Order Block Slam + Channel Break | 1:4+ RRR Setup🧠 BTC/USD Breakdown — Smart Money Style | May 17, 2025 This one’s textbook bearish premium reaction — the kind of move that wipes out late buyers and fills institutional orders. Let’s zoom into this juicy setup ⬇️ 🧩 1. Smart Money Context Price climbs inside a rising wedge structure Enters premium zone and taps a defined 🔮 Order Block (OB) OB rejection confirmed with: Liquidity grab Bearish engulfing Channel break 🚨 🎯 2. Trade Details Entry: 103,500 – 103,800 (OB zone) SL: 103,850 TP Zones: TP1: 103,000 (OB base) TP2: 102,500 TP3: 101,420.70 (full breakdown completion + imbalance fill) Risk-to-reward: 1:3 to 1:4.5+ depending on your exit style. 🔍 3. Why This Setup Works Order Block marks institutional selling zone Liquidity sweep triggers false breakout trap Channel break with volume confirms momentum shift Final candle closes with strength — this ain’t no fakeout This is how smart money loads up and leaves retail chasing ghosts 👻 📉 Missed the initial entry? Watch for a pullback to the OB for a possible second chance! 🔥 Final Note: The weekend price action often moves erratic, but this setup shows institutional control — wait for confirmation and let price do the heavy lifting 🧘‍♂️ 💬 Drop your thoughts: bullish retest or straight dump incoming? 📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for clean, no-BS smart money analysis every day!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
BTC Re - Entry - Eyes locked on Them 30M HighsPrice came back lookin' too good to ignore - clean reaction off my 100.00 Fib, tucked just below the IDM zone. That 5M order block gave me the nod, and I didn't hesitate. Re-entered with full intent: this ain't a gamble, it's precision. Structure still bullish, liquidity aboce them 30M hghs is callin'. I'm just walkin' price to the money. Let's see is BTC plays out how she whispered she would. #SMC #BTCUSD #PriceAction #OrderBlock #LiquidityRun #FibMastery #5MEntry #30MTarget
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Juicemannn
BTCUSD - Bearish Rejection Below Resistance | Targeting 95KBitcoin is currently facing strong resistance at $104,833, just below the invalidation level at $106,486. Price action suggests a potential rejection or distribution pattern forming near this resistance zone. A break below recent local support could trigger a move toward the next key support level at $95,371, representing a significant retracement area from the recent uptrend. --- Trade Idea: Entry: After confirmation of rejection below $104,800 Target: $95,371 Invalidation: Sustained breakout above $106,486 This setup favors bears in the short term, as long as price remains below the invalidation zone. --- > Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDShort
by Forex_Int
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities. 🧱 Structure Breakdown Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800). This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum. Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel. Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish. 🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now After the breakdown: Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle). This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short. The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation. 🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias) Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point) Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry. 📊 Additional Technical Confluences Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility. Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility. Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish. RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest. 📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance 101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance. The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely. Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions. ⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation. Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs. Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance. News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts. 🧵 Conclusion Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets. ✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle - 109K or 98K You are looking at a 100% perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle Widest vertical range of the triangle from Top wick: ~$105,700 Bottom wick: ~$100,700 Height = $5,000 Breakout level (horizontal mid-point of triangle): Roughly $103,500 -104,000 Bullish Breakout Target: $103,500 + $5,000 = $108,500 $104,00 + $5,000 = $109.000 108.5 to 109K will be your pure pattern target if BTC breaks to the upside with volume. Bearish Breakdown Target: GETTEX:98K FOR FUN I ASK CHAT GPT WHAT ARE THE ODDS WE BREAKOUT Break Direction Target Confidence Up (likely) $109,000 60–70% Down (less likely) $98,000 10–15%
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dogdaddevan
Decision Point at Major Trendline 📊🚀 Bitcoin Today: Decision Point at Major Trendline ⚡📈 Hey Traders! Bitcoin is once again at a critical decision point. The price is currently holding above the key ascending trendline around 101,970, and the market is giving us a clear message: Hold and Bounce... or Break and Drop. If BTC can sustain above this trendline, we maintain a bullish bias with a 70% probability 📈 of reaching our first major target at 105,962. Break that, and the path to 113,000 opens up nicely! However, stay vigilant! A confirmed break below 101,970 could invalidate the bullish setup and expose lower targets around 99,985 and 97,770. 📅 The next few candles will be decisive—perfect time to practice patience and disciplined entries. Let’s see if BTC can hold the line and give us that bullish continuation we’re waiting for! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
May 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There is no separate indicator announcement today. The 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress. The blue finger is short->long or if it goes down right away, the purple finger is a long waiting strategy. Since the morning, the blind decline has been in progress, and the short-term pattern is broken. The bottom section is about 6+12 sections, and it is today's major support line. I applied it to Bitcoin as it is. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. It is being adjusted strongly as it is coupled with Nasdaq. Based on Tether dominance, If the current low is broken, It is a position where it can be pushed strongly. * When the red finger moves, It is a one-way long position strategy. 1. 102,192.1 USD long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken 2. 104,866.1 USD long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target The 1st section of the purple finger at the top Is the best short position entry section of the day. If it does not touch, it will fall vertically, So if it goes down right away without touching the 1st section It can be pushed to the bottom -> 2. The danger signal has passed, but the problem is when it couples with Nasdaq. The 2nd section at the very bottom is the 12+ daily support section, and will be today's major support line. Last week, many people pressed the booster, so I'm leaving it as a public post today as well. Up to this point, I ask that you use my analysis for reference and use only, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and loss cuts. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BTC still consolidates within a rangeIf you were like me, you got a little dose of hopium after BTC closed above last week's resistance around $105k. Nonetheless, resistance was expected from $105k - $108k with price starting the week with a bearish engulfing candle, currently trading around $103.1k. We will have to see if last week's support around $101.5k holds. If the price continues with bullish momentum and does something like the period from 22 Apr - 6 May, a successful bull flag breakout could take BTC to $115k. If support is lost, we could see retests of previous levels as low as $94.5k. However, my guess would be a test of $97.5k before going higher, creating a HHHL market structure.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RayneOnChain