BTCUSD: Hasn't gone parabolic yet.Bitcoin is just now re-entering the bullish state on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.820, MACD = 291.960, ADX = 15.180), being correcting/consolidating in the past 30 days. According to the Mayer Multiple Bands, it's stil inside the range (upper band) of the 1 Stdev Below-Mean-1 Stdev Above (yellow range). This suggest significant upside potential as being roughly 19 weeks before the Cycle tops, it matches the late June 2021 bottom inside that zone as well as the July 2017 bottom just over the top of that zone. The orange trendline has been the minimum target on every Cycle but looks unlikely to hit it by the end of the year. If however it goes parabolic as all Cycles had at this stage, $200,000 isn't at all far fetched before the Cycle tops.
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BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin is bullish again!Bitcoin’s been on a wild ride lately!
After crashing down from its all-time highs earlier this year, it’s suddenly bounced back and shot up again over the last few weeks. Here’s what’s really going on, in plain English:
First off, a lot of this has to do with what’s happening in the broader economy and politics. The US dollar has gotten weaker recently, especially after Trump started criticizing the Federal Reserve and pushing for interest rate cuts.
When the dollar drops or there’s drama around central banks, people start looking for alternatives, and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is like the go-to “digital gold” for a lot of investors these days.
There’s also been a ton of money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs (those are investment funds that directly hold Bitcoin), especially from big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. These huge inflows mean more demand, but since there’s only so much Bitcoin out there, the price gets pushed up even more.
Another big reason is the recent Bitcoin “halving,” which happened about a year ago. Basically, every four years, the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half, so fewer new coins are created. This makes Bitcoin even scarcer , and historically, prices have always jumped in the months after a halving event. As we said in previous ideas BTC could be near USD 200k this summer.
On top of that, there’s been some good news about trade relations between the US and China, which has made investors more optimistic and willing to take risks again. When people feel better about the global economy, they’re more likely to put money into things like crypto.
Technical confirmations
Bouncing in the previous 2024 highs is really good for Bitcoin, people was ready to buy a lot of BTC in the right price and after that a lot of inflows moved the price over the blue trendline meaning that this small downtrend is over.
Bitcoin is volatile, so this kind of movements are ideal to make money or invest in a discount. If the price moves below the support line, then I recommend to stay away of BTC because there could be a free fall...
So, to sum it up: weaker dollar, big institutional buying, post-halving scarcity, better vibes around global trade, and people running from stock market chaos—all of that has pushed Bitcoin back up after its recent dip. Who knows how long it’ll last, but right now, crypto’s hot again!
BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 108,836.36
1st Support: 103,622.00
1st Resistance: 112,088.89
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BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began.
While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case:
The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry.
The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K.
RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence.
Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment.
Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend.
Short Setup Thesis
Entry Zone:
109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply)
Stop Loss Zone:
Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup)
Target Zones:
TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area)
TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf)
TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone)
Break Trigger / Confirmation:
A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
BTCUSD - Weekly Bullish Momentum Targeting $115K, Eyeing $137KI'm currently observing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin, trading at $107,305 at the time of writing. The current weekly candle shows aggressive buying pressure, and if this momentum sustains through the close, we could see a continuation toward the $115,200 level.
There’s visible liquidity and unfilled price action around $109,500, which I expect to be taken out as price moves upward. Once cleared, Bitcoin could either:
1. Continue straight to \$115K+, or
2. Briefly retrace before resuming the uptrend.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, BTC previously pulled back to the 38.2% level ~$76,000 before launching into the current leg up, a classic continuation signal within an uptrend.
Given the current price action and historical behavior, I’m targeting the following levels:
Short-term target: $115,200
Long-term target (multi-month): $137,200-$137,300
Stop loss and entry would depend on the timeframe of execution, but from a weekly structure, invalidation would occur if BTC breaks below the last major higher low around $98,000-$96,000.
Let’s see how this weekly candle closes. If the momentum holds, the next leg could already be unfolding.
BTC WILL PLAY THIS BOXES
### 🔴 **Bearish Order Blocks (Resistance Zones)**:
These are likely areas where price previously faced selling pressure and may again.
1. **Zone 1 (Lowest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~108,300 – 108,800
🔹 Price is currently reacting at this zone.
🔹 If price fails to break and close above this zone with volume, expect a short-term rejection.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~109,65,0 – 110,000
🔹 If price breaks above Zone 1, this becomes the next target/resistance.
3. **Zone 3 (Highest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~110,500 – 111,500
🔹 Strongest resistance in this chart. If price reaches here, high chance of reversal unless strong momentum continues.
---
### 🔵 **Bullish Order Blocks (Support Zones)**:
These are previous demand areas where buyers stepped in.
1. **Zone 1 (Highest Blue OB)**
📍 Range: \~106,900 – 107,600
🔹 Closest support below current price. If price retraces, it may bounce from here.
🔹 Good area for long entries if price gives bullish confirmation.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~105,800 – 106,500
🔹 Stronger support zone; last defense before potential further downside.
🔹 Matches with yellow price marker (105,998.9), possibly a key liquidity level.
---
### 🧠 **Trade Idea Suggestion** (Based on your OB strategy):
#### ✅ **Bullish Scenario**:
* Break & close above 108,800 (top of current red OB) with volume → Look for retest to go **long**.
BTC STEADIES ON CEASEFIRE AND CORPORATE DEMANDBitcoin held steady on Thursday, supported by improving risk sentiment as the Middle East ceasefire continued to hold, calming broader market fears. Despite the stability, BTC remained confined within its recent trading range, reflecting a cautious tone among traders. In the previous session, Bitcoin rose 0.44% to $108,328, fueled by renewed institutional interest, with reports suggesting a growing number of corporate entities were accumulating BTC as part of their asset diversification strategies.
Adding to the sentiment, U.S. mortgage giants Fannie Mae (OTC:FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTC:FMCC) are reportedly exploring the recognition of cryptocurrency as a valid asset in mortgage applications. While still in early stages, this development hinted at growing mainstream acceptance, offering some limited upside support for Bitcoin.
However, as of 04:47 GMT+4, Bitcoin had given up most of its earlier gains, trading down 0.54% at $107,309, as traders remained hesitant to push prices higher without a strong breakout catalyst and profit taking.
PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
On the 4-hour chart, the initial overall trend was bearish until price broke above the previous lower high, signaling a Break of Structure (BOS). However, as BTC catches its breath with price action and RSI signaling more room to the downside, sellers are eyeing support at $106,263. A break below this level could open the path toward the next potential target around $104,820. On the flip side, if bulls regain control, a break above $108,328 would likely trigger a move toward $109,011, with a potential extension to $110,442. Analysts note that breakouts in either direction remain on the table, given current market volatility.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday | Sellers Taking Over...or Not?Bloody Monday, as many call it, sellers are gaining dominance over the current area, which might send prices back as low as $105,900, where our middle line of BB is sitting.
As of now, we are expecting to see slight downward movement, and once near that middle line, we want to see some buyside volume to accumulate, as if we do not see it, then further movement to lower zones is our play here.
Swallow Academy
BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 108,838.74.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 101,845.14 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC at Critical Resistance… Drop Incoming!Hi traders! Currently analyzing BTCUSD on the 1H timeframe.
Price is reacting to the upper boundary of a descending channel, where sellers are showing strong pressure. This area has previously acted as a significant resistance, pushing price lower multiple times.
I'm now selling from 108,075.19, expecting a bearish move towards my target at the bottom of the channel.
Take Profit: 104,493.63
Stop Loss: 111,891.49
RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence near the resistance area, adding confluence to this setup.
Price may have performed a liquidity grab above the trendline before rejecting the area, which aligns with the current market structure.
I'm actively managing this trade, keeping an eye on how price behaves around this key level.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
BTCUSD – Major Decision Point at The Edge📍 By: MJTrading |||
Bitcoin has rallied sharply from ~$98K and is now testing a critical confluence zone — the top of the descending channel and a strong supply area, known as "The Edge."
EMAs are turning up, supporting bullish momentum
⏳ What’s Next?
At this stage, two scenarios emerge:
⚠️ This is a make-or-break zone:
🟩 Breakout above the channel signals trend reversal → next resistance: $111K
🟨 Rejection leads to a move back to the $103K or $100K levels
This setup offers a high-RR opportunity for both breakout traders and mean reversion players.
🧠 Trade the reaction at the edge, not the prediction.
Thanks for your attention...
Share your thoughts...
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Bitcoin – The 270/100 CycleBitcoin isn’t just trading. It’s pulsing — in cycles that reward those who understand timing as much as price.
Over the last two years, BTC has shown a repeating pattern with surgical precision:
Range Phase:
Each macro consolidation lasts ~220 to 270 days, where price builds structure, absorbs supply, and prepares for its next expansion. This is the quiet phase — the zone where conviction is tested, and weak hands exit.
Impulse Phase:
What follows is a ~100-day vertical leg, where BTC surges between +50% to +80%, targeting the next macro resistance. We’ve seen this repeatedly:
Accumulate → Expand → Re-accumulate → Expand.
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on $107K–$112K ZoneHere's my updated chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe. The price action is currently testing a key zone that could define whether we're heading into the next major leg up, or facing another rejection.
Pattern Breakdown:
- BTC is respecting a bull flag formation after a strong impulse leg earlier this year.
- The $105K level has held as critical support, keeping the bull flag structure intact.
- Price is currently pressing against descending resistance (~$107K) with tightening consolidation indicating an imminent breakout decision.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$105K – holding this level keeps bullish momentum valid.
$101.6K (Bollinger midline)
$100.4K (EMA 100) – must hold for macro trend to stay intact.
Resistance (before $112K):
$107K – major descending trendline resistance.
$110.1K – upper Bollinger Band and recent local high.
$112.45K – key breakout level from the flag. A daily close above this could trigger a sharp rally.
Indicators:
MACD is forming a bullish crossover but lacks strong momentum, watch for a green histogram to confirm.
RSI at ~51 gives BTC room to run, not in overbought territory.
Volume is low, but coiling tight near the apex could spark volatility.
Conclusion:
BTC is at a critical decision point. A clean breakout above $107K, followed by sustained momentum through $110K–$112K, would significantly raise the probability of a confirmed bull flag breakout, with a potential move toward $120K+.
However, the $105K level is a key support that must hold to keep this structure intact.
If we see a daily close below $105K, attention shifts to the $101K level (Bollinger Band midline + 53 SMA).
A close below $101K would invalidate the bull flag entirely, turning this setup into a potential bull trap, and shifting short-term bias bearish.
All eyes are on the $107K–$112K resistance zone for confirmation—or breakdown signals if support levels give way.
BULLISH BITCOINAs we can see we are currently on an uptrend on higher timeframe and price is in daily fvg and has mitigated the bullish order block on daily tf on lower timeframe we have seen liquidity sweep and break of structure and clear inducement provided so we wait for price to tap the ltf orderblock and buy
BTC Setup: 2.7 R:R"Bitcoin Poised for New Uptrend After Bull Flag Breakout Retest"
Bitcoin appears ready to begin a new uptrend after successfully retesting the breakout from a bull flag pattern and completing consolidation above key support.
This setup offers a 2.7:1 risk-to-reward ratio, with the following trade parameters:
Entry: $109,965.79
Stop Loss: $106,300
Target: $120,000
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500
📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000
📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000
📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K.
📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD.
💡 Strategy:
🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000
🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
Bitcoin BTCUSD 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakout Incoming!Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong bullish recovery from the $96,000 zone, holding above $107,000. Price is forming a tight range — a breakout is imminent.
⚡ If BTC breaks above $107,500 with momentum, expect price to target $110,000 and $112,000 short-term.
⚡ If price rejects $107,500 and breaks below $106,500, we could see downside towards $104,000.
⚠️ Watch for volume confirmation before entries. No FOMO.
🚀 Stay ready — breakout traders, your setup is building.
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