BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Break & Retest of ATH Signals Uptrend to $120K?Overview Summary
Bitcoin ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) is retesting a major zone after its breakout above the previous ATH resistance zone of $105K–$107K, a level that previously marked the top of the 2024 cycle before it pulled back to $76K. This chart now shows BTC pulled back from $111K highs, potentially validating a classic "break and retest" pattern and continuation of the overall trend.
Price action is unfolding within a clean ascending uptrend channel structure that has defined the bull trend since late March. With BTC currently testing the upper boundary of this previous major resistance zone ($105K–$107K), this area now acts as the "make-or-break level" for the long awaited bull run.
If buyers continue to hold this level, the market may resume its upward momentum with heavy strength, opening the door to the next leg towards our medium term target of $120K+ as projected by the channel extension. However, a decisive close below $105K would invalidate this near-term structure and suggest deeper consolidation or a sentiment reset.
Key Technical Structure
Major Resistance & Support: $105K–$107K
Trend Channel: Active
Short Term Resistance: $112K
Key Target Zone: $118K–$122K
Invalidation Zone: < $105K
Why This Setup Matters
This is a textbook breakout retest structure, when previous cycle highs are reclaimed and flipped into support, it often sets the stage for rapid continuation. The fact that BTC is pausing here rather than collapsing suggests the market is preparing for this decision.
Break & Retest at this current price zone would:
Reinforce bullish market structure
Invite trend-following buyers and institutions waiting for confirmation
Set up asymmetric long entries targeting $120K
Signal broader strength across the crypto market, likely dragging other cryptos upward
Future Outlook & Trade Setup
If BTC respects the $105K–$107K zone, we anticipate a strong push toward the next major resistance zone between near $120K. Watch for volume and wick rejection to confirm demand.
Trade Plan (If Support Holds)
Entry: < $107K
Short-Term Target: $112K
Long-Term Target: $120K+
Invalidation: Break below $105K
Final Take
Bitcoin is at a pivotal zone where market memory and technical structure converge. If this retest holds, it validates a breakout continuation structure with room to run toward $120K+.
If this zone fails, we expect a deeper retest into $100K–$102K or lower.
Are we seeing UTAD on BTC?Bitcoin has been in ana scending channel for a while but ever since the new all time high, some things make me doubt we see a continuation of the bull trend in the near term.
-Volume has been declining the entire length of the channel
-We saw a bump in volume but the effort didn't match. A lower volume red candle had the same impact on price.
-The new all time high resulted in a third touch of bearish divergence on the MACD. Also the MA's are showing bearishness.
-The RSI fell below the EMA and is now looking like it's resisting breaking through.
We are clearly in a supply zone and all signs point to absorption and distribution taking place.
104k is the next level that will offer any significant support.
Bitcoin at Crucial Supply Zone – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin has now tapped into a major supply zone between $107,543 and $108,586, with today’s high printing at $108,586 before pulling back slightly. This is a significant area of historical resistance as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile and prior price action.
Key Levels:
Current Price: $108,208
Supply Zone: $107,543 - $108,586 (major seller interest)
Support Zones:
$73,419 (previous ATH zone retest)
$37,871 (mid-term demand support)
$29,847 (macro support and possible bottom scenario)
Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bearish Rejection: A rejection from this zone could send BTC back toward the $73,000 area – watch for a breakdown below $106,000 as confirmation.
2. Breakout Rally: If bulls break above $108,600 and sustain, we could see a momentum-driven run toward $120K+ as price discovers new highs.
Macro Note: With upcoming U.S. economic data marked on the calendar, volatility could spike. Traders should prepare for fakeouts and liquidity grabs near these key levels.
My Bias:
Cautiously bearish at this resistance unless we see a clear breakout with volume.
Let me know in the comments:
Are you going short here or waiting for a confirmed breakout?
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
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May 22 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
Where the mid-term pattern is restored
Blue finger short->long switching
Long waiting strategy up to section 1.
I marked the target price section at the top / the support line price at the bottom
I will try to apply it to Bitcoin as is.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 9:30 and 11:00 shortly.
Nasdaq movement + short-term pattern is broken,
and the Tether Dominance short position operation method is applied to Bitcoin, which moves in the opposite direction.
* One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. $109,917.6 long position entry section / When the green support line is broken,
or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price
2. $113,701.9 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target price
Section 1 at the top is the last short position operation section of the day,
and when it breaks through, it can be connected to an upward trend,
so it seems advantageous for beginners to use it as a long waiting strategy in an upward wave.
If you touch the red finger long position entry section first among 1 or 109.9K,
You can go around and rise strongly.
If you succeed in rebounding without breaking the purple support line,
Vertical rise
Movement within the 1st section at the top and 2nd section at the bottom is sideways.
Because it is open from Bottom -> 3,
Be careful of Nasdaq fluctuations,
If you succeed today, you will have 4 consecutive perfects.
Please use my analysis articles for reference and use only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
#BITCOIN HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT !!#Bitcoin HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT! 🔥
The next move is obvious…
🔹 November 2023: Major breakout led to a 140% rally
🔹 October 2024: Another breakout fueled a 50% move
🔹 Now — May 2025: We are currently observing the Semmeler structure; will it break out again? 👀
New ATH loading... 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
May 21 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
After the red finger chase purchase,
I explained the main demand section drawing and price.
I applied it to Bitcoin as is.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left, the purple finger
connects the strategy to the long position entry section that was entered on the 20th.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. $105,263.7 long position entry section / stop loss price when the sky blue support line is broken
2. $108,207.6 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target -> Good 3rd target price
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave confirmation section,
and the strategy is more likely to succeed if the purple support line is broken after the touch.
(If it goes up right away, there is a possibility of a vertical rise)
Red finger long hold
If it goes down right away without touching, it is the final long hold strategy at 2.
From the 2nd section deviation, I marked Bottom -> 3
Since the mid-term pattern was broken yesterday,
you should succeed in rebounding within the green support line if possible.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-21 : Inside-BreakawayI've been very clear over the past few weeks that I believe the markets are poised for a rollover/topping pattern and I believe BTCUSD is showing us exactly how/when that rollover top is going to play out (June 1-June 9).
In the meantime, I believe the SPY/QQQ are entering a more volatile "early topping" formation while still in an uptrend (Bullish).
I urge traders to start watching various sectors for weakness and keeping your eyes open for any signs the market could be moving into a sideways price rotation.
I think the rollover top will be aligned with some financial event (trade/tariff/other) that will result in a broad disruption of the US/Global markets. And I believe BTCUSD will lead the move by about 4-7+ days.
Gold and Silver are starting to move higher again. That is a sure sign that traders are now more actively seeking to hedge global risks (again).
I believe this move higher in metals may continue through this week and into next week (looking for that top in the SPY/QQQ).
Follow my detailed BTCUSD video to learn why BTCUSD may continue to try to push a bit higher before topping and moving into a broad price decline.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
How bitcoin could provide a R13x Bitcoin is showing signs of a powerful breakout. A bullish pattern is forming, and with talk of deregulation in the US, this could be the start of something big. We explain the setup and risk-reward in detail.
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Failure to Break the 1.61 Could Get Really Bad. I've recently posted the implied breakout plan if BTC can get through the 1.61 zone. The expected strength and levels of this move are important to map in at this point and especially important for bears to understand because if we break then the move can happen with no big pullbacks.
In the event of the 1.61 break, that's when we tend to really see the big rally move that people have been saying you have to be positioned for while we were heading into the big correction. Now would be the time a sustainable breakout would be made and there'd be easy money to be made on the long side if it breaks.
For an analogous example the forecast I made of NVDA going from 500 to 1,000 was based on this same kind of break.
But if we make a failure to break the 1.61 those can get all sorts of nasty. It usually starts with a quick return to the 1.27 and when the 1.27 has broken that's usually a full failure of the trend. When looked at after the fact, it's obvious the 1.27 break was an important moment in the trend.
Making this an exceptionally important point for BTC. If the breakout can be sustained there's a lot of good ops following local structure. Stops can be set under it and you can look to hit 1:5 + RR trades on all the corrective moves. Trailing stops on this could work out extremely well, the first major resistance after a 1.61 break being 140K.
If the attempt to break the 1.61 fails, it'll usually start with a big shock move and develop into a cruel bear market.
Now would be a time to be wise about risk to both sides. For trades, it's highly likely we soon head into extremely profitable markets.
Which side we break to is largely irrelevant, a simple style of move is predicted to either side once the 1.61 decision is made.
But I'll tell you one thing, if the 1.27 ends up failing that would be expected to get very nasty. The kinda nasty we're apparently not allowed to say is possible about things like BTC ...
If you have exposure to this, on either side, you should be very careful if it begins to go against you.
A major trend decision is likely made soon.
A bear move would typically start with some shock news and capitulation sell off. Would be aware of that if something weird happened.
btcusd 15mThis updated Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart expands on the previous one, introducing a clearer risk management structure by adding a "register level" — a deeper demand/support zone. Let’s break it down:
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📉 Updated Chart Breakdown (BTC/USD – 15 Min)
🔻 Register Level (Stronger Demand Zone)
Zone: ~$106,600–$106,800
This zone caught a previous wick and bounce, suggesting it's a stronger support if the price drops below the immediate entry level.
It represents a last defense zone before deeper sell-offs.
🟩 Entry Level Zone
Zone: ~$107,300–$107,600
Same as the previous chart. It’s still valid but is now more clearly shown as a potential reaction zone, not the ultimate bottom.
🔶 Support Point
Zone: ~$108,300
Where price was rejected before. This level will likely be a key confirmation breakout if hit again.
🎯 Target Level (Take Profit)
Level: ~$110,250–$110,400
The trade setup aims for a strong upside continuation into this resistance area.
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📌 What’s Different in This Chart vs. the Previous BTC Chart?
Element Previous Chart Updated Chart
Register Level ❌ Not Shown ✅ Shown (strong support)
Support Level Label ✅ Same ✅ Same
Entry Zone Depth Mid-level Now shows fallback area
Risk Management Clarity Medium ✅ Much clearer
Trade Setup Bullish Reversal Bullish Reversal w/ zone confidence
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✅ Key Trading Insight
This chart provides better risk control by identifying a lower register zone that gives traders the ability to:
Wait for a deeper test before entering.
Add confidence to the trade if price bounces hard from this zone.
Place tighter or more informed stop-losses just below this level.
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Would you like a side-by-side comparison of this BTC setup with the earlier Gold setup you shared — in terms of risk/reward, entry logic, and strength of signals?
BTCUSD RETEST? CONTINUE BULLISH?BINANCE:BTCUSD Hello Traders, BTCUSD 1D 24/05/2025
Bitcoin has already completed a clean retest of the breakout structure, yet Stochastic remains in the overbought zone (above 75), signaling a potential short-term correction.
Key Observations:
- Price may push further toward the 111,917 resistance zone
- Due to overbought momentum, there’s a possibility for a bounce back toward the SBD (Supply
Become Demand) zone before any continuation
- As long as market sentiment remains bullish, we may see a breakout above 111,917 after the correction
Key Zones:
- Resistance: 111,917
- Demand/SBD Area: Around 102,000
- Major Demand: Below 94,000
Short-term caution ⚠️, long-term structure possible continue bullish 📈
Altseason AnalysisTo determine whether we're approaching a true Altseason, we're analyzing the macro relationship between Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and Total 2 (the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin). This comparison has consistently revealed where capital is flowing and helps signal shifts in market cycles.
Current Market Structure
BTC Dominance: Currently at 64% and testing resistance zone.
A breakdown below 57% could trigger fresh capital rotation into alts.
Total 2: Hovering near 1.2T ; watching for breakout confirmation.
What Triggers an Altseason?
BTC stability or slow upward grind: Altcoins thrive when Bitcoin is stable not crashing, not parabolic.
BTC.D Breakdown: Often the first real signal. Look for confluence with Total 2 breakout.
Capital Rotation: Watch Ethereum and majors big cap — they usually lead before microcaps follow.
BTC.D Breakdown: Often the first real signal. Look for confluence with Total 2 breakout.
$5 Trillion??
Breakout above $1.7T ATH in Total 2 opens the door for exponential price discovery.
Key resistance zones: $2T → $3.5T → $5T
Watch for volume surge + BTC.D breakdown for strong confirmation.
Caution:
Not every BTC.D dip leads to an Altseason fakeouts happen. Confirm with Total 2 strength and sector rotation.
BTC/USD indicating a potential trend reversal signal.Current Price: Approximately $108,497.
Trading Strategy Elements:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Marked near a consolidation area, indicating a potential trend reversal signal.
CB (Continuation Block) and BOS (Break of Structure): Highlighted zones showing important structural breaks and continuation patterns in the price action.
Trendline: A diagonal support line is drawn, showing the general direction of the upward trend before a pullback occurred.
Target Zones: Clearly defined with color-coded boxes indicating expected price movements.
First Target: Around $109,000.
Second Target: Around $110,500.
Final Target: Just above $111,500.
Time and Date: The chart is timestamped May 24, 2025, with the local system time showing 9:27 AM.
This setup indicates a bullish bias based on structure analysis, with clearly planned take-profit targets, likely forming part of a smart money or institutional trading strategy. The analyst appears to be preparing for a potential long position following a reversal from a recent low.
Double top on 4 hr? End of bull run?The 4-hour chart shows a clear double top formation, accompanied by diminishing volume as we approach the end of May. The old saying "sell in May and walk away" suggests a high probability of a retracement down to previous support levels, indicating the potential end of this bull run. Historically, bull runs often conclude around this time (@585 days so far), and while it is possible that a new all-time high of $12,800 could be reached, retail interest is dwindling. The charts indicate that profit-taking is beginning to occur.
While institutional buying is currently propping up the price, it raises the question of how long this can last. A significant proportion of holders are already in profit, making this a good exit point to prepare for the next bear cycle and to accumulate more assets. Additionally, with the DXY (US Dollar Index) being low, a recovery in the DXY coupled with a drop in Bitcoin's value could significantly reduce the realized profits for Bitcoin holders.
The RSI and NUPL are high, and with the number of BTC longs decreasing, it indicates low confidence in further upside.
BTCUSD Entre point 106000target 107000 stop loss 105200New trade setup for BTCUSD:
- Entry Point: 106,000
- Target: 107,000 (1,000-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 105,200 (800-point risk)
Risk-reward ratio looks decent! Let's see how it plays out. What's your trading strategy behind this setup? Are you expecting a bullish breakout?