BTCUSD M30 Bearish Outlook #BTCUSD M30 Outlook 🕒
BTCUSD looking bearish below 108,490 zone.
🎯 Target: 107,470
Bias: Lower highs & weakness on M30.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD: Bitcoin Holds Above Key Support — Target at 113,388Market Overview:
Bitcoin is trading near 111,250 after breaking out of a descending structure and forming a bullish channel. The price has firmly established itself above the daily level of 110,600, signaling continued bullish momentum. The market is now aiming toward the channel’s upper boundary.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— EMA supports the bullish bias
— 110,600 now acts as key support
— Upside potential toward 113,388
Key Levels:
Support: 110,600, 109,115
Resistance: 112,000, 113,388
Scenario:
Primary: As long as BTC holds above 110,600, a move toward 112,000 and 113,388 remains likely.
Alternative: A drop below 110,600 may trigger a pullback toward 109,115.
BTC setup with 2R R:R.BTC is showing signs of a real breakout.
This setup offers a 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Entry: 111,207
Stop Loss: 107,500
Target: 120,000
Not financial advice.
BITCOIN BREAKOUT IMMINENT (120K)The Trend is your Friend. Bitcoin’s current action is the kind of bull‐market digestion you want to see before the next big surge. We’ve powered up from roughly $50 K on the Trump‐election narrative to flirt with all‐time‐high territory around $112 K, and now we’re simply consolidating in a tight $100 K–$110 K range. What really grabs my attention is how volume has dried up inside that band: fewer sellers stepping up means less fuel for a deep pullback, and an ebb in liquidity often precedes the kind of compressed buildup that launches a sharp move. That liquidity squeeze tells me smart money is biding its time rather than panicking out, and that sets the stage for a clean breakout once a new catalyst arrives.
Technically, the setup could hardly be neater. The 10-, 21- and 50-period moving averages have converged, running almost in lockstep. When those averages come together like train tracks, it signals a market in “healthy pause” — neither exhausted by an overextended rally nor capitulating under bearish pressure. It’s the kind of feature you love to see: price has had its run, it’s caught its breath, and it’s ready to go again on fresh conviction. Meanwhile, the RSI sits squarely in the middle of its range, neither overbought nor oversold, meaning there’s plenty of room for buyers to step in without an immediate pullback risk from extreme readings. In other words, momentum indicators are calm, not frothy or fearful, which further supports the case for a measured upward thrust rather than a sudden crash.
On the macro side, fundamentals are lining up, too. Monthly passive inflows into Bitcoin ETPs and ETFs continue at a robust clip, with institutions quietly adding to their positions out of the spotlight. If the Fed pivots toward rate cuts later this year, capital that’s been chasing yield elsewhere could flow back into risk assets — and Bitcoin, with its “digital gold” narrative, stands to gain especially when you consider its roughly $2 trillion market cap versus gold’s $20 trillion. That leaves a lot of upside potential if institutional demand keeps accelerating. Even more compelling: real‐world use cases for blockchain—everything from proof‐of‐ownership to decentralized finance—continue to mature behind the scenes, reinforcing Bitcoin’s narrative as not just a speculative asset, but a foundational piece of tomorrow’s financial system.
Of course, we can’t ignore the risks. We’ve already seen Bitcoin price near $112 K once, and there’s always the chance it carves a frustrating double-top if it stalls again. External narratives—Middle‐East tensions, renewed Ukraine tensions, fresh tariff skirmishes—could throw cold water on the rally and trigger a quick sell-off. But given the current setup—low‐volume consolidation, converging moving averages, balanced RSI and steady capital flows—a 10 % push toward $120 K feels not just possible but probable. Keep your eye on $112 K as your breakout trigger, size your positions sensibly, and plan your stop-loss around the lower end of the range. If Bitcoin can clear that level on strong volume, we’re likely to see this bull market extend rather than roll over into a double-top scenario. Happy trading, stay disciplined, and let’s see where this market takes us next!
BTC/USD Analysis Update. Chart Pattern:
The chart clearly shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left Shoulder
Head
Right Shoulder
This is a strong bullish reversal pattern.
Moving Averages:
Price hovers near the 100-day and 200-day MA, acting as a strong support zone (around $90k–$95k).
This area is critical for sustaining long positions.
Expected Move:
Strong bullish potential towards the $113k–$115k zone, aligned with the upper trendline target.
RSI also suggests room for a bullish recovery from this zone.
Trade Plan:
Ideal Entry: Near $90k–$95k (Right Shoulder area)
Stop Loss: Just below $88k
Target: $113k–$115k
This structure is very favorable for long positions if the price confirms strength within the right shoulder zone.
BTC wait for Long
Bitcoin continues to struggle with its long-term weekly resistance.
In the short term, it’s likely that BTC will consolidate within the $100,000–$112,000 range.
Positioning heavily into altcoins during this phase may not be ideal. It’s more prudent to wait for either a confirmed breakout above weekly resistance or a pullback toward the $94,000–$92,000 support zone.
For now, the focus remains on short-term trading opportunities within this range. A potential long setup is outlined in the chart.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Trading balanceTrading balance The price of the asset has rebounded from the balance zone. With the prospect of growth into the resistance zone.
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
SHORT in BTCUSDHello, fellow traders!
Yesterday I shared a short setup on GBP/USD. While it hasn’t reached the take-profit yet, the trade is still tracking as planned.
Today I’m opening a new short position in Bitcoin. Over the next few days, I’m anticipating a potential drop of $3 – 4 K in price.
Bitcoin [BTC1!] Draw and Bias. 05.07.25, SaturdayLooking for bullish action on BTC. No stance on alts.
BTC Bulls Target $111,653, Is This the Next Explosive BreakoutThe BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is showing a clearly bullish structure. After consolidating below the $108,664–$107,800 resistance for several weeks, Bitcoin finally broke above this area with a strong impulsive move, confirming the zone as a new support. This breakout coincides with improving market sentiment, especially after Metaplanet’s $108 million purchase of BTC and a surge in ETF inflows, which have been helping Bitcoin reclaim levels above $109,000. The price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, indicating that buyers are defending this zone aggressively.
Resistance Level 1, around $110,254, is the first significant barrier and aligns with the area that rejected price several times in late May. If this level is broken, the next target sits at Resistance Level 2 near $111,653, which was the major swing high established in early May. Holding above the current support is critical, as a decisive 4-hour close below $107,440 would invalidate this bullish scenario and likely trigger a deeper retracement.
The recent price behavior suggests a potential ascending triangle breakout retest, a classic continuation pattern where buyers step in on each dip. Momentum remains strong, and the risk/reward profile favors long setups as long as the higher-low structure is preserved.
Trade Setup (Bullish Idea)
Entry Zone: $108,700–$109,000 (on a confirmed retest of support)
Stop Loss: $107,440 (beneath the invalidation zone)
Take Profit Targets
o TP1: $110,254
o TP2: $111,653
The setup offers an estimated 2.4–2.7 risk/reward ratio, depending on precise entry and execution. As always, it’s recommended to wait for confirmation candles or wicks rejecting the support zone before entering.
If the breakout holds and volume expands on the push through TP1, Bitcoin could quickly revisit the $112,000 area in line with broader market optimism and institutional buying. Just be aware of the invalidation level, as any breakdown below $107,440 could trigger a fast move back to prior range lows.
BTCUSD Bullish Medium-termBTCUSD is about to start the bull run.
Break of 113000 will target 118,000 before 150,000 in the coming 4 months.
BTC/USD Bullish structure forming higher highs and higher lows. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Applied
🔵 Order Block Zone
Marked in blue (left-center of chart).
Price consolidated here before breaking structure and rallying — clear demand zone.
This was likely institutional accumulation before a strong move.
🟠 Correction Phase
Orange circled area shows distribution or temporary correction after a rally.
Classic stop-hunt or liquidity sweep to trap weak buyers before continuing upward.
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💚 Current Setup
✅ Entry Zone
Entry is marked just above the support box (~112,000 zone).
Price is pulling back to a retest zone — potential for a clean long entry if bullish confirmation appears.
🟩 Target Zone
Projected TP around 131,028, which aligns with the upper resistance of a previous swing high.
Excellent Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) shown — targeting a 1:3 or better setup.
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🟨 Support Zone
Strong previous demand area (highlighted yellow).
If price respects this zone, it's likely to bounce with momentum.
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⚠️ Risk Management
SL is implied below support — around 107,917 area.
Conservative risk: 1-2% per trade.
Position sizing according to account equity is essential.
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🧭 Pro Tips
1. Wait for bullish engulfing / confirmation on retest of the entry zone before entering.
2. Monitor volume — higher volume on the bounce adds conviction.
3. News / macro events — BTC is sensitive to global sentiment; always align technicals with fundamentals.
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🧩 Summary:
> “Smart money” accumulation has occurred. After a healthy correction and support retest, BTC is showing bullish continuation signs. This setup uses key SMC principles (order block, market structure, and support zones) to aim for a breakout toward ~$131K.
Bitcoin Breakout Watch – BTC/USD UpdateBTCUSD is currently consolidating above the $112,000 level — a critical price zone that could mark the beginning of a new leg higher.
If this consolidation holds, it signals strong buyer interest and sets the stage for a potential breakout. The next major target lies at $120,000, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, a key level often associated with explosive momentum moves.
💡 This setup reflects growing confidence in the crypto space and may attract institutional inflows if confirmed.
BTCUSD: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the MarketBTCUSD on Alert: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the Market
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The cryptocurrency market witnessed one of the year’s most puzzling moves this week. Over 80,000 Bitcoins—worth more than $8.6 billion—were transferred from wallets that had been inactive since the early years of the crypto ecosystem. These transfers, originating from addresses linked to 2010 and 2011, sparked a wave of reactions among investors, analysts, and crypto enthusiasts.
Fundamental Analysis: Mass Sell-Off or Simple Restructuring?
The market's initial response was uncertainty. It’s unusual for wallets from the so-called “Satoshi era” to become active again. However, research led by Arkham Intelligence and other on-chain analysis firms indicates that this was not an immediate sale. The BTC was not sent to exchanges, but to new addresses—possibly with enhanced security (SegWit or multisig technologies)—suggesting an internal reorganization rather than a liquidation.
On a macro level, the environment remains favorable for Bitcoin:
– Institutional inflows via ETFs have already surpassed $14 billion in 2025.
– Broader adoption is expected, driven by proposals such as the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. and clearer regulations in advanced economies.
– The market has shown resilience in the face of similar events in the past, reducing the risk of a structural correction.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Zone with Key Resistance at $112,000
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has maintained a strong bullish structure in recent weeks but is currently in a consolidation phase near its all-time highs:
• Key support: $103,477, located mid-range of the current consolidation zone. The lower bound sits at $98,209, where the price has reacted positively following the whale movements. The delta pressure zone is positioned at the upper part of the range, near current price levels.
• Immediate resistance: $111,978.21, a breakout of which could open the door to a move toward $112,000–$115,000.
• Daily RSI: Neutral bias with slight overbought conditions at 54.11%.
• Moving averages: The 50- and 100-day EMAs show clear compression—typically a precursor to a breakout—while the 200-day EMA remains well expanded, appearing to support the current consolidation.
Volume remains elevated but without speculative spikes, and funding rates in the derivatives market are still positive, suggesting sustained buying interest.
Conclusion: A Symbolic Shake-Up Rather Than a Threat
Although the whale movements have made headlines and stirred speculation about a possible sell-off, the signs point to a technical update rather than a shift in trend. The market has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with technical indicators and macro fundamentals supporting a short-term neutral-to-bullish outlook.
The key will be whether these funds remain dormant or begin to disperse in smaller transactions. For now, the crypto ecosystem has weathered the shake-up without major consequences, reinforcing the growing maturity of an increasingly institutional market.
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BTCUSDBased on NeoWave Analysis:
We should wait for the end of wave 5, getting ready for a Sell position.
Possibility of correction The uptrend is expected to continue to the specified resistance levels. Then, a trend change and the start of a downtrend are likely. If the price consolidates above the resistance level, the uptrend may continue.
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin rebounded from our Mean Support level of 104900 and, with significant momentum, subsequently completing the Mean Resistance level of 110300. Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised for a continuation of its downward trajectory, with a target set at the Mean Support level of 105500. This downward trend may necessitate heightened resilience to address the Key Resistance point at 111700 and the emerging historical price action of the Outer Coin Rally at 114500 and beyond. Nonetheless, it remains essential to acknowledge the possibility that current prices may experience an uptick from this juncture, bolstering the rally mentioned above.
A clear Understanding of $BTC next move As seen in this chart labeled. are the areas we are looking for interest of BULL breakout or bearish and leading into a alt season. Today JULY 4th. less market activity and small bear trap occured leading into today!
keep an eye out for rally in the near future.
