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BTCUSDC trade ideas

BTC DAILY - MA compression On the daily timeframe something very interesting is happening. A convergence of price around the blue KEY S/R is very interesting when you factor in what the moving averages are doing around this level also. 1D 200 EMA is completely flat having lost all of its momentum with the months of chop and then the sell-off into current levels. For a bullrun to be credible you want to see price above this level and a steady/steep slope up. Due to the lack of direction of this moving average price is able to climb above and drop below very easily and therefor it is neither support nor resistance until there is a trend. 1D 25 EMA is a different story, now that BTC has put in a local top and trending down, the 25 EMA is resistance but has been flipped in the last few days with price bouncing off the level 4 days in a row. This is good news for the bulls but the longer we linger here there is more chance dropping back under it. Diagonal resistance as simple as it is has 4 points of contact and will be a big point of resistance and one many traders will be keeping an eye on. On the lower timeframes we're seeing a bullish channel, a loss of this channel would be a huge red flag and a catalyst for a risk off event IMO, continuing the downtrend.
by ProR35
4
BITCOIN 4H - 8th time lucky? The 200 EMA is a great indication of the environment a certain asset is currently in. If the 200 ema is not being respected as neither support nor resistance then generally the market environment is rangebound. If an asset is in a trending environment then the 200 ema is often being respected, as in the moving average acts as a key support in an uptrend or as resistance in a downtrend. What we have seen from BTC is a clear shift from rangebound PA where it seems as though the 4H 200 EMA has no effect on price and is sat relatively neutral with no gradient, to a clear downward gradient capping off any attempt for the bulls to move higher. Eight separate occasions the bulls attempted to flip the moving average and failed each time, until now? Having ended last week strong with a reclaim of $86,000 an early Monday push has seen BTC close a 4H candle above for the first time in 7 weeks. It is important to note that when the MA is still sloping downward it is still seen as a resistance level, a retest as new support while the slope levels out is always a possibility. I am now interested in the question of, if Bitcoin reclaims the 4H 200 EMA, does it flip to a bullish trend or another rangebound one? That's where the $91,000 S/R comes in, as a reclaim of that level would put BTC into a LTF rally and therefor bullish trend, rejection off that level would see the MA level-out and becomes less important and therefor rangebound. Comment with your thoughts on this idea.
by ProR35
My view on BTC and Global crypto marketAfter breaking out of a larger descending wedge, BTC has been steadily climbing and is now forming a rising wedge on the daily chart. This pattern often signals a possible pullback, especially as price approaches a key horizontal resistance. If BTC manages a clean breakout above 90,000 and holds, it would invalidate this short setup. In that scenario, I’ll step aside and wait for a clearer opportunity. Remember, risk management is key —use a stop loss and size positions responsibly. This is not financial advice, just my personal view. Good luck and happy trading!
Short
by bryan_aaron
Bitcoin correction. Waiting for 70k-76kBitcoin correction. Waiting for 70k-76k The previous idea suggested Bitcoin would reach $95,000-$100,000 before entering a 1-2 year bear phase alongside the U.S. stock market decline. Bitfinex: However, based on Coinbase orders in the $70,000-$76,000 range and recent BTC sell-offs on Bitfinex over the past three days, it looks like this correction is being dragged out to trigger more liquidations. This crypto correction might also align with an SP500 drop. Waiting for lower levels to find good entry points. Coinbase orders: BTC/USDC Liquidation Heatmap
Short
by SergioRichi
Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K.Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K: Hey everyone! As you’ve probably noticed, this week altcoins and meme markets have been falling aggressively, including names from Murad's list like $SPX. ➖ The broader market also shows signs of a downturn. If you check monthly charts for the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and other indices, they’re aligning for a drop. ➖ The catalyst could be anything—from the wildfires in California to a potential strike by Iran on Israel. Take note of the prepared orders on Coinbase targeting $50-$55K. ➖ Binance’s BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap over the past 6 months (Model 3 from CoinGlass) also highlights liquidation interest in this area. When you put all the pieces together, the odds favor a drop. Market makers would likely want to shake out recent buyers of altcoins, meme coins, etc., before any significant rally. Avoid leverage or futures trading—it’s the easiest way to lose your deposit in this environment. No Financial Advice, Do Your Own Research.
Short
by SergioRichi
2
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility. An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key. The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale. Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance. The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines. The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way. And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding. Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support. See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall. To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st ) The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet. And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600 I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K Lets see if this works out
by Orriginal
Be careful with BTC !!!The price drops to around 93K dollars and then pumps to 97K dollars. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Short Squeeze or Breakdown?Which Timeframe Seems Most Relevant? • Indicator readings: The 4H and 8H remain the most interesting timeframes for spotting potential rebound opportunities. The ISPD Div Pro is low in satisfaction on 4H, signaling a potential reversal, while the HPI is high, which can indicate a temporarily oversold zone favorable for a technical rebound. • Daily remains neutral-bullish, but slightly “overconfident” (ISPD ~0.80), which may indicate a saturation risk in the medium term. For swing positioning, refining entries via lower timeframes (4H/8H) is recommended to find an optimal entry and monitor the 100–102k$ resistance. • Intraday : 2H provides a better buy-the-dip timing, allowing for more precise entries in anticipation of a technical rebound. New insights from the Liquidation Map: • The 98,500 – 102,000 $ zone is a massive liquidation area, which may cause increased volatility. • If BTC breaks above 98,500 $ - 99,500 $, a short squeeze could trigger, pushing the price toward 102,000 $ or higher. • Conversely, breaking below 95,000 $ would activate many long liquidations, increasing the risk of a drop toward 92,000 $. Key Support and Resistance Levels for BTC/USDT By combining technical analysis with liquidation data, here are the critical areas to watch: Support Levels: • 96,000 $ (near Auto AVWAP Low 4H, a short-term pivot). • 94–95,000 $ (corresponds to the last local low and an area of liquidity concentration seen on the OI LIQMAP). • 91–92,000 $ (a strong support zone that could be tested in case of increased selling pressure). Resistance Levels: • 98,700–99,000 $ (confluence of 50D/100D moving averages, Tenkan, and a strong accumulation of sell orders). • 100,000–102,000 $ (a major liquidation zone where stop hunts are likely). • 104,000 $ (an important level matching the AVWAP High Daily). Bitcoin ETF Flows and Market Impact Analysis of Bitcoin ETF flows shows a mixed trend: • Massive outflows from Grayscale (GBTC): • Frequent and significant net outflows, such as January 27 (-457.6M$), February 3 (-234.4M$), and February 6 (-140.2M$). This suggests continuous institutional selling pressure. • Positive inflows into other ETFs (BlackRock, Fidelity, etc.): • Some days saw strong positive inflows, such as January 31 (+368M$) and February 4 (+561M$), but these have not been enough to fully offset GBTC outflows. • Latest data from February 10: Net inflows of +186.3M$, which could provide temporary support for BTC. Implications : • If ETF inflows continue to be positive, they could stabilize BTC and support a move toward 100–102k$. • If GBTC outflows remain strong, selling pressure would persist, making a breakdown below 95k$ more likely. Conclusion and Actionable Strategy 1. Market Context • The market remains in a corrective A-B-C phase. • A rebound toward 100–102k$ seems likely, but this move could still be a wave B before another drop. • If ETF inflows remain stable, BTC could find support. However, if GBTC outflows persist, bearish pressure will remain strong. 2. Indicator and Liquidation Map Insights • On the 4H, Investor Satisfaction is very low (~0.22), and Mason’s Satisfaction is above its SMA, signaling an imminent bullish impulse. • On the Daily, ISPD is high (> 0.80), suggesting a medium-term topping risk if BTC reaches 100–102k$. • HPI is more “overbought” on 4H (89) than on 1D (34), which favors a short-term rebound but with resistance risks ahead. 3. Suggested Strategy • Buy pullbacks if BTC drops to 95–96k$ (or 92k$ if there is a selling excess). • Target: Rebound toward 100–102k$, with partial profit-taking in this zone. • If BTC closes above 102k$ (4H or Daily), a move toward 104k$ or higher is possible. • If BTC falls below 91–92k$, a deeper bearish scenario (running flat) would be confirmed, leading to potential lower buy zones or short-term short trades. Final Conclusion Liquidation and ETF data confirm the previous analysis: • The 98,500–102,000 $ zone is critical, where a short squeeze could push BTC higher. • A rejection in this zone would increase the likelihood of a return to 92,000 $. • ETF flows are a key factor: If inflows stabilize, BTC could hold up. However, renewed GBTC outflows would keep BTC under pressure. Key Factors to Watch: 1. Upcoming economic data (US inflation, Powell’s speech) could trigger volatility. 2. Liquidation dynamics: A breakout above 98,500 $ could accelerate gains, while a drop below 95k$ would increase downside risk. 3. ETF flows: As long as inflows exceed GBTC outflows, BTC could remain stable. If outflows surge again, bearish momentum will strengthen. Final Thoughts • BTC is in a technical rebound phase (wave B or C) with 100–102k$ as a critical pivot. • Failure to break this zone could lead to a drop back toward 92k$. • The broader bullish trend remains intact, but this does not yet confirm the start of a full bull run.
Long
by Ox_kali