Bitcoin Offensive plan for S/R, risk-on scenario confirmed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Strong across all timeframes, driven by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy” bias from 1D to 1H).
Key Supports : 98–100k remains the crucial zone to defend. Interim supports at 103.6k and 106k.
Major Resistances : 107–110k critical cluster, intermediate resistance at 108.2k.
Volume : Normal to moderately increasing volumes on all timeframes, short-term spike at 15min (caution warranted).
Multi-TF behavior : No signs of euphoria or capitulation except for 15min (behavioral overheating & high volume detected).
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Strategic Summary
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Structural bias : Strong bullish, confirmed by technical and sector data.
Opportunities : Pullback entries at 107–107.5k, trend-following plans on validated breakouts >108.2k/109.9k.
Risk zone : Major break under 106k then 103.6k = invalidation, watch for seller excess (ISPD)/extreme volume on 15min.
Macro catalyst : No major event expected; wait & see climate, caution around Middle East geopolitical headlines.
Action plan : Buy support, monitor breakout/volume, stop-loss below 106k then 99k.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D – 12H – 6H : Durable bullish structure, price capped below 107–110k, momentum confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy”), no volume climax, healthy volume. 98–100k supports remain crucial.
4H – 2H – 1H – 30min : Aligned uptrend, no sell signals. Pullbacks absorbed at 103.6–107.5k pivots. 108.2k–109.9k breakout is pivotal, volumes healthy outside 15min.
15min : Emerging behavioral excess (ISPD = Sell), very high volume → risk of short-term overheat, avoid chasing without validation.
Summary : Bullish multi-timeframe confluence, but caution on ultra-short-term excess and geopolitical news flow.
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Synthesis & Strategic Plan
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Directional bias : Structurally bullish on all higher TFs, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, MTFTI, no major alert signals.
Action scenarios :
Buy pullback at 107–107.5k, SL below 106k (Swings) or below 107k (Scalps).
Confirmed breakout (vol./no behavioral excess) above 108.2–109.9k, targets >110k.
Risk/invalidation : Any break under 106k then 103.6k then 99k = bullish bias neutralized.
Risk management : Take partial profits on 109–110k extensions; avoid persistence if ISPD turns red & volumes spike on lower TFs.
Fundamental & on-chain factors : No macro catalyst, healthy consolidation, $99k–$100k on-chain supports decisive, breakout requires new inflows.
Decision summary:
Bias = Bullish, buy supports and validate breakouts with volume, watch for 15min excess and Middle East headlines. Strict SL below 106k/103.6k, risk-off below 99k. Partial profit taking on 109–110k extension. No immediate macro catalyst.
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
Lower highs / lower lows BTC....what will happen next?History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. Let's look at the BTC chart: lower highs, lower lows from double top. What have we seen in the past -> significant drops. Personally, I'm all for innovation and technology, but make no mistake that institutions are not blindly buying at the top and BTC is veering away from it's core principles after the financial crisis (there's still a middle man!). With this level of volatility and automated trading, there is bound to be a major pull back and it's starting to crack. Economic numbers are not horrible, but they are "lagging." Unemployment is not great with more layoffs being announced every day, interest rates are still high, unsecured debt is ultra high, and affordability is at 30-40 year low. Don't let the champagne effect of S&P fool you, things are NOT rosy!
Always do your own due diligence and all the best!
Big move for BTC - liquidity sweep + order block retest scenarioPrice could sweep the highs (BSL 110670), then reject around 104700. If that happens, I’ll look for a retest of the OB at 995700 for a possible long.
If we break lower, deeper liquidity sits around 93350, with a strong OB between 92900–91700, that’s my last line for a high-probability reversal.
Here is an analysis of the latest Bitcoin market trendBitcoin has surged to around $106,700 at its peak and hovered around $104,800 at its low. Overall, the trend remains relatively stable, continuing to stay at a relatively high level. What is driving the market?
First, institutional funds have flowed in again. Recently, many investors have bought Bitcoin through ETFs, with substantial capital inflows, which has formed support for this price level.
Second, the technical outlook is promising. Various technical indicators suggest that it is still a bullish market, meaning the price may continue to rise.
Third, regarding support and resistance levels: if the price declines, it may first find support near $104,000. If it breaks upward, the next target is roughly between $108,000 and $110,000.
What about the short-term trend? If it can break through $107,000, it may then surge toward $109,000 or even the high of $112,000. If it fails to break through, it may fluctuate repeatedly within the range of $104,000 to $106,000 for a period.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@104300-104800
TP:107000-107500
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDT: Bounce Incoming?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
-March 2024 resistance is now expected to act as a strong support level.
-The price has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal from this zone.
-The 200 EMA on the 2-day chart is positioned as a strong dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish case.
We can expect a bounce from the $72-75k level.
BTC recovers, price range sideways trend line💎 Update Plan BTC (June 25)
Notable news about BTC:
🌐 Growth stimulus factor
Reducing geopolitical tensions: The ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel has helped improve investor psychology, promote capital inflows into risky assets like Bitcoin.
The dollar weakened: The USD index dropped to the lowest level in a year due to concerns about the economic impact from President Trump's tax policies, making Bitcoin a more attractive choice for investors to search for replacement assets.
Expectations for monetary policy: The decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on keeping interest rates stable and interest rate cutting capacity in July has motivated the cryptocurrency market.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin may increase to the highest level of all time
Bitcoin price reached the lowest level of $ 98,200 on Sunday but has recovered strongly 5% in the next two days, closed on the dynamic average line according to the 50 -day exponential jaw at $ 103,352. At the time of writing on Monday, the price continued to trade higher at about $ 106,500.
If BTC continues to increase, the price can expand the momentum to the highest level of all time is $ 111,980 on May 22.
The relative power index (RSI) on the daily chart is 54, higher than the neutral level of 50, showing the motivation for price increase. The average divergent divergence (MACD) is referring to the price intersection (the MACD is about to cut on the signal line), if completed, the purchase signal will be made.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents...
If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days.
If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks.
I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively.
Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc.
Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Bitcoin Daily Bearish: If 100K Breaks, 80KBitcoin being bearish is only true if the $100,000 support level breaks. If it breaks expect the market to dive down, deep and fast and reach around $82,500 or $88,888. But this is only if the support breaks. If support holds, as it is doing so far, then you can expect higher prices in the coming weeks. If support breaks, the flush is likely to be super fast and strong which means that you will still get higher prices in the coming weeks, so the conditions remain the same mid- to long-term, only the short-term is now in question. The bears are putting pressure on the market and many LONGs have been liquidated already.
It will be nice to see how it all develops, but it shouldn't take more than two weeks. We are likely in the clear in a matter of days (2-3 days). Do not be afraid if the market shakes, Bitcoin is going up; Crypto will grow, regardless of the short-term.
Namaste.
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range.
The boundaries are marked with black lines.
Buyer initiative is currently active.
Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980.
📊 Key Actions
The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone.
There is no context for short trades at the moment.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Do you think it supports this model?After two weeks away from you, I am back.
Hello friends, as some of you dear ones know, I live in Iran, and due to the two-week war in Iran, I was not in the mood for analysis, nor was the internet helpful.
But I came back to you so that we can identify the profits together.
.
The chart you see has formed an old pattern (flag pattern), and if it breaks out of this pattern from above, we can expect an increase as large as the previous lag.
The target of this increase is the area that we had mentioned in previous Bitcoin analyses. (You can enter the page and look at the analyses)
.
I hope you have used this analysis well.
I wish you complete peace wherever you are.
You can follow the page to see more analyses, hoping for good days.
Bitcoin Reclaims Momentum: War Fears Fading, Bulls Eye $125K! MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN just delivered a powerful bounce right off the critical $100K level. A key psychological and technical support zone tested multiple times in recent sessions. This time, the bounce came with strong volume confirmation, signaling renewed buyer interest. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East begin to ease, market confidence is returning, fueling bullish sentiment across the board.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC now looks poised to retest the $110K resistance zone, where some short-term rejection could occur. However, a decisive breakout above $110K opens the gates for a potential rally toward the next major target at $125K. Stay sharp, always manage your risk, and don’t forget to set a proper stop loss. The trend is strong, and momentum is building!
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BTC: One More Leg Down?
I believe the impulse BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from April to May has been completed, and we are currently in a correction phase, which is likely to continue for some time.
In the base case, I’m considering a simple zigzag pattern:
Wave A – impulsive move down
Wave B – forming a symmetrical triangle
Wave C – expected next
🎯 Target zone: 97,500, where we have a confluence of weekly FVG, 20-week MA, and vWAP.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT potential Bullish Momentum after Fake BreakoutBINANCE:BTCUSDT just reclaimed the support area after a deep liquidity grab below 100,000, rebounding sharply toward the mid-range. Price is still trapped below the descending resistance trendline, but the recent fake break and reversal signal a bullish shift in momentum. If bulls hold above 100K, a breakout toward 105,000 looks increasingly probable.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 99,000–100,500
Sell trigger: break below 99,000
Target: 105,000
Buy trigger: strong breakout above the descending blue trendline
💡 Risks
Retesting resistance at 105,000 may trigger a pullback
Descending structure still intact until breakout confirms
Sharp volatility spikes could invalidate short-term setups
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bitcoin Short-Term Recovery Confirmed Bulls Win!Ranging markets/sideways markets is when traders lose the most money. Always keep this in mind.
» Short-term signals are pointing to a recovery right away.
» Bitcoin's drop wicked below the 13-June low but the RSI produced a higher low and thus we have a bullish divergence.
» Bitcoin's current drop went lower yet the chart reveals lower volume now compared to 13-June. This reveals weakness on the bear camp. This means a recovery will happen next, right away.
These are just a few signals but taken together with the altcoins analysis that I showed you and the bigger picture; Ha ha! The bulls win again.
Namaste.
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
BTC at Decision Point: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Incoming ??BTC is now trading within a symmetrical triangle, bouncing strongly from the trendline support at $98,898, and now faces overhead resistance of around $106,000.
Price is moving between higher lows and lower highs; a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant move.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:
$101,409 – Near-term support
$98,898 – Strong ascending trendline support
$93,343 – Critical structure base
Resistance Zones:
$105,807 – Immediate ceiling
$106,057 – Triangle breakout point
$108,895 – First major upside target
$111,785 – Higher target if bulls take control
Analysis:
The structure shows clear compression, and BTC has already made a sharp bounce off the lower range, suggesting bulls are stepping in. However, a clean breakout above $106K is needed to confirm the momentum shift.
A breakout above this triangle could lead to a fast move toward $111K, while failure could send the price back toward $101K or even lower.
This is a make-or-break zone.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
BTC - Key Level Being TestedRight now BTC is fighting a pivotal level in its current trend. After falling slightly below the $100k level price has seen a strong uptick after a 4H reversal doji was created at the bottom of the trend.
Now price is at the $105k level which has shown lots of volume with flips between support and resistance. What we are watching for now is our red "Upper Resistance Trendline". The level is currently around $109k.
If we see a rejection of that level then it would show the bears are still in control and the momentum to the downside will continue. If we can close candles above the red trendline we could see a swift move back to our white trendline and a break of that could see a strong surge to new all time highs.
If we see the current uptrend start to fade and price close below our 0.236 fib that could be an early indication of lower levels needing to be tested. If we do start to fall rapidly the most important level to hold to keep the macro uptrend intact is the 0.618 fib level. Currently this level is around $88k and if that level would be flipped into new support it would be the best level to create a macro higher low.
BTC & USDT.D => Bullish Correction Incoming?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Both BTC and USDT.D are sitting around key rejection zones.
💰 BTC is hovering near the $100,000 level — a major previous low and a psychological round number.
📊 Meanwhile, USDT.D is testing the 5% resistance — a supply zone and another critical round number.
As long as $100,000 holds as support on BTC and 5.1% holds as resistance on USDT.D, we could expect a bullish correction across the crypto market.
What do you think? Will these levels hold or break? 🤔
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich