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Bitcoin Eyes $110K or $94K – Depends on Global HeadlinesBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Technical Outlook 📅 Update: June 18, 2025 🧭 Current Market Status: Bitcoin is currently trading around $105,296, sitting in a tight consolidation above key support ($104K). The price has respected both demand and supply zones over the past few sessions but remains sensitive to macro-driven events, especially geopolitical instability. We can clearly see BTC is caught between strong support around $100K–102K and resistance around $108K–110K, awaiting a directional break. 📊 Key Technical Levels: Resistance Zones (Red): $108K–110K – intraday resistance block $112K – short-term breakout target $114K–116K – final bullish extension zone Support Zones (Green): $102K–104K – immediate demand $100K – psychological round number + previous breakout base $98K / $96K / $94K – downside targets if panic sets in 🔺 Scenario 1: No US-Iran War (Bullish Case) If no escalation occurs: BTC could bounce from current support or even dip to $102K before pushing higher. A clean break above $108K may trigger a move toward $112K and then $114K–116K. Stochastic shows bullish divergence forming (see trendline), supporting a possible upside breakout if momentum strengthens. 🟢 Look for breakout candle + volume confirmation above $108K. 🔻 Scenario 2: US-Iran War Escalates (Bearish Case) If military conflict breaks out: Safe-haven rotation may favor cash or gold short-term; BTC could lose traction. Breakdown below $102K may lead to panic drop toward $98K, followed by potential flush into $94K. Watch for failure to hold $100K — this would mark a major shift in sentiment. 🔻 BTC has historically struggled during initial shock of war-related uncertainty. 🔁 Neutral/Bounce Scenario: If price holds $104K–102K range but no major trigger emerges, expect sideways consolidation. Traders can scalp range levels until a confirmed breakout or breakdown. 🛡️ Risk Management Notes: BTC remains headline-driven — adjust position size based on volatility spikes. If trading directionally, place tight SLs below key support or above resistance, depending on side. Consider hedging with stablecoins or options if holding long-term spot. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by MarketsPOV
1
It's an Evacuation Through Green Candles💥 "One Last Leap of Faith?" - What Bitcoin Might Be Hiding Before September The world’s on fire: Israel, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, oil, elections, the dollar, rates, black swan whispers. And someone’s out here saying Bitcoin might still go up? Yes. We are. Not because we believe - but because we see. 📉 Everyone’s afraid. The whales aren’t. When the crowd goes into survival mode, the real game begins. Whales aren’t exiting - they’re accumulating. ETFs aren’t pausing - they’re inflowing. The technical setup isn’t breaking - it’s compressing like a spring. $104,000. Coil building. If we break out - targets at $132K–$140K are absolutely in play. 👉 But that’s not the point. The point is why this is happening while the world is burning. 🧠 The idea: Bitcoin isn’t a safe haven. It’s a distribution machine. Gold is for panic. Bitcoin is for structure. Institutions don’t ask “is it scary?” - they ask “where’s liquidity?” Everything is aligning for one last upside move. Until September. After that - chaos is back on the table. 💣 The Global Playbook: Now (Summer) - Consolidation, ETF flows, geopolitical fear - Strategic entries, low exposure Breakout - FOMO panic, retail rushes in - Profit-taking via options September–Fall - Macro/geopolitical shock - Already in cash or hedged 📌 Bottom Line Yes, Bitcoin might pump. Not because the world is fine - but because someone needs to exit beautifully. If you're reading this - you're early enough to think. Markets don’t reward justice. They reward positioning. 🛠 What to do right now: Watch the $104,000 level - it's the pivot Breakout = final upside push to $132K–140K Keep your eyes on September - reversal zone Think in scenarios: entry, exit, protection Follow EXCAVO - we don’t guess, we read the game I've been talking about this scenario for a long time
by EXCAVO
25
Bitcoin Long Setup: Two Potential Entry Zones After The DropHello, traders! As predicted, Bitcoin is perfectly following Scenario #2 from my previous analysis. 📉 What Happened? The instrument showed a fake rally, luring impatient traders into premature long positions, only to liquidate them with a sharp downward move. The primary Point of Interest (POI) remains below us — this is where the "whale" aims to deliver the price to fill their orders and close the shorts they used for the initial SSL manipulation. My Trading Scenarios & Entry Plan 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Mitigation of the Primary POI My expectation remains the same: a reaction upon the mitigation of the 4h order block , which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci level. Entry Condition: The level must hold on at least the 4H timeframe, confirmed by a bullish reversal and an order flow shift on the Lower Timeframe (LTF). Zone: $102,745 - $103,868 Invalidation: A clear break and close below the 78.6% Fib level would invalidate this scenario. 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab If the liquidity at the 4h OB isn't enough for the whale to continue the uptrend, they might trigger a more aggressive decline to grab liquidity from the low at $100,370. Entry Condition: A swift sweep of this low, followed by a sharp reclaim of the level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF. Zone: $100,700 - $102,000 Invalidation: A candle close below the $100,370 liquidity level would invalidate this scenario. Final Thoughts Do not open positions just because the price has reached a POI. Wait for a clear reversal reaction and LTF confirmation for more conservative and safer entries. Always use stop-losses to protect your capital; no setup has a 100% win rate, and for every whale, there can always be a bigger one. To be consistently profitable, you just need to find setups with a win rate greater than 50% — this is how casinos and professional traders operate. Happy hunting with the whales — don't be the plankton. Follow their tracks.
Long
by TheWhaleSM
12
BTC: Scalp Long 18/06/25Trade Direction: Long BTC Scalp BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Risk Management: - Risk 0.1% (very low risk due to market conditions) - Target approx 0.5% gain Reason for Entry: - 0.618 retracement - Sweep of recent low - M30 Fair Value Gap tapped (partially mitigated earlier) - Multi time frame Oversold - Market structure holding key support level Additional Notes: - Confidence level low low likely hood this succeeds but trading my plan - Very cautious trade in a volatile unpredictable market environment
Long
by Ryn8111
My thoughts on Bitcoin long-term, as well as mid- to short-termLONG-TERM / THE BIG PICTURE: Regarding the big picture, we couldn’t be more bullish. We’re currently fighting our way through the cycle as usual—despite the fact that this cycle has had way too many chop phases, flushing out far too many participants. Just a few weeks ago, we got our bullish crossover on the weekly MACD—a signal that has triggered a major BTC rally every single time this cycle. At no point in this cycle has #BTC been overheated. The blow-off top is still coming. LOCAL PRICE ACTION: CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains in this vertical ascending channel and remains macro bullish what imo is another huge re-accumulation range lasting more than 200 days since November, that will lead to an impulsive breakout TO THE UPSIDE in the weeks to come MACRO LANDSCAPE: Due the last crash we potentially got an bulllish structure, wich if the price breaks the high at $110.000 is confiraed and can bring us to 120k on #Bitcoin On the lower TF we currently see an oversold RSI + a bounce from the 0.667 level RECOMMENDATION: Watch the high at 110k and the low at 100k, we have to break either one of these 2 levels. Have an eye on the current conflict with israel & iran and dont forget the FOMC meeting tmwr, where we can expect some important news due the current situation Either way, I'm long and mid-term bullish despite the current accumulation by long-term holders (which just peaked)... Always watch the big picture from above - maintain perspective and don't focus too much on smaller timeframes... But most importantly: Survive. Thanks for reading, let me know your thoughts about the current market situation & price action👇
by The-white-goat
BTC/USD.4H CHART PATTERN.Based on MY BTC/USDT 4H chart the following analysis and price targets apply: --- 📉 Chart Pattern: A symmetrical triangle pattern is visible, with price nearing a potential breakdown. You’ve marked a breakdown scenario, supported by the Ichimoku cloud turning bearish and resistance rejection. The market has respected both support and resistance trendlines multiple times, increasing pattern validity. --- 🎯 Bearish Targets After Breakdown: 1st Support Target: Level: Around $98,000 This is the first zone where buyers might step in. It aligns with previous consolidation and structural support. 2nd Support Target: Level: Around $94,000 This is a deeper support level and likely final target if selling pressure continues. --- 🔍 Summary: Sell below: ~$104,000 (on breakdown confirmation) Target 1: ~$98,000 Target 2: ~$94,000 Stop-loss suggestion: Above upper triangle trendline (~$106,500 or above recent high) Let me know if you want a trading strategy with risk/reward ratio or SL/TP management tips.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
12
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin From a market analysis perspective, the daily chart of the large cycle has closed with consecutive declines, the price is below the moving averages, and the indicator is in a death cross, indicating a bearish trend. However, it is necessary to be wary of the stimulation from the news and data caused by the current unstable national situation. In operation, risk control should be paid attention to, and the moving average pressure level near 106,000 on the daily chart should be focused on. In the hourly chart of the short cycle, the decline continued in the European session after the morning decline yesterday, the U.S. session broke the low of the previous day, and the price rebounded and corrected at the support in the early morning. Currently, it is still in a corrective trend. Today, focus on the high pressure level in the 106,000 area, as well as the impact of the strength of the European session and the unemployment benefit data in the evening on the trend. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Long
by Ashbur
HTF Consolidation: Key Alerts, Vital Supports, FOMC & Geopolitic__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Strong bullish signal across sector indicators (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), especially on daily and 12H. Momentum remains robust within consolidation. Support/Resistance : Key zone at 104429–102600 (short- and long-term pivots); major resistance at 106000–109950. Volume : Normal to high, with peaks at major supports on 1H/2H (potential sign of absorption/defensive buying). Behavior across timeframes : ISPD neutral on most TFs, only 2H gives a buy signal (possible tactical bounce). All LTFs (≤1H) are down, HTFs (≥1D) are up → corrective structure, awaiting catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias : Underlying bullish, but market consolidates on key technical zones. Opportunities : Swing buy at 104429/102600, tight stop below 100k, take profit 109950+. Risk zones : Clear break below 100350/100000 invalidates the setup (risk-off or tactical short). Macro catalysts : FOMC, Iran–Israel tensions, economic calendar (monitor Jobless Claims, Crude, Fed statement). Action plan : Capital preservation before FOMC. Tactical entries only on key support; tight stops, prudent sizing. No breakout chasing without macro/fundamental validation. Hedge/volatility play via options possible (IV low, caution for post-event spike). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D/12H/6H : Supports: 104429, 102626, 100353. Resistances: 106000–109952. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy. No extreme volume, ISPD neutral; mature range. HTF consolidation, bullish underlying momentum. 4H/2H : Key zone at 104429–102600 (technical defense); 2H is the first true behavioral buy signal. Very high volume at support, favoring a "spike bounce" scenario. “Up” confluence on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, volume, and ISPD for short-term bounce. MTFTI: 2H is one of the “Up” TFs; LTFs remain Down. 1H/30min/15min : Structurally bearish, elevated volume (absorption/protection) on 1H. No behavioral excesses. Intraday weakness but supports tested and defended. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro / Fundamental analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Market in wait-and-see mode : FOMC upcoming, no hike expected but high impact from tone/forward guidance (increased volatility risk). Geopolitics : Iran–Israel escalation, risk-off climate, nervous risk assets. On-chain : Supports tested (STH ~97.6k). Persistent LTH accumulation. Low option IV → underpriced volatility risk. Risk/Reward swing : 2:1/3:1 buying 104429–102600, stop < 100k, take profit 109950+. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final synthesis: Bias, Opportunities, Risks __________________________________________________________________________________ Directional bias : Bullish on HTF, neutral/undecided on short-term. Wait-and-see until strong catalyst confirmed (FOMC, geopolitical de-escalation). Opportunities : Tactical buy on supports, profit-taking on resistance or confirmed breakout. Risks : Invalidation below 100k; sudden spike in FOMC/Israel–Iran escalation = risk-off or selloff. Recommended action : Protect capital before FOMC. Swing tactical entry only on confirmed support. No breakout chasing without macro validation. Leverage potential post-FOMC vol spike via options.
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC: Bias Map 18/06/25Daily Bias Map: - Bitcoin is trading within a HTF range between 110,700 and 100,700. - Mid range sits around 105,700 aligning with a 4H bearish fair value gap. - Higher timeframes are trending down no justification for looking at longs here. Especially after losing 106,500 - FOMC today at 7PM UK time - Expecting major volatility looking to short any spike into resistance or inefficiencies. - A scalp long might be valid around 104,115 (demand zone + 30min SFP), but that’s tactical only. - No reason to flip bullish geopolitical tension (Israel/Iran) adds further downside risk. - Main plan: scalp long if triggered early, then look to short FOMC-driven upside move. - Risk is tight. If setups aren’t clean, I’ll sit out and wait for the FOMC dust to settle.
by Ryn8111
Bitcoin (BTC): Important Area of 200 EMA | Volatility IncomingWhat's happening in the world is having a huge impact on Bitcoin, but the worst is to come... Price is hovering near the 200EMA, where neither buyers nor sellers can establish proper dominance near that area so our "wait" game continues. We wait for proper confirmations of which side will take control of the 200EMA and once we see it, we will be trading according to that. Overall, as long as we are above the 200EMA, we are still looking for the $120K area, but once there, we will be looking for a BIG dump. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Bitcoin Price Looking bullish strength#Bitcoin Technical Outlook – BTCUSDT Bitcoin recently tested the key support zone at 102,500 and is bouncing back, indicating bullish strength amid ongoing Middle East tensions. The geopolitical uncertainty continues to reinforce BTC’s safe-haven appeal, helping the price stabilize above critical levels. 🔹 Key Support: 102,500 🔹 Immediate Resistance: 109,000 🔹 Next Resistance: 110,000 ⚠️ Note: Market remains volatile due to geopolitical developments — risk management is essential. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis share with you Thanks for understanding.
Long
by MrMartin_11
BTCUSDT – Price Poised to Break Descending ChannelBTCUSDT has been maintaining a series of higher lows since early May, consistently rebounding from its dynamic support trendline. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the descending channel resistance around the 108,000 USDT level. A clear double-bottom pattern accompanied by solid recovery momentum suggests a potential breakout from the prolonged correction phase that has persisted throughout June. If BTC breaks above the descending trendline, the next target could be the major resistance zone near 113,000 USDT. On the news front, the market is reacting positively to BlackRock’s announcement of expanding investment in crypto ETF products. At the same time, recent soft U.S. inflation data has strengthened expectations that the Fed may halt its tightening cycle. This combination is improving investor sentiment and driving renewed interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern. For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements. BTCUSD buy@103500-104000 tp:105500-106500 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Long
by EvanField
BTC Accumulated Over 104K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 16) NOTABLE BITCOIN (BTC) NEWS: At least four publicly listed U.S. companies announced plans on Tuesday to significantly increase their cryptocurrency exposure, committing a combined $844 million in new investments. The move reflects a growing corporate appetite for Bitcoin and other digital assets as alternative stores of value and growth opportunities. The most substantial commitment came from Hong Kong-based ready-meal provider DDC Enterprise Ltd, which disclosed three separate purchase agreements totaling $528 million. The entire sum is earmarked for expanding the company’s Bitcoin reserves. Technical analysis angle DAY DAY: Bitcoin is united when uncertainty takes root Bitcoin price moves widely at about $ 106,300 at the time of writing the article after failing to reach the $ 107,000 resistance threshold on Monday. Its technical structure, as observed from the daily chart below, shows the trend of price increases. The dynamic convergence indicator (MACD) has maintained the signal to be confirmed on Thursday when the blue MACD line cut under the red signal line. This signal often encourages traders to consider reducing exposure to Bitcoin, thereby creating a dynamic motivation. The relative power index (RSI) highlights the discount trend when it is sloping, approaching the middle line 50. The movement is below this important neutral level that can catalyze the downtrend, bringing the average exponent dynamic line of 50 days (EMA) at $ 103,064, the 100 -day EMA road at $ 98,783 and the 200 -day EMA road at $ 93,083 to become expected targets. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁 In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️ We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders. For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
by fxtraderanthony
2
BTC at Risk Amid Technical Weakness and Geopolitical TensionsBitcoin has failed to break above the previous high of $110,264, and instead formed a lower high at $108,802, signaling potential weakness in the current structure. From a technical standpoint, this breakdown increases the likelihood of a bearish move — especially with today’s FOMC interest rate decision on the horizon and escalating geopolitical tensions, including the risk of U.S. involvement in the Middle East conflict. We're also seeing increased volatility and market sensitivity to news, which can make short-term trading riskier than usual. Bitcoin remains inside the red consolidation box — and as previously mentioned, any breakout from this range is likely to be sharp and aggressive (whale-driven). That’s why positioning ahead of the breakout is crucial. If BTC breaks below $103,608.67 and at the same time Bitcoin Dominance rises above 64.90%, it could be a strong signal that capital is exiting altcoins. In that case, short opportunities in altcoins may offer better setups, as they could drop more significantly than BTC. 🛑 Due to the high volatility and macro uncertainty, keep your risk low, use tight stop-losses, and don’t forget to secure profits quickly. 💬 What’s your take on BTC’s next move? Drop a comment below — let’s discuss! 👇
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER
At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG.🚨 BITCOIN MARKET UPDATE 🚨 Bitcoin has recently broken below the previous BPR (Balanced Price Range), signaling a significant shift in market structure. Along with this breakdown, a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has also formed — a strong indication that the market may be preparing for a further move to the downside. 📉 What This Means: The break below BPR, combined with the emergence of a bearish FVG, suggests that bearish momentum is currently in play. This is often a sign that the market intends to seek out lower liquidity zones, potentially targeting new lower lows. 🔎 Current Setup: At the moment, Bitcoin is hovering around the newly created FVG. If price retraces into this zone and gives us a clear bearish confirmation (such as a rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or other MSS confirmation), it could provide a high-probability sell opportunity. 🎯 Target: The primary target would be liquidity below the most recent lower lows. ⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Always wait for proper confirmation before entering a trade. These setups are best traded using MSS (Market Structure Shift) or BPR strategies for higher probability outcomes. 📚 DYOR — Do Your Own Research! Trading involves risk. Ensure you have a strategy in place and never trade blindly.
Short
by Peter_Wade