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BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas

Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again. With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling. Key Technical Points: - Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature - Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling - Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD. In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory. This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level. Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND. Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash. This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well. We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections. A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone. Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't. The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview. This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC. Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Short
by SatochiTrader
1
BTCUSDT SHORT SIGNAL Setup Type: Liquidity Trap & Distribution Trade Idea (SHORT): Entry Zone: $108,000 – $110000 Stop Loss: Above $113000 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $104,000 TP2: $100,000 TP3: 98000 TP4: 74000 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your decisions. Use this information as a guide — not a guaranteed outcome. Wait for clear confirmation before executing any trade.
Short
by Saham009
1
Bitcoin Pressing Up But This Compression Could Crack LowerBitcoin has been steadily climbing for months, respecting that long-term trendline since last year. Each dip into it brought a strong bounce, showing bulls are still in control of the bigger picture. But right now price is pressing into a tight descending resistance line. We can see it making lower highs while struggling to break above that red trendline. At the same time, it’s sitting just above a key horizontal range, where buyers stepped in before. This compression is risky . If BTC fails to push above the descending resistance and breaks back below the box, it could drop toward the next demand zone around the low 100K region . As long as the major trendline from last year holds, the broader uptrend is intact . But losing this structure would open the door for a deeper correction. This is the kind of spot where patience pays. Let the breakout or breakdown show its hand before jumping in heavy.
by J4mesWick
1
Bitcoin will no longer update ATH, and here's why⚡️ Hello, everyone! I decided to update my idea about Bitcoin. Let's see what awaits us! Bitcoin rebounded strongly over the weekend and is now trying to consolidate at the $107,000 level. This is a key level, which is the MSB level for the entire current momentum since May, and as long as the price remains below it, it is a bearish movement. Last week, we also closed the GAP to the $98,000 level from the previous movement, but on the way up, we formed a new one at $105,250 - 101,360. And as we know, 99% of GAPs close sooner or later. 📉 Bitcoin also continues to move in a descending flag, which, although it is a bullish pattern in an upward impulse and more often breaks through upwards, has not been working that way for a long time. Trading based on technical analysis is the basis of crypto and has become very widespread, which is actively used by many whales and counterplayers. As a result, many pattern signals have long lost their relevance and now often give false signals. ⚙️ Metrics and indicators: Volume - divergence with price since the end of April. Throughout this upward momentum, purchase volumes continued to decline. This indicates a lack of liquidity and demand for Bitcoin at present. Money Flow - also divergence with price. Also, since the end of April, positions have continued to close and liquidity has continued to decline. This indicates a lack of interest in the asset. Liquidity Depth - we know that the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which serves as its fuel. And now there is much more liquidity at the bottom than at the top. Support/Resistance - Based on the volume of interest, it is clear that the $106,000 level is a major zone, and if it is lost, the nearest support level will only be at $103,004, but with significantly lower volumes. 📌 Conclusion: Despite all the huge inflows into ETFs, there is now even less liquidity in Bitcoin than in November 2024, when Trump became president. This suggests that everyone is actively closing their positions and there is no new money coming in. Search queries for the tags “crypto” and “bitcoin” are not even close to last year's levels, let alone 2021 levels. This means that there is no new retail interest in crypto right now. I don't see any catalysts right now that could keep the price at this level. And ETFs are not an indicator at all; we've already seen how these “smart money” buyers bought at 110k on ATH and sold even more at 70k. 🔥 So, right now, I recommend sitting back and watching. Let the market sort itself out and indicate the direction of movement going forward.
by Crypto_Inside_trading
2
Bitcoin Mirror Cycle: History Repeats? | 2024–2025 PatternThis chart presents a potential repetition of Bitcoin’s 2024 price cycle (Jan 23 – Aug 5, 2024), projected to mirror itself from September 6, 2024 through Q3–Q4 2025. The hand-drawn arcs suggest a repeating pattern of rounded tops, distribution, correction, and potential accumulation zones. Key support levels are marked near $66,172 and $49,116, indicating where price may retrace before a potential bounce or deeper macro-driven selloff. Technically, the chart hints at a large-scale cyclical structure—a classic market psychology pattern where prior cup-and-handle or double-top formations play out again on a broader timescale. 🌍 Global Context Overlay: War & Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing risk of conflict escalation (e.g., Iran–Israel, Ukraine–Russia, and potential East Asian tensions) may lead to increased volatility in risk assets like crypto. Wars historically bring uncertainty, which may initially crash speculative markets but later fuel inflationary hedges like Bitcoin. U.S. Elections (Nov 2024): Political instability or leadership changes can impact Federal Reserve policy, regulation, and market sentiment, directly influencing BTC price direction post-election. Recession Fears & Rate Cuts (2025): With central banks expected to pivot towards rate cuts in 2025, liquidity could flow back into risk-on assets, possibly triggering the bounce scenario shown in the latter part of your drawing. If rate cuts come too late, however, a steeper correction into the $49K zone becomes more likely. Global Debt Crisis & De-Dollarization: Growing debt concerns and countries moving away from the USD may boost Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a non-sovereign store of value, reinforcing the second rally illustrated in your sketch.
by sankalpabiz
2
The only plays you need this week! 🚀 Join us as we dive into the highs and lows of Bitcoin this week! 🔥 Opportunities like this don’t show up every day — and we’ve got a strong feeling there’s a 10X trade hiding somewhere in this video! 👀💰 We’re locked in on the charts like eagles 🦅, watching closely to see if any of our setups come to life. You won’t want to miss what’s coming next! 📈📊 ✨ Stay tuned for daily updates, smart setups, and sharp moves! ✨ 📅 Weekly Schedule: 🛠️ Daily Setups: Monday to Friday 🎓 Class: Every Tuesday (if stars align 🌟 – subject to confirmation) Let’s make it a big week! 💪🚀
by Trade-Journal
1
BTCUSDT – Spring + S&R Rejection | 15min Power EntryBTCUSDT – Spring + S&R Rejection | 15min Power Entry 📅 June 26, 2025 Price swept support and printed a clean spring pattern on the 15-minute — Rejection off key structure + volume surge confirms buyers are back in control. ✅ Demand stepped in hard ✅ Strong wick below consolidation ✅ Protected by the rising 200 EMA ✅ Entry aligns with a Fibonacci 1.618 projection target I’m long to 109,290.56 — nothing less. Stop is clean, invalidation obvious. BTC just tapped the spring — I’m in.
Long
by theeOperator90
6
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys! I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025): What happened? Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again. Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal. What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels. Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image? Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K). Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg. Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone. The descending trendline adds confluence ___________________ History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively. If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
by melikatrader94
23
Bitcoin, The Next High Is The All-Time HighThe title might be a bit misleading but, the truth is that Bitcoin stays bullish short-term and this is bullish on all terms... Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today? Any day, any week, any moment; every month, place or year, the market provides everything we need to know. This information is made available to us through the chart. Bullish Bitcoin The present signal is the fact that Bitcoin remains very high, challenging resistance, after a strong recovery and advance. This is happening with the altcoins also. If you look at the last two peaks, as soon as resistance was hit there was an immediate crash. The next day was full red; very strong bearish action and momentum and this led to a new low. The situation is not the same today. 22-May peak. 23-May, strong bearish action. 9-June peak. 11-June, strong bearish action. 26-June lower high (not a peak). Today, neutral action. This neutral action is what I am taking as a bullish signal. Many other factors of course support this conclusion yet, this is still an early signal. Fib support A closer view of the daily timeframe: 4H. The grey line represents Fib. retracement. Dark blue—Fib. extension: Conclusion Each time there is a price peak a retrace follows, if there is no retrace then you are not witnessing a peak but rather a stop, a pause; resistance being met. It seems that the current lower high is not the end but rather just a pause before additional growth. Market conditions can change. It can happen that several days Bitcoin goes sideways with the bulls failing to garner enough strength. In this scenario, there would be a move lower before additional growth. The present scenario shows a bullish chart even if prices drop, remember, the market is in no hurry. Easy money In September we will have lower interest rates and this is a bullish development for Bitcoin. Advanced money minds see easy money as inflationary for the currency, while Bitcoin is inflation-proof. So the dollar goes down and Bitcoin goes up. I didn't quite develop this point, next time I'll do a better job. Summary The market is good even if it shakes. The market is good and isn't shaking, the recovery is already in place. Bitcoin's price is very strong and there are many layers of support. The altcoins are in a similar situation, growing from the bottom up. The Fed will reduce interest rates in September and then once more before the year ends, this is bullish for everything so, everything will be going up, at least everything that we are interested in, support and trade. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Never give up! You are divine! You are blessed. If you are reading this now, you will be blessed for your great timing. Hard work and dedication always pays. Keep moving forward, keep pushing forward, never give up. When life hits you hard, do take a break if you need it, only to comeback with new energy, a new mind and an infinite drive to achieve your goals. You are the reason why Bitcoin exist... You are the lifeblood of the market. Without you, nothing is possible. It is because of you that we all continue to grow. Thanks again for taking the time to read. I appreciate your support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
BTC Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Since the red arrow was placed on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish phase has ended and it has entered a corrective phase. This correction appears to be forming a Diametric pattern, and we are currently in the middle of wave E. After interacting with the demand zone, the price may move toward the specified targets. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis Market Structure & Trend Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel). Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone. Key Technical Zones 1. Supply Zone Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply. Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range. 2. Demand Zone Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength. Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels 1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with: Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib). Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails. A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond. Psychological Levels 105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions. 100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails. Volume Profile High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance. Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range. Scenarios & Trade Ideas Bullish Scenario If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF: Potential Long to local resistance. On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level. Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet. Bearish Scenario If price fails to hold the demand zone: Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level. If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below. Conclusion Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation: Above demand = bullish recovery setup. Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG. Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
by King_BennyBag
10
UNEXPECTED RISK CRASH FREE FALL AFTER TREND DATA FOR TH NEXT 48HDepending on our study, BTC has a high chance of a new crash below 100K. The next 48 hours are important for the trend change of BTC, which can allow the trend to free-fall below 100K BTC is at a top, and it did recovery always recovered on the M volume top., We are now again on the same trend. BTC can return below 100K as this update shows, with the possibility of targeting the main target 85K - This is the trend zone for new interest. The reason for this crash is that BTC has not confirmed the cycle, which means the end of the cycle. There is always possibility that the market can act green, but we expect it can show an unexpected breakdown.
Short
by SatochiTrader
5
Bitcoin Rejected at Value Area High — Full Market Auction Lower?Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen a short-term pullback after being rejected from the daily resistance level, which aligns with the value area high. The reaction also coincides with a volatility squeeze shown on the Bollinger Bands — hinting at a controlled, technical rejection rather than a panic selloff. If the market follows traditional auction theory, a full rotation toward the value area low may now be in progress. Key Technical Points: -Value Area High Rejection: Price was rejected from high time frame resistance and respected auction theory principles -Targeting $103,000 Value Area Low: Price may rotate lower if resistance continues to cap upside -$100,000 Psychological Support Untapped: Remains a magnet for liquidity if the range plays out fully Bitcoin’s structure over the past week has remained range-bound between $108,000 and $100,000. The recent failure to break through the value area high at the upper end of this range has now triggered a controlled pullback — technically expected based on market auction dynamics. Once a value area high is respected and price cannot sustain above it, the natural response is for the market to seek equilibrium by rotating toward the value area low. This theory aligns with current confluences: the rejection occurred exactly where daily resistance, the value area high, and upper Bollinger Band resistance converged. The rejection was not sudden or erratic, but gradual — indicating that this is likely a technical rejection, not emotional selling. If this rotation plays out as expected, the next key support will be found near the $103,000 region. What further supports this narrative is the untouched $100,000 psychological level, which remains a natural magnet for both liquidity and sentiment. From a market structure perspective, $100K serves as a clean test zone for buyers to step in and attempt to form a bottom — particularly if the pullback is slow and controlled rather than volatile and sharp. Until then, all signs suggest that the upper limit of the current range has held. If Bitcoin remains capped beneath $108,000, expect further downside pressure. A full market auction rotation could bring price to $103,000, with the potential to dip as low as the $100,000 psychological level. This zone will be key for judging the strength of buyers and determining whether the range continues or a broader breakdown begins. Only a reclaim of the value area high would invalidate this structure.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
StochRSI indicator and support and resistance levels Hello, traders. If you "follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is slightly different from the StochRSI indicator on the right. The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is the StochRSI indicator provided by default in TradingView, and the StochRSI indicator on the right chart is an indicator with a modified formula. The StochRSI indicator is a leading indicator that is reflected almost in real time. Therefore, it reacts sensitively to price changes. Although it is advantageous because it reacts sensitively, it also increases the possibility of being caught in a fake, so I thought that a slight delay(?) was necessary, and so I created the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. If you look at the relationship between the K and D of the StochRSI indicators on the two charts, you can see that there is a big difference. In the end, you can predict the movement by checking whether the movement of the K line has escaped the overbought or oversold section. However, I think that you will receive information that can determine the sustainability of the trend depending on the positional relationship between K and D. Therefore, it is important to distinguish the inflection points that occur in the StochRSI indicator. This is because these inflection points provide important information for drawing trend lines. Therefore, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart, which better expresses the inflection point, is being used to draw the trend line. (Unfortunately, this indicator was not registered on TradingView because I did not explain it well.) - As a new candle was created, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart is showing an inflection point on the K line. The StochRSI indicator on the right chart is showing a transition to a state where K < D. We will have to check whether the inflection point was created only when today's candle closes, but I think that the fact that it is showing this pattern means that there is a high possibility of a change in the future trend. Since the next volatility period is expected to start around July 2nd (July 1st-3rd), I think it has started to show meaningful movements. - It is true that you want to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price. However, because of this greed, one mistake can lead to a loss that can overturn nine victories, so you should always be careful. Therefore, if possible, it is better to check for support and respond. In that sense, I think it is worth referring to the relationship between K and D of the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. This is because the actual downtrend is likely to start when K < D. - In order to check for support, you definitely need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Ignoring this and checking for support at the drawn support and resistance points can result in not being able to apply the chart you drew to actual trading. Therefore, you should draw support and resistance points first before starting a trade. Otherwise, if you draw support and resistance points after starting a trade, you are more likely to set support and resistance points that reflect your subjective thoughts, so as I mentioned earlier, you are more likely to lose faith in the chart you drew. If this phenomenon continues, it will eventually lead to leaving the investment market. - It is important to determine whether there is support by checking the correlation between the StochRSI indicator and other indicators at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Even if the inflection point of the StochRSI indicator or other indicators occurs at a point other than the support and resistance points you drew, you should consider it as something that occurred beyond your ability to handle. In other words, you should observe the price movement but not actually trade. As I mentioned earlier, if you start to violate this, you will become less and less able to trust the chart you drew. - Accordingly, the basic trading strategy I suggest is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are expressed as average values, they may move in the opposite direction to the basic trading strategy. In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is resisted and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, and if the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy mentioned above can be considered a trading strategy in the box section. In the case of deviating from this box section, it is highly likely to occur before and after the volatility period indicated by the relationship between the trend line using the StochRSI indicator mentioned above and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, special care is required when conducting new transactions during the volatility period. This is because there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake when trading during the volatility period. - The DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are good indicators to look at together with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators. Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to be at the end of the high point range, and the DOM(060) indicator is likely to be at the end of the low point range. In the explanation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, - I said that if the HA-Low indicator receives resistance and falls, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, - and if the HA-High indicator receives support and rises, there is a possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin. In order for an actual stepwise downtrend to begin, the price must fall below DOM(-60), and in order for a stepwise uptrend to begin, it must rise above DOM(60). In other words, the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section can be seen as support and resistance sections. - If these correlations start to appear, I think you will be able to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style without being swayed by price volatility and proceed with trading. The reason for analyzing charts is to trade. Therefore, the shorter the time for chart analysis, the better, and you should increase the start of creating a trading strategy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto