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BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas

Bitcoin Technical Analysis | The Most Important Channel 📊 Bitcoin Technical Analysis | The Most Important Channel You’ll Ever See! This might be the most critical BTC chart you come across. I've mapped out the key ascending channel that has defined Bitcoin’s long-term trend over the past few years. The upper boundary, lower boundary, and especially the midline have repeatedly acted as dynamic support and resistance levels. Right now, BTC is trading near the channel top, with strong bullish momentum. While the buying pressure remains high and a breakout is possible, watch out for potential rejections or fakeouts around this area. All major support and resistance levels are clearly marked in this chart. Make sure to draw this channel on your own chart and use it as a powerful tool in your trading decisions. 🧠 Follow for more high-probability setups, smart technical insights, and real-time updates!
by SepidehArjmand
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)? A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal. This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them. An SFP typically consists of: A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low. A sharp rejection back within the prior range. A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal. SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends. 2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently. One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts. Liquidity Grab: Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders. Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction. Stop Hunt: A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing. Often seen near major support and resistance levels. These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals. 3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to: Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage. Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing. Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices. Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals. 4. Market Structure & SFPs Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react. Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward. Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward. Types of Swing Points in Market Structure Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market 5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders. Common Liquidity Pool Zones: Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here. Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate. Trendline & Range Liquidity: Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance. Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price. 6. Identifying Bullish SFPs SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal. Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend) Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders. A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low. A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal. Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP. Best bullish SFP setups occur: At strong support levels Below previous swing lows with high liquidity After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation 7. Identifying Bearish SFPs Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend) Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders. A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high. A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation. Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP. Best bearish SFP setups occur: At strong resistance levels Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift 8. How SFPs Signal Reversals SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted. Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal. Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity). Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity). Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting). Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP). 9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak. A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab). Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection). Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body). Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure) Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers. A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices. Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas. Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure) Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers. A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices. Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas. ❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These) ❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant. ❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP). ❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection. B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume. How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption. Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure. Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal. Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing. If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal. Best tools for volume analysis: Volume Profile (VPVR) Relative Volume (RVOL) Footprint Charts 10. Key Takeaways SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption. Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout. Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail. Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals. Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones. Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy. Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits. Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
Education
by CandelaCharts
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support. When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point. However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance. We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone. - If OBV fails to rise above the High Line, - If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point, - If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D, It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall. Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0. If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21. Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction. Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase. The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Do not forget this. However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction. In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend. Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method. - The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3). The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend. Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum . Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame? Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed . --------------------------------- Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker. Why weaker PMI is likely? Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand. High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors. Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity. If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost. --------------------------------- I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241 Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management. Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
20
Bitcoin - Bounce Incoming or Breakdown to 97.5k?Market Context Bitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily. Short-Term Structure and FVG Setup Following the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above. Upside Target and Gap Fill Potential If price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply. Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg. Scouting Liquidity and Price Flow Right now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions. Conclusion Price has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
40
BTC/USDT.P – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraPrevious idea played out. The last candle showed strong volume and a wick to the upside, signaling some liquidity has been taken. From here, I expect either a minor high above that wick or a correction down to the 0.618 area, then continuation of the bullish move towards the yellow liquidity block. If price breaks below recent lows, the 106,300 level has proven itself as solid support—buyers have stepped in there twice with strong volume, so I’m not expecting it to give way easily. Overall, I anticipate another push up to collect liquidity above and will reassess once price reaches the upper range. Watching price action closely for confirmation. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Long
by Riscora
2
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals last week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Bitcoin Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart): Price remains within an ascending channel. The MACD above the zero line with expanding red histograms indicates bullish dominance. After firmly breaking above the key resistance at $105,000, price is testing $110,000. Caution: The RSI near 70 has entered overbought territory, increasing short-term pullback risks. Support levels: $106,000 and $105,000. Trading Recommendation for Aggressive Traders Consider light long positions near $106,000 on pullbacks, with stop-loss set below $105,000. Trading Strategy: buy@105000-106000 TP:108000-110000
Long
by HamiltionCoffey
BTC - LONG SET-UPBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin is currently testing its critical resistance level If the price gets rejected here, the key support to watch is the $𝟏𝟎𝟏,𝟐𝟎𝟎 - $𝟏𝟎𝟐,𝟖𝟎𝟎 zone. This area represents a strong demand level where a potential buying opportunity could emerge. For a trade setup based on this support, a strategic Stop Loss (SL) should be placed below the $𝟗𝟖,𝟎𝟎𝟎 mark to manage risk. For now, patience is crucial. Keep a close eye on the price action
Long
by UnculturedTrade007
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Four Bullish Drivers Behind Bitcoin's Rally (1) Institutional Capital Rampage: From Whale Holdings to Market Scarcity - **BlackRock et al. as anchor investors**: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has ballooned to $71.9 billion, holding 660,000 BTC—equivalent to 3.1% of total circulating supply. Such "whale-level" positions not only provide liquidity support but also shatter traditional financial institutions' attitude toward crypto. - **Accelerating OTC concentration**: OTC platform data shows Bitcoin inventory plunged from 166,500 coins at the start of the year to 137,400 coins, a 17.5% drop. This signals massive coins are shifting from exchanges to institutional custody, creating a "scarcity effect" analogous to apple prices surging due to supply shortages. (2) Fed Rate Cut Expectations Ignite Hot Money Inflows - **Policy pivot-driven capital reallocation**: After Fed Governor Bowman signaled a possible July rate cut, CME futures now price in two 2025 rate cuts (up from one). Historical parallels: Bitcoin surged 42% in 6 months post-Fed's first 2019 rate cut (S&P 500 +12%), as low rates enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a "non-sovereign asset". - **Diminishing opportunity costs**: A potential Fed rate cut would lower real yields (nominal rate - inflation). If 10-year Treasury real yields fall from 2.3% to 1.5%, the opportunity cost of holding gold/Bitcoin declines, pushing funds from bonds into risk assets. (3) Regulatory Gate Opening: Chinese Brokerage Breaks New Ground - **Guotai Junan International's milestone**: On June 24, Hong Kong's SFC approved its virtual asset trading services, making it the first Chinese-funded brokerage to gain such. This opens a "compliant channel" for mainland capital—post-announcement, its HK shares surged 101%, while OTC Bitcoin inventory dropped by 3,000 coins, indicating institutions are front-running liquidity inflows. - **Financial infrastructure upgrade**: The service allows clients to trade BTC via traditional securities accounts, lowering entry barriers. Analogous to Chinese brokerages accessing gold ETFs in 2013, such channels typically trigger explosive incremental flows, expected to attract $1-2 billion from family offices initially. (4) Technical "Golden Cross" Confirms Long-Term Trend - **Key moving average resonance**: BTC recently completed a 50-day MA (102,300 USD) cross above 200-day MA (94,700 USD), forming a "golden cross". Backtesting 2019 and 2020 instances, this pattern preceded 58% average 6-month gains, though short-term pullbacks (10-15%) are common (e.g., June 2023 post-cross correction). - **Strong support forming a safety net**: The 200-day MA now acts as dynamic support—pullbacks to ~95,000 USD would represent a "secondary buying opportunity at institutional cost bases", similar to housing prices finding support when breaking below moving averages. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@106000~107000 SL:105000 TP:108000~109000
Long
by David_Wilson1
Bitcoin (BTC): Still Hovering Near ATH | Seems WeakeningBitcoin is still hovering near the local ATH area, where sellers and buyers are fighting over the zone there. There is nothing clear yet so we keep on monitoring, but we are seeing smaller signs of weakness, which indicate upcoming volatile movement as we are approaching the end of the month. Now we will keep an eye on how sharp the monthly opening will be and based on that, we will trade. Our attentions are still at $120K for now. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
BTC: A Classic Cup & Handle in Play!Bitcoin has formed a classic cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, with the 100 EMA providing solid support during the handle formation. Currently, the price is consolidating in what appears to be a bullish flag or extended handle, just below the key resistance zone around $109K. A breakout above this level could ignite a strong bullish rally toward higher targets like $144k. Key Highlights: -Cup & Handle pattern confirmed -10 EMA acting as dynamic support -Bullish flag/handle forming near resistance - A breakout could lead to explosive upside Regards Hexa CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long
by HexaTrades
Up for BitcoinHi traders, Last week Bitcoin made a small correction up and after that another drop just as I've said. After it retested the Weekly FVG and broke the previous swing low it went impulsive up again. This could be the next impulse wave to new ATH's. So wait for the correction down to finish and trade longs. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead. That's why this post is for people like that. 1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System Insights and Logic: We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax." Facts: Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating. The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness. Analogy: Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly. 2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty Insights: Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections. Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes. Systematic Explanation: Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments. This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face. Conclusion: The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes. 3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth Insights: The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies: * Nano—new materials and sensors; * Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension; * Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain; * Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces. Historical Analogy: Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century. Facts: Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation. Forecast: The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors. 4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control Facts: Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics. Insight: Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one. This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly. Conclusion: Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives. 5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting** Facts: Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46. Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable. Ideological Crisis: Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions. The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany. Conclusion: Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth. 6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks Facts and Locations: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks. Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China. Logic: Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards. Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe. 7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar Facts: U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model. USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S. Insights: Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control. The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat. 8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks Argentina Analysis: President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation. Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency. Positives: No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy). Mexico: High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life. 9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War Concept: Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances. Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa. Strategic Conclusion: Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam. About DXY I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time. September is coming soon Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
28