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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

BTC - Key Level Being TestedRight now BTC is fighting a pivotal level in its current trend. After falling slightly below the $100k level price has seen a strong uptick after a 4H reversal doji was created at the bottom of the trend. Now price is at the $105k level which has shown lots of volume with flips between support and resistance. What we are watching for now is our red "Upper Resistance Trendline". The level is currently around $109k. If we see a rejection of that level then it would show the bears are still in control and the momentum to the downside will continue. If we can close candles above the red trendline we could see a swift move back to our white trendline and a break of that could see a strong surge to new all time highs. If we see the current uptrend start to fade and price close below our 0.236 fib that could be an early indication of lower levels needing to be tested. If we do start to fall rapidly the most important level to hold to keep the macro uptrend intact is the 0.618 fib level. Currently this level is around $88k and if that level would be flipped into new support it would be the best level to create a macro higher low.
by VIAQUANT
BTC & USDT.D => Bullish Correction Incoming?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. Both BTC and USDT.D are sitting around key rejection zones. 💰 BTC is hovering near the $100,000 level — a major previous low and a psychological round number. 📊 Meanwhile, USDT.D is testing the 5% resistance — a supply zone and another critical round number. As long as $100,000 holds as support on BTC and 5.1% holds as resistance on USDT.D, we could expect a bullish correction across the crypto market. What do you think? Will these levels hold or break? 🤔 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
26
BTC ITS A TRAP Bitcoin is currently facing significant resistance at key technical levels and may be positioning for a potential sharp decline heading into Thursday, particularly as markets close and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten to escalate. Two key technical confluences support this thesis: 1. Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern: This setup is developing with highly precise ratio alignments, targeting a convergence at the Point of Control (POC) alongside multiple anchored VWAP levels. While the pattern typically involves a sharp decline, it often precedes a powerful reversal once liquidity is swept from the lows, making this a potentially attractive risk-reward inflection zone. 2. Failed Auction Structure: Price action has demonstrated an inability to sustain a breakout above the established fair value range, instead reverting back within the bounds of a parallel channel. This failed breakout—confirmed by a rejection at the upper end of the volume profile—suggests heightened probability of a move back toward fair value, marked in blue, which coincides with the POC and represents the market's most accepted / traded price. We’ll observe how the setup develops from here.
Long
by afurs1
Bitcoin Completely Transformed Into a Bearish SetupBTC Completely Transformed Into a Bearish Setup Since last week, BTC and most of the Alcoins have changed their direction from clearly rising to falling. The reason why this happened is another topic, because it is never a clear reason, but it happens. If the price is going to respect this falling pattern, BTC should easily fall to 97800 and 94500, otherwise it may transform and change its appearance again. It is difficult to understand whether BTC has ended the uptrend so far and the downtrend has begun. Or if we are in a larger bullish correction. However, with the current data, it is only falling. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead. Technical Breakdown: Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance) Current Price: $102,246 Next Key Support Zones: $101,410 (short-term bounce zone) $97,340 – critical horizontal support $93,343 – potential deeper flush area Resistance to Watch: $103,573 (retest = short opportunity) $105,807 (major rejection zone) Short Setup (Signal Style): Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested) Stoploss: Above $105,800 Targets: TP1: $101,400 TP2: $97,300 TP3: $93,300 Final Note: Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Short
by ScramblerG
4
Bitcoin Weekly, Not Good But... Opportunities AboundI cannot say about the weekly timeframe the same I said for the daily, the situation here is different. The chart looks bad. The weekly close changes nothing. If Bitcoin moves and closes weekly above $106,000, this can be good news, but any trading below this level has bearish potential. It can be a period of bullish consolidation but the bearish potential cannot be ignored. So, I will keep it short. Bitcoin remains in doubt on the weekly timeframe. Bullish above $100,000. Bearish below $100,000. It has been six weeks with Bitcoin moving with basically no change. Last week's action did produce some loses for some traders, but for us the market remains the same. We focus on the altcoins, ignore Bitcoin for now, there is no growth and the action is still happening near resistance; at short-term support but overall, closer to a top than a bottom. It is risky to say the least. Many altcoins are trading at bottom prices and growing strong. We go for the low risk vs high potential for reward chart setups. We don't mind the market shaking, evolving or reacting to some geopolitical event, we do care about making the right choices... Focus on the altcoins for now, and for long... Hold on. I shall give you more information. Bearish action is indeed present but still weak. Bearish volume is very low. The fact that more than 1B worth of leveraged positions were liquidated calls for a pause. Each and every time this amount of money is taken out of peoples hands and transferred to the exchanges, the market changes direction. Regardless of the signals, the bigger picture or the long-term. This is a huge transfer, the whales are getting richer, retail is getting rekt. So, the market is likely to shake some more. This is only because Bitcoin is trading way too high and hasn't produced any significant retrace after considerable growth. Again, we buy those trading low near support. We sell those trading high near resistance. As long as this is the MO, we are sure to win in the long-run. I wouldn't want to buy-long a project that is crashing when there are others growing, yet to grow and with huge potential for growth. Remember, the market is big now, Bitcoin is very strong above 100K. It can happen that Bitcoin goes on a retrace while the altcoins move ahead. Money flowing out of the big projects reaches the smaller projects, classic bull market dynamic. Nothing surprising; opportunities are endless. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
by MasterAnanda
BTC Loses Key Level — Will 100K Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has been locked in a range for the past 45 days, clinging above the critical psychological support at $100K. But cracks are starting to show… Every bounce from the key level at $102,430 has been weakening — and now, for the first time, we’re breaking cleanly below it. Things are starting to tilt bearish. So the question is… ⛏️ Will 100K be tested next? 🔍 Key Support Zone: $97.7K–$96.9K Using the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at $74.5K to the recent ATH, the 0.382 retracement lands at $97,655 — just below the $100K mark. But there’s more… Here’s why the zone between $97.7K and $96.9K is crucial: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement: A common pullback level in strong uptrends. Anchored VWAP from $74.5K: Currently sitting around $96.9K, tracking cumulative volume-weighted average price — a key level. Daily Order Block: Sits right at $96,887, aligning with the VWAP and reinforcing the area as demand-rich. 1.272 Fibonacci extension: From the previous move — providing another layer of confluence. Fair Value Gap (FVG): The imbalance lies right in this zone. Price often fills these before continuing trend. All of this stacks up to a high-probability long setup. 🕵️‍♂️ What to Do Now? Set alerts at $100K and watch for a reaction. If price slices through, shift focus to the 0.382 Fib — monitor price action closely for signs of a reversal. The first clean test of this zone could present a solid long — but as usual don’t trade blindly. Wait for confirmation. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
6
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????) Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index.... Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
38
[SeoVereign] Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – June 22, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered a downward phase based on the counting criteria. A movement breaking below the S1 support line has been detected, which I previously mentioned as a signal to consider a mid-to-short term bearish trend. From a trend perspective, a bullish reversal has not yet occurred. The reason is that on the 20th, when the 105550 level was broken upward, a strong momentum-driven upward move did not follow. If a true trend reversal had occurred at that point, there should have been immediate strong buying pressure without a whipsaw movement after the breakout. However, the market quickly reversed downward, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. At that point, I was preparing a long idea, but as the bearish trend became clear, I chose not to upload it. At the same time, the 1.414 butterfly pattern I personally developed was confirmed, further supporting the continuation of the downward trend. As a result, I have continued to hold the Bitcoin short position that began with the idea on the 11th, and I plan to provide further analysis and idea updates as market movements unfold. I wish you sound judgment in the market and continued good fortune.
Short
by SeoVereign
1
BTCUSDT – Rebound from trendline, targeting 115,300On the daily chart, BTCUSDT has bounced from a confluence support zone around 105,200, where the rising trendline meets the FVG, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The current price pattern suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a short-term target at the 115,300 resistance zone — a level that has previously rejected price multiple times. If this level is broken, momentum could extend toward the 120,000 area in the medium term. As long as the price holds above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid. On the news front, market sentiment is improving as Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. show signs of renewed inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed might pause rate hikes due to recent signs of economic weakness.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
12
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines. Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish. Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish. Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge. My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago. However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
by axxxis666
1
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
1
BTCUSDT: Bullish Outlook Following Liquidity Sweepnavigating around pivotal areas defined by Breaker Blocks (BB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) on both the 1-hour and 2-hour charts. These zones represent high-probability areas for market reactions, whether as support for continuation or as points for potential short-term retracement before a larger rally. strongly favors a bullish continuation for BTC. monitor interactions with the identified BB/FVG zones for optimal entry points, anticipating a potential dip to sweep short-term BSL or mitigate imbalances before the next significant leg up.
by Senku010
2
BTC - Continuation of Bull Trap 21.06.2025Hello Friday! Never, ever, ever trade crypto on weekend, but let's hop in! 🔻 What I expect more? Continuation of Bull Trap! (Probability 70/30) Few Reasons: Price broke 20 EMA(daily) and is sliding just above the 50 EMA with "dead-cat" bounce attempts. RSI is going down below 50 — momeentuum is faaadiing. No signs of some big demand at this level (low volume on small green candles + Iran uncertainty). Notable, that we are far from any bounce move (which would support re-accumulation). Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (Most likely) Expecting BTC to test the 99.5k zone — this is the key support level becasue of several arguments: 1) 0.886 Fib 2) Confluence with previous horizontal range support 3) 100 EMA 4) Under psychological level 100k 5) RSI needs to cool off before taking higher targets. If 99.5k broken, next stop is near 88.5k (0.786 Fib) I wouldn't like to analyse further possible downslide of BTC, so lets stay so far in already negative scenario within 88.5k, but let's keep in mind, that maximum pain we will see near 75k zone. 🟡 Alternative: Short-term Bounce (Probability 30/70) BTC could attempt bounce towards 105–106.5k (retest of broken structure + 20 EMA resistance) If this bounce has low volume and rejection near EMAs or RSI stays below 50 , it's a sell opportunity — not a bullish reversal. ✅ Final thoughts for short term: stay away from the market. From 103.5k I would expect downward continuation toward 99.5k with possible minor bounce attempts along the way. Wait for strong reversal signal near 100k and enter LONG with tight SL. Don't trade during the weekend, unless there's a once in a lifetime opportunity. Have fun!
by Expate
2
BTCUSDT Short Setup Below Major Trendline ResistanceBTCUSDT is currently testing the upper boundary of a descending trendline, which has acted as strong resistance over multiple touches. Price is now at $106,300, a key area aligned with previous rejections and now forming a potential lower high within the structure. This setup presents a short opportunity, with: - A clear rejection level at the descending trendline. - A defined Stop Loss at $108,270, just above recent swing highs and the upper trendline. - A Take Profit target at $100,559, a level near the bottom channel and prior support. Trade Parameters: - Entry: ~$106,300 - Stop Loss: $108,270 - Take Profit: $100,559 - Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2.91 A breakdown from this level could trigger continuation to the downside, while a close above the trendline with momentum would invalidate the setup. Bias: Bearish Rejection from Trendline Confirmation: Strong wick or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance zone
Short
by NakamotoZzzz
1
BTC at the Crossroads — $91k Demand or Deeper Flush to $76k?🎯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 — Bullish Reclaim: If price reclaims 1D 50EMA and $104k, bias flips bullish; look for continuation toward ATHs Scenario 2 — Base Case (Favored): Remain patient for a move to $91k–$92k; swing-long setup on signs of strength or iH&S formation If $91k–$92k holds, expect a summer rally and new ATHs later in 2025 Scenario 3 — Breakdown: If $91k fails, prepare for deeper move to $73k–$76k; this is the “max long” zone if tested Must hold here; below $73k–$76k, next support is $55k 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Long only above $104k + 1D 50EMA, or after bullish structure at $91k–$92k Major long only on strong support at $76k, with clear confirmation 📝 Order Placement & Management: Buy: On reclaim of $104k (trend confirmation) or at $91k–$92k with iH&S/reversal pattern Backup Buy: If $76k is tagged with confirmation Stops: Under $91k or $73k (based on entry) Targets: New ATHs for late 2025 🚨 Risk Warning: Losing $91k opens path to $76k; losing $76k is a major structure break Don’t knife-catch — wait for confirmation at each level
by Goldfinch_song
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7Title: Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 Post: 🌍📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 7 🧭🔥 This is it — Part 7 of our ongoing macro Bitcoin analysis — and this one is rooted in the three all-time trendlines that I’ve used for years to map out Bitcoin’s biggest moments. We are now heading north, potentially to do something historic : test the upper trendline resistance for the third time . 📈 When Bitcoin does this, it tends to either break out massively ... or signal the end of a cycle . That’s why this zone — 114.5K to 115K — is critical . A successful breakout here and $100K becomes history . It would unleash Bitcoin into a new phase of its long-term bullish evolution. 🦅 On the flip side: this might also mark the final resistance of the current cycle . Either way, it’s a zone where serious decisions will be made — and manipulation will likely spike. 👀 🔑 Key Levels: 114,520–115,000 : Breakout zone — reclaim this and we’re headed higher. 97,770 : Key support — fail to hold, and we reassess the bullish case. 🎥 Want to better understand the levels in play? Watch my latest video idea, where I draw comparisons between BTC now and the Brexit 2016 setup. This will help you see why I’m preparing for major volatility . 🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧 I’ll post the video link below once live — keep an eye out for it! 👇 Previous post: “Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!’” One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 ps. Big breakout at 115k or end of cycle? I am hoping for the first!
Long
by FX_Professor
3