BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
BTC/USDT Analysis: Resumption of a Full Bullish Trend
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally broke the previous high. There was no false breakout or seller defense on higher timeframes, so the uptrend continues.
The next target is $105,000.
A local support zone has formed at $98,000–$97,200 after the breakout. So far, there are no signs of seller presence, but low volume remains a concern. Any strong surge in seller activity could trigger a significant correction.
Resistance zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Support zones:
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC Next target 70kwaiting for one bad news that will accelerate the fall of BTC into this zone, the Printing press has not yet been launched, the data is stable but everything is on the verge of collapse, in order to start the movement of lowering the rate and the printing press, the market needs to collapse again
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower
Bitcoin Daily Chart Update – Momentum Intact!📢 Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from $84,800 to nearly $96,000 in just 10 days, following a strong breakout on the daily chart. Price is holding well, showing bullish continuation.
🚩 The next key level is $97,200 – a clean breakout above this can open the door to $99,520 and possibly a retest of recent highs, assuming global sentiment remains stable.
🔒 Stop-loss for the setup: $93,000
📈 This setup was spotted using the iSparkIndicator, which is designed to identify early momentum shifts and breakout zones. It’s been a game-changer in catching such moves with confidence.
📬 If you're curious about how it works, feel free to DM me for insights or a hands-on trial.
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#BTCUSDT:Price Moving Well From $88,000 to $96,000,Next $128,000Bitcoin has moved well from our last idea of $88,000 to $96,000. However, a small correction is expected, which could be a good point to enter a swing trade. This could take the price to a new record high of around $128,000.
We have three targets, but each can be set based on your overview. The last three candles are not clear, so it’s best to wait for price to have a clearer indication of its next move.
We wish you the best and good luck in your trading journey. Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance
Context
• April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %)
• 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 %
• Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated
Flows
• US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn
• BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD
• MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC
Technical focus (2‑hour chart)
• Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May
• Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply)
• First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000
• Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000
• Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500
Base case
60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance
30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k
10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+
Takeaways
• Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k
• Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k
• Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions
Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
Financial Markets: Outlook and Risks – May 2025As May 2025 begins, global financial markets are entering the month with cautious optimism, shaped by anticipation surrounding decisions from key regulatory bodies. At the center of this uncertainty lies the U.S. Federal Reserve, whose policies continue to exert a significant influence over global asset dynamics.
After a series of interest rate hikes throughout 2023 and 2024, the Federal Reserve has adopted a more neutral stance, closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators. Despite a moderate decline in inflation and stable employment figures, Fed officials remain hesitant to declare an end to the tightening cycle. In his latest address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for "vigilance amid geopolitical volatility and structural changes in the global economy."
The U.S. stock market entered May with moderate volatility. The S&P 500 index is hovering near local highs, while investors are reacting cautiously to corporate earnings reports and Fed commentary. Tech stocks are largely on the rise, driven by expectations of expanded AI integration, while companies in the industrial and energy sectors face pressure from rising input costs and supply chain instability.
Europe is facing a more complex situation, with inflationary pressures persisting, especially in the energy sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) is walking a fine line between tightening monetary policy and supporting sluggish economic growth. Major indices like the UK’s FTSE and Germany’s DAX are showing mixed signals, reflecting domestic challenges and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
On currency markets, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong, though it occasionally dips as expectations grow for a more dovish stance from the Fed. The euro and the Japanese yen are showing periodic strengthening, backed by active central bank measures. Emerging markets such as Brazil and India are seeing increased interest in gold and government bonds as a hedge against external risks.
Beyond monetary policy, one of the main concerns for investors is the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China. Tariff hikes and export restrictions on strategic goods are raising alarms about supply chain reconfigurations and capital reallocation on a global scale.
Investors around the world are searching for a balance between risk and return. Current strategies emphasize diversification, safe-haven assets, digital technologies, and ESG-focused sectors. Analysts advise a measured approach, urging investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data before making major portfolio decisions.
In summary, May 2025 marks a period of watchfulness and recalibration. Financial markets are looking to the Federal Reserve, trade negotiations, and key economic reports for signals that will likely define the tone for the months ahead.
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview
🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory.
🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed.
🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone.
🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH).
📊 Technical Details
🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000.
🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure.
🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud.
🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone.
🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000.
📈 RSI and Volume
🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up.
🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure.
🎯 Personal Prediction
🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate:
→ Short-term goal: $100,000
→ Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
BTCUSDT – Potential Rejection Near $106K Before Deeper PullbackPrice is approaching a key resistance zone around $106,300, aligned with the upper boundary of a rising channel. I’m watching for a possible rejection at this level, which could trigger a pullback toward the FWB:88K –$90K support area, as shown in the red box. If that fails, we may revisit lower demand zones around $73K. However, a confirmed breakout above $106K would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest further bullish continuation.
Let’s see how price reacts near resistance.
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – Will the Rally Continue or Is a CorrectBitcoin is currently trading at $94,500 💰, but statistical studies and mathematical models indicate a potential downward movement 📉 that could push the price toward $93,800, with a strong likelihood of testing the $89,900 zone.
🛡️ Critical Support at $89,000
To maintain the long-term bullish trend, it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above the $89,000 support level. If the price closes below this level for an entire week, it would be a clear negative signal ❌ and could suggest a trend reversal to the downside for a longer period before any renewed upward movement.
✅ When Does the Correction End?
According to statistical studies and mathematical models, the clearest signal that the current correction has ended would be a break above $97,650 followed by three consecutive daily closes above this level 📈.
If this scenario plays out, we could see a strong and rapid surge toward the following targets:
🎯 Target 1: $104,900
🎯 Target 2: $112,900
💡 Investor Advice
If the breakout occurs, it is advisable to take profits 💸 at the mentioned targets and avoid entering new positions until further notice. The market could experience dramatic and swift movements ⚡, so caution is essential.
📢 The analysis will be updated upon reaching these levels to provide a clearer outlook based on price behavior at that time.
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BTCUSDT... 1H CHAT PATTERNIt looks like you're sharing a *trade setup* for BTC/USDT. Here's a breakdown of the trade details:
* *Entry Price:* 9638
* *1st Target (Take Profit 1):* 9789
* *Final Target (Take Profit 2):* 9900
* *Stop Loss:* 9500
### Risk/Reward Analysis:
* *Risk (Stop Loss Distance):* 9638 - 9500 = *138 points*
* *Reward (1st Target):* 9789 - 9638 = *151 points* → R/R = *1.09*
* *Reward (Final Target):* 9900 - 9638 = *262 points* → R/R = *1.90*
This setup offers a *decent risk-to-reward ratio*, especially if you're targeting the final level. However, make sure to:
* Adjust *position size* based on your account risk tolerance.
* Monitor *market volatility* and *news events* that may impact BTC prices.
* Consider setting a *trailing stop* if price nears the first target.
BTC-----Sell around 96300, target 95300-95000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 2:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, the K-line pattern was single-yin and single-yang, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. However, although the price broke through the high point yesterday, it did not continue. It is currently in a waving trend. In this way, we still have to look at the range shock trend in terms of trend, and the transaction is still high-altitude and low-multiple; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the US market rose and broke the high yesterday, and the price retreated under pressure in the early morning. The current K-line pattern is continuous and negative, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, so there is a high probability that there will be a demand for a decline during the day.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 96,300 area, stop loss at 96,800 area, the first target is 95,300 area, and the second target is 95,000 area;
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation:
📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive.
⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation.
🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat.
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🔥 CME Gap Update:
4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560
This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled.
Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism.
However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
• Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431
• Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550
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🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap
Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100
Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
Bitcoin is being squeezed. Will it experience a reversal?Hello, guys
Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ended the period below 100k?📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rocketed out of the $91 300 demand zone, snapping the 6‑month descending trend and converting the $99 500 former cap into support.
● A tight bull pennant is forming just above that level; a decisive break targets the marked resistance level/supply band at $108 000. Long bias void below $93 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. Treasury’s plan to boost quarterly bill issuance is flattening real yields and lifting non‑yielding assets.
● Hong Kong’s new spot‑BTC ETFs amassed >$500 M AUM in two weeks, signalling fresh Asia‑Pacific demand and tightening offshore float.
✨ Summary
Pennant continuation above new support and expanding Asian ETF inflows argue for a push from $99.5 K to $108 K; protect longs if price closes under $93.3 K.
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"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion.
Why Is This Important?
Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.
This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts.
Security and Storage
The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation.
Federal Context and Reactions
While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy.
Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida.
Potential Benefits
Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors.
The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state.
Criticism and Concerns
As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms.
There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible.
Conclusion
By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.