Bitcoin Heading for a Healthy Retracement in May 2025The GREEN fractal is the only cycle operating at present that went up in the past two days. Even this most bullish cycle heads down for a retracement.
Bitcoin has not tested any lows since the bottom on 7 May. Time to deliver a HL to stabilise the structure.
We saw yesterday 2 May that the pump was forced with no volume and it is a weekend now. Time for a re-visit of the lows.
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Why aren't we growing now?Bitcoin will not be allowed to rise at the moment. First of all, there are two unfilled liquidity zones. Secondly, there is no catalyst for growth — such as positive news. We will definitely move toward the first liquidity zone. The second one might be reached after some time. Even if there is growth now, it will be a false, artificial rise created by whales. This is crypto — welcome.
Bitcoin Daily Chart Update – Momentum Intact!📢 Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from $84,800 to nearly $96,000 in just 10 days, following a strong breakout on the daily chart. Price is holding well, showing bullish continuation.
🚩 The next key level is $97,200 – a clean breakout above this can open the door to $99,520 and possibly a retest of recent highs, assuming global sentiment remains stable.
🔒 Stop-loss for the setup: $93,000
📈 This setup was spotted using the iSparkIndicator, which is designed to identify early momentum shifts and breakout zones. It’s been a game-changer in catching such moves with confidence.
📬 If you're curious about how it works, feel free to DM me for insights or a hands-on trial.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #iSpark #BitcoinUpdate #TrendFollowing
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends,
I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating.
I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher.
I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years.
IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum.
"IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance: Pullback or Breakout?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
📈 Technical Analysis (description for the post):
On the daily chart of BTC/USDT, we can see that the price is once again approaching the psychological and structural resistance around 108,000 USDT, a level that previously acted as a strong rejection zone. Currently, Bitcoin is trading above the 150-period simple moving average (SMA150), which reinforces a short- to mid-term bullish outlook.
The MACD indicator shows a clear bullish continuation signal, although already in high territory. This could suggest some short-term consolidation before a solid breakout. If BTC manages to break above the 108,000 USDT level with strong volume, it could open the path to all-time highs.
The most relevant support remains near 74,500 USDT, a key level that served as the base of the latest upward move. This structure allows for trading strategies with a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for swing traders.
📌 This analysis is created using tools similar to those we integrate into our AI systems for traders. If you're interested in automating your strategy or implementing virtual assistants into your trading platform or customer service, learn more at:
BTC Breaks 95K — What's Next?Bitcoin has finally broken above the tough resistance level at $95,000 , a level we’ve struggled to conquer for the past 15 days. It's now trading around $96,800 , and the bullish momentum appears to be building.
I believe this momentum could carry the price beyond GETTEX:97K – GETTEX:98K , potentially leading us to the next major resistance zone at $100,000.
However, $100K won't be easy to break. Expect significant profit-taking around that level, as we’ve seen in the past. Our previous failure to break above it led to a bloody market throughout 2024. While this time could be different, remember: $100K is a massive resistance wall.
Altcoins, meanwhile, have lost a bit of momentum, as capital has been flowing steadily into BTC. As Bitcoin gains strength and dominance, altcoins are temporarily being pushed to the sidelines.
But don’t lose hope— incredible altcoin opportunities are coming soon.
Stay tuned.
BTC/USDT Quick Update – May 3BTC has seen a strong breakout and is showing good momentum, but we’re approaching a key resistance zone around $102,000 – so it's a good time to stay cautious.
Trend and momentum indicators still look bullish
RSI is nearing overbought territory
Watch price action and volume closely near resistance
No need to rush in here – let the chart guide you. Stay smart, stay patient.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate
BTC-----Sell around 96300, target 95300-95000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 2:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, the K-line pattern was single-yin and single-yang, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. However, although the price broke through the high point yesterday, it did not continue. It is currently in a waving trend. In this way, we still have to look at the range shock trend in terms of trend, and the transaction is still high-altitude and low-multiple; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the US market rose and broke the high yesterday, and the price retreated under pressure in the early morning. The current K-line pattern is continuous and negative, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, so there is a high probability that there will be a demand for a decline during the day.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 96,300 area, stop loss at 96,800 area, the first target is 95,300 area, and the second target is 95,000 area;
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
-
If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
-
The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis
● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control.
● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand.
● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin.
✨ Summary
Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500.
-------------------
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BTC - 4 Cycles Repeating Itself!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $75,000 zone is expected before the next impulsive move begins. 📉🚀
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC 2025.05.01***Follow SEOVEREIGN to receive alerts.
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**Our team regularly publishes analysis reports on the cryptocurrency market.
🎯 Short-Term Bitcoin Downside Scenario
While we still envision long-term upward potential,
we are sharing a short-term bearish outlook based on the 15-minute chart for those engaged in futures trading.
A classic Crab Pattern has been identified,
which may serve as a helpful reference for those interested in harmonic patterns.
Target 1: 95,705
Target 2: 94,650
As long as the pattern remains valid, a correction toward these levels can be considered a natural move.
Please exercise caution and manage your risk appropriately when trading.
Bitcoin’s Short Squeeze Pushes Into Key Resistance — Reversal?Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
Stay cautious and let price confirm direction.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Show Strong Dominance / Something is Off..Buyers are overtaking the zones on Bitcoin, where on a weekly timeframe we are seeing a strong overtake in volume.
What caught our attention is the middle line of Bollinger Bands, which, with the recent dip, turned red, showing a possible sell-side movement to happen but exactly the opposite happened, and the price is now testing that same middle line.
We are not going to rush into trades here but we have a few movements we are looking for.
Now if buyers continue to show dominance and secure the middle line of BB, then we will be moving towards the ATH, where our next point of interest will be either an MSB or a BOS. We will see some great moves from there.
Now if we see sellers overtake the middle line of BB and give us a good market structure break, we will be looking at a successful retest of that middle line and possible movement to lower zones can happen, which would be the most ideal case, as we still did not see a proper retest of that major support line!
Swallow Academy
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle📈
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We failed to fall further yesterday to build a short structure, but continued to digest the selling pressure here in a sideways consolidation manner. Today, we attacked the heavy resistance area near 95,000 again. Only by breaking through this area can we start the surge mode.
➡️From the perspective of wave theory, there is another opportunity to form a bullish wolf wave here, which also represents a signal that the trend is about to end.
➡️From a morphological perspective, an ascending triangle has formed here, and it has now broken upward. We can expect more gains to appear.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds.
✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance.
⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $90,900
Resistance: $95,700
bitcoin road map !!!Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #76👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⚡️ Not much has changed since yesterday, so without reviewing the previous analysis, let’s get into today’s setup to see what positions we can open.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the price is still within its range box. Even though yesterday it tested the lower range once and we expected a breakout to the upside, that didn’t happen, and the price was rejected from the 95370 resistance and continued to range.
✔️ After the rejection from this level, volume began to decline, which is a good sign. The lower the volume gets, the sharper the breakout move from the box is likely to be.
💥 If 95370 is broken, I definitely recommend having an open position, as the risk of hitting the stop loss is worth the potential gain. The target in case of a breakout will be the 98828 resistance.
⭐ The SMA99 is also providing good support and is currently sitting below the candles, which adds to the positive bias for this scenario.
🎲 If the price gets rejected from the resistance again, we’ll likely see more range-bound action today. But due to the strong bullish momentum, I don’t think the price will lose its support levels, and it’s likely to test 95370 again.
💫 That said, if I observe structural changes and see support levels like 91945 breaking, I’ll also be ready to take short positions.
🔽 However, for shorting, I think we should wait for more structure to form. Once the price shows more reaction to the 93626–95370 range box, and if 93626 breaks, we can enter a short. But right now, I’d personally wait for a break of 91945 before going short.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance, the range box is still intact, and price is above the 64.22 level. If Bitcoin breaks the 95370 resistance and BTC.D continues to rise without breaking below 64.22, then Bitcoin will outperform altcoins. If 64.41 is broken, we can expect a sharp bullish move in Bitcoin.
📊 To enter positions on altcoins, the best confirmation remains the break of the 64.22 level on BTC.D.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As for Total2, the 1.05 resistance still hasn’t been broken. To confirm the beginning of a bullish move in altcoins, we need a breakout of this level. The first target of this move would be the 1.07 resistance.
📉 To turn bearish, the first trigger is at 1.03. We’ll need to wait for the price to test it, so we can determine the precise level and react accordingly in future retests and breakouts.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D behaves slightly differently from Bitcoin and Total2. While Bitcoin and Total2 are both near resistance and poised for a breakout, USDT.D is still some distance from the 4.99 support.
☘️ The probability of this support break coinciding exactly with Bitcoin and altcoin triggers is low. However, I believe this is a more significant trigger than Total2’s.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC alternative bullish scenarioI've posted a couple of macro scenarios for btc but this is just an alternative view, replaying what happened during the last bull cycle.
This alternative option is similar to others I've charted in that we have some kind of top end of September. I don't think it will be an instant retrace as price may fluctuate through Oct before bulls get exhausted.
Where this alternative differs from others, is that after this top we see a huge retrace to 73k (ish) then some kind of pump in Jan 2026 before a final dump down to 56-57k areas.
not a nice scenario but possible.