BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?📊Can #BTC break through the heavy resistance zone?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in an overlapping resistance zone. We are currently testing the upper edge of the heavy resistance zone again. If we cannot successfully break through, we should be wary of further pullbacks. If we fall below the low near 92,800 and establish a short structure, then we will look for short opportunities after the rebound.
➡️If we continue to break through the previous high, it means that the bullish power is still continuing. Be patient and wait for the pullback opportunity after breaking through the high to appear before looking for entry opportunities.
➡️My short position was reduced by 80% after reaching TP2, and the stop loss was moved down, so the long position hit the breakeven point and was closed. If you don’t move the SL down, you can try to use a small position to expect a scenario where you can’t break through.
Let’s see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Large Investors Show Interest Through ETFs📊 Technical Analysis
BTC remains above $85 000 and holds the $91 500 level, so targets remain $98 000 and $108 000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• US spot-ETFs drew $442 M on Apr 24.
• Network hashrate hit a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring record security.
• Major players are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges.
• MicroStrategy added 11 k BTC.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
• Post-halving issuance may meet only 20 % of ETF demand.
• Latin-American remittance use keeps expanding.
✨ Summary
Surging ETF inflows, record hashrate, shrinking float and broader adoption reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a move to 98-100 k while BTC stays above 91 500 USDT.
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$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k
Current price: $77700
Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region
Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection.
if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
28/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $95,778.66
Last weeks low: $84,688.21
Midpoint: $90,233.44
Last week Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest net inflows ever, $3.06B between April 21st-25th. The result of this buyside volume is evident on the chart as BTC breaks up into the mid $90k's, and in doing so is now back at the level in which BTC fell from originally to hit $74,500. As a result it is fair to say this area will be a big resistance level, but where is new support after this rally?
The aggressive nature of last weeks move up has left a number of areas of imbalance that the market does tend to revisit. Just below midpoint we have the $89,000-$90,000 area just below a key S/R level at $91,000. Dipping below this area into the FWB:88K 's briefly to sweep the demand and reclaiming $91,000 would be ideal for the bulls and very healthy for the next rally.
A less appealing area of imbalance for the bulls would be towards weekly low of $85,300-$86,300, that would be very painful for anyone longing a retest of the $91,000 area and from a HTF perspective would be a lower high and a SFP of the range midpoint, both bearish signals. The 4H 200 EMA is currently around that area at $87,000 too which would mean losing the level after just climbing back above it.
This week I'm looking at that first imbalance area to be a level of support for the next leg up, that's the ideal bullish scenario in my mind. A move below midpoint with acceptance is a red flag on this move and would start to look like a lower high bearish continuation.
Good luck this week!
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction.
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1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone
The red shaded area defines a significant confluence:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react.
- Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation.
This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it.
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2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone
This Fib pocket offers:
- A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground.
- A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs.
A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations.
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3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection
As price fills the inefficiency:
- It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement.
- Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones.
This supports the short bias post-rebalancing.
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4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics
The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior:
- Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area.
- Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection.
- Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved.
The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience.
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5. Market Context Alignment
- FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection.
- Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing.
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6. Summary:
- FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence
- High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection
- Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected
Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Watchlist; week 17TVC:DXY
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
TVC:USOIL
FX:EURCAD
FX:AUDCHF
FX:GBPJPY
FX:GBPNZD
OANDA:XAGUSD
Weekly wachtlist. Some short term plays on BTC and ETH on the horizon.
EUR/CAD and US/OIL on my daily focus. The rest could need some time to develop.
The biggest goal for me this week is to stick towards these pairs and don't look at different pairs. Stick to the plan at all costs!
BTC Major Top And Bottom Identified Road to $160,000 Bitcoin is currently trading around $95,000. Based on my analysis of the top and bottom zones, we are very close to breaking the critical $100,000 resistance level.
I expect BTC to break $100K within the next few weeks. Once we achieve a clean breakout above $100K, the market could enter a strong bullish phase.
From there, I anticipate Bitcoin will reach the $160,000 target within the next 4 to 7 months.
Key support and resistance levels are marked on the chart, with confirmations from volume, structure, and sentiment.
This is a long-term bullish idea — short-term volatility is expected, but the macro trend looks very strong.
🔔 Follow for updates as the journey unfolds!
🚀 Target: $160,000 | 🛡️ Always manage risk carefully.
Bitcoin Bullish for ShortermBitcoin currently trade around $93,911 having broken resitance above $88,000-$89,000 zone. The breakout, supported by strong volume, positions Bitcoin favorably for further gains, although a short-term pullback appears likely.
Technical indicators remain bullish:
Price holds above the 21-EMA and 30-SMA, both beginning to slope upward.
Quarterly VWAP levels at $89,485 and $84,484 provide strong support.
The Volume Profile suggests heavy buyer interest around $84,000–$86,000.
A minor retracement toward $88,000–$89,000 could precede a consolidation phase before Bitcoin targets $96,000 and eventually the psychological $100,000 mark.
Bitcoin remains in a strong position. Tactical patience and disciplined risk management will be key to capitalizing on the next major move.
BTC will ever go 100k?
The immediate structure shows aggressive selling pressure — big thin volume zones (where there is less historical volume) are visible between $93,200 and $92,700. If BTC cannot reclaim and close strongly back above $93,900–$94,100 (preferably closing inside the old VA), the path of least resistance remains downward toward $92,500 first and even $91,700–$91,500 eventually.
In simple words: as long as BTC stays under $93,900, the market is favoring shorts, not longs. Quick bounces can happen, but they are more likely to get sold off unless a very strong reclaim happens. Bulls need to urgently push back above $94,100 to reattempt upside momentum, otherwise downside expansions toward lower value zones remain active.
TL:DR - Observe!
BTCUSD - MY ONLY FOCUS FOR THIS WEEK!!INTRO
BTC has broken out of the descending Trendline just as anticipated but it's now trading at a premium, so let's breakdown the levels i'm watching and have a clear view on what to expect this week.
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
BTC has showed an impulsive move to the upside these previous weeks. While some might be thinking of jumping in on this buys that has been going on i think it's a bad idea to look for the buys to continue this new week because BTC is now trading at a premium level where buys are low probability(it might be a good idea to buy earlier in the week becaus price hasn't approached a key supply zone i'm watching out for) and i'm also anticipating for price to retest the Trendline before the major Buys.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Supply Zone: 96,400 - 98,700
(My major trade idea for this week is a sell on BTC so i'm only focused on the key supply zone)
3.TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'm Bearish on BTC this week but i'll be looking out for a buy earlier in the week from my H1 Demand Zone (91,600 - 92,400) into my supply zone(96,400 - 98,700). But if price trades to my Supply zone without getting to my H1 Entry point i'll cancel my buy order and focus only on the sell for the week.
4 FINAL NOTES
Stay patient and let price come to you and manage your risk when it does. Feel free to share your thoughts or setups in the comment.
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about
The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing.
Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral.
For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options:
pump till PWH and then move on correction
slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
Watching closely $93,900 level.BTCUSDT Weekly Update
Bitcoin has successfully broken through its previous resistance area and is currently testing a new resistance zone. We are closely watching the $93,900 level. If the market provides confirmation of a rejection or reversal at this level, we will consider entering a short position targeting the marked FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone.
This FVG is a bullish imbalance zone, which previously contributed to market momentum. If the price moves lower, we plan to exit short positions near the FVG zone and look for confirmation to enter buy-side trades, aligning with the existing bullish market structure.
Let's closely monitor these levels throughout the week. If price action aligns, we anticipate strong trading opportunities on both sides of the market.
Is the Crypto Market Broken ?It’s no secret — the crypto world isn’t what it used to be. A few years ago, it felt like an open frontier where anyone could jump in and strike gold. Today, the crypto space has changed dramatically. The market has become much more competitive , and the days of easy wins are largely behind us.
One of the biggest issues is manipulation. The crypto market is now heavily influenced by " whales who hold massive amounts of coins and have the power to move prices with a single trade. They can trigger panic selling or hype buying, all while positioning themselves to profit, often at the expense of smaller investors.
And that brings us to another hard truth: money in crypto tends to flow from the many to the few . Inexperienced and poorly informed traders often get caught up in hype or fear , making emotional decisions. Meanwhile, wealthy investors use strategy, patience, and insider knowledge to grow their holdings.
In short, while the crypto market isn’t necessarily “broken,” it’s definitely no longer a level playing field. If you’re thinking of jumping in, it’s more important than ever to stay educated, cautious, and aware of the forces at play.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
Accumulation Underway: Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Be ViolentBitcoin has shown a strong recovery after reclaiming the 50 EMA, which had been a major dynamic resistance across multiple levels. After accumulating between $83,000–$87,000, BTC broke out sharply and is now consolidating again just below a major resistance zone at $95,000–$97,000.
The current price action shows another accumulation phase just under resistance — similar to the previous pattern before the breakout.
A clean breakout above this resistance zone could explode Bitcoin toward $100,000+.
On the downside, if rejection occurs, the 50 EMA around $87,000 could act as strong support once again.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Compression Before the Next Major Move?Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a critical range, trading between clearly defined support and resistance zones over the past week. Price action remains "trapped" within this structure, akin to a market equilibrium phase, with neither bulls nor bears taking decisive control.
Currently, BTC is testing a major historical resistance cluster — an area shaped by prior price memory and significant psychological levels. Over the weekend, price action into this resistance showed visible exhaustion, with momentum stalling and early signs of supply absorption emerging.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin is balancing on the daily anchored VWAP, a key dynamic indicator used by institutional participants to gauge fair value. A sustained breakdown below VWAP would significantly increase the probability of a broader corrective move toward key prior support levels.
Technical Scenarios to Monitor:
🔹 Bullish Resolution: Reclaiming resistance with strong volume expansion could open the door for continuation toward ATH zones and price discovery.
🔹 Bearish Resolution: Failure to hold the VWAP and daily structure support would likely trigger a deeper corrective leg, potentially retesting prior demand zones.
Market Context:
No clear trend reversal signals yet, but growing evidence of momentum loss at the highs.
Sideways price action is typical during key decision points; expect compression before expansion.
Macro structure remains bullish, but short-term caution is warranted.
🧠 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: Watching for acceptance or rejection above current highs.
Support Zone: Anchored VWAP and key daily structure (~confirm levels based on your chart).
⚡ Stay nimble — Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where the next few sessions could define medium-term direction.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets