Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to the resistance. I expect that if the resistance is broken, the rise will be in the pattern.
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
BTC:Anticipate an upward movementBTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend.
In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
Before that, BTC can still be regarded as bullish, and each pullback to the demand zone can be considered as an opportunity to go long.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@82000-82500
TP:83000-85000
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BTCUSDT SELL/ SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis
Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP)
Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000โ$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910).
Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident.
Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry)
Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes
Underlying Spot Price: $82,978
ATM Strike: $84,500
Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment)
Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53โ0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47
Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range.
Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025)
The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put).
Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down
82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81%
83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19%
84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04%
84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48%
85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97%
Interpretation:
The FWB:83K โ$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%โ18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability.
Strategy Considerations
1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500):
Total cost: ~$13,546
Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K
Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction
Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments
2. Directional Option Play:
Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet
Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish
Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias
3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis):
Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium
High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion
Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades.
Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry.
Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP)
Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
BTC Roadmap: Pump to 85.5K Before Sharp Correction to 73K?I'm expecting a short-term bullish move on Bitcoin towards the $85,500 zone, followed by a pullback to around $83,100. After that, a bounce to $84,000 is likely before a potential major correction down to the $73,000 area.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $85,500
Support: $83,100 and $84,000
Major Downside Target: $73,000
This is not financial advice โ just sharing my technical outlook. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about the White wave W, I can see a sign If created we would create another extension to it reaching to another down target between 80k~81k, I prefer 80.7k level as you can see in the image
I will update you soon about this sign
>> Also I am sorry I have returned to my old wave counting with yellow and pirple
keep like and support me to continue, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
# Bearish
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea.we reached successfully to our target as we prefered and mentioned to 82K.
>> we have broken 83.6k level and went down directly also as I mentioned.
>> I think we finished the first White wave W as a part in a huge Green B as wxy to down for testing 78k zone again.
I will update you soon
# Bullish
>> Breaking 85700 and close above it will be a sign on something different
keep like and support me, See you soon!
Thanks, Bros
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis. The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC) previously trading within an ascending channel (marked by two parallel black lines).
Recently, BTC broke below this channel, signaling a bearish shift in momentum.
BTC is currently attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel.
This is criticalโif BTC fails to reclaim the channel, it could confirm a downtrend continuation.
The chart suggests a possible short-term bounce toward resistance around $85,000-$86,000.
However, after this retest, BTC is expected to drop sharply toward $79,000 - $78,400 (green support zone).
$79,059 & $78,424 are identified as key support zones.
If BTC reaches these levels and holds, a rebound is possible.
If broken, BTC could see a deeper decline toward lower levels.
Breakout invalidation: If BTC breaks above $86,000 with strong volume, it could regain bullish momentum and move higher.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea For A Zig-Zag...In corrective patterns, Wave 2 can sometimes include large expanded waves.
Hereโs a simplified example of a potential Zig-Zag trade.
The critical support level is at the start of the move at $79,962, while key support lies at the 0.786 retracement level at $81,635 if we break above $84,630.
The target for Wave (C) is $90,547, aligning with the length of Wave (A).
BITCOIN - Key Levels To Watch If You Expect A Bounce...Due to the lack of sustained downward momentum overnight and the overall weak move, I have relabeled the decline from $88,839 as a sharp correction, potentially marking the end of Wave 2 in a Wave E corrective bounce.
Wave 1 appears to be a Type-2 Weak 5-Wave move that began at $79,962.
To confirm this bounce, we need a break above $84,630, with a protective stop set at the last low, currently $81,635, aligning with the 0.786 retracement level.
BTC usdtbtc is inversly to usdt.D so now btc in downtrend and also and parllel channel is forming and resting at the golden pocket of the channel so this is my idea about btc.usdt
$BTC multi-timeframe analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at a critical juncture, with three distinct trends emerging on the same chart:
Weekly Bearish Downtrend (Green):
This 1W bearish channel remains intact. Despite bullish optimism, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not broken out of this green channel, meaning we are technically still in a bearish trend.
Daily Recovery Bullish Uptrend (Red):
On the 1D timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been following a recovery bullish channel. However, this channel is now colliding with the top of the bearish weekly channel, creating significant resistance.
Hourly Bearish Downtrend (Yellow):
A new bearish downtrend on the 1H timeframe has formed as a result of CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing to break through the top of the 1W green bearish falling wedge.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 1:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks through the $90k resistance level and exits the weekly bearish channel (green), it could signal a strong long position and confirm the end of the downtrend, marking a reversal.
Bearish Scenario 2:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to follow the yellow downtrend and breaks down through the red recovery channel, this would invalidate the recovery and indicate further downside potential.
Outlook and Timeframe:
In my bearish warning from February 2025, I projected the end of the bearish consolidation by May 2025. If the bearish Scenario 2 plays out, it will confirm that this early warning was once again accurate.
However, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to pump above $90k and sustain this level for at least a week, it would signal an early consolidation (one month ahead of schedule) and suggest that we are out of trouble.
Conclusion:
Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
Patience is key; wait for confirmation before making significant moves.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC)Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) ๐
Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,000, having breached the critical support level at $80,548. This breakdown, combined with a potential daily close below this level, indicates a likelihood of accelerated downward momentum towards the corrective cycle's end target of $71,823. This target is anticipated to be reached within a short timeframe, between April 9th and 11th.
Price Movement Predictions : ๐ฎ
March 30th - 31st:
A price rebound from $80,548 to $85,098 is expected, serving as a retest. Any rejection from the $85,098 range will signal a continuation of the corrective downtrend. ๐
March 31st - April 10th:
Continuation of the downward cycle is anticipated, targeting the following levels:
First Target: $76,123 ๐ฏ
Second Target: $71,823 ๐ฏ
April 11th or 12th:
A potential trend reversal towards a strong uptrend is foreseen. ๐
Invalidation of the Scenario : โ ๏ธ
This scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks above and closes above $90,000. This breakout and close, especially if sustained for three consecutive days, would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the uptrend towards a new peak. ๐
Notes : ๐
These predictions are based on technical analysis and do not constitute investment advice. ๐ซ
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and trading involves significant risk. Proceed with caution. ๐จ
It is very important to pay close attention to the economic market news, that can change any technical analysis. ๐ฐ
#BITCOIN is making a right shoulder as we speak! Normally after a bullish divergence a higher low forms. It would form the bottom of this correction!
63000 Level is cooming soon #BitcoinHello trader's
Watchout this chart carefully if you seen
And learn hard , be patient in this market for long lasting..
if you want to learn trading tips then follow and message ,,
70k then 65k . Its will happen Just see my chart. Im telling you btc will dump to 68k just be careful
BTC๏ผSeize the opportunity to go long
BTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend.
In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
Before that, BTC can still be regarded as bullish, and each pullback to the demand zone can be considered as an opportunity to go long.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@82000-82300
TP:83000-85000
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
BTC - Is BTC going lower?Since the end of January 2025, BTC has been in a downtrend. However, over the last couple of weeks, BTC has been following an upward trend (rising wedge). This rising wedge has now been broken, as it tested the downward sloping trendline that has been in place since the end of January.
On the daily timeframe, the Stochastic RSI is crossing down from the overbought zone, indicating that the momentum is shifting to the downside. This suggests that bearish pressure could persist in the coming days or even weeks.
While it is possible that BTC could recover from this level and target higher prices. however, my base case is that BTC will continue to form a bearish structure over the next few days or weeks, potentially making a higher low or even a lower low. Time will reveal how the price action unfolds. Until then, the bias remains bearish unless proven otherwise.
It is important to be aware of your risk management when opening positions at this moment, as market conditions can be volatile and unpredictable.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
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Bitcoin Squeeze Point โ Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is approaching a key inflection zone where the Daily Downtrend Resistance and the Monthly Uptrend Support intersect. This confluence could be setting the stage for a major breakout or breakdown, and the next move could define BTCโs medium-term trend.
๐ง Key Levels to Watch:
Daily Downtrend Resistance (Red) โ Price is testing this descending trendline again.
Monthly Uptrend Support (Green) โ Strong support held since August 2024.
Fibonacci 0.5 Level (~79.3K) โ Acting as mid-zone control point.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Zone (~72K) โ Strong historical retracement support.
๐ฆ Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow):
If BTC breaks above the daily downtrend and holds above the green uptrend line:
Possible target: 110K, aligning with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension.
Would confirm continuation of the larger bullish trend.
๐ป Bearish Scenario (Not drawn but implied):
If BTC breaks down below 79K and the monthly trendline:
Eyes on 72K for a potential bounce at the 0.618 Fib level.
Below that, potential deeper retracement toward the 65Kโ60K zone.
โณ Conclusion:
BTC is sitting at a high-confluence zone. This is not the time to chaseโwait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before reacting.
BTC | Inverse Cup & Handle Breakdown Ahead?๐ Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently displaying signs of a potential Inverse Cup and Handle pattern on the daily timeframe โ a bearish continuation structure that often signals a shift in market sentiment.
The rounded top has already formed, followed by a minor relief bounce resembling the handle. However, momentum appears to be fading, and the price is once again approaching the key horizontal support around $81,000.
A confirmed breakdown below this level, especially on strong volume, could open the door to a deeper correction โ with the next major support area likely between $60,000 and $55,000, in line with the projected move from this pattern.
๐ Technical Highlights:
Pattern Structure: Clean inverse cup and handle forming
Momentum Shift: Oscillator rolling over from overbought territory
Resistance Zone: $85,000โ$87,000 (potential handle rejection area)
Support to Watch: $81,000 (neckline)
Downside Targets: $60,000 โ $55,000 if breakdown confirms.
Read the patterns, listen to the analysts!The head and shoulders was a reversal already, but bulls got greedy and insisted on testing the 108k peak again, creating a "fake-out breakout" but couldn't sustain it. So if H&S didn't convince us, the Double Top should have.
The bear trend started with steady decline and then a big fat dump followed by bulls insisting on recovering right away. Again, they couldn't sustain it and chaos ensued. People got scared, pulled out of the market.
Now we are in what is either a trend reversal with the bulls too eager to believe the last two dips were a Double Bottom, despite we still haven't fully corrected, which brings us to the Bull Pennant.
Bull Pennant would make more sense on a longer time frame, but it's happening within a Bear Flag. Once again, bulls may be too eager and lose if they HODL right now.
So we have:
- correction not over
- consolidation ending
- not enough support from bulls
Most analysts saying there will be a full correction before it starts on a bull run. I believe that time is most likely imminent.
BTCUSDT Confirmed Bearish Break โ Eyeing $82,500 SupportDescription:
Bitcoin has confirmed a bearish breakdown from the rising trendline support on the 1-hour chart, suggesting potential downside continuation. The price broke below the key ascending structure and retested the zone, which now appears to be acting as resistance. This bearish retest + rejection adds confluence to a sell setup.
Key Observations:
๐น Trendline Break: Clear violation of the ascending trendline.
๐น Retest & Rejection: Price rejected near $85,500โ$86,000 (previous support turned resistance).
๐น Bearish Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows forming after the breakdown.
๐น Bearish Target: Next key support lies near $82,500.
Bias: Bearish
Trade Setup:
๐ Entry: Below $84,200
๐ Target 1: $82,500
๐ Target 2 (Aggressive): $81,000
๐ Stop Loss: Above $86,000 (retest zone)
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT has shifted its structure from bullish to bearish with a confirmed trendline breakdown and retest. Unless bulls reclaim $86K+, downside continuation seems likely.
