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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

Is the Bull Run Over? BTC to $70K? (#7)Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility in recent days, dropping to the first major support level at $85K. Let’s analyze the key fundamental drivers behind this decline, upcoming triggers, and finally, share a few words for those who faced liquidation or major losses. Fundamental Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Decline In recent days, Bitcoin has suffered a sharp correction, declining approximately 7.1% over the past week, falling from $99,244 to $86,776 . This February 25, 2025, market downturn—dubbed a “market bloodbath”—was driven by a combination of macroeconomic, geopolitical, and crypto-specific factors. Here’s a breakdown: 1. Capital Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs 📉 One of the primary reasons for Bitcoin’s recent decline has been significant capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. Reports indicate that over $1 billion exited these funds in the past two weeks, with the worst single-day outflow reaching $583 million . This reduced demand exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. 2. Strengthening US Dollar (DXY Index) 💵 The DXY index , a measure of the US dollar’s strength, has surged to 106.4385 , its highest level in recent years. Historically, a stronger dollar diminishes the appeal of risk-on assets like Bitcoin. This inverse correlation was a key factor in Bitcoin’s recent selloff. 3. Geopolitical Tensions & Economic Uncertainty 🌎 Recent decisions by Donald Trump’s administration , such as imposing trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico and investment restrictions on China, have fueled market uncertainty. As a result, investors are flocking to safe-haven assets, which has further pressured Bitcoin. 4. Broader Market Volatility & Crypto-Specific Events Stock Market Turbulence: The S&P 500 recorded its worst week since Trump’s inauguration, and the Nasdaq is down 5% from its December 2024 highs. This increased risk aversion has negatively impacted Bitcoin. Bybit Hack & Trust Issues: The recent Bybit hack , where $1.5 billion was stolen, has shaken confidence in centralized exchanges, prompting mass withdrawals. Mass Liquidations: Over the past 24 hours, more than $650 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, amplifying the price drop. Technical Analysis: Where is Bitcoin Headed? 1. Daily Time Frame Analysis 🕵️‍♂️ Bitcoin is now testing a key support zone at $85K. The next critical support lies at $80K–82K, which aligns with major demand zones and historical price action. Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above $85K, it could resume the major uptrend and reclaim higher levels. Bearish Case: A break and close below $80K–82K would invalidate the bull run, shifting the major trend to bearish and signaling a deeper correction. 2. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) & Altcoin Market 📊 BTC.D remains elevated, meaning capital is concentrated in Bitcoin rather than altcoins. However, if BTC consolidates while BTC.D drops, it could trigger an altcoin season. In contrast, if Bitcoin breaks below $85K, short setups on altcoins become highly attractive. 3. Trading Strategy & Next Steps For Bulls 🐂: Look for bullish confirmations above $85K with proper risk management. For Bears 🐻: Wait for a confirmed breakdown below $80K–82K before entering short positions. Altcoin Traders 💎: If BTC finds support, focus on potential altcoin bounces; if BTC breaks down, short weak altcoins. Final Thoughts: A Message for Those Facing Losses Many traders faced liquidations or heavy losses during this drop. If you’re among them, take a deep breath— this is part of the trading journey. Every successful trader has gone through periods of adversity. Learn from your mistakes, refine your risk management , and move forward smarter. This is not the end—it’s just another phase of the market cycle. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and keep growing. I’m Skeptic , and I’ll see you in the next analysis! 🔥
by SkepticWise
1
Multiple Signals Shows BTC Might Touched Short-Term BottomLast time BINANCE:BTCUSDT had all 3 of these signals was in August 2024: 1️⃣ RSI <30 in oversold territory 2️⃣ MACD < 0 3️⃣ Fear & Greed Index at "Extreme Fear" Also, since 2024 began, every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a wick + volume spike, it marked a "short-term" bottom. What do you think? Is this the bottom for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ? Leave a comment! 🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss. 🔥  for more future "guesses" like this!
by Harold_123
BITCOIN : Important support for the price of the last hope!hello friends With Bit analysis, we have two scenarios: 1_ The price will return to the important support of 92 thousand dollars or even 90 thousand dollars and from there I will see the growth of the new wave of bit. 2- The important support price should break and continue to fall, and within the specified range with confirmation, we can enter a new upward wave. What do you think? Will important support be lost? In our opinion, due to the continuation of the trend and because the volume of sales has not happened, the first scenario is more likely and its target is 115-120 thousand dollars. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company
Bitcoin is weakening, what to expect from it?Technical analysis of BTC/USD 1. Global trend (Daily chart, left) BTC/USD is trading in a range, but the overall trend looks downward after the previous strong rise. The price is sandwiched between $98.345 (resistance) and $91.203 (support) levels. The lack of strong upward impulses indicates the weakness of buyers. 2- Local trend (4H chart, right) On the 4H chart, the price is forming a series of declining highs, which confirms the downtrend. Resistance: $98,345 and stronger at $102,468. Support: $91,203 (key liquidity zone). 3. Possible Scenario The price may test $98.345, but if it doesn't, a downside bounce is likely. The main scenario is a decline of BTC/USD to the $91,203-$90,000 area. BTC must break and consolidate above $102,468 to change the trend.
Short
by AndeWave
3
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis: A Potential Bullish Reversal?📊 Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis: A Potential Bullish Reversal? 🚀 🔎 Chart Overview: This 4H BTC/USDT chart presents an in-depth Elliott Wave analysis, mapping the current corrective structure and projecting a potential bullish move ahead. 📌 Key Levels & Patterns: • The price recently completed a WXYXZ complex correction, hitting critical support around 84,988 - 86,182 USDT (marked by purple dotted lines). • The descending wedge structure suggests a possible trend exhaustion, aligning with the final (z) wave completion. • Major resistance levels to watch: 92,586 | 97,745 | 101,351 | 106,118 USDT • If BTC breaks above 101,351 USDT, a strong rally toward the 110,000 USDT high could be in play. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: • If BTC confirms support above the current low, an impulsive move toward new highs above 110K remains a possibility. • Breakout above trendline resistance and 101,351 USDT would validate the bullish outlook. ⚠️ Bearish Risk: • Losing 84,988 USDT support could invalidate the bullish reversal setup, leading to deeper corrections. 📊 Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a critical decision point—will the correction end here, or will another leg down emerge before the big move? Keep an eye on key resistance and support levels for confirmation. 📈 What’s your BTC target for March? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 🔎 Chart Overview: This 4H BTC/USDT chart presents an in-depth Elliott Wave analysis, mapping the current corrective structure and projecting a potential bullish move ahead. 📌 Key Levels & Patterns: • The price recently completed a WXYXZ complex correction, hitting critical support around 84,988 - 86,182 USDT (marked by purple dotted lines). • The descending wedge structure suggests a possible trend exhaustion, aligning with the final (z) wave completion. • Major resistance levels to watch: 92,586 | 97,745 | 101,351 | 106,118 USDT • If BTC breaks above 101,351 USDT, a strong rally toward the 110,000 USDT high could be in play. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: • If BTC confirms support above the current low, an impulsive move toward new highs above 110K remains a possibility. • Breakout above trendline resistance and 101,351 USDT would validate the bullish outlook. ⚠️ Bearish Risk: • Losing 84,988 USDT support could invalidate the bullish reversal setup, leading to deeper corrections. 📊 Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a critical decision point—will the correction end here, or will another leg down emerge before the big move? Keep an eye on key resistance and support levels for confirmation. 📈 What’s your BTC target for March? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Long
by forexcryptoelliottwave
Important Bitcoin levels. The game of expectations.Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks. However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level. A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.
Long
by GarateTradeCrypto
My Long-term BTC Idea March 2025 IMPORTANT MONTH FOR BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) Analysis - Not Financial Advice Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are real trend lines that you can draw yourself. While the current trend appears bearish, it might also present a good buying opportunity. Personally, I’ve struggled to trade Bitcoin successfully because emotions often get the better of me. For instance, I saw WIF at $0.02 but didn’t buy because I had also seen it at $0.00002. This example highlights that the current price isn’t always a reason to avoid buying. That said, I am currently holding off. Key Insights from the Chart: Current Price Action: BTC is around $86,845, correcting after hitting a high near $96,500. It appears to be testing a support line within an ascending channel. Trend Channels: The broader ascending channel (orange lines) suggests a long-term bullish trend. Mid-range correction lines and resistance levels (purple lines) highlight key price zones. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support: $69,077, $64,877, and $49,673. Major resistance: $109,087 (upper boundary of the orange channel). Buying Zones: Golden Buy Zone: Around $15,446, ideal for long-term entries during deep corrections. Perfect Buy Zone: Slightly above $29,166, a strong buy area if BTC pulls back. Bear Market Bottom: Approximately $40,147, a solid long-term support level. Market Outlook: Short-term: The correction might continue until BTC tests the mid-level purple line or the $73,721 level. A bounce from these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially pushing toward the $109,000 target. Long-term: If BTC stays within the ascending orange channel, a long-term target above $109,000 remains realistic. Risk Factors: A break below the correction line or falling outside the channel would indicate a bearish reversal. Personal Perspective: With the monthly candle closing in three days, BTC needs to push upward to form a wick, signaling bullish potential. If not, attention shifts to the weekly candle. Predicting the outcome is uncertain—this could either be a buying opportunity or a liquidation zone. Remember, back in 2021, BTC hit FWB:65K , then dropped to $30k, which turned out to be a great buying opportunity as it later surged to $67k. Altcoin Season: Some believe altcoin season is coming, but I think it already happened in 2024. Raydium (RAY) soared from $0.12 to $9, and coins like WIF and Fartcoin also surged. Unfortunately, many low-quality coins have been pumping, with less-experienced investors driving the trend. Conclusion: Despite the current bearish sentiment, this market phase might offer solid buying opportunities if key support levels hold. The next few days are crucial—watch how the monthly candle closes and monitor the weekly candle for further signals. As always, trade carefully, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
by carl2k2
1
BTC USD trade update entry point 87400 target 85000 stop loss 88Here's a summary of your Bitcoin (BTC) trade setup: Trade Setup - Entry Point: $87,400 - Target: $85,000 - Stop Loss: $88,200 Risk-Reward Analysis - Risk: $800 ($88,200 - $87,400) - Reward: $2,400 ($87,400 - $85,000) - Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Market Considerations - Market Trend: Keep an eye on the overall market trend and adjust your strategy accordingly. - Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its volatility, so be prepared for potential price swings. - News and Events: Stay informed about market news and events that may impact Bitcoin's price. Trade Management - Position Sizing: Ensure your position size is appropriate for your risk tolerance and account size. - Stop Loss Adjustment: Consider adjusting your stop loss to breakeven or trailing it to lock in profits. - Take Profit: Decide whether to take profit at your target or let the trade run further. Remember to stay disciplined and adapt to changing market conditions.
Short
by Mr_jacky90