Bitcoin - Back Under Intersecting Bearish TrendlinesBitcoin is back underneath these two intersecting bearish trendlines.
I have laid out two potential paths Bitcoin could take to play this out.
When an asset in crypto goes only up for so long, it leaves behind a trail of leveraged liquidity in the form of stop losses. These wide open gaps filled with long stop losses, is the fuel that would make such a move possible. In other words, the sell orders are already in the chart in order to make this possible.
Personally, I expect this to happen.
DXY is showing a major breakdown and bearish retest at the moment - with a falling dollar over the next 2-3 years, that translates to a true bull market for Bitcoin and related assets.
The market has a very small time window to recollect all of the long position liquidity in the chart, which is in the billions.
See my previous posts to see confluences, liquidity mapping, etc.
Happy trading and I will be trading this myself.
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
BTC trading plan updateAt this stage, I think that if BTC wants to increase strongly in the long term, there must be a sustainable accumulation factor. We need to stand aside and consider and pay the market price lower than the nearest bottom. Don't be hasty to fomo with the crowd because of the weekly candle!
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Following the idea published on the 22nd, we are now shifting from the long (buy) perspective, which we have consistently maintained for an extended period, to a short (sell) outlook in the near term.
We sincerely hope that many of you were able to achieve meaningful results during the previous uptrend. Now, however, we are detecting clear signs of a market transition and, accordingly, we present a short-side strategy.
From a technical standpoint, the current chart is delivering highly significant signals based on Elliott Wave Theory.
Notably, the ongoing 5th wave has extended precisely to 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave — a textbook example of an extended 5th wave under Elliott principles.
Such structural completion statistically suggests a heightened probability of a major trend reversal.
Visually, each wave is forming with remarkable precision and natural flow, without any signs of forced interpretation or overfitting.
It represents an ideal wave structure — clean, coherent, and organically developed.
Taking all these objective and structural factors into consideration, we believe this is a highly appropriate juncture to consider exiting long positions and exploring short entries.
For those who share this view, please refer to the following target levels when establishing your strategy:
1st Target: 90,868
2nd Target: 87,831
As always, we strongly encourage you to accompany any position entry with thorough risk management and flexible operational strategies.
The market can always move beyond expectations, and maintaining a posture of humility and preparedness will be your strongest defense in protecting your capital.
This is a time that demands sharp insight and decisive action more than ever.
We wish all of you wisdom, clarity, and strength in making your next strategic move.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Things are going well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin's recent downtrend has been broken upwards. The peak between the two bottoms was broken with high volume.
Bitcoin received strong support from exactly the point I mentioned in my previous analysis titled Bitcoin Decision Point. I think it's quite possible that it will reach the 142k target in my analysis. I recommend you to review the analysis I have provided in the attachment.
However, before this rise, Bitcoin may want to retest the peak between the two buttoms it broke above.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
BTCUSDT - Binance FuturesBTCUSDT – Weekly Technical Outlook
🔹 Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues its steady upward recovery, currently trading around $94,000.
Following a strong bullish breakout from prior consolidation zones, BTC is now holding near local highs, showing cautious optimism among market participants.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights
• Price remains above major moving averages, confirming a bullish weekly structure.
• Support levels:
• $88,900 → Previous breakout base
• $81,780 → Strong weekly liquidity zone
• Resistance levels:
• $95,700–$97,500 → Critical supply zone ahead
• Psychological target above: $100,000+
🔹 Trend and Momentum
• Weekly trend is bullish while BTC holds above $88,900.
• Breakout above $95,700 could lead towards the $100,000 psychological target.
• Volume remains supportive of continuation.
🔹 Summary
BTC is consolidating at higher levels after an impressive rally.
A confirmed breakout above $95,700 would likely ignite further momentum.
Support zones remain intact, suggesting bullish structure continuation unless major levels are lost.
⚠️ This is an informational and educational analysis only. No financial advice is provided.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketFocus #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone.
It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400.
If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC.
At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt.
Altcoins should also catch up accordingly.
Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions
#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊#BTC Complex consolidation phase📊
🧠Currently in the resistance zone, but the trend direction is bullish. We are doing narrow fluctuations in the range of 91800-95000. There are some contradictions between the long and short positions here. If we want to participate in new transactions, we must wait until the absolute support and resistance levels.
➡️If it falls below the first support zone near 91800, then we need to pay attention to the second support zone of 88000-89000
➡️We need to wait for the structure to become clearer before looking for new trading opportunities.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Short Term I expect a decline to 92474.68 within this week. If the daily red candle closes below this level, we are likely to see 88200.44 and 87235.76 levels.
Our direction is up in the medium and long term. I think there will be pullbacks in the short term.
If there are 2 4-hour candle closes above 95369.00, this possibility will be canceled.
BTC Weekly Analysis – Potential Retracement & Next TargetsAnalysis & Thought Process:
Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture on the weekly timeframe. Having observed recent bullish momentum, the price now faces resistance around the 95,900–96,700 range. If BTC manages to clearly reverse from this resistance area, it could propel upwards to test psychological resistance at the significant 100K level within the coming days.
However, careful analysis indicates the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 89–90K. Such imbalances in price action typically attract price retracements to achieve market efficiency. Thus, I anticipate a correction back down to the 89–90K area, which would represent an ideal zone to consider a long swing position.
Trade Idea:
Short-term bearish scenario: Look to short from current resistance levels (around 95,900–96,700) targeting the 89–90K FVG area.
Long swing setup: If BTC retraces and holds the 89–90K region, it presents an attractive area for swing long entries aiming back towards and beyond current resistance areas.
PLAN NOT VALID IF
If the price fails to hold 89K, the next logical areas to watch for support are lower down at the 82–78K range, followed by a deeper pullback potentially extending towards 74K.
Profit Targets & Stop Losses:
Short trade: Entry around 95,900–96,700, profit target at 89–90K, stop loss set slightly above the resistance (e.g., 97.5K).
Long trade: Entry at 89–90K, profit targets initially back to 96–100K. Stop loss placed just below the 88K area.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own due analyse before entering any trades.
Bitcoin Trading and Investment Strategy (April 2025)Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the mid-$90,000s after rebounding ~25% in April, with market sentiment shifting to greed. BTC’s dominance is high (~64%) as capital concentrates in Bitcoin over altcoins. On-chain data shows large holders (“whales”) aggressively accumulating, even as short-term traders turn optimistic. Below is an actionable strategy.
BTC broke out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. On the 1H/4H charts, momentum is bullish: a textbook double-bottom formed on the daily with a neckline around $87,600 was breached, confirming upside targets near $100,600.
A bull pennant consolidation is visible on the 1H after the sharp rally, hinting at another leg up (measured move target ≈ $100,900 on breakout). Short-term EMAs (20/50) on 1H/4H have turned upward and are stacked bullishly, aligning with the daily 50 and 200 EMAs which have flipped into support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory without extreme overbought readings, leaving room for further upside. Volume has been steady to rising on upward moves, indicating buyers remain in control.
Immediate support lies at the breakout zone of GETTEX:87K –$90K (prior resistance now turned support). This area includes the daily double-bottom neckline (~$87.6K) and coincides with the top of the earlier consolidation range. Bulls want to see this zone hold on any pullback. Below that, secondary support is around $84K and roughly the 4H 200 EMA area.
Resistance is clustered at $94K–$95K (recent local high region). A 4H close above $95K with strong volume would likely trigger momentum buyers. Beyond there, $100K is a major psychological level and the short-term target from multiple patterns – importantly, a dense cluster of short seller liquidation levels sits around $100K, making it a “liquidity magnet” for market makers. Expect heavy order flow and possible volatility as BTC approaches six figures. Above $100K, minor resistance could appear near ~$102K (projected wedge target), then prior ATH ~$108K–$109K.
For longs, scale out profits in layers as BTC advances. First TP around $100K – just before the round number – to avoid slippage if a wave of selling hits there. If momentum is very strong, hold a portion for a possible extension to $102K–$105K (wedge target zone). A stretch goal for bulls would be the $108–$110K area (all-time high region), but tighten stops well before this level as profit-taking is expected near ATH.
If BTC falls back under the GETTEX:87K neckline after having broken out, it would negate the double-bottom breakout and likely accelerate downward. Thus, stop-losses for longs can be placed just below GETTEX:87K (e.g. $86K) to cap risk.
The breakout from the wedge/base was accompanied by a surge in volume, confirming institutional participation. Volume has not dried up on this rally – a positive sign that the trend could sustain. Overall, the daily chart structure sets the stage for a potential run back to five-figure territory (100K+), provided key support levels are defended.
Any dips into the high-$80Ks are buy-the-dip opportunities as long as BTC quickly reclaims $90K. Below GETTEX:87K , the next critical support is $80K–$84K. $84K was highlighted as a crucial level – failure to hold 84K during the last pullback would have signaled capitulation. It held then, so watch it on any retest.
Stop Loss:
Short-Term: 5–10% below entry ($90,000 for $92,500 entry).
Mid-Term: 10–15% below entry ($85,000 for $91,000 entry).
Long-Term: Monitor support ($80,000) but hold unless fundamentals deteriorate.
Position Sizing:
Short-Term: 1–2% of portfolio per trade.
Mid-Term: 5% of portfolio.
Long-Term: Up to 10% of portfolio.
Risk/Reward: Target 2R for short-term, 3R for mid-term, and let long-term investments ride based on fundamentals.
Not a financial advice. DYOR.
A Simple sell set up is formed here in BitcoinCurrent Price Area: ~94000
Short-term Trend View: Downtrend
First Target: 93500
Second Target: 93000
Stop Loss: above 94400
In short: you are expecting a short-term correction in Bitcoin from 94000, with a stop-loss tight above recent highs (94400), aiming for a ~1000 point move down.
Quick thoughts on this setup:
If Bitcoin fails to break 94400 cleanly, your short view stays valid.
Watch for support near 93500 — some bounce can happen there, so partial booking or trailing stop could be smart if it stalls.
Microstructure Shift Observed — Scouting LTF Long Reversion PlayThe active short from 95,300.0 remains fully engaged, aligned with the 4H liquidity breakdown thesis, targeting broader downside expansion. This position will play out in full as per the original trade design, independent of lower timeframe fluctuations.
However, emerging microstructure shifts—evidenced by reclaiming the Point of Control (94,500.0)—highlight a potential short-term structural reversal.
Primary Position: Swing short thesis remains intact, allowing full downside potential to unfold.
Secondary Opportunity: Scouting LTF long reversion setups for countertrend engagement, contingent on continued supply failure and structural stabilization above reclaimed pivots.
This approach exemplifies multi-timeframe bias management:
Primary bias (HTF) remains bearish, unchanged.
Secondary bias (LTF) shifts toward opportunistic longs, with conditions monitored in real-time.
Demonstrating conviction in core theses, while maintaining agility to capitalize on evolving microstructure.