Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June.
Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed.
🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump.
💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k.
And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little.
⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume.
What do you think?
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
#Bitcoin Update - 19.06.2025🚨 #Bitcoin Update – 19.06.2025 🚨
For the first time after FOMC, Bitcoin is showing an unusual calm – and yes, that’s pretty strange, especially considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East. But let's break it down clearly and from my point of view. 👇
🔹 Arrow #2 remains a crucial resistance level. Price *did* break above it, but there was no strong confirmation or momentum – it got rejected and pulled back.
🔸 Currently, Bitcoin is stuck in a range, moving between Arrow #2 and Arrow #4 (marked by black lines). This range-bound behavior might continue for a while unless we get a strong breakout.
🌟 Now, pay close attention to the yellow lines under Arrow #3 and Arrow #5 – these are key support zones. As long as these hold, bullish sentiment remains intact.
✅ Also, Arrow #6 (black line) is the last strong support – only if this breaks, we can start talking about a potential bearish move or at least a deeper retest.
📈 In my opinion, we might see another attempt to break the All-Time High (ATH) very soon. Price still looks bullish, and as long as we hold above Arrow #6, there’s no clear sign of weakness.
🎯 Summary:
* Market is calm but not dead.
* Still bullish unless Arrow #6 breaks.
* Range between Arrow #2 & Arrow #4 continues.
* Eyes on next ATH attempt! 🚀
🧠 Stay patient. Stay focused.
📊 Next up: ETH and Bitcoin Dominance analysis coming soon – make sure you follow so you don’t miss the update!
\#Crypto #BTC #Trading #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCUSDT
BTC/USD – Price Rejected at ATH | Key Support in PlaY Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high at $111,942, but the daily candle closed lower around $109,550, signaling a potential rejection.
On the 1D timeframe, we are now watching the $100,725 level closely. A confirmed break below this support would be a strong signal to consider short positions.
Until then, BTC may consolidate or attempt another push higher. Patience is key here — wait for confirmation.
📌 Key levels:
• Resistance: $111,942 (ATH)
• Support: $100,725 (critical break level)
🧠 Trade safe, manage risk, and follow for more analysis.
BTC-----Buy around 104900, target 106000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 19:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend of the decline was still relatively obvious, but in trading, we should pay more attention to the rhythm of the price range in the shock, so the operation should be decisive, not greedy, and do a good job of risk control; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's intraday support was corrected upward, the European session fell but did not continue to break down, the price support rebounded in the early morning, the current K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous positive lines, and the attached indicator was golden cross, so it is highly likely to break through yesterday's high of 105500 area within the day.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Buy at the current price of 104900 area, stop loss at 104000 area, and target 106000 area;
BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral).
Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k).
Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks.
Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance.
Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k.
Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy.
Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings.
12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY.
6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness.
4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume.
2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic.
1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds.
30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing.
15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed.
Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure.
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Macro and Fundamental Analysis
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FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift.
Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility.
S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant.
Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC.
Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record.
Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds.
Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h.
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Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance
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Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low).
Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes).
Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility.
Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.
BTC continues to accumulate above 103,500Plan BTC today: 19 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Bitcoin (BTC) price edges slightly higher, trading near $104,700 at the time of writing on Thursday, after stabilizing above a key level — the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103,100. A breach below this level could trigger a sharp fall in BTC. Risk aversion could intensify, as reports indicate that US officials are preparing for a strike on Iran in the coming days. Despite this risk-off sentiment in global markets, institutional demand remains strong, with US spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) seeing positive inflows for eight consecutive days
personal opinion:!!!
btc continues to accumulate above 103,500, the market is no longer sensitive to interest rate information yesterday
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 103.500 \ 101.000
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Accumulating Near 200EMA | Pump Incoming?Buyers are showing dominance near the 200EMA, which might lead the price to upper zones and give us a good bounce from here.
What we are expecting is some sort of sideways or neutral movement before the weekend hits, and during the weekend we are looking to see strong upside movement.
Swallow Academy
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle
🧠From a structural perspective, the daily upward trend has ended, which means that the correction expectation at the daily level has always existed, so we need to be alert to this possibility and do a good job of risk management. At present, there is no short structure, so if you want to participate in short trading, you need to look for opportunities in the heavy resistance area (106500-108200).
➡️From a graphical perspective, we have been sideways for nearly a month, and the price is gradually being squeezed to form an ascending triangle. At present, the price shows signs of stabilization at the lower edge of the triangle, and we need to be alert to the risk of rebound. Only when the closing price at the 4h level is lower than the lower edge of the triangle or the price falls below the inflection point of 102611, can we think that the market direction has chosen to go down.
⚠️Note that there will be a Fed interest rate decision and geopolitical negotiations in the Middle East today, and the market may fluctuate violently, so be sure to do a good job of risk management.
Let's take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook
🔍 Structure Insight:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout.
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🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias)
If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again.
🧊 Bearish Confluence:
Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance.
Momentum remains weak near the mid-range.
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.
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🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View)
A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area.
⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch:
Break and retest above trendline resistance.
Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume.
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🔍 Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 103,650 / 103,000
Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400
Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern.
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📌 Conclusion:
BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning.
🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
Technical Analaysis Setup – #BTC/USDTTechnical Analaysis Setup – #BTC/USDT
#Bitcoin is currently forming a bearish harmonic pattern indicating a potential correction toward key support zones.
📉 The price action suggests the development of a Gartley pattern with projected downside targets around $103,679, $101,931, and possibly extending to $97,419.
A critical resistance zone between $105,000 and $106,000 will be pivotal for either confirming bullish momentum or triggering a bearish reversal.
If BTC fails to break through this resistance and confirms the bearish reversal signal, a deeper decline toward the aforementioned support levels becomes highly probable.
🎯 Target 1: $103,679
🎯 Target 2: $101,931
🎯 Target 3: $97,419
Trade #12: $BTC - Bullish Alignment Confirmed! Long Setup WatchRecap & Lesson Learned:
In Trade #11, I noted the daily structure was strongly bullish, but the 1HR chart was bearish. My expectation was for price to dip toward the 98,000 daily demand zone. However, the 1HR structure reversed structure before reaching that level — a reminder that markets don’t always follow our ideal path.
The Shift: Timeframe Synced = Conviction Amplified!
Now, BOTH daily AND 1HR structures are BULLISH and aligned. This synchronization signals robust momentum, and I’m positioned fully bullish — awaiting the right technical trigger to enter a long trade.
The Opportunity: Precision Entry at Demand
I’m eyeing the green demand zone near 106,500 for a potential long entry. This is where buyers previously stepped in aggressively, making it a high-probability reaction area.
Key Refinement: Patience & Confirmation
(Learning from Trade #11):
I will NOT enter blindly at 106,500. Instead, I’ll:
1️⃣ Watch price behavior for signs of strength
2️⃣ Confirm my entry criteria are met
3️⃣ Execute ONLY if evidence validates the setup.
Why This Discipline?
"It’s better to enter slightly higher WITH confirmation than chase a ‘sniper entry’ without confirmation."
No confirmation = No trade. Period.
My Plan:
WAIT for price to test ~106,500.
CONFIRM buyer strength and alignment with my rules.
EXECUTE a long position only if all boxes are checked.
Stay Alert, Stay Patient.
The trend is our friend — but only if we respect its rhythm. Updates to follow!
✅ Key Takeaways:
Daily + 1HR = Bullish Synergy.
Watch 106,500 for a confirmed long entry.
No confirmation = No trade. Discipline over FOMO.
US entering the war,~25% drop will happen if it's gonna escalateUS about to enter the war with Iran, as long the war finish quickly with US destory Fordow nuclear site and other facilities, we can stop around 94k$ zone,
war escalating more, will engage a bigger drop in markets.
Likely they will announce it after markets close on Friday. stay updated.
Bitcoin buy ideaBitcoin (BTCUSD) had a challenging week of consolidation, but it remains stable above $100,000 despite losing some weekly gains. On the 4-hour chart, demand is holding above $102,000. With the Fed maintaining interest rates at 4.50%, if Bitcoin consolidates above $102,000-$103,000, we could see short-to-mid-term growth towards $106,000-$110,000.
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like.
Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung.
Key points:
The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone
High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up
The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low
Targeting the prior high: 106,787
Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly
Execution mindset:
Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion
Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains
Late shorts just became the fuel.
Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum.
📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
BTC Short | FVG Setup + RSI Filter | 18.06
Smart Money Concept | Intraday Trade | 1:2 RR
🔍 The setup:
Today I was watching for a short opportunity.
Price reached a key level and formed a bearish FVG — looked clean at first.
But I held off entering because I noticed RSI divergence — a red flag I always consider when expecting a potential level break.
💡 Why it matters:
RSI divergence often signals weakness in momentum.
For me, it's a key filter that helps avoid fake breaks — this was a good example of how I apply it.
📈 What happened next:
Price moved up to test the 1H FVG (zone #2) and formed another FVG slightly lower.
That second one was my entry point for the short.
🎯 Target:
I exited at a 1:2 risk-reward, which is my minimum.
The day was ending, and I didn’t want to hold the position longer — I’m not convinced the down move would continue cleanly (possible wicks or traps).
🤔 Question to the community:
How do you filter FVG entries?
Do you also use RSI or wait for structure shifts?
And what’s your outlook on BTC from here?
BTC H4 Range Play: Patience Until One Side Breaks✅ Price contracting within well-defined H4 range
✅ Clear lower highs and higher lows — coiled, ready to break either side
⚠️ FOMC incoming — possible volatility/surprise rate cut rumors
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short Setup:
If price spikes RH ($105,500) and H4 FVG (~$106,000), then re-accepts back inside the range
Entry on confirmation back below RH/FVG
Target: RL ($103,300) and $102,600
Stop: Above $106,300
Long Setup:
If RL ($103,300) or $102,600 gets swept then reclaimed (M15/H1 SFP or strong reclaim)
Entry on confirmation reclaim of RL/W
Target: RH ($105,500) and beyond
Stop: Below $102,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Only enter trades on confirmed sweeps/reclaims or acceptance back inside after spike
No trade if price stays in chop between levels
📝 Order Placement & Management:
Sell Limit: $105,500–$106,000
🛡️ Stop: $106,300
🎯 Target: $103,300 / $102,600
Buy Limit (on sweep/reclaim): $102,600
🛡️ Stop: $102,200
🎯 Target: $105,500 / $106,000
🚨 Risk Warning:
Market coiled — can rinse either side
FOMC could be a catalyst; manage risk, don’t overtrade