Bitcoin Key $103K Supports Tested, Swing-Bullish Opportunity?__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Strong bullish momentum on daily, fueled by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI structure.
Major supports identified at $102,600 – $103,300, high confluence (4H, 12H, 1D).
Resistances clustered between $106,000 and $110,000 (240 & D Pivot High, W Pivot High).
Volumes generally neutral; no buyer/seller climax.
Directional trends diverge: overall swing remains bullish, short-term intraday still corrective.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Structured bullish as long as supports >$102,600 are preserved.
Opportunities: Longs on retest of major supports, favoring daily/4H trend-following. Reactive shorts only on rejection at $104,500–$106,000.
Risk zones: Below $102,600 = structure break. Prioritize cash/hedging.
Macro catalysts: Waiting for September FOMC. Monitor geopolitical risks (MENA).
Action plan: Gradual entries on pullbacks, disciplined stops below pivots, prudent sizing outside confirmed breakouts.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D & 12H : Bullish trend confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI. Major supports intact ($102,600–$103,300). Volumes neutral, market in wait mode. Swing long favored.
6H & 4H : Upward momentum, no significant bearish signals. “Buy the dip” valid above support; healthy structure as long as key levels hold.
2H, 1H : Early micro-divergence signals (MTFTI Down short term), increased caution. Favor entries on confirmed correction or breakout only.
30min, 15min : Intraday correction, neutral/bearish volumes, aggressive long setups discouraged. Scalping only on exhaustion spikes, strict stops.
ISPD DIV summary : No excess/panic, mature consolidation/range context.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator summary : Bullish across all TF except very short-term (>15min neutral).
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Fundamental & On-chain Synthesis
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Fed: status quo, US macro softening, market waiting.
Geopolitical tensions: potential for increased volatility.
On-chain: institutional predominance, low network pressure, no panic selling or retail euphoria.
Off-chain: high derivatives volume, OI > $96B. Squeeze risk if catalyst emerges.
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Decision Matrix – Execution Plan
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Swing Long: Entry $103,200 – $103,800, stop <$102,400, target $107,000+ (RR>2:1)
Scalping Short: On confirmed rejection $104,500 – $106,000, stop >$106,400, target $103,400 (RR>1.5:1)
Strict risk management below major supports, position proactively on volatility/news.
Cash/out below $102,400 or with major geopolitical headlines.
Stay flexible; alternate range-buy/take profit until breakout volume or FOMC news.
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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youToday, Bitcoin's price is like a ball caught between two forces, swaying around $103,300. On one side, the Fed just said "let's wait and see" (latest report states the impact of tariffs is uncertain, so no hurry to cut rates), putting a temporary brake on leveraged crypto speculators. On the other side, Middle East tensions are on a rollercoaster—Israel and Iran alternate between clashes and talks, but Iran's move to accept Bitcoin for oil purchases has put a floor under prices. Right now, the market feels like a spring compressed too far: $103,000 acts as a strong support (like a sofa cushion), while $107,000 looms as a ceiling, likely confining short-term moves to this range.
Recent Price Dynamics
The $103,000 level has emerged as a critical support zone, functioning like an "invisible mattress" for prices. During recent volatility, prices repeatedly rebounded when testing this level, indicating many investors view it as a relative low—willing to absorb selling pressure here. For example, on June 13, when Bitcoin fell due to Middle East tensions, it quickly bounced after hitting a low of $102,614, confirming the support at $103,000.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~106000
BTC/USDT 4H Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Setup:
The price hovers within a range (highlighted in red), bouncing off its trendline support.
The RSI at 43 suggests it is close to the oversold zone, indicating a potential recovery.
Bullish Scenario:
If the trendline support holds, a breakout towards $108,000 is highly likely.
(Blue arrow points to the target zone.)
Risk Level:
Watch for a breakdown below the trendline, which could invalidate the bullish setup and send the price towards the $100,000 range.
Trade Plan:
Long entries near trendline support (around $102–103k), with a tight stop loss.
Target the upper trendline (~$108k), adjust as the price develops.
Stay alert!
BTC goes wild. But there’s worse. With PipGuard.“BTC goes wild. But there’s worse. With PipGuard.”
Hola, hi my friends! How are you doing? Hope you're doing amaziiiing!
Today we’re having a little chat about Bitcoin, shall we?
I admit it: this time I messed up and took the USDT spot chart instead of USD… but heeey, I’m lazy and it doesn’t really matter. What counts is the trend, RIIIGHT?
But first… boost me and drop a comment <3
📈 The trend is your friend... until it messes with you
🔼 If it goes up, it goes up
BTC is still in a strong bullish trend long term.
Nothing new? Maybe, but if it keeps going… it’s aiming for new highs. Simple.
And if not today, then tomorrow. Your loss if you miss it.
🧠 Always keep one eye on assumptions and the other on objectivity. The market will thank you.
🔽 If it drops... better be ready
And if it decides to go down?
Here come the targets: 102k , 100k , and that delicious 94k I’d love to see.
Why? Because even crypto needs a break.
And each level is potentially a reversal point , you know that already, right?
🧱 Supports, resistances... and your debts
• Resistance: 109k (rounded like those 100€ you still owe me haha)
• Serious support: 78k
• Cuddly support: 88k
• The rest is noise.
• Trend still strong, yes. But if you’re not watching… someone else will watch your wallet.
🔥 The market today? On fire, as always
• BTC did its usual trick: touched 106k , then dropped below 103k
• Liquidations? BOOM 💣: over 450 million dollars in longs
• The market shook like a noob on their first short
🌍 War, hacks, and chaos: BTC loves it
• Israelis flying around Iran bombing targets
• Iranians firing back missiles
• Israeli hackers broke into Nobitex and BURNED 90M in crypto
• The White House is silent, but the US has a “Bitcoin Reserve”
• Result? BTC pumps, dumps, pumps again… you tell me
🐍 Juicy GOSSIP
• In New York, two crypto bros kidnapped an Italian guy from Rivoli and tortured him for 17 days to get his wallet password
• Electroshock. Power saw. “Wild” sessions with madams & friends
• All this between parties, bondage, and wheelchairs
• The guy, alive by miracle, is now the new symbol of “ never give your key to anyone ”
📊 Technical Recap
🧱 Resistance: 109k
🪨 Supports: 88k / 78k
💣 Liquidations: +450M long
📉 Price Range: 106k ➝ below 103k
🌍 Geopolitics: Real bombs & BTC
😈 Gossip: Crypto-bros under pressure 😱
😂 The curtain drops…
My fingers hurt. And not just from typing… oops, I said it? I did.
If you had fun, boost and comment .
If not… next time I’ll give you support at 69k, that’ll teach you.
A hug from your loyal lunatic, PipGuard 🤣🧨
Bitcoin and the geopolitical news BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Advanced Technical Analysis of Bitcoin's Structure – Current Situation on Smaller Timeframes
We notice a symmetrical triangle forming on the small timeframes (1-hour and 4-hour), centered in a critical area. Historically, when this price pattern forms, Bitcoin takes no more than three days to confirm its trend. Therefore, the close of the third-day candlestick will serve as a pivotal turning point.
🔹 Immediate Support: 103,400
🔹 Strong Support: 102,500 — a daily low + institutional liquidity zone
🔹 First Resistance: 105,600 — associated with a convergence of moving averages (EMAs)
🔹 Main Resistance: 106,700 — a crossover with the 200-period moving average, which can be described as the largest psychological barrier
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Possible Scenarios:
☑️ Positive Scenario:
If 105,600 is breached, we are expected to witness an upward movement targeting:
108,000
110,000
118,000 (potentially later)
✅ Catalysts:
Positive US economic data
Regulatory news supporting the markets (such as institutional entry and cryptocurrency regulations)
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⚠️ Negative Scenario:
If the 102,500 support level is broken, the path will be open to:
100,000
99,000 (strong psychological support area)
❗️ Potential Triggers:
Negative inflation data
Major geopolitical escalation (especially if it directly involves the United States)
🔴 Important Note: I'm not a proponent of trading based on news, but I'm including the US factor because it's the only one I consider truly influential in geopolitical analysis.
The US entering a full-scale war would prompt American investors (who represent about 5% of active traders) to withdraw immediately for fear of long-term repercussions.
🔻 America is making history now, and Trump is managing the situation expertly. He is likely to avoid getting involved in long-term conflicts, focusing on concluding deals and wars strategically.
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Current Sideways Trading:
Trading continues between the 103,400 and 105,600 levels within the symmetrical triangle.
The future direction will be determined by the following developments:
If the conflict ends and a deal is reached (especially if Iran surrenders), we will witness a strong upward breakout.
If the United States enters the war directly, we expect a downward breakout to levels that may reach 92,000.
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Technical Conclusion: 💎
Bitcoin is in a critical consolidation phase with a delicate balance between institutional selling pressure at 106,700 and strong buying demand at 102,500.
The next breakout will depend on:
1. A clear breakout of the triangle pattern
2. The strength of the liquidity accompanying the movement
3. Official US developments—regulatory or political
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Important Clarification:
❌ The recent decline is not directly related to the Iran-Israel war. Rather, it came as a result of:
1. Options expiry
2. Trump's statements about the possibility of direct US intervention, with the arrival of an aircraft carrier in the Middle East
🔍 A war between only two parties doesn't worry the market much, but US intervention is the decisive factor.
✅ America alone is the one that moves the markets.
Xauusd market This chart is a 30-minute BTC/USDT (Bitcoin/Tether) technical analysis from Binance, showing a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Descending Broadening Wedge
The blue trendlines forming a broadening wedge indicate a reversal pattern.
Price has been moving within this structure and recently broke out from the bottom back toward the upper resistance line.
This pattern typically ends with a bullish breakout, especially after consolidation near the lower boundary.
2. Key Zones
Support Zone: Around $102,275 – $103,680 (light green zone).
Resistance Zone: Between $106,128 – $107,351 (light red zone), with an extended resistance up to ~$109,591 (dark red line).
3. Pattern Suggestion
The blue zigzag lines suggest a possible Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern near the current price area, indicating a bullish reversal.
A projected price path (in dotted grey) hints at a bullish move targeting the upper trendline near $106,128–$106,157, potentially a 16th–21st June breakout setup.
4. Price Action
Current price: $103,982.63, with moderate momentum (+0.66%).
The arrow projection suggests a bullish move targeting the upper resistance zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: Bullish short-term outlook.
Target Zone: $106,100–$107,300.
Invalidation: Drop below $102,275 may negate the bullish setup.
Let me know if you'd like an entry/exit plan, risk/reward analysis, or a trading strategy based on this setup.
$BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe Price is currently hoverCRYPTOCAP:BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA (blue line), which sits around $103,164, while BTC trades slightly higher at $103,774. Historically, as shown by the chart, BTC has respected the 50 EMA as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Recent touches on the 50 EMA have triggered bounces, indicating it's a strong technical level.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $103,000 – $102,000:
If BTC holds above this zone, continuation toward previous highs is likely.
🔸 Upside Target: $108,000 – $110,000
Should the 50 EMA act as a springboard again, BTC could retest recent highs.
🔸 Risk Level at $101,500:
A daily close below this level may invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Watch for confirmation of a bounce above the 50 EMA. Bullish entries can be considered on strong daily candles above the moving average with tight risk management.
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin prices hovered around $103,300, retreating from the $104,000 threshold seen in previous days and showing an overall volatile adjustment trend. The market has experienced a notable correction recently, with prices dropping significantly from earlier highs, but currently stabilizing around $103,000. Such fluctuations have left many investors confused about the price trend ahead.
Support and Resistance Levels
Technically, Bitcoin is facing key support and resistance levels. The lower support at $102,300 is critical: if prices hold above this level, the short-term decline may halt or even rebound. However, a break below this support could lead to further declines to test lower levels.
The upper resistance lies in the $107,000–$108,000 range, acting as a "wall" where prices have repeatedly stalled due to trapped positions and profit-taking pressure. For prices to continue rising, a successful breakout of this resistance zone is essential.
Technical Indicator Performance
Multiple technical indicators show bearish dominance in the market. Both MACD and RSI indicators signal bearish sentiment, implying short-term weakness may persist. Notably, prices are approaching oversold territory—similar to a spring compressed too far, Bitcoin may experience a technical rebound if the decline continues.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~106000
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart
Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation.
Technical Overview:
Price broke out of the local downtrend channel
Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation
VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending
That said, short-term caution is warranted.
Bearish Considerations:
On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion.
Thanks for your support.
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.
Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels
*Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: *
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play
Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure).
Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone.
Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum.
📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback
If $100,314 fails:
1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000
Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms.
Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower.
Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000
Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run.
LONG on confirmed strength.
Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600
Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend.
✅ Key Reminders:
Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!).
Risk first: Define stops for every entry.
Watch price action—NOT hopes.
👇 What’s your take?
Which scenario seems more likely?
Are you adding any key levels?
Let’s discuss below! 👀
BTC slowly getting bearmarket vibes.Given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, there is a growing risk of a renewed downward move in the market. Should we not see a rate cut materialize as early as June, Bitcoin could begin a gradual decline, potentially retracing toward the $50,000–$40,000 range.
This slow grind lower may persist unless there is a sharp and meaningful shift in the key macro or geopolitical variables. While a reversal of this trend remains possible under improved conditions, current indicators suggest a steady move toward lower levels in the absence of a clear catalyst.
btc short now you have a very clear view of whats gonna happen
101k is inevitable. And if 101 dosent hold, 98 will be our balance point where market will go for making lower high and if price action changes we can go for a new ATH, which i guess will be our final ATH before we drop for a fresh new bear cycle.
thanks
short bitcoin In my previous analysis i already gave a short target of 101k
which is about to come by this week
any short holders can hold their trade with SL above 104300
taking new shorts is a risky bet here, which is why ill opt out for this week and wait for further price for a clear view
dont go for longs cause market have no bullish sentiments
liquidity
news
fomc
everything is against btc at this pont
let market come at the support of 101 if it holds and all macro factors agree we can turn bullish
stay safe trade cautious
thanks
BTC at 103K – Bounce or Breakdown?1. Overall Trend:
The chart is currently within a descending channel, indicated by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. The price continues to fluctuate within the boundaries of this bearish channel.
2. Current Price Action:
BTC has just touched the lower green support zone (around 103,000 – 102,500 USDT) and is showing a slight rebound.
→ This suggests a potential recovery toward the nearest resistance zone.
3. Key Levels:
✅ Nearest Support Zone:
103,000 – 102,500 USDT → The price is currently bouncing from this area. If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward resistance is likely.
🟥 Nearest Resistance Zone:
105,000 – 106,500 USDT → This zone has repeatedly rejected price advances in the past. Watch closely as price approaches this level.
🟪 Major Upper Resistance Zone:
Around 107,000 – 109,000 USDT → If price breaks above the red zone, this will be the next target.
4. Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If BTC holds the 103K support and breaks above the descending channel → price could aim for 105K – 106.5K. If that level is breached, the next target may be 107K – 109K.
🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If the 103K support breaks → price may fall deeper toward the lower green support zone (around 101,500 – 100,500 USDT).
🎯 Summary:
Short-term trend remains bearish.
Price is reacting at support → a rebound is possible.
Need confirmation from volume and candlesticks to determine if the current downtrend can be broken.
Don't forget to like – follow – and share if you find it useful!”😁😁😁