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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

Supply Chain Breakdown Reloaded: Fading the BTC Spike at RejectiBTCUSDT 15m — Short Thesis anchored in supply exhaustion and structural inefficiency. Price surged into the Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone between 94,716.4–94,722.9, where repeated rejection wicks and elevated sell-side volume confirmed supply reloading. Bulls failed to absorb overhead liquidity, signaling vulnerability for a structural fade. This is a pre-loaded limit short, positioned for One Shot, One Kill, targeting asymmetric downside with strictly defined risk parameters. Trade Details: Entry Price: 94,750.0 Pre-set limit beneath RL zone, fading the supply spike at exhaustion. Stop-Loss (OG SL): 95,100.0 Supply absorption invalidation. Tick distance: 350 ticks (risk exposure: 0.70 USDT). Take-Profit (OG TP): 91,700.0 Targeting the Structure Rebuild Zone where demand could reassert control. Tick distance: 3,050 ticks (reward potential: 6.10 USDT). Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.71 : 1 Engineered for extreme asymmetry, capturing downside inefficiency while minimizing capital at risk. Position Details: Pair: BTCUSDT Perpetuals Direction: Short Leverage: 100x Isolated Position size: 0.002 BTC Margin used: 189.50 USDT Execution time: 2025-04-25 23:57:01 Fee structure: Entry fee: 0.0379 USDT (≈2% of margin) Exit fee (estimated): ~0.04 USDT Expected Outcomes: If stop-loss hits: ~0.74 USDT total loss (risk + fees). If take-profit hits: ~6.02 USDT net gain (post fees). Structural Context: Rejection Liquidity (RL) Zone: 94,716.4–94,722.9 Supply apex. Bulls must reclaim or face breakdown. Point of Control (POC) – Critical Pivot Point (PP): 94,400.0 Breakdown trigger. A move below confirms bearish continuation. Bull/Bear S/R Flip (Macro Inflection): 91,631.5 Wider structural pivot. If tested, it validates extended downside momentum. Risk Management Note: Trade positions are tightly managed with low capital exposure for the purpose of stress testing system robustness under 100x leverage on lower timeframes (LTF). The focus is on validating mechanical execution and structural thesis under high-leverage conditions, ensuring precision risk control and adaptability in volatile environments. Narrative: BTC’s parabolic drive into supply stalls at RL, confirming exhaustion via sell-side volume. This setup fades that weakness, targeting structural inefficiency unwind while enforcing strict risk protocols. Defined risk. Asymmetric reward. No ambiguity. One shot. One kill.
Short
by Kyle_Booth
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction. At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected. The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes) $82,700–$81,400 (high volume area) Level at $74,800 $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first? Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives! This publication does not constitute financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
4
Bitcoin - Trap the Breakouts, Ride the PullbackBitcoin has been trading in a clearly impulsive structure, showing bullish intent after reclaiming previous consolidation zones. Recently, price action has driven into a significant area of interest, approaching the highs set on the 4-hour timeframe. These highs have not yet been swept, making them a likely target for liquidity grabs. Given the market's recent strength, it's reasonable to anticipate that market makers and larger participants may aim to run these stops to fuel a deeper retracement or set the stage for further upside. The higher timeframes continue to favor bullish structure overall, with price making higher highs and higher lows. However, within this bullish context, the market has left behind notable inefficiencies, particularly an untapped imbalance zone just below current price levels. These inefficiencies typically act as magnets, especially when preceded by strong directional moves, making them key zones of interest for potential pullbacks. Consolidation Structure and Key Zones After bottoming out near the $77,000 to $78,000 area in early April, Bitcoin has steadily climbed, forming intermediate accumulation structures and minor consolidations before each breakout leg. During the recent surge, price left behind a unified imbalance zone roughly between $89,000 and $91,000, which remains untouched. This area is highly relevant, as price has not yet returned to rebalance it. Just below that sits a previous strong support zone in the $82,000 to $84,000 region, which provided a solid base for the current leg higher. An additional lower imbalance zone lies slightly above $80,000, offering a potential secondary demand area in case the primary zone fails. Liquidity and Imbalance Zone The current expectation is for Bitcoin to complete a sweep of the 4H swing high, tapping into the resting buy stops above. These types of moves often serve as traps for breakout buyers, allowing institutions to offload positions into demand and prepare for a retracement. Once the liquidity is taken, the next logical move would be a return toward the unfilled imbalance zone highlighted on the chart. This zone not only represents technical inefficiency, but also aligns with the concept of fair value. Price often returns to these areas to find willing buyers, rebalance supply-demand discrepancies, and establish a base before continuing in the prevailing direction. Given the strength of the previous rally, a healthy retracement into this zone would still maintain overall bullish market structure. Bullish Scenario If the price sweeps the high and retraces into the $89,000 to $91,000 zone, we want to see signs of absorption and bullish structure forming within this region. Confirmation may come in the form of bullish order blocks, internal BOS (break of structure), or a clear rejection wick indicating buyers are stepping in. Should these conditions be met, this zone provides a compelling long opportunity, with upside targets set toward previous highs and potential extension levels above $96,000. Bearish Contingency Plan In the event that the unified imbalance fails to hold, attention shifts to the next key zones. The first is the minor imbalance closer to $85,000, which could offer a short-term bounce. Failing that, the broader support zone at $83,000 highlighted on the chart, becomes a more significant area to watch. This zone previously acted as the springboard for the current rally and may provide the structural support necessary for a larger bullish continuation. Conclusion This setup reflects a classic smart money concept, liquidity engineering followed by a return to inefficiency. The trade idea rests on the premise that markets rarely move in a straight line and often seek to rebalance themselves after aggressive trends. By allowing price to sweep the highs, fill the imbalance, and re-establish support, we can position ourselves with the trend in a favorable risk-reward context. The bias remains bullish, but execution depends on price reaction at key levels and confirmation of intent. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
67
BTCUSDT - Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500BTCUSDT | From Bearish to Bullish – Wedge Break, Pullback - Long at 86,500 & 108 000 Target If you recall my April 7th and 10th ideas: and Both setups have played out beautifully: BTC has rallied into our zones and now looks ready for a controlled retracement before the next leg higher. 1. Chart Structure & Context Pattern: Five-month descending wedge (Nov ’24 – Apr ’25) marked by progressively lower highs & lows. Breakout: Early May delivered a decisive close above the upper blue trendline—shifting control from bears to bulls. Key Retest: The optimal pullback level is the demand block at ≈ 86 500 USDT, left behind by the swift breakout. 2. Key Levels to Watch 95 000 USDT – Resistance turned pullback trigger. Expect initial seller defense here. 86 500 USDT – Primary demand zone. High-probability long entry for mid-term positions. 108 000 USDT – Prior all-time daily swing high and next logical upside target. 3. Trade Plan Patience: Wait for price to stall around 95 000 USDT and roll over. Entry: Seek bullish price-action signals in the 86 500 USDT zone. 4. Targets & Path Forward Short-term: A retest of 95 000–96 200 will fuel a deeper refill into 86 500, your high-odds long zone. Mid-term: Defending 86 500 and reclaiming the former downtrend line will establish a higher-low on the daily—paving the way to 108 000 USDT.
by CryptoSheykh
Technical Analysis Indicators Cheat SheetHello, traders! 🦾 This cheat sheet provides a comprehensive overview of the most widely used technical analysis indicators. It is designed to support traders in analyzing trends, momentum, volatility, and volume.  Below, you’ll find a handy screenshot of this Cheat Sheet that you can save and peek at whenever you need a quick, friendly refresher on your trading indicators. ;) 1. Trend Indicators These tools identify the direction and strength of price movements, critical for trend-following strategies. Moving Averages (MA) Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) smooth price data to highlight trends. Crossovers (e.g., 50-day vs. 200-day MA) signal potential trend shifts.  MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Tracks the difference between two EMAs, paired with a signal line to generate trade signals. A bullish crossover occurs when MACD rises above the signal line. Parabolic SAR. Places dots above or below the price to indicate trend direction. Dots below the price suggest an uptrend; above, a downtrend. ADX (Average Directional Index) Measures trend strength (0–100). Values above 25 confirm a robust trend; below 20 indicate consolidation. 2. Momentum Indicators (Oscillators) These indicators assess price movement speed and highlight overbought or oversold conditions. RSI (Relative Strength Index) Ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 indicating oversold. The divergence between the RSI and price can signal impending reversals. Stochastic Oscillator –Compares closing price to the price range over a period (0–100). Above 80 is overbought; below 20, oversold. %K and %D line crossovers provide precise trade signals. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) – Measures price deviation from its average. Readings above +100 indicate overbought; below -100, oversold.  Williams %R – Similar to Stochastic, it measures distance from the period’s high (0 to 100). Above -20 is overbought; below -80, oversold.  3. Volatility Indicators These tools quantify price fluctuation ranges to optimize trade timing. Bollinger Bands – Comprises a 20-day SMA and two bands (±2 standard deviations). Narrow bands reflect low volatility; wide bands indicate high volatility. A price touching the outer bands may signal a reversal or trend continuation, depending on the context. ATR (Average True Range) – Calculates the average price range over a period to gauge volatility. Higher ATR values denote greater market movement. 4. Volume Indicators Volume-based indicators validate price movements and highlight market participation. OBV (On-Balance Volume) – Cumulates volume to confirm price trends. The rising OBV, alongside rising prices, supports an uptrend. OBV divergence from price may foreshadow reversals. Volume Oscillator – Compares two volume moving averages to evaluate buying or selling pressure. Positive values suggest stronger buying. It typically confirms breakouts or assesses the sustainability of a trend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) – It analyzes money flow based on price and volume. Positive CMF indicates buying pressure; negative, selling pressure. 5. Other Key Indicators. Advanced Tools for Deeper Market Analysis. Ichimoku Cloud – Combines five lines and a “cloud” to assess trend, momentum, and support/resistance. Price above the cloud signals an uptrend; below, a downtrend. Cloud thickness reflects the strength of support or resistance levels. Fibonacci Retracement – Maps potential support and resistance using Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%). Pivot Points – Derives support (S1, S2) and resistance (R1, R2) levels from the prior period’s high, low, and close.  Skills to Sharpen for Smarter Trading  Successful traders often find that combining indicators from different categories yields better results. For instance, pairing a trend-based EMA with a momentum indicator like RSI can help confirm signals more reliably — much like crafting the perfect coffee blend, where balance is everything. Many also realize that stacking similar tools, such as using both RSI and Stochastic, tends to clutter the picture rather than clarify it. A focused set of indicators usually proves more effective. Another common practice is backtesting setups on historical data to understand how strategies perform in specific markets and timeframes. It’s a way to rehearse before stepping onto the stage. Ultimately, those who see consistent results tend to integrate indicators into a coherent strategy rather than reacting to every signal. That clarity often makes all the difference Many of these indicators, from MACD to Bollinger Bands, are readily available on platforms like TradingView, making it easy to apply them to your charts. Subscribe and let us know which of these indicators intrigues you the most so we can explore it further in our next post! Good luck! 👏
Education
by WhiteBIT
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #72👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis and the major crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the New York futures session triggers for you. 🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis In yesterday’s analysis, I gave you a long trigger and said that if the price is supported at the 92007 area and moves toward 94283, you can enter the position after the breakout. This has happened now, and a few hours ago a candle closed above this area. Now we’ll have to see whether the price movement will continue or if it was a fakeout. ⚡️ Nothing else special has happened and for now, only the trigger is active. Personally, since I already had a Bitcoin position open, I opened this one on an altcoin instead, but Bitcoin was a better choice because dominance is rising again, and if you didn’t already have a position on Bitcoin, it would’ve been better to open one there. Let’s get into the analysis to see how the market looks today. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see, I placed a Fibonacci Extension over the bullish leg that started after the breakout of the 85550 level, and the 0.236 Fibonacci level overlaps with the 92007 level, where the price was supported. 💥 When the price rises from the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it means the trend strength is very high, and the price can easily start the next bullish leg. As you can see, that’s exactly what happened—the price quickly moved up to 94283 and is now above that level. 📚 So when the trend is this strong, rising from 0.236 and breaking the previous high, the next leg should start. If that doesn’t happen, it means there’s significant weakness in the uptrend. So if the price doesn’t move upward today and falls back below 94283, it would indicate strong trend weakness, and the likelihood of deeper corrections to lower Fibonacci levels like 0.382 or 0.5 will increase. 📈 For longs, as I told you yesterday, you can enter on the breakout of 94283, which is now active, but the price hasn’t started its move yet. So if you haven’t entered on this trigger, you can enter on a pullback to this level. 🔽 For shorts, even though I said a move back below 94283 would indicate significant weakness, always remember that weakness doesn’t mean trend reversal—it’s just a sign. We confirm the trend reversal with a break of 92007 and the formation of lower lows and highs under this support. This would be the first short trigger and is considered quite risky. 📊 If you look closely, market volume has increased after the breakout. This shows a battle between buyers and sellers, and we need to see which side wins so we can join the winning team. 🧩 Also, pay attention to the RSI oscillator today. If RSI enters Overbought again, there’s potential for another sharp bullish move. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. BTC.D finally tested the 64.12 level and was supported there. Because of this volatility and the V-pattern formed in dominance, most altcoins activated their long triggers. But as dominance started rising again, altcoins fell back below their resistance levels, and if you had opened positions, there was a high chance you hit stop-loss. We can see this more clearly in the Total2 chart. ✔️ For BTC.D to continue rising, confirmation of the V-pattern through a breakout of 64.41 could act as a good trigger, with a move up to at least 64.60. However, the main trigger for the next bullish leg in BTC.D is a breakout above 64.60. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let’s look at Total2. As I mentioned, most altcoin triggers were activated but didn’t follow through, and some even dropped and returned to their lows. This can be seen in Total2 as well. ✨ The reason for this is that money initially flowed into altcoins, activating their triggers. But simultaneously, Bitcoin’s trigger was also activated, and since BTC dominance rose, not much volume flowed into altcoins. That’s why Total2 is currently ranging around its 1.04 trigger level. 🔍 Regarding Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index was supported at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and activated its trigger at 1.04. A bounce from 0.382 indicates strong bullish trend momentum. (Bitcoin bounced from 0.236, which means BTC has an even stronger uptrend than Total2.) 🎲 So once the 1.04 trigger is activated, considering the strong trend momentum, a strong uptrend should start. If this doesn’t happen in the next few candles, the price will likely fall back below 1.04, and bearish momentum could enter the market. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let’s look at Tether dominance. As I’ve said in previous analyses, I believe the market is still moving in sync with USDT.D, and now it’s waiting for the 5% level to be broken. 🔑 That’s why Bitcoin and Total2 have both activated their triggers but haven’t started their major moves yet. In this bullish cycle, USDT dominance appears to have more weight than other indicators. I think the entire market is waiting for the 5% level in this index to break so that capital flows into Bitcoin and altcoins. 🔼 I recommend that if the 5% level breaks, be sure to have at least one long position open. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
13
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
20
Bitcoin (BTC): Waiting For Clarity Around Current ResistanceBitcoin is still hovering around the resistance line where buyers have yet to prove they have taken control over that zone. We are waiting for 2 things that can happen from here: either a rejection and fakeout, which would lead the price down or a proper BOS and retest, which could lead to new highs on the coin. Of course we are looking for the fakeout to form, as we like shorting more than longing on daily trades but we have to adapt with market structure development so we wait for more clarity! Swallow Academy
Short
by SwallowAcademy
5
#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish📊#BTC reaches weekly resistance zone, cautiously bullish⚠️ 🧠From a structural point of view, after we broke through the resistance zone at the daily level, the resistance zone turned into a support zone, so after the price fell back to this support zone, I participated in some long trades. The interim target is around 90,000, so I chose to close all positions after reaching here. ➡️In general, my mind is still in the shock trading, so I don’t look forward to the goal too far. Because we haven’t built a long structure at the daily level, we still need to be vigilant. ➡️Currently we have reached the resistance zone at the weekly level, don’t chase the rise here. We can look for some short signals in this area to participate. ⚠️Note that the large level belongs to the long trend, the correction at the daily level is over, and it is possible to start the upward trend at the daily level. Try to focus on long trades. Let’s take a look👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction. I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500. If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction. Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;) For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
by TheDane
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up. Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026. I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets. i.e. 2.272 - 2.786. However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun. previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9. I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
Long
by jod45m
2
BTCUSDT – Structure Rebuild or Breakdown? My Neutral Bias Until Description: On the 15-minute BTCUSDT chart, I’m currently directionally neutral—I need the market to tip its hand before engaging. 94,722.9 USDT – If bulls attempt another breakout, demand must punch through this level. No passivity here—if buyers show up strong, I’ll look for confirmation to join a bullish continuation. 91,631.5 USDT – This is my bull/bear S/R inflection level. If the market slides back into this zone, I’m watching for bearish momentum to reclaim dominance. Current stance: Structure is rebuilding for a potential long breakout, but I am aggressively watching for proof—no chasing shadows. Until I get a clear reaction at either of these levels, I remain flat, patient, sniper-focused. The trap zones are set. This is a textbook wait-and-react environment. No bias, no emotion—clarity comes from structure + liquidity + reaction.
by Kyle_Booth
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity? CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀. 📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅. 👇 What’s your take on the next move? 🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets 📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi