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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

BTC Breakdown Confirmed Below 93.3K: Distribution or Correction?After failing to reach the projected 96.5K supply zone, BTCUSDT topped at 94.9K with a high-volume rejection and has since broken decisively below 93.3K — a critical VWAP support zone. This move validates the bearish continuation scenario and shifts the strategic focus from pullback-reload to downside targets and flow-based invalidation. Key Developments Since the Previous Report: 🔻 Top Confirmed at 94.9K on April 23 at 13:38 UTC 🔽 Delta at top: -266, aggressive selling 🔽 OI peaked and started to stall ❌ Failed to build continuation to 96.5K 🔻 “Support” at 93.3K broken overnight (new low: 92.238 USDT) This eliminates the reload-long scenario and strengthens the short continuation thesis. Current Market Structure: BTC is now trading below VWAP and the previous high-volume breakout zone. The current structure resembles a distribution phase, not a simple pullback: 🔻 Price below VWAP daily/weekly 🔽 OI flat to slightly declining ❌ Buy delta faded post-top, sellers back in control Tactical Outlook: With confirmation below 93.3K, the next key zone of interest is: 🔹 91.800 USDT – Previous accumulation + POC zone If price stabilizes there with renewed buy delta + OI uptick, we can reassess for recovery. But for now, momentum favors sellers. Recommended Tactical Entry: Short Setup (Continuation): 🔹 Sell limit at 93.100–93.300 (retest of broken support) 🔹 Stop Loss: 93.850 (above VWAP and breakout candle) 🔹 TP1: 91.800 (POC zone) 🔹 TP2: 90.200 (gap support below) ⚖️ R/R: 1:2.5 to 1:3 Entry Conditions: Delta remains negative during retest OI does not rise (no renewed long positioning) Volume spike with no follow-through (inefficient move) Invalidation: If price reclaims 93.850 with increasing OI and buyer aggression, short thesis is invalidated. Alternative: enter aggressively after bearish rejection candle on 5–15min timeframe. Playbook: Short bias active unless: Price reclaims 93.8K with conviction (delta + OI surge) Daily closes back above VWAP Until then: ✅ Maintain shorts ❌ Avoid premature longs ⚡ Watch for volume spikes without delta = liquidity traps Conclusion: The failure at 94.9K combined with the clean break of 93.3K marks a transition from bullish continuation to controlled unwind. The market is now in distribution territory, and caution is warranted. Watch 91.8K closely. Author: Pôncio Pacífico Ex-institutional trader, banned from CEXs. "Volume doesn't lie. Traders do." Follow for the next tactical flow shift.
Short
by NunoSid
1
BTC - Is there anything that can stop this bullrun?The current 4H structure presents a high-probability scenario centered around a classic liquidity sweep into premium levels, followed by potential downside rebalancing into inefficiencies. This is a clear case of price reaching for external liquidity before internal structure takes over. --- 1. Liquidity Run Above BSLs Price has aggressively pushed upward, sweeping multiple Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. These levels mark resting stop orders and breakout entries positioned by retail above recent swing highs. - The impulsive move to the upside isn't a sign of strength—it's a strategic run for liquidity. - These liquidity pools provide exit opportunities for large players offloading long positions initiated earlier in the structure. - The sweep aligns with typical behavior just before price reacts to higher timeframe supply or premium Fibonacci zones. --- 2. Golden Pocket Confluence Zone (Downtrend Bias) The orange highlighted zone represents the Golden Pocket —the 61.8%-to-65% retracement zone often associated with downtrend continuation or reversal setups. - This level acts as a magnet in trending conditions, often leading to strong rejections. - As price enters this pocket, the probability of a reaction increases, especially following a liquidity grab. - The structure suggests this move is designed not for continuation, but for setting up a reversal. The projected swing failure pattern at this level implies a shift from bullish euphoria to short-term distribution. --- 3. Internal Structure: Fair Value Gaps as Rebalance Zones Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked as zones of inefficiency, where price moved too aggressively to maintain balance between buyers and sellers. - FVGs represent internal liquidity voids and serve as high-probability magnets for retracement. - The first FVG lies just below the current price, suggesting a short-term retracement target. - The second, deeper FVG offers a more substantial downside target and is aligned with typical rebalancing behavior after aggressive markups. As price begins to break structure to the downside, these gaps become the logical destinations. --- 4. Probable Flow: Liquidity Sweep → Rejection → Internal FVG Fill The anticipated flow is strategic and sequential: - Step 1: Sweep of BSL and deviation into the Golden Pocket - Step 2: Quick rejection, potentially forming a lower high - Step 3: Downside expansion targeting both FVGs for liquidity rebalancing This is not about chasing price—it’s about understanding the intent behind the move : create imbalance, sweep liquidity, then deliver price into inefficiency. --- Conclusion: This 4H chart outlines a mechanically driven move: - External liquidity (BSL) tapped - Premium level tested (Golden Pocket) - Internal inefficiencies below acting as draw The structure points to a transitional phase from premium to discount, with the FVGs below acting as clear objectives. Until those inefficiencies are fully addressed, the upside narrative remains reactive, not impulsive.
Short
by Louigi_24
45
BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum: Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside. Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support. Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction. At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
Long
by Almenio
Bitcoin Rallies on Stablecoin Optimism and Liquidity BoostMacro: - The crypto market rebounded as sentiment improved following the US Treasury Secretary's proposal to ease stablecoin regulations, boosting trading volumes and risk appetite. - On-chain data reflects growing activity. The average bitcoin trade size rose 15% MoM, overall volume jumped, and 78% of supply is now in profit. - Liquidity support from the increasing M2 money supply in China and the US has further enhanced bitcoin's appeal. Technical: - BTCUSD surged to resistance near 94300, aligning with the 100% Fibo Extension, before forming a Doji candle that signals possible correction. The price remains above both EMAs, indicating a bullish shift. - If the price breaks below 92000, it may leads to a pullback toward the 87000–90000 support zone, near the 23.6%-38.2% Fibo Retracement levels. - A breakout above 94300 may open the door for a move toward the next resistance around 101400. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by DatTong
1
Shorting the Rejection-Retest at 94 350 USDT into the FVG on BTCDescription On the 15-minute chart, BTCUSDT is in a larger up-trend (higher highs, higher lows) that has paused in a tight digestion range. Volume has contracted into this zone, signaling indecision rather than conviction. This trade idea teaches how to combine structure, liquidity context, and precise execution for a high-odds short. Structure Flailing at 93 223 USDT Price tested 93 223 twice and was rejected both times. That “Double-Tap Top” defines clear resistance and a reference for my entry zone. Rejection-Liquidity Zone near 94 000–94 800 USDT I plotted the volume-profile POC and VAH/VAL to show institutional liquidity. The sweep up into this range creates a magnet for stops—my “Rejection Liquidity.” Entry Candle at 94 350 USDT After the wick-high sweep, the very next candle closed bearishly at 94 350 USDT (the swing-high close). I place my limit-sell at 94 350 so I trade the confirmed retest and rejection. Stop-Loss at 94 800 USDT The high of the rejection wick (94 800) sets my stop. Any close above that level invalidates the short thesis and protects capital. Take-Profit at 92 150 USDT I target the filled Fair-Value Gap at 92 150, which aligns perfectly with the prior swing-low demand zone—an ideal spot for price to pause or reverse. Risk & Reward This setup risks 4 500 ticks (94 800 – 94 350) to capture 22 000 ticks (94 350 – 92 150), yielding an R : R of approximately 1 : 4.9. That asymmetric payoff is only available when entry, stop, and target align with proven structural and liquidity pivots. Backup Plan – Bullish Flip If price closes above 94 800 USDT, I abandon the short and await a retest of 94 800 as support. I look for a bullish rejection candle on rising volume, confirm it against my 50-bar HTF swing-high or session POC, then flip long. Higher-Timeframe Pivot Targets (50 USDT Increments) 94 250 USDT 98 600 USDT 105 700 USDT 108 300 USDT Key Terms & Why They Matter DTT (Double-Tap Top): shows exhaustion at a key swing high FVG (Fair-Value Gap): highlights imbalances that price often fills POC/VAH/VAL: map where big traders accumulated or distributed RL (Rejection Liquidity): stop-hunt zones ripe for reversals
Short
by Kyle_Booth
4
WARNING: Something feels off...🚨 Something feels off... While CRYPTOCAP:BTC looks bullish on the surface, this pump shows signs of heavy manipulation: 🔸 Michael Saylor just bought $500M in Bitcoin. 🔸 The purchase was made during Easter weekend, when institutions were closed. 🔸 Today is still a holiday in the UK, and yet the pump occurred during Asian hours — highly unusual. 🔸 Meanwhile, the SPX500 is plunging, while CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising — a rare decoupling. 🔸 Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in leveraged longs are sitting between GETTEX:82K –$85K, vulnerable to liquidation. 📉 This could be a classic FOMO trap — pushing price high on low volume to lure in retail before a long squeeze. Yes, CRYPTOCAP:BTC may be gearing for another leg up… But an all-time high this week? Highly unlikely. ⚠️ Stay cautious. The confidence is getting excessive. DYOR – Do your own research. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoWarning #LongSqueeze #MarketManipulation #CryptoNews #MichaelSaylor #Altcoins #DYOR
by CryptoNikkoid
4
a bullish case for bitcoinBitcoin could reclaim its all-time highs, as it appears only mildly impacted by recent tariffs. If the trade war de-escalates and geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Ukraine, continue to subside, we may see enough trade stability and market clarity to fuel a bullish surge. A rally to $150,000 is plausible under these conditions. However, a consistently calm year seems unlikely, given Donald Trump's historically unpredictable leadership.
Long
by NIJARIO_fundmanager
Bitcoin: $150K In May (Your Altcoins Choice & Market Update)Part 1 was titled, "Bitcoin $120,000 In April & $150,000 In May." Do you think this is possible? We only have 8 days left for the month to be over, it would require a very strong advance for Bitcoin to trade at $120,000 this very same month. Ok. It can happen but maybe not. Anything goes. Bitcoin is now super bullish, ultra-bullish as it trades above $90,000. Any buy below $80,000 is an awesome buy. Even buying Bitcoin below $90,000 would be a dream. That is how it will feel like for those joining the market in several months, but not all is lost. Any buy below $100,000 is a great opportunity if you are focused on the long-term. Bitcoin is entering bull market territory and will grow for months, the biggest growth you've experience in years... The 2025 bull market. Bitcoin is ultra bullish now confirmed, it will never trade below 80K. This is the bullish phase that will change the financial world forever —Crypto is here to stay. I am Bitcoin's #1 fan, please allow me to tell you so. » Altcoins Market Update & Your Top Altcoins Choice The market can shake and there can be doubt but Bitcoin will always recover and grow. The Altcoins right now are very strong. The bullish bias has been confirmed, expect maximum growth. The Altcoins will be growing on average between 20-30X each by the end of the bull run. Some will grow 50-60X while others will grow 5-8X. Allow for strong variations. Bottom prices are still available for some pairs but, once the action starts going these prices will be forever gone. The time to take action is now. A pair can trade at a price today and tomorrow it will be 100% up. There is no going back after that, so make sure to load up on the pairs you like the most. Choose wisely, not everything will grow. Some pairs can start growing within days while others can start growing within months. To avoid getting the stuck pairs you can always use a diversification strategy. Lower risk and higher potential for big reward. Focus on the long-term. Think long-term. Buy and hold. The strategy is very simple now: The bullish bias has been confirmed, higher highs and never new lows. Never set a limit order as stop-loss (no stop-loss), instead, you can use a manual stop-loss or forget this tool altogether, you don't need it when the market is set to grow. Visit my profile and read all the articles that I've been publishing in the past few days, it reveals all the bull market dynamics and the approach we need to take to achieve maximum success. Your support is appreciated. » Feel free to leave a comment with your favorite Altcoin and I will look for you into your chosen pair. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
30
BTC/USD: Do You Think Bitcoin Will Break Above $100K Again?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price successfully hit the $80,800 target and even dropped close to the second target at $73,700. Eventually, after forming a bottom around $74,400, Bitcoin saw renewed demand and has since surged to $93,600. Take note: the $93,480 to $99,500 zone is a key supply area, and the primary expectation is for the price to face rejection from this level. However, after a possible short-term correction, I expect Bitcoin to resume its upward move toward targets above $100,000. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban Latest Analysis :
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
8
Bitcoin is currently testing a significant resistance zoneBitcoin is currently testing a significant resistance zone that aligns with the 8.618 Fibonacci extension, the value area low, previous point of control, and high time frame SR levels. This region also coincides with a potential point C in an ABCD correction based on Elliott Wave theory. Key Points: Price is reacting at point C of a possible ABCD correction, with technical confluence from major Fibonacci levels. Rejection here could lead to a drop toward the $60K– FWB:67K region, aligning with wave D completion. The current move up appears short-squeeze driven rather than organic, increasing the likelihood of a corrective rejection. If point C holds as resistance, Bitcoin may rotate lower, continuing the broader bearish market structure and validating the wave theory setup.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
5