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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels *Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: * 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure). Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone. Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum. 📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback If $100,314 fails: 1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000 Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms. Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower. Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000 Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run. LONG on confirmed strength. Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600 Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend. ✅ Key Reminders: Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!). Risk first: Define stops for every entry. Watch price action—NOT hopes. 👇 What’s your take? Which scenario seems more likely? Are you adding any key levels? Let’s discuss below! 👀
Long
by BTC-SWING-HOUSE
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
Bitcoin - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The boundaries are marked with black lines. Buyer initiative is currently active. Targets: 108,952; 110,530; 111,980. 📊 Key Actions The seller attempted twice, on increased volume, to break down below the range, but both times the buyer brought the price back inside. Only seller wicks remained below the lower boundary. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔹 Look for long setups from 105 500 -104,622 or the 103,400–100,718 zone. There is no context for short trades at the moment. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin Under PressureBitcoin remains mired in a bearish trend as price action struggles below key moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—all of which point to sustained downside pressure. On the higher timeframes, a clear descending trendline from the April–May highs remains firmly intact, reinforcing the macro downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover in the neutral-to-lower zones, with recent bounces still failing to cross bullish thresholds. A short-term relief rally emerged post-news volatility, with price attempting to retest the supply zone between $103.9K and $104K—a region of confluence with bearish Fibonacci levels and previous order blocks. However, rejection at this level could set the stage for a further breakdown, targeting the $96.3K–$95.5K range. In the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, Fibonacci retracements and a climbing RSI suggest short-term relief is plausible, but a lower high formation would confirm continued bearish control. BTC remains technically vulnerable despite short-term bounces, while geopolitical events and U.S. policy narratives shape market sentiment. Yet behind the volatility, continued ETF inflows, stablecoin stability, and altcoin resilience signal a market that, while cautious, remains fundamentally engaged. Traders and investors alike should stay focused on key resistance levels for BTC, monitor developments in Middle Eastern tensions and U.S. crypto policy, and watch ETF and stablecoin flows as barometers of broader market conviction.
Short
by lesnermj
BTC at 103K – Bounce or Breakdown?1. Overall Trend: The chart is currently within a descending channel, indicated by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. The price continues to fluctuate within the boundaries of this bearish channel. 2. Current Price Action: BTC has just touched the lower green support zone (around 103,000 – 102,500 USDT) and is showing a slight rebound. → This suggests a potential recovery toward the nearest resistance zone. 3. Key Levels: ✅ Nearest Support Zone: 103,000 – 102,500 USDT → The price is currently bouncing from this area. If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward resistance is likely. 🟥 Nearest Resistance Zone: 105,000 – 106,500 USDT → This zone has repeatedly rejected price advances in the past. Watch closely as price approaches this level. 🟪 Major Upper Resistance Zone: Around 107,000 – 109,000 USDT → If price breaks above the red zone, this will be the next target. 4. Potential Scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If BTC holds the 103K support and breaks above the descending channel → price could aim for 105K – 106.5K. If that level is breached, the next target may be 107K – 109K. 🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish): If the 103K support breaks → price may fall deeper toward the lower green support zone (around 101,500 – 100,500 USDT). 🎯 Summary: Short-term trend remains bearish. Price is reacting at support → a rebound is possible. Need confirmation from volume and candlesticks to determine if the current downtrend can be broken. Don't forget to like – follow – and share if you find it useful!”😁😁😁
by DatVinh84
BTC trade plan🚨 BITCOIN – Eyeing $135K Before the Real Drop? 🚨 📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE 🧠 Elliott Wave Breakdown: After completing Wave 3 near the $109K level, BTC entered a classic A-B-C correction. We're currently breaking out of a bullish flag, hinting at the final leg Wave B rally still to come! 📈 Wave B Target Zone: 🎯 1.0 Extension: $135,920 🔴 1.236 Extension (Max Spike): $145,000 This zone is our “Red Box of Rejection”, where a strong reversal is likely as Wave C kicks in. A sharp Wave C dump could target the 1.618 Fib extension at $74,576 — a textbook retracement level for deeper Wave 4 corrections. That area would offer a generational buying opportunity heading into Wave 5, targeting above $220K+! 🚀 Final Wave 5 Target: 💥 1.618 Extension: $221,993+
Long
by HodlAhmad
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
Short
by jpbrown1023
Need to wait for the key turning point.The Bitcoin market has currently broken below the key support level of 100,300, confirming a downward trend reversal. A daily-level recovery rally is now underway, and the 4-hour wave structure has not yet concluded. First, the downside target is seen at 95,000 to 98,000. Next week, the key turning point at 92,000 will likely determine the low of a rebound. Although this rebound low is not the ultimate bottom, it will trigger a relatively strong rebound after formation. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@95000-95500 TP:97500-98000
Short
by MyronWilson
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Analysis of Market Dynamics Under Geopolitical Conflicts The current conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase of "reciprocal retaliation". In the early morning of June 22, Iran launched missile strikes on Israel, targeting military command centers and nuclear R&D facilities in Tel Aviv, while Israel carried out multiple rounds of airstrikes on missile bases in western Iran. This high-intensity mutual bombardment has broken the "limited retaliation" pattern of previous regional conflicts. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei explicitly stated the intention to "completely destroy the Israeli regime", indicating a real risk of further escalation. The U.S. stance in this conflict has become a key variable. While President Trump said it "may take two weeks to decide whether to join the war", he also emphasized that "it's hard to ask Israel to stop attacks", an ambiguous stance that has intensified market uncertainty. Notably, Iran has ruled out the possibility of nuclear talks during the conflict, and the breakdown of diplomatic channels has made military confrontation the only option—this could lead to geopolitical risk premiums persisting in asset pricing. Historical experience shows that Bitcoin's performance in geopolitical conflicts features "short-term volatility, medium-term divergence". During the Iran-Israel conflict in April 2024, Bitcoin plunged 7% within an hour, but it rose 5% against the trend after the U.S. airstrike on Iran in 2020. The current market's uniqueness lies in that Trump signaled "possible military action" before the conflict, giving the market a digestion period—thus, Bitcoin only fell 4.5% after the conflict broke out on June 13, showing stronger resilience than in 2024. However, if the U.S. officially enters the war, it may trigger panic selling similar to the early stage of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, which requires high vigilance. Bitcoin's current price of $102,500 is facing a dual test of geopolitical conflict and technical resistance. The reciprocal retaliation between Iran and Israel has not ended, and whether the U.S.参战 (enters the war) will determine the direction of market sentiment. Technically, whether the $103,000 resistance level is broken will guide short-term trends. Investors need to distinguish between short-term emotional shocks and long-term trend forces—geopolitical conflicts may cause short-term volatility, but the de-dollarization trend and the stability of institutional holdings provide long-term support for Bitcoin. In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "light-position trial + flexible hedging": do not blindly chase breakouts, nor ignore pullback buying opportunities. Remember: in the fog of geopolitics, real opportunities often lie at the intersection of market panic and rationality, and risk control is always the first principle of investment. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000 SL:99500 TP:103000~104000
Long
by David_Wilson1
Bitcoin and the geopolitical news BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Advanced Technical Analysis of Bitcoin's Structure – Current Situation on Smaller Timeframes We notice a symmetrical triangle forming on the small timeframes (1-hour and 4-hour), centered in a critical area. Historically, when this price pattern forms, Bitcoin takes no more than three days to confirm its trend. Therefore, the close of the third-day candlestick will serve as a pivotal turning point. 🔹 Immediate Support: 103,400 🔹 Strong Support: 102,500 — a daily low + institutional liquidity zone 🔹 First Resistance: 105,600 — associated with a convergence of moving averages (EMAs) 🔹 Main Resistance: 106,700 — a crossover with the 200-period moving average, which can be described as the largest psychological barrier --- Possible Scenarios: ☑️ Positive Scenario: If 105,600 is breached, we are expected to witness an upward movement targeting: 108,000 110,000 118,000 (potentially later) ✅ Catalysts: Positive US economic data Regulatory news supporting the markets (such as institutional entry and cryptocurrency regulations) --- ⚠️ Negative Scenario: If the 102,500 support level is broken, the path will be open to: 100,000 99,000 (strong psychological support area) ❗️ Potential Triggers: Negative inflation data Major geopolitical escalation (especially if it directly involves the United States) 🔴 Important Note: I'm not a proponent of trading based on news, but I'm including the US factor because it's the only one I consider truly influential in geopolitical analysis. The US entering a full-scale war would prompt American investors (who represent about 5% of active traders) to withdraw immediately for fear of long-term repercussions. 🔻 America is making history now, and Trump is managing the situation expertly. He is likely to avoid getting involved in long-term conflicts, focusing on concluding deals and wars strategically. --- Current Sideways Trading: Trading continues between the 103,400 and 105,600 levels within the symmetrical triangle. The future direction will be determined by the following developments: If the conflict ends and a deal is reached (especially if Iran surrenders), we will witness a strong upward breakout. If the United States enters the war directly, we expect a downward breakout to levels that may reach 92,000. --- Technical Conclusion: 💎 Bitcoin is in a critical consolidation phase with a delicate balance between institutional selling pressure at 106,700 and strong buying demand at 102,500. The next breakout will depend on: 1. A clear breakout of the triangle pattern 2. The strength of the liquidity accompanying the movement 3. Official US developments—regulatory or political --- Important Clarification: ❌ The recent decline is not directly related to the Iran-Israel war. Rather, it came as a result of: 1. Options expiry 2. Trump's statements about the possibility of direct US intervention, with the arrival of an aircraft carrier in the Middle East 🔍 A war between only two parties doesn't worry the market much, but US intervention is the decisive factor. ✅ America alone is the one that moves the markets.
by Learn2tradez
Potential Long Setup on BTC After Fakeout and V-Shaped Recovery🟢 Potential Long Setup on BTC After Fakeout and V-Shaped Recovery After the fake breakdown around $101,116 and a strong V-shaped recovery, Bitcoin is showing signs of strength. If $105,771 breaks to the upside, a long entry with a stop at $104,579.8 could be a solid setup. Keep in mind: This long position should be taken with the bigger picture in mind — if BTC breaks $110,246.8, it might be much harder to catch a position then. So it's wise to already be in the market. 📌 Important note: Don’t take heavy risk just yet. Skip taking profit (TP) on this one for now, but size your position cautiously. If the market confirms a trend later, you'll have more room to enter altcoins with higher conviction. --- 💬 What’s your take on this V-recovery? Are you entering early or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know in the comments!
Long
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER
Measured move target madePrice bounced near the target and has been confirmed by the 4 hour SAR. The 4 hour SAR is currently on a bearish retrace relative to the daily SAR. As long as the Daily SAR is above price, the bearish Wolfewave is still in play. Price is anticipated to go lower than what the 4 hour SAR has established as support. To see more details and for faster movement, we look to the shorter intervals. Shorter interval price action could invalidate longer interval patterns.
by FibonacciTradingCrew
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection. Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal. Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range. First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000. Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark. 📉 Outlook: The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
Short
by traderchamp_