Bitcoin Under PressureBitcoin remains mired in a bearish trend as price action struggles below key moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—all of which point to sustained downside pressure. On the higher timeframes, a clear descending trendline from the April–May highs remains firmly intact, reinforcing the macro downtrend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover in the neutral-to-lower zones, with recent bounces still failing to cross bullish thresholds. A short-term relief rally emerged post-news volatility, with price attempting to retest the supply zone between $103.9K and $104K—a region of confluence with bearish Fibonacci levels and previous order blocks.
However, rejection at this level could set the stage for a further breakdown, targeting the $96.3K–$95.5K range. In the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, Fibonacci retracements and a climbing RSI suggest short-term relief is plausible, but a lower high formation would confirm continued bearish control.
BTC remains technically vulnerable despite short-term bounces, while geopolitical events and U.S. policy narratives shape market sentiment. Yet behind the volatility, continued ETF inflows, stablecoin stability, and altcoin resilience signal a market that, while cautious, remains fundamentally engaged.
Traders and investors alike should stay focused on key resistance levels for BTC, monitor developments in Middle Eastern tensions and U.S. crypto policy, and watch ETF and stablecoin flows as barometers of broader market conviction.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Your Edge Isn’t Just Technical, It’s PersonalMost traders obsess over their strategy: Which indicator? What session? What entry signal?
But very few stop to ask the question that could change everything: “Does this style actually fit who I am?”
The Truth Most Don’t Talk About
Trading success is not about copying someone else’s edge. It’s about discovering your own edge, and that begins with self-awareness .
And it hit deep because this is the part of trading psychology we often skip.
Some Real Talk
If you’re naturally calm and risk-averse, trying to scalp news spikes will drain you.
If you’re fast-thinking, decisive, and love volatility, swing trading might feel like watching paint dry.
If you thrive on rules and structure, discretionary trading might feel chaotic.
If you're intuitive and adaptive, being forced into mechanical rules may kill your edge.
You’re not underperforming because you lack discipline, you’re likely just misaligned.
What Changed for Me
I stopped trying to “be the trader” everyone said I should be. And I started trading like me.
I built a system that fits my mental rhythm.
I gave myself permission to simplify.
I became consistent not because of a new setup, but because I removed internal friction.
Final Thought:
Your best trades don’t just come from the chart. They come from a place of alignment, when your mindset, risk tolerance, and system flow together. So before chasing another strategy, ask yourself: “Is my trading style in tune with my personality?”
#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!📊#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!
🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline, which means a bearish structure is established, so we need to be wary of further declines.
➡️Yesterday's decline was rapid, so we can wait for a rebound to appear and look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance area or the downward trend line.
➡️Since it is the weekend, the trading volume may be less. If there is no rebound, then we need to wait patiently for a period of sideways consolidation before looking for shorting opportunities.
⚠️Note that the area around 106500 is a support-resistance conversion zone. If it breaks through here and stabilizes, we can remain optimistic.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation
The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection.
Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal.
Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range.
First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000.
Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark.
📉 Outlook:
The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
BTC is stuck in a tightening triangle — compression phaseVolatility building up into June 18–19.
Expect a big breakout.
Main scenario: breakout to the upside with a “God Candle” and new momentum for altcoins after prolonged BTC dominance.
Alts have been suppressed, but that’s part of the setup — don’t get tricked by the fake moves.
Stay patient, don’t lose focus, and be ready for a sharp move!
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
BTCUSDTHello traders. Wishing each of you a great weekend ahead!
Even though it's the weekend, I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair and decided to share it with you. However, we should also keep in mind that weekend markets tend to have lower volume. That said, I will still proceed with this trade based on my own risk parameters and trading strategy.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103815.32
✔️ Take Profit: 102640.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 104402.06
🕒 If the trade does not continue with strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 today. Otherwise, I will close it either in profit or at a loss depending on the price action.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
BTC is Bearish again?BTC 1W Overview
BTC is still trading above 100k despite the macro situation and ww3 situation in the Middle East , which is fine for the BTC maxis and institutions.
Weekly structure starting to shift in a bearish direction considering the weekly close below the structure and daily range is just a chop fest around the 104k area and so does the other assets getting chopped.
BTC.D is now over 1000 days uptrending and this is wild and not at all what many were expecting this point in the cycle.
Big concern on my mind is that what if BTC pulls back to the 90k area as I think may happen which I marked in the chart then altcoins will leg down another 20-30%.
Obviously everything is not about technical and the fundamental side is simply that there is an ongoing conflict in the middle East and the whole crypto market is waiting for a resolution one way or the other and crypto market lacks patience and even we do get the uncertainty then it still doesn't address the deeper market issues of altcoin weakness and continued dominance of BTC (BTC outperformed every single alt except MKR).
My best bet for LONG maxis will be around the 92k area Weekly FVG and Yearly Open, if we get more bad news from the middle East or Russia-ukraine or Sir powell comes with a bad news then this zone will be fast forwarded
And for short maxis or Beras my best bet will be S\R of 104k or monthly open is area to look for
All this planning will go down the drain if TRUMP comes with a good news regarding Tarrifs with china or other countries or any other news from the TRUMP because he's unpredictable
On the short time frame Scalps are possible on both sides and 100k is a psychological level to long but in bearish scenerio or war news will just wreck it
Final bias shifting Bearish
For alts instead of trying to long every dead cat bounce or predict the bottom we have to wait for it to happen and then react accordingly because reaction and execution is better than drawing predictions and getting chopped
BTC slowly getting bearmarket vibes.Given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape, there is a growing risk of a renewed downward move in the market. Should we not see a rate cut materialize as early as June, Bitcoin could begin a gradual decline, potentially retracing toward the $50,000–$40,000 range.
This slow grind lower may persist unless there is a sharp and meaningful shift in the key macro or geopolitical variables. While a reversal of this trend remains possible under improved conditions, current indicators suggest a steady move toward lower levels in the absence of a clear catalyst.
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model
Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system.
I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon
- **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels.
- **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin.
II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning
- **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence.
- **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones.
- **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin.
III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000
1. Short-Term Support Validation:
- Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day.
2. Trend Breakout Confirmation:
- RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000.
**Trading Tactics**:
- **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support).
- **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance.
- **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals.
This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:98000
TP:103000~104000
$BTC - Short-term OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 4h
We got a solid bounce off 98k
Next key level is 103.5k–104k. A clean reclaim flips short-term bias bullish.
If price gets rejected again, this likely confirms a bearish retest, and likely leading back down to the 94k–92k value area
Price could range for awhile at this level as we challenge the 104k — prior value acting as resistance.
BTC Accumulation modelI would love to see some more ranging, followed by another deviation into this 4h demand to then turn this range into a model 1 accumulation. I would expect the overall range low to hold a little bit longer, since it's a confirmed daily cycle low. I will update this idea if it looks like it could play out.