BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-01 19:30 UTCA bullish trade opportunity was identified after price action formed a Piercing Line candlestick pattern, signaling a potential reversal from recent lows.
🔹 Technical Overview:
Entry Price: 105,869.86 USDT
Take Profit (TP): 106,939.86 USDT
Stop Loss (SL): 104,669.86 USDT
200 EMA: 106,320.49 USDT (Price is trading below — potential dip-buy opportunity)
Pattern Detected: Piercing Line (bullish reversal)
🔹 Volume Context:
Recent candles showed moderate volume with signs of buyer interest increasing.
OBV trend has turned slightly positive, supporting a short-term bullish case.
🔹 Order Flow:
Price action is showing signs of recovery from a local support zone.
Some imbalance in the order book tilted toward buyers, with supportive bid liquidity observed.
This setup combines trend deviation, bullish price action, and support reaction, creating a favorable risk-to-reward scenario. Trade is now active and being monitored toward the defined TP level, with strict stop-loss protection in place.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin 100K$ is strong soon range will end and bulls will winSoon we are looking for a heavy rise here like the green arrows on chart and new ATH which would be nonstop and first target for that is around 120K$.
Also we should consider that we have range zone around 100K$ support to 110K$ resistance zone and we need breakout first and then next possible move is obvious.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTC - Testing Trendline Here is an update to our previous post:
Zoom into the lowertime frame (1H) here is a zoomed in look at what is going on. Right now BTC just tested the trendline we pointed out in the last post. As you can see we have many touchpoints of support on this trendline (green arrows). Very important to monitor BTC's price action around this trendline.
If price is to lose this level then we would want to watch our fib target of $103k. If price can continue to hold it as support then a move back to test the red trendline is likely.
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce!
Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance.
After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100.
This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top.
If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH.
Market structure is still bullish.
A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff.
Are you positioned for the breakout?
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DYOR, NFA
#BitcoinRecovery
BTC/USDT – Trade Review & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s short setup didn’t work out as planned — stop-loss was hit as bulls showed strong momentum. However, I still believe that a move to the yellow block (downside liquidity zone) is possible, and the idea remains valid.
The main mistake was with the stop placement, not the scenario itself. After taking a loss, I’m more cautious: reducing risk, lowering position size, and entering with less conviction. Bulls were dominant yesterday, so I’m keeping my risk tight on this trade.
I’ll take the setup again, but with a more conservative approach. If price breaks and holds above my stop-loss level, it will confirm a shift in sentiment to bullish, and I’ll look to flip my bias accordingly.
Key points:
Previous short was stopped out — reviewing risk
Still see potential for a move to the yellow block
Lower risk, smaller size after a loss
If price holds above stop, trend flips bullish
Let’s see how this plays out.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
BTC/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis – 1H & 5m🕐 1-Hour Overview:
BTC is currently consolidating inside a range-bound structure, showing signs of indecision.
Resistance Zone: $105,000 – $106,000
Support Zone: $100,000 – $101,000
The price must break out of this box to define the next major direction.
➡️ A bullish breakout above 106K could lead to $108K+
⬅️ A breakdown below 100K may trigger downside momentum.
⏱ 5-Minute Execution Zone:
The 5m chart shows a rebound from an oversold move, forming higher lows and approaching key resistance.
Minor Resistance: $107,000
Key Breakout Level: $107,400
🎯 Trading Scenario:
If we get a strong bullish candle closing above $107,400
Then: Entry Long with target near $108,000
Stop Loss: Below recent 5m low – around $106,800
✅ Strategy Context:
Timeframe alignment between HTF and LTF
Scalp entry with confirmation
Risk managed around structural zones
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Scalping #PriceAction #ALIPFX
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook
After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken.
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🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective
Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend.
Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K.
Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range.
Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone.
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🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing
Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K.
Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator.
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🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior
Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb).
Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases.
Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance.
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🚀 Conclusion:
> Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000.
If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
Bitcoin NEW ALL TIME HIGH ? Based on my analytic, bitcoin has possibility to hit the new all time high $113.500 .
If not there is also possibility of going down to 4h OB ( $106.10 0) and up to $113.500 .
Two scenarios possible!!!
First trade
Entry 108.937,7
SL 108.419,4
TP 113.599
Second trade
Entry 106.185,4
SL 104.972,7
TP 113.599
BTC Bullflag break Currently, BTC is forming a bullish continuation pattern, combining both a bull flag and an ascending triangle, which suggests potential upside momentum. The price is trading within a defined range, sitting just below a supply zone, which has previously acted as resistance. If the price rejects from this supply zone and drops to the demand zone below, it presents a strong long opportunity, as this zone has historically shown buying interest. Additionally, the current price structure aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a possible reversal area. If BTC retraces to the demand zone, a long entry can be considered with a stop loss below the zone and a target at the 1.168 Fibonacci extension, providing a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Overall, the setup shows bullish confluence with a clear trade plan based on market structure, Fibonacci levels, and supply/demand zones.
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊
The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC
We trade across three market cycles:
HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend.
MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC.
LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend.
Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm.
Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative
The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze:
HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders).
MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily).
LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour).
Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach.
While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships.
Trading Scenarios: When to Act
Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout).
Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry.
Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend.
Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range
When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound:
Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend.
Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave.
Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC):
Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure.
Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high.
Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario.
Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles
Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10).
HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly.
Final Vibe Check
This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Bitcoin Bounced Right Where It ShouldBitcoin continues to respect the script — breakout, clean retest, and now holding strong.
The 50 EMA has been a reliable dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend, and once again, it helped catch the recent dip. Price has now successfully retested the breakout zone and is starting to bounce.
Structure looks healthy, momentum is building, and unless the support fails, the next leg up could be just around the corner.
Simple setups. No noise. Just trend.
DYOR, NFA
Bitcoin Just Broke Out! Is $117K Next? (MA50 + Fibo 161% Confirm🚨 MAJOR BTC MOVE!
After weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin has officially broken the downtrend and showed a strong bounce from the MA50, turning previous resistance into support.
📈 Setup Breakdown:
✅ Downtrend breakout confirmed
✅ Clean reaction from MA50
✅ Long entry triggered with upside targets
🎯 Target 1: $112,644 (161% Fibo)
🎯 Target 2: $117,351
📊 This could be the beginning of a new leg up. Watch price behavior at key levels and manage risk accordingly.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading to $120K or is this a bull trap? Drop your thoughts below 👇
🔁 Like & Share if you caught this move!
📺 Follow for more real-time setups @ TradeWithMky 🧠📉
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