BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraWe’re approaching a major liquidity zone in the yellow highlighted area. I expect this zone to be swept soon — likely triggering a wave of stop-losses and liquidations. Once this liquidity is taken, I anticipate a sharp move down on increased volume.
After this liquidity event, my base case is a buyback from lower levels, with price rebounding towards the upper boundary at 105,500. From there, I’m watching for renewed selling pressure to create another push down, forming a descending wedge pattern and a retest of the 104,000 zone.
The key price range I’m focused on for the coming session is 104,400 – 105,500.
I expect BTC to spend most of tomorrow trading within this range, as it consolidates after the volatility spike.
However, if in the next few hours we see a 1H candle close decisively below the red-marked level at 103,700, this would be a strong bearish signal. In that case, I expect the move to extend further down toward the 102,300 area.
Whether price eventually breaks higher or lower from this range will depend on macroeconomic flows and the market’s reaction inside the outlined zone. I’ll continue to update as the situation unfolds.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
#BTC Bounced, 100EMA saved the day!100 EMA saved the day.
But the one concern? We’ve printed a new Lower Low, not a great sign.
The chart looks bouncy, but the overall structure still feels uncertain.
No point guessing or forcing trades here, I’d rather wait for clear confirmation.
I’ll share updates if I spot any changes or interesting altcoin setups.
For now, patience is our best edge. I know many altcoins might look great, but BTC Dominance is not yet done. I'll be sharing that chart tomorrow.
Stay sharp.
Hit that like button if you find this short update useful.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Completely Transformed Into a Bearish SetupBTC Completely Transformed Into a Bearish Setup
Since last week, BTC and most of the Alcoins have changed their direction from clearly rising to falling.
The reason why this happened is another topic, because it is never a clear reason, but it happens.
If the price is going to respect this falling pattern, BTC should easily fall to 97800 and 94500, otherwise it may transform and change its appearance again.
It is difficult to understand whether BTC has ended the uptrend so far and the downtrend has begun.
Or if we are in a larger bullish correction.
However, with the current data, it is only falling.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion.
The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory.
Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move
personal opinion:!!!
Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
07/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,529.95
Last weeks low: $105,108.81
Midpoint: $107,819.38
The "Big Beautiful Bill" was signed into law last week on the 4th July, a huge event in the financial world and undoubtedly the world of crypto. The debt ceiling is now instantly raised by $5T making risk-on assets even more appealing than ever, incoming demand shock will likely help BTC but also the struggling altcoin market as well.
Last week the BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of $294m. This takes the total 30-day inflows to nearly 50K BTC and this is before the big beautiful bill was passed. PA wise, BTC is still struggling to break the $110k level and flip ATH, however the consolidation just under ATH with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests a run at the highs is in the near future IMO.
For this week US CPI & PPI data are the important release for the week. It's hard to tell if the data releases will actually provide any volatility this time around, they usually do but the FEDs refusal to act has made the last few CPIs very flat in terms of volatility for BTC.
Key battleground for me this week would be the midpoint, clearly last week provided good support, however a larger area of inefficiency rest just under that it so there is a natural pull for price to revisit those areas. Could be a choppy week once again...
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC analyses
Bitcoin has hit its own support level and choke point in the 4-hour timeframe, which could be a signal for further correction.
But dynamic support has held its own.
We will wait until the US market opens.
And enter when we see a break and see a signal.
Note: I am bullish on Bitcoin as long as it is above 183,200.
Bitcoin (BTC): Targeting $120K | Buyers Showing DominanceBitcoin is hovering still in between the old ATH area and the new, entering into a consolidation zone, which might be our breaking point.
Last week we saw the buyside dominance, which was backed by big institutions buy orders and short-term traders selling assets, giving us a sign of a potential bullish breakout—that's what we are looking for, a proper breakout from local resistance, which would then send the price towards our first target of $120K.
Swallow Academy
Are You Really Analyzing Or Just Defending your imagination? You might think you're analyzing every time you open a chart.
But what if you're just looking for reasons to justify a bad trade?
Real analysis is data-based. Justification is emotion-based.
Let’s figure out if you're really trading smart or just lying to yourself.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently testing a strong resistance near the upper boundary of its parallel channel. A breakout to the upside looks likely soon. From this level, I expect at least a 5% gain, with a main target around $114,500. 📈🚀
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🎯 Analysis or Mental Justification?
Many traders, once they’re in a position, stop looking for truth and start looking for confirmation.
Instead of reading what the chart actually says, they twist every line and indicator to make it look like their trade still makes sense even when it doesn’t.
🛠 TradingView Tools That Kill Self-Deception
TradingView is way more than just a place to slap on some EMAs and MACDs. If used right, it can literally stop you from fooling yourself:
Replay Tool – Use this to backtest without future data bias. It trains your brain to analyze based only on the present moment.
Multi-Timeframe Layouts – View your idea across multiple timeframes. Confirmation bias collapses fast when you see the same chart from different angles.
Volume Profile – This shows where real trading happens, not where you wish it would happen.
Community Scripts & Public Indicators – Looking at someone else's logic helps you catch your own blind spots.
Idea Journal & Posts – Publish your analysis and compare it with what actually happened. You’ll quickly see how often emotion was driving your trade.
😵💫 What Does Justification Even Look Like?
It’s when you’re deep in the red but instead of managing your loss, you draw a new trendline… or add a reversed Fibonacci… or tell yourself, “It’s just a correction.”
That’s not analysis. That’s emotional defense.
💡 Know the Real Difference
Analysis = data-driven, emotion-free.
Justification = emotion-driven, data-twisted.
🔂 Why Do You Keep Making the Same Mistake?
Because your brain loves to feel right even when it's wrong.
Instead of accepting reality, it tries to bend it.
So you dig for signals to support your bad position, not question it.
🧠 The Psychology Behind the Trap
What you’re feeling is cognitive dissonance. Two thoughts fighting in your head:
“This position is failing.”
“I don’t want to be wrong.”
So your brain builds fake reasons to stay in it. Welcome to the mental loop that kills portfolios.
🎯 How To Break the Cycle
Write down why you’re entering any trade before you open it.
Only trade what you can explain, not what you hope.
Decide your stop-loss level before you enter.
If you’re “hoping” for something to turn around, it probably won’t.
🪞Be Brutally Honest With Yourself
The real question isn’t “Can you analyze?”
It’s “Can you admit you were wrong when it matters?”
Every losing trade you hold onto out of ego is a reminder that you chose comfort over skill.
⚠️ What Makes a Pro Trader?
A pro doesn’t just win trades. They cut losses fast.
They don’t “marry” a position just because they drew a trendline.
They survive by respecting truth, not bending it.
🧪 Train Your Brain To See Reality
To break the habit of self-justification, you need to rewire your analysis process. Here's how:
Before analyzing a chart, review your previous trade honestly.
Ask: What made me enter? Strategy or emotion?
Replay the chart with TradingView’s tool. If you didn’t know the future, would you still take that trade?
Answer those questions and you'll start separating real analysis from self-defense.
👁 Look at the Chart Without Bias
If you’re holding a position while analyzing, you’re probably just looking for evidence to stay in.
Try this instead: Pick a timeframe where you have no position, and do a clean analysis.
No hope. No fear. No money on the line.
That’s when real analysis happens.
🔚 Final Note
Real analysis hurts because it forces you to face mistakes. But it's also the path to real consistency.
Next time you open a chart, ask yourself:
“Am I seeking the truth or just a reason to hold on?”
One moment of honesty can change your entire trading journey.
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We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛
Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Short-Term Bullish Momentum The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to trade within a strong upward channel, supported by consecutive higher highs and an ascending trendline. After breaking above the range near $108,200, price briefly peaked above $110,000 before pulling back to retest the mid-support zone. Current action shows a rebound from the upward trendline, suggesting buyers are preparing for another leg up toward $110,500 and possibly the $112,000 resistance zone.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: around 108,000 or below
Sell trigger: break below 107,000 with close under channel
Target: 110,500 – midpoint resistance, followed by 112,000
Buy trigger: bounce from trendline and reclaim of 109,000
💡 Risks
Weak rebound could signal range re-entry and stall upside
Break below the trendline may shift bias to 105,000
Multiple rejections near 110,000 could indicate topping pressure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025
Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection.
If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested.
At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
BTC 4HWe are in a week where volatility is expected to increase in BTC. A movement like the one on the screen may occur. Definitely use stops during this period. We are in a period when it is very difficult to analyze the market. We have become a market that moves with a lot of news. The market will surprise investors before the bull comes. Therefore, pay more attention to your stops than ever.
Macro view of BTC - why is nobody talking about this?Looking at the weekly BTC chart, there’s a clear long-term resistance that dates back to 2017 and still hasn’t been broken convincingly. There’s plenty of talk this cycle about Bitcoin hitting 150k, just like there was hype around 100k in 2021.
In 2021, BTC formed a significant resistance, which was retested and confirmed in late 2024 and early 2025. Now the common line is: “This time is different. We have institutional money.” That’s true to an extent, but market psychology doesn’t change. Profit is profit. And when sentiment turns, even institutional and ETF-driven retail investors will take it.
BTC is still considered a speculative asset, and for good reason. It doesn’t generate income or yield — it’s only worth what someone else will pay for it.
Right now, BTC appears to be forming a bull flag, but if it can’t push past the 116k to 120k range with strength, I’ll be looking to short it on the way down.
If we get a strong breakout and hold above 120k, then, and only then, do I see a path toward a 150k top.
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend.
For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side.
Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point.
The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness.
A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend.
Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups.
On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level.
Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward.
If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation.
To conclude, my idea here is:
Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk)
Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk)
Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.