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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

BTC at Decision Point: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Incoming ??BTC is now trading within a symmetrical triangle, bouncing strongly from the trendline support at $98,898, and now faces overhead resistance of around $106,000. Price is moving between higher lows and lower highs; a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant move. Key Levels: Support Zones: $101,409 – Near-term support $98,898 – Strong ascending trendline support $93,343 – Critical structure base Resistance Zones: $105,807 – Immediate ceiling $106,057 – Triangle breakout point $108,895 – First major upside target $111,785 – Higher target if bulls take control Analysis: The structure shows clear compression, and BTC has already made a sharp bounce off the lower range, suggesting bulls are stepping in. However, a clean breakout above $106K is needed to confirm the momentum shift. A breakout above this triangle could lead to a fast move toward $111K, while failure could send the price back toward $101K or even lower. This is a make-or-break zone. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Long
by ScramblerG
1
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏. If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
DeGRAM | BTCUSD rebound from the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis ● The BTCUSDT 4-hour chart on KUCOIN highlights a pronounced descending channel, with price action recently rebounding from a well-defined demand zone between 98,000 and 100,000. This green-shaded area has repeatedly acted as a springboard for bullish reversals, as evidenced by the strong wick and immediate recovery after the latest test. The chart also marks a series of lower highs and lower lows, but the most recent price action shows a break in bearish momentum, with a projected zigzag path indicating a potential move toward the 104,970 resistance. The confluence of the lower channel boundary and the demand zone suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at these levels, aiming for a retest of the upper resistance band. ● The technical setup is further reinforced by the presence of a major resistance level at 111,977, which has capped previous rallies. The chart’s structure, with its clear trendlines and highlighted resistance and support zones, points to a tactical opportunity for bulls to capitalize on the oversold conditions. The anticipated path, as drawn on the chart, suggests a gradual recovery with intermittent pullbacks, targeting the 104,970 area as the next significant hurdle. The overall pattern indicates that while the broader trend remains bearish, the immediate outlook favors a corrective rally from the current demand zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for a short-term recovery. Over the past two days, Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility due to escalating geopolitical tensions, notably US military action in the Middle East, which triggered a sharp sell-off and flushed out leveraged positions. Despite this, institutional accumulation remains robust, with over $1.2 billion in Bitcoin added to corporate treasuries in the last week, and Texas officially establishing a state-managed Bitcoin reserve. On-chain data shows sustained negative netflows from exchanges, indicating that large holders are moving coins to cold storage, a historically bullish signal. Meanwhile, derivatives data reveals a cautious market, with open interest skewed toward protective puts, but spot ETF inflows and long-term adoption trends continue to underpin the market. ✨ Summary ● BTCUSDT is rebounding from a key demand zone, with technicals pointing to a corrective move toward 104,970. The bullish scenario is supported by strong institutional accumulation and strategic adoption, even as short-term volatility persists. A sustained close above 104,970 would open the path to the 111,977 resistance, while a drop below 98,000 would invalidate the recovery thesis. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin Holding Above $100K – Bullish Bias IntactIn my previous analysis, I mentioned that a daily close below $100K would trigger a short bias. However, price closed above the $100K level, sweeping liquidity and rejecting the downside. This move invalidates the bearish setup and confirms a bullish continuation. Market structure remains intact, and we're now looking for potential long setups on retests or pullbacks. Key Points: Liquidity sweep below $100K Daily close above key support Bullish structure remains valid Watching for continuation targets and retests 📍 Stay patient and follow price action. Structure never lies. #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #BullishContinuation #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTA
Long
by clintonHFX
BTC at the Crossroads — $91k Demand or Deeper Flush to $76k?🎯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 — Bullish Reclaim: If price reclaims 1D 50EMA and $104k, bias flips bullish; look for continuation toward ATHs Scenario 2 — Base Case (Favored): Remain patient for a move to $91k–$92k; swing-long setup on signs of strength or iH&S formation If $91k–$92k holds, expect a summer rally and new ATHs later in 2025 Scenario 3 — Breakdown: If $91k fails, prepare for deeper move to $73k–$76k; this is the “max long” zone if tested Must hold here; below $73k–$76k, next support is $55k 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Long only above $104k + 1D 50EMA, or after bullish structure at $91k–$92k Major long only on strong support at $76k, with clear confirmation 📝 Order Placement & Management: Buy: On reclaim of $104k (trend confirmation) or at $91k–$92k with iH&S/reversal pattern Backup Buy: If $76k is tagged with confirmation Stops: Under $91k or $73k (based on entry) Targets: New ATHs for late 2025 🚨 Risk Warning: Losing $91k opens path to $76k; losing $76k is a major structure break Don’t knife-catch — wait for confirmation at each level
by Goldfinch_song
Bitcoin Eyes $112K, Liquidity Magnet AheadCRYPTOCAP:BTC Eyeing Breakout? Bitcoin is consolidating tightly between 107.7K and 108.3K after a strong bounce from local support. Short-term support has formed near 107.7K, but there's still liquidity below ~106.5K that may get swept before the next move. If BTC holds above 107.5K and breaks 108.3K cleanly, we could see a quick move toward the $110.6k – $112K liquidation zone, with ATH in sight. According to HTF, we need a daily close above 110k to confirm it in the HTF. The market remains bullish unless 106K fails. Will the magnet zone pull us higher? Like & follow for more sharp updates. DYOR. NFA CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
BITCOIN → Market manipulation. Chance for growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , as part of a correction triggered by negative news from the US regarding tariffs, is testing liquidity in the support zone. There is a chance of recovery to 110K. Bitcoin is reacting with a decline to fundamentally negative data on tariffs from Trump. Technically, the price is facing support and forming a false breakdown, the purpose of which was to capture liquidity. This could lead to a recovery within consolidation in an uptrend, but again, there are conditions... Countries that have received notification of tariffs are responding positively to cooperation (if this trend continues, Bitcoin could receive a local bullish driver). The market perceives this as positive, and after liquidity is captured, the price could recover to the resistance of the trading range. Resistance levels: 108230, 109690 Support levels: 107500, 106500 Bulls are trying to hold the local interim bottom at 107500. There is a reaction to the false breakdown of support. The focus is on 108230; if the market can break through this level, we will have a chance to grow to 110K. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC📊 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-07 11:30 UTC 🕒 Binance Spot 📆 July 7, 2025 | 11:30 GMT Candle Observations ─────────────── 💡 Price: 108712.97 USDT 📉 EMA200 (Dynamic): 108938.31 🟩 Support Watch: 107512.97 🟦 Resistance Target: 109782.97 ─────────────── 🔍 We're observing price action developing below EMA200, with a recent Piercing Line formation at a noted dip zone. This setup may suggest buyers are attempting to reclaim short-term control. ⚠️ Key tactical support remains near 107512.97, where historical reaction zones and liquidity zones intersect. 📈 A move toward 109782.97 is being monitored as a potential resistance test, in line with local OBV divergence and recovering bid pressure. 📌 Market Microstructure Notes: • Order Book Imbalance leaning toward bids (+0.45) • OBV Trend: +10.17% vs 5-period MA • Thunder Engine Volume Acceleration: ⚡ Observed • Whale Ask Cluster: ~640k USDT near top of range 📉 No guarantees of breakout or reversal watching how price reacts around key levels. Maintain cautious positioning near support/resistance pivots.
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000? Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support. 1. Market fundamentals Institutional holdings continue to grow BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation Policy and regulatory progress The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again On-chain data changes A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration II. Technical depth Degree analysis (1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level) Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000 Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing (2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level) Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound Key support level: ▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%) ▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low) ▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range) III. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Aggressive short position layout Entry range: $109,000-109,500 Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high) Target: $106,500→$104,000 Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence 2. Steady retracement of short positions Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000) 3. Long defense area Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position) Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook Short-term (1-2 weeks): Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range Medium-term (Q3 quarter): Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space Risk warning: The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences V. Professional trading suggestions ▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set ▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000 ▶ Pay close attention to: Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12) Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
Short
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ \ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\ In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels. --- \ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\ SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players. Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on: \ - Market structure\ \ - Supply and demand zones\ \ - Liquidity pools\ By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market. --- \ Key SMC Concepts Explained\ \ Order Blocks\ Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas. Example: () \ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\ A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price. In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse. Example: () \ Timeframe Consideration\ If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions. \ Liquidity\ Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement. One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors. Example: () \ Break of Structure (BOS)\ BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation. Example: () \ Change of Character (ChoCH)\ ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal. Example: () Combined with BOS: () --- \ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\ The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases: \ 1. Accumulation\ Smart money buys while the public is unaware. \ 2. Markup\ Price rises as smart money pushes the market. \ 3. Distribution\ Smart money sells into public buying. \ 4. Markdown\ Price falls as the cycle completes. SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them. \ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\ --- \ Summary\ Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior. It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
Education
by Midas_Indicator_US_Official
BTC Daily Chart Analysis Trend: BTC is currently trading within a short-term descending channel. Strong Resistance: Zone around $110k–112k, multiple failed retests observed. Key Support: Around $105k (Ichimoku Cloud upper edge & recent local bottom). RSI: Clear bearish divergence indicating weakening bullish momentum. Elliott Wave: Completed 5-wave impulse from $75k up to $112k, now correcting (likely waves 4-5 within the descending channel). Fibonacci: Breakout above $110k targets approximately $117k (1.414 Fib extension). Failure to break may lead price back down toward $102k. Probability: Bullish scenario (35%): Clear breakout above $112k, targeting $117k. Bearish scenario (65%): Rejection at $112k, potential retest toward $105k → $102k. ⚠️ Recommendation: Closely watch the $110k zone. If BTC fails to clearly breakout, consider defensive actions (reducing position size, risk management).
Short
by Lupinut
BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout📈 BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout 📉 In the uptrend that started around $100K, Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe, which is in line with Dow Theory. Based on the orange lines I’ve drawn, it seems we are moving inside a rising wedge pattern. 🟠 Key Observations: Breakout from either side of the wedge can trigger a trade, but I personally won’t enter based solely on the wedge. If BTC breaks upwards, I’ll hold my existing long, not looking to short — because the mid and long-term trend is still bullish. 📌 New Trigger Level: The previously important level of $110,246.8 is now less relevant for me. The market has already rejected from $109,953.16, so that’s my new key level. 👉 I’ve placed a stop-buy order at $109,953.16 based on the 1H chart. 💣 Short Liquidation Zone (Updated): Now ranges between $110,640 to $111,320 If you're looking to trade momentum: RSI above 70 on 4H, or Above 76.23 on 1H = potential trigger for long entries 👉 I'm planning to open a long position above $109,953.16 using a stop-buy order, with the help of the order book in the exchange. ⚠️ Currently, I don’t have a high-confidence stop-loss level — I’ll update as I see clearer price action. 🧠 Pro Tip: Do everything you can to catch a BTC long position. If you understand risk management and position sizing, don’t be afraid of stop-losses — they’re part of the game. If you're unsure what proper risk/money management is, go learn it now, or you will definitely get liquidated someday.
Long
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend. For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side. Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point. The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness. A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend. Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups. On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level. Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward. If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation. To conclude, my idea here is: Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk) Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk) Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Short
by ap769
BTCUSDT short-term analysishi traders Let's have a look at BTC on 4h time frame. RSI (14): Currently at 60.40, suggesting mild bullish momentum but not overbought. RSI Moving Average: Around 50.92, confirming recent upward momentum. MACD bullish cross suggest more upside in a short term. Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above a recent horizontal resistance (near $109,236), now acting as support. Bullish Continuation Expected Support & Resistance: New Support: $109,236 Resistance to Break: Around $111,742 ✅ Conclusion: This is a bullish breakout trade based on horizontal support/resistance, favorable RSI, and a clear RR setup. The trader anticipates a pullback and continuation toward $111.7K, using a tight stop just below the breakout zone to minimize risk.
Long
by vf_investment