Bitcoin Under PressureBitcoin remains mired in a bearish trend as price action struggles below key moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—all of which point to sustained downside pressure. On the higher timeframes, a clear descending trendline from the April–May highs remains firmly intact, reinforcing the macro downtrend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover in the neutral-to-lower zones, with recent bounces still failing to cross bullish thresholds. A short-term relief rally emerged post-news volatility, with price attempting to retest the supply zone between $103.9K and $104K—a region of confluence with bearish Fibonacci levels and previous order blocks.
However, rejection at this level could set the stage for a further breakdown, targeting the $96.3K–$95.5K range. In the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, Fibonacci retracements and a climbing RSI suggest short-term relief is plausible, but a lower high formation would confirm continued bearish control.
BTC remains technically vulnerable despite short-term bounces, while geopolitical events and U.S. policy narratives shape market sentiment. Yet behind the volatility, continued ETF inflows, stablecoin stability, and altcoin resilience signal a market that, while cautious, remains fundamentally engaged.
Traders and investors alike should stay focused on key resistance levels for BTC, monitor developments in Middle Eastern tensions and U.S. crypto policy, and watch ETF and stablecoin flows as barometers of broader market conviction.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
We PREDICTED correction, and here is the NEXT step⚡️ Hello, everyone! As I said in my previous ideas, the correction is just beginning. Some people link this to the hostilities in the Middle East.
But, in reality, this is just a way to find a reason. In fact, the charts have long predicted a correction, which I have been actively talking about for the last month.
📊 Let's take a look at what lies ahead:
Having gathered liquidity below 100k, we are now seeing a short-term rebound. For me, the maximum target for this rebound is 106,000-107,000.
We have started to close the GAP at levels of 102,760 - 97,400. I expect it to close completely, after which we can move into a range. The next GAP is at levels of 93,280 - 85,230. So the further direction of movement is also obvious. After all, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money Flow - liquidity has been declining for more than half a year. This updated ATH was accompanied by a significantly smaller inflow of capital and formed a divergence. This means that there is still no new liquidity in Bitcoin, and for it to move higher, a new catalyst and cheaper prices are needed.
Liquidity Depth - as we know, the price tends to move from one liquidity zone to another. And now, there is significantly more liquidity at the bottom than at the top.
Dynamic Support/Resistance - Currently, 99,890 is a strong support level. However, each time we move lower below it. So I am confident that this level will be broken in the near future. The next major support level is 91,460.
Volume - is another indicator of the lack of new liquidity in Bitcoin. Since November 2024, purchase volumes have continued to decline!
📌 Conclusion:
I don't expect us to see Bitcoin at 60,000 before the fall. But 80,000 by September is quite possible. The fact that we will probably test the 90,000 level is not even up for discussion. Unless, of course, a new bullish catalyst appears. Altcoin ETFs are not even close to being one.
So, for now, I advise everyone to be patient and not try to predict the bottom. Prepare your bags for spot purchases, sit back in your chair, and enjoy the show!
🔥 Have a great week, everyone! 🔥
Bitcoin Daily Bearish: If 100K Breaks, 80KBitcoin being bearish is only true if the $100,000 support level breaks. If it breaks expect the market to dive down, deep and fast and reach around $82,500 or $88,888. But this is only if the support breaks. If support holds, as it is doing so far, then you can expect higher prices in the coming weeks. If support breaks, the flush is likely to be super fast and strong which means that you will still get higher prices in the coming weeks, so the conditions remain the same mid- to long-term, only the short-term is now in question. The bears are putting pressure on the market and many LONGs have been liquidated already.
It will be nice to see how it all develops, but it shouldn't take more than two weeks. We are likely in the clear in a matter of days (2-3 days). Do not be afraid if the market shakes, Bitcoin is going up; Crypto will grow, regardless of the short-term.
Namaste.
Your Edge Isn’t Just Technical, It’s PersonalMost traders obsess over their strategy: Which indicator? What session? What entry signal?
But very few stop to ask the question that could change everything: “Does this style actually fit who I am?”
The Truth Most Don’t Talk About
Trading success is not about copying someone else’s edge. It’s about discovering your own edge, and that begins with self-awareness .
And it hit deep because this is the part of trading psychology we often skip.
Some Real Talk
If you’re naturally calm and risk-averse, trying to scalp news spikes will drain you.
If you’re fast-thinking, decisive, and love volatility, swing trading might feel like watching paint dry.
If you thrive on rules and structure, discretionary trading might feel chaotic.
If you're intuitive and adaptive, being forced into mechanical rules may kill your edge.
You’re not underperforming because you lack discipline, you’re likely just misaligned.
What Changed for Me
I stopped trying to “be the trader” everyone said I should be. And I started trading like me.
I built a system that fits my mental rhythm.
I gave myself permission to simplify.
I became consistent not because of a new setup, but because I removed internal friction.
Final Thought:
Your best trades don’t just come from the chart. They come from a place of alignment, when your mindset, risk tolerance, and system flow together. So before chasing another strategy, ask yourself: “Is my trading style in tune with my personality?”
BTC Accumulation modelI would love to see some more ranging, followed by another deviation into this 4h demand to then turn this range into a model 1 accumulation. I would expect the overall range low to hold a little bit longer, since it's a confirmed daily cycle low. I will update this idea if it looks like it could play out.
The end of Triangle?If yes, trend is over.
But, not sure where is the end of triangle.
06/17 or 06/20?
We should check this through analyzing afterward movements.
Low probability that it was not triangle.
If it wasn't, big ending diagonal will be made.
It means there will be more dip but high potential to make new ath(historical top/reversal point).
Let's check trend line/channel of these posts.
Checking retest is the key.
Still, short position has attractive price points.
Red or Blue?Hi there!
Price is at crucial level, and we have two high probability scenarios.
We have parallel channel and Fibonacci extension 100% now and Clear Blue ABC. Some rejection can happen from here to the upside or this is it and trend continuation can start!
Red scenario is deeper ABC to the cluster level of previous HH and Fibonacci 61.8 level little under Fibonnaci extension 161.8!
Good luck traders
Perspective -- all basic indicators point DOWNI feel it's easy to get lost in what is happening NOW and forget what has happened OVERALL.
Zooming out to a weekly chart and using basic trading indicators, we can see where this is going.
Trading Volume: Low
Double Top: Confirmed
Elliot Pattern: Concluded
SMA50 & SMA100: Same setup as Dec 2021
Stochastic RSI: Turning bearish
First target: 92 - 93k range
Second target: 77 - 78k range
Third target: 33 - 34k range
I suspect a slight uptick at 93k, but not surprised if it breezes past this onto 78k.
Strange that anyone views this as a bulllish movement. This is a clear signal of a bearish market, and if altcoins follow then it'll be a full on crypto winter.
Bitcoin Short-Term Recovery Confirmed Bulls Win!Ranging markets/sideways markets is when traders lose the most money. Always keep this in mind.
» Short-term signals are pointing to a recovery right away.
» Bitcoin's drop wicked below the 13-June low but the RSI produced a higher low and thus we have a bullish divergence.
» Bitcoin's current drop went lower yet the chart reveals lower volume now compared to 13-June. This reveals weakness on the bear camp. This means a recovery will happen next, right away.
These are just a few signals but taken together with the altcoins analysis that I showed you and the bigger picture; Ha ha! The bulls win again.
Namaste.
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead.
That's why this post is for people like that.
1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System
Insights and Logic:
We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.
The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar.
For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax."
Facts:
Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating.
The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness.
Analogy:
Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly.
2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty
Insights:
Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections.
Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes.
Systematic Explanation:
Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments.
This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face.
Conclusion:
The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes.
3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth
Insights:
The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies:
* Nano—new materials and sensors;
* Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension;
* Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain;
* Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces.
Historical Analogy:
Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century.
Facts:
Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation.
Forecast:
The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors.
4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control
Facts:
Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics.
Insight:
Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one.
This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly.
Conclusion:
Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives.
5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting**
Facts:
Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46.
Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable.
Ideological Crisis:
Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions.
The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany.
Conclusion:
Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth.
6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks
Facts and Locations:
Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks.
Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China.
Logic:
Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards.
Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe.
7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar
Facts:
U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model.
USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S.
Insights:
Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control.
The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat.
8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks
Argentina Analysis:
President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation.
Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency.
Positives:
No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy).
Mexico:
High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life.
9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War
Concept:
Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances.
Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa.
Strategic Conclusion:
Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam.
About DXY
I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time.
September is coming soon
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Still Bullish Above $93K — Don’t Trade with Emotion🟢 Bitcoin Still Bullish Above $93K — Don’t Trade with Emotion
I still believe Bitcoin is in a bullish trend as long as it holds above $93,000. The recent drop seems mostly driven by external factors and geopolitical uncertainty. If Iran responds to the U.S. or closes the Strait of Hormuz, there’s a strong chance this short-term downtrend could continue.
But here’s the key: don’t trade emotionally. If you’ve bought spot positions and your stop-loss was hit, it’s okay to exit. You can always re-enter later when conditions improve. The most important part is to trust your analysis and the stop you originally set.
As for futures, I’m personally not trading right now — the market is too reactive to headlines. However, I’ve noticed BTC outflows from exchanges have increased, which is often a bullish long-term sign. This means the price can recover just as fast once fear subsides.
📉 In uncertain times, patience is a strategy too — sometimes watching is better than chasing trades.
---
💬 What’s your take on Bitcoin during this geopolitical mess? Let me know in the comments — I’d love to hear your thoughts. 👇
USA bombs IRAN - Bitcoin Falling!Operation Midnight Hammer was a major U.S. military strike carried out on June 21, 2025, targeting three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
The operation involved seven B-2 Spirit bombers, each flying an 18-hour mission from Missouri, supported by over 125 aircraft, including refueling planes, fighter escorts, and surveillance assets.
To maintain the element of surprise, the U.S. used deception tactics, such as sending decoy aircraft westward over the Pacific while the actual strike force flew east toward Iran with minimal communications.
The bombers dropped Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs)—30,000-pound bunker-busting bombs—on the fortified nuclear sites. Cruise missiles launched from a U.S. submarine struck additional infrastructure targets.
The Pentagon described the mission as the largest B-2 operational strike in U.S. history and the first known combat use of the MOP. Officials emphasized that the operation was aimed solely at nuclear infrastructure and not at Iranian civilians or military personnel
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend
After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level.
🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning?
The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play.
🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues:
First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction
Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction
Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction
Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
BTC: Bias Map 22/06/25Previous Week:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bias:
Spot buyer within 93.5k–88k BTC zone. This is the key support region
Structure:
- Weekly fair value gap sits between 93.5k–88k
- Still trending lower, no reversal yet confirmed
- Weekly has swept previous ATH and rejected without displacement
Plan:
- Watch for Bitcoin to move into 93.5k–88k
- No trading Monday - sitting flat
- Iran’s retaliation risk still unpriced — major global risk looming
- Structure or weekly reaction will determine next steps
Macro:
- Global risk extremely elevated with increased escalation risk from a potential Iranian response
- Risk assets like crypto are broadly unattractive in this environment
- Capital preservation is still critical
A key issue I dislike about this structure is the similarities it shares with the 2021 bull run, where we swept previous ATH, failed to displace and then rejected and moved -77%
I do not think we will see a -77% move however but a scenario where this shares similar structure and we visit the 70-60s is without doubt a clear probability and one that must be acknowledged
This week will be absolutely critical to be patient and watch how the middle east situation evolves. We are heading into a potentially very dangerous and uncertain era so caution is critical
Need to wait for the key turning point.The Bitcoin market has currently broken below the key support level of 100,300, confirming a downward trend reversal. A daily-level recovery rally is now underway, and the 4-hour wave structure has not yet concluded. First, the downside target is seen at 95,000 to 98,000. Next week, the key turning point at 92,000 will likely determine the low of a rebound. Although this rebound low is not the ultimate bottom, it will trigger a relatively strong rebound after formation.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@95000-95500
TP:97500-98000