Waiting for 86.2KI'm preparing to Short Bitcoin at the 6.9 fib on Coinbase.
I posted about this here:
It has already been respected once.
Of course, I can be wrong but not risking much here.
Will re-evaluate as time moves forward.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
Bitcoin, What's Next After "Almost" Hit ATH?After significant rally, Bitcoin price action recently approached its all-time high (ATH), signaling significant bullish sentiment. However, the price is now showing signs of potential retracement. Currently trading around the 72k USDT level, the price could either dip into a fair value gap (FVG) or descend further into the highlighted green box, where a trendline provides support.
This retracement would allow for consolidation and might attract new buyers, offering a more solid base for the next upward push. As the price potentially reaches the green box or bounces off the FVG, there could be an increase in bullish volume, pushing it toward resistance zones marked above. If the trend holds and the bulls regain control, Bitcoin could break through resistance, potentially pushing beyond 74,000 USDT to reach new highs.
In this scenario, this temporary pullback serves as a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish trend, building momentum for the next leg up in the journey toward breaking the ATH.
BTCUSDT: Bullish Trend (AB=CD Pattern)BTC is moving uptrend and currently its forming AB=CD Pattern without any bearish trend and fundamental base BTC is also bullish trend So we will wait for the break of the previous HHs for the confirmation of the Bullish trend so we will take a long trade with proper Risk Management.
Volatility period starts around November 4th
(Title) Volatility period starts around November 4th (example of additional purchase)
-----------------------
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, OBV, and ATX indicators.
The BW (0) indicator is an indicator that appears when the BW indicator touches the 0 point and rises.
Therefore, it indicates the point where the rise begins, that is, the low point section.
The BW (100) indicator is an indicator that appears when the BW indicator touches the 100 point and falls.
Therefore, it indicates the point where the decline begins, that is, the high point section.
-------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The BW indicator value touched the 100 point and an arrow was displayed.
When a new candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the arrow remains the same.
The fact that the BW indicator touched the 100 point means that the upward strength is strong.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that it will lead to an additional increase.
However, when the BW (100) line is created, it can be said that it means that the possibility of a decline has begun to increase.
Therefore, it means that the possibility of a pull back or decline has begun to increase.
-
The point of interest is whether it will show a renewal of the ATH by touching the current highest price of 73777.0 or higher, or whether it will continue to decline.
There is a saying that the coin market is a trend-following market.
It can be said that this is a market with a strong tendency to follow a trend that has been formed.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, it is necessary to check the movement of the StochRSI and StochRSI EMA indicators.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator is currently located in the middle section, it is necessary to check how much it rises when a new candle is created and the change in the slope of the StochRSI indicator.
-
If it progresses downward, the area around 70148.34 is expected to be an important support and resistance area.
The reason is that it is near the upper point of the box of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
In addition, the StErr Line is passing through the 70148.34-71280.01 section, confirming that it is an important point.
-
If you bought below 67414.39, it is recommended to sell and wait for the situation to be confirmed when resistance is confirmed in the 68393.48-69031.99 range.
You should have sold in installments around 71280.01 or 73000.0 before that.
-
If the average purchase price is below 67414.39 and you sold in installments around 71280.01 or 73000.0, you can buy more when a pull back is confirmed.
However, the additional purchase should not exceed the current holding amount.
If you buy more than the holding amount, the average price will rise significantly and you may not be able to hold on or it may turn into a loss.
Therefore, when the support is confirmed in the 68393.48-70148.34 section, additional purchases can be made below 70148.34.
This additional purchase is possible because the split sale was made.
-
The next volatility period is expected to start around November 4th.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising by more than 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC Long BTC Long Idea: Enter a 15-minute timeframe long position at current levels targeting $71,500. Look for a clear breakout above immediate resistance with volume confirmation. Consider a stop-loss below the recent support level to manage risk in case of reversal.
What is Divergence?Divergence in trading occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of a technical indicator. This mismatch indicates that the momentum behind the price action may be weakening, often suggesting a potential reversal. By learning to spot divergence, traders can anticipate market changes, either as a reversal in trend (regular divergence) or a trend continuation (hidden divergence).
Types of Divergence
Regular Divergence
Hidden Divergence
1. Regular Divergence
Regular divergence is a classic form that suggests a potential trend reversal. It happens when the price action and an oscillator (like RSI or MACD) display conflicting information, often indicating that the current trend may be losing strength.
Types of Regular Divergence:
Bullish Regular Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the indicator makes higher lows. This suggests a potential reversal to the upside as the selling momentum weakens.
Bearish Regular Divergence: Occurs when the price makes higher highs, but the indicator forms lower highs. This indicates potential downside momentum, often preceding a downtrend.
How to Identify Regular Divergence:
Use an oscillator such as the RSI, MACD, or stochastic indicator.
Look for situations where the price action forms new highs or lows, while the oscillator forms opposite lows or highs.
Confirm the trend by observing the price trendlines to determine the type of regular divergence (bullish or bearish).
Trading Regular Divergence:
Bullish Regular Divergence: When you identify bullish regular divergence, consider entering a long position once the price shows signs of reversal, like a bullish engulfing candle or another bullish reversal pattern.
Bearish Regular Divergence: For bearish regular divergence, a short position may be taken once you confirm a bearish reversal pattern, such as a bearish engulfing candle or shooting star formation.
Example:
If the price of a stock is making higher highs but the RSI is making lower highs, this is a bearish regular divergence. You could consider shorting the asset or closing long positions as a precaution, anticipating a potential trend reversal.
2. Hidden Divergence
Hidden divergence indicates potential trend continuation. It suggests that although there may be a pullback, the primary trend will likely resume.
Types of Hidden Divergence:
Bullish Hidden Divergence: Occurs when the price forms higher lows, but the indicator makes lower lows. This pattern signals that the uptrend is likely to continue.
Bearish Hidden Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower highs, but the oscillator makes higher highs, indicating a potential continuation of a downtrend.
How to Identify Hidden Divergence:
Observe the trend direction of the price. Hidden divergence typically appears during pullbacks in a strong trend.
Use the oscillator (RSI, MACD, etc.) and compare the highs and lows formed by both the price and indicator.
Confirm the pattern: if the price and indicator form opposing highs or lows, it may indicate hidden divergence.
Trading Hidden Divergence:
Bullish Hidden Divergence: Enter a long position after identifying bullish hidden divergence, especially if the primary trend is upwards and the oscillator is showing a lower low.
Bearish Hidden Divergence: A short position can be considered when bearish hidden divergence is identified, and the primary trend is downwards, with the oscillator showing a higher high.
Example:
Suppose an asset’s price makes higher lows in an uptrend, but the RSI makes lower lows. This indicates bullish hidden divergence, suggesting that the pullback might end, and the uptrend is likely to continue. Enter a long position, placing a stop loss below the recent swing low to manage risk.
Indicators Used for Identifying Divergence
Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI measures the strength and speed of price movement, making it ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD tracks the difference between two moving averages of the price and can be used to detect shifts in momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: This oscillator helps detect potential turning points by comparing the closing price to the range over a set period.
Each of these indicators helps identify divergence differently. For example:
If RSI or Stochastic is diverging from price action, it may indicate that momentum is waning.
MACD can be useful to spot both regular and hidden divergences, especially on larger timeframes.
How to Trade Divergence
Confirm Divergence: Use divergence to identify a potential reversal or continuation pattern, but confirm it with additional signals such as candlestick patterns or volume analysis.
Set Entry Points: Wait for a price action signal (e.g., a candlestick pattern) in the direction indicated by the divergence. A bullish divergence might signal a buying opportunity after a bullish candlestick, while a bearish divergence could indicate a selling opportunity after a bearish pattern.
Use Stop Loss Orders: Place a stop loss slightly below or above recent highs or lows to manage risk. For example, in bullish divergence, place a stop loss below the swing low to protect against downside risk.
Set Profit Targets: Use support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or moving averages to set profit targets.
Tips for Successful Divergence Trading
Combine with Other Indicators: Use moving averages or trendlines to confirm the overall trend direction.
Choose Longer Timeframes for Stronger Signals: Divergence on longer timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly) tends to produce stronger signals than shorter timeframes (e.g., 15-minute or hourly).
Don’t Trade Divergence in Choppy Markets: Divergence is more effective in trending markets. Avoid using divergence in low-volume or range-bound conditions, as it could result in false signals.
Stay Aware of False Signals: Not all divergences result in profitable trades. Always use risk management tools, such as stop losses and position sizing, to minimize potential losses.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTC – ATH SOON?!Keeping it really simple here
Since we're not in the business of permabulling or moonboying, just some levels and ltf plans (that could snowball into longer holds).
I'm not really a breakout trader, in case we continue up I'd rather wait for the first 15% liquidation candle and ape into that.
Other than that, if we just sweep the highs it's more likely an extended deviation like we saw at ETF launch day in Jan 2024.
Npocs have been really well respected for bullish retests lately, so keep an eye on these for longs.
If you're not in a short yet, a simple breakdown from 70.8 is an option too, if you're into that stuff.
SURELY NOT! MY NEXT MACRO PLAY WILL WE DEVIATE ALL TIME HIGH OR MANIPULATE FIRST?
If we break past the manipulation threshold at 80K with a candle body close. PRICE DISCOVERY MODE WE GO. Could we be in for a ride like GOLD.
FOLLOW FOR MORE
BTC Short Trade Opportunity and SetupBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P / BYBIT:BTCUSDT / CRYPTO:BTCUSD Bitcoin/BTCUSD has recently hit the resistance level of a pattern that has generally held true since mid March 24 (4 preceding resistance and support confirmations).
Furthermore, it has started a return downward move following on from a 3 day filter for confirmation of the resistance level (an example of how a 3/5 day filter is an important tool for crypto trading).
Additionally:
The RSI resistance level of 70 has been recently reached and the RSI is trending downwards - a usually statistically significant indicator
The downward return move is supported by reasonable (although not enough on it's own) volume
A 3 bar pattern (downward move, pause, further downward move for confirmation)
A rate of change approaching and trending negative
A MACD also approaching negative
It's always important to assess the risk that might prove the thesis wrong. And they are:
Today's candlestick pattern is close to a dragonfly, i.e. there might be a return upwards move imminent (although this is unlikely to constitute a beginning of a move beyond the previous high as an actual dragonfly candlestick is at the end of a downtrend)
The MACD is trending down but has not actually turned negative yet, i.e. it is a bit early to say this indicator is stating a downward trend
The ROC hasn't turned negative yet either (but is trending downwards for sure)
This all leads to the following conclusion: For those with a high enough risk appetite (and usually crypto traders are those with the highest :-)) this is a good entry point for a short trade.
Using the (admittedly early but still reasonable) trend for the past three days to determine the final take profit point of 45500 (blue arrow) by approx. 19 Nov 24, the following can be set as a guide for a trade:
Entry: Now or latest tomorrow in case today's candlestick is an indicator of a minor move upwards
SL: $70,500
TP1: $63,450 - based on the first potential moving average being a resistance (200 MA)
TP2: $60,500 - based on the previous move's consistent (and twice confirmed) low
TP3: $54,500 -based on a previous historic low (i.e. psychologically important price point) which also acts as a confirmation of support to a previous move
TP4: $45,500 - The approximate price point of an estimated downward trend
Exit date (independent of TP level): 19 Nov 24
NOTE: the 19 Nov date here is important. It is the forecasted date by which the current downward price trend would linearly reach the support level. This date would be used as a checkpoint to exit the entire trade to safeguard against the normal, usually dramatic and beyond rational calculation price gyrations of crypto.
Bitcoin can rebound up from triangle to 68400 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then broke it, after which it rose to 68K points. After this movement, the price made a downward impulse to support line and then grew. In a short time later it rose to a resistance level, but then corrected almost a support line, after which turned around and continued to grow. Later BTC reached the 68400 level, broke it and even rose higher than the seller zone, but soon fell below. Price some time traded near this level and then rose higher than the seller zone again, after which turned around and started to decline inside the triangle. In this pattern, BTC broke the support level with the resistance level and fell until to the buyer zone and even lower, to the support line of the triangle. After this, the price made impulse up to the 68400 level and then rebounded down to the support line. A not long time ago, BTC bounced from this line and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the price can make a move down, below the support line of the triangle, and then rebound up to the 68400 resistance level, which coincides with my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
#BTCBTC in short term
Bitcoin will have to correct after a new ceiling. After this correction, a growth will begin, which I will publish more about its goals and direction in the future
How to avoid babysitting a trade. So many people are reactive to the market and feel that they need to watch price action whilst they have an open trade open
The best way around this is to work with the correct entry and correct forecast on how long you should leave the trade open for, as well as at which point in the Gann Tool the price will stop at
Doing it this way also achieves the well sort after risk reward ratio's of 1:2 and 1:3
Don't you want to know?BINANCE:BTCUSDT
As Bitcoin approaches $73,000, we find ourselves at a crossroads. Will Bitcoin break through the megaphone and go above $73,000 or set a new all-time high? Alternatively, will it be rejected by this strong resistance of $73,000 and fluctuate within the megaphone again? In my opinion, the price will rise to around $73,500. Based on my experience, Bitcoin could experience a sudden drop around this price level ($73,500 or higher) to liquidate long positions before breaking the megaphone and reaching higher prices. It is also worth mentioning that with the approaching U.S. elections and tensions in the Middle East, the market can be very volatile, so consider risk management.
Previous analysis!!
Long term preview!!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Frankly !!Finally, Bitcoin managed to go above the cup and handle resistance in the weekly timeframe, but it hasn't fully broken it yet. We need to wait for the weekly candle to close above this resistance. If that happens, we can anticipate the biggest rally in Bitcoin's history. That's it!!!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
btc down now Current market conditions indicate a potential downtrend for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT). Key factors suggesting a short position include:
Technical Resistance Levels: BTC has recently encountered strong resistance at the $30,000 mark, with repeated failures to sustain upward momentum. This suggests the possibility of a reversal.
Overbought Indicators: Several technical indicators, such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index), are showing overbought conditions, indicating that a correction could be imminent.
Market Sentiment: Recent sentiment analysis reveals a growing bearish sentiment among retail investors, often a precursor to downward price movement.
Fundamental Factors: Potential regulatory concerns and macroeconomic conditions could impact market confidence negatively, further pressuring BTC prices.
Volume Trends: Decreasing trading volume during upward price movements points to weakening buyer interest, increasing the likelihood of a price pullback.
Given these factors, initiating a short position on BTC/USDT may align with current market trends, but it is essential to set stop-loss orders and manage risk appropriately.
$BTC next moves?Hmmm, looks too good to be true. Bull trap, grab some liquidity and then we boom after elections as usual.
BTC - 76K in the making?Hi, hope you are doing fine. To be honest its hard to tell, but price discovery can take us to 76K or even higher. I belive it will happen and Im holding my longs. Regards.
BTCUSDT long using proprietary multi-timeframe trend detectionBTC has maintained the H1 short term trend (13D EMA) throughout the tail end of the New York session, the entire Tokyo session and now the London session. For the coming hours it will be quite interesting to gauge wether we see a reclaim of 73000. This is a crucial psychological and once support is found there if reclaimed today, we'll likely find the spring to catapult us to a new all time high.
Entry: 72528
SL: 71666
TP: 77777
Short term I'd like to see the H4 close back above 73.4k for relative confidence that this leg is well underway. Will look to move the SL into BE when that happens.
Halloween Horror: Avoiding Common Trading MistakesAs Halloween approaches, it’s the perfect time to reflect on the common “frights” that can scare traders away from success. Just like ghosts and ghouls lurking in the shadows, trading mistakes can be sneaky and unexpected. This post will highlight some of the most common trading mistakes, drawing parallels with Halloween themes, and provide strategies for avoiding these pitfalls.
🎃Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
Many traders experience FOMO, which can lead to impulsive decisions, such as chasing after rapidly rising stocks or jumping into trades without proper analysis. This behavior often results in buying at peak prices and facing losses when the stock inevitably corrects.
Set Clear Entry and Exit Points: Establish specific criteria for entering and exiting trades to avoid emotional decisions.
Stick to Your Plan: Have a trading plan that includes risk management strategies. Review your plan regularly, especially in volatile market conditions.
👻 Overtrading
In an attempt to capitalize on every opportunity, some traders overtrade, leading to excessive fees, emotional fatigue, and ultimately poorer performance. Overtrading can resemble a Halloween party gone wild, with too many participants causing chaos.
Limit Your Trades: Set a maximum number of trades per week or month. Focus on quality over quantity.
Take Breaks: Allow yourself time away from the screen to recharge and refocus. This helps in making more rational decisions.
🕷️Ignoring Risk Management
Trading without proper risk management is akin to wandering through a haunted house without a flashlight. You’re likely to encounter unexpected dangers. Failing to set stop-loss orders or to size positions appropriately can lead to catastrophic losses.
Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Set stop-loss orders at a predetermined level to limit potential losses.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different asset classes and sectors to mitigate risk.
👺 Emotional Trading
Trading decisions driven by emotions such as fear, greed, or panic can lead to disastrous results. Emotional trading is like letting a ghost dictate your path through a dark forest—it's unpredictable and often leads to mistakes.
Keep a Trading Journal: Document your trades, including the reasoning behind them and your emotional state at the time. This will help you identify patterns and triggers in your decision-making process.
Practice Mindfulness: Incorporate techniques like meditation or deep breathing to remain calm and focused during trading hours.
🦇Neglecting Research and Analysis
Many traders skip the crucial step of research and analysis, relying instead on tips or rumors—much like believing in urban legends without questioning their validity. This can lead to uninformed trades and unexpected losses.
Conduct Thorough Analysis: Use both technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. Stay updated on market news and trends.
Leverage Trading Tools: Utilize platforms like TradingView to access charts, indicators, and community insights.
[b 🕸️Chasing Losses
After experiencing losses, some traders attempt to "revenge trade," trying to quickly recover their losses by taking high-risk trades. This often results in deeper losses and a vicious cycle of frustration.
Accept Losses as Part of Trading: Understand that losses are inevitable. Learn from them rather than trying to immediately recover.
Take a Step Back: If you find yourself in a negative trading streak, consider taking a break to reassess your strategies and mental state.
👽 Not Adapting to Market Conditions
The market is constantly changing, and clinging to outdated strategies can be dangerous. This is similar to wearing the same costume year after year—eventually, it becomes stale and ineffective.
Stay Flexible: Be willing to adapt your trading strategies based on current market conditions. Regularly review and refine your approach.
Educate Yourself: Continuously seek knowledge through courses, webinars, and market analysis to stay informed about new trends and strategies.
As the Halloween season creeps in, it’s time to face the spooky realities of trading! By identifying and confronting common trading frights, you can transform potential pitfalls into stepping stones for success. Remember, every trader encounters challenges, but preparation, discipline, and continuous learning are your best defenses against the ghouls of the market.
So, this Halloween, don’t let fear haunt your trading journey. Embrace the tricks of the trade, sharpen your skills, and turn those frights into fruitful opportunities! Here’s to a successful and spooktacular trading experience!🎃👻🕸️
BTC short term tradeit is very likely that BTC will down for a correction before a big bull run. you can follow my trading advice and don't forget to readjust your stop loss and manage your risk according to your portfolio.
Trade a correction or downtrendIt is not important to know for now is it a correction or down trend. We can trade this wave and wait and see.
Stoploss and target are illustrated but use your risk managements for the amount of money you will use.
Don't risk all of your wallet
Good luck
BTCUSDT Golden Cross Signals Strong BullishBINANCE:BTCUSDT daily chart shows a Golden Cross, a pattern that has historically been a strong indicator of bullish momentum. A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA 50, in purple) crosses above the 200-day moving average (MA 200, in blue). This crossover is generally viewed as a signal of a long-term trend reversal, suggesting that bullish momentum is building. Whenever this crossover has occurred in the past, Bitcoin has experienced substantial upward price movement in the following months.
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken through broadening wedge resistance levels on the daily chart and is trading near $71,000. This price action aligns with the Golden Cross, reinforcing the potential for a continued bullish move. With BTC consolidating above key levels, a breakout above $70K could trigger further buying interest and sustain the uptrend.
If BTC can hold its position above the 200-day MA and breakthrough additional key resistance levels, the price could continue to climb. Potential targets range from 100-200% gains from this level, similar to past Golden Cross rallies.
Regards
Hexa
BTC is going big today, few whales spotted lingering the market.More than 5-6 whales are lingering in the market waiting low volatility to open a position, my algo spotted god knows what these whales are planning, I bet something real big, my guessing is 79492 at 1.2 Billion liquidity or 80K movement. Be alert!
