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Weekly BTC Update: Key Levels & Path to November ATHOn October 6th, I projected a higher low around 58k, setting up a rally to the 67-69k range, with a pullback to 64k before a move to new all-time highs (ATH) in November. The linked chart outlines this setup. For this scenario to play out, we may see one last dip into 64k—often on Tuesdays—before bulls push toward a strong monthly close. Levels to Watch This Week: 1. Key Monthly Close Level: 67,540, which needs to be held as support into monthly close for further upside. 2. 2024 Resistance Trendline: Currently moving down from 67,760 to 67,680. 3. Major Support: • 0.614 Fib: 64,312 • Upsloping Support Trendline: Spanning 63,700 to 64,600. A pullback isn’t certain, but these levels are crucial. Watch for bulls to hold these support points and build momentum toward an ATH in November. A breakdown of the 58k low would be very concerning and could invalidate this bullish outlook.
by Sellicks_forgotten_moustache
1
BITCOIN Playing Below The Crucial Resistance Area📍 BTC Main Update 👉 The First Thing That Every body Talk About It These Days Is a Bull Flag, And Breakout Is a Action That Most Of The People Are Waiting For It, But The Story Is Not That Much Simple, And I Wanna Describe My Main BITCOIN View At This Update, So Let’s Get Started 📥 I Agree About The Clear Bull Flag Formed At The High Timeframe And Of Course It’s a Bullish Pattern But I Can See a Rising Wedge At Lower Timeframe And Its a Bearish Sign In a Short Term Before Any Breakout From The Main Bull Flag 📉 My Priority Plan Is Breakdown The Rising Wedge Toward a 60k As a Main TP And In a Worst Scenario Dump To The 50k Area Before New Bullish Rally And Breakout a Bull Flag 🎯 Sum up : Some Times Doing Nothing Is The Best Action And It Was My Plan For Account Management Members From Last Two Months And Still It’s My Main Plan In a Short Term
Short
by Bullish_Traders
2
BTCUSDTHi. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching a potential Golden Cross, where the 50-day moving avge is expected to cross above the 200-day moving average. This technical indicator is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting a potential upward trend in Bitcoin's price. Here are some key points about Bitcoin's situation: Current Situation: The 50-day moving average of Bitcoin's price has started to rise and is expected to surpass the 200-day moving average soon. Historical Context: The last Golden Cross for Bitcoin in November 2023 led to a significant price increase, with Bitcoin's price soaring by over 116% to reach an all-time high of $74,000 in March 2024. Potential Price Surge: Analysts suggest that if a Golden Cross occurs, it could potentially push Bitcoin's price towards $100,000. Market Volatility: While a Golden Cross is a bullish signal, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and rapid growth is not guaranteed.
Long
by mokabian
What Bitcoin's break of 74k means On the monthly and weekly timeframes, Bitcoin seems to be forming a continuation pattern which might push the price up to a new ATH (All Time High). While this is good news for Bitcoin Hodlers, I personally would only be looking for buy positions once the price breaks and stays above the 74k price line. The reasons for this decision is as follows: Bitcoin is currently at an interesting price zone as Bulls seem to be struggling to break and keep price above previous ATH's supply zone. I'm however only going to be convinced of continued bull run if price breaks and holds above 74k price line. if this happens, I'll be looking for buy positions on pull-backs. Price is forming what looks like a rising wedge on the daily timeframe. For those who might not be familiar with this pattern, it's a reversal pattern, meaning price is more probable to break and trade below the lower trendline whenever this pattern forms. Because this price level is at an interesting zone, it could be institutional traders and whales are secretly selling off their positions (price distribution) which might see us in the next phase of bear run. While this is mere speculation, it's good to be on the look at because anything can happen. Given the above reasons, I'm still very bullish on the price till I see a break below the Weekly HL (Higher Low) at 49k or a break below the Monthly Trendline. Note that I do not take positions based on what I anticipate price to do. I take positions when price does what I anticipate and presents my entry signal. Please let me know what you think about this. Would love to know your thoughts too about the short and long term price of Bitcoin.
Long
by youngbossy
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin Price --- ### **Technical Analysis of Bitcoin Price** #### **1. Trend Patterns and Market Structure** - **Market Structure**: Over the past month, Bitcoin has shown a gradual uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows indicating sustained bullish momentum. However, it is currently in a consolidation phase after testing higher levels, suggesting potential distribution. - **Trend Reversal Signals**: Keep an eye on any breaks below recent support levels, as this could signal the end of the uptrend. Likewise, a breakout above recent highs could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. #### **2. Support and Resistance Levels** - **Key Resistance Levels**: - $67,000: Major resistance observed at the top of recent highs. - $70,000: Psychological level that could attract selling pressure. - **Key Support Levels**: - $66,000: Immediate support where price has bounced previously. - $63,500: Secondary support based on historical price action. These levels can serve as potential entry and exit points, depending on how price interacts with these areas. #### **3. Indicator-Based Analysis** - **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**: - Currently hovering around the 60–70 range, suggesting bullish momentum, but caution is warranted if RSI approaches overbought territory (above 70). - Look for any **RSI divergence** (e.g., price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs), as this could signal a weakening of momentum and potential trend reversal. - **CCI (Commodity Channel Index)**: - With a value above +100, CCI suggests that Bitcoin is in an overbought condition. A drop below +100 could indicate a loss of bullish momentum and could be a sign of reversal. - A CCI below -100 could signal oversold conditions, which might provide buying opportunities on a reversal. - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: - The MACD line remains above the signal line, confirming bullish momentum. However, watch for a potential **bearish crossover**, which could indicate a weakening trend. - An increase in the MACD histogram could indicate growing momentum, while a decrease signals potential exhaustion. #### **4. Price Action Analysis Using Wyckoff Theory** - **Current Wyckoff Phase**: Based on recent price movements, Bitcoin may be in the **distribution phase** where large players are selling, and retail traders continue buying. This can lead to a consolidation zone followed by potential markdown if price breaks below key support. - **Patterns to Watch**: - **Spring**: A false breakout below support, followed by a quick reversal to the upside, can confirm strong buying pressure. - **Upthrust**: A breakout above resistance with a quick retraction could indicate a bull trap, suggesting a reversal might be imminent. - **Volume Analysis**: Increasing volume on down moves could signal distribution, while decreasing volume on up moves supports the idea of weakening bullish momentum. #### **5. Elliott Wave Analysis** - **Wave Count**: - The recent uptrend might be completing a 5-wave impulsive move, with the current consolidation potentially marking the start of an ABC corrective wave. - **Wave 1–5 (Impulsive)**: Look for a 5-wave pattern to complete, with Wave 5 likely being the last bullish leg. - **ABC Correction**: The ABC corrective wave could bring prices back to a support level (e.g., $63,500) before resuming the larger uptrend. - **Projection**: - If the 5th wave completes near resistance, expect a pullback (corrective ABC wave) toward the nearest support level as a part of the Elliott Wave corrective phase. #### **6. Volatility and Market Sentiment Analysis** - **Volatility (ATR)**: Monitor the Average True Range (ATR) to gauge volatility. An increase in ATR can indicate that a significant move is forthcoming. - **Market Sentiment**: External factors, including news or regulatory events, may impact volatility, which should be factored into your strategy. #### **7. Trading Strategy Recommendation** - **Entry Points**: - **Long Position**: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above $67,000 with strong volume, confirming bullish continuation. - **Short Position**: Enter a short position if Bitcoin breaks below $66,000, with the next target being around $63,500, where support might trigger a reversal. - **Exit Points**: - Set take-profit levels near resistance at $67,000 and $70,000 for long positions, and around $63,500 for short positions. Use trailing stops to lock in profits if the trend continues. - **Risk Management**: - **Stop Loss**: Place stops slightly below $66,000 for long positions and slightly above $67,000 for short positions to protect against false breakouts. - **Position Sizing**: Adjust your position size based on ATR and individual risk tolerance, aiming to keep risk per trade under 2% of your portfolio. #### **8. Summary and Trade Plan** - **Bullish Scenario**: A breakout above $67,000 could lead to new highs, provided there’s sufficient volume and momentum. - **Bearish Scenario**: A breakdown below $66,000 with increasing selling pressure could lead to a retest of lower supports. - **Wyckoff and Elliott Implications**: If distribution is confirmed, and Elliott Wave suggests a completed 5th wave, prepare for an ABC corrective wave. This technical analysis combines multiple frameworks to provide a strategic overview, actionable insights, and trade management techniques for navigating Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency market effectively.
Short
by cryptoprofeta20
**#Bitcoin Update – Saturday, 26.10.2024****As-salamu alaykum and Good Morning to All Brothers and Sisters,** This week, #Bitcoin has shown a mixed performance. It started strong on Monday with a successful retest of the daily retracement point (Arrow #4) and bounced back perfectly. However, towards the end of the week, Bitcoin faced rejection at the daily resistance level (Arrow #2). Despite this rejection, the weekly candle still managed to close above the daily support (Arrow #3), keeping hopes alive for a potential rally. **What's Next?** Now, Bitcoin's price is moving within a key range between 67,891 and 66,000. These levels will be crucial indicators as we head into next week, potentially revealing the price's direction. If the price breaks below the daily support (Arrow #4), it could drop further to retest the next daily support level (Arrow #6). Conversely, if it attempts to break past Arrow #2, we may witness a strong upward move, possibly setting the stage for another rally. **#Altcoins** Currently, #altcoins are in a volatile and uncertain state. Each time Bitcoin surges, Bitcoin’s dominance also rises, meaning funds are flowing out of altcoins. With Bitcoin's dominance gaining strength, altcoins remain highly volatile and less secure as an option. Until Bitcoin approaches its all-time high, altcoins may not be the best play. For now, it’s wise to focus on Bitcoin's movements before committing to new alt positions. Stay tuned for more updates, and as always, I wish you a profitable and successful week ahead. Let’s stay focused, optimistic, and ready to make the most of the opportunities coming our way. Have a fantastic day, and may it bring success to all!
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
Positive Correlation between XAU and BTC on Daily Charts!This is not a suggestion or my trading plan! My Trading plan has been already shared with you all in this forum. In my experience we always need to marry fundamental forces with technical projections. We had a newsless week but ending Friday, we had Israel drones or airforce attack Iran? Did you see the pop in prices? From a forex market perspective we only have Crypto or more specifically BTC in operation. Look at its price action because it is positively correlated with Gold on a daily chart basis. BTC will follow the news so that is a good head start for the week ahead. I will post later on Sunday evening my thoughts! Please share yours as well!
by ccpudaism