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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
BTC/USDT – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌 🚀📈 🔹 Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin / TetherUS) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above 88,917.08 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 87,259.45 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 91,630.36 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: 94,586.34 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 88,917.08 - 87,259.45 = 1,657.63 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 91,630.36 - 88,917.08 = 2,713.28 (1:1.64 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 94,586.34 - 88,917.08 = 5,669.26 (1:3.42 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bullish Breakout Formation: Price is breaking out from a symmetrical triangle, confirming strength. 📌 Support Confirmation: Strong support at 87,259.45, acting as a demand zone. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure strong buying volume above 88,917.08 for momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: Staying above 88,917.08 could push price to 91,630.36 and further to 94,586.34. 📊 Key Resistance & Support Levels 🟢 94,586.34 – Final Target / TP2 🔴 91,630.36 – First Resistance / TP1 🟡 88,917.08 – Breakout Level / Long Entry ⚪ 87,259.45 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Look for strong bullish volume above 88,917.08 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (88,917.08) after TP1 (91,630.36) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 91,630.36, let the rest run toward 94,586.34. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (88,917.08) after TP1 is hit. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If price drops below 88,917.08 after breakout, exit early to limit losses. ❌ Wait for strong bullish candle close before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Breakout above 88,917.08 signals upside potential. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Risk-Reward Ratio – Favorable 1:3.42 R/R to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 📈🔥 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #Bitcoin 🚀 #CryptoTrading 📈 #BTCUSDT 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #LongTrade 🏆 #Crypto 📉 #ProfittoPath 🏆 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #CryptoSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #CryptoAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 📈 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝 #SmartTrading 💰 #MarketAnalysis 📊 #TrendBreakout 🚀
Long
by ProfittoPath
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Weekly Chart Analysis - March 10, 2025.As mention in X post on Feb25, BTC chart turn into bearish and same price reflection we saw in chart. 〽️Bearish MACD cross over happen 4 weeks ago damage BTC price and we saw fall till $78256. As BTC chart al ready give near 27% correction till last week we can see a slow momentum in chart for next 4-6 weeks. ⚠️Weekly RSI also testing Bull market support 44.50. We can expect a bounce from here but breakdown below this area will send BTC is long term bearish cycle. ⚓️Support: $77,000 , $73,000 and $69,000 💡Resistance: $95,000 and $110,000 🟢Bullish Note:💰💰💰 - Global M2 supply increasing - we are in 2025 - BTC took 30% correction which part of bull market - Gold Price Near ATH and BTC follow it - Bitcoin is now part of US Reserve treasury 🔴Bearish Note: - BTC weekly chart not give sign of recovery - US Index drop 10% and still not sign of recovery - Trump Tariffs create lot of uncertainty in market - This trade war can be long and hurt global economy and market towards recession ⏰Events: - US CPI : March 12 - FOMC : March 19 📃Conclusion & Possible Scenarios: 🟢Bullish Case: If BTC holds above $70,000-$75,000, it could consolidate and retest all-time highs near $110,000. 🔴Bearish Case: A breakdown below $70,000 could push BTC towards $50,000-$55,000, aligning with previous cycle corrections. 🟡Neutral: Consolidation between $70,000 - $90,000 before another breakout. 🚨FOLLOW FOR QUALITY CONTENT AND AVOID THE NOISE
by NileshVerma
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation. We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes. A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market. Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday. On the global stage: - The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation. - Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad. - Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct. And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement… - This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news. - Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve. So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed. What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ? - Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid. - Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days. - Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC. - Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them. - CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled. Conclusion: Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve. BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning: - War tensions in Europe and the Middle East - Recession risks still on the table - Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure. Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025. So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.
by CryptoNikkoid
12
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #23👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other important crypto indices. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session. Yesterday, the market was rejected from a significant area and experienced a bearish leg. 📰 Before starting the analysis, it's worth noting that today Trump has a very important speech about tariffs, and if he discusses cryptocurrencies, the market may experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, be cautious about opening high-risk positions today. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as observed yesterday, after the price rose from the 91422 area, I mentioned that if the 94355 resistance were broken, we could enter a long position, and if the 91422 area were broken, we could enter a short position. 🔍 That exact scenario occurred, and after the price created a lower high compared to 94355, we witnessed a significant bearish momentum, resulting in a large bearish candle that engulfed several previous candles, broke the 91422 support, and reached the 89318 area. ⚡️ After this event and several resting and pullback candles that hit the 0.382 Fibonacci area, the price proceeded with its next bearish leg, breaking the 89318 area near the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. With this PRZ break, we can say that all bullish market momentum was wiped out, and the price fully corrected relative to the bullish leg it had previously made, reaching the 85204 area. ✅ This morning, this area was also breached, and the price executed a Downside Extension to the 1.272 Fibonacci Retracement, meaning the market has fully engulfed the bullish leg and even dropped an additional 27% from that leg to date. 📉 Currently, there is support at the 83151 area, which coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci. If this area is breached, we can expect the Downside Extension to continue, with the next support at the Fibonacci 1.618, a crucial Fibonacci zone. If this area is also breached, there is a static support at 78940. 💥 In the RSI, note the significant bearish momentum in the market. If the RSI can re-enter and stay in the Oversell zone, the likelihood of breaking 83151 or even 78940 will increase. 📊 Regarding volume, as you can see, it mostly shows a ranging structure with a few high-volume candles within this range that can be considered Selloff candles. After these candles, the price had several resting and corrective candles. ✨ Overall, the volume is ranging, and we will see whether buying or selling volume enters the market based on Trump's statements. 🔼 For a risky long position today, you can open a long position with the breakout of 85204. I suggest this trigger because Trump has a speech today, and if this news is favorable for crypto, Bitcoin could move upward again under the news influence, and I think the risk is worth taking if this area breaks. ❌ However, open this position with the minimal risk your strategy allows, and ensure that no more than 0.5% or 0.25% of your capital is at risk if this position hits a stop-loss. 💫 No more to discuss about Bitcoin; let's move on to the analysis of dominances to see what triggers we can find for altcoins. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's look at the Bitcoin dominance analysis. As you can see, yesterday I defined a resistance area at 61.48 for you and mentioned that the price might get rejected from this area and the dominance might turn bearish again, which did happen, albeit slightly off at 61.61. ⭐️ Therefore, I have moved this line and adjusted it to this area. Currently, we are witnessing several bearish candles in a row from Bitcoin's dominance, and it seems likely that the dominance could move back down to the 60.40 floor with the bearish momentum it has, and as I've said in the past few days, I still see Bitcoin's dominance trend as ranging. 🎯 The dominance is not very analyzable at the moment, and we need to wait and see which side the box will break. If the box breaks from the 62.19 area, we can say that a lot of money is likely to enter Bitcoin, and Bitcoin could move more than altcoins. If the dominance breaks from the 60.40 area downwards, we can say that more money will enter altcoins. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday I told you that if the 1.14 level is broken, you could enter a short position if Bitcoin's dominance was rising, which indeed occurred, and the dominance of Bitcoin was rising while this break happened, and the dominance had not yet been rejected from the ceiling, which is why the short position you opened on altcoins could have been much more profitable. 🎲 However, as you can see, I have moved this trigger and transferred it to the 1.13 area because I think this area is cleaner, and as you can see, the price has reacted to it once and is likely to react to this area more in the future than to the 1.14 area. 🔑 Overall, the gray areas you see drawn on the chart are not very important supports and resistances, so I easily move them if the price does not show the reaction I want, and it is not very important to me if their position changes. ☘️ However, as you can see, after the price broke the 1.13 area, it executed its main bearish leg downwards, even breaking the 1.07 area and hitting a shadow to the 1.01 area as you can see, and is currently in a corrective phase. 🔽 The 1.07 area could be very important today, and if this area is broken, we can say that the price could make a deeper correction. But if this does not happen and the price is rejected from this area, we can say that altcoins are ready to execute their next bearish leg at least down to the 1.01 area. ✅ Depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open a position on Bitcoin itself today or on altcoins. As you can see, the dominance candles being set suggest a bearish dominance, so if the market gives a short position, Bitcoin will be better than altcoins, but while you are reading this analysis, if you want to open a position, it might be that the dominance turns bullish, in which case a short position on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's look at the Tether dominance analysis. As I told you yesterday, if the 4.82 level was broken, the dominance could start a bullish leg, which did happen, and the market activated its short trigger in Total2 and altcoins, and the dominance moved upwards, even breaking the 5.08 area and with a pullback to this area, reached 5.30. 🧲 This area was previously around 5.21, but as I told you, I easily move lines that are gray if the price does not respect them, and for this reason, I moved this area to 5.30, as you can see, the price has reacted to it and now seems to be correcting. 📊 Unfortunately, I don't have a specific trigger for a bearish turn in Tether dominance, but this 5.30 trigger is a very suitable one for it to turn more bullish, and in my opinion, if the dominance wants to turn more bullish and break this area, it could move again up to the 5.50 area. 🔼 But in case of a correction in dominance, the first very important support exists at 5.08, and the dominance could correct to this area. 📌 Final Words Overall, I think the market today is not very analyzable and can have a lot of sharp and emotional movements, and everything depends on Trump's speech. ❗️ I suggest that if you think the market will go up with Trump's speech, hold a long position, and if you think it will go down, hold a short position if triggers are activated. 🎲 But open this position with the minimum risk you can and are allowed to take because Trump's speech can create a lot of sharp movements in the market, and if you do not risk manage and set a stop-loss, your position can easily be liquidated, so be careful to risk the minimum amount that your strategy allows you to open these positions. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
3
Bitcoin Daily double Top confirmed wait for more fall As we mentioned before the neckline of this Double top was 92K$ support zone and we were looking for breakout and now the Double Top formed well and market can get bearish soon. Also major Resistance now is 90K$ to 92K$ resistance zone because resistance of 0.61% Fibonacci level of phase two dump is there + we may have a retest of neckline breakout and only if this resistance remain valid then we are in bear market and we are looking for more dump and targets like 72K$. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Short
by MMBTtrader
16
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) AT KEY SUPPOT READY TO BOUNES 86,300?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bullish Momentum Towards Resistance Chart Analysis: The price is currently trading at $82,987.41, showing an uptrend. A support level has been identified where price recently bounced. The price is breaking out of an ascending channel, signaling bullish continuation. The next major resistance level is around $86,294.90. A potential pullback to the support area may occur before continuing upward. Forecast: Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the support level and retests successfully, it could continue to $86,294.90. Bearish Scenario: If price falls below the support zone, we might see a retest of lower levels before any upward movement. Conclusion: Short-term Trend: Bullish Key Levels: Support: Around $81,500 - $82,000 Resistance: $86,294.90
Long
by Fx_olivia_queen
BTC short entry 84kBTC/USDT (15-Min) Analysis - Potential Short Setup 1. Market Structure & Key Zones: Downtrend: Price has been making lower highs and lower lows—indicating a bearish trend. Green Resistance Zone (~$81,800 - $82,500): Price previously broke down from this level. Now acting as a supply zone (potential resistance). If price re-tests and fails here, it confirms a short opportunity. Blue Support Level (~$80,400 - $80,600): This level has been tested multiple times as a temporary support. A breakdown here would confirm continuation to the downside. 2. Volume & RSI Indicators: Volume Profile: Increased sell-side volume at resistance indicates distribution. RSI (53.22, declining): No overbought conditions. A potential bearish divergence if price rejects at resistance while RSI weakens. 3. Trade Setup (Short Position - SFP Trap) Entry Zone: $81,800 - $82,500 (watch for wick rejections). Stop-Loss: Above $82,800 - $83,000 (invalidates bearish structure). Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $80,400 - $80,600 (previous support). TP2: $79,500 (lower liquidity zone). TP3: $78,000 (strong demand). Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Aim for 1:3 or higher. 4. Confirmation Needed Before Entry: ✅ Bearish candlestick rejection (SFP, Engulfing, Pin Bar). ✅ Increased sell volume near resistance. ✅ RSI divergence or failure to break resistance. Conclusion: High-probability short setup if price rejects resistance. Break below $80,400 confirms continuation down. If price breaks above $83,000, bullish invalidation.
Short
by tienbmdev97
Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis – Market Update🎯 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Zone: $100,000 is identified as a key resistance level. Support Zone: The $83,500–$86,000 range is a strong support area where the price recently showed a reaction. Additional Critical Levels: If the support fails, $76,000 and $72,000 could serve as potential re-entry points. 📊 Ichimoku Indicator & Technical Signals The price is currently inside the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a highly volatile and uncertain zone. If the price stabilizes above the cloud, further upward movement is possible. However, failure to hold above the cloud increases the likelihood of a deeper correction toward support levels. 📈 RSI (HARSI) Analysis The indicator has recently been in the overbought zone and is undergoing a correction. This correction may lead to a slight pullback, providing a re-entry opportunity. ⚡ Market Structure & Overall Trend Bitcoin has failed to break its previous high but has been forming higher lows. Recent candlestick formations indicate increasing selling pressure, suggesting a possible price decline. Observing higher timeframes is crucial to confirm a continued bearish trend. 🔄 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Analysis BTC dominance is fluctuating between 60% and 61%. It remains above the Ichimoku cloud but has shifted from a strong bullish trend to a neutral state. A decline in dominance could favor altcoins, while a breakout above 63% might push the market back toward Bitcoin. 📉 Bearish Scenario & Potential Targets If selling pressure continues and the $86,000 support is broken, a decline toward $76,000 or even $72,000 is likely. The presence of a liquidity node within the Ichimoku cloud suggests the market may move toward filling that zone. The $62,000 level has also been identified as a key liquidity area on lower timeframes (4H), which could become a future target. 📈 Bullish Scenario & Trading Opportunities If the price stabilizes above $92,000, the next targets will be $97,000 and then $100,000. A strong reaction in the $83,500–$86,000 range could present a potential buy opportunity. 💡 Proposed Strategy 1️⃣ If strong bearish candles form with high volume, consider short positions targeting $76,000 and $72,000. 2️⃣ If a bullish reaction is observed near $83,500–$86,000, look for a buying opportunity. 3️⃣ Stay updated on fundamental news, as new liquidity inflows could shift the trend. 📌 Final Conclusion Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. If it fails to break key resistance levels, a deeper correction may follow. However, if liquidity enters the market and price stabilizes above key zones, a renewed uptrend is possible. The final decision depends on how the price reacts at these crucial levels. Always practice proper risk management and set stop-losses accordingly. 🚀
by SamBlue
sell position opportunitywe are at the second phase of lower lows and lower highs , this may complete an ABCD correction wave i believe this suggested position will fill because of the daily view of sweet btc if you check below picture you will see a ret fibo which i just mentions 3 most important prices and areas in my opinion market is in a bearish bias although it's not strong but touching 0.618 is not far away . lets see what happens next if you find this article a useful one so please support me by your boosts regards
Short
by mohammadhassanli
Forecast Analysis of BTC-USDT (2025-03-08)Recent developments have significantly impacted the BTC-USDT market. Bitcoin's price recently dropped by 12%, creating market volatility. Rumors that former President Trump may announce zero capital gains tax on US-based cryptocurrencies have the potential to spark a BTC rally. Additionally, Bitcoin's fall below $90,000 for the first time in 2025 has triggered extreme fear in the market, leading to massive liquidations across exchanges. Tether's USDT has also reached $1.4 billion issued on the TON blockchain in just ten months, marking the fastest deployment of a stablecoin on any blockchain. In terms of fundamental analysis, Investing.com provides detailed technical analysis of BTC-USDT, highlighting a strong sell signal based on various technical indicators. Traders Union predicts that the price of BTC could reach $91,786.54 by the end of the week, using a combination of technical indicators, wave analysis, and VSA analysis. CoinGape emphasizes the bullish impact of Tether minting $1 billion USDT ahead of the Fed rate cut and discusses the potential influence of the Fed's decision on BTC prices. Technical analysis from various sources, including Traders Union, CoinLore, and 30 Rates, suggests that the BTC-USDT price could range between $86,922 and $103,527 over the next week. Considering these forecasts and recent news, it seems that the BTC-USDT price could experience some volatility but is generally expected to stay within this range. The potential announcement of zero capital gains tax and the impact of Tether minting $1 billion USDT could provide bullish momentum for BTC prices. Overall, while the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile and subject to rapid changes, the general consensus among analysts is that BTC-USDT will likely stay within the $86,922 to $103,527 range over the next 7 days. Staying updated with the latest market trends and news will be crucial for making informed decisions in this dynamic environment. From HODL&SHARE Forecast Desk: An ensemble prediction using different horizons (moving averages) generated the following forecast, using 80% confidence interval: Date Horizon 69 Horizon 75 Horizon 139 Horizon 109 Horizon 99 2025-03-04 91351.2605 89646.10508 85951.57958 91122.10337 87414.08404 2025-03-05 89941.33778 88981.44966 84413.86688 94010.08579 90043.23602 2025-03-06 89653.20257 88423.81699 86648.44216 91011.3207 89664.03672 2025-03-07 93002.4077 87758.85544 85543.38113 93607.04358 88545.82276 2025-03-08 91059.27153 89542.78518 86708.37388 91680.20801 89015.66856 2025-03-09 89758.24654 87103.93734 91110.0147 90407.15319 86663.17913 2025-03-10 86390.55945 82773.11081 93846.79939 89798.64397 86722.44941 2025-03-11 89504.92468 84769.95763 97872.31768 86680.67975 84715.73965 2025-03-12 92254.71019 84067.20004 95812.81163 89243.43612 83311.53252 2025-03-13 93060.62605 85941.85864 92584.18336 91078.49989 87736.93546 2025-03-14 92579.82624 85392.52873 94327.27904 90721.1815 88148.98929 2025-03-15 91074.95591 80086.48714 97370.07156 91631.18791 88484.50384 2025-03-16 93129.73296 79822.25454 97833.84736 92386.98081 88579.30398 2025-03-17 95483.91995 82560.74729 97370.87585 94400.17207 90741.81997 Between March 8 and March 12, the forecasted price movements across different horizons indicate a highly volatile period, with conflicting signals suggesting market uncertainty. Horizon 139 shows a strong bullish trend, while shorter horizons (75, 99) display a mix of declines and fluctuations, implying a potential market shakeout before a clearer direction emerges. A trader could approach this period cautiously, avoiding overexposure and waiting for confirmation signals, such as RSI crossing key levels or volume spikes aligning with price movements. Given the sustained uptrend in Horizon 139 beyond March 12, a breakout trader might consider long positions once volatility stabilizes, using a stop-loss strategy to protect against unexpected reversals. Ultimately, the divergence across horizons highlights the importance of adaptive strategies, where short-term traders focus on risk management, while long-term traders might prepare for potential bullish continuation. The forecast suggests that March 8–12 is a critical period with mixed price movements. Instead of immediately taking a long position, a trader should wait for confirmation signals before entering the trade. How to Approach the Trade: Short-Term View (Day Trader or Scalper): Volatility is high, so quick entries and exits with tight stop-losses are ideal. If prices dip toward support levels (e.g., Horizon 75 or 99 values), look for RSI confirmation or volume surges before going long. If uncertainty continues, avoid excessive risk and wait for a clearer trend after March 12. Long-Term View (Swing or Position Trader): Horizon 139 suggests a potential uptrend continuation beyond March 12. A trader could prepare to buy on dips, ideally when RSI confirms oversold conditions. If prices break above resistance levels (e.g., March 8 highs), it may signal a strong bullish breakout, making long positions more favorable.
Long
by DexterMGarcia
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 93000 🏁Sell Entry below 84000 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers: Adoption Trends: Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish. Regulatory Environment: The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure. Halving Impact: Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025. Network Usage: Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value. Inflation Hedge Narrative: With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment. Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000. 2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟 Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD: U.S. Economy: Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets. Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral. Global Growth: China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish. Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish. Currency Markets: USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term. Commodity Prices: Oil at 668/BBL and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin. Geopolitical Risk: Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish. Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels. 3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟 COT data reflects futures positioning: Speculative Traders: Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal. Commercial Hedgers: Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral. Open Interest: 45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish. Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse. 4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟 On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity: Exchange Balances: 2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish. Transaction Volume: Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish. HODLing Behavior: 70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term. Miner Activity: Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish. Realized Price Levels: Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held. Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse. 5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Correlations with other markets: USD Strength: DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term. S&P 500: At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish. Gold: At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish. Bond Yields: U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish. Altcoins: ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish. Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate. 6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟 Investor and trader mood: Retail Sentiment: Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish. Analyst Views: Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed. Options Market: Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral. Fear & Greed Index: At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift. Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend. 7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟 Price projections across timeframes: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Range: 84,000 - 88,500 Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally. Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range: 80,000 - 92,000 Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns. Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying. Long-Term (6-12 Months): Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000 Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability. Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000 Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability. Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data. Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks. 8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟 BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone. We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour). Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation. After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones. Let’s see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
BTCUSDT Pair: BTCUSDT (Bitcoin vs. Tether) Timeframe: 15 minutes (15m) Overall Trend: A strong downtrend is visible. Price is consistently making lower highs and lower lows. Key Levels: Support and resistance levels are marked (red and green lines). Level Analysis: Resistances: Approximately $86,000 $84,958.11 Supports: $82,988.67 (close to the current price) $82,192.59 Indicators: No specific indicators are visible in the image to provide a more in-depth analysis. Recommendation: Given the strong downtrend and the current price position near the support level of $82,988.67, there's a high probability that this level will be broken, and the downtrend will continue. Therefore, while practicing risk management, consider a Sell position. A Stop Loss can be placed slightly above the resistance level of $84,958.11. If the support level of $82,988.67 is broken, a Take Profit can be placed at the next support level of $82,192.59. Important Notes: This analysis is based on a static image, and market conditions can change rapidly. Always do your own analysis and practice risk management before entering a trade. Keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and analyses may not always be accurate.
Long
by yghadamgahi
Bitcoin Butterfly Harmonic Pattern – Multi-Fibonacci Confluence!A potential Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is developing, with point D yet to be completed. If price action reaches the harmonic completion zone, it could present a high-probability long opportunity near a stacked Fibonacci confluence zone. The D-leg aligns beautifully with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure from the macro low at $15,476 to the all-time high of $109,588. A level that has acted as key support in the past. Multiple additional Fibonacci confirmations further strengthen this potential bullish reversal zone. Pattern Breakdown – Bullish Butterfly Formation The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a structured reversal setup, often forming at market extremes before trend shifts. 1️⃣ XA Leg – The initial impulse. 2️⃣ AB Leg – A retracement of 0.786 – 0.886 Fibonacci of XA. 3️⃣ BC Leg – A counter-trend move retracing 0.382 – 0.886 of AB. 4️⃣ CD Leg – The final move, typically extending 1.618 – 2.618 Fibonacci of XA. 📍 In this developing setup: ✅ B-point retraces 0.806 of XA → Butterfly pattern remains valid. ✅ C-point retraces 0.838 of AB → Strengthening structural alignment. ✅ D-leg projection target 1.695 XA extension, converging with multiple key Fibonacci levels. Fibonacci Confluence – Strong Potential Reversal Zone ($73,783.52 - $73,157) As price moves toward potential point D, multiple Fibonacci levels create a high-probability reversal area: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure ($73,637.22) Negative -0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $73,251.43 Negative -0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $73,157 Trend-based Fibonacci Extension 1:1 at $73,783.52 📍 Potential Reversal Zone: Between $73,783.52 and $73,157 Trade Setup – Waiting for Confirmation Since point D has not completed yet, we should wait for bullish confirmation signals in the reversal zone before entering. Entry Zone (if price reaches D): Between $73,783.52 and $73,157 Stop Loss: Below $73,157 (D-point invalidation) Take Profit: B-point resistance Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 if TP at B-point ⚠️ Key Reminder: 🚨 The pattern is not confirmed yet. A reaction in the potential reversal zone (e.g., bullish divergences, strong buying pressure, or reversal candlesticks) would strengthen the case for a long position. Are you watching this level for a potential reaction? Will point D complete? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀🔥
Short
by SiDec
2