Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT. Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT.
Support Zone: A crucial support zone marked in green suggests strong buying interest between 80,000 and 81,000 USDT.
Resistance: The upper trend line indicates resistance; if Bitcoin can break it, it could target levels close to 88,000 USDT.
Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper trend line could lead to an upward rally towards 88,000 USDT or above.
Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the support zone, a downward move towards 75,000 USDT can be expected.
Monitor the trade closely to see how it reacts around these crucial levels. Adjust your strategy accordingly based on the price action. If you have further questions or need analysis on specific indicators, feel free to ask!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Lingrid | BTCUSD Consolidation PHASE Following Double Bottom BINANCE:BTCUSDT market formed a double bottom below March levels before bouncing to close above the psychological 80,000 mark. Price action is currently narrowing, suggesting the market is coiling up before its next extension—as if awaiting another news catalyst to drive movement. Given that the price closed above the swap zone, any pullback to this level presents a high probability of a price rebound. Additionally, on the daily timeframe, the market has broken and closed above the downward trendline that represented the correction phase.
Overall, I expect a potential triangle pattern formation around current levels before a surge higher toward liquidity above the previous week's high. My goal is resistance zone around 89,300
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bitcoin's latest strategy analysisUpon analyzing the daily chart, I spotted a falling wedge pattern and a confirmed breakout above its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 8,7478 and 88799 on a daily chart.
If the bulls are able to surpass and close above this level, it will be a significant bullish signal.
This could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, possibly reaching the next resistance level.
Breakout trading
(Title)
Breakout trading starts with finding support and resistance points
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I will take the time to talk about breakout trading.
This is my opinion, so the content may be lacking.
The reason I did not explain what other people say with examples is because trading is a psychological battle.
Most of the content in books or on the Internet is explained with patterns.
However, it is not easy to find patterns when checking the movement of a real-time chart.
Therefore, I think it is more important to understand why such movements occur than to explain them with patterns.
Therefore, I think it is better to create a trading strategy by finding support and resistance points and checking whether or not they are supported by the support and resistance points rather than memorizing patterns.
Breakout trading refers to starting a transaction after checking whether there is support at a point or section when the price rises above a certain point or section, and there is a possibility of a larger rise.
If you do a breakout trade incorrectly, you may end up buying at a high point, which could result in a large loss, so it is recommended to always keep a stop loss point when trading.
In order to reduce the stop loss, you need to make an effort to lower the average purchase price by selling in installments when the price rises after purchasing and buying in installments when the price falls again.
Therefore, the stop loss point is when it is beyond the range you can handle.
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Let's take the BTCUSDT 1D chart as an example.
It has fallen after renewing the ATH.
Looking at the current price position, it feels like it will fall further.
However, if the price rises to around the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, that is, around 89294.25, you will feel like it will turn into an uptrend.
Even if you think that you won't feel that way now, you will feel that way after it rises.
Therefore, the most important thing in breakout trading is to find important support and resistance points.
To find support and resistance points, you need to basically understand candles.
Any book or video about candles will do.
I recommend that you don't try to memorize the content in it, but read or watch it repeatedly several times.
In my case, after watching the video about candles about 3 times, my understanding of the chart became easier.
The reason for finding support and resistance points is to select a trading point.
What you need to find support and resistance is a horizontal line.
It is not easy to start trading with chart tools that are not horizontal lines but diagonal lines or curves.
The reason is that when you try to start a trade, you are more likely to miss the timing because your psychological state is added.
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You can see that the uptrend started when it broke through the 73072.41 point.
Therefore, you can see that it is possible that the uptrend will start when it breaks through the 106133.74 point this time as well.
However, in this case, since it is rising while renewing the ATH, it is a point where it is thought to be difficult to actually start trading.
In other words, it is likely that you will be reluctant to trade because it is thought to be a high point.
Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, the actual breakout trade will be conducted when it breaks through the 89294.25 point.
Then, even if it rises to around the 106133.74 point, you will be more likely to respond stably without feeling much psychological anxiety.
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However, there is one problem.
That is, the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone.
Therefore, when it rises near the 89294.25 point and confirms support, the StochRSI indicator should show a downward trend from the overbought zone.
Otherwise, the 89294.25 point is likely to act as a resistance point.
Even if the market is messy and difficult to predict, you should not be too busy finding support and resistance points.
After all, you need to have a standard for creating a trading strategy to start trading.
It is better to create a trading strategy and respond at the support and resistance points you have selected if possible.
Even if you suffer a loss, if you continue to trade, you will be able to better organize the support and resistance points.
For reference, the indicators that can create a trading strategy on my chart are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Don't worry Shortterm scenarios for BTC BTC Price Action Analysis: Short-Term Correction Insight
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently undergoing a short-term correction, likely heading towards the $78K zone to retest its demand area. This is a natural move in market structure, so there’s no need to panic. The retest of this level could provide the necessary momentum for a bounce back toward the upside, aligning with Scenario 1, which appears more probable at this stage.
In a worst-case scenario (Scenario 2), BTC might drop further and potentially make a new low around the $68K–$70K range, but the probability of this seems lower. Personally, I lean more toward the idea of BTC stabilizing near $78K–$79K and resuming its upward trend from there.
However, trading is never 100% predictable. Risk management is key, especially if you're using leverage. If you have any open long positions, consider closing at breakeven if the market moves against you—you might be on the wrong side of the trade.
Stay cautious, stay informed, and always trade smart.
Follow me for more updates and keep yourself updated
Bitcoin’s 80-Day Correction Ending!?(Signs)Today, I want to share with you a mid-term analysis of Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I hope it will be useful for you.
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin started to fall last week due to the tariffs that Donald Trump imposed on countries around the world. In general, since last week, Bitcoin has become more correlated with US stock market indices (such as FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) than before.
But yesterday, Donald Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs for 90 days , except for China , which caused the US stock market indices to grow rapidly, and Bitcoin did not miss out on this growth. So, for the next 90 days , we should wait for news of bilateral tariffs between China and the US , which is likely to make an agreement between the two countries. What do you think!?
Also, just minutes ago, key U.S. inflation data was released — and it came in softer than expected.
The CPI m/m dropped to -0.1%, and Core CPI m/m slowed to 0.1% , both missing forecasts. This drop in inflation significantly reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance . With inflation cooling off, the market is now pricing in a more dovish Fed , which has historically been a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin .
Also, in the last 24 hours , another positive news came for Bitcoin: " China and Russia are using Bitcoin to settle energy trades ," which could be effective in increasing the price of Bitcoin .
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Now, based on the above explanation, let's focus on analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame .
Bitcoin started to rise quickly after touching the Heavy Support zone($73,780-$59,000) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and 50_SMA(Weekly) . It seems that the Important Uptrend line breakout has NOT been successfully completed. One sign of a return could be the formation of a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern , which has also been accompanied by good volume .
Bitcoin has been moving in a descending channel for the past 80 days since its All-Time High(ATH=$109,588) , so a break of the upper line of this descending channel could be a significant sign of a rebound for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is trying to break the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) . The price that is important for Bitcoin right now is $84,000 ; if Bitcoin can close a candle on the 4-hour time frame above the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) and $84,000 , we can hope for a breakout of the descending channel.
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have been in a Double Three Correction(WXY) for the past 80 days. A break of the descending channel could reconfirm the end of this correction.
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($85,940-$85,240) after breaking the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) in the first step and make the first attack on 50_SMA(Daily) . If the descending channel breaks, the second target could be around $88,000 , where there is an important Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($89,319-$88,375) .
Also, if Bitcoin moves in a range between $90,000 and $85,000 , we can expect an Altseason , given the conditions of BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ). What do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $77,200, we should expect further declines.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,000-$88,500), we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 12-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Reversal After Fake Bullish Divergencehello guys.
Fake Bullish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom shows a bullish divergence, but the price action invalidated it — signaling a "fake divergence".
This could trap early long positions and fuel further downside.
Broken Trendline Support:
A significant ascending trendline support has been broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The recent bounce back seems corrective rather than impulsive.
Price Projection:
An arrow points downward toward the horizontal support around $69,149, hinting at a possible drop in price.
This level coincides with the intersection of the mid-channel support line and horizontal price structure.
Channel Structure:
The overall chart operates within a large ascending channel.
A revisit of the lower bound of the channel aligns with the projected price target.
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Conclusion:
Despite the recent rebound, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness due to a fake bullish RSI divergence and a broken ascending trendline. The technical setup suggests a potential decline toward the $69,000–71,000 support zone before any meaningful recovery can occur. Caution is advised for bullish traders until the price confirms a stronger support or reversal signal.
21/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,492.19
Last weeks low: $83,112.72
Midpoint: $84,802.45
Is the market finally showing its hand?
After President Trumps escalation of the tariff trade war, BTC saw huge volatility swings in line with Tradfi, the panic led to de-risking and as a result BTC hit $74,500. Then after a small bounce another revisit of the exact same area resulted in a much more substantial reversal back up into the $80K's. A double bottom and rally despite the tariff situation ongoing suggests huge support/strength in that area on the HTF, I am now satisfied that BTC has closed the area of imbalance caused by the US election pump, confirming support. This event also coincided with SPX bouncing off the 1D 200 EMA.
Since then Bitcoin has rallied back to the upper limit of the downtrend channel (see my previous posts on this structure) which also has the 4H & 1D 200 EMA placed there. For a bullrun to sustain itself these moving averages are important to maintain momentum, time spent under these MA's kill the bullish trend and weaken sentiment around the move.
Last week we saw a very tight trading range of only 4%, that is compared to 15.4% the week previous. My theory was that this compression of price around a key area (4H & 1D 200 EMA + trend channel high) leads to a much bigger impulse move, the only question was in which direction?
The minute the weekly bar closed BTC exploded above both of these MA's and out of the downtrend, so it looks like the question is answered when it comes to direction of the impulse move. The next question is, will it stick?
I do find the timing of the move somewhat suspicious as the majority of Europe are on a public holiday, could this be a MM taking advantage of thin order books? the SPX pre-market is fairly neutral and so I believe tomorrow will tell the true story of where BTC really is.
Update to my short ideaOn sunday i posted an idea where BTC would reject from supply. Now we tapped into it and started to form some kind of an distribution model. I have drawn some ways this could get completed if it isn't already, but since we are in a higher timeframe accumulation model 2 there is also a chance that this is just consolidation before continuation and this gets invalidated.
Long the Filled FVG Zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) on BTCUSDTDescription
On the 15-minute chart, BTCUSDT remains in a broader up-trend but has paused to digest a fair-value gap between 92 502.9 and 91 888.0. This precise imbalance, aligned with a prior swing-low demand zone, offers a low-risk long opportunity anchored in structural and liquidity confluence.
Entry
Place a limit buy at 91 900 once any 15 m candle wicks the base of the FVG zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) and closes inside.
Stop-Loss
Invalidate this long on a close below 91 050, the origin of the buyer impulse.
Take-Profit
Target 94 350 for an asymmetric R : R of 2.88 : 1.
Failed-Breakout Orderblock
Watch for a retest of the liquidity printed at the failed-breakout orderblock (~93 223) to confirm bullish continuation.
Structure-Flip Level
Resistance turned support at 93 223 offers interim validation en route to the target.
Risk & Reward
This setup risks 8 500 ticks (91 900–91 050) to capture 24 500 ticks (94 350–91 900), yielding R : R ≈ 2.88 : 1.
Execution Notes
Confirm entry with a lower-timeframe bullish orderflow shift before sizing in.
Maintain strict position sizing—risk only a defined percentage of your account per trade.
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders,
Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe:
BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K.
Strategy:
~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k.
~ Short-term Target: $100k.
~ Mid-term Target: $130k.
~ Long-term Target: $150k and above.
Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
Bitcoin Dips, Then Rips – What’s Next? (12H)The Bitcoin correction started right from where we placed the red arrow on the chart, and it appears the pattern is either a diametric or a symmetrical formation.
From the red circle, we expect another correction and drop toward the green zone. Once the price reaches the green zone, we anticipate a bullish move. perhaps even stronger this time!
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
GOLDMASTER1| BTCUSDT 4H---
BTCUSDT – 4H SMART MONEY STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
Current Price: 85,179.24 USDT
Timeframe: 4H
KEY LEVELS:
Bearish Order Blocks (Resistance Zones):
92,000 – 90,500 USDT
88,000 – 87,000 USDT
Buy Side Liquidity:
88,803.37 USDT
This level may act as a magnet for price, triggering a short-term move higher to capture liquidity before potential rejection from the nearby bearish order block.
Bullish Order Blocks (Support Zones):
80,000 – 78,000 USDT
76,000 – 74,000 USDT
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CURRENT STRUCTURE & BIAS
Price is consolidating just below bearish order block (88K zone) and slightly above 84K level, indicating possible accumulation.
A liquidity grab above 88.8K followed by rejection from the bearish OB could signal a short opportunity.
On the downside, if price breaks below 84K, we might revisit the bullish OB at 80K–78K, which could offer strong buying interest.
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SCENARIOS :
Bullish:
Clean break and hold above 88.8K (Buy Side Liquidity) and above the bearish OB could open a path toward 92K.
Bearish:
Rejection from the 88K bearish OB after a liquidity sweep = possible short back to 80K bullish OB.
GOLDMASTER1 ---