BTC - Last Chance to be Mindful of Potential Flash CrashBTC is at the top of the zone of this bearish retest.
DXY is currently retesting a major breakdown on the monthly time frame - which projects out a 2-4 year bull run for BTC.
Due to this major macro turning point, it’s possible we see an extreme liquidity grab crash on Bitcoin - recovering liquidity as shown on this chart.
Projected movements marked here.
Be prepared for anything - volatility expected
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin's Consolidation Almost Over —200-220 DaysBitcoin's consolidation period before a bullish breakout tends to last some 200-220 days on average. We have four instances of this pattern since the 2022 bear market counting 2025. Let's look at those. This proves that Bitcoin is set to grow in a matter of days. Continue reading below and make sure to boost. When you reach the end of the article leave a comment with your opinion about this issue. Do you agree? Do you disagree? Can you see what I mean?
» Back in 2022 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2023 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2024, last year, Bitcoin consolidated for 217 days before a bullish breakout.
It really depends on where you start counting for the total days but it all adds up to 200-220 days. With 220 being the maximum.
» Currently, in 2025, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 210 days. Looking at previous patterns, this means that only a few days are left before Bitcoin produces a bullish continuation.
We also saw that once Bitcoin breaks out of a this long-term consolidation range/period/phase, it never moves back to the lows of the consolidation range. That is, Bitcoin will never trade below 80K nor 90K once it resumes growing.
I am estimating that the next jump can start as early as next week. The entire move can take months to develop. After a peak is reached, Bitcoin will then start a new consolidation phase with a bearish bias first. This bearish bias produces a low after several months yet a strong higher low compared to the previous consolidation period which is current prices. After this low, more consolidation and then a new bullish jump.
If we take into consideration a bear market, then the dynamics can be different. Bear markets only happen once every four years. Seeing how different market conditions are now, the next bear market will be interesting because it won't be anything like the bear markets of the past. Bitcoin will remain much stronger but that is an analysis for another time.
Summary
Bitcoin is going up. It is very close now. When Bitcoin breaks up and hits a new all-time high, just to continue growing, the altcoins market will explode. You've been warned.
Now you can leave your comment.
Share your opinion on the comments section below. I know you have something to say. You've been trading Cryptocurrencies for years, buying and selling, making profits so... Are you ready for the 2025 bull market?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural point of view, we are trading sideways above the support-resistance conversion zone, and the bullish force is gradually weakening. Only if we break through the blue turning point 109669, will new bullish expectations appear, otherwise we need to be alert to the correction at the daily level.
➡️From a graphical point of view, a rising wedge is formed here, and we usually fall according to this model. At present, it has fallen below the lower edge of the wedge and rebounded to the lower edge and was blocked. I expect a further decline.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC - Much Higher or Much Lower. EoY '26I'm not gonna lie, I drew these lines with my balls. I use them to move my cursor on my computer monitor.
This is not financial advice. This is just how my deep gut instinct likes to draw brushstrokes.
I gave 4 optional trajectories.
These will likely not happen, nor is it likely that the Price Action and Valuation will stay within these lines.
Enjoy and Happy Trading!
Mr. Storm
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis (4H)Patterns and Structure:
Bitcoin remains inside a larger converging structure (symmetrical triangle/wedge) visible from the diagonal trendline.
The price has recently broken above the descending resistance trendline but is hovering near the red resistance area (~$109,000–$110,000).
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as support (~$107,000–$108,000 area).
The cloud below the price is green, indicating bullish momentum.
Key Areas:
Resistance Area: $109,000–$110,000 (red box). Multiple previous rejections from this area.
Support Zone: $106,000–$107,000 (cloud and trendline support).
Key Lower Support: The green box near $98,000–$100,000, in case of a deeper retracement.
Possible Scenario:
As your blue arrow suggests, if Bitcoin consolidates above the breakout level (~$108,000), a rally towards the next major resistance between $112,000–$114,000 is likely.
Conversely, losing the breakout zone could see BTC return to retest lower support levels around $106,000 or $100,000.
Short-term Outlook:
The trend bias remains bullish as long as BTC stays above ~$107,000.
Monitor price reaction to the red resistance zone for breakout confirmation or potential rejection.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of strength, but the $109,000-$110,000 resistance zone is crucial. A confirmed breakout above this zone could accelerate the move towards the $112,000-$114,000 targets.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Is Bitcoin Getting Ready to dump?
In this analysis, I looked at the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes and found some key signals that suggest a major shift might be coming in Bitcoin’s movement over the next few days and weeks.
If you don’t want to get caught off guard by the next big move, make sure to watch the video all the way through!
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis
BTC is consolidating below the key resistance zone highlighted in red (~$109,000–$110,000).
The price continues to form higher lows, showing bullish pressure despite rejection in the red zone.
The structure resembles an ascending triangle, indicating a potential breakout.
Upside Target: ~$113,500–$114,000 if the price moves above ~$110,000 with strong volumes.
Support Zone: ~$106,000–$106,300 must hold to keep the bullish scenario intact.
If the support breaks, the price could retest ~$102,000–$103,000.
Small Insights: Repeated retests of resistance suggest that bulls are absorbing supply. A strong push above the red zone could trigger a short squeeze.
Stay alert!
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\
\ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\
In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels.
---
\ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\
SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players.
Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on:
\ - Market structure\
\ - Supply and demand zones\
\ - Liquidity pools\
By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market.
---
\ Key SMC Concepts Explained\
\ Order Blocks\
Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas.
Example: ()
\ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\
A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price.
In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse.
Example: ()
\ Timeframe Consideration\
If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions.
\ Liquidity\
Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement.
One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors.
Example: ()
\ Break of Structure (BOS)\
BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Example: ()
\ Change of Character (ChoCH)\
ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal.
Example: ()
Combined with BOS: ()
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\ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\
The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases:
\ 1. Accumulation\
Smart money buys while the public is unaware.
\ 2. Markup\
Price rises as smart money pushes the market.
\ 3. Distribution\
Smart money sells into public buying.
\ 4. Markdown\
Price falls as the cycle completes.
SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them.
\ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\
---
\ Summary\
Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior.
It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
BTC - Channel is Broken, Now What?
We are currently retesting the upper trend line of the channel I gave in this analysis, the most bullish scenario is that it breaks upwards and BTC stages a determined rally. If you cannot catch an entry during this rally, do not worry, we can retest the upper part of the trend again or go to manipulation areas such as green bubbles.
BTC - Bulls Getting Ready!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been bullish trading within the flat rising wedge marked in blue and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC/USDT BYBIT IDEA #2 – Local Range Hold and OMEGA CANDLE PRINTThis is my second Setup I am currently in - apart from going to 6h orderblock we will hold the LTF range and continue higher breaking new highs and starting price discovery.
Combined this with Bullish News could bring amazing BTC Run, followed by Altcoin Season in Mid August/September. If you look into Bitcoin Balance and the way this token is being bought and accumulated by institutions.
The way you know Bull Run is about to start is because no Grandmas and Taxi Drivers are talking about it.
I would not believe it myself but here we are.
The way I do this I keep my position running from lows (bought at 107 400) and I am buying LTF ranges for extra 30-40% of existing position and then closing around the same amount on highs of LTF like 15M-30M.
looking for longs, my SL is set for break even.
Good luck.
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
War news are actually good news for Crypto & GoldI Love Global Peace and hope all Wars end soon.
Here are my thoughts about Crypto when war Starts between two countries or more.
i think After wars so many reasons will help Crypto to see gain specially for Bitcoin which is the King of this market.
Some of the major Reasons in my view are:
A. Countries currency or Markets start to fall :
Usually with starting of war, we have two countries that are involved and due to negative effects of war on different Economic parameters cause weaker country or both currencies lose the power of Their currencies and it start To dump.
weak countries Bank can get hacked or worst scenario a countries currency can get 0 by the time.
most of the times Their stock markets also Face with huge losses.
B. People start to Buy more Gold or Bitcoin and ...
with things mentioned above and other reasons their People start to Buy more Crypto usually and Metals like Gold.
C. People start to migrate to other countries with their Crypto Wallets Only
Some start to leave their countries and Sell their Cars homes and ... and turn them to BTC or... and transfer their money and life to a peaceful country.
D. Spies and bribery gets more in those countries which all is done with Crypto usually
Corruption & Spy jobs and ... increases in those countries usually and the money on this Fields usually transfer Via Crypto or Gold and Silver which is harder to track.
And with these reasons which mentioned Above usually in the past all the Attention comes to Metal like Gold and the Value of it increase in Wars, but now Days Bitcoin(&Crypto Tokens) also gets more value and attention in war in my personal View and See gain in price too.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far.
Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow.
Past action · consolidation
We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025.
Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6.
The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth.
Chart patterns · candlestick reading
The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis.
In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green.
The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high.
Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days.
This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up.
Down has been eliminated based on past action.
Sideways is happening now.
Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
The Whale’s Blueprint: Read It Before It Happens🧠 The Real Game
Institutional Bullish vs Institutional Bearish — It Was Never About Direction.
This chart isn’t about setups.
It’s a blueprint of manipulation, a battlefield map where:
• Retail gets trapped at emotional highs
• Liquidity gets swept in layers
• Institutions reload in silence
• And the price becomes the puppet, not the player
🔺 Top Red Zones (106K–112K):
These aren’t resistance. They’re execution zones for sell walls, fake breakouts, and late long liquidations.
🔻 Green Demand Zones (105K & Below):
Not support. They’re reaction chambers — where whales absorb panic and retail exits in fear.
💥 125K is not a fantasy. It’s a controlled explosion waiting to happen —
But only if the trap is set right and the fuel (volume + interest) loads in.
🧱 Real accumulation doesn’t happen in comfort.
It happens in the shadows, at the edges of fear.
This isn’t price action.
This is power action.
⸻
“Most trade the surface.
Snipers wait beneath it…
and strike before the story reveals itself.”
#BTCUSDT #LiquidityGame #WhaleTrap #InstitutionalZones #SniperMindset #KaizenMethod #TheRealGame
BTC third tap incoming? Recently, BTC has traded for a large amount of time in ranging environments. These ranges have started with a local range high and then an initial 3-tap accumulation (i.e., a local low and then two sweeps of that low) before making a solid attempt at the range highs. The sweeps of the lows are meant to shake people out and provide fuel to try to break higher. The previous two times, that initial attempt failed and the price was sent lower to put in a second 3-tap accumulation at lower prices.
Will the current price move back down to put in the 3rd tap of the current relatively small accumulation? That is my base case. I believe we will see some lower prices locally to put in the 3rd tap. I think the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) will fire off green one more time and then we will then make a run to try to break out of this current massive range (that started last year in November). This current range is fairly small, so it is not worth it to me to sell here to try to buy lower.
The bigger question is: Will we have enough fuel to durably break out of this range after the 3rd tap of the current accumulation (green line) or are we destined to repeat the pattern of the last two bigger ranges (red line), one of which we are still in? I personally believe we will break out after the smaller range 3rd tap (the green line) based on the larger context of cycle theory, how long we have been in this range, and how the current small range is part of the larger range starting back in November 2024.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Da_Prof
Note that TV won't allow publication of a private/unpublished indicator anymore or I would have shown the BSTI, which is now published as invite only. It's implementation is too complicated to publish openly, so I don't feel comfortable doing that. If you want access, please DM me on TradingView. Thanks.