BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTC/USDT — New Local High, Trendline BrokenBitcoin has officially broken out of a descending trendline and just made a new local ATH, flipping key resistance into support.
Structure:
Descending wedge breakout
Clean move above 111.8K zone
Confirmation pending with retest
Strategy:
Wait for the retest of the breakout zone for ideal entry.
Entry: 110.5K – 111.2K (on confirmation)
Stop Loss: 108.5K
Targets:
113.5K (minor)
116.8K
122.3K
Expected Move: ~10%–12% upside
BTC continues to show strength, and the breakout confirms bullish momentum. This is the Ideal time to watch for long entries on pullbacks.
DYOR | Not financial advice
BTCUSDT: Trend in 2H time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines.
Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish.
Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish.
Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge.
My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago.
However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
Bitcoin Breakout Ahead of Crypto WeekBitcoin has a great chance at cracking new all time highs and breaking out into price discovery this month. On July 14th, the US is considering it Crypto Week. Signing in the GENIUS bill, and more around crypto assets.
Bitcoin has held this volume shelf at around 104/105k for a while and these relative equal highs on the daily look like they can crack. I have highlighted some zones on the chart that I'd consider extremely important levels.
If we do crack these highs , I am on the side that the price action will be extremely expansive after all the work that has been done at those high volume clusters. If it fails I believe we should trade back to the high volume clusters, and if that doesn't hold, then we should trade through the thinner volume to do more business before bouncing off of the POC at around 96.5k.
The 50,150 & 200 EMAs are all signing ideal strength. Virtually all expansions in their early stages from 2023 to now contained these crosses on the Daily TF.
I am long BTC on a high timeframe. Macro narratives are strong, the asset is strong, and the downside is always in our control to be limited.
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
Hope you entered that long position!🚀 Hope you entered that long position!
I really tried to help you catch this move — and now it looks like Bitcoin has hit its first target.
If you want, you can take some profit here. But my suggestion? Hold that position with the mindset that some short-term profit might be missed, but the overall trend still looks strong.
📉 There’s a possibility of a minor pullback down to 110,610, even as a quick shadow — and then the upward move could continue.
📌 If you're holding altcoin positions, take profit on them. BTC dominance hasn’t dropped sharply yet, so alts are more likely to see pullbacks. Bitcoin still has more room to run in my view.
💬 Did you catch the trade?
🟢 In profit or waiting for higher targets?
Drop a comment 👇 Let's see how everyone's doing!
Bitcoin Makes New ATH – Next Sequence in Play 🚀 CRYPTO:BTCUSD has officially broken into new all-time highs, confirming the next bullish sequence is underway.
The upside projection now opens toward the $135K–$144K zone, aligning with long-term Fibonacci extensions and cycle projections.
📌 As always, it won’t be a straight line—expect step-by-step progress, with consolidations and pullbacks along the way. But the structure remains bullish, and the path is unfolding.
BTCUSDT – The Liquidity Mirage: This Pump Is a Setup!Chart Type: BTCUSDT | 1D & 8H Analysis
Status: Live Reversal Setup | FOMO Trap Triggered
⸻
🧠 Overview:
What looks like a breakout is actually a trap. This pump has violated key sniper rules:
• No reactive volume confirmation
• No structure retest
• Triggered FOMO entries at the highs
• TP booked by whales while retail enters late
Instead of continuation, BTC is setting up for a controlled distribution dump.
⸻
🔍 Sniper Observations:
Component Kaizen Verdict
Volume >> ❌ Weak → No relative confirmation
RSI >> ⚠️ Flat → Bearish Divergence Expected
Structure. >> ❌ No retest or reclaim → Just exhaustion
FOMO Activity >> ✅ High → Clear Retail Entry Trap
Liquidity Above >> ✅ Filled → Nothing left to chase
Whale Behavior >> ✅ TP Booked → Exit has begun
⸻
💣 Liquidity Cloud Mapping:
112,000–114,000 = Retail Exhaustion Zone
✅ TP Booked
✅ FOMO Entry Triggered
✅ Liquidity Grab Completed
108,000 = First Profit Zone (TP1)
Institutional cluster > Buy-back likely
105,000 = Final Target Zone (TP2)
Reversal + SL stack of FOMO longs
93,000–95,000 = Full Trap Unwind
Bonus TP for deep reversal setups
⸻
🎯 Short Plan
(Live Deployment Ready)
Component Value
Entry Zone | 🔫 112,450 – 113,000
Stop Loss | 🛡️ 114,050 (Above fake breakout wick)
Take Profit 1 | 🎯 108,092
Take Profit 2 | 🎯 105,175 (Retail Flush & Whale Reload)
Bonus TP | 🎯 93,218 (Full exhaustion if volume spike appears)
Leverage | ⚔️ 3x–5x recommended for precision swing short
Position Type | 🧠 Swing short / Trap Reversal
⸻
🔑 Trigger Confirmation Before Entry:
1. ✅ 4H Candle Rejection from 112,450+ zone
2. ✅ Divergence in Volume (Price ↑ but volume ↓)
3. ✅ Momentum Fade on RSI or OBV
4. ✅ Spoof walls appear above 112,700 (signs of artificial sell pressure)
⸻
🧠 Why This Trade Works:
• Retail just entered at highs after seeing “confirmed breakout”
• Whales already exited at 112K+
• Market requires fuel for reversal = Retail SLs + Exit Liquidity
• Volume does NOT support real continuation
• Price will trap both bulls & late shorts before true reversal triggers
⸻
🚨 Risk Warning:
If BTC closes above 114,000 with sustained volume AND retests that level, the setup invalidates.
Don’t hold a sniper entry into strength. This is a precision trap entry, not a momentum chase.
⸻
📢 Final Note:
“The most profitable trades come when the crowd is silent, and the volume is fake. This is one of those setups — you’re not late. You’re right on time.”
You Haven’t Missed It**⏰ Timeframe: 1H**
**🛠 Tools Used: Dow Theory, Support & Resistance, Volume, RSI**
**📈 Market Overview**
Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently trading at **110,982**. After hitting a new all-time high at **12K**, the price is undergoing a mild correction. Despite the retracement, price remains supported by both volume and the 25-period moving average.
Yesterday, BTC broke through the **110,267** resistance level with a strong bullish candle, but encountered aggressive selling from market makers and is now consolidating with weak candles below the **12K** mark.
Typically, in such market phases, it’s advisable to close previous positions and consider new entries. However, given the likelihood of **interest rate cuts** and the fact that price is holding near its ATH, keeping previous **long positions** open may be wise, as a **strong upward move** is still on the table.
**⚙️ Technical Analysis**
Yesterday’s breakout above **110,267** was met with seller pressure near **12K**, leading to a shallow correction.
**BTC Dominance (BTC.D)** has broken above **65.04** and **64.69**, moving toward **64.51** resistance. However, a weakening candle structure is visible on both **4H and 1H** timeframes. This indicates that while long opportunities on bullish **BTC pairs** may still exist, we might see a lower high forming above **64.51** and below **64.69**, followed by another move back toward **64.51**.
Meanwhile, **USDT Dominance (USDT.D)** broke below the **4.75** support with a strong candle and is now ranging above **4.63**, suggesting a possible pause or rest phase here.
The **Total Market Cap** shows a similar pattern to **BTCUSDT**, reflecting consolidation with slight bullish bias.
The **Others** chart (excluding BTC & ETH) shows a healthy uptrend and is now facing resistance at **248.68**. A breakout above this level could pave the way for stronger performance among altcoins with bullish BTC pairs.
**🧭 Potential Scenarios**
📗 **Bullish Scenario:**
If BTC forms a **higher low above 110,654**, an entry could be considered above **12,000**, with a stop-loss placed below the higher low (based on the 1H timeframe). Volume confirmation is necessary to support the move.
📕 **Bearish Scenario:**
As long as the price remains **above 109,409**, **short positions are not recommended**.
**💡 Conclusion, Warnings & General Suggestion**
Bitcoin is currently in a **healthy bullish phase**.
The **key resistance at 111K** has been broken, and price is pulling back toward that level.
The structure remains bullish, supported by **sufficient volume** and **no clear bearish divergence**.
If current support holds, there’s potential for continuation toward the **113,500–114,000** range.
⚠️ **Warnings:**
* If the pullback turns into a breakdown (falling below **110,200**, then **109,000**), it would signal **buyer weakness**, and strategy must be reconsidered.
* Watch for **RSI divergences** or **declining volume** during further rallies—they may indicate caution.
* Prolonged consolidation **below broken resistance** could also indicate market weakness.
BTCUSD – Is This the Macro Top? Sell?This analysis is based on a convergence of classic technical signals, structural wave counts, and institutional order flow. Together, they strongly suggest that we may be witnessing a macro distribution phase, possibly leading into a larger correction.
1. Elliott Wave Count (Supercycle and Cycle Degree)
-Clear channel from 2018–2025 defining the entire impulsive structure.
-Final wave V is subdivided into five minor waves, with the fifth showing characteristics of an ending diagonal (low momentum, overlapping waves).
-Sructure is consistent with terminal wave exhaustion, including a false breakout and multiple rejections.
2. Volume Profile and Institutional Flow
-High-volume nodes at the top (Coinbase/Binance) align with historical distribution zones, not accumulation.
-Likely OTC activity as smart money exits quietly near all-time highs.
-VPVR shows major support clusters far below current levels (100k–88k), highlighting inefficient price zones above.
3. Weekly Technical Indicators
-RSI (classic and McAfee-based): long-term bearish divergence vs price.
-Stochastic RSI: extended overbought conditions; full cycles often reverse from this zone.
-MFI (Money Flow Index): >80 — historically precedes top formation in BTC.
-MACD: approaching a potential bearish cross in the coming weeks.
-WaveTrend Oscillator: peaking — behavior matches major tops in 2021 and 2017.
4. Moving Averages & Structural Support
-EMA21 (Weekly): ~96k — likely target for wave A of a corrective phase.
-EMA50: ~87k — coincides with cluster of historical buying interest.
-EMA100/200: ~68k and ~50k — long-term value zones if correction deepens.
5. Pivot Levels & Price Structure
-Price reached R1 (112,400) and is showing rejection — classic pivot reversal behavior.
-S1/S2 (~100–92k): probable short-term correction zones.
-S3/S4 (<88k): targets for deeper wave C or end of macro correction.
6. Institutional Behavior & Sentiment
-Large buying volume at the highs does not represent breakout momentum — likely retail absorption of institutional selling.
-Momentum divergence and false breakout behavior reinforce the distribution thesis.
-Sentiment: overly bullish news and euphoria align with classic retail top behavior.
Conclusion
This confluence of Elliott Wave structure, volume profile, indicator exhaustion, and institutional flow activity points to a high-probability macro top in Bitcoin. While no analysis is infallible, the alignment of so many signals is rare and demands attention.
Disclaimer:
This is not a recommendation to sell. This is a technical analysis intended purely for educational and analytical purposes.
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
BTC Flag Pattern's Target @ 145,XXX $ [10/07/2025]🚀 BTC Breakout from Flag Pattern: Aiming for $145,000!
Bitcoin has just broken out of a textbook Flag Pattern, a bullish continuation signal that suggests the rally is far from over. Traders jumped in as price pierced through resistance with rising volume—classic breakout behavior. Stop-loss placed below the flag, profit target measured from the flagpole... all signs point to upward momentum.
🎯 Target? $145,000.
🔥 The rocket has launched, and it's not looking back. Fasten your seatbelt and cheer it on—let’s go, BTC! Make that flag fly high and beyond! 🤑🚀
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Building Up The Volume | Be ReadyBuyers are still holding strong where price is not showing any signs of weakness. With that being said, we are seeing the volume gathering near the current zone, which might result in a breakout and a strong upwards movement.
A new ATH is coming; this has been seen already once on the BTC, so it is just a repeat of history.
Swallow Academy
BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context
After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential
Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower.
Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point
Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel.
Channel Continuation Structure
The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000.
Final Thoughts
This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from.
If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
BITCOIN Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a new all-time high, trading around $111,000 to $112,000 per coin.
Key Highlights:
Bitcoin hit an intraday record high surpassing its previous peak of about $111,970 set in May 2025.
market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion.
The rally is attributed to a combination of factors including:
A weakening US dollar, which reduces opportunity cost for holding Bitcoin.
Increased demand from institutional investors, with nearly $1 billion net inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in early July.
Positive market sentiment following statements on monetary policy and expectations of potential Fed rate cuts.
Recent significant moves include the transfer of 20,000 BTC from wallets inactive for 14 years, highlighting long-term holder activity.
Price Data Snapshot:
Current Price: Around $111,000
Day’s High: Approximately $112,152
Market Cap: About $2.02 trillion
Volume (24h): Over $57 billion
Year High: $112,021 (intraday)
Summary:
Bitcoin continues its strong upward momentum in mid-2025, breaking new records amid supportive macroeconomic conditions such as a softer dollar and growing institutional adoption. The cryptocurrency remains volatile but shows robust demand as a digital asset and inflation hedge.
#BTC
BTC ANALYSIS🌸#BTC Analysis : Bullish Trend 🚀🚀
🚀As we can see that there is a formation of Flag & Pole Pattern in #BTC in daily time frame. Right now we can see that #BTC again retest from the resistance zone and we can see a bounce back from its support zone 💪
🔖 Current Price: $1,08,050
⏳ Target Price: $1,20,000
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the #BTC chart and make some profits. Keep your eyes on chart price action, observe trading volume. Always observe market sentiments and update yourself everyday.🔰🔰
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th
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This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th.
The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6.
It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart.
For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators.
Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed.
What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point.
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It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction.
Conditions for continuing the uptrend include:
1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend,
2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line,
3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend,
If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
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If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important.
If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21.
If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline.
The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section.
Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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