BTCUSD - Another Dip Is Possible With This Count...Recent rejections at the highs have prompted a deeper analysis, and the findings are quite intriguing.
Based on a detailed wave review, there's a possibility we're currently trading within an expanded Wave B zig-zag pattern that has yet to find a bottom.
If this scenario holds and we see a break below the 83,000 support level, price could potentially decline toward the 74,517 area.
On the upside, resistance is observed at 86,506 and 85,493.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Bitcoin's latest strategy analysisUpon analyzing the daily chart, I spotted a falling wedge pattern and a confirmed breakout above its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 8,7478 and 88799 on a daily chart.
If the bulls are able to surpass and close above this level, it will be a significant bullish signal.
This could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend, possibly reaching the next resistance level.
Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16)
First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500.
If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000.
Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
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Just a couple of observations.The bullish divergence has been confirmed.
The first weekly green candle Heikin Ashi since the beginning of Feb.
The reversal can be very tricky.
Don't even look that kijun and tenkan make a possible cross.
With this combination it can be some sideways movement but not more.
Bitcoin can exit from wedge and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside a broad horizontal range, with clear rejections from both support and resistance. The lower boundary of this range was located near the support level at 81200 points, and the market found solid footing there. After a series of bounces, BTC gradually started to grow, breaking out of the lower range and forming a new short-term trend. The growth accelerated after the price exited the buyer zone, leading to the development of an upward wedge. Within this pattern, BTC continued climbing and eventually broke through interim resistance levels, reaching new local highs. The current movement shows clean reactions to the support and resistance lines of the wedge, with the price respecting the structure closely. Now, BTC is approaching the resistance level at 88500, which aligns with the upper boundary of the previous range and borders the seller zone. The combination of this resistance and the narrowing wedge formation increases the probability of a bearish reversal. Given this setup, I expect BTC to reverse soon and continue moving down toward the 81200 support level, which remains my current TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin crash back to $74,000I hope the chart is self explanatory as don't want to make this long. I added some trendlines for the visual learners.
Bitcoin did not meets its monthly correction target of $74000, we pump right before...Its not very wise to buy randomly- You want to buy at a key level for higher probability...If the bull run ought to continue. Don't you think for such a big move its more likely to react from important key levels where most the demand is waiting?
2ndly the weekly tf is still bearish. We flipped bullish on daily but price is high and struggling to clear 85k.
4hr already flipped back bearish.
Next point is that there is still a lot of uncertainty around tariffs, while market is not reacting to tariffs news as strongly as it did before its still factor of uncertainty. An important factor
Next point. In yesterdays Speech by Jerome powell he clearly stated that inflation likely to rise due to tariffs he also clearly stated they not ready to jump in and 'save the stock market' And he said they not looking to make any adjustments to interest rates at the moment. They still playing it cautious-waiting on more data.
For me the likely bottom signal when it comes to fundamental will be the lowering of interest rates.
On the bullish side, gold been making ATHs on a regular now and many are starting to speculate that bitcoin is next...that's a possibility but so far we haven't seen any strong sign of that narrative playing out in the chart.
I think this is 1 final trap before the actual continuation of the bull-run. For invalidation -I would like to see a very clear breakout out on the day and weekly closing above 89k with volume confirmation.
I called bitcoin top from December of last year with target of $74000. And its still in effect.
Now, let's see if am right again. I believe I am.
BTC IN WEEKLY, 122K IN THE END OF 2025 ?By looking the chart in the weekly timeframe, we can see we are ccompleting minor wave(5) from main wave(3) . BTC will touch 120k before 2026 and then price will dump to 85k again and afer that price will start to pumping and its will end in 2026 by touching 138k . This is my opinion what's your idea?
BTC SCENARIOS - LONG/SHORTThat's what I'm looking at in the near future.
Just some ideas :)
Bitcoin (BTC) – Digital Currency / Decentralised Asset
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer digital currency designed for secure, transparent, and decentralised transactions without the need for intermediaries. Often referred to as "digital gold," BTC is the first and most widely adopted cryptocurrency, used globally for trading, investing, and storing value. It operates on blockchain technology, ensuring immutable, public ledger verification.
Mid-Term Outlook for Bitcoin: Key LevelsFrom a global perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend; from a mid-term perspective — in a downtrend; and from a local perspective — in an upward trend. Therefore, in my view, the mid-term downtrend is still unfolding, and only a breakout above the 88,740 level would signal the first real threat to this bearish structure.
As long as the price remains below 88,740 and 87,400, the market remains a sell, with a target at 74,456 — a key resistance level. Moreover, if the price indeed reaches 74,456, it’s unlikely that the movement will stop there. There's a high probability that we’ll see further downside toward 70K, 65K, and possibly even 60K in the mid-term.
In conclusion: it’s crucial to wait for a breakdown below the purple consolidation area before considering short entries.
Still no progress for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin consolidated the whole week. The outlook is still the same.
Now we saw a 5 wave pattern up (which could be a leading diagonal wave 1) and a correction down. So we could see the next impulse wave after the finish of the correction.
Or we see one more impulse wave down and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the (corrective) move down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
RSI-Volume Momentum Signal Score: Trading the Momentum PressureThe indicator used in this chart is an updated version of the RSI-Volume Momentum Score.
The RSI-Volume Momentum Signal Score is a predictive technical indicator designed to identify bullish and bearish momentum shifts by combining volume-based momentum with the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It generates a Signal Score derived from:
• The divergence between short-term and long-term volume (Volume Oscillator), and
• RSI positioning relative to a user-defined threshold. The Signal Score is calculated as follows:
Signal Score = tanh((vo - voThreshold) / scalingFactor) * ((rsiThreshold - rsi) / scalingFactor)
The logic of this formula are as follows:
• If Volume Oscillator >= Volume Threshold and RSI <= RSI Threshold: Bullish Signal (+1 x Scaling Factor)
• If Volume Oscillator >= Volume Threshold and RSI >= (100 – RSI Threshold): Bearish Signal (-1 x Scaling Factor)
• Otherwise: Neutral (0)
The tanh function provides the normalization process. It ensures that the final signal score is bounded between -1 and 1, increases sensitivity to early changes in volume patterns based on RSI conditions, and prevent sudden jumps in signals ensuring smooth and continuous signal line.
This updated version Introduces colored columns (green and red bars) representing momentum pressure directly. These bars:
o Green bars represent bullish pressure when the signal score is +1.
o Red bars represent bearish pressure when the signal score is -1.
o The transition point from one color to another acts as a visual signal of momentum reversal.
LONG SIGNAL: A transition from green bar to red bar indicates that bullish pressure has reached a tipping point—price is likely to rise soon.
SHORT SIGNAL: A transition from red bar to green bar signals bearish pressure is peaking—potential price drop ahead.
These transitions become intuitive signals for bullish or bearish entries, depending on the context.
BTCUSDT: Bounce Incoming?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
-March 2024 resistance is now expected to act as a strong support level.
-The price has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal from this zone.
-The 200 EMA on the 2-day chart is positioned as a strong dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish case.
We can expect a bounce from the $72-75k level.
Bitcoin with a potential target at 90K+.A leading diagonal (cLD) has formed on the chart — potentially completing wave A or 1. We're now seeing the development of a corrective wave B/2.
Key demand zone: 82,000 – 80,000
This area is supported by:
• Fibonacci extensions
• VWAP and balance zone
• 4H BPR
• Strong volume cluster (profile-based)
This is a local setup, but if confirmed, it may kick off wave 3/C with a potential target at 90K+.
[BTC] 2025.04.18Greetings. It’s a pleasure to reconnect with you.
Before diving into altcoin analysis, we believe it is essential to first address Bitcoin, as it remains the key driver in determining the overall market direction.
Since the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged consolidation phase accompanied by a downward trend. In an effort to identify a potential bottom for this correction, we have closely monitored the market over the past three months.
Initially, our team identified the period around March 10 as a likely inflection point for a bullish reversal and prepared a related analysis idea. However, we refrained from publishing it, as the movements of key altcoins—which typically serve as leading indicators—did not align with our internal criteria.
As anticipated, the market went on to form another low. We now believe that April 7 marked not just a temporary bounce, but a potential structural pivot point in the broader trend.
The rationale behind this assessment is outlined in detail below. We appreciate your time and hope you find the insights valuable.
We believe the logical starting point is to examine the key highs that have formed during this cycle.
Among the two major peaks—referred to here as “Point 1” and “Point 2”—it is critical to determine which marks the termination of the fifth wave. This distinction plays a pivotal role in accurately interpreting the subsequent wave structure.
If Point 1 is the conclusion of the fifth wave, then Point 2 can be naturally understood as the terminal point of a corrective B wave.
Conversely, if Point 2 represents the end of the fifth wave, then the decline that followed is likely the beginning of a corrective A wave.
To validate this, we conducted a detailed analysis based on Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios. The results showed that Point 2 did not align well with any major wave theory frameworks. Its price structure and time proportion appeared incomplete and inconsistent.
In contrast, Point 1 exhibited a high degree of confluence with multiple classical wave theories, including Glenn Neely’s NEoWave principles. Structurally, it demonstrated the typical characteristics of a completed five-wave advance.
Based on this evidence, we conclude that Point 1 is the more valid candidate for the fifth wave termination. Consequently, we believe any analysis of the current market structure should build upon this interpretation.
To further clarify the interpretation of the key peak,
we present two possible scenarios using Fibonacci ratios as the analytical foundation.
These scenarios are illustrated as the red path and the blue path,
each representing a different wave development depending on the subsequent market movement.
However, the key takeaway is that both scenarios converge on a single conclusion:
“Point 1” marks the completion of a full wave cycle,
and can thus be identified as the termination point of the fifth wave.
While the detailed wave progression may evolve depending on how the market unfolds,
recognizing that a major top has already been established is essential for shaping any mid-to-long-term strategy.
This structural understanding serves as a critical anchor in the broader market outlook.
Having previously identified “Point 2” as the likely termination of the B wave,
our current focus shifts to pinpointing the end of the C wave—
in other words, the optimal buying zone within the corrective structure.
Our team initially regarded the period around March 10 as a strong candidate for the conclusion of the C wave.
However, due to insufficient synchronicity across the broader market—
particularly the lack of confirmation from key altcoins—
we concluded that this point did not represent a genuine inflection.
※ Our analysis is based not on individual coins but on a comprehensive structural assessment of the overall market.
As a result, we extended our observation period.
A clear and confident reversal signal was finally detected around April 7.
In hindsight, the March 10 low proved to be a false bottom, marked only by a temporary rebound,
whereas the true structural pivot materialized in early April.
With this in mind, we believe the market is now entering a phase where a full wave reversal is plausible,
and it is time to begin formulating a strategic entry plan in alignment with this outlook.
Now, let us evaluate whether the second low (April 7)
qualifies as the true termination point of the C wave.
From a technical standpoint, the preceding decline exhibits the hallmarks of an Ending Diagonal—
a classic pattern frequently observed at the conclusion of C waves.
This structure serves as a strong technical signal that the wave sequence is entering its final stage,
indicating not just a temporary rebound, but the potential for a structural trend reversal.
Considering both the wave characteristics and the timing context,
we believe there is sufficient evidence to regard the April 7 low not merely as a short-term bottom,
but as the culmination of the C wave—and more importantly, the starting point of a major reversal in the broader trend.
Finally, to further reinforce the technical foundation of our analysis,
we turn to harmonic pattern analysis.
By applying a range of Fibonacci ratios between the start and termination of the B wave,
we have identified a remarkably precise Deep Crab pattern—
one of the most powerful reversal signals among all harmonic structures.
Notably, the current price action has landed directly within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone),
strongly suggesting that the timing for a strategic long position is ripe.
In summary, we now have a confluence of three compelling signals:
A clear Ending Diagonal structure at the tail end of the C wave,
A significant inflection point formed around April 7,
And a textbook Deep Crab harmonic pattern confirming the reversal zone.
These three elements align cohesively to provide a well-founded justification for initiating long exposure.
There is no longer a reason for hesitation.
Assuming appropriate risk management is in place,
we believe this is a moment to enter with confidence.
Thank you sincerely for reading this analysis in full.
We will continue to provide high-quality, data-driven market insights,
rooted in both structural depth and technical precision.
If our perspective resonates with your approach to the market,
we warmly invite you to follow our work and stay connected.
Your support and engagement are what fuel our continued efforts.
See you in the next idea.