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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system. I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon - **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels. - **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin. II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning - **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence. - **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones. - **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin. III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000 1. Short-Term Support Validation: - Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day. 2. Trend Breakout Confirmation: - RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000. **Trading Tactics**: - **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support). - **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance. - **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals. This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise. Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000 SL:98000 TP:103000~104000
Long
by David_Wilson1
Checking the trend change after the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is expected to last from June 21st to 23rd. Therefore, it is necessary to check the trend formed after the volatility period. The 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart, so it is important to see if there is support near this point. If it falls without support, it may fall to around 89294.25. The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart. Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is rising to around 99705.62, the area around 99705.62 is likely to play an important role as support and resistance. Even if it turns upward, it must rise above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 of the 1D chart to maintain the price. If not, it is likely to fall again. - The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that it fell from the high point range. In other words, if it falls below the HA-HIgh indicator point, it is likely to start a downtrend. However, since the HA-High indicator is an intermediate value, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. The end point of the high point is the DOM (60) indicator. Therefore, it should be interpreted that it has risen above the high point section only if it rises above the 111696.21 point. Therefore, depending on how the 108316.90-111696.21 section is broken upward, an upward trend can be predicted. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- There are auxiliary indicators OBV indicators made of Low Line ~ High Line channels and PVT-MACD oscillator indicators. The OBV indicator made of Low Line ~ High Line channels is an indicator that can see how the channel is structured, and whether OBV falls below the Low Line of the channel or rises above the High Line. Therefore, you can predict the future trend based on the channel pattern. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is an indicator created by adding the Close value dash PVT value to the MACD formula. Therefore, it shows a similar appearance to the MACD oscillator indicator. The reason for looking at the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is to find out how the trading volume flows. There are many trading volume indicators, but I think this PVT-MACD oscillator indicator reflects the trading volume flow well. - However, you should look at the support and resistance points where the changes in the movement of the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator, the OBV indicator created by the Low Line ~ High Line channel, and the StochRSI indicator occur. If the changes in these indicators occur near the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicator points, it can be of great help in creating a trading strategy. The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end point of the low point. That is, falling below the DOM(-60) indicator means that it has entered the low point range, and there is a high possibility that it will show a full-scale downtrend. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it has left the low point range. That is, if it rises above the HA-Low indicator, it means that there is a high possibility that an uptrend will begin. However, since the HA-Low indicator is an intermediate value, if it encounters resistance and falls, it is possible that it will show a stepwise downtrend. Therefore, whether there is support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is important. - Currently, the OBV indicator created as the Low Line ~ High Line channel has fallen below the Low Line. Therefore, we need to look at whether the Low Line ~ High Line channel will change to a downtrend channel in the future. We need to look at whether an 'M'-shaped pattern indicating a trend change occurs. Since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is still below the 0 point, it can be seen that the selling force is dominant. However, since the oscillator is maintaining an upward trend, you can see that the overall selling pressure is decreasing. Even so, since it is located near the HA-High indicator, the resistance in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is expected to be considerable. - Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. This will increase accuracy. However, since the standard time frame chart for all indicators is a 1D chart, it is most important to check the flow of the 1D chart. - You may think it is difficult because you have to look at multiple indicators at once. The most important thing is to look at the movement when approaching the HA-Low or HA-High indicator. The reason is that the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is a description of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
3
BTCUSDTHello traders. Wishing each of you a great weekend ahead! Even though it's the weekend, I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair and decided to share it with you. However, we should also keep in mind that weekend markets tend to have lower volume. That said, I will still proceed with this trade based on my own risk parameters and trading strategy. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 103815.32 ✔️ Take Profit: 102640.12 ✔️ Stop Loss: 104402.06 🕒 If the trade does not continue with strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 today. Otherwise, I will close it either in profit or at a loss depending on the price action. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
2
BTC trade plan🚨 BITCOIN – Eyeing $135K Before the Real Drop? 🚨 📆 Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: BINANCE 🧠 Elliott Wave Breakdown: After completing Wave 3 near the $109K level, BTC entered a classic A-B-C correction. We're currently breaking out of a bullish flag, hinting at the final leg Wave B rally still to come! 📈 Wave B Target Zone: 🎯 1.0 Extension: $135,920 🔴 1.236 Extension (Max Spike): $145,000 This zone is our “Red Box of Rejection”, where a strong reversal is likely as Wave C kicks in. A sharp Wave C dump could target the 1.618 Fib extension at $74,576 — a textbook retracement level for deeper Wave 4 corrections. That area would offer a generational buying opportunity heading into Wave 5, targeting above $220K+! 🚀 Final Wave 5 Target: 💥 1.618 Extension: $221,993+
Long
by HodlAhmad
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
Do you think it supports this model?After two weeks away from you, I am back. Hello friends, as some of you dear ones know, I live in Iran, and due to the two-week war in Iran, I was not in the mood for analysis, nor was the internet helpful. But I came back to you so that we can identify the profits together. . The chart you see has formed an old pattern (flag pattern), and if it breaks out of this pattern from above, we can expect an increase as large as the previous lag. The target of this increase is the area that we had mentioned in previous Bitcoin analyses. (You can enter the page and look at the analyses) . I hope you have used this analysis well. I wish you complete peace wherever you are. You can follow the page to see more analyses, hoping for good days.
Long
by Mahdi_norozi
BTC/USDT Smart Money Roadmap | Daily FVG + ATH TargetSeenForex | ICT-Based Smart Money Analysis Bitcoin is currently reacting within a Daily Weak Fair Value Gap (WFVG) after a series of liquidity sweeps ($$$). Price structure suggests two possible scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation Setup: Daily WFVG acting as potential mitigation zone Targeting ATH liquidity above $112,000 Confirmation required: bullish BOS or entry model near FVG 🔄 Bearish Liquidity Sweep Scenario: Deeper liquidity draw possible below WFVG Next potential demand zone around $85,000–$87,000 Clean inefficiency (FVG) below waiting to be filled 🧠 Wait for price reaction inside WFVG or deeper zone before taking action. 📊 Strategy Used: ICT | Smart Money | Liquidity Sweep | Order Block | BOS | FVG 📅 Date: June 19, 2025 🔍 Analyst: SeenForex #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #SmartMoney #ICT #FVG #Liquidity #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SeenForex #OrderBlock #TradingViewIdeas
Long
by seenforex
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below. There will be some fluctuations along the way. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Continuation After Failed Support !Bitcoin attempted to hold the $101,409 support level but failed to sustain above it. The breakdown confirms weakness, and the chart now suggests a continuation of the downtrend if bulls don’t reclaim lost ground quickly. Technical Breakdown: Failed Bounce: BTC briefly bounced near $101.4K but got rejected and closed back below the zone. Bearish Structure: Price continues forming lower highs and lower lows — a clear downtrend. RSI at 30.34: Close to oversold but still room to fall, which means downside isn’t exhausted yet. Market Sentiment: Weak hands are exiting, and support zones are getting tested faster than they’re defended. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $101,409 – Immediate level, now flipped to resistance $103,573 – Strong barrier if bulls attempt recovery $105,807 – Major horizontal resistance and lower high zone Support: $97,340 – Next major support zone (possible short-term bounce) $93,343 – Key level if $97.3K fails to hold $92,200 – Final support before panic could set in Trade Idea – Bearish Bias: Short on Retest Zone: $101.4K – $102K Stoploss: Above $103.6K Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $97,300 TP2: $93,300 TP3: Optional – trail lower if breakdown continues What Bulls Need to Do: Reclaim $101.4K fast with a strong close above it on the 4H chart Otherwise, sellers remain in control This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly.
Short
by ScramblerG
Wednesday, Trade of the day 📊 Wednesday Trading Update Tuesday didn’t give us any tangible plays — price action was choppy, unconvincing, and mostly noise. But that’s behind us. Let’s see what Wednesday brings, especially with London and NY sessions ahead. Midweek is notoriously volatile for BYC, and historically, Wednesday has often been the day that breaks the range or gives us a proper deviation setup — so eyes sharp today 👀. My trades today will stick to standard range plays, nothing forced. We're still sitting above 4H supply, and unless we get a clean breakout with structure shift, I’ll remain cautious and reactive, not predictive. Here’s what I’m watching today: 👉 Look for clear market structure shifts on the LTF (lower timeframes) 👉 Divergences can give early signs if you're using oscillators If I get time, I might record a quick session later. No promises, but I’ll update if that changes. 🎥 If you're unsure what to look for, go back through the video archive — everything you need has already been broken down in detail. 📅 Weekly Schedule: Wednesday – ❌ No class Thursday – ❌ No class Friday – ❌ No class Let’s stay sharp — volatile Wednesdays tend to reward patience and precision.
by Trade-Journal
1
BTC midterm plan possibility The current Bitcoin chart shows a P.O.3 pattern formation. Looking at the price targets, we can see a clear path to $100,000, which stands as a major psychological price level. The ongoing A-B-C pattern structure supports this price movement. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $100k level, we could potentially see an extension to around $120,000. After January, there's a strong possibility of a bullish trend that could help reach these targets, though this remains speculative and uncertain. Market movements depend on various factors, so always do your own research before making any investment decisions.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​This is one of the scenarios.Other way is going beyond 85k strongly and make pull back or continuation pattern (sideways)after that reach 100k.
Long
by H-A_T
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection. Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal. Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range. First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000. Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark. 📉 Outlook: The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
Short
by traderchamp_
BTC/USDT – Bearish Channel Rejection with Confluence ZonesBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the top of the descending parallel channel. This trade idea is based on multiple confluences: Bearish rejection at key resistance near $110,000–$112,000 Price respecting the descending trendline 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone acting as potential demand Risk-reward structure targeting deeper support near $88,500 Previous bullish channel broken – now acting as resistance 📌 Entry near: ~$108517 🎯 Target: ~$88500 🛑 Stop Loss: ~$111980 Looking for further downside continuation if this structure holds. Watch how price reacts at mid-channel and the demand box.
Short
by simmocode
3
Everyone Talks Charts — But the Order Book Knows FirstHello, Traders! 🤓 Everyone watches the chart. But not everyone watches the market itself. If you’ve ever wondered why the price suddenly jumps or stalls just below resistance, you’re likely looking at the surface, not the structure underneath. And that’s precisely what DOM in trading helps to reveal. What Is DOM Trading? Let’s start with the basics. DOM stands for Depth of Market, which shows real-time limit buy and sell orders at different price levels. Some traders call this the trading DOM. Unlike a candlestick, which tells you what already happened, the DOM trading view shows what participants intend to do. This makes it useful for those trying to understand short-term moves, liquidity pressure, or even the psychology behind a specific level. So if you’re asking, “What is DOM in trading?” or “How does DOM work in crypto?” – it’s essentially a live x-ray of the market’s limit order book. Order Book Trading in Crypto The order book, the live list of buy and sell orders, acts like a constantly updating roadmap of trader intentions. In order book trading, it’s not just the numbers that matter but how they shift. For example, traders often notice thick sell walls near round numbers (e.g., $70,000 BTC), sudden order pulls, which can fake out breakout traders, and absorption, where big buy/sell orders are filled silently, without noticeable price change… When analyzed properly, this behavior gives context to price action, something traditional indicators can’t always offer. How to Use Crypto Trendlines… and Then Watch DOM Drawing trendlines in crypto is common. Everyone has their version of a breakout setup. But what happens when the price reaches that line? That’s where DOM trading shines. It doesn’t predict whether the line will hold or break, but it shows whether liquidity is building or backing away right at the critical moment. The combination of crypto trendlines and DOM behavior often exposes subtle market dynamics, a large bid appearing just as price touches support, for instance, or offers vanishing before a breakout. That’s not about strategy. It’s about market structure awareness, watching both the levels and the surrounding behavior. Chart vs DOM: Two Sides of the Same Story The crypto psychology chart tells you what’s happened — highs, lows, closes. The DOM, on the other hand, shows live trader psychology. And that’s where the psychology of crypto trading gets interesting. When everyone’s waiting for BTC to hit $100K, for example, you might already see: Buyers are stacking bids at $95K, hoping for a retrace. Sellers layering offers at $99.9K, defending the level. And the sudden orders near $100K, a possible trap. In this way, round numbers in trading aren’t just emotional, they’re structurally significant. Especially in crypto, where the market cap is still heavily influenced by sentiment. Final Thought Some traders find it useful to spend a few sessions just observing the DOM. Psychological numbers in trading, like $10K, $20K, or even the famous 100K BTC milestone, are often surrounded by unusual order book behavior. So, the next time price seems to move “out of nowhere,” ask yourself: Was it really out of nowhere… or did the DOM in trading already whisper it? You don’t need to trade based on it. But knowing how to draw trendlines in crypto and then pairing that with DOM behavior can offer a sharper view of where the market might hesitate, reverse, or run. Sometimes, seeing how others are placing their bets matters more than where. What do you think?
Education
by WhiteBIT
6
Bitcoin - What's next ? BINANCE:BTCUSDT (12H CHART) Technical Analysis Update Now that ceasefire is announced, bitcoin price has successfully recovered to the resistance level and currently trading at the resistance zone. It's critical that bitcoin breaks this resistance for it to hit the next resistance around 110K . I'm expecting price to reach 110k this week and we can see some consolidation in that range before moving further up. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
2
Will Bitcoin's growth continue, or is this just a correction ?BINANCE:BTCUSDT After the weekend, the price showed a strong recovery. Currently, it is trading above the monthly and weekly pivot points. However, if these levels are broken without a subsequent buy-back reaction, we can expect the downward movement to continue as part of a higher-timeframe correction. Otherwise, we may see either a local correction or an upward move from current levels with the aim of breaking through the resistance zone and trendlines. All targets are outlined in detail in the video idea. Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you The author's opinion may differ from yours, Consider your risks. Wish you successful trades ! mura
by trading_mura