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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Entering the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market. I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart. The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market. The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16. If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline. Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend. -------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so. However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend. Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend. The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur. If it starts to decline, 1st: 87.8K-89K 2nd: 79.9K-80.9K There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above. If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd. Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th. If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it. - (1D chart) I will update after a new candle is created. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
4
Bitcoin Analysis: December 23, 2024 - Consolidation or Rebound?Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis for today. Weekly Chart Analysis Looking at the Bitcoin weekly chart, we can identify two main yellow box zones that represent Bitcoin’s historical trading frames. Currently, in the blue box zone, Bitcoin has moved into a new frame. Examining the weekly candles, we see that the current red candle is engulfing the previous week’s green candle. As the weekly close approaches in just a few hours, it is highly likely that this bearish engulfing candle signals a consolidation phase within the frame. If we look at the green box, a similar scenario occurred in the past: after a new high was reached within the previous frame, a bearish candle emerged, followed by approximately 9 months of sideways movement. While it is unclear how long the current frame will last, the appearance of this week's red candle is not a particularly optimistic signal for future bullish momentum. The red box, which has provided support since November 2024, becomes critical. A breakdown below this zone could signify a breach of approximately five weeks of sustained support, increasing the likelihood of retesting the weekly 20-MA or even breaking below it. However, since the red box zone has not yet been decisively breached, it is still possible for Bitcoin to move sideways within the current frame. For those holding long positions, there is no immediate cause for alarm unless the price breaks below 89,400 or fails to hold the support of the weekly 20-MA. If either of these scenarios occurs, it may signal a trend reversal. Keep this in mind as you approach your trades. Daily Chart Analysis The key level to watch on the daily chart is 89,400, which coincides with the entry zone for the Ichimoku Cloud. Since November, Bitcoin has not encountered significant resistance around the daily 20-MA. However, the recent resistance at this level suggests a weakening of bullish momentum. At this point, it’s crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will: Receive support and rebound above the key levels, or Retrace further to 73,800, which was the previous frame’s entry level, and test the short-term ascending trendline. 4-Hour Chart Analysis To confirm a rebound, Bitcoin must first establish a solid foothold above the 4-hour 20-MA. Although there was a brief attempt to break above the 20-MA on December 20, 2024, Bitcoin failed to sustain its position, leading to further corrections. This indicates that surpassing the 20-MA remains a priority before addressing resistance levels. The second critical level to monitor is 99,485, which currently serves as a resistance zone. A breakout above this level would indicate diminishing selling pressure. This would also confirm the current frame's significance as Bitcoin potentially targets the next key resistance near 109,000. Conclusion Is the market overheating, or is a rebound on the horizon? Despite years of observing charts, the emergence of new wealth in this market suggests we are experiencing unique dynamics. Opportunities always arise during cycles, but entering the market during periods of rapid growth often results in losses rather than gains. Sometimes, waiting can be the best strategy. I’ll continue to provide analyses to help guide your trading decisions. Please follow me for more insights!
by Greedy_allday
BTC/USDT Strategic Trading OverviewKey Timeframes and Trading Opportunities: 1-Hour Chart: Bearish Sentiment: The prevailing downtrend suggests caution; look for stability or reversal signs before entering long. Support Level: The key support at $100,000 must hold to avoid further decline. Resistance Level: A break above $101,500 could signal a short-term trend reversal to the upside. 4-Hour Chart: High Volatility: This creates opportunities for both short and long trades based on price action around key levels. Support Level: Strong support is again at $100,000, acting as a psychological and technical pivot. Resistance Level: $102,500 is the major resistance, providing a clear target for any bullish momentum. Daily Chart: Overall Bullish Trend: The long-term trend remains upward, making dips potential buying opportunities for long-term investors. Support Levels: Major long-term supports are at $98,000 and $95,000. Resistance Level: Watch for resistance at $104,000 which if broken, could lead to new highs. Trading Strategy Points: Risk Management: Always use stop-losses to protect trades against sudden market moves. Adjust stop-losses according to the timeframe of your trade. Entry Points: Long Positions: Look for confirmation of support holding on lower timeframes with additional bullish signals such as candlestick patterns or momentum shifts. Short Positions: Initiate near resistance levels if bearish reversal patterns appear, especially on higher timeframes. Exit Points: Take Profit: Set just below resistance levels for long positions and above support levels for short positions to capture the most likely price movements. Volume and Momentum: Use volume indicators to confirm entry and exit points; momentum indicators like RSI and MACD can help identify potential market turns or continuation signals. Conclusion: BTC/USDT traders should stay adaptable to changes in market conditions across different timeframes. Combining insights from multiple charts will help in crafting a more nuanced trading approach, catering to both quick scalps and longer-term trades based on the identified support and resistance levels.
Long
by EliteTradersChoudharyJI
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (December 24-25)Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline. We don't observe strong buying activity yet, so in the near future, a test of the local minimum of $92,300 is most likely to capture additional liquidity. According to cumulative delta, there is absorption of sales through limit orders, which increases the probability of a false breakout and the development of an upward movement from these levels to $100,000. Buy zones: level $92,300 (local low), ~$80,000 (volume anomaly), $77,000-$74,000 (large volume zone). Sell zone: $100,000-$102,000 (mirror volume zone). Interesting altcoins For STMX , we are considering one of the marked scenarios. At the moment, we have received a reaction from an important volume zone, and if false breakouts of the marked levels occur, a correction should be considered.
by Crypto_robotics
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) - 4 Hour Chart### Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) - 4 Hour Chart Current Trend Overview: Bitcoin has been exhibiting a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal in the prevailing bullish trend. A rising wedge often suggests exhaustion in the buying pressure, leading to a breakout to the downside. Pattern Analysis: - Rising Wedge Formation: The rising wedge is characterized by converging trendlines that slope upward. The upper trendline connects higher highs, while the lower trendline connects higher lows. This formation typically forecasts a bearish reversal once a breakout occurs beneath the lower trendline. - Breakout Confirmation: A recent breakdown below the lower trendline of the rising wedge confirms the bearish sentiment. Traders often look for increased volume on the breakout for confirmation, suggesting strong selling interest. Price Targets: With the breakout indicating a shift to bearish momentum, several potential target areas can be set based on prior support levels and Fibonacci retracement zones. Here are the target areas: 1. Target 1: 99,000 - This level acts as a psychological support, as it aligns with previous highs and may attract buyers attempting to step in. 2. Target 2: 97,500 - Slightly below Target 1, this level has been a notable area of price action in the past and may provide a bounce point. 3. Target 3: 95,000 - This area has potential as a strong support level, influenced by previous price consolidations and fib levels. 4. Target 4: 93,500 - As selling pressure continues, this target corresponds to previous swing lows, which can be pivotal for the price trend. 5. Target 5: 91,000 - If price action continues to decline, this further downside target can set the stage for deeper corrections. Additional Indicators: - Volume Analysis: Observing trading volume is crucial in confirming the breakout's validity. If there is substantial volume accompanying the downward movement, it reinforces the bearish outlook. - RSI and MACD: Monitoring overbought/oversold levels through indicators like RSI may provide insights into possible reversal points or confirmation of continuation in the downtrend. A bearish crossover in MACD could also signal downward momentum. Conclusion: Given the current technical setup with the rising wedge pattern and confirmed breakout, Bitcoin appears poised for a bearish phase in the immediate future. Traders should remain vigilant and consider risk management strategies, keeping an eye on the outlined target areas for potential buy opportunities or sell-stop adjustments. Always ensure to reassess the market sentiment and broader trends, as cryptocurrency markets can exhibit high volatility and rapid shifts in sentiment. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments!
Short
by SRFXGlobal